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Tata Steel Coup & Handle Pattern Target Rs 300Tata Steel has recently drawn significant attention from technical analysts due to the emergence of a multi-year Cup and Handle pattern on its long-term charts. As of January 1, 2026, the stock is trading around ₹181, hovering near its 52-week high of ₹187.
Here is a detailed breakdown of the technical setup, the logic behind the ₹300 target, and the key levels to watch.
1. The Technical Setup: Cup and Handle A "Cup and Handle" is a bullish continuation pattern that typically marks a period of consolidation followed by a breakout.
The Cup: This was formed over several years (starting roughly around the 2021 peaks), where the price underwent a deep correction followed by a gradual, rounded recovery back to the previous resistance zone (₹170–₹180).
The Handle: After reaching the "lip" of the cup, the stock faced resistance and consolidated in a smaller range (the handle). The recent breakout from this handle (above ₹170–₹175) confirms the resumption of the uptrend.
Logic: $Target = \text{Breakout Level} + (\text{Breakout Level} - \text{Bottom of the Cup})
Analysis: If the breakout level is considered to be around ₹170–₹180 and the base of the cup was established in the ₹80–₹90 range during the 2022/2023 correction, the vertical depth is roughly ₹90–₹100.
Projected Target: Adding that depth to the breakout level gives a long-term technical target of ₹270 to ₹300.
3. Key Financial & Fundamental Drivers Technical patterns rarely work in a vacuum. For Tata Steel, several factors support this bullish view:
Capacity Expansion: The company is on track to increase domestic steelmaking capacity to 30 MnTPA by 2025–2026.
Earnings Growth: Analysts estimate a significant jump in EPS for FY26 (projected growth of over 200% by some estimates), driven by falling raw material costs (coking coal) and higher operational efficiency in the UK and Netherlands plants.
Dividend Yield: Maintaining a healthy payout (approx. 2%) provides a cushion for long-term investors during the journey to the target.
Note: Research is only for education purpose, don't trade bliendly. Technical targets are projections and not guarantees. Steel is a cyclical industry highly sensitive to global demand and Chinese export policies.
Chapter 8 — MARAL Execution in Live MarketETH / USD (5-Minute Chart) — Context → Permission → Protection
Instrument: ETHUSD (Chart attached)
Execution TF: 5-Minute
Framework: MARAL — Reduced Execution Workflow
Purpose: Educational (Live Market Reading, Not Signals)
8.1 Objective of This Chapter
This chapter demonstrates how MARAL is read in a live market environment, using ETH/USD on a 5-minute chart, without hindsight, indicators abuse, or signal dependency.
MARAL does not predict price.
It governs execution decisions by answering three questions in sequence:
What side is allowed?
Is execution permitted now?
How must risk be protected after entry?
8.2 Context Board — Directional Permission (First Gate)
The Context Board defines directional eligibility, not entries.
Live ETHUSD Context (Observed)
Direction: Bullish
Structure: Bullish Structure
Momentum: Bullish
H1 Bias: Bullish
H4 Bias: Neutral
Daily Context: Bearish (higher-timeframe pressure)
Context Interpretation
Long positions are allowed
Shorts are blocked
Due to HTF conflict, aggressive continuation is discouraged
MARAL Rule:
If context allows only one side, execution must respect that side — even during pullbacks.
8.3 ECI Board — Execution Permission (Second Gate)
The Execution Confidence Index (ECI) is a quality filter, not a trigger.
Live ECI Observations
ECI Score: ~73
Risk Mode: Neutral
MTF Conflict: Present
Volatility Regime: Low Liquidity
ECI Interpretation
Execution permission is granted (ECI ≥ 65)
Environment is fragile, not expansive
Expectation must be reduced
Key Principle:
ECI ≥ 65 allows execution,
but liquidity and MTF alignment decide how much to expect, not whether to trade.
8.4 Entry Logic — What Makes Entry Acceptable
An ETHUSD long is acceptable only when all are true:
Context direction = Bullish
ECI ≥ 65 and stable
Entry aligned with structure (pullback / acceptance)
Liquidity condition acknowledged (Low → strict management)
This setup qualifies as a:
Low-Liquidity Continuation Long (Non-Aggressive)
Not ideal — but not invalid.
