XAUUSD – Bullish structure intact, Buy pullbackGold remains within a mid-term ascending channel. After a strong bullish impulse, the price is currently in a technical rebalancing phase, not a trend reversal. The recent pullback is viewed as liquidity absorption, preparing for the next expansion.
Structure & Order Flow (MMF / SMC)
Overall market structure stays Higher High – Higher Low.
Price has reacted clearly from the lower Demand / Order Block, confirming buyer presence.
Buy-side liquidity remains above, acting as the next upside magnet.
Key Technical Levels
Primary BUY Zone: 4,485 – 4,490
Secondary BUY Zone: 4,480 – 4,483 (OB + trendline confluence)
Resistance / Target 1: 4,520
Target 2 (Liquidity Zone): 4,560 – 4,590
Trading Scenarios
Primary Scenario:
Wait for the price to pull back into BUY zones, look for reaction / minor BOS, then follow the bullish trend.
Alternative Scenario:
If the price holds above 4,500 and breaks strongly above 4,520, wait for a retest to continue BUY positions.
Invalidation:
A clear H1 close below 4,480 invalidates the bullish setup and requires reassessment.
Summary
The dominant bias remains bullish continuation. Best strategy is to buy on pullbacks, stay patient, and avoid chasing price at premium levels.
Community ideas
XAUUSD Long TradeXAUUSD Long Trade – Calm & Controlled 🟡📈
XAUUSD long position executed with a clear plan.
Entry: 4512
Stop Loss: 4505
Target: 4531
Risk stayed defined, execution stayed clean, and patience stayed intact.
One setup. One trade. One mindset.
#XAUUSD #GoldTrading #ForexTrade #LongTrade #TradeRecap #TradingView #PriceAction #RiskManagement #DisciplinedTrading #ForexTrader
Nifty Trading Strategy for 29th December 2025🔵 NIFTY TREND TRADING & SCALPING PLAN
📈 TREND TRADING – BUY SETUP
🟢 Buy Condition:
15-Minute candle must CLOSE ABOVE 25080
Entry only after candle close (avoid premature entry)
🎯 Targets:
26115
26150
26190
📌 Explanation:
A sustained close above 25080 on the 15-minute timeframe indicates bullish strength. Once breakout confirmation is seen, expect upward momentum towards the mentioned targets.
📉 TREND TRADING – SELL SETUP
🔴 Sell Condition:
15-Minute candle must CLOSE BELOW 25985
🎯 Targets:
25950
25910
25870
📌 Explanation:
A candle close below 25985 suggests weakness and possible trend reversal or continuation of bearish momentum.
⚖️ NO TRADE / SCALPING ZONE
🟡 Range Area: 26005 – 26080
📌 When price is moving inside this zone:
Avoid trend trades
Prefer only scalping
Market is likely to be sideways / choppy
⚡ SCALPING STRATEGY (INSIDE NO TRADE ZONE)
🔻 Sell on Rejection
📍 Resistance Area: 26080
If price tests 26080 and gets rejected
Look for rejection signs (wick, bearish candle, failure to close above)
Enter SELL
🛑 Stop Loss:
Above the high of the rejected candle
🎯 Target:
15 to 25 points
Or trail stop loss once price moves in your favor
🔺 Buy on Rejection
📍 Support Area: 26005
If price tests 26005 and gets rejected
Confirmation via bullish candle or strong buying wick
Enter BUY
🛑 Stop Loss:
Below the low of the rejected candle
🎯 Target:
15 to 25 points
Or trail stop loss for safer exits
⏱️ TIME FRAME GUIDELINE
🕰️ Preferred Time Frame:
15-Minute Chart
📌 Using a higher time frame like 15 mins helps:
Reduce false breakouts
Improve trade accuracy
Avoid over-trading
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT RULES
✔️ Always use stop loss
✔️ Avoid trading during high volatility news
✔️ Trade with proper position sizing
✔️ Do not over-leverage
🚨 DISCLAIMER (VERY IMPORTANT)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is strictly for educational purposes only. I am NOT a SEBI registered advisor. Stock market trading involves high risk, and losses can exceed expectations. Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor before trading. I am not responsible for any profits or losses arising from the use of this information.
BANKNIFTY Levels for TodayHere are the BANKNIFTY’s Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both.
