Bitcoin at Demand: Where Most Traders Panic and Smart Money WaitWhen I look at this chart, I don’t see weakness.
I see price reacting exactly where it should .
Bitcoin is sitting above a clearly defined demand zone, and instead of collapsing, price is slowing down and compressing.
That usually tells me the market is absorbing liquidity, not distributing .
Key things I’m focusing on:
Price is holding above ascending demand , which shows buyers are still defending structure.
Reactions from the demand zone are clean , not impulsive, a sign of controlled participation.
Overhead supply is present , which explains the compression instead of an instant breakout.
RSI bullish divergence adds confidence that downside momentum is weakening near demand.
My mindset here:
I’m not chasing moves.
I’m not panicking into demand.
I’m simply watching how price behaves here , because this zone decides whether the next move expands or fails.
As long as structure holds, patience matters more than prediction.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
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DAILY FOREX SCAN Session – 20 (28.01.26)Scanning multiple forex pairs to filter high-quality trade setups. No trades are forced—only structure-based opportunities.
Note: There may be a delay in this video due to upload processing time.
Disclaimer: FX trading involves high leverage and substantial risk, and losses can exceed your initial investment. This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Small Cap vs. Large Cap – Visualizing Risk Cycles & Rotation PoiWhat the Lines Tell Us:
1. Small Caps (Blue): Steeper rallies in bullish phases, sharper falls in corrections. Higher beta, higher reward, higher pain.
2. Large Caps (Red): More stable, smoother trends. Acts as a defensive harbor during market stress.
Now: The gap is wide again. Historically, this signals rising risk in small caps.
Correlation with the Ratio-Based Strategy:
- The Small-Cap / Large-Cap Ratio from my earlier post is essentially the vertical distance between these two lines.
- When the blue line runs far above the red (wide gap) → Ratio is high (>1.6) → Time to rotate to large caps.
- When the lines converge (gap narrows) → Ratio is low (<1.6) → Time to enter small caps.
Current Implication:
The gap is historically wide (similar to 2008, 2018 highs). This aligns with the ratio signal, reinforcing the move toward large-cap ETFs/index funds for capital preservation. Small caps will again shine—after the gap closes.
Takeaway:
You don’t need complex indicators. Sometimes, just watching these two lines and their separation tells you when to rotate—capture small-cap upside, hide in large-cap safety.
Beating Nifty with One Ratio: The Small-Cap / Large-Cap SwitchWe all know small-cap outperforms in bull runs, but we forget to remember that it also crash harder in downturns.
On the other hand, large-caps give just moderate returns
But what if you could systematically increase your returns—using the same index funds?
The Core Idea
Track the "Small-Cap to Large-Cap Ratio" (BSE Small-Cap Index ÷ Nifty 50). This ratio shows when small-caps are overextended vs. large-caps.
The Simple Rule (Backtested 2006-2024)
1. Go Small-Cap when ratio < 1.6
2. Switch to Large-Cap when ratio > 1.6
Why It Works
It’s not market timing—it’s risk timing. The ratio peaks (1.8–2.2) near market tops and bottoms near 1.0. Switching at 1.6 avoids the worst drawdowns while staying invested.
Backtested Results
1. Nifty Buy & Hold: ~12.1% CAGR (₹10L → ~₹70L)
2. Small-Cap Buy & Hold: ~12.3% CAGR (₹10L → ~₹75L)
3. Switch Strategy (Pre-tax): ~18.6% CAGR (₹10L → ~₹2.3Cr)
How to Implement
1. Use ETFs: Nifty Bees for large-cap, a Small-Cap ETF for small-cap.
2. Check ratio monthly; switches occur ~every 2 years.
3. For SIPs, direct new money per the current signal.
Bitcoin Is Reacting, Not Breaking, Patience Before the Next MoveWhen I look at this chart, I don’t see panic or trend failure. I see price pulling back into a clearly defined demand area within a rising structure and responding from it. That matters. If sellers were truly in control, price wouldn’t pause here, it would slice through demand without hesitation. Instead, Bitcoin is holding above structure, absorbing selling pressure, and stabilising.
The repeated rejections from the upper supply zone show that resistance exists, but the key point is this: sellers are unable to push price into a breakdown. Momentum has cooled, volatility has compressed, and RSI has reset without price collapsing, all signs of balance, not weakness.
This phase feels slow and uncomfortable, especially for traders who expect constant movement, but historically this is where the market builds the base for its next decision. I’m not interested in chasing price near resistance, and I’m not interested in panic selling into demand. I want to observe how price behaves here, because reactions at structure tell the real story. As long as Bitcoin continues to respect this rising demand and doesn’t accept below it, the broader structure remains intact and upside expansion stays on the table. A clean break below structure would force me to rethink, until then, patience is the position. Sometimes the best trades don’t come from predicting the next candle. They come from waiting while price proves who is actually in control.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage risk and trade according to your own plan.
Possibility of some cooldown on GOLD for few months.Possibility of some cooldown on GOLD for few months.
Gold after Rally to ATH of 165000+ looks reached on top end of the Channel ... Possibilities are it can consolidate near 170-175K Level for few weeks before providing new direction to the commodity.
LTP - 164K
Range 150K to 175K.
View - Cautious / Consolidation
Technicals:
Crude is seen moving in upward direction ... Crude / Equities & Gold / Silver are seen moving in opposite directions in past ... With Equities market looking to bottomed out we can see big money moving from Metals to Equity in near months.
Happy Investing.
(FOMC) Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis JENUARY 28Hello
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This is a 30-minute Bitcoin chart.
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In the lower left corner, with the purple finger,
I've linked my strategy to the long position entry point I entered yesterday, at $82,276.
