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BTC USD SHORT ✅ BTCUSD – Sell Setup (based on your chart) Sell Entry 👉 90,750 – 90,850 zone This is where your chart shows a retest + rejection of the trendline & EMA zone. 🎯 Take-Profit Levels (TP) TP1 (Safe Target) 89,800 • First liquidity pocket • Near S1 line • Easy to hit in a small dump TP2 (Main Target) 88,700 – 88,400 • Clear demand zone • Your yellow line hits this area • Previous support & Monday high region TP3 (Extended Target) 87,900 – 87,800 • Final drop level in your projection • Last strong support before reversal zone 🛡️ Stop-Loss (SL) SL Above Rejection Zone 91,150 – 91,250 Why? • Break above this means structure flips bullish • Break above descending trendline • Above your M2 level + EMA cluster This SL gives the trade room to breathe without invalidating the bearish setup. 📌 Final Trade Summary Component Level Sell Entry 90,750–90,850 SL 91,150–91,250 TP1 89,800 TP2 88,700–88,400 TP3 87,900–87,800
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Skalpfi
Vimta Labs Limited - Breakout Setup, Move is ON...#VIMTALABS trading above Resistance of 607 Next Resistance is at 1113 Support is at 498 Here are previous charts: Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined. Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
NSE:VIMTALABSLong
by MandeepSinghKohli
Vimta Labs Limited - Breakout Setup, Move is ON...#VIMTALABS trading above Resistance of 952 Next Resistance is at 1214 Support is at 691 Here are previous charts: Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined. Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
NSE:VIMTALABSLong
by MandeepSinghKohli
A small correction likelyHerohonda CMP 6174 Gap - since runaway gaps form in the middle of the move, I have used the box to measure it on the right. The same height box on top of it is telling the rally is over. Elliott- since wave 1 and wave 5 are generally equal, mkt geometry is telling the current highs is a potential strong resistance. Composite- the oscillator under the MA cross is very negative. Which is confirming the resistance in price. Conclusion - A three wave abc correction should bring the stock back to 5300. So we are taking about a 15% correction and thats not a lot considering its stupendous rise from the lows. The setup further confirms the correction that we are waiting for.
NSE:HEROMOTOCO
by singh17vivek
Gold 4H – Can XAUUSD reject 4245 before diving into 4140?📈 Market Context Gold rallied as the U.S. dollar closed softer on repriced Fed rate-cut expectations, with market headline flow confirming USD finishes lower and gold rallies on renewed cuts timing debates — a setup that encourages external liquidity raiding before weekly direction is revealed. Forex Factory 4H conditions are classic for liquidity engineering: price trades near balanced mid-range flows, institutions exploit USD weakness into weekly open, and both buyer/seller pools are vulnerable to strategic sweeping before expansion. Expect volatility spikes around U.S. session opens and PMI headline catalysts. 🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View) 🟢 Buy Zone: 4140–4138 SL: 4130 TP targets: 4175 → 4200 → 4220 → 4250 → 4280+ Rationale: • Discount zone beneath 4H liquidity shelf • Demand mitigation + accumulation narrative after sweep 🔴 Sell Zone: 4245–4247 SL: 4255 TP targets: 4220 → 4200 → 4175 → 4150 → 4140 Rationale: • Premium supply above equal-high liquidity • 4H imbalance magnet below waiting to be filled ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before entries — avoid blind positioning. • Expect wider spreads and wick manipulation on USD headline releases. • Avoid trading 10–20 minutes before high-impact USD news (PMI, Fed speakers). • Scale partials at each TP level, let runners work only after confirmation is printed. Summary Gold remains in 4H rangebound engineering territory where Smart Money is likely to sweep premium above 4245, deliver a correction to 4140, then seek a validated bullish reaction from discount demand on confirmed USD volatility. Patience and confirmation first. Liquidity always wins. 🚀 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more weekly SMC setups
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
NELCAST 1 Month Time Frame 📌 Recent snapshot As of 28 Nov 2025, Nelcast closed around ₹116. Over the past 1 month, the stock has seen a ~ –9 % return. The 52-week trading range: low ~ ₹78, high ~ ₹180. ✅ My View (with caution) Nelcast seems fairly valued — perhaps a bit stretched relative to estimated intrinsic value. In short term (1 month), a range between ₹112–₹125 seems the most probable, unless there’s a sharp catalyst (good or bad). If I were you — and purely for trading or short-term view — I’d watch for a dip toward ₹110–₹112 (as a possible “buy zone / entry”) and a rebound toward ₹124–₹125.
