Bitcoin Ready to hit New Low?BITCOIN QUICK UPDATE: LEVELS PLAYING OUT EXACTLY AS EXPECTED
As we mentioned earlier, the $88,600 FVG has now been fully filled, and CRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently trading below that zone.
Here’s what matters next:
🔹 If $85,000 holds as support → BTC likely pushes toward the next major Bearish Order Block at ~$93,000.
High probability this zone gets tapped.
🔹 If BTC fails to reclaim and break above $88,000 → expect a deeper leg down toward ~$75,000.
Stay sharp. NFA.
Community ideas
Nasdaq 100 under pressureAfter the Nasdaq 100 fell by more than 3% in the week ending Friday 21 November, the index may extend those losses in the coming days. Recently, the Nasdaq 100 has been trading in a downtrend. Momentum has weakened, as indicated by the relative strength index (RSI), which formed a bearish divergence from mid-September when it began making a series of lower highs while the Nasdaq 100 itself made higher highs. Currently, the RSI is around 43, indicating that the Nasdaq 100 is not yet oversold and may have further downside potential.
However, after trading along its lower Bollinger Band last week, the Nasdaq 100 yesterday recovered some of its recent losses and rose above that lower band. The index broke above resistance at 24,500 early on Monday and went on to pierce the 10-day exponential moving average near 24,700 as it climbed to 24,870 by Monday’s close. Whether this proves to be a temporary rebound remains to be seen, but for now the next significant resistance level is around the trendline near 25,000, followed by the 20-day moving average near 25,250.
Despite yesterday’s bounce, there has been considerable technical damage to the Nasdaq that needs to be repaired if the index is to make further gains. In the near term, the prevailing trend is likely to remain bearish. A break below 24,000 could set the stage for a decline towards 22,700.
Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management.
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
Gold Maintains Bullish Momentum,Watching for Breakout Above 4150📊 Market Overview:
Gold is currently trading around 4140. Market sentiment remains tilted toward buying due to expectations of an upcoming Fed rate cut, while the USD shows mild weakening during the session.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key resistance: 4150 – 4162
• Nearest support: 4125 – 4130
• EMA: Price is above the EMA-09, indicating the bullish trend is still intact.
• Candlestick / Momentum:
– The 4150 zone is forming a strong resistance; H1 candles show upper wicks → short-term profit-taking pressure.
– If H1 closes above 4150 → gold may extend to 4175 – 4190.
– If it fails, price may retest 4130.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue rising if it breaks above 4150 with a confirmed candle.
Otherwise, if it cannot break 4150 in the next 2–3 H1 candles, the market could retrace to 4130 before rising again.
________________________________________
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: 4128 – 4132
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4125
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 25th November 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 26150 – 26200 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 26350 – 26400 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 25800 – 25750 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 25600 – 25550 range.
Volatility expected on the November 2025 Month F&O expiry day.
Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 25th November 2025NSE:BANKNIFTY
Index has resistance near 59250 – 59350 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 59750 – 59850 range.
Banknifty has immediate support near 58450 - 58350 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 57950 - 57850 range.
Volatility expected on the November 2025 Month F&O expiry day.
Finnifty Intraday Analysis for 25th November 2025 NSE:CNXFINANCE
Index has resistance near 27700 - 27750 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 27950 - 28000 range.
Finnifty has immediate support near 27300 – 27250 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 27050 – 27000 range.
Volatility expected on the November 2025 Month F&O expiry day.
Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 25th November 2025NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT
Index has immediate resistance near 13850 – 13875 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 14000 – 14025 range.
Midnifty has immediate support near 13600 – 13575 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 13450 – 13425 range.
Volatility expected on the November 2025 Month F&O expiry day.
Introduction to Put-Call Ratio (PCR)Psychology in Option Trading
Option trading is not just technical—it's emotional.
Traders face:
Fear of missing out (FOMO)
Overtrading during high volatility
Holding losers too long
Expecting miracles from OTM options
Disciplined psychological control is essential.
High Dividend Yield Stock at Attractive Valuations - Coal india
Coal India is a high-dividend PSU that typically pays multiple dividends a year, adding up to roughly ₹20–₹30 per share annually in recent years.
The stock is available at attractive valuations with P/E of 7.37 compared to the industry P/E of 11.62.
Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 48.7%
Stock is providing a good dividend yield of 7.11%.
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 45.1%
In the last 12 months, Coal India has paid about ₹21–₹27 per share in total dividends, depending on whether you take the latest declared interim into the tally.
For FY 2024-25, recent disclosures show multiple dividends (interims and final) that together sum to over ₹20 per share so far, with scope for one more interim depending on earnings and board decisions.
FY 2023-24: Dividends included an interim of ₹15.25 and further payouts of ₹5.25 and ₹5.00 per share, totaling about ₹25.50 per share for that year.
Earlier years (2020–2023) also show aggregate annual dividends generally in the ₹15–₹25 range per share, with some years higher due to special or larger interim payouts.
When compared to other PSU mining companies, Coal India generally maintains a higher dividend yield, with major competitors like NMDC offering roughly 7% and ONGC around 6%.
In comparison, companies like NMDC have similar dividend yields but may fluctuate slightly year-to-year depending on prevailing market conditions and profitability. Some other PSU mining entities, such as ONGC and BPCL, tend to offer dividend yields between 4% and 6%, usually lower than Coal India's steady 7% payout.
Overall, Coal India's dividend payments are among the most attractive within the PSU mining sector, making it a preferred choice for income-focused investors seeking stable dividend returns.
Part 2 Intraday Trading Master ClassMargin and Risk Management
Option buying requires no margin except the premium.
Option selling requires high margin because:
Risk is unlimited.
Exchanges demand safety.
Risk Management Rules
Never sell naked options without stop-loss.
Avoid selling during high volatility events.
Use spreads to reduce risk.
Position size properly—do not over-leverage.
XAUUSD – Bearish Reversal Setup Toward Liquidity TargetsChart Analysis
Your chart shows a potential bearish reversal on XAUUSD with a clear smart-money structure. Here’s the breakdown:
1. Market Structure
Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (ChoCH) indicate a shift from bullish momentum to bearish intent.
Price made a final sweep / liquidity grab at the recent high before sharply dropping into your marked entry zone.
2. Entry Zone
The “ENTRY” mark aligns with:
A bearish mitigation zone from the last up-move
A distribution pattern forming (rounded top + BOS)
This suggests institutional selling activity.
3. Target One – 4,080.064
This level is a logical first target because:
It aligns with previous demand acting as newly created liquidity.
You expect a corrective pullback before continuation—your white zig-zag path reflects this.
4. Target Two – 4,040.652
A deeper liquidity pool and the next major imbalance area.
If price breaks Target One, momentum likely accelerates.
This is the main downside liquidity sweep zone.
5. Context
The shaded half-circle structures highlight swing points where price formed lower highs, reinforcing the bearish narrative.
The clean equal-lows and imbalances under price give strong bearish draw-on-liquidity.
$MFSL: Long on VCP Pullback & 21EMA Bounce (Analyst Backed)This is a live swing trade I am taking in NSE:MFSL (Max Financial Services). This is a classic "Tennis Ball" setup: a strong breakout, followed by a controlled pullback to the 21 EMA, and now a confirmed bounce.
This post details the *full* mechanical framework I am using to manage this trade.
### 1. The Catalyst (The "Why")
The technical strength is supported by fundamental tailwinds:
* **Analyst Confidence:** Recent reports (Nov 2025) indicate continued bullish coverage from major brokerages (e.g., Motilal Oswal), validating the long-term structural uptrend.
* **Relative Strength:** While the broader market has been volatile, MFSL has held its gains, showing strong institutional accumulation.
### 2. Decoding the Technical Sequence
This trade relies on a specific 4-step confirmation sequence:
1. **Step 1: The VCP Breakout:** A few days ago, the stock broke out of a Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) with strong volume, signaling the start of a new leg.
2. **Step 2: The Consolidation:** Instead of extending too far, the stock entered a healthy consolidation phase, digesting the move.
3. **Step 3: The 21 EMA Support:** Yesterday, the price pulled back exactly to the **21 EMA (Orange Line)**. Buyers stepped in immediately, rejecting lower prices. This proved that the trend is respected.
4. **Step 4: The Confirmation (Today):** Today's candle is a strong green "continuation candle" breaking above the pullback highs. This is our entry signal.
