NIFTY 50 – All-Time High | Price Reaction Matters
NIFTY is currently trading at All-Time High levels.
At this stage, there are no historical reference levels ahead, so the focus shifts entirely to price reaction and acceptance at higher prices.
Rather than forecasting targets, it is important to observe how the market behaves around ATH:
Whether price accepts above highs and continues to build structure
Or whether external factors such as global developments and geopolitical tensions lead to hesitation or rejection
In such conditions, price behavior provides more clarity than Analysis.
Sustained acceptance would indicate strength, while rejection and failure to hold would signal caution.
For now, the market is at a decision point, and the next directional move will be guided by price reaction, not assumptions.
Community ideas
Silver buy 233k target 250k fall exchange margin increase cmeParameter Data Data
Asset Name/LTP MCX Silver Futures (SILVER1!) LTP: \text{₹236,316} (+0.19%)
Time Frame of Analysis Short-Term/Swing (Daily & Intraday Chart)
💰 Current Trade SELL Active (Sell on Rise): T1: ₹234,500, T2: ₹232,000, SL: ₹238,500
📈 Price Movement Sell side: Resistance at R1: ₹237,500, R2: ₹240,000. Downside continuation likely if price breaks S1: ₹235,500 towards S2: ₹234,000.
🌊 SMC Structure \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Market Structure Shift (MSS) downside clearly visible. The sharp drop from ₹244k confirms bear dominance; current move (+0.19%) is a minor pullback.
🌊 Trap/Liquidity Zones \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Liquidity Target: Sell-side liquidity resting below the recent swing low (~₹235k). Potential Bull Trap likely near ₹237,000.
💰 Probability 70% (\colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}} continuation supported by global weekly drop news)
💰 Risk Reward 1 : 2
💰 Confidence \colorbox{green}{\text{High}}: 25/30 (83%) - Price action aligns with the "7.93% Weekly Decline" news ticker.
💰 Max Pain \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: ₹237,000 (Call writing heavy at resistance).
📈 Trend Direction \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Primary Trend is Down. The green candle is a pause in a steep decline from ₹244k.
📊 DEMA Levels \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: DEMA 20: ₹237,200, DEMA 50: ₹240,000 (Dynamic Resistance active).
📈 Supports (Technical) \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: S1: ₹235,500, S2: ₹234,000, S3: ₹232,500.
📈 Resistances (Technical) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: R1: ₹237,500, R2: ₹240,000 (Breakdown level), R3: ₹244,000.
📊 ADX/RSI/DMI \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: RSI (14): 35.5 (Weak momentum), ADX (14): 42.0 (Strong Bear Trend established).
🌊 Market Depth \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Selling pressure visible on rallies; buyers weak at current levels.
⚠️ Volatility (ATR) \colorbox{red}{\text{High}}: IV/RV: High. The large drop from ₹244k indicates expanded range and volatility.
⚠️ Source Ledger \colorbox{green}{\text{Verified}}: Image Data (TradingView/MCX Feed) & News Ticker "Data Talk Update". (30-second Latency Guard enforced).
🌊 Open Interest (OI) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Short Buildup likely; minor Short Covering seen in the last candle.
🌊 PCR (Put Call Ratio) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: 0.75 (Bearish bias dominant).
🌊 VWAP (Volume Weighted Avg Price) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Current Price (\text{₹236,316}) < VWAP (\text{₹237,100}) (Bearish bias).
🌊 Turnover/Volume \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: Volume moderate on the recovery candle.
📊 Harmonic Pattern \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: Potential Bearish Flag formation on hourly chart.
🌊 IV/RV \colorbox{red}{\text{High}}: IV elevated due to sharp weekly sell-off news.
🌊 Options Skew \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Put premiums trading higher than Calls.
🌊 Vanna/Charm \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: N/A.
🏛️ Block Trades \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Institutional selling observed during the drop from ₹244k.
🏛️ COT Positioning \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Managed Money reducing long exposure globally.
🔗 Cross-Asset Correlation \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Tracking Silver Comex (XAGUSD) drop ($70.556 mentioned in news).
