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RELIANCE Indepth Analysis & swing Levels for 07th JAN 2026💥 RELIANCE Level Analysis: Intraswing for 07th JAN 2026
📈 PRICE LEVELS (📍 SUP. RES. Reversal / TF point mentioned on chart.
🔍 Reliance Industries (RELIANCE) Intraday Analysis Report - January 7, 2026 on wards.
Reliance Industries closed at ₹1,507.60 on the NSE, down 4.47% from the previous close of ₹1,578.10. The stock opened at ₹1,569.00, hit a high of ₹1,569.00, and a low of ₹1,496.30, with trading volume of 27.41 million shares (significantly above average). The sharp decline was triggered by the company's denial of receiving Russian oil recently, raising concerns over refining margins amid higher input costs.
📊 Current Technical Setup
Bearish structure with a close below pivot point (₹1,588.40) and multiple moving averages (5-day: ₹1,564.80, 10-day: ₹1,559.75, 20-day: ₹1,554.66, 50-day: ₹1,533.96). Beta ~0.31 indicates low relative volatility, but the 4.7% range shows heightened activity.
🐢 Pattern Analysis
Intraday: Bearish breakdown from recent consolidation near ₹1,600 (failed attempt at all-time high of ₹1,611.80). Longer-term: Potential cup-and-handle retest invalidated by drop below handle base; forming lower highs, with risk of evening star confirmation on daily charts.
🎯 Fundamental Catalyst & Backdrop
🏃🏽 Key catalyst:
Denial of Russian oil receipts at Jamnagar refinery, potentially compressing gross refining margins (GRMs) as the company shifts to costlier non-Russian crude. Broader backdrop: Solid TTM revenue of ₹10T and net income of ₹831B; segments like retail and digital services (Jio) drive growth, with new energy ramp-up expected. Earnings forecast: Q3 FY26 PAT growth modest at ~10% YoY, but tariff hikes and retail expansion targeted for H1 CY26. Risks include high capex and competition.
🎉 Technical Observations
RSI (inferred from momentum): ~42 (neutral, approaching oversold with no bullish divergence). MACD: Bearish signal amid downside crossover. Supports at ₹1,496 (intraday low) and ₹1,480 (next pivot S3); resistances at ₹1,530 (50-day MA) and ₹1,565 (pivot S1). Delivery volume ~53% suggests mixed institutional activity, with spike indicating selling pressure.
🚀 Key Observations
Stock hit 2-month low, eroding over ₹1 lakh crore in market cap intraday; biggest drop since June 2024. Analysts remain bullish (36 firms: 69% Buy, avg target ₹1,710), citing 2026 as a re-rating year with earnings upgrades. Institutional holdings high; sector mixed with energy under pressure but retail/digital resilient. Trades at 24.56x TTM EPS (fair vs. peers), YTD return ~4%.
🥇 Trading Strategy Notes
Short Bias: Sell rallies towards ₹1,530 with stop-loss at ₹1,565; targets ₹1,480-1,450. Monitor for oversold bounce.
Hedging: Buy protective puts (e.g., 1,500 strike) amid volatility; options PCR bearish favors call writing.
🎯 Risk Management: Limit exposure to 1% of capital; watch Russian oil updates and Q3 earnings. Potential buy-the-dip above ₹1,500 with volume support, but avoid until momentum shifts.
🏹 Upside Probability: 30%
Limited potential for immediate rebound amid negative sentiment from oil sourcing issues. Short-covering could occur if it holds above ₹1,500, but resistance looms overhead.
🔥 Downside Probability: 45%
Elevated risk following the breakdown and high-volume selling. Further weakness could test ₹1,480-1,450 if global oil dynamics worsen.
🕸️Volatile Market Probability: 25%
🌈 High chance of swings due to elevated volumes and news-driven moves; implied volatility may rise with earnings proximity, though India VIX at ~10 suggests contained extremes.
💥Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
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I will try to analyze the chart patterns and share my technical view (so far my knowledge)
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Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | January 6–7✅ 4-Hour Chart (H4) Trend Analysis
1️⃣ Overall Structure: Rebound Completed – Entering Institutional Distribution Zone
Price has completed a full recovery rebound from the 4274 low and has now entered the 4460–4490 institutional distribution zone.
The current structure is defined as:
➡ End of rebound + Upper boundary of the medium-term downtrend channel + High-level distribution zone
2️⃣ Moving Averages: Bullish Repair Completed, But Entering Major Resistance
MA5 / MA10 / MA20 have formed a complete short-term bullish alignment.
However, MA50 (around 4440–4460) is forming a structural overhead resistance band.
➡ This is a zone where price can rise, but continuation becomes difficult.