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(29/12/2025)A flat opening is expected in Bank Nifty, with the index trading near 59,000, indicating continuation of the recent weak-to-range-bound structure. Price action shows Bank Nifty drifting lower from higher levels and now stabilizing near a key demand zone, suggesting that sellers are slowing down but buyers are still cautious. Overall sentiment remains neutral, and the index needs a decisive move to establish fresh direction.
On the upside, the 59,050–59,100 zone is the immediate resistance and a crucial trigger for bullish momentum. If Bank Nifty sustains above this zone, long trades can be considered with upside targets at 59,250, 59,350, and 59,450+. A breakout above this resistance may lead to short-covering and intraday buying interest toward higher levels.
On the downside, the 58,950–58,900 range remains a critical support. A breakdown below this zone may accelerate selling pressure, opening the path for short trades with downside targets at 58,750, 58,650, and 58,550-. Until a clear breakout or breakdown occurs, traders are advised to focus on level-based trading, maintain strict stop losses, and avoid aggressive positions in this consolidating and mildly bearish setup.
NIFTY :JAN EXPIRY VIEWSNIFTY :Trading at 26042
NIFTY CRITICAL EMA s
5 DEMA :26070
10DEMA :26030
20 DEMA :25998
50 DEMA : 25827
OPTION WRITINGS
MAX PUT BUILD UP AT 26000 -Should act as a major support on closing basis
MAX CALL BUILD UP AT 26200 -Likely to act as the Major Resistance
TRADING STRATEGY: NIFTY has a Bearish Gap between 25970-900 -partially filled in the previous trading session,
MAJOR SUPPORT :25900
RESISTANCE 1 : 26050 R2:26100 R3:26150
Support 1 : 25970-26000 Major Support :25880-25900
NIFTY : Best range to buy :25950 with the SL of 25880 TGT : 26000/26050/26100/26150
NIFTY : Sell at 26150 with the SL of 26200 for a Target of 26100/26050 and shall Trail
VERDICT: All the Short Term Moving averages concentrated at around 26000 and Call option writing concentrated at 26050-26200 LEVELS ,Suggests limited move on either side and range bound till the expiry session(For educational purpose only)
Chumtrades XAUUSD Any pullback is an opportunity to buy higher.This morning’s move was a corrective sell-off, best understood as profit-taking from BUY-side, not a trend reversal.
The overall structure remains within a rising trend channel, with no sign of a structural break → BUY bias stays intact, looking to buy pullbacks in line with the trend.
🟢 Key Support Zones
447x: near-term support (4476 – 4472 – 4470)
4450 – 4455
4430 – 4435
🔴 Key Resistance Zones
4548 – 4550
4560 – 4565
4599 – 4600 (upper resistance)
📌 Additional Note
453x is a mid-zone to watch closely for price reaction.
📊 Intraday Expectation
Price is expected to range sideways on the H2 timeframe
Range high: 4549
Range low: 4473
→ Possible BUY near the lower boundary and SELL near the upper boundary if the range holds.
⚠️ Risk Management
No major news at the moment; price is mainly driven by technical flows.
Holiday period → thin liquidity, higher risk of stop hunts.
Keep stops reasonable and avoid overtrading.
Wishing everyone a productive trading day.
NIFTY- Intraday Levels - 29th December 2025If NIFTY sustain above 26047 then 26067/71 above this bullish then around 26103/112/125 above this more bullish above this wait more levels marked on chart
If NIFTY sustain below 26021 then 26011 to 25994 below this bearish then 25975 below this more bearish then 25953/47 then 25899/72 or 25851/14 below this wait more levels marked on chart
My view :-
"My viewpoint, offered purely for analytical consideration, The trading thesis is: Nifty (bullish tactical approach: buy on dip)
This analysis is highly speculative and is not guaranteed to be accurate; therefore, the implementation of stringent risk controls is non-negotiable for mitigating trade risk."
Consider some buffer points in above levels.
Please do your due diligence before trading or investment.
**Disclaimer -
I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk.
Thank you.
