#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 06/01/2026A flat to mildly cautious opening is expected in Nifty 50, with price currently trading near the 26,240–26,260 zone, which is acting as a short-term decision area. After the recent up-move, the index has paused near this zone, indicating profit booking and consolidation rather than fresh aggressive buying. This confirms that the market is waiting for a clear directional trigger before committing to the next move.
On the upside, a sustained move above 26,250 will be the key bullish trigger. If Nifty manages to hold above this level, long positions can be considered with upside targets at 26,350, 26,400, and 26,450+. A clean breakout and acceptance above 26,250–26,300 may invite follow-through buying and continuation of the broader bullish structure.
On the downside, if the index fails to sustain and breaks below 26,200, selling pressure may increase. In such a scenario, short trades can be planned with downside targets at 26,150, 26,100, and 26,000-, where strong support is expected to emerge. Until a decisive breakout or breakdown occurs, traders should remain disciplined, focus on level-based execution, and avoid aggressive trades during this consolidation phase.
Community ideas
SMALL CAP INDEXHello & welcome to this analysis
The index appears to be ending a wedge pattern near an Ichimoku cloud resistance with future Kumo bearish. It also has a slanting channel upper trendline resistance approaching.
The wedge would be considered broken below 17775, downside levels where it could then retrace to would be the Ichimoku Base line near 17400 and if that fails to hold it could further retrace till 16600 where it would form a Bullish Harmonic Gartley.
The PRZ of the Gartley coincides with a gap up area and the slanting channel lower trendline.
This bearish view would be invalid above 18150
All the best
BSE: Strong Breakout Followed by Healthy ConsolidationAfter a decisive breakout, the stock moved into a healthy consolidation phase. Instead of retracing deeply, price respected the breakout level and started forming a well-defined base support, indicating acceptance at higher prices.
The consolidation is controlled and structured, with price compressing inside a downward-sloping range while holding above the key horizontal level. This behavior often reflects absorption of supply and digestion of prior gains, rather than weakness.
Overall, the structure remains intact as long as the base support holds. This is a classic example of price stabilizing after expansion, offering clarity purely from price and structure, without relying on indicators.
NATGAS CAPITAL (USD) Current Price: ~3.280 USD Bias: BullishNATGAS CAPITAL is holding in a strong demand zone (3.00–3.20). With weather still in play and colder patterns likely later this winter, heating demand may pick up — supporting natural gas prices and potentially pushing this instrument higher.
Immediate resistances at 3.51, 3.68, 3.92; breakout beyond 3.92 opens room for 4.00+. Invalid below 3.00.
Although recent short-term forecasts showed milder weather reducing immediate demand, weather models still suggest elevated risk of cold air outbreaks later in the winter, which could revive demand and tighten supplies.
📊 Levels to Watch
🟢 Support Zone (Buyers):
3.00 – 3.20 USD — key demand zone.
Invalidation under 3.00 weakens bullish thesis.
🔴 Intermediate Resistances:
3.51 USD – First resistance
3.68 USD – Reaction level
3.92 USD – Key barrier before breakout
⭐ Major Upside Target:
4.00+ USD — expected once 3.92 is cleared convincingly.
📈 Trade Plan (Example)
📍 Long Entry Zone: 3.00–3.20
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 2.90
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: 3.51
Target 2: 3.68
Target 3: 3.92
Extended: 4.00+
Weather Watch: Continued colder forecasts later in winter could accelerate the move up.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Resistance Breakout in GNA
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
Nifty Trading Strategy for 06th January 2026📊 NIFTY 50 – Intraday Trade Plan (15-Minute Timeframe)
🔵 BUY SETUP
🟢 Buy Above: 26296
⏱️ Condition:
✔️ 15-minute candle must CLOSE above 26296
🎯 Targets (Upside):
🎯 Target 1: 26320
🎯 Target 2: 26344
🎯 Target 3: 26380
📌 Note:
Prefer strong bullish candle close
Volume support is an added advantage
Trail stop-loss after Target 1 is achieved
🔴 SELL SETUP
🔻 Sell Below: 26181
⏱️ Condition:
✔️ 15-minute candle must CLOSE below 26181
🎯 Targets (Downside):
🎯 Target 1: 26150
🎯 Target 2: 26119
🎯 Target 3: 26080
📌 Note:
Avoid selling near major support without confirmation
Book partial profits at each target
Trail stop-loss after Target 1
⚠️ Important Trading Rules
📍 Trade only after candle close, not on wick
📍 Follow strict stop-loss
📍 Avoid overtrading
📍 Suitable for intraday traders only
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
🚫 I am NOT a SEBI registered advisor.
📉 This analysis is for educational purposes only.
💰 Trading in stock markets involves risk.
🧠 Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
📌 I am not responsible for any profit or loss.