3️⃣ Bollinger Bands: Riding the Upper Band – Momentum Exhaustion Phase
Price is trading near the upper Bollinger Band.
The upper band has started to flatten.
➡ The market has entered a momentum exhaustion zone with increasing pullback risk.
✅ 1-Hour Chart (H1) Trend Analysis
1️⃣ Structure: Rising Channel → Distribution Wedge
A clear rising channel combined with a rising wedge has formed.
Price continues to push higher but fails to expand trend space.
➡ This is a standard institutional distribution wedge structure.
2️⃣ MA Structure: Bullish but Losing Acceleration
MA5 / MA10 remain in bullish alignment.
However, their slope is clearly slowing.
Price is showing signs of stalling along moving averages with increasing upper-wick volume.
3️⃣ Bollinger Bands: Upper Band Rejection
Multiple touches of the upper band have failed to extend.
➡ The short-term structure is entering a false-breakout distribution zone.
🔴 Resistance Levels
4488 – 4495
4515 – 4530
🟢 Support Levels
4450
4430
4410
4405 – 4400 (major)
📌 Gold Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 Strategy 1 — Short from High Levels (Main Strategy)
📍 Sell Zone 1: 4488 – 4495
📍 Sell Zone 2: 4505 – 4515
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 4450
TP2: 4430
TP3: 4410
TP4: 4405 – 4400
Reasons:
• H4 upper Bollinger Band + MA50 structural resistance
• Completion of H1 distribution wedge
• Upper-band momentum exhaustion confirmed
• High-level distribution trap structure in place
🔰 Strategy 2 — Buy on Deep Pullbacks (Secondary / Counter-Trend)
Only when price pulls back into the major support zone and shows clear stabilization:
📍 Buy Zone: 4405 – 4385
🎯 Targets: 4430 / 4450
✅ Trend Summary
• The market is currently in an end-of-rebound distribution phase
• 4488–4520 is the institutional high-level distribution zone
• Upside space is limited while downside pullback probability continues to increase
• Main rhythm: Sell rallies and follow the corrective pullback structure
🔥 Trading strategies are time-sensitive.
Please adjust positions based on real-time market behavior.
SRF LTD: Price Compression at Key Resistance|Clean Breakout Play📌 Structure: Daily Timeframe
SRF has been consolidating inside a clean descending channel, printing lower highs while demand holds near the channel base.
Price is now pressing against well-tested channel resistance — a clear decision zone.
🔴 Key Reads
Descending resistance respected multiple times
Tight price compression near supply → volatility contraction
Buying interest visible near demand
Muted volume during consolidation → pre-expansion behaviour
This is structure-led, not momentum-driven.
🟢 Breakout Rules (Strict)
Trade triggers only if:
Strong green Marubozu / near-Marubozu
Daily close above descending resistance
Clear volume expansion
No close above resistance = no trade.
🎯 Trade Plan
Entry: Breakout close
SL: Low of breakout candle
Target 1: ₹3300, then trail
Management: Trail via higher lows / structure
Defined risk. Reward from range expansion, not prediction.
🧠 Why It Works
- Long consolidation builds energy
- Repeated rejections weaken supply
- Channel breakouts often expand fast
Clean price + volume = institutional participation
⚠️ Invalidation
Weak breakout
Low volume
Rejection wick with close back inside channel
→ No trade
📊 Final Word
SRF is coiled, not weak.
Patience first. Execution only on confirmation.
➡️ Let price prove strength. 👍 Appreciate if this helps.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is a technical study for educational purposes only, based purely on price action and volume.
Not financial advice. Please manage risk as per your own trading plan.
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BTCUSD Price Structure & Key LevelsBTCUSD is showing a clear recovery after an earlier corrective decline. Price found strong buying interest around the 86,000–86,500 zone, where selling pressure weakened and the market began forming higher lows. This behaviour signalled a shift in control from sellers to buyers.
The bullish shift was validated once price achieved a Break of Structure above previous resistance. Following this move, BTCUSD continued to build a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, confirming an active bullish trend. The upward movement is supported by impulsive candles, while pullbacks remain shallow, indicating stable momentum rather than distribution.
During the rally, multiple Fair Value Gaps were left behind, created by strong directional movement. Key demand areas are visible around 91,200–90,800 and further below near 89,200–88,800. These zones may attract buyers again if price retraces, as they represent areas of price imbalance.
On the upside, price is reacting near the 94,200–94,400 resistance band, which aligns with prior highs and short-term liquidity. A sustained hold above this zone may allow continuation toward the 96,000 region, while rejection here could lead to a healthy pullback into previous demand without changing the overall trend.
In summary, the market structure remains bullish as long as price holds above the most recent higher low, with attention on reactions at highlighted support and resistance levels.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves risk and uncertainty.
XAUUSD Structure, Zones & Price BehaviourGold is transitioning from a corrective bearish phase into a developing bullish recovery. Earlier price action shows a clear bearish trendline, formed after rejection from the 4550 major resistance, which triggered strong selling pressure. This decline remained controlled and eventually slowed near the 4260–4290 demand zone, where buyers stepped in with strength.
The reaction from this demand zone marked a key shift in sentiment. Price began forming higher lows, followed by a decisive Break of Structure above the prior internal resistance around 4380–4400. This BOS confirms that bearish momentum has weakened and buyers are now gaining short-term control.
During the impulsive recovery, a visible Fair Value Gap was created near 4330–4360, highlighting an imbalance caused by aggressive buying. This area may act as a potential buy-on-dip zone if price revisits it, provided overall structure remains intact. Another layer of support sits near 4400, which now acts as a flip level after previous resistance.
On the upside, price is currently consolidating below 4470–4485, where minor profit-taking is visible. A clean hold above this region opens the path toward the 4550 resistance, which remains the most important supply level on the chart. A rejection from that zone could lead to consolidation, while acceptance above it would signal broader bullish continuation.
Overall structure is shifting bullish, supported by demand reaction, BOS confirmation, and healthy pullbacks.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves risk and uncertainty.
NIFTY Midcap 400 Market Breadth: Failed Thrust & Pullback SetupMarket breadth analysis of NIFTY Midcap 400 highlighting the recent failed thrust after crossing the 50% breadth zone, followed by a pullback towards the 34–40% band and a fresh recovery attempt towards 51%+. The study overlays breadth readings with price, 10–200 EMA participation matrix, and ADR/52W stats to map potential continuation or failure zones for the current rally.
EMCURE – Long Base Breakout Near All‑Time HighEMCURE is breaking out from a ~4.5‑month long base between roughly ₹1,300 and ₹1,430 after a prior strong uptrend, with price now pushing above the earlier all‑time high zone near ₹1,530–1,580 on expanding volume, indicating a fresh momentum move in a strong pharma leader with improving fundamentals and recent 6‑month relative strength in price.
Engineers India Ltd (EIL) – Range Base Breakout StudyStudy Overview:
Price has been consolidating in a strong demand zone for a long time.
Despite previous selling pressure, no aggressive sell volume is visible.
RSI is holding above mid-zone, showing strength and accumulation.
MACD is gradually turning positive, hinting at a momentum shift.
What to watch:
🔹 Short-term opportunity on a clean breakout above the range.
🔹 Long-term hold potential if price sustains above resistance with volume.
🔹 Structure suggests smart money accumulation rather than distribution.
📌 This setup looks more like controlled consolidation before a possible upside breakout.
⚠️ Note: This is a technical study for educational purposes only, not a buy/sell recommendation.
ANURAS – Tight Baseless Consolidation Near 10 EMA Daily chart of ANURAS showing a strong prior up‑move followed by a basing consolidation just above the rising 20 and 50 EMAs, with current price tightening near the 10 EMA and a recent breakout candle indicating potential continuation of the existing uptrend.
SMS PHARMA – Ascending Trendline Breakout from First Sound BaseSMS Pharmaceuticals has formed a series of higher lows respecting a well-defined ascending trendline, followed by a tight first sound base consolidation near the 50/20 EMA cluster and a downward-sloping wedge. The stock has just broken out of this base with strong momentum and above-average ADR, with immediate swing levels around 343 as resistance and the rising trendline plus recent base low acting as key support for continuation.
$SUI PRICE FORECAST | IS $20 POSSIBLE? CRYPTOCAP:SUI PRICE FORECAST | IS $20 POSSIBLE? | ANALYSIS BY CRYPTOPATEL
CRYPTOCAP:SUI Is Showing A Clear High-Timeframe Smart Money Re-Accumulation Structure On The Weekly Chart After A Deep Correction From 2024 Highs.
Market Structure Overview
After A ~76% Drawdown, Price Swept Liquidity At The Lows And Printed A Strong Reversal, Signaling Demand Absorption And Institutional Interest.
Technical Confluence
Weekly Bullish Order Block: $1.50 – $1.30
OB Aligned With Fair Value Gap (Strong Demand Zone)
~45% Impulse Move Already Delivered From This Area
Price Structure Respects A Rising Channel
HTF Bias Turning Bullish
👉 Best Entry Zone ($1.50 – $1.30) Was Shared Earlier, Cleanly Filled, And Has Already Given ~45% Profit On A Short-Term Swing.
