Gold Trading Strategy for 08th January 2026🟡 GOLD (XAUUSD) – Intraday Trading Plan
📈 BUY SETUP (Bullish Scenario) 💰
🟢 Condition:
Buy ONLY IF price breaks and closes above the 1-hour candle HIGH
Confirmation level: Above 4478
🟢 Buy Entry:
📍 Buy above: $4478 (after 1H candle close above this level)
🎯 Buy Targets:
🥇 Target 1: $4490
🥈 Target 2: $4500
🥉 Target 3: $4512
📊 View:
Sustained buying above $4478 indicates bullish momentum
Expect continuation if volume supports the breakout
📉 SELL SETUP (Bearish Scenario) 🔻
🔴 Condition:
Sell ONLY IF price breaks and closes below the 1-hour candle LOW
Confirmation level: Below 4435
🔴 Sell Entry:
📍 Sell below: $4435 (after 1H candle close below this level)
🎯 Sell Targets:
🥇 Target 1: $4423
🥈 Target 2: $4410
🥉 Target 3: $4397
📊 View:
Breakdown below $4435 shows bearish strength
Further downside possible if selling pressure continues
⚠️ IMPORTANT TRADING NOTES
✔ Trade ONLY after 1-hour candle close confirmation
✔ Avoid impulsive entries before confirmation
✔ Follow proper risk management and position sizing
✔ Gold is highly volatile – trade with discipline
📢 DISCLAIMER
⚠️ This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only
⚠️ Not a financial or investment recommendation
⚠️ Trading in Gold (XAUUSD) involves high risk
⚠️ Please consult your financial advisor before trading
⚠️ I am not responsible for any profit or loss incurred
Community ideas
Understanding Market Structure Through Traded VolumeVolume Profile Analysis is a powerful market analysis technique that focuses not on time, but on price and volume interaction. Unlike traditional volume indicators that show how much volume was traded during a specific time period, volume profile reveals where trading activity was concentrated across different price levels. This makes it an essential tool for traders and investors who want to understand market structure, identify high-probability trade zones, and align themselves with institutional activity.
At its core, volume profile answers one crucial question: At which prices did the market accept value, and at which prices did it reject value? Understanding this distinction helps traders make better decisions about entries, exits, and risk management.
1. What Is Volume Profile?
Volume Profile is an advanced charting tool that displays a horizontal histogram on the price axis. This histogram shows the amount of volume traded at each price level over a selected period. Instead of vertical bars representing volume over time, volume profile shifts the focus horizontally, offering a clearer picture of price acceptance and rejection.
This tool is widely used by professional traders, proprietary desks, and institutions because it reflects real participation, not just price movement. Markets can move rapidly with low volume, but such moves are often unreliable. Volume profile helps traders identify where strong participation occurred and where moves lack conviction.
2. Key Components of Volume Profile
Volume profile is built around a few critical concepts that every trader must understand:
Point of Control (POC)
The POC is the price level where the highest volume was traded during the selected period. It represents the fairest price where buyers and sellers agreed most. Markets tend to gravitate toward the POC because it reflects balance and consensus.
Value Area (VA)
The value area is the price range where approximately 70% of total traded volume occurred. It is divided into:
Value Area High (VAH)
Value Area Low (VAL)
Prices inside the value area represent acceptance, while prices outside it indicate rejection or imbalance.
High Volume Nodes (HVN)
HVNs are price levels with heavy trading activity. They act as strong support or resistance zones because many positions are built there.
Low Volume Nodes (LVN)
LVNs are price levels with little trading activity. Price moves quickly through these areas, making them ideal for breakouts or fast directional moves.
3. Why Volume Profile Is Important
Volume profile gives traders a three-dimensional view of the market. While price shows direction and indicators show momentum, volume profile shows market intent.
Its importance lies in:
Identifying institutional accumulation and distribution
Filtering false breakouts
Understanding true support and resistance
Improving trade timing and accuracy
Enhancing risk-reward ratios
Markets are driven by large participants. Volume profile helps retail traders align with these larger forces instead of trading blindly based on indicators.