🏛️ ETF Rotation \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Silver BeES witnessing outflows.
💰 Sentiment Index \colorbox{red}{\text{Fear}}: "Ends the Week 7.93% Lower" headline confirms fear in the market.
🌊 OFI (Order Flow Index) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Net selling on rallies.
🌊 Delta \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: Mixed Delta on the current consolidation candle.
🌊 VWAP Bands \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Price testing the -1 SD Band.
🔗 Rotation Metrics \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Silver significantly underperforming Gold.
🌊 Market Phase \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Markdown Phase (Correction).
🌊 Gamma Exposure \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Negative Gamma environment.
🔗 Intermarket Confirmation \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Global Silver weakness is the primary driver.
⚠️ Upcoming Event Risk \colorbox{red}{\text{High}}: High Impact: Market reaction to the weekly close of -7.93%.
IDBI Bank cmp 114.73 by Monthly Chart view - UpdateIDBI Bank cmp 114.73 by Monthly Chart view
* Support Zone 74 to 94 Price Band
* Resistance Zone 112 to 128 Price Band
* Bullish Head & Shoulders by Resistance Zone Neckline
* Stock headed for probable major breakout above 11 ½ years old price level of 116.40 done in June 2014
Gold mcx buy on dip fall because of exchange margin increase Parameter Data Data
Asset Name/LTP MCX Gold Futures (GOLD1!) LTP: \text{₹135,761}
Time Frame of Analysis Short-Term/Swing (Daily & 1H Chart)
💰 Current Trade SELL Active: T1: ₹135,200, T2: ₹134,800, SL: ₹136,300
📈 Price Movement Sell side: Resistance at R1: ₹136,100, R2: ₹137,000. Downside continuation likely below S1: ₹135,500 towards S2: ₹135,000.
🌊 SMC Structure \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Market Structure Shift (MSS) downside confirmed. Price consolidating after a sharp impulsive drop from ₹137k.
🌊 Trap/Liquidity Zones \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Liquidity Target: Sell-side liquidity resting below ₹135,500. Potential Bull Trap above ₹136,000.
💰 Probability 72% (\colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}} continuation supported by "Biggest-Ever Weekly Decline" news ticker)
💰 Risk Reward 1 : 2
💰 Confidence \colorbox{green}{\text{High}}: 24/30 (80%) - Technical breakdown aligns with visible negative sentiment.
💰 Max Pain \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: ₹136,000 (Call writing heavy at immediate resistance).
📈 Trend Direction \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Primary Trend is Down. Current action (-0.03%) is a pause in a strong downtrend.
📊 DEMA Levels \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: DEMA 20: ₹135,900, DEMA 50: ₹136,400 (Dynamic Resistance active).
📈 Supports (Technical) \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: S1: ₹135,500, S2: ₹134,800, S3: ₹134,000.
📈 Resistances (Technical) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: R1: ₹136,200, R2: ₹137,100, R3: ₹137,800.
📊 ADX/RSI/DMI \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: RSI (14): 38.0 (Weak momentum), ADX (14): 45.0 (Strong Bear Trend).
🌊 Market Depth \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Selling pressure dominates the order book near ₹136k.
⚠️ Volatility (ATR) \colorbox{red}{\text{High}}: IV/RV: High. Recent sharp drop indicates expanded volatility range.
⚠️ Source Ledger \colorbox{green}{\text{Verified}}: Image Data (TradingView/MCX Feed). (30-second Latency Guard enforced).
🌊 Open Interest (OI) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Short Buildup visible (Price down).
🌊 PCR (Put Call Ratio) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: 0.70 (Sellers in control).
🌊 VWAP (Volume Weighted Avg Price) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Current Price < VWAP (₹135,950) (Bearish bias).
🌊 Turnover/Volume \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: Volume stabilizing after the large drop.
📊 Harmonic Pattern \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: Forming potential Bearish Pennant.
🌊 IV/RV \colorbox{red}{\text{High}}: IV elevated due to global gold sell-off news.
🌊 Options Skew \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Put premiums higher than Calls.
🌊 Vanna/Charm \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: N/A.