Derivatives Hedge RisksDerivatives are powerful financial instruments widely used by corporations, financial institutions, fund managers, and traders to hedge risks arising from uncertainty in prices, interest rates, currencies, and credit conditions. While derivatives are often associated with speculation, their primary economic purpose is risk management. Hedging through derivatives allows market participants to stabilize cash flows, protect balance sheets, and plan future operations with greater certainty. However, hedging itself introduces a unique set of risks that must be clearly understood and managed. This section explores the concept of derivatives hedging, the types of risks hedged, the instruments used, and the inherent risks involved in derivative-based hedging strategies.
Understanding Hedging with Derivatives
Hedging is the process of taking a position in a derivative instrument to offset potential losses in an underlying exposure. For example, a company exposed to rising fuel prices may use futures contracts to lock in prices, while an exporter exposed to currency fluctuations may use forward contracts to stabilize revenues. The goal of hedging is risk reduction, not profit maximization. Effective hedging smooths earnings, reduces volatility, and protects against adverse market movements.
Derivatives commonly used for hedging include futures, forwards, options, and swaps. Each instrument has unique characteristics, payoffs, and risk profiles. Futures and forwards provide linear protection by locking in prices, while options offer asymmetric protection, allowing hedgers to benefit from favorable price movements while limiting downside risk. Swaps are widely used to manage interest rate and currency exposures over longer horizons.
Types of Risks Hedged Using Derivatives
Derivatives are employed to hedge a wide range of financial risks. Price risk is one of the most common, affecting commodities, equities, and bonds. Commodity producers hedge against falling prices, while consumers hedge against rising prices. Interest rate risk is hedged using interest rate swaps, futures, and options to manage exposure to fluctuating borrowing or lending rates. Currency risk arises from cross-border transactions and is hedged using currency forwards, futures, and options. Credit risk can be partially hedged through credit default swaps (CDS), which transfer the risk of default to another party.
By hedging these risks, organizations can focus on their core operations rather than being overly exposed to market volatility. However, eliminating one type of risk often introduces another, making risk assessment critical.
Basis Risk in Hedging
One of the most significant risks in derivatives hedging is basis risk. Basis risk arises when the derivative used for hedging does not move perfectly in line with the underlying exposure. This mismatch can occur due to differences in contract specifications, maturity dates, locations, or underlying assets. For instance, hedging jet fuel exposure with crude oil futures may not provide perfect protection because jet fuel prices do not always move in tandem with crude oil prices.
Basis risk can reduce hedging effectiveness and result in residual losses even when the hedge is properly structured. Managing basis risk requires careful selection of instruments and continuous monitoring of correlations between the hedge and the exposure.
Market Risk and Hedge Ineffectiveness
While derivatives are designed to mitigate market risk, improper hedge design can amplify losses. Hedge ineffectiveness occurs when the size, timing, or structure of the hedge does not align with the underlying exposure. Over-hedging can lead to losses if market conditions move favorably, while under-hedging leaves the exposure insufficiently protected.
Market volatility itself can also impact hedges, particularly when options are used. Changes in volatility affect option premiums and hedge performance. Dynamic hedging strategies, such as delta hedging, require frequent adjustments and can be costly or impractical during periods of extreme market stress.
Liquidity Risk in Derivatives Hedging
Liquidity risk arises when derivative positions cannot be adjusted, rolled over, or closed without significant cost. Exchange-traded derivatives like futures generally offer high liquidity, but over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives may suffer from limited market depth. During financial crises, liquidity can dry up suddenly, making it difficult to manage hedges effectively.
Margin requirements also contribute to liquidity risk. Adverse price movements may trigger margin calls, forcing hedgers to post additional capital at short notice. Even if the hedge is economically sound, insufficient liquidity can force premature unwinding of positions, leading to realized losses.
Counterparty Risk
In OTC derivatives, counterparty risk is a major concern. This risk arises when the counterparty to a derivative contract fails to fulfill its obligations. If a counterparty defaults during a period of market stress, the hedge may become ineffective precisely when protection is most needed. Although clearinghouses and collateralization have reduced counterparty risk, it has not been eliminated entirely.
Managing counterparty risk involves credit assessment, diversification of counterparties, use of central clearing, and regular collateral management. Failure to manage this risk can turn a hedging strategy into a source of financial instability.
Operational and Legal Risks
Derivatives hedging also involves operational risk, including errors in trade execution, valuation, accounting, and settlement. Complex derivatives require sophisticated systems and skilled personnel. Mistakes in documentation or valuation models can lead to unexpected losses or regulatory issues.
Legal risk is another critical aspect. Poorly drafted contracts, unclear terms, or disputes over settlement conditions can undermine hedging strategies. Regulatory changes can also affect the legality, cost, or accounting treatment of derivatives, impacting hedge effectiveness.
Accounting and Regulatory Risks
Hedge accounting rules are designed to align the accounting treatment of hedges with the underlying exposure. However, failing to meet hedge accounting criteria can result in earnings volatility, even if the hedge is economically effective. This accounting mismatch can discourage firms from using derivatives or lead to suboptimal hedge structures.
Regulatory risk has increased significantly since the global financial crisis. Higher capital requirements, reporting obligations, and restrictions on certain derivatives can raise costs and limit flexibility. Firms must balance regulatory compliance with effective risk management.
