Understanding the Hidden Dangers Behind High ReturnsRisks in Option Trading:
Option trading is often marketed as a powerful financial tool that allows traders to earn high returns with relatively low capital. While it is true that options provide flexibility, leverage, and multiple strategic possibilities, they also carry significant risks that are frequently underestimated, especially by new traders. Understanding these risks is critical before participating in options markets, as a lack of awareness can quickly lead to substantial and sometimes irreversible losses. Option trading is not merely about predicting market direction; it involves time sensitivity, volatility dynamics, pricing models, and psychological discipline. Below is a detailed discussion of the major risks involved in option trading.
1. Leverage Risk
One of the most attractive features of option trading is leverage. With a small amount of capital, traders can control a large notional value of an underlying asset. However, leverage is a double-edged sword. While it magnifies gains, it equally magnifies losses. A small adverse movement in the underlying asset can result in a disproportionately large loss on the option position. In some cases, especially with selling options, losses can exceed the initial investment. Traders who misuse leverage often face rapid capital erosion, making leverage risk one of the most dangerous aspects of option trading.
2. Time Decay (Theta Risk)
Unlike stocks, options are wasting assets. Every option has an expiration date, and as that date approaches, the option loses value due to time decay, known as theta. Even if the underlying asset remains stable, the option’s premium can decline daily. This risk is particularly severe for option buyers, as they must not only be correct about market direction but also about timing. Many traders experience losses simply because the expected price movement did not occur fast enough before expiration.
3. Volatility Risk
Option prices are highly sensitive to changes in volatility, measured by implied volatility (IV). A trader may correctly predict the direction of a stock, index, or commodity, yet still incur losses if volatility contracts after entering the trade. For example, buying options during periods of high implied volatility can be risky because a subsequent volatility drop can reduce option premiums sharply. This phenomenon, often referred to as “volatility crush,” is common after events like earnings announcements. Volatility risk makes option pricing complex and less intuitive for beginners.
4. Unlimited Loss Risk in Option Selling
Selling options, especially naked calls or naked puts, carries potentially unlimited or very large losses. When selling a call option without owning the underlying asset, there is theoretically no limit to how high the price can rise, exposing the seller to unlimited risk. Similarly, selling naked puts can lead to massive losses if the underlying asset collapses. While option selling may generate consistent small profits, one adverse market move can wipe out months or even years of gains.
5. Liquidity Risk
Not all options are actively traded. Some options contracts suffer from low liquidity, leading to wide bid-ask spreads. This means traders may have to buy at a higher price and sell at a much lower price, increasing transaction costs and reducing profitability. In illiquid options, exiting a position quickly during adverse market conditions can be difficult or impossible, further amplifying losses. Liquidity risk is especially relevant in far-out-of-the-money options or contracts with distant expiration dates.
6. Pricing Complexity and Model Risk
Option pricing is based on mathematical models such as the Black-Scholes model, which rely on assumptions like constant volatility and efficient markets. In reality, markets behave unpredictably, and these assumptions often fail. Traders who do not fully understand how option Greeks (Delta, Gamma, Theta, Vega, and Rho) interact may misjudge risk exposure. Misinterpreting pricing dynamics can result in positions behaving very differently from expectations, leading to unexpected losses.
7. Psychological and Emotional Risk
Option trading can be emotionally intense due to rapid price fluctuations and the possibility of quick gains or losses. Fear, greed, overconfidence, and revenge trading often lead traders to deviate from their strategies. The fast-paced nature of options markets can cause impulsive decisions, such as holding losing positions too long or overtrading after a loss. Psychological risk is often underestimated but plays a crucial role in long-term failure or success.
8. Event and Gap Risk
Options are highly sensitive to sudden market events such as economic data releases, geopolitical developments, policy announcements, or corporate earnings. These events can cause sharp price gaps in the underlying asset, leaving traders with little or no opportunity to adjust positions. Stop-loss orders may not work as expected during gaps, especially in option selling strategies. Event risk can turn a seemingly safe trade into a large loss overnight.
9. Margin and Assignment Risk
Option selling often requires margin. If the market moves against the position, brokers may issue margin calls, forcing traders to add funds or close positions at unfavorable prices. Additionally, American-style options can be exercised at any time before expiration, creating assignment risk. Unexpected assignment can lead to sudden stock positions, additional capital requirements, or unintended exposure to market risk.