🏛️ Block Trades \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Institutional selling observed on the drop from 137k.
🏛️ COT Positioning \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Smart money reducing net long exposure.
🔗 Cross-Asset Correlation \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Tracking Comex Gold (XAUUSD) weakness ($4,332).
🏛️ ETF Rotation \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Gold BeES witnessing outflows.
💰 Sentiment Index \colorbox{red}{\text{Fear}}: "Biggest-Ever Weekly Decline" headline driving fear.
🌊 OFI (Order Flow Index) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Net selling flow.
🌊 Delta \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Negative CVD.
🌊 VWAP Bands \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Price testing the -1 SD Band.
🔗 Rotation Metrics \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Commodities underperforming Equities.
🌊 Market Phase \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Markdown/Redistribution Phase.
🌊 Gamma Exposure \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Short Gamma environment.
🔗 Intermarket Confirmation \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: USDINR strength adding pressure on Gold MCX.
⚠️ Upcoming Event Risk \colorbox{red}{\text{High}}: High Impact: Continued reaction to global weekly close.
XAUUSD D1 – Liquidity Rotation in Bullish ChannelLiquidity Rotation Inside a Strong Bullish Channel
Gold remains in a clear long-term uptrend on the daily timeframe, trading inside a well-defined ascending channel. Recent volatility, however, suggests the market is entering a liquidity-driven correction phase rather than a trend reversal.
TECHNICAL STRUCTURE
On D1, price is still respecting the rising channel, with higher highs and higher lows intact.
The rejection from the upper channel highlights profit-taking and sell-side liquidity absorption near premium levels.
Current price action suggests a rotation between upper liquidity (distribution) and lower value zones (accumulation).
KEY LIQUIDITY ZONES TO WATCH
Sell-side liquidity (premium zone):
4480 – 4485
This area represents a strong liquidity cluster near the upper channel and prior expansion highs, where price has shown clear rejection.
Buy-side liquidity (value zones):
4180 – 4185
A psychological level and mid-channel support where buyers may re-enter if price rotates lower.
4000 – 4005
Major long-term liquidity and Fibonacci confluence near the lower channel boundary, acting as a key structural support.
EXPECTED PRICE BEHAVIOUR
Short term: price may continue to fluctuate and rebalance between liquidity pools, with choppy conditions likely.
Medium term: as long as price holds above the lower channel, pullbacks are considered corrective within the broader bullish trend.
A clean rejection from sell liquidity followed by a move into buy liquidity would be a healthy reset for continuation later.
FUNDAMENTAL & GEOPOLITICAL BACKDROP
Geopolitical risk has sharply increased after former President Trump announced a large-scale US operation against Venezuela, including the arrest of President Maduro. This event adds a new layer of uncertainty to global markets and reinforces safe-haven demand.
Historically, rising geopolitical tensions, combined with a softer US dollar environment, tend to support gold prices, especially on higher timeframes.
BIG PICTURE VIEW
Gold’s long-term bullish narrative remains intact
Current moves are driven by liquidity rotation, not weakness
Geopolitical risk could accelerate upside once the corrective phase completes
Patience remains key. Let price move between liquidity zones before committing to the next directional leg.
Part 9 Trading Master Class Real-World Example (NIFTY)
Suppose NIFTY is at 24,500.
If you expect a big move → Long Straddle
Buy 24,500 call + 24,500 put
High debit, but profits in big move.
If expecting sideways → Iron Condor
Sell 24,700 CE
Buy 24,900 CE
Sell 24,300 PE
Buy 24,100 PE
High probability, low risk.
If moderately bullish → Bull Put Spread
Sell 24,300 PE
Buy 24,100 PE
Credit strategy with limited risk.
Trent (W): Bullish Reversal, Trend Reversal at Major SupportTimeframe: Weekly | Scale: Logarithmic
The stock is staging a classic reversal after a brutal 2-month correction. The "Morning Star" and "Hammer" combination at the 200-day EMA equivalent support signals that the "Panic Selling" is over and "Smart Money" accumulation has begun.
🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why")
The reversal is driven by a shift in market perception:
> Valuation Comfort: After correcting ~50% from the top, the stock's valuation has cooled off significantly, attracting long-term institutional buyers who missed the earlier rally.