4. Market Phases Through Volume Profile
Volume profile clearly reveals different market phases:
Balanced Market (Range-Bound)
In balanced conditions, the profile is wide and bell-shaped. The POC remains stable, and price oscillates within the value area. Range trading strategies work best here.
Imbalanced Market (Trending)
In trending conditions, the profile shifts upward or downward, forming elongated shapes. The POC migrates in the direction of the trend, confirming strength.
Transition Phase
When price moves outside the value area and builds volume at new levels, the market transitions into a new balance. This phase often offers the best trading opportunities.
5. Using Volume Profile for Support and Resistance
Traditional support and resistance lines are subjective. Volume profile offers objective levels based on actual traded volume.
HVNs act as strong support/resistance zones.
VAH and VAL often behave like dynamic resistance and support.
POC works as a magnet price, pulling price back during consolidation.
These levels are more reliable than trendlines because they reflect real market participation.
6. Breakout and Rejection Analysis
Volume profile is highly effective in distinguishing real breakouts from fake ones.
A breakout above VAH with strong volume acceptance indicates trend continuation.
A move above VAH followed by quick rejection back into the value area signals a false breakout.
LVNs above or below value areas often become breakout targets.
This ability to read acceptance versus rejection makes volume profile invaluable for intraday, swing, and positional traders.
7. Entry and Exit Strategy Using Volume Profile
Traders can use volume profile to refine entries and exits:
Entries
Buy near VAL in an uptrend
Sell near VAH in a downtrend
Enter breakouts from LVNs with confirmation
Exits
Partial profits near POC or HVNs
Full exits near opposite value area boundaries
Trail stops beyond low-volume zones
This structured approach improves consistency and reduces emotional trading.
8. Volume Profile Across Timeframes
Volume profile works across all timeframes:
Intraday traders use session volume profiles
Swing traders use weekly or monthly profiles
Investors analyze long-term composite profiles
Higher timeframe volume levels always carry more weight and should be respected even when trading lower timeframes.
9. Combining Volume Profile with Other Tools
Volume profile is most effective when combined with:
Price action
Market structure
VWAP
Trend analysis
Candlestick patterns
It should not be used in isolation. Instead, it acts as a context tool, helping traders understand where trades make sense and where they do not.
10. Common Mistakes in Volume Profile Analysis
Many traders misuse volume profile by:
Ignoring market context
Overloading charts with multiple profiles
Trading every LVN without confirmation
Treating POC as a guaranteed reversal level
Discipline and proper interpretation are essential to extract its full potential.
11. Psychological Edge of Volume Profile
Volume profile enhances trading psychology by:
Providing clear reference levels
Reducing guesswork
Increasing confidence in trade decisions
Encouraging patience and discipline
When traders understand where value lies, they stop chasing price and start trading with logic.
12. Conclusion
Volume Profile Analysis is one of the most insightful tools for understanding market behavior. By focusing on where volume is traded rather than when, it reveals the true structure of the market. It helps traders identify value, spot institutional activity, and distinguish between genuine moves and false signals.
For traders seeking consistency, clarity, and a deeper understanding of price action, volume profile is not just an indicator—it is a framework for thinking about markets. Mastery of volume profile can significantly elevate trading performance when combined with sound risk management and disciplined execution.
buy gold xauusdGold is showing bullish strength, and a buying opportunity is identified around the 4430 level. This zone is acting as a strong support area, indicating potential upside momentum.
Entry: Buy at 4430
Stop Loss: 4416
Placed below the recent support to manage risk and protect capital in case of a breakdown.
Target: 4463
This level aligns with the next resistance zone, offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
The setup favors buyers as long as price sustains above the support region. A successful hold above 4430 could attract further buying interest, pushing price toward the target. Risk is clearly defined, making this a disciplined and structured trade plan.
Risk Management:
Always trade with proper position sizing and adhere strictly to the stop loss.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 08/01/2026A flat opening is expected in Nifty 50, with the index continuing to trade within the same broader range seen over the last few sessions. Price is currently hovering around the 26,150 zone, which is acting as a short-term balance area after the recent pullback. This indicates that the market is still consolidating, and traders should wait for confirmation before taking aggressive directional trades.