Targets (HTF Expansion)
TP1: $4.8 (Previous Weekly Resistance)
TP2: $18 – $20 (HTF Expansion + Psychological Zone)
⚠️ Invalidation
Weekly Close Below $1.20 Breaks The Bullish Structure
Final Thoughts
This Is A Patience-Based Weekly Setup, Not A Short-Term Trade. As Long As Price Holds Above The Bullish OB, Upside Expansion Remains The Higher Probability Scenario.
Disclaimer: TA Only. Not Financial Advice. Markets Are Probabilistic. Always Do Your Own Research.
South Indian Bank – Non Linear Base This daily chart of South Indian Bank highlights a classic nonlinear base between June and early October, followed by a strong episodic breakout that launched a new uptrend. Price has since formed a tight consolidation range near recent highs, riding above key moving averages (10/21/50/200 EMA cluster) and now attempting a fresh breakout around the 42 zone, with the annotation “If BO sustains” marking the potential continuation leg. The setup showcases prior accumulation, clean trend alignment in a major-bank smallcap, and a developing higher‑timeframe cup‑like structure, making it an attractive candidate for momentum and swing traders if price holds above the breakout level with volume support.
NIFTY : Trading plan for 07-Jan-2026
(Timeframe: 15-min | Gap consideration: 100+ points)
Key Levels to Track (from chart)
Upper Resistance / Extension: 26,392
Last Intraday Resistance: 26,320
Opening Resistance (Gap-up case): 26,250
Opening Support / Resistance (Pivot): 26,183 – 26,175
Opening Support (Gap-down case): 26,042 – 26,080
Last Intraday Support: 25,983
Lower Extreme Support: 25,839
🧠 Context: After a strong prior up-move, price corrected and is now hovering near a pivot band (26,183–26,175). Expect whipsaws early; clean direction needs acceptance above/below the pivot.
🟢 1. GAP-UP OPENING (100+ Points)
If NIFTY opens above 26,250, the market signals bullish intent but immediately faces overhead supply.
🎓 Educational Explanation:
Gap-ups near resistance often see early profit booking. Sustainable upside requires price acceptance (holding above levels on a 15-min close), not just a spike.
Plan of Action:
Avoid the first 10–15 mins; let volatility settle.
Sustain above 26,250 → test 26,320 (last intraday resistance).
Acceptance above 26,320 opens path toward 26,392.
Repeated rejection near 26,320 → expect pullback toward 26,250 → 26,183.
Options idea: Bull Call Spread (ATM buy + OTM sell) to reduce theta risk near resistance.
🟡 2. FLAT OPENING
If NIFTY opens inside 26,175–26,250, expect a range-bound start.
🎓 Educational Explanation:
Flat opens inside a pivot zone reflect indecision. Direction emerges only after a range expansion with volume.
Plan of Action:
Above 26,250 → bullish bias toward 26,320.
Failure at 26,250 keeps price rotating within 26,183–26,175.
Break & hold below 26,175 shifts bias toward 26,080 → 26,042.
Wait for 15-min close + volume before committing.
Options idea: Iron Fly / Narrow Strangle (light size) if range persists.
🔴 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ Points)
If NIFTY opens below 26,175, sentiment turns cautious.
🎓 Educational Explanation:
Gap-downs into support can trigger panic selling, followed by either short covering or continuation. Confirmation matters.
Plan of Action:
First watch zone: 26,080–26,042.
Sustain below 26,042 → downside toward 25,983.
Break of 25,983 increases probability of 25,839.
Strong bullish rejection from 26,080–26,042 may offer intraday bounce longs.
Options idea: Bear Put Spread (avoid naked puts near supports).
⚙️ Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 🛡️
Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade.
Prefer spreads near major levels to manage theta & IV.
Use time-based exits if premium stalls for 15–20 mins.
Book partials early; trail the rest.
No revenge trades after SL.
🧾 Summary & Conclusion
Above 26,250: Bulls active; hurdles at 26,320 → 26,392
26,175–26,250: Choppy pivot → patience pays
Below 26,175: Weakness toward 26,080 → 26,042 → 25,983
Trade reaction at levels, not predictions 🚦
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This content is for educational purposes only. Markets involve risk—consult your financial advisor before trading.
NIFTY VIEW FOR 07-01-2026Dear Trader,
In my opinion 2moro NIFTY will react as follows :
If opening is slightly GUP/GDOWN/FLAT → bearish bias
Resistances:
26,261 (intraday supply)
26,342 (major resistance)
Supports / Targets:
26,096 (minor)
26,015 (major)
Strategy: Sell on rise below opening level
Bias changes only if GUP will be BIG and price sustains above opening level






