> Q3 Expectations: Investors are positioning for strong Q3 FY26 numbers, driven by the heavy wedding season demand in December, which directly benefits Westside and Zudio sales.
📈 2. The Chart Structure (The Complex Bottom)
> The Floor: ₹3,865 – ₹4,100 zone was a resistance in early 2024 and has now flipped to become a rock-solid support (Polarity Principle).
> The Pattern:
- Week 1 (Dec 8): Formed a long-legged Doji/Hammer at support (Stopping Volume).
- Week 2 & 3: Followed by a Morning Star formation (a bullish reversal pattern).
- Current Action: The confirmed Hammer this week shows that every dip is being bought aggressively.
📊 3. Volume & Indicators
> Volume: Volume was low during the drop (weak selling). The recent uptick in volume on bullish candles confirms Accumulation .
> RSI: The Weekly RSI turning up from the "Oversold" zone (near 30-40) is a high-probability buy signal in strong uptrends.
🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels
The stock is primed for a relief rally that could turn into a new trend.
> 🐂 Bullish Targets (The Recovery):
- Target 1: ₹4,850.
- Target 2: ₹5,625
- Blue Sky: If it clears ₹5,625, the structure shifts back to a full bull run targeting ATHs.
> 🛡️ Support (The "Must Hold"):
- Immediate Support: ₹4,100 . The "Shoulder" of the reversal pattern.
- Stop Loss: A close below ₹3,850 would invalidate the Morning Star and suggest a deeper fall to ₹3,400.
Conclusion
This is a Grade A Reversal Setup.
> Refinement: The structure is "Oversold Bounce" turning into "Trend Reversal."
> Strategy: This is an ideal entry point. Accumulate near ₹4,200–4,300 with a stop at ₹3,850 for the ride back to ₹4,850+ .
Pop up and Boom BoomHello friends,
we are going to see 2008 style crash in market due various financial or geopolitical issues like bankruptcy, war etc.. reason I don't know, but gold/silver/copper is showing something wrong going to happen soon.. followed by 1929-31 style bear market in coming years,,
so for short term Nifty may gapup rise upto 26777 or 27222 by monday or tuesday with some AI news or positive treasury related news for India i.e next week 5-6th January.. from there a 2008 type flash crash to happen between 11-16th January 2026..
hedge yourself or book profits and one must stay really cautious of financial markets..
Disclaimer
*this is my reading on various chart patterns and Elliot wave counts. Don't trade on this just
it is for educational purpose only..
Part 8 Trading Master ClassImportant Points for Traders
✔ Always check IV (Implied Volatility)
High IV → Selling strategies
Low IV → Buying strategies
✔ Avoid naked selling unless hedged
Unlimited risk is dangerous.
✔ Start with defined-risk strategies
Vertical spreads, iron condor, butterfly
✔ Probability matters more than profit per trade
Most professionals use credit spreads for consistency.
✔ Adjust if market moves aggressively
Rolling helps avoid full losses.
Part 7 Trading Master Class Key Greeks Impact
Delta (Direction)
Bullish strategies → positive Delta
Bearish strategies → negative Delta
Neutral strategies → Delta-neutral
Theta (Time Decay)
Credit spreads, condors → Theta-positive
Long straddle/strangle → Theta-negative
Vega (Volatility)
Long straddle/strangle → Vega-positive
Iron condor/butterfly → Vega-negative
Understanding Greeks helps align strategy with market conditions.
Graphite India : VCP pattern ! Money may Double in 1.5 YearsHi Friends,
Graphite India looks promising now after ~08 years of time & price wise correction period. I am anticipating the stock to start its upward journey.
Chart Pattern : VCP
Targets, Stoploss & Entry price is mentioned in the chart .
Please feel free to share your views regarding this chart & analysis .
Note : I am not a SEBI registered advisor . Please consider my analysis only for Education purpose .
JSWCEMENT | A reversal finally?DISCLAIMER: This idea is NOT a trade recommendation but only my observation. Please take your trades based on your own analysis.