8.5 Management Desk — Activates Immediately After Entry
Once entry is taken, execution logic ends.
Risk protection begins immediately.
What Must Be Monitored Live
ECI behavior: must not collapse below 60
Candle closes: acceptance vs rejection
Follow-through: expected within 2–4 candles (5-min)
Context stability: no sudden flip or neutralization
MARAL assumes:
If continuation does not appear quickly in low liquidity, probability is decaying.
8.6 Stop-Loss Logic — Fixed, Structure-Based
Correct SL Placement (5-Minute ETHUSD)
Below the most recent valid Higher Low (HL)
Or below the local structure support
SL Rules
SL defined before entry
SL never widened
Wide ATR SLs are not suitable in low liquidity
MARAL Principle:
In low liquidity, the market must prove you right quickly —
otherwise, the idea is invalid.
8.7 Target Logic — PDH / PDL Usage on 5-Minute
Are PDH / PDL valid on 5-min?
Yes — PDH / PDL are high-quality liquidity objectives.
But they must be treated as reaction zones, not guarantees.
TP Structure
TP1 (Mandatory):
Before PDH
Or nearest internal high
Typically 1R–1.2R
Extended Target (Optional):
PDH only if:
ECI remains ≥ 65
Liquidity improves
Price shows acceptance near highs
In low liquidity, TP before PDH is professional discipline, not fear.
8.8 Re-Entry Rules (Often Violated)
Re-entry is allowed only if:
New liquidity is created
OR structure resets
AND ECI stabilizes again
AND context remains unchanged
Re-entry is not allowed:
Immediately after SL
For emotional recovery
Without new information
8.9 Key Takeaways from Live ETHUSD Execution
Context allowed long, but with caution
ECI permitted execution, not expansion
Liquidity demanded conservative expectations
Management discipline mattered more than entry
PDH acted as a reaction zone, not a breakout promise
MARAL does not chase moves.
It protects decisions.
8.10 Final Rule (This Chapter in One Line)
Context decides → ECI permits → Management protects
If any step fails, execution must stop.
Final Note — Role of the Trader vs MARAL
With MARAL, the trader is not required to continuously interpret or read raw charts.
All critical market states are already translated and structured through MARAL’s boards:
Context Board → defines directional allowance
ECI Board → evaluates execution confidence
Liquidity & Alignment States → qualify risk conditions
Management Desk → governs post-entry protection
The trader’s responsibility is not analysis, but rule adherence.
MARAL does not remove discretion —
it removes noise, impulse, and emotional decision-making.
Execution becomes a process of confirmation and discipline, not prediction or constant chart interpretation.
If MARAL does not permit execution, no chart reading can justify a trade.
With MARAL, the chart speaks through structure — the trader only listens and executes the rules.
Educational Disclaimer
This chapter is for educational and analytical purposes only.
MARAL is a discretionary execution framework, not a signal service, automation tool, or financial advice system.
#TradingView #ETHUSD #CryptoTrading #TradingExecution #RiskManagement
#MarketStructure #Liquidity #ExecutionDiscipline #DiscretionaryTrading
#RuleBasedTrading #CapitalProtection #MARAL
UPL - Multi time frame analysis...Happy New Year, my dear followers!!! 🎉
The price in the lower time frame(15 minutes) and higher time frame(daily) is forming a bull flag breakout pattern, which is bullish.
We can use the lower time frame for trade entry.
Support zones are 780 and 800.
Buy above 801 - 804 with the stop loss of 796 for the targets 812, 821, 830, 838 and 846.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Resistance Breakout in KROSS
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Double Bottom Breakout in 5 PAISA
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Resistance Breakout in HEG
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Resistance Breakout in KIRIINDUS
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 01st January 2026NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 26300 – 26350 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 26525 – 26575 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 25950 – 25900 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 25725 – 25675 range.
Major global markets are closed on 1st January so the Indian Market is expected to remain positive and may face slight resistance at higher resistance zones due to SENSEX weekly option contact.
Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 01st January 2026NSE:BANKNIFTY
Index has resistance near 60000 – 60100 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 60500 – 60600 range.