Strategic and Behavioral Risks
Finally, hedging decisions are influenced by human judgment, introducing behavioral risk. Overconfidence, poor forecasts, or pressure to reduce costs may result in inadequate or overly aggressive hedging strategies. Some firms may selectively hedge based on market views, blurring the line between hedging and speculation.
Strategic risk also arises when hedging policies are not aligned with business objectives. A hedge that protects short-term earnings but limits long-term growth opportunities may not serve the organization’s best interests.
Conclusion
Derivatives are indispensable tools for hedging financial risks in modern markets. They enable organizations to manage price, interest rate, currency, and credit risks with precision and flexibility. However, derivatives hedging is not risk-free. Basis risk, market risk, liquidity risk, counterparty risk, operational challenges, and regulatory constraints all influence hedge effectiveness. Successful hedging requires a clear understanding of exposures, careful instrument selection, robust risk management frameworks, and disciplined execution. When used prudently, derivatives reduce uncertainty and enhance financial stability; when misused or misunderstood, they can introduce new and potentially severe risks.
BTCUSD Price Structure & Key LevelsBTCUSD is showing a clear recovery after an earlier corrective decline. Price found strong buying interest around the 86,000–86,500 zone, where selling pressure weakened and the market began forming higher lows. This behaviour signalled a shift in control from sellers to buyers.
The bullish shift was validated once price achieved a Break of Structure above previous resistance. Following this move, BTCUSD continued to build a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, confirming an active bullish trend. The upward movement is supported by impulsive candles, while pullbacks remain shallow, indicating stable momentum rather than distribution.
During the rally, multiple Fair Value Gaps were left behind, created by strong directional movement. Key demand areas are visible around 91,200–90,800 and further below near 89,200–88,800. These zones may attract buyers again if price retraces, as they represent areas of price imbalance.
On the upside, price is reacting near the 94,200–94,400 resistance band, which aligns with prior highs and short-term liquidity. A sustained hold above this zone may allow continuation toward the 96,000 region, while rejection here could lead to a healthy pullback into previous demand without changing the overall trend.
In summary, the market structure remains bullish as long as price holds above the most recent higher low, with attention on reactions at highlighted support and resistance levels.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves risk and uncertainty.
Nifty: First Pullback After Acceptance Healthy, Not a BreakdownNSE:NIFTY : First Pullback After Acceptance — Healthy, Not a Breakdown
Today’s NIFTY candle needs to be read in context, not in isolation.
This was not a trend failure day.
This was the first controlled pullback after spending time near resistance.
Price did not collapse.
It rotated lower within a defined range.
That distinction matters.
On the daily chart, NIFTY is still holding above the prior demand zone.
The rejection from the upper band was measured, not aggressive.
No expansion in range.
No follow-through selling.
This tells us supply showed up, but control has not shifted.
The hourly and 15-minute charts add clarity.
The rejection came from the 26280–26300 area.
Price rotated back into the value zone around 26150–26200.
Importantly, this zone is still being respected.
What we are seeing is digestion, not distribution.
For tomorrow, the market’s task is simple — decide whether this pullback finds support or extends.
Two scenarios have higher probability.
Scenario 1:
The index stabilizes between 26150–26200 and starts holding this zone.
If buyers defend this area and price compresses again, it keeps the bullish structure intact and opens the door for another attempt toward the highs.
Scenario 2:
The market dips a bit deeper toward the 26050–26100 zone and demand steps in.
A controlled dip followed by stabilization here would be a healthier reset and offer better risk-reward for selective longs.
The risk scenario to watch:
If NIFTY starts sustaining below 25950,
then this pullback can turn into a broader range rotation instead of a continuation pause.
Intraday bias for tomorrow:
Bias is neutral to mildly positive as long as price holds above 26050 with acceptance.
This is not a chase environment.
Trades should be taken only if the market shows stability near support.
This phase separates traders.
Impatient traders see red and assume weakness.
Experienced traders look for where price stops falling.
Pullbacks after acceptance are normal.
Failure only comes when support stops responding.
Sector-wise, defence stocks remain relatively stronger and better behaved compared to the index.
If the market stabilizes, selective setups in this space remain valid.
Overall market mood is constructive but cautious.
This is a pause to reassess, not a signal to panic.
Let support reveal itself.
Then act.
That’s all for today.
Stay aligned with structure, not emotion.
Have a focused and disciplined trading day ahead.
📊 Levels at a glance:
Support zone: 26150–26200
Major support: 26050–26100
Immediate resistance: 26280–26300
Risk level: Below 25950
Bias: Wait for support confirmation, no chasing
Sector focus: NSE:NIFTY_IND_DEFENCE , NSE:CNXAUTO
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 05/01/2026A gap-up opening near the 26,500 zone is expected in Nifty, indicating continuation of the recent bullish momentum. The index has moved strongly from lower levels and is currently holding above the 26,250 support, which keeps the short-term trend positive. As long as Nifty sustains above this level, buying interest is likely to