Points to note:
-----------------
1. A downtrend dominant in the stock since it listed on the market
2. A Solid base formation with breakout of the neckline seen. (A cup and handle is generally a continuation pattern, but its just a name. So focus more on the rounding base rather the label.)
3. The target is the same as the pattern height
Following trade: Entry - CMP, SL- 114, Tgts - 136
Chapter 9 — Reading the Market Moment Through Live Execution Chapter 9 — Reading the Market Moment Through Live Execution Intelligence
(A SENSEX Case Study — Observation → Permission → Post-Entry Reality)
1. Why This Chart Matters (Start With Reality, Not Theory)
This SENSEX 1H chart is a textbook example of how markets reward disciplined execution and punish emotional continuation.
Price is bullish.
Trend strength is present.
Context alignment is strong.
Yet — not every candle here was tradable.
This is exactly where most traders fail.
(Maral execution trading view live chart attached)
2. Market Moment vs MARAL Moment (Seen on This Chart)
On this chart:
Direction: Bullish
HTF Context: Aligned
Liquidity: High
Participation: Strong
Alignment Score: 93
ADX: Above 30
➡️ This confirms a Market Moment.
But MARAL does not assume permission automatically.
MARAL checks:
Is the move healthy now?
Is continuation supported now?
Is risk expanding now?
This distinction protects traders from late or emotional entries.
3. The Critical Zone: Where Traders Usually Make Mistakes
Observe the mid-chart consolidation and pullback zone.
This is where most traders:
Add aggressively because trend is bullish
Refuse to exit because bias is strong
Ignore internal stress building
Miss early momentum fatigue
Price did not collapse —
but risk quality temporarily degraded.
This is invisible to price-only traders.
4. ECI in Action: Execution Confidence, Not Signal
On this chart:
ECI Score: 93 (A++)
But ECI trend and state matter more than the number
ECI here is used to:
Validate holding, not chasing
Prevent panic during controlled pullbacks
Avoid re-entries during execution stress
ECI does not push trades.
It regulates behavior after entry.
5. Post-Entry Stress: What MARAL Reveals Live
During the pullback phase:
Market Phase: Range
Momentum Health: Neutral
Exit Pressure: Low
Risk State: Overextended
This combination tells a clear story:
Trend intact
But continuation quality temporarily weak
MARAL warns traders:
“Hold is allowed — aggression is not.”
This single insight saves traders from:
Over-adding
Emotional exits
Premature leverage
6. Divergence Risk Modifier: Silent Protection
Even while price structure remained bullish:
Momentum did not expand aggressively
Speed slowed
Energy recycled
This is where divergence risk does not mean reversal,
but means patience is required.
MARAL helps traders:
Avoid adding at exhaustion
Tighten management mentally
Wait for participation to return
7. Participation Strength: The Green Light for Continuation
Notice the right side of the chart:
Participation: STRONG
Liquidity Context: HIGH
Momentum: BULL
Alignment: ACTIVE
This is where MARAL confirms:
Holding remains logical
Trend continuation is supported
Stress has reduced
The rally that follows is earned, not chased.
8. The Key Insight for Real Traders
A trader may already have:
Their own entry setup
Their own trigger
Their own strategy
MARAL does not replace that.
Once the trade is live, MARAL answers:
Is my trade still healthy?
Is risk increasing or stabilizing?
Should I hold, reduce, or stay neutral?
This transforms trading from hope-based holding
to information-based decision-making.
9. Chapter 9 Summary — The Execution Truth
Markets move even when conditions weaken
Strong trends still contain high-risk zones
Most losses happen after entry
Observation must continue after execution
Holding is a decision — not an assumption
MARAL does not tell traders when to enter.
It helps traders understand what is happening now — and respond correctly.
The edge is not predicting the move.
The edge is staying aligned while the market reveals itself.
Educational Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
It does not provide financial advice or trade signals.
Trading involves risk. All decisions remain the trader’s responsibility.
Chapter 10 — Exit Intelligence & Trade Aging (Next chapter coming soon)
Just tell me if you have any clarification.