10. Regulatory and Operational Risk
Changes in regulations, margin requirements, or exchange rules can impact option strategies. Technical issues such as system failures, internet outages, or broker platform glitches can prevent timely execution or exit of trades. These operational risks may not be frequent, but when they occur, they can result in significant financial damage, especially in fast-moving option markets.
Conclusion
Option trading offers powerful opportunities, but it is far from risk-free. The combination of leverage, time decay, volatility sensitivity, and psychological pressure makes it one of the most complex forms of trading. Many traders focus solely on potential returns while ignoring the structural risks embedded in options. Successful option trading requires deep knowledge, disciplined risk management, realistic expectations, and emotional control. Without these, option trading can quickly turn from a wealth-building tool into a capital-destroying activity. Understanding and respecting the risks is not optional—it is essential for survival in the options market.
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The Present and Shaping the Future of Financial MarketsFutures Trading:
Futures trading is one of the most important pillars of modern financial markets. It plays a critical role in price discovery, risk management, speculation, and market efficiency across commodities, equities, currencies, interest rates, and cryptocurrencies. As global markets evolve with technology, regulation, and changing investor behavior, futures trading continues to adapt, making it an essential subject for traders, investors, institutions, and policymakers alike. This detailed explanation explores what futures trading is, how it works, its advantages and risks, and how the future of futures trading is likely to unfold.
What Is Futures Trading?
Futures trading involves buying or selling a standardized contract that obligates the buyer to purchase, and the seller to deliver, an underlying asset at a predetermined price on a specified future date. These contracts are traded on regulated exchanges such as the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), National Stock Exchange (NSE), and others. The underlying asset can be commodities like crude oil, gold, and agricultural products; financial instruments like stock indices and bonds; currencies; or even newer assets like cryptocurrencies.
Unlike spot trading, where assets are exchanged immediately, futures trading focuses on future delivery. However, in practice, most futures contracts are not held until expiration. Traders usually square off their positions before maturity, profiting or losing based on price movements.
How Futures Trading Works
Futures contracts are standardized in terms of quantity, quality, and expiration dates, which ensures liquidity and transparency. Traders are required to deposit a margin, which is a small percentage of the total contract value, to enter a position. This margin system enables leverage, allowing traders to control large positions with relatively small capital.
Prices of futures contracts fluctuate based on supply and demand dynamics, macroeconomic data, interest rates, geopolitical events, and market sentiment. Gains and losses are marked to market daily, meaning profits or losses are credited or debited to the trader’s account at the end of each trading session.
Participants in Futures Markets
There are two main categories of participants in futures trading. Hedgers use futures contracts to protect themselves against adverse price movements. For example, a farmer may sell agricultural futures to lock in a price for crops, while an airline may buy crude oil futures to hedge fuel costs. Speculators, on the other hand, seek to profit from price fluctuations. They add liquidity to the market and help improve price discovery, though they also take on higher risk.
Institutional investors, proprietary trading firms, retail traders, and algorithmic traders all play increasingly significant roles in futures markets today.
Advantages of Futures Trading
One of the biggest advantages of futures trading is leverage. Traders can gain exposure to large positions with limited capital, potentially amplifying returns. Futures markets are also highly liquid, especially in popular contracts, allowing easy entry and exit. Transparency is another major benefit, as prices are publicly available and regulated by exchanges.
Futures trading is also cost-effective, with relatively low transaction costs compared to other financial instruments. Additionally, the ability to go long or short with equal ease makes futures suitable for both rising and falling markets.
Risks Involved in Futures Trading
Despite its benefits, futures trading carries significant risks. Leverage can magnify losses just as easily as it amplifies gains. A small adverse price movement can lead to substantial losses and margin calls. Futures markets can also be highly volatile, influenced by sudden economic data releases, geopolitical tensions, or policy decisions.
Emotional trading, lack of discipline, and inadequate risk management are common reasons traders fail in futures markets. Therefore, proper position sizing, stop-loss strategies, and a deep understanding of the underlying asset are essential.
Role of Technology in Futures Trading
Technology has transformed futures trading over the past few decades. Electronic trading platforms have replaced open outcry systems, enabling faster execution and global access. Algorithmic and high-frequency trading now account for a large share of futures market volume, improving liquidity but also increasing complexity.