XAUUSD GOLD Analysis on (29 Dec 2025)#XAUUSD UPDATEDE
Current price - 4500
Buy Limited - 4480-4470(Strong buy zone)
If price stay above 4440 then next target ,4520,4540 and 4570 and below that 4380
Plan;If price break 4480-4470 area,and stay above 4490,we will place buy order in gold with target of 4520,4540 and 4570 & stop loss should be placed at 4380
Chapter-6 Why Many ICT Traders Fail in ExecutionChapter 6 — Why Many ICT Traders Fail in Execution (Even With “Correct” Concepts)
Chart reference: BTCUSD 4H — the perfect example of concepts being correct, but execution being inconsistent.
Most ICT traders don’t fail because they don’t know OB / FVG / Liquidity / MSS.
They fail because they treat those labels as entries, instead of treating them as execution conditions.
This BTCUSD 4H environment is exactly where that mistake gets exposed: multiple swings, repeated wick traps, range behavior, and mid-range noise. If you don’t have acceptance + invalidation rules, you get chopped even when your bias is “right.”
1) Order Block Misuse: “I Found an OB, So I Entered”
The common mistake
Traders mark an OB and treat it as a guaranteed reversal zone.
Why it fails (especially on this chart)
In a choppy 4H environment, price will:
tap an OB,
wick through it,
re-enter it,and continue to the next liquidity pool.
So the OB becomes a reaction area, not a permission slip.
The correct execution rule
An OB is valid only after at least one of these happens:
Displacement away from the zone (real intent, not a weak drift)
Acceptance confirmation (close back above/below the level that matters)
Liquidity condition is satisfied (a sweep / raid occurs first)
Execution takeaway:
OB is where you pay attention, not where you blindly buy/sell.
2) Liquidity Misinterpretation: Confusing “Magnet” With “Reversal”
The common mistake
“Equal highs = sell zone” or “equal lows = buy zone.”
What liquidity really is
Liquidity is a target (a magnet), not automatically a reversal point.
On this BTCUSD 4H, you can see repeated behavior:
price runs a prior swing (or equal highs/lows),
grabs stops,
then either continues or mean-reverts depending on acceptance.
The correct execution rule
After a liquidity sweep, your job is not to “predict reversal.”
Your job is to ask:
Did price ACCEPT beyond the sweep, or REJECT and return?
Acceptance = closes holding outside the old range
Rejection = wick sweep + close back inside range
Execution takeaway:
Liquidity tells you where price wants to go. Acceptance tells you whether it stays there.
3) Timeframe Conflict: HTF Bias Dies on LTF Noise
The common mistake
Traders mix timeframes emotionally:
HTF says “bullish”
LTF prints a bearish candle
they flip, then re-flip, then revenge trade.
This BTCUSD 4H sequence is full of “both sides look valid” moments. That’s where timeframe discipline matters.
The correct execution rule (simple and brutal)
HTF = Map
MTF = Permission
LTF = Execution timing
If HTF is ranging, then LTF trend entries become low-quality unless you are at range extremes with acceptance/rejection proof.
Execution takeaway:
If HTF is range, your default state is WAIT — not “find more setups.”
4) No Acceptance Rule: Trading Wicks Instead of Closes
The common mistake
Entering because of:
a wick into FVG,
a touch of OB,
a “looks like rejection” candle mid-formation.
Why it fails on this BTCUSD 4H
This chart shows classic “wick drama”:
sharp wicks above resistance,
sharp wicks below support,
then price returns to the mean.
If you trade wicks without acceptance, you’re trading stop-hunts, not structure.
The correct execution rule
Define acceptance in writing. Examples:
“4H candle close above range high” (bullish acceptance)
“4H candle close back inside range after sweep” (rejection confirmation)
“Break + retest hold” (continuation permission)
Execution takeaway:
Wicks reveal intent. Closes grant permission.
5) No Invalidation Rule: “Where Exactly Am I Wrong?”
The common mistake
Stop-loss is placed:
“somewhere below the OB,”
or “below the wick,”
without structural logic.
The correct approach
Invalidation must be:
beyond the level that breaks your trade idea, not beyond your comfort.
In this BTCUSD 4H chop, structural invalidation is the only thing that prevents death by a thousand cuts.
A professional invalidation question:
If price reaches X, is my model still valid or not?
If you can’t answer that in one sentence, you’re not ready to execute.
Execution takeaway:
No invalidation = no trade. Because you can’t manage what you can’t define.
6) FVG / Imbalance Over-Fetish: “It Must Fill, So I Enter”
The common mistake
Assuming every imbalance must be filled in your direction, right now.