#TradingEducation
#MarketStructure
#ExecutionDiscipline
#RiskManagement
#TradeManagement
#MarketObservation
#ExecutionIntelligence
#TradingPsychology
#InstitutionalTrading
#PriceAction
#Liquidity
#TrendAnalysis
#CapitalProtection
#Consistency
#TradingView
Part 6 Learn Institutional Trading Which Strategy to Use When?
Below is a quick guide:
Market View Best Strategies
Highly bullish Ratio backspread, bull call, synthetic long
Moderately bullish Bull call/put spread, covered call, diagonal spread
Bearish Bear put spread, ratio put backspread, synthetic short
Sideways Iron condor, butterfly, calendar spread
High volatility expected Long straddle, long strangle, ratio spreads
Low volatility expected Short straddle, short strangle, iron butterfly
BNB Price Forecast 2026 | Is $10K/BNB Possible? | Analysis By CPBNB has shown strong price action recently. After bouncing from the $500 support zone, price moved higher, broke the previous all-time high, and successfully cleared the $700 resistance, which is now acting as a strong support area.
Currently, BNB is consolidating around the $800 level, suggesting the market is digesting the recent move.
Technical Overview
Multi-year ascending trendline: Still intact, indicating long-term bullish structure.
Major support zone: $500–$800
This range has acted as an accumulation area during previous pullbacks.
Current structure: Sideways consolidation near $800 after a strong breakout.
Possible Scenarios
Bullish continuation:
If BNB holds above $800 and breaks higher with volume, continuation toward higher levels is possible.
Pullback scenario:
If price drops below $800, a retest of $700–$500 could occur. Historically, this zone has provided strong demand and may attract long-term buyers.
Long-Term Perspective (Cycle-Based)
Bull market target (speculative): Around $3,000
Macro cycle projections (high risk & speculative): $10,000–$20,000
These levels are not predictions, but potential zones based on historical cycles, trend strength, and broader market conditions.
Key Takeaway
The overall structure remains bullish as long as price stays above major support levels. Consolidations and pullbacks within an uptrend are normal and often help reset the market before the next move.
This is an educational analysis only. Not financial advice.
Always manage risk and do your own research (DYOR).
Part 4 Learn Institutional Trading Advanced Adjustments & Risk Management
For professional traders, the real skill is not just entering but managing the trade.
1. Rolling
Move strikes up/down
Shift expiry
Improve risk-to-reward
2. Delta Hedging
Neutralise directional risk by adjusting:
Futures
Opposite options
3. Volatility Adjustments
Changes in IV (implied volatility) affect:
Straddles
Strangles
Calendar spreads
Iron condors
Understanding how volatility affects P&L is essential.
Reliance very Near Life Time HighReliance NSE India .Daily chart Analysis
My analysis was highly accurate in identifying the Reliance key resistance zone around 1600–1620. As of the latest close on 1595 January 2, 2026 ,. Date 08/7/2024 Reliance on lifetime High 1610 created., Today Reliance is trading near all-time highs levels will determine the next major move. confirming a fresh lifetime high and a decisive breakout above the 1600–1620 resistance Zone.(Box)
Updated Scenarios
1. Bullish Breakout Confirmed(Above 1620)
The index has already achieved a sustained close above the 1620 resistance zone
This confirms fresh bullish momentum.
Potential Targets: 1680–1700 (initial), with extensions possible
2. Pullback Scenario (Lower High Probability Currently)
Trigger: A close below 1520 (new near-term support) could signal profit-booking.
Potential Targets: Corrective move toward 1520-1500.
CAMS Story Repeating?Hello Traders,
CAMS has now formed similar chart pattern what it had form earlier on 1W Timeframe.
Pattern 1:
We saw a good retractment after rally in 2022. 0.38 was the fibo resistance in this time.
It went in consolidation till Aug 2023, when it finally started showing upmove. During this time, we can also see that Money Flow Index had show breakout but didn't sustained. However, the rally was continued.
Pattern 2:
After making All Time High in late 2024, it retraced and went sideways. And had retraced back till 0.50 fibo level, stronger pull back than the earlier(Pattern 1) pull back which was 0.38. Later it went sideways just like Pattern 1.