Advanced charting tools, real-time data feeds, artificial intelligence, and machine learning models are shaping how traders analyze markets and execute strategies. Automation has reduced human error and improved efficiency, making futures trading more accessible to retail participants.
Regulatory Evolution and Market Stability
Regulation plays a crucial role in shaping the future of futures trading. Regulatory bodies aim to ensure transparency, reduce systemic risk, and protect market participants. Margin requirements, position limits, and reporting standards are continuously updated to reflect market realities.
As markets become more interconnected globally, regulators are also focusing on cross-border cooperation. Strong regulation is essential to maintain confidence and stability, especially as new asset classes and trading technologies emerge.
The Future of Futures Trading
The future of futures trading is expected to be shaped by innovation, globalization, and diversification. New futures contracts based on emerging assets such as cryptocurrencies, carbon credits, electricity, and data-related products are likely to gain popularity. Environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors may also influence the development of new futures instruments.
Increased participation from retail traders, particularly in emerging markets like India, will continue to expand futures market depth. Education, digital platforms, and mobile trading applications are lowering entry barriers and democratizing access to futures trading.
Artificial intelligence and big data analytics are expected to play an even larger role in strategy development, risk assessment, and market forecasting. At the same time, risk management will remain the cornerstone of successful futures trading, as volatility and uncertainty are inherent to financial markets.
Conclusion
Futures trading is a powerful and versatile financial tool that serves multiple purposes, from hedging and speculation to price discovery and market efficiency. While it offers significant opportunities, it also demands discipline, knowledge, and respect for risk. As technology advances, regulations evolve, and new asset classes emerge, futures trading will continue to grow in importance and complexity.
Understanding futures trading today is not just about learning how contracts work, but about preparing for a future where markets are faster, more interconnected, and driven by both human insight and intelligent systems. For those willing to learn, adapt, and manage risk wisely, futures trading will remain a vital pathway to participating in the global financial ecosystem.
Technical Analysis and Fundamental AnalysisTwo Pillars of Financial Market Decision-Making
In financial markets, investors and traders are constantly trying to answer one core question: Where is the price going next, and why? To find this answer, two major analytical approaches are widely used—Technical Analysis and Fundamental Analysis. While both aim to identify profitable investment opportunities, they differ significantly in philosophy, tools, time horizons, and decision-making processes. Understanding these two methods—and how they complement each other—is essential for anyone participating in equity, commodity, forex, or cryptocurrency markets.
Understanding Technical Analysis
Technical analysis is the study of price movements, volume, and market behavior using charts and mathematical indicators. It is based on the belief that all known information is already reflected in the price, and that historical price patterns tend to repeat themselves due to human psychology and market dynamics.
Core Principles of Technical Analysis
Price Discounts Everything
Technical analysts believe that economic data, company performance, news, and market sentiment are already embedded in the price. Therefore, analyzing price alone is sufficient.
Price Moves in Trends
Markets tend to move in identifiable trends—uptrends, downtrends, or sideways ranges. Once a trend is established, it is more likely to continue than reverse.
History Repeats Itself
Market participants often react similarly to similar situations, creating recurring chart patterns driven by fear, greed, and herd behavior.
Tools Used in Technical Analysis
Charts: Line charts, bar charts, and candlestick charts
Indicators: Moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), MACD, Bollinger Bands
Patterns: Head and shoulders, triangles, flags, double tops and bottoms
Support and Resistance Levels: Price zones where buying or selling pressure is strong
Volume Analysis: Confirms the strength or weakness of price movements
Applications of Technical Analysis
Technical analysis is especially popular among:
Short-term traders (day traders, swing traders)
Derivatives traders (options and futures)
Forex and cryptocurrency traders
Its strength lies in timing market entries and exits, identifying momentum, and managing risk through stop-loss and target levels.
Understanding Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis focuses on evaluating the intrinsic value of an asset by examining economic, financial, and qualitative factors. Instead of asking when to buy or sell, fundamental analysis primarily seeks to answer what to buy and why.
Core Principles of Fundamental Analysis
Intrinsic Value Matters
Every asset has a true value based on its ability to generate future cash flows. If the market price is below this value, the asset may be undervalued.