*Conditional Long Position Strategy based on the Red Finger Movement Path
1. After touching the purple finger's first section at the top (autonomous short)
-> Switch to a long position at $89,300 at the red finger / Stop-loss price if the purple support line is broken
2. First target for a long position at the top section: $91,612.7 -> Target prices in the order of Good and Great
If the price fails to touch the first section at the top and immediately falls,
the second section at the bottom: $88,782.9 is the entry point for a long position
/ Stop-loss price if the purple support line is broken
If the price breaks the purple support line,
the price may fall to up to section 3 from the bottom.
Please use my analysis to this point for reference only.
I hope you operate safely, adhering to principled trading and stop-loss prices.
Thank you.
CANDLE PATTERNS Candlestick patterns are one of the most important tools in technical analysis because they visually represent market psychology: who is in control—the buyers (bulls) or the sellers (bears). Each candlestick captures the battle between demand and supply within a specific timeframe, such as 1 minute, 5 minutes, 30 minutes, daily, or weekly. By studying the shape, size, and position of candles, traders can understand momentum, reversals, trend continuation, and market indecision.
Candlestick charts were first developed by Japanese rice merchants over 300 years ago. Today, they are used by traders across stock markets, index futures, options trading, forex, and crypto. A single candle contains four key pieces of information:
Open
High
Low
Close
A candle is generally green (bullish) if the close is above the open, and red (bearish) if the close is below the open. The body shows the range between open and close, while the wicks (shadows) show the highest and lowest price levels touched.
Patterns form when two or more candles appear together in a particular sequence indicating reversal, continuation, or indecision.
Why Chart Patterns Matter ?Chart patterns reflect real-time battle between buyers and sellers. Every high, low, candle close, and wick communicates intentions of institutions, retail traders, and algos.
For traders, chart patterns help in:
Identifying trend direction
Spotting reversal before confirmation
Planning entries, stop-loss, and take-profit zones
Understanding supply–demand imbalance
Filtering noise in volatile markets
Because patterns repeat across timeframes and markets (stocks, options, forex, crypto), they become reliable tools — especially when aligned with volume spikes and market structure breaks.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Trendline Breakout in BEL
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 28th January 2026NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 25375 – 25425 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 25625 – 26675 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 24975 – 24925 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 24725 – 24675 range.
Index is expected to open positive because of the conducive outcome of India EU FTA along with Security and Defense Partnership and low February’26 F&O Contract carry forward. Trend in the short term shall be decided as per formation of F&O contracts in February’26 Month by FIIs, DIIs and Retails.
Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 28th January 2026NSE:BANKNIFTY
Index has resistance near 59600 – 59700 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 60100 – 60200 range.
Banknifty has immediate support near 58800 - 58700 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 58300 - 58200 range.
Index is expected to open positive because of the conducive outcome of India EU FTA along with Security and Defense Partnership and low February’26 F&O Contract carry forward. Trend in the short term shall be decided as per formation of F&O contracts in February’26 Month by FIIs, DIIs and Retails.
Finnifty Intraday Analysis for 28th January 2026 NSE:CNXFINANCE
Index has resistance near 27275 - 27325 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 27550 - 27600 range.
Finnifty has immediate support near 26825 – 26775 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 26550 – 26500 range.
Index is expected to open positive because of the conducive outcome of India EU FTA along with Security and Defense Partnership and low February’26 F&O Contract carry forward. Trend in the short term shall be decided as per formation of F&O contracts in February’26 Month by FIIs, DIIs and Retails.
Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 28th January 2026NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT
Index has immediate resistance near 13275 – 13300 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 13425 – 13450 range.
Midnifty has immediate support near 13025 – 13000 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 12875 – 12850 range.
Index is expected to open positive because of the conducive outcome of India EU FTA along with Security and Defense Partnership and low February’26 F&O Contract carry forward. Trend in the short term shall be decided as per formation of F&O contracts in February’26 Month by FIIs, DIIs and Retails.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Resistance Breakout in INDSWFTLAB
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
Graphite India Ltd | Monthly Timeframe | Structure-Based ViewHi all,
Graphite India is currently trading inside a long-term contracting structure after a multi-year correction. Price has respected both descending resistance and ascending support, indicating compression.
• Strong Base / Demand Zone:
Price has formed a solid base around the ₹430–₹480 zone, which has acted as reliable support multiple times.
• Descending Trendline (Major Supply):
The long-term descending trendline continues to cap price.
Recent candles show price retesting this supply area, but without a confirmed breakout yet.
• Current Phase – Retest, Not Breakout:
The highlighted candle represents a retest of resistance, not confirmation.
➡️ Monthly close is critical to validate strength.
What's next:
✔️ A strong monthly close above the descending trendline
✔️ Acceptance above previous swing highs
✔️ Follow-through volume (optional confirmation)
Until then, this remains a wait-and-watch structure, not a prediction setup.
#GraphiteIndia
#MonthlyChart
#MarketStructure
#PriceAction
#SupportResistance
#TrendlineAnalysis
#IndianStocks
#SwingTrading
#BullManAcademy
TATACONSUMER | Daily TF – RISING WEDGE BreakdownTATACONSUMER is showing short-term weakness after breaking below the rising trendline and failing to hold above 1160.
As long as price stays below this level, the probability increases for a move towards 1120–1100, which aligns with a higher time-frame Bullish Order Block (Demand Zone) and Fibonacci support.
This zone is important because it previously showed strong buying interest.
Plan: No aggressive longs yet.
Wait for price reaction, structure shift, or confirmation inside the demand zone before considering fresh buys.
Market always gives confirmation—patience pays.
Not investment advice.
Regards
Bull Man






