Now recently we have seen same MFI pattern of breakout and same like Pattern 1, i.e not sustaining, and not sustaining.
We haven't seen the price wise breakout yet in the stock.
However, there are two more common things here, the belt-hold candles formations in both the pattern 1 and 2.
And the rise and decline in volume.
I will be keeping close eye on this stock. Looks like it may show upmove just like pattern 1.
Note: This post is for information purpose only. Don't consider this as trading or investment recommendation or tip.
TORNTPOWER | Symmetrical Triangle — Range Compression at Supply💹 Torrent Power Limited (NSE: TORNTPOWER)
Sector: Power | CMP: 1399.40
View: Symmetrical Triangle — Range Compression at Major Supply
Chart Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle
Candlestick Pattern: Strong Bullish Marubozu
Torrent Power Limited (NSE: TORNTPOWER) is showing early signs of a structural shift after spending several months in a descending price framework marked by lower highs and a gradually rising base. The stock respected a falling resistance trendline while forming higher lows, creating a classic compression phase where supply was getting absorbed quietly. The latest session produced a strong expansion candle from the trendline with visible volume participation, suggesting demand is attempting to take control after a prolonged consolidation. Immediate supports are placed near 1346, followed by 1293 and 1263, while overhead resistances stand at 1429, 1459, and 1512, with a major historical supply zone around 1680–1720. From an STWP perspective, momentum is transitioning from distribution to early accumulation; as long as price holds above the 1345–1360 zone, pullbacks are likely to find buyers, while sustained acceptance above 1460 could open the path toward higher resistance levels. Overall, the trend remains neutral but improving, momentum is in early expansion mode, volume is supportive, and risk stays moderate near overhead supply — making this a stock to observe for follow-through rather than chase.
Torrent Power Limited (NSE: TORNTPOWER) has delivered a high-impact bullish session, marked by a clear Bullish Marubozu candle accompanied by exceptionally strong volume, signalling decisive buyer dominance and visible institutional participation. The move is technically significant as it aligns with a 20-EMA crossover, RSI breakout into the strong trend zone (above 70), and a Bollinger Band expansion after prolonged compression, indicating a volatility-led expansion phase. Momentum indicators support the strength — MACD has turned firmly positive with a rising histogram, ROC shows strong positive acceleration, and relative strength versus NIFTY confirms outperformance and emerging leadership behaviour. However, oscillators such as Stochastic and CCI are in extreme overbought territory, suggesting short-term exhaustion risk even as broader momentum remains intact. Volume data further strengthens the case, with a 20-day volume breakout nearly 5x the average, highlighting aggressive accumulation rather than speculative participation. From an STWP perspective, the setup reflects strong momentum within a still-neutral higher-timeframe trend, implying that while immediate upside energy is powerful, price may require consolidation or follow-through confirmation before sustaining higher levels. Overall, momentum is strong, volume is very high, trend transition is underway, and risk remains elevated in the near term — making this a classic institutional expansion move worth tracking, not chasing.
STWP Trade Analysis – Torrent Power Limited:
The current price interaction zone is observed around 1399–1407, which marks the immediate structure-acceptance area following a strong expansion candle backed by exceptional volume. Within the STWP HNI framework, the primary observation band lies between 1399.40 and 1407.00, with a key structural risk reference near 1383.50, below which momentum acceptance would weaken. A deeper structure-based invalidation level is mapped around 1360–1365, representing the lower end of the recent accumulation base and serving as a broader risk boundary. An alternate low-risk observation pocket exists closer to 1290–1270, aligned with the prior consolidation floor and trend-support reference, while higher observation zones are identified near 1447 and 1479, where price behaviour should be evaluated for continuation, absorption, or supply emergence. All mentioned levels are strictly price-behaviour checkpoints used to assess strength, acceptance, or rejection within the evolving structure and are shared purely for educational and analytical purposes, not as entries, exits, or profit objectives.
From a derivatives perspective, positioning in Torrent Power Limited remains bullish but institutionally disciplined, with activity tightly concentrated around the near-ATM 1400 zone, which is acting as the primary liquidity and control pivot. This clustering indicates efficient directional expression rather than momentum chasing. The structure is characterised by a clear long build-up in near-ATM calls, supported by elements of ITM call short covering at lower strikes, explaining the sharp price expansion while also implying that sustained continuation will rely on fresh long additions once covering activity stabilises. Encouragingly, selective long build-up is now visible at higher strikes, adding depth and credibility to the bullish derivative structure rather than leaving it top-heavy. Volatility remains constructive, with implied volatility sitting in a healthy mid band and expanding gradually alongside price, which supports directional option frameworks while keeping time-decay risk relevant and manageable. On the put side, short build-up at lower strikes is reinforcing a defined support base beneath spot, while long unwinding in deeper puts suggests easing downside hedging demand rather than rising risk aversion — a combination that aligns with controlled bullish continuation rather than speculative excess.
STWP Demand–Supply Zone Map – Torrent Power Limited (TORNTPOWER):
On the intraday timeframe, multiple layered demand pockets are visible, indicating stepwise buyer absorption rather than a single reaction low. The immediate intraday demand zone lies between 1348–1337.80, followed by deeper support clusters at 1324.70–1320.80, 1307–1305.90, and 1279.50–1275.80, each representing prior acceptance areas where price previously attracted responsive demand. From a swing perspective, demand is broader and more structural, with key zones mapped at 1330–1319.80, 1312.10–1297.90, and 1310.60–1303.70, highlighting the larger accumulation band that underpins the current uptrend. On the higher timeframe, no fresh daily demand zones are currently active, while a clearly defined daily supply zone between 1525 and 1586.20 stands out as a major overhead distribution area where price behaviour should be carefully evaluated for acceptance or rejection. Collectively, these zones act purely as price-behaviour reference areas to assess strength, pullback quality, and supply response within the prevailing structure, and are shared strictly for educational and analytical purposes only.
Final Outlook:
Momentum: Strong | Trend: Up | Risk: High | Volume: High
⚠️ STWP Educational & Legal Disclaimer
This content is shared strictly for educational and informational purposes only. All discussions, illustrations, charts, price zones, and options structures are meant to explain market behaviour and do not constitute any buy, sell, or hold recommendation. STWP does not provide investment advice, trading calls, tips, or personalized financial guidance, and is not a SEBI-registered intermediary or research analyst.
The analysis is based on publicly available market data and observed price–derivatives behaviour, which is dynamic in nature and may change without notice. Financial markets involve inherent risk, and derivatives carry elevated risk, including the potential for significant capital loss. Factors such as option premiums, implied volatility, open interest, delta, and other Greeks can shift rapidly and unpredictably.
All trading and investment decisions, including position sizing and risk management, are solely the responsibility of the reader. Always consult a SEBI-registered investment advisor before taking any financial action. STWP, its associates, or affiliates shall not be liable for any direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this material. Past patterns, structures, or historical behaviour must never be treated as guarantees of future outcomes.
Position Status: No active position in this instrument at the time of analysis
Data Source: TradingView & NSE India
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Nifty spot 26328.55 by Daily Chart view - Weekly UpdateNifty spot 26328.55 by Daily Chart view - Weekly Update
_*Nifty created a New Lifetime High Milestone 26340 on 02-Jan-2026*_
- Support Zone 25915 to 26185 for Nifty
- Resistance only at ATH 26340 for Nifty and each New ATH
- Volumes trending above avg traded quantity but with selling pressure
- Bullish Rising W formed by the neckline at previous ATH and New ATH level
- Hope to see further higher levels for the Nifty Index through the New Year 2026
INDUSTOWER: GOING FOR NEW HIGHS AFTER STRONG BREAKOUTINDUSTOWER 416, now going for strong breakout of trendline resistance. Multiple pullback from support at 310 levels in last 16 months done. Time for breakout and make 52 week and all time highs. Trend is bullish on all timeframe.
Expected higher levels are 460 to 550 levels. Traders do exit below 396 if breakout attempt fails.
Move is backed up by strong newsflow across telecom sector revival.






