Markets Can Be Inefficient in the Short Term
Prices may deviate from fair value due to emotions, speculation, or macroeconomic shocks, but over the long term they tend to align with fundamentals.
Economic and Business Performance Drive Value
Strong earnings, healthy balance sheets, competitive advantages, and favorable economic conditions lead to long-term price appreciation.
Tools Used in Fundamental Analysis
Financial Statements: Income statement, balance sheet, cash flow statement
Valuation Ratios: P/E ratio, P/B ratio, ROE, debt-to-equity
Macroeconomic Indicators: GDP growth, inflation, interest rates, employment data
Industry and Sector Analysis
Management Quality and Corporate Governance
Applications of Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis is widely used by:
Long-term investors
Portfolio managers
Value and growth investors
Its strength lies in identifying high-quality assets, understanding long-term growth potential, and building conviction during market volatility.
Key Differences Between Technical and Fundamental Analysis
Aspect Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis
Focus Price and volume Business and economy
Time Horizon Short to medium term Medium to long term
Decision Basis Charts and indicators Financial data and valuation
Market View Market psychology Economic reality
Best For Trading and timing Investing and value discovery
Strengths and Limitations
Strengths of Technical Analysis
Works across all asset classes
Useful for precise entry and exit points
Effective in trending and volatile markets
Helps in risk management
Limitations
Can give false signals
Less effective in news-driven markets
Does not explain why price moves
Strengths of Fundamental Analysis
Identifies long-term opportunities
Helps avoid overvalued assets
Builds confidence during corrections
Limitations
Time-consuming and data-intensive
Poor timing signals
Markets can remain irrational longer than expected
Combining Technical and Fundamental Analysis
Modern market participants increasingly use a hybrid approach, combining the strengths of both methods.
Fundamental analysis helps identify what to buy or sell
Technical analysis helps decide when to buy or sell
For example, an investor may use fundamentals to select a fundamentally strong company and then apply technical analysis to enter the position at a favorable price level. This integrated approach improves decision quality, reduces emotional bias, and enhances risk-adjusted returns.
Relevance in Today’s Markets
In today’s fast-moving global markets—shaped by algorithmic trading, geopolitical events, central bank policies, and digital assets—both analyses are more relevant than ever. Technical analysis adapts quickly to market sentiment, while fundamental analysis anchors decisions in economic reality. Together, they provide a comprehensive framework for navigating uncertainty.
Conclusion
Technical analysis and fundamental analysis are not opposing strategies but complementary tools. Technical analysis excels in understanding market behavior and timing trades, while fundamental analysis provides deep insight into value and long-term potential. Mastery of both allows traders and investors to make informed, disciplined, and confident decisions across varying market conditions.
Ultimately, success in financial markets does not come from choosing one method over the other, but from knowing when and how to apply each effectively.
Trend Ltd: Wave A/1 Matures, Bigger Game AheadFrom the ₹3,930.10 low , Trend Ltd has unfolded a clean 5-wave, non-overlapping impulse on the 1-hour timeframe , suggesting this move can be labeled as Wave A / 1 of a higher-degree structure.
A key validation comes from the internals: Wave (iii) extended to a textbook 1.618× Wave (i) measured from Wave (ii) , reinforcing the impulsive nature of the rally. Price now appears to be nearing the end of internal Wave (v) and the larger Wave A / 1 , right below a major overhead supply / order-block zone .
With the impulse likely maturing, the next phase is expected to be a healthy corrective retracement toward the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci zone of the entire rally. Such a pullback would be constructive and could lay the groundwork for the next advance into Wave C / 3 .
Patience over prediction. Let the retracement come.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
DIXON (Weekly) — Wave 4 Bottom Forming?Elliott Wave + Fibonacci Confluence 📈
The weekly chart of Dixon Technologies (India) Ltd. is unfolding a textbook Elliott Wave structure.
After a powerful Wave 3 impulse, the stock is currently digesting gains through a complex Wave 4 correction.
Price is now approaching a high-probability demand zone, where Fibonacci retracement meets Elliott Wave theory — often a fertile ground for trend resumption.
Let’s decode the structure and map the strategy ahead. 👇
📉 Technical Structure Breakdown
🔹 1. Elliott Wave Context (Weekly)
Wave 3 (Impulse Peak):
Strong vertical rally completing above ₹20,000, reflecting momentum expansion.