NSE:NELCASTLong
by Knowledgehub
MARKSANS 1 Day time Frame 📌 Current Price & Broad Context Latest share price: ≈ ₹187.95. 52-week range: Low ~ ₹162.00, High ~ ₹358.70. Recent trend: The stock is significantly below its 52-week high; price has fallen roughly 25–45% over the past 6–12 months. 🧮 What to Watch / Combine with Other Views Daily technicals show neutral-to-bearish bias, with some structural support around long-term moving average. But longer-term fundamentals (company financials, order book, approvals, sector sentiment) could disrupt this — technicals are just one lens. Because the stock is well below its 52-week high, there’s scope for rebound — but also risk: price could continue downward if sentiment remains weak. For better clarity: it’s often helpful to check 1-week or 1-month charts along with volume, open interest (if derivatives), and any corporate/news events.
NSE:MARKSANSLong
by Knowledgehub
TEJASNET 1 Day Time Frame 📌 Current Price & Context Recent data shows TEJASNET trading around ₹494–₹496. 52-week range: Low ~ ₹474.45, High ~ ₹1,402.70. On 1-day/short-term technicals: the consensus remains “Sell / Strong Sell”. So — the stock is near its lower end of the 52-week range, but short-term momentum is weak. ✅ What This Means for Traders (1-Day / Intraday) As of now, bias on 1-day timeframe remains bearish / neutral. Unless there is a strong positive catalyst, further downside or consolidation is more likely than a sustained bounce. The zone around ₹484–₹486 (and possibly down to ₹471–₹475) is critical support — a breakdown below could open a bigger downside swing. On the upside, watch ₹511–₹512 and then ₹520–₹525 for any meaningful resistance breaks — only a close above these may suggest short-term relief. Because moving averages are well above current price, any upside rally may remain limited unless volume and market-wide sentiment improve.
NSE:TEJASNETLong
by Knowledgehub
BATAINDIA 1 Month Time Frame 📌 Recent Price & Context The stock has recently traded around ₹1,000–₹1,010 levels. The 52-week high is ~₹1,479; 52-week low is ~₹996–₹1,005 (depending on the source) — so recent levels are close to the lower end of the 52-week range. The stock has been under pressure lately, partly due to weak Q2 FY26 results which dragged sentiment. ⚠️ Key Risks & What’s Dragging the Stock Weak recent financial performance — recent quarter’s poor results have weighed on sentiment. Technical picture remains weak: price below all major moving averages, multiple sell signals on daily charts. High volatility and lack of clarity on demand — any bounce may be shallow unless firm positive triggers come (e.g. good sales data, broader market up-move, sector tailwinds).
NSE:BATAINDIALong
by Knowledgehub
Part 6 Learn Institutional TradingWhy Trade Options? Options offer several strategic advantages: a. Hedging Investors use options to protect their portfolio. For example, buying a put option can insure against a fall in stock prices, similar to buying insurance. b. Speculation Traders can bet on price movements—up, down, or even sideways—using options. c. Income Generation Many traders sell options (covered calls, cash-secured puts) to earn regular premiums. d. Leverage Options allow control of large positions with a relatively small amount of capital.