Banknifty has immediate support near 59200 - 59100 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 58700 - 58600 range.
Major global markets are closed on 1st January so the Indian Market is expected to remain positive and may face slight resistance at higher resistance zones due to SENSEX weekly option contact.
Finnifty Intraday Analysis for 01st January 2026 NSE:CNXFINANCE
Index has resistance near 27825 - 27875 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 28100 - 28150 range.
Finnifty has immediate support near 27400 – 27350 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 27125 – 27075 range.
Major global markets are closed on 1st January so the Indian Market is expected to remain positive and may face slight resistance at higher resistance zones due to SENSEX weekly option contact.
Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 01st January 2026NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT
Index has immediate resistance near 13900 – 13925 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 14050 – 14075 range.
Midnifty has immediate support near 13650 – 13625 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 13500 – 13475 range.
Major global markets are closed on 1st January so the Indian Market is expected to remain positive and may face slight resistance at higher resistance zones due to SENSEX weekly option contact.
Part 1 Master Candle Patterns Risks in Option Trading
While options offer high potential, they also carry risks—especially for beginners.
1. Time Decay (Theta Loss)
Options lose value as expiry approaches.
Even if the price moves slightly in your direction, you may lose money because of time decay.
2. Volatility Crashes
When volatility drops, even profitable positions may give lower returns.
3. High Risk for Sellers
Option sellers (writers) take unlimited risk but earn limited premiums.
Hence, selling must be done with proper margin and risk control.
4. Sudden Market Moves
Events like RBI policy, global news, elections, and results can cause unpredictable losses.
ASX:A1M – AIC MinesTechnical Analysis
ASX:A1M
A1M is showing a clear monthly trend revival after a prolonged consolidation phase.
Key observations from the monthly chart:
• Price is breaking out from a long base near A$0.45–A$0.50, indicating a structural shift.
• Strong close above the middle Bollinger Band, with expanding range suggesting momentum is building.
• Volume has expanded noticeably, pointing to early accumulation interest.
• RSI has moved above 55–60, signalling transition from range-bound to bullish momentum.
This looks like an early-stage cyclical breakout, driven by copper strength and improving price structure.
Trade Setup
• Entry Zone: A$0.55 – A$0.60
• Stop Loss: Below A$0.48
• Potential Upside: A$0.75 – A$0.85
NSE: HINDCOPPERCompany Overview
NSE:HINDCOPPER Hindustan Copper is India’s only vertically integrated copper producer, operating across mining, beneficiation, smelting, refining, and casting. It plays a strategic role in India’s infrastructure, power, renewable energy, and electrification ecosystem.
Fundamental Summary (High Level)
The company has gone through a long period of operational stagnation and underperformance, but the structural backdrop has shifted. Rising domestic demand, electrification, renewable energy expansion, and tighter global copper supply create a favourable long-term setup. While near-term fundamentals remain cyclical, copper itself is a strategic metal aligned with India’s capex and energy transition themes.
Technical Analysis (Monthly Chart)
On the monthly timeframe, HINDCOPPER shows a clean long-term breakout after spending several years in a broad consolidation range. Price has moved decisively above prior resistance with strong follow-through.
RSI has entered a sustained bullish zone, confirming strength rather than a short-lived spike. The stock is holding well above its long-term moving averages, indicating a transition from accumulation to trend continuation.
Trade Setup (Technical View)
Entry: ₹480–₹530 zone on pullbacks or continuation
Stop Loss: Below ₹420 on a monthly closing basis
Potential Upside: ₹650–₹750 over the medium term
Rationale: Monthly range breakout + strong momentum + structural copper theme aligned with India’s capex cycle
#AUTOBEES - VCP BO in DTFScript: AUTOBEES
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 VCP BO in DTF
📈 Volume spike seen during Breakout
📈 MACD Bounce
📈 RS Line making 52WH
📈 Sector is strong
If you have any doubts about the setup, drop a comment and I’ll reply.
✅Boost and follow to never miss a new idea! ✅
⚠️ Important: Always Exit the trade before any Event.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk:Reward Ratio as 1:2, with this RR, you only need a 33% win rate to Breakeven.
⚠️Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
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