Wave 4 (Ongoing Correction):
A corrective, time-consuming phase — aligning well with the Principle of Alternation.
Internal Structure of Wave 4:
Wave (a): Sharp decline toward ₹12,000
Wave (b): Relief rally / dead-cat bounce into prior resistance
Wave (c): Final corrective leg now testing the Fresh Demand Generation Zone
📌 Key Demand Zone: ₹11,525 – ₹10,925
🔹 2. Fibonacci Confluence (Golden Zone)
The highlighted zone on the chart marks the probable Wave-4 completion area, aligning with:
0.382–0.5 Fibonacci retracement of the entire Wave-3 move
A classic Wave-4 retracement depth, which is typically shallow compared to Wave-2
This confluence strengthens the probability of structural support.
🔹 3. Price Action & Volume Clues
Price is attempting to stabilize and bounce from the lower end of the retracement band
Volume expansion at lower levels suggests:
Short covering by late sellers
Early accumulation by informed participants
📊 This behavior is commonly seen near intermediate cycle bottoms.
🎯 Trading & Investment Strategy
🛒 Entry Plan
Aggressive Entry:
Partial position around ₹12,165, with strict risk control
Conservative Entry:
Wait for a weekly reversal candle or strong demand reaction inside
₹10,925 – ₹11,525
🏁 Upside Targets
🎯 Short-Term: ₹15,369 (Previous structure resistance)
🎯 Mid-Term: ₹17,566 (Wave-(b) high / supply zone)
🚀 Long-Term (Wave-5 Projection):
Retest of ATHs with potential extension toward ₹22,000+, if impulse resumes
🛡️ Risk Management
Swing / Mid-Term SL: ₹10,915 (Below demand zone)
Hard Invalidation (Wave Count): ₹8,851
A break below this level invalidates the bullish Elliott Wave structure
⚠️ Position sizing is critical — Wave-4 trades require patience and discipline.
📚 Educational Insights (For Traders)
Principle of Alternation:
Wave-2 was sharp and deep → Wave-4 is expected to be complex / sideways
Why 0.382 Matters:
Wave-4 corrections often terminate near 38.2% retracement of Wave-3
Demand Generation Zones:
Areas where price consolidated before a breakout often act as magnets during corrections
💡 Final View
DIXON remains structurally bullish on the higher timeframe.
While the current correction feels uncomfortable, it is healthy and necessary within a long-term uptrend.
📌 The ₹11k–₹12k zone is a patience zone, where Wave-5 preparation may be underway.
➡️ Question for traders:
Is Wave-4 already complete, or do we see one final flush toward ₹10,900 before lift off?
Share your thoughts below 👇
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
I am not a SEBI registered analyst.
Markets are uncertain, and I may be wrong — please manage risk accordingly.
Coiled Spring Bitcoin is holding structure on the high time frames, currently reclaiming the $90k level after testing the lows. I’ve got my weighted average bands on the chart and price is respecting them so far. You can see on the daily chart how we’ve just poked back above the latest FOMC anchor (the blue line) and are squeezing between that and the breakdown AVWAP overhead. I try not to preempt levels though, I only really care about them once price actually reacts there.
Macro wise, things look decent. Yield curves like the 5y-03m and 10y-03m are positive. We’re seeing a bull steepening, not the textbook version since the 2y is still lower than the 3m, but not a cause for concern.
Other signals I’m tracking:
VIX is stable.
USDJPY is trending up but getting close to resistance, so that’s one to watch.
MOVE index is chilling, down at 63% which is historically a good zone for us.
DXY is high at 98 but trending down.
Credit spreads are super low at 2.84, so no stress there.
TGA is pivoting down now too.
Real yields aren’t doing much since nominals and breakevens are falling together.
Current pricing suggests no cut at the next FOMC, which is fine. But if a cut comes as a surprise that would be very interesting to say the least.
ITC LTD! H&S PATTERNOn weekly timeframe ITC has formed H&S Pattern which even broken the neck line of the pattern and closed below the pattern with huge selling volume.
Downside targets are the height of the head from the neck
Thats almost 30% downside targets with 275 as the Major Support.
View Invalid if Breakout above right shoulder.
BuyKey Points About Your Breakout Strategy
Identify breakouts using recent pivot highs and lows.