NSE:RELIANCEEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Silver last week we booked 10300 points profit & Gold 3800 pointParameters Data Reason 🟩 Extreme Bullish Momentum due to: 1) Global Breakout above $56. 2) Physical Scarcity driving spot premiums. 3) Aggressive Safe-Haven Buying ahead of the Fed meeting. Asset Name Silver MCX (Dec Futures) ₹1,71,850 Price Movement Buy side: 🟩 R1: ₹1,73,500, 🟩 R2: ₹1,75,000, 🟩 R3: ₹1,78,000. If break 🟥 S1: ₹1,69,800 then downside possible towards 🟥 S2: ₹1,65,000, 🟥 S3: ₹1,61,800. Current Trade 🟩 BUY Active / T1: ₹1,73,500, T2: ₹1,75,000 / SL: ₹1,69,800 Risk Reward 🟩 1 : 1.5 Confidence 🟩 27/30 (Dominant signals Bullish/Positive हैं, confirming very high conviction for the BUY trade.) Probability 🟩 95% (Momentum is backed by fundamental deficits and macro tailwinds.) Max Pain 🟨 ₹1,68,000 (Options data suggests writers are trapped below this level, fueling a short-covering rally.) DEMA Levels 🟩 20/50/100/200/250 DEMA: Price is significantly above all major averages (50-DEMA approx ₹1,58,000), indicating a "Blue Sky" zone. Supports 🟩 S1: ₹1,69,800 (Immediate Breakout Support), 🟩 S2: ₹1,65,000, 🟩 S3: ₹1,61,800. Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹1,73,500 (Spot High/Target), 🟥 R2: ₹1,75,000 (Psychological), 🟥 R3: ₹1,78,000 (Fibonacci Extension). ADX/RSI/DMI 🟩 RSI (14): 76.4 (Overbought but typically stays elevated in parabolic moves). 🟩 ADX (14): 55.2 (Trend is extremely strong). Market Depth 🟩 Bullish Skew (Aggressive buying at Ask prices; sparse selling volume). Volatility 🟩 High (ATR 14 is expanding; expect daily ranges of ₹2,000-₹3,000). Source Ledger 🟩 Verified (MCX, TradingView, Investing.com, Spot Market Rates via Data Accuracy Protocol.) OI 🟩 OI Up / Price Up (Fresh Longs being added even at record highs). PCR 🟩 1.45 (Put Call Ratio indicates strong bullish sentiment and support building). VWAP 🟩 Price > VWAP (Intraday average is well below current market price, supporting longs). Turnover 🟩 Very High (Record volumes recorded in near-month contracts). Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A (Parabolic moves invalidate standard harmonic reversal patterns). IV/RV 🟩 IV Spiking (Implied Volatility is rising, suggesting traders expect the explosive move to continue). Options Skew 🟩 Positive Skew (Far OTM Calls are trading at a premium). Vanna/Charm 🟨 N/A (Weekend data limitation). Block Trades 🟩 Large Institutional Buys detected in the last hour of trade. COT Positioning 🟩 Net Long Exposure is at a 6-month high for Managed Money. Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 Positive with Gold and Industrial Metals, Negative with USD. ETF Rotation 🟩 Inflows continuing into Silver ETFs globally. Sentiment Index 🟩 Extreme Greed (FOMO buying is visible in retail and prop desks). OFI 🟩 Strongly Positive (Order flow is one-sided towards buying). Delta 🟩 Long Delta dominating the options chain. VWAP Bands 🟩 Breakout above the +2 Standard Deviation band. Rotation Metrics 🟩 Outperformer (Beating Gold and Copper in daily percentage gains).
MCX:SILVER1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Part 4 Learn Institutional TradingParties Involved in an Options Contract There are two sides to every options contract: Option Buyer Pays the premium. Has limited risk (only the premium paid). Has unlimited profit potential in call options and significant potential in puts. Option Seller (Writer) Receives the premium. Has limited profit (only the premium collected). Faces potentially unlimited risk in calls and large risk in puts. Option sellers generally need higher margin because they take the greater risk.