### 3. The Mechanical Trade Plan (The "Swing" Playbook)
This is a cash "Swing" trade with defined rules.
* **Bias:** Long
* **Entry (Purple Line):** `₹1,700.00` (Buying the confirmation strength)
* **Stop-Loss (Red Line):** `₹1,640.00` (Placed below the 21 EMA bounce and the recent consolidation low)
* **Risk (1R):** My risk is fixed at **`₹60.00`** per share. This is a **3.53%** risk, allowing for optimal position sizing.
### 4. Our Exit Strategy (The "2R / 21EMA Hybrid")
1. **Target 1 (Base Hit):** Sell **50% of the position at +2R.**
* **2R Target = ~₹1,820.00**
* This target aligns with the psychological level of 1800+.
2. **The "Free Trade" Maneuver:** As soon as Target 1 is hit, the stop-loss on the remaining 50% is moved to **Breakeven (`₹1,700.00`).**
3. **Target 2 (The "Monster" Runner):** I will trail the remaining "free" position using the **21 EMA (Orange Line)**. Since the 21 EMA just provided support for our entry, it is the perfect dynamic stop to ride the trend.
*Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This is my personal trade journal and framework, shared for educational and analytical purposes only. Always do your own research.*
GLENMARK - 50% Fibonacci Retracement as Support📍 50% Fibonacci Retracement as Support
Although the 50% retracement is not an official Fibonacci ratio, it is one of the most widely used and most respected levels in technical analysis.
Why?
Because markets often retrace half of a strong move before continuing the trend.
✅ What It Means
When the price has rallied and then pulls back, the 50% level of that move often acts as a strong support zone, where buyers step back in.
📘 How It Works
Identify a strong up-move (swing low → swing high).
Apply Fibonacci retracement.
Look at the 50% level.
If price falls to this level and holds, it is considered support.
📊 Why 50% Works as Support
✔ Many institutional traders watch it.
✔ Human psychology — markets often correct halfway.
✔ Big players accumulate around this level.
✔ Works well in trending markets.
🟢 Bullish Scenario: 50% as Support
If price:
Drops to the 50% retracement
Slows down
Forms reversal candles (hammer, bullish engulfing)
Shows rising volume
👉 It indicates buyers defending the zone → uptrend likely to resume.
🎯 Entry, Stop-Loss & Target
Entry: When price bounces from 50% level
Stop-loss: Below the 61.8% or the swing low
Target: Retest of the previous swing high (100%)
If breakout continues, next target can be 1.272 or 1.618 extension.
ETHOS - FLAG BULLISH PATTERNA Flag Pattern is a popular continuation chart pattern in technical analysis. It signals that the existing trend (uptrend or downtrend) is likely to continue after a brief consolidation.
A Flag is formed when price makes a sharp move (called the flagpole) followed by a small, sideways or slightly sloping consolidation (the flag). After consolidation, price typically breaks out in the direction of the original trend.
📌 Components of a Flag Pattern
1️⃣ Flagpole
A strong, fast price movement.
In an uptrend flag → strong bullish move.
In a downtrend flag → strong bearish move.
2️⃣ Flag (Consolidation)
A small rectangular or slightly sloping channel.
Slopes against the main trend.
Bull flag → slopes slightly downward.
Bear flag → slopes slightly upward.
3️⃣ Breakout
Price breaks out of the flag in the direction of the original trend.
High volume breakout increases reliability
📈 Bull Flag Pattern
Indicates continuation of an uptrend
Strong upward move → consolidation that slopes downward → bullish breakout.
What to watch for:
Breakout above upper trendline.
Increasing volume.
Price target = height of flagpole added to breakout point.
⭐ Why Traders Like Flag Patterns
Clear structure.
Good risk-reward setups.
High probability continuation pattern.
Works well in trending markets.
GRANULESGRANULES - The stock is currently consolidating after giving a breakout from a 7-month range.
The overall market structure remains bullish, and the EMAs are well-aligned, showing underlying strength.
A decisive breakout above the current consolidation zone could trigger a fresh upside move.
Key resistance levels: 597 and 625.
Keep it on your watchlist for paper trading.
✅ If you like my analysis, please follow me here as a token of appreciation :)
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📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.






