Why it fails
In ranges, imbalances fill both ways as price mean-reverts.
So “FVG fill” becomes a trap if you don’t anchor it to:
HTF context,
liquidity objective,
acceptance rule.
Execution takeaway:
FVG is not a signal. It’s a context tool. Use it only with permission.
7) The Real Killer: Trading Mid-Range (Where R:R Looks Good But Probability Is Poor)
On this chart, the market repeatedly oscillates around the mean area (roughly the mid-zone of the recent 4H range).
That is where:
entries feel “cheap,”
stops feel “tight,”
and probability is worst.
High-quality execution zones are usually:
range low after sweep + rejection confirmation
range high after sweep + rejection confirmation
breakout + acceptance + retest hold
Everything else is often noise.
Execution takeaway:
Good traders wait for location. Great traders wait for location + acceptance.
The Chapter 6 Execution Model (Practical Rules)
Use this as the “no-excuses” execution gate:
Context — Trend or Range on 4H?
Location — Are we at an extreme or mid-range?
Liquidity — Was a stop pool raided or not?
Acceptance — Did we close with permission?
Invalidation — Where is the idea proven wrong?
Execution — Enter only after 1–5 are aligned
Management — Reduce risk after confirmation, not before
If steps 3–5 are missing: WAIT.
How MARAL Helps in This Exact Situation (BTCUSD 4H “Chop + Wick Traps + Range”)
This chart is the kind of environment where ICT concepts still “exist,” but execution fails because permission is unclear. MARAL’s value here is simple:
It does not try to predict direction.
It standardizes when to trade, when to wait, and how to manage after entry.
1) MARAL prevents mid-range entries
Problem on this chart: price spends long time around the mean (mid of the 4H range).
ICT traders keep taking OB/FVG touches inside the middle → chopped.
How MARAL helps
MARAL treats mid-range as low-quality location unless acceptance confirms a break.
Default state becomes WAIT until price reaches range edges or prints a clear acceptance break.
Result: fewer trades, higher signal-to-noise.
2) MARAL separates liquidity sweep from reversal permission
Problem: traders see a sweep and immediately fade it.
But sweep can lead to continuation if acceptance holds beyond it.
How MARAL helps
MARAL forces a binary question: Did we get acceptance or rejection?
Rejection: sweep + close back inside → reversal permission improves
Acceptance: close holds outside → do not fade; wait for retest/continuation
Result: you stop fighting continuation moves.
3) MARAL standardizes acceptance rules (close-based permission)
Problem: wicks look like “confirmation,” but closes decide. This chart has many wick traps.
How MARAL helps
MARAL requires close-based permission to activate execution:
“4H close reclaiming a key level” for longs
“4H close losing a key level” for shorts
If it’s only wicks, MARAL keeps you in WAIT.
Result: no more “entered early, got wicked.”
4) MARAL forces a clean invalidation point (where exactly am I wrong?)
Problem: ICT traders place stops emotionally (“below OB”) without defining model failure.
How MARAL helps
Every setup must have a single invalidation line:
If price breaches it and closes/holds → idea invalid
If invalidation isn’t clear → MARAL blocks the trade.
Result: stops become structural, not hopeful.
5) MARAL reduces timeframe conflict
Problem: HTF bias vs LTF noise → flip-flop entries.
How MARAL helps
MARAL uses the chain:
HTF = Map (range or trend?)
MTF = Permission (acceptance event?)
LTF = Execution timing (entry precision only after permission)
If HTF is range (like here), MARAL will naturally push you toward:
range extremes + sweep + rejection
or
breakout + acceptance + retest
Result: fewer impulsive LTF trades against the HTF environment.
6) MARAL adds post-entry management clarity (the missing part for most ICT traders)
Problem: Even after a good entry, traders don’t know:
when to reduce risk,
when to hold,
when to exit early.
How MARAL helps (in this market type)
After permission + entry, MARAL structure typically becomes:
Protect phase: once acceptance confirms, reduce exposure / move risk to safer state
Hold phase: if structure holds and price respects the reclaimed level
Exit phase: if acceptance fails, momentum weakens, or price re-enters the range
Result: you stop turning winners into losers in chop.
MARAL “Decision Ladder” for This Chart (Simple)
Use this exact ladder on BTCUSD 4H:
Is 4H trending or ranging? (here: range / mixed)
Are we at range extreme or mid? (mid = WAIT)
Was liquidity swept at an extreme?
Did we get rejection OR acceptance? (close-based)
Define invalidation (one level)
Only then execute
Manage by acceptance health (hold / protect / exit)
One marketing-ready line (for your chapter)
“ICT gives concepts. MARAL gives the execution law.”
In this BTCUSD 4H environment, MARAL’s biggest edge is not entries — it’s trade permission + invalidation + post-entry control, which is exactly where most traders fail.
Find below “MARAL vs Typical ICT Execution” comparison section
MARAL vs Typical ICT Execution (Practical, Not Theoretical)
1) Role of Order Blocks
Typical ICT Execution
Order Block treated as a direct entry trigger
Entry often taken on first touch
Little differentiation between reaction and permission
MARAL Execution
Order Block treated as a location filter
Entry allowed only after displacement + acceptance
OB defines where to observe, not where to execute
2) Liquidity Interpretation
Typical ICT Execution
Liquidity sweep assumed to mean reversal
Equal highs/lows faded without confirmation
MARAL Execution
Liquidity defined as a target, not a bias
Reversal only after rejection (sweep + close back inside)
Acceptance beyond liquidity cancels fade bias
3) Acceptance Logic
Typical ICT Execution
Wick reactions often considered confirmation
Entries taken during candle formation
MARAL Execution
Acceptance defined strictly by candle close behavior
Wicks signal intent; closes grant permission
No close = no execution
4) Timeframe Alignment
Typical ICT Execution
HTF bias mixed emotionally with LTF signals
Frequent bias flipping during consolidation
MARAL Execution
Fixed hierarchy:
HTF = Context / Map
MTF = Permission
LTF = Execution timing only
Range HTF automatically restricts mid-range trading
5) Invalidation Discipline
Typical ICT Execution
Stop-loss placed “below OB” or “below wick”
Invalidation often unclear or emotional
MARAL Execution
One predefined invalidation level per idea
Invalidation represents model failure, not discomfort
If invalidation is undefined → trade is blocked
6) FVG / Imbalance Usage
Typical ICT Execution
FVG treated as a signal (“it must fill”)
Direction assumed without context
MARAL Execution
FVG used as contextual pathway, not permission
Requires liquidity + acceptance alignment
Ignored in mid-range or low-quality volatility
7) Trade Location Filtering
Typical ICT Execution
Trades taken throughout the range
R:R optimized, probability often ignored
MARAL Execution
Mid-range classified as low-quality location
Priority given to range extremes or acceptance breaks
WAIT is a valid and enforced state
8) Post-Entry Management
Typical ICT Execution
Focus ends after entry
Exit decisions become emotional
MARAL Execution
Trade state tracked after entry:
Protect → Hold → Exit
Management based on acceptance health and structure
Early exit allowed when acceptance degrades
9) Trader Behavior Outcome
Typical ICT Execution
High activity, inconsistent results
Overtrading in chop environments
MARAL Execution
Lower trade frequency, higher clarity
Consistency driven by execution gating, not prediction
Closing message for the chapter -6
ICT concepts are powerful — but concepts alone don’t produce consistency.
Consistency comes from standardized execution:
OB is not an entry. It’s a zone that requires proof.
Liquidity is not a reversal. It’s a target that needs acceptance logic.
Timeframes don’t mix emotionally. They align structurally.
Wicks don’t give permission. Closes do.
No invalidation = no professionalism.
Chapter 7 — How MARAL Supports Traders in Live Markets
Execution Discipline, Risk Control, and Greed Management (Educational Framework) coming soon.
Note : This chapter is written purely for education — to explain why execution fails in live markets even when traders correctly understand ICT concepts such as Order Blocks, Liquidity, Fair Value Gaps, and Market Structure. The goal is not to criticize ICT, but to highlight execution gaps that commonly appear under real-time market pressure.
#ICT #SmartMoney #TradingEducation #TradingPsychology #MarketStructure #OrderBlocks #Liquidity #FairValueGap #RiskManagement #TradingDiscipline #PriceAction #BTCUSD
Nifty: Sideways Trend — Bounce Likely, Sustainability DoubtfulYou can clearly see from the NSE:NIFTY chart that the trend has turned sideways.
Momentum is positive, but the candles are overlapping. That is the main reason why many stocks, despite having good price action, are either not moving or failing to sustain their moves.
Another important point to note is that the index has again moved back inside the Pivot range, yet the volume is green even on red candles.
This combination indicates that a bounce may come, but it is unlikely to sustain.
More importantly, if you look at GIFT NIFTY, both trend and momentum are negative there. That adds caution to the overall view.
Because of this, my strategy for tomorrow remains Sell-on-Rise.
Resistance is near 26098 and support is at 25950.
If 26100 breaks decisively on the intraday chart, the Sell-on-Rise plan will be considered invalid.
For short-term accumulation, a strong support lies at 25777.
Looking ahead to next week, the market is likely to behave in a way where:
– Intraday traders can continue with Sell-on-Rise
– Short-term traders can accumulate trending theme stocks on dips
Next week will be more about building positions in high relative strength stocks, not chasing breakouts.
Plan your short-term portfolio carefully with stocks from strong sectors.
Defence is looking good. Stocks like NSE:BEL and NSE:HAL can be studied on dips or on clean breakouts.
📊 Levels at a glance:
Resistance: 26098
Support: 25950
Key intraday invalidation: 26100
Short-term accumulation support: 25777
Bias: Sell-on-Rise
Focus: High relative strength stocks, Defence sector
That’s all for now.
Take care.
Have a profitable tomorrow.
Gold : Preparing for Breakout for 84500-85000Gold is consolidating in Triangular Pattern to Breakout above 78800. Target will be 84500-8500.
Close below 76500 will make a breakdown.
Put Stoploss on closing basis.
(In Trading Time it may go above/below stoploss But closing price is most important).
These are levels are generated on the basis on Fibonacci Series
NOTE : I am not SEBI registered advisor in capital market.
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades. Please understand Risk in trading before taking any trade with your financial consult. I am only sharing my knowledge it may be right or sometimes wrong so I am not liable for any loss.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Thank you.
Trade plan on $Nifty 50 INDEX : 29th Dec 2025
Hourly Chart :-
Nifty spot has performed as anticipated, consistent with the prior analysis. In the next session, a brief upward move is possible, but failure to close above the 26230 zone precludes entry into a bullish regime. Proposed trade strategies:
* If advances to 16150, initiate short positions upon confirmation.
* If declines below 26000 to support near 25910 without pullback, consider long positions around 3:00 PM.
* In case of sideways consolidation, await a decisive breakout in either direction.
Daily Chart :-
Post-today's movement, Nifty exhibits a short-term downtrend while holding support at the 26000 zone (20 SMA). A close below 26000 may target the 25700 zone.
* Short entries below 26000, with stop-loss at 26144.
* For optimal short-term shorts, reference the hourly timeframe.
* No buy signals have materialized; further observation is warranted.
Weekly Chart :-
The prior bullish bias has transitioned to a sideways range. The upcoming week is pivotal:
* A close below 26000 signals potential for a significant downtrend.
* A break above 26230 indicates readiness for the next uptrend.
Monthly Chart :-
The Hanging Man formation represents a bearish reversal pattern in an uptrend, featuring a small real body at the upper range, extended lower shadow, and minimal upper shadow. This suggests sellers are gaining traction, with downside risk ahead.
If you like this analysis, please let me know in the comments.
Thank you to all readers
The rally is correctiveLTIM CMP 6035
Elliott- Post the correction to 3400 odd in May 22 the stock has been unable to pull its strings. The entire move post that is corrective. The current rally is also corrective and is done. Hence a fresh three wave correction should begin from here.
Pivot - the 6175 is a pivot point on the chart. Every rally has failed around the zone. All the breakout has been false. It will be no different this time around.
RSI - rallies cannot go past the bear zone is negative.
Gann Time - Gann square of 12 is indicating 5th Jan 26 as a imp pivot date.
Conclusion - the correction can bring the stock down to 3800/3400. Hence will advise to exit this counter.
Vedanta Weekly Chart suggest 25% upside in next 4-5 MonthsVedanta Weekly Chart suggest 25% upside in next 4-5 Months
LTP - 429
SL - 399
Targets - 535+
Risk Reward Ration 1:4
Vedanta Earning is growing 50% on QOQ basis & company will have 12500 Crore cash income from HZL stake Sale & Dividend.
Company HZL stake itself is worth 1.4 Lakh Crores Vs 80K Crore Debt ... so ideally Company is on Cash of 60K crore irrespective of the Debt picture media is showing.
Long term Targets can go beyond 2500+ in coming 5 Years.
Happy Investing.
XAUUSD/GOLD 4H BUY PROJECTION 28.12.25Pair: XAUUSD / Gold
Timeframe: 4H
Bias: Bullish (Buy continuation)
Date: 28-12-2025
Market is in a strong uptrend, respecting a parallel ascending channel.
📈 Technical Structure Explained
1️⃣ Trend & Pattern
Price is moving inside a Parallel Uptrend Channel
A Bullish Flag formed after a strong impulsive move
Then price formed a V-Continuation Pattern → strong bullish sign
Breakout happened with momentum candles
👉 This confirms trend continuation, not reversal
2️⃣ Key Levels Marked
🟦 Supports
Support S1: ~4520
Support S2: ~4500
These are dip-buy zones if price retraces.
🟥 Resistance / Breakout Area
Immediate Resistance: ~4530
Price broke & retested this zone
Also aligns with Fibonacci retracement + structure break
👉 This level is now acting as support
3️⃣ Entry Logic (Buy Setup)
✅ Buy Confirmation Zone
After breakout + retest
Strong bullish candle close above 4530
Momentum continuation (higher highs & higher lows)
🟩 Safe Buy Area:
4525 – 4535 (retest zone)
4️⃣ Targets (Upside Projection)
🎯 Target 1 (R1 / Previous High): ~4560
🎯 Target 2 (Expected ATH): ~4620
🎯 Extended Target: ~4660 – 4680
(Top of the channel / projected ATH)
5️⃣ Stop Loss (Risk Management)
🛑 SL Options:
Conservative SL: below 4500
Aggressive SL: below 4510
ATR-based SL preferred for volatility control
Part 10 Trading Master Class With Experts Common Misconceptions
Options are risky: True if misused, but disciplined traders use them for hedging and risk management.
Only for advanced traders: Basic strategies like covered calls and protective puts are beginner-friendly.
Profits are always quick: Options require understanding market conditions, timing, and volatility.
Regulatory and Market Structure
Options are traded on exchanges (e.g., NSE, CBOE) or over-the-counter (OTC). Exchange-traded options are standardized in terms of strike prices, expiry dates, and contract size, reducing counterparty risk. Traders need margin accounts and must comply with regulatory requirements. Option trading in many countries is also subject to taxation on capital gains.
XAUUSD H4 – Trading the Uptrend Channel with LiquidityXAUUSD H4 – Trading the Uptrend Channel with Liquidity and Volume Profile
Gold remains bullish on the H4 timeframe and continues to respect a well-defined rising channel. With price approaching extended areas, the higher-probability approach is to buy pullbacks at value zones and treat the upper boundary as a short-term profit-taking area rather than chasing momentum.
TECHNICAL CONTEXT
The uptrend structure is still intact, with price forming higher lows inside the channel.
After a strong impulsive leg, the market is now consolidating and rebalancing, which favours execution around Volume Profile and FVG zones.
The upper channel boundary often acts as a short-term exhaustion area, while value zones below offer better risk-to-reward long entries.
PRIORITY SCENARIO – MAIN PLAN
Buy the pullback at key value and liquidity zones
Buy POC: around 4485
Buy zone FVG support: around 4368
Rationale:
The 4485 POC is a high-volume area where price frequently reacts during pullbacks.
The 4368 FVG aligns with channel support and represents an imbalance area that price often revisits before continuation.
Expected behaviour:
A pullback into POC or the FVG zone, followed by a bullish reaction, can set up the next leg higher within the channel.
ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – SECONDARY PLAN
Short-term sell scalp near the upper boundary
Sell scalping zone: around 4600
Note:
This is strictly a short-term scalp if price reaches the upper channel boundary and shows clear rejection. It is not a trend reversal thesis.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
The H4 trend remains bullish, but the channel range is wide, making chasing price riskier.
Volume Profile and FVG zones define higher-probability execution areas.
The best edge comes from buying pullbacks at value, while treating 4600 as a potential short-term reaction zone.






