Education
by SkyTradingZone
Gold mcx last week we booked Gold 3800 points & silver 10300 Parameters Data Reason 🟩 Strong Bullish Resurgence due to: 1) Dovish Fed Expectations (85% chance of cut). 2) Wedding Season Demand in domestic spot markets. 3) Weak US Dollar Index boosting safe-haven appeal. Asset Name Gold MCX (Dec Futures) ₹1,26,960 Price Movement Buy side: 🟩 R1: ₹1,27,800, 🟩 R2: ₹1,28,500, 🟩 R3: ₹1,29,600. If break 🟥 S1: ₹1,25,500 then downside possible towards 🟥 S2: ₹1,24,200, 🟥 S3: ₹1,23,000. Current Trade 🟩 BUY Active / T1: ₹1,27,800, T2: ₹1,28,500 / SL: ₹1,25,500 Risk Reward 🟩 1 : 1.5 Confidence 🟩 25/30 (Dominant signals Bullish/Positive हैं, confirming strong conviction for the BUY trade.) Probability 🟩 88% (Supported by "Golden Cross" on hourly charts and strong global cues.) Max Pain 🟨 ₹1,25,000 (Data suggests significant option writing support at this level). DEMA Levels 🟩 20/50/100/200/250 DEMA: Price has closed above the key 20-Day and 50-Day DEMAs, reconfirming the short-term bullish trend. Supports 🟩 S1: ₹1,25,500 (Breakout retest level), 🟩 S2: ₹1,24,800 (Weekly Pivot), 🟩 S3: ₹1,23,500 (Strong Base). Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹1,27,800 (Immediate Swing High), 🟥 R2: ₹1,29,000 (Psychological Barrier), 🟥 R3: ₹1,31,500 (All-Time High Zone). ADX/RSI/DMI 🟩 RSI (14): 64.5 (Bullish momentum rising, not yet overbought). 🟩 ADX (14): 38.2 (Trend strength is increasing). Market Depth 🟩 Buy Skew (Order book shows higher bid quantities at lower levels, indicating accumulation). Volatility 🟩 Moderate to High (Implied Volatility is rising ahead of US inflation data and Fed meeting). Source Ledger 🟩 Verified (MCX, India Bullion & Jewellers Association (IBJA), Investing.com via Data Accuracy Protocol). OI 🟩 Long Build-up (Open Interest increased along with price, suggesting fresh bullish positions). PCR 🟩 1.15 (Put-Call Ratio > 1 suggests bullish sentiment with Put writers active at support). VWAP 🟩 Price > VWAP (Closing price is comfortably above the Volume Weighted Average Price). Turnover 🟩 High (Strong participation seen in both December and February contracts). Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A (No immediate reversal pattern; trend is impulsive). IV/RV 🟩 IV Rising (Premium expansion expected as traders hedge against event risk). Options Skew 🟩 Call Skew (Upside calls are commanding higher premiums relative to OTM puts). Vanna/Charm 🟨 N/A (Greeks data limited for MCX commodities on weekends). Block Trades 🟩 Institutional Buying noted in Feb expiry contracts. COT Positioning 🟩 Net Longs Increased (Global hedge funds have increased their net long exposure to Gold). Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 Positive with Silver and EUR/USD, Negative with DXY (Dollar Index). ETF Rotation 🟩 Inflows (Gold ETFs seeing renewed interest after a brief pause). Sentiment Index 🟩 Greed (Market sentiment has shifted back to "Buy on Dips"). OFI 🟩 Positive ( Buying pressure at the Ask price is dominant). Delta 🟩 Positive (Option Delta leans heavily towards the long side). VWAP Bands 🟩 Upper Band Test (Price closed near the upper deviation band, indicating strength). Rotation Metrics 🟩 Stable (Gold is performing well, though Silver is currently the high-beta outperformer).