Clear entry, stop-loss, and target levels from the indicator.
Trade only when price breaks support or resistance.
Targets set using risk-reward from recent highs/lows.
Capture momentum while managing risk with stop-losses.
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Essential Disclaimer:
For educational purposes only; not financial advice.
Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor.
All trading outcomes are your responsibility; no legal liability on my part.
Lloyds Metals & Energy LtdDate 03.01.2026
Lloyds Metals & Energy Ltd
Timeframe : Weekly Chart
About
(1) In business of manufacturing of Sponge Iron, Power generation and mining activities
(2) It is one of the largest iron ore merchant miner in India
(3) Company is pioneer in integrated sponge iron production, with a capacity of 350,000 MTPA
Revenue Breakup
(1) Iron ore mining- 78%
(2) Sponge Iron manufacturing- 19%
(3) Power Generation- 3%
Capacity
(1) Sponge- 3,50,000 TPA
(2) Iron Ore – 10mnt
(3) Power- 34MW
Highlight :
(1) Delivered profit growth of 115% CAGR over last 5 years
(2) Return on equity track record: 3 Years ROE 46.2%
Valuations
(1) Market Cap ₹ 73,326 Cr
(2) Stock Pe 40.6
(3) Roce 38.3 %
(4) Roe 31.4 %
(5) Book Value 9X
(6) Opm 29.59%
(7) Promoter 62.82%
(8) Sales Growth 21.64%
(9) EV/Ebita 29.22
(10) PEG 0.36
Regards,
Ankur Singh
Bollinger Bands: Timing Your Short Sell EntriesThis trade is a short (sell) taken after price moved and closed below the Bollinger middle band, confirming downside momentum and continuation within a strong intraday downtrend.
Bollinger band context.
Price is riding the lower Bollinger band, showing strong volatility expansion to the downside and a trending rather than mean‑reverting environment.
The candles remain below the middle band (the 20‑period moving average), so the middle band acts as dynamic resistance, reinforcing the bearish bias for short entries instead of counter‑trend buys.
Entry logic.
After a sharp impulsive drop, there is a minor pullback that stalls below the middle band and below the previous swing breakdown area, forming small-bodied candles with upper wicks, showing rejection of higher prices.
The sell entries around 4337 and 4330 are placed as price resumes downward from that pullback, aligning with the trend, with the expectation that price will continue hugging or re‑testing the lower band rather than reverting to the mean.
Stop loss reasoning.
The stop loss line is set above the consolidation/pullback zone and above the local resistance created by the failed bounce, where a close back above would mean price is reclaiming the middle band area and invalidating the immediate bearish continuation thesis.
Position sizing of 200 units with the stop beyond that structure allows the trade some room for normal volatility within the band while still cutting the trade if volatility flips in favor of buyers.
Take profit and targets.
The take‑profit level is placed lower, near the next intraday support zone where previous demand or a likely reaction area sits, also in the region where price might start to diverge from the lower band and pause or revert.
Given the strong sequence of red candles and the angle of the bands, the trade is designed as a trend‑following continuation play: holding until price reaches that lower horizontal support or shows a clear loss of bearish momentum near the band.
TATA STEEL ShortThis is wait and short analysis. Tata steel is in bull run recently, I see resistance in 186.20. So, it can be wait and short at 186.20 with stoploss of 187.70 for target 180 as primary and further targets updated later based on trend.
Please note it can consolidate near resistance and take time to fall (2/4 days more). Be strict with stoploss.
DLF LONGDLF is moving in sideways (As per long term chart), I see it is consolidated for few days after downside. Now it will move to upside from cmp 698.70 to 727 in short term.
I have shown downward and consolidation in chart. If it close below 698 (Hourly basis) will be considered still as consolidation. Please keep this small stop-loss if buying it.
ITC.. Can show some reversal from here..ITC.. As seen from chart, it has taken support at around 345 ( which was todays low also ) which is its good support on weekly basis ( Shown by YELLOW LINE )..
Now things can turn around from here for a trade..
The next resistance comes at around 370-375 ( Shown by BLUE LINE )
We can plan a trade from 350 for the target of 370..
If crosses 370 then next target could be something around 390..
One can book the profit at around 370 and trail or Re enter if sustains above 370..