On the upside, a sustained move above 26,250 will be the key bullish trigger. If Nifty manages to hold above this level, long positions can be considered with upside targets at 26,350, 26,400, and 26,450+. A clean breakout above this resistance may lead to renewed buying interest and continuation of the broader uptrend.
On the downside, if the index faces rejection near 26,200–26,180 and slips below this zone, a reversal short setup may come into play. In such a scenario, downside targets would be 26,150, 26,100, and 26,050-, where strong demand and support are expected. Until a clear breakout or breakdown occurs, traders should focus on range-based trading, maintain strict stop losses, and avoid over-leveraging in a sideways market.
Silver : Upside trendline Broken and Profit BookingSilver is under pressure of profit booking / short selling and shortage of buying is putting pressure to start downtrend. Downward levels 214000, 200000, 186000 may be seen.
All this analysis will be negated if it closes above 252000.
Be careful about investment / trading.
But if you are in control of fear and greed then ask your financial advisor for stoploss to protect your hard earned money.
It is my point of view solely for informative purpose only.
(In Trading Time it may go above/below stoploss But closing price is most important).
These are levels are generated on the basis on Fibonacci Series
NOTE : I am not SEBI registered advisor in capital market.
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades. Please understand Risk in trading before taking any trade with your financial consult. I am only sharing my knowledge it may be right or sometimes wrong so I am not liable for any loss.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Thank you.
GIFTNIFTY IntraSwing Levels For 09th JAN 2026❇️ GIFTNIFTY IntraSwing Levels for 09th JAN 2026
🚀Follow & Compare NIFTY spot Post for Taking Trade
💥Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
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⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
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❇️ Follow notification about periodical View
💥 Do Comment for Stock WEEKLY Level Analysis.🚀
📊 Do you agree with this view?
✈️ HIT THE PLANE ICON if this technical observation resonates with you. It will Motivate me.
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💡 If You LOOKING any CHART, You want me to ANALYZE?
Share your desired stock names in the comments below! I will try to analyze the chart patterns and share my technical view (so far my Knowledge).
If Viewers think It can identify meaningful setups. Looking forward to hearing from all of you — let's keep this discussion going and help each other make better trading decisions.
USDCAD – 15M | Breakout → Retest → Continuation SetupStrong impulsive move delivered a clean break in market structure to the upside.
Price pushed into buy-side liquidity, then paused at prior highs.
Key read:
Bullish displacement confirmed ✔️
Old resistance now acting as support ✔️
Pullback unfolding inside premium with inefficiency below
NAUKRI – Tight Range, Clear Structure, Price Under CompressionPrice has been moving inside a well-defined converging range, with lower highs pressing from the top and higher lows holding from the bottom.
Each rejection from the upper line and each response from the lower line shows that both buyers and sellers are active, but volatility is gradually compressing.
This kind of structure usually forms when the market is digesting the previous move and deciding the next direction.
No indicators, no assumptions — just pure price respecting structure.
At this stage, the focus is not on guessing, but on observing how price behaves as it approaches the edge of the range.
Clarity always comes from price itself.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BULLISH ENGULFING BUY PROJECTION 07.01.26Falling Wedge pattern (Bullish Reversal) on XAUUSD – 1H timeframe.
Why this is a Falling Wedge 👇
Price is making lower highs and lower lows
Both trendlines are converging
Selling pressure is reducing
Pattern forms after an uptrend → healthy pullback
What it indicates 📈
Bullish reversal / continuation
High probability of upside breakout
Best used for BUY setups
Your chart logic is correct because:
Entry is near wedge support
Stop-loss placed below structure support
Target toward previous resistance / ATH
Risk–Reward ≈ 1:2 (good trade management)
Trade idea summary:
Pattern: Falling Wedge
Bias: Bullish
Action: Buy on breakout / confirmation
Target: Resistance / ATH zone
SL: Below wedge + support
NIFTY 50 - Technical Outlook📊 NIFTY 50 – Technical Outlook
Nifty is currently trading in a rising trend structure, forming higher lows while facing a strong horizontal resistance zone.