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Part 3 Learn Institutional Trading What Are Options? An option is a contract that gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price—known as the strike price—before or on a specific date called the expiry. There are two types of options: Call Option – Gives the right to buy an asset. Put Option – Gives the right to sell an asset. The buyer of an option pays a fee called the premium, which is the price of the contract. In India, stock options follow an American-style exercise, allowing early exercise, while index options are European-style, meaning they can only be exercised on expiry day.
Education
by SkyTradingZone
XAUUSD – H4 Fibonacci Supports the Bullish Trend, Prefer ...XAUUSD – H4 Fibonacci Supports the Bullish Trend, Prefer Buying at the POC for the Coming Week Gold closed Friday near 4,215, following a strong rally after the CME system glitch. On the H4 timeframe, the bullish structure is now clearly forming and remains relatively stable. Price has just broken out of a multi-day consolidation zone and is moving into the Fibonacci extension levels. With the current context, I continue to prioritise medium-term buy setups on pullbacks to the POC, rather than chasing price at new highs. 🎯 Primary Trading Plan – BUY THE DIP Using Fibonacci & POC Buy Entry: around 4,187 Stop Loss: 4,175 Target Levels: 4,225 – 4,240 – 4,290 – 4,300 These profit-taking zones are derived from the H4 Fibonacci extensions, with the 1.618–2.618 levels being areas where strong profit-taking often appears in the market. For every position, I maintain risk at only 1–2% of the account — staying in the game matters more than trying to catch every top or bottom of a wave. Key Level: 4,160 is the major support and the “life line” of the H4 uptrend. If price breaks below and closes under 4,160 on H4, the current bullish structure is invalidated. In that case, I will pause the BUY scenario and rebuild a new plan — possibly considering a deeper SELL setup in the next analysis. 1. Fundamental Context Gold’s strong recovery momentum recently slowed down after failing to stay above the 4,160 region. However, the previous rally took place while the USD was weakening again, despite US bond yields attempting to recover across the curve. On the higher timeframes, gold is on track for its fourth consecutive bullish month, following the major breakout in October that once again drew attention to the 4,400 region. Prolonged geopolitical tensions combined with expectations of further Fed rate cuts give buyers enough reason to maintain mid-term positions, even if short-term volatility increases. Overall, the fundamentals remain supportive of the uptrend — unless there is a major shift in interest-rate expectations or systemic risk. 2. H4 Technical Analysis – Fibonacci Perspective The previous consolidation zone around 4,160–4,185 was broken to the upside with a series of strong bullish candles, confirming a higher-high, higher-low structure on H4. The POC (Point of Control) has shifted upward to 4,187, signalling heavy trading activity before the breakout — a suitable area for waiting on a retest to buy again. Fibonacci extensions from the latest bullish swing highlight important resistance clusters ahead: 1.618: the 4.24x zone — first profit-taking target, likely to see volatility. 2.618: the 4.35x–4.36x region — an extended target if the bullish trend continues strongly. With this structure, any pullback to 4,187 while holding above 4,160 is, for me, a medium-term BUY opportunity, not a reversal signal. 3. Market Sentiment & Action Plan After a strong rally, the market is experiencing FOMO buying at elevated levels. This phase often brings sudden pullbacks to shake out late buyers. I avoid chasing the price during this stage. Instead, I wait for price to revisit the POC at 4,187, where volume previously accumulated, to secure a better risk-to-reward and a tighter SL. If buyers truly dominate, they will protect the 4,160–4,187 region. If not, stepping aside after structure breaks is safer than forcing a bias. Plan for Next Week Priority: Buy around 4,187 SL: 4,175 TP: 4,225 – 4,240 – 4,290 – 4,300 If price breaks strongly below 4,160 and closes under it on H4 → Cancel all BUY plans and wait for a new structure before considering any deep correction SELL setup. Do not chase buys near high Fibonacci extension levels unless there is a clear intraday setup with a well-defined SL. If you find this perspective useful for your gold trading plan next week, follow the TradingView account and share which levels you are watching for entries. I always read the feedback to improve future analyses.