BTC Monthly Forecast — January 2026Current bias: Price is approaching the equilibrium zone from below.
This is an upside attempt only if equilibrium is reclaimed and held. Until then, it’s still a test into supply.
Key zone to reclaim: 95,187–95,242 (equilibrium base + lower rail)
Next confirmation above: 99,039 (equilibrium mid)
1) Bull Case — “Acceptance above equilibrium”
Trigger: Hold above 95,242 and keep 95,187 defended
Targets:
99,039
102,891
102,946
Stretch (only if momentum persists): 103,000
2) Bear Case — “Rejection at equilibrium / Failed reclaim”
Trigger: Rejection at 95,187–95,242 and acceptance back below 95,187
Targets:
87,594
87,539
Extension: 79,890 only in a true unwind
Invalidation
Long thesis weakens on acceptance back below 95,187
Short thesis weakens on acceptance above 99,039 (then 102,891 becomes the next magnet)
Community ideas
nestleindiamanages to close strong above 3 month consolidation high .probabilities of fresh bullish momentum to start are high any retirement towards 1300-1280 zone can act as demand zone strong support below 1240 levels on day closing bases chances of bullish move towards 1380-1420 levels are high in next 5-6 weeks . bullish view fails if price start closing below 1240 levels on day bases .
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 05th January 2026NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 26500 – 26550 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 26675 – 26725 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 26150 – 26100 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 25975 – 25925 range.
Volatility is expected across sectors due to the recent abduction of the Venezuelan President by the USA. If the market could not absorb and sustain a gap down opening, fresh down side expected.
Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 05th January 2026NSE:BANKNIFTY
Index has resistance near 60550 – 60650 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 61050 – 61150 range.
Banknifty has immediate support near 59750 - 59650 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 59250 - 59150 range.
Volatility is expected across sectors due to the recent abduction of the Venezuelan President by the USA. If the market could not absorb and sustain a gap down opening, fresh down side expected.
Finnifty Intraday Analysis for 05th January 2026 NSE:CNXFINANCE
Index has resistance near 28125 - 28175 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 28350 - 28400 range.
Finnifty has immediate support near 27675 – 27625 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 27450 – 27400 range.
Volatility is expected across sectors due to the recent abduction of the Venezuelan President by the USA. If the market could not absorb and sustain a gap down opening, fresh down side expected.
Part 1 Master Candle Stick Patterns Risks in Option Trading
Options require deep understanding. Some risks include:
A. Time Decay (Theta)
Option value reduces every day.
B. Volatility Crush
Premium falls rapidly when volatility decreases (common after events).
C. Low Liquidity
Wider bid–ask spreads can increase trading cost.
D. Large Losses for Sellers
Shorting options without hedges can be very risky.
E. Emotional Trading
High leverage leads to overtrading.
PCR Trading Strategies Moneyness of Options
A useful classification:
i. In the Money (ITM)
Option has intrinsic value.
ii. At the Money (ATM)
Spot price ≈ Strike price.
iii. Out of the Money (OTM)
Option has no intrinsic value—only time value.
Moneyness affects premium, volatility, and behaviour before expiry.
SPY — Weekly Map (5–10 Jan)Here's this week's levels for SPY -
1) Bull Case — “Acceptance above equilibrium”
Trigger: Hold above 681 and reclaim 685
Targets: 687 → 690
Stretch (only if momentum persists): 696
2) Bear Case — “Rejection at equilibrium / Failed reclaim”
Trigger: Lose 681 (acceptance back below equilibrium) and lose 676
Targets: 678 → 672
Extension: 669 only in a true unwind
Invalidation
Long thesis weakens on acceptance back below 681
Short thesis weakens on acceptance above 685
$ONDO PRICE FORECAST | IS $7.65+ POSSIBLE?LSE:ONDO is currently trading inside a high-timeframe Fibonacci demand zone after a deep corrective move. Price is holding above the 0.786 retracement, suggesting a potential accumulation phase rather than continuation to the downside.
This structure is consistent with HTF accumulation behavior, where patience is required before expansion.
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Technical Structure Overview:
HTF Accumulation Zone: $0.45 – $0.35
Bullish Order Block / Deeper Demand: $0.30 – $0.25 (0.786 Fib)
HTF Market Structure Remains Valid Above: $0.25
Breakout Potential: Once local structure flips bullish
Current Phase: Accumulation → No confirmation yet
As long as demand holds above the key HTF support, LSE:ONDO remains technically positioned for a multi-leg expansion during the next impulsive phase.
Upside Targets (HTF):$1.00/$2.00/$4.00/$7.65 – $8.00+
A sustained move from this base could support a strong cycle expansion, provided market conditions align.
TA only | Not financial advice | Always DYOR
XAUUSD – Bulls in Control After Strong ExpansionGold has printed a strong impulsive move on the H1 timeframe, breaking above the prior consolidation and confirming bullish market structure. Price is holding above dynamic support (supertrend/step line), showing healthy continuation rather than exhaustion.
As long as price holds above 4415–4400, dips are likely to be bought. A sustained hold above 4425–4430 keeps the upside open toward 4455 → 4480 in the near term. Any pullback into the 4395–4380 zone would be considered a corrective retracement, not a trend reversal, unless structure breaks.
Bias: Bullish
Key Support: 4400 / 4380
Upside Targets: 4455 → 4480
Momentum favors continuation, watch for pullback-and-hold entries rather than chasing highs.
Part 2 Support and ResistanceOption Buyer vs Option Seller
Understanding their difference is crucial:
A. Option Buyer
Pays premium.
Limited risk (only the premium).
Unlimited profit potential in Calls.
High reward in Puts with limited risk.
Needs significant movement to make money.
B. Option Seller
Receives premium upfront.
Limited profit (only the premium).
High risk due to market movement.
High probability of profit (70–80% in range markets).
Requires margin.
Option selling is considered more stable, but risky in trending markets.
RECLTDRECLTD
bullish trend is Showing on the chart.
buy signals in
technical indicators and
high time frame bullish reversal from a falling wedge chart pattern.
BUYING RANGE 375/380
Watch for a breakout above 375/400 to sustain the bullish trend. If the resistance holds, there could be a retest towards 320/330 and an uptrend from here.
Bank Nifty Swing Trading Setup - RRR 1:4Bank Nifty forming ending diagonal wave 3 is running (C- c2) so go long at around 59000 and target is 60200-60500 risk around 300 points ( swing low) reward 1200 points RRR is around 1:4 it's good strategy follow risk management strictly happy trading journey ...
Part 1 Support and ResistanceHow Option Premium Works
When you buy an option, you pay a premium.
When you sell an option, you receive it.
The premium is influenced by:
i. Intrinsic Value
The real value if exercised now.
For Calls: Max(0, Spot – Strike)
For Puts: Max(0, Strike – Spot)
ii. Time Value
The extra value based on how much time is left before expiry.
More time → more value.
Closer to expiry → less value.
iii. Volatility
Higher volatility increases option premiums because prices may move dramatically.
iv. Interest Rates & Dividends
These impact pricing but are secondary for most intraday/swing traders.
Option pricing is usually calculated using models like Black-Scholes, but traders mainly use practical observation.
HDFCAMC Channel Structure – Watching price acceptance key levelHDFCAMC has been moving inside a well-defined descending channel, respecting both the upper resistance and lower support trendlines.
Recently, price attempted to reclaim an important horizontal level inside the channel. Instead of an impulsive move, the stock is now pausing and stabilizing above this area, which is a healthy behavior from a price-action perspective.
Key observations:
Clear channel structure controlling the trend
Price holding above a minor resistance-turned-reference zone
No aggressive rejection so far — suggesting balance and participation
Volume remains steady, supporting controlled price movement
At this stage, there is no urgency. The focus is purely on how price behaves and settles above this zone before any directional expansion.
As always — price leads, we follow.
TVSMOTORTVSMOTOR
bullish trend is Showing on the chart.
buy signals in
technical indicators and
cup with handle chart pattern.
BUYING RANGE 3680/3690
Watch for a breakout above 3680/3700 to sustain the bullish trend. If the resistance holds, there could be a retest towards 3560/3600 and an uptrend from here.
CHOLAHLDNG: Price Compression Under a Falling TrendlineCHOLAHLDNG is currently trading inside a well-defined compression structure. Price continues to respect a falling trendline on the upside, while the downside is being supported by a stable demand zone.
Multiple attempts to move higher have been capped by the trendline, yet sellers have not been able to break the base decisively. This behavior shows balance and absorption, not distribution.
Key observations from pure price action:
Lower highs confirm supply pressure
Flat support indicates buyer participation
Volatility is contracting, signaling compression
This is a wait-and-watch structure, where price action around the trendline and support will provide clarity. No indicators needed — the structure itself defines risk and context.
SMC Breakdown – US500 (15M)Price delivered a strong sell-side liquidity sweep, followed by an impulsive bullish displacement, confirming short-term bullish intent. Post-displacement, market respected structure and began forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating internal BOS to the upside.
Current price is reacting into a premium supply zone / HTF imbalance, aligning with prior distribution. This area is marked as a high-probability reaction zone, not an immediate entry.
IDBI BANKIDBI BANK
bullish trend is Showing on the chart.
buy signals in
technical indicators and
cup with handle chart pattern.
BUYING RANGE 100/105
Watch for a breakout above 100/105 to sustain the bullish trend. If the resistance holds, there could be a retest towards 80/85 and an uptrend from here.






