🔹 Support:
Rising trendline
20 DMA around 26,040
🔹 Resistance:
Major hurdle near 26,400–26,450
🔹 Momentum:
RSI around 54, indicating positive but not overbought conditions
🔑 Chart Insight
Price consolidation above the trendline suggests strength in the structure.
A sustained breakout above resistance may trigger fresh upside momentum.
🎯 Upside Projection
On a confirmed breakout and hold above 26,450, Nifty may head towards
27,100–27,200 in the coming sessions.
⚠️ Invalidation
The bullish view remains valid as long as price holds above the rising trendline.
A breakdown below it may lead to short-term weakness.
📌 Chart-based technical view only. Not a buy/sell recommendation.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Cup & Handle Breakout in RAJRATAN
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 08.01.2026NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 08.01.2026
Timeframe: 3 Minutes
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
please like and share my idea if you find it helpful
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research
Updated Nifty Analysis for Jan 09, 2026Wrap up:-
As updated earlier, wave 1 was completed at 26057 but wave 2 counts have now been changed due to a sudden fall and is expected to be completed in the range of 25800-25850. Thereafter, nifty will head towards wave 3.
What I’m Watching for Jan 09, 2026 🔍
Buy Nifty only above @25971 sl 25858 (15 min. candle closing basis) for a target of 26447-26630.
Short Nifty in the range @25935-25921 sl 25971 (15 min. candle closing basis) for a target of 25818.
Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.
"Don't predict the market. Decode them."
BEL – Setting Up for a 5% Move-Swing TradeBEL – Setting Up for a 5% Upside Move 🚀
BEL has taken strong support near ₹385–388 and is now reclaiming key moving averages with improving momentum. With the upcoming Union Budget expected to favor Defence spending, sentiment & flows remain supportive.
📌 Trade View
CMP: ~₹400
Targets: ₹420 (near-term), ₹431 (extendable)
Support: ₹388
Stoploss: ₹382 (strict)
💡 Why?
Strong bounce from key demand zone
Reclaiming trend levels + improving structure
Budget tailwinds + Defence sector strength
Trend intact. Dips buying. Ride the move! 🐊🔥
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | January 8✅ 4-Hour Chart (H4) Trend Analysis
1️⃣ Overall Structure: Distribution Completed – Trend Turning Bearish
Price has completed a topping structure within the 4490–4520 institutional distribution zone.
It has now broken below the distribution mid-zone, officially entering:
➡ Distribution completed → Trend weakening → Pullback channel activation phase
2️⃣ Moving Averages: Bearish Crossover – Trend Reversal Confirmed
MA5 / MA10 have crossed downward
Price is trading below MA20
MA50 is flattening and turning into overhead resistance
➡ This is a standard mid-term trend reversal activation structure
3️⃣ Bollinger Bands: Upper Band Collapse – Downtrend Channel Opening
Price has broken below the mid-band
The lower band has started to open downward
➡ Downside space is officially opening and the market has entered a trending bearish phase
✅ 1-Hour Chart (H1) Trend Analysis
1️⃣ Structure: Lower Highs & Lower Lows – Bear Trend Established
Highs continue to decline (4500 → 4470 → 4445)
Lows continue to shift lower
➡ A standard bearish trend channel
2️⃣ MA Structure: Full Bearish Alignment
MA5 / MA10 / MA20 are fully aligned bearishly
Price is continuously capped by MA20
➡ Every rebound is a selling opportunity
3️⃣ Bollinger Bands: Riding the Lower Band – Trend Acceleration
Price is riding along the lower band
➡ Bearish momentum is accelerating
🔴 Resistance Levels :4445 – 4455 / 4470 – 4485
🟢 Support Levels :4420 / 4405 / 4385
4350 – 4330 (Gap target zone)
📌 Gold Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 Strategy 1 — Sell on Pullbacks (Main Strategy)
📍 Sell Zone 1: 4445 – 4455
📍 Sell Zone 2: 4470 – 4485
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 4420
TP2: 4405
TP3: 4385
TP4: 4350 – 4330
Reasons:
• H4 trend reversal confirmed
• H1 bearish channel continuation
• Lower Bollinger Band momentum acceleration
• Structural pullback after distribution completion
🔰 Strategy 2 — Short-Term Counter Buy (Scalp Only)
Only when price reaches major support and shows clear stabilization signals:
📍 Buy Zone: 4330 – 4350
🎯 Targets: 4385 / 4405
✅ Trend Summary
• Trend has shifted from high-level distribution into a bearish activation phase
• Every rebound is a sell, not a buy
• 4330–4350 is the institutional gap-filling target zone
• Main rhythm: Sell rallies and follow the bearish trend
🔥 Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
Bitcoin 4H AnalysisBitcoin 4H Analysis (Jan 8, 2026) – 🇮🇳
Key observations:
- Price holding above ~$89,380–$90,000 support zone (red horizontal).