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Crompton 1 Month Time Frame 📉 Recent context & background The stock recently hit a fresh 52-week low — around ₹267.5–₹271.25. Latest quarter (Q2 Sep-2025) saw a sharp profit drop: net profit fell ~43% YoY, with EBITDA margin under pressure due to commodity cost inflation and restructuring costs. On the flip side, the company’s broader business mix (like pumps / small domestic appliances / solar-rooftop orders) and some analyst estimates still see potential for recovery. 🧭 What could move the price in next 1 month Positive triggers: Any signs of margin recovery, easing of commodity inflation, good order wins (e.g. solar-segment orders or domestic appliance demand), supportive news or institutional interest. Negative triggers: Continuation of margin pressure, weak demand in core categories, negative macro / interest-rate or inflation environment, or broader investor risk-off sentiment. 🎯 My Base-Case 1-Month Scenarios Bearish to neutral scenario: Price may hover or drift around ₹260–₹285, possibly bouncing between support (₹265–₹270) and resistance (₹280–₹290). Bullish/recovery scenario: If sentiment improves, stock could aim for ₹300–₹330 over the next 3–4 weeks — especially if company provides encouraging updates or sector environment improves. Upside breakout scenario (less likely in short 1-month): A push toward ₹340 is possible only if there’s a strong catalyst (e.g., margin rebound, big orders, broadly bullish market) — but that feels optimistic for just 1 month.
NSE:CROMPTONLong
by Knowledgehub
Gold 4H – Liquidity Plays Ahead of Fed Minutes & PMI Data🥇 XAUUSD – Weekly Smart Money Outlook | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold continues to trade inside a controlled 4H consolidation as markets brace for a highly event-driven week: U.S. PMI releases, updated Fed guidance, and renewed debates over the timing of future rate cuts. Recent data has shown mixed momentum — softer employment trends but steady business activity — keeping the dollar volatile and gold reactive near mid-range liquidity. Institutional flows remain cautious, reducing aggressive positioning ahead of major macro catalysts. This environment typically leads to engineered sweeps on both sides of the range as Smart Money hunts liquidity before revealing direction. Expect short-term volatility spikes, especially around U.S. session opens and PMI releases. 🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View) • Price is navigating a minor bearish structure, forming lower highs while protecting deeper liquidity beneath 4020. • The recent 4H BOS + corrective pullback suggests the market may generate a liquidity grab toward the discount zone before any strong bullish leg develops. • A Premium Sell Zone at 4225–4227 sits above resting liquidity, making it an ideal region for stop hunts and short-term distribution. • The Discount Buy Zone at 4010–4008 aligns with structural reaction points, unmitigated demand, and a liquidity shelf — ideal for accumulation. • Mid-range liquidity around 4060–4080 may be swept before the market chooses a larger weekly direction. 🟢 Buy Zone: 4010–4008 SL: 4000 TP targets: 4085 → 4120 → 4175 → 4220 Rationale: • Deep discount zone beneath 4H liquidity • Confluence of demand + structural mitigation • High probability of engineered sweep before bullish expansion 🔴 Sell Zone: 4225–4227 SL: 4235 TP targets: 4175 → 4120 → 4060 → 4015 Rationale: • Premium supply above equal-high liquidity • Favors stop hunt + distribution before correction • Aligns with previous 4H rejection and imbalance fill ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS inside each zone before entering — avoid blind entries. • Expect spreads and liquidity manipulation around news: US PMI, Fed speeches, and data surprises. • Avoid trading 10–20 minutes before high-impact events. • Scale partial profits at each structural target to secure gains and let runners develop. ✅ Summary Gold remains trapped in a structured 4H range where Smart Money is likely to sweep one side before delivering a decisive expansion. Discounted buys at 4010–4008 and premium sells at 4225–4227 remain the highest-probability weekly setups. Stay patient, respect liquidity, and follow confirmation. 