ITC Limited - EW AnalysisITC Limited Complete analysis in EW theory now in correction phase of super cycle degree expected correction minimum fib retrace of wave1 38.2 % (Super cycle degree) already 30% over so expected reversal possible at 320-280 price level good opportunity for long term Investors and traders
Exalted Jupiter in Cancer: Analyzing the Bull Run of 2026Friends, today we'll talk a little about Jupiter's astro cycle. While the trading session is influenced by Mercury, which controls the daily trading system, when it comes to long-term trends, it depends on Jupiter.
This means that if Jupiter is in a good position, in its own sign, a friendly sign, or in its own or a friendly nakshatra (constellation), it gives good results.
Two more things to keep in mind are that it is afflicted by the Rahu and Ketu axis and the Kendra houses (angular houses), as is the case when Saturn and Mars are together in the Kendra houses. That's when it keeps the market stable.
And another important point is that when it is retrograde, the market moves sideways, or finds it difficult to make new highs, especially when it is not in its own or a friendly nakshatra.
As you all know, Jupiter went retrograde in Cancer on November 11, 2025 (that was also the day of the index cycle, it was the day of the conjunction of two cycles), and will move backward until it becomes direct on March 10 or 11, 2026. During this time, it will re-enter Gemini for some time around December 5th, and this will be a time for introspection and reconsidering past events. However, at this time, Jupiter is situated in its own nakshatra. That is why there has been no significant decline in the stock index. And after January 17th of this month, the market will become even more stable. Because there will be no malefic planets in the Kendra houses, and as soon as Jupiter becomes direct, you will see even better growth in the market. In June, Jupiter is moving into Cancer, which is considered its sign of exaltation,
and at the same time, the "Hamsa Yoga" is going to form.
Just before this rally, keep an eye on the conjunction of Mars and Saturn in Pisces around April 2026. This may cause a temporary "dip" or correction. This correction could actually be the "last chance" to buy in these sectors before they surge upwards in June when Jupiter and Mars conjunct in their powerful signs.
Since we're talking about Jupiter, I'd like to share a few more things with you. In Vedic astrology, constellations are known as Nakshatras. Because the zodiac is a 360° circle divided into 27 Nakshatras, each Nakshatra occupies exactly 13° 20' (13 degrees and 20 minutes) of space.
Duration of Jupiter's stay in a Nakshatra
On average, Jupiter stays in a Nakshatra for approximately 120 to 130 days (about 4 to 4.5 months).
A market rally may be seen until November 5th when Jupiter enters the Nakshatra of Ketu in Leo.
scalping🔎 Market Structure
Overall bias: Short-term pullback / bearish correction after a strong intraday up-move.
Price earlier made higher highs and higher lows, confirming an intraday uptrend.
The last leg shows strong bearish candles, indicating profit-booking or a trend pause.
📉 Moving Averages (Green = fast EMA, Red = slow EMA)
During the rally, price respected the fast EMA (green).
Recently:
Price broke below the fast EMA
Now testing / breaking the slow EMA (red) → short-term weakness.
If candles start closing below the red EMA, momentum turns bearish on 15-min.
🟨 Marked Zones (Very Important)
Resistance / Supply Zone (yellow)
Area around 73.6 – 74.0
Price rejected strongly from here → selling pressure
This was a good sell-on-retest zone
Support / Demand Zone (green)
Area around 72.1 – 72.4
This is the next major support
Buyers previously entered strongly from this zone
📌 Current Price Behavior
Strong bearish candle suggests:
Stops getting hit
Momentum traders exiting longs
If price holds above green zone → possible bounce / consolidation
If price breaks below green zone → continuation toward 71.6 – 71.2
🧠 Trade Scenarios (Educational)
✅ Bullish case
Price holds 72.1–72.4
Forms rejection / bullish candle
Target: 73.0 → 73.6
❌ Bearish case
Clean break & close below 72.1
Retest failure
Target: 71.6 → 71.2
🔑 Summary
Trend: Short-term correction inside a bigger intraday uptrend
Momentum: Bearish right now
Key level: 72.1 support decides next move
Best action: Wait for reaction at green zone
If you want, I can:
Mark entry–SL–target clearly
Analyze higher timeframe (1H / 4H)






