Bull case: Hold $90k + breakout above $95k → target $101k resistance (previous swing high).
Bear case: Break below $89k → dip to $84k–$87k possible (deeper correction).
This is pure learning – sharing my journey .
What's your take? Bounce from support or more downside? Drop thoughts! 🔥
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoIndia #PaperTrading #MiningCost
Gold (XAUUSD) Shows Head & Shoulders BreakdownGold on the 1-hour timeframe has formed a clear Head and Shoulders reversal pattern, signaling a potential shift from bullish momentum to a corrective or bearish phase. The structure is well-defined, with a visible left shoulder, a higher head, and a lower right shoulder, indicating weakening buying strength after the recent rally.
The neckline zone, highlighted around the 4,440–4,445 area, acted as a crucial support and demand region earlier. Price has now broken below this neckline and is struggling to reclaim it, which confirms the breakdown of the pattern. This behavior suggests that sellers are gaining control, and any pullback toward the neckline is likely to face selling pressure rather than fresh buying.
As long as Gold remains below the neckline, the bias stays bearish. The projected move, based on the height of the head-to-neckline, points toward a downside target near the 4,380–4,385 zone. Minor pullbacks or consolidations may occur in between, but unless price reclaims and sustains above the neckline, the risk remains tilted toward further downside.
From a trading perspective, this is a classic example of trend exhaustion after a strong upside move. Bulls should be cautious at current levels, while bears can look for continuation setups on weak pullbacks, keeping risk tightly managed. The overall structure clearly indicates that Gold is no longer in a strong bullish phase on the intraday chart and is now transitioning into a corrective move.
[b]M&M (Mahindra & Mahindra) — Elliott Wave + Price Action View
Timeframe: 1H | Structure-based analysis
Market Structure Overview:
M&M has completed a clear Change of Character (CHoCH) near the bottom, followed by a strong impulsive move from the Golden Retracement Zone (50–78% of Wave A). This confirms a trend reversal and impulsive Wave 3 development.
After Wave 3 exhaustion near the extended retracement supply zone, price is now undergoing a corrective Wave 4, which typically unfolds as an ABC structure before the final leg higher.
Key Technical Observations:
Strong bounce from the Golden Retracement Zone validated institutional demand.
Wave 3 topped near 3827–3863, where profit booking was expected.
Current pullback is corrective in nature (ABC), not trend breakdown.
Wave 4 completion zone aligns with 3707–3716, adding confluence.
Trade Plan & Zones:
Wave 4 / ABC Completion Zone: 3707 – 3716
FNO SL: Hourly close below 3702.75
Swing SL: Hourly close below 3677
FNO Target Zone: 3808 – 3820
Swing Target (Wave 5): 3854
Educational Note:
Wave 4 corrections are often time-consuming and choppy. Patience near support and confirmation via price action is critical. Wave 5 usually resumes only after sellers get absorbed near demand.
Conclusion:
As long as price holds above the Wave 4 support zone, the broader bullish structure remains intact, favoring a Wave 5 expansion.
⚠️ Not a SEBI-registered analyst. Educational purpose only.
Gbpjpy Projecting in sellside delivery till weekly imbExpecting GBPJPY short term sell delivery,pric rejected from monthly Order block after taking previous monthly highs, expecting liquidity to take till weekly imbalance, onwards based on confirmation bullish move probably expected (the fundamental idea promotes buy from weekly imb where as GBP interest rates are 3.75% (more strength fundamentally than yen ) and Jpy 0.75%
SENSEX : Trading plan for expiry 08-Jan-2026SENSEX Trading Plan for 8-Jan-2026
(Timeframe: 15-min | Gap criteria: 300+ points)
🔑 Key Levels to Track (from chart)
Major Upside Resistance: 85,632
Upper Resistance / Supply Zone: 85,174 – 85,295 (No-Trade Zone)
Immediate Pivot / CMP Zone: ~84,968
Opening Support: 84,772
Last Intraday Support Zone: 84,492 – 84,560
Lower Support Extension: 84,294
🧠 Market context: SENSEX is coming after a sharp corrective move and is currently trying to stabilize near lower supports. The 85,174–85,295 zone is a strong supply area, while 84,492–84,560 remains a crucial buyer’s defense.
🟢 1. GAP-UP OPENING (300+ Points)
If SENSEX opens well above 85,295, it signals strong short-covering but near a heavy resistance zone.
🎓 Educational Insight
Large gap-ups into resistance often see profit booking. Sustainable upside requires acceptance above resistance, not just an opening spike.
Plan of Action
Avoid aggressive longs in first 15 minutes ⏳
Sustain above 85,295 → upside toward 85,632
Failure to hold above 85,295 → expect pullback toward 85,174 → 84,968
Intraday longs only on retest + holding confirmation
Options idea: Bull Call Spread instead of naked calls to manage risk
🟡 2. FLAT OPENING
If SENSEX opens near 84,900 – 85,100, expect range-bound and volatile price action.
🎓 Educational Insight
Flat opens near prior breakdown zones usually lead to false breakouts. Direction emerges only after range expansion with volume.
Plan of Action
Above 85,174 with hold → move toward 85,295
Rejection from 85,174–85,295 → sideways to negative bias
Break below 84,772 → downside toward 84,560
Trade only near edges, avoid middle of range 🚫
Options idea: Iron Fly / Short Strangle (hedged) if index compresses
🔴 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (300+ Points)
If SENSEX opens below 84,772, bearish sentiment dominates early.
🎓 Educational Insight
Gap-downs into demand zones can trigger panic selling, but also dead-cat bounces. Price behavior at support is more important than the gap itself.
Plan of Action
First demand zone: 84,560 – 84,492
Strong rejection from this zone → intraday bounce possible
Clean break below 84,492 → extension toward 84,294
Avoid fresh shorts exactly at support; wait for breakdown
Options idea: Bear Put Spread or Put Ratio Spread
🛡️ Risk Management Tips (Options Trading)
Risk only 1–2% capital per trade 💰
Prefer spreads near resistance/support to control theta
Avoid trading multiple scenarios simultaneously
Book partial profits fast in volatile markets ⚡
No revenge trades after SL hit 🚫
🧾 Summary & Conclusion
Above 85,295: Bullish continuation toward 85,632
85,174–85,295: Strong No-Trade / Supply Zone
Below 84,772: Weakness toward 84,560 → 84,294
Focus on price acceptance at levels, not gap size 🎯
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Markets involve risk—please consult a certified financial advisor before trading.
is BEL is getting ready for breakout?🔹 Timeframe: Daily
🔹 Trend Bias: Bullish
Price is moving near a key resistance zone on the daily chart
-Clear horizontal resistance tested multiple times
-Higher lows indicating accumulation
-Price holding above short & medium EMAs
🎯 What to Watch:
-Daily close above resistance for breakout confirmation
-Volume expansion on the breakout candle
Possible Targets once resistance break
target1: 440
target2: 450
Educational idea only. Not financial advice. Always manage risk.






