🔔 FOLLOW @Ryan_TitanTrader for more weekly SMC setups 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – Weekly outlookXAUUSD – Weekly outlook: structure points towards 4,580 as long as bulls hold the line Brian – Favouring buy-the-dip setups while price holds above 3,996 1. Market overview – triangle break and trend confirmation On the daily chart, gold has finally broken out of the long consolidation triangle, with Friday’s candle closing cleanly above the descending trendline that has capped price for weeks. For me, this breakout is the first proper confirmation that the primary bullish trend is resuming. The next major resistance on the chart sits around 4,246 – a key level I’m watching as a trend-confirmation line. If price can break and hold above 4,246, the path towards the higher zone around 4,580 opens up, in line with the Fibonacci extension drawn on the chart. In short: the structure into next week is bullish, with pullbacks seen as opportunities to position for a potential move towards new highs. 2. Technical structure – from breakout to extension targets The breakout from the triangle comes after a sequence of higher lows bouncing off the rising trendline, indicating accumulation rather than distribution. Below price, we have demand zones clustered around the 4,110 trendline area and deeper supports near 4,040 and 3,920. Above price, the roadmap is fairly clear: First, a test of 4,246 (local resistance & former supply). Then the ATH / prior high region around 4,360–4,380. Finally, the Fibonacci 1.618 extension projects into the 4,560–4,580 zone, which is my medium-term upside objective if bulls can maintain control. As long as daily structure keeps printing higher highs and higher lows and price stays above the key invalidation at 3,996, I will continue to treat gold as buy-on-dip rather than looking for major tops. 3. Key zones & trading ideas for next week I’m not treating this as a signal service, but here’s how I’m mapping the chart for my own trading: Primary idea – Buy the dip into trendline / support Watch zone: around the rising trendline near 4,110. If price pulls back into this area early in the week and shows a clear rejection on H4/D1 (wick rejections, bullish engulfing etc.), I’ll be interested in building long positions. Upside path: First objective: 4,246 – trend-confirmation resistance. If broken and retested from above, the next leg could extend towards 4,360–4,380. Extension target: 4,560–4,580 in line with the 1.618 Fibonacci projection. Secondary idea – Using Fibonacci zones on break above 4,246 If gold breaks and holds above 4,246, the Fibonacci zones between roughly 4,360 and 4,580 become interesting for scaling in / managing positions: Partial profits or tight trailing stops can be considered as we approach 4,360–4,380. Any healthy corrective pullback from that region that respects the rising structure could still offer add-on entries with the 4,580 zone as a medium-term target. Invalidation: A daily close below 3,996 would seriously damage this bullish structure and force me to reassess. Below that, I would step aside and wait for a new pattern rather than trying to force the long idea. 4. Fundamental backdrop – why gold still has a bid From a macro point of view, gold is navigating a mix of: Tariff and trade tensions, which keep hedging demand alive as investors look for protection against policy shocks. Ongoing geopolitical risks and conflict, supporting gold’s role as a classic safe-haven asset. A late-cycle interest-rate environment, where markets are increasingly focused on when and how aggressively central banks will adjust policy after a period of elevated rates and liquidity distortions. This combination tends to limit the downside for gold: even when we see corrections, dip-buyers are never too far away, especially when the technical structure is aligned with the macro story. 5. Strategy & risk management Into next week, my bias is clear: structure is bullish above 3,996, so I prefer buying pullbacks rather than trying to short into strength. The trendline around 4,110 is my first area of interest for fresh longs; anything closer to 4,040–4,000 (if we see a deeper flush) would be considered an even better price, provided the daily structure doesn’t break. As always, position sizing and stop placement are key – one good weekly move is far more valuable than several emotional entries trying to catch every candle. What do you reckon – does this breakout have enough fuel to take us towards 4,580, or do you see a deeper correction setting up first? Feel free to share your view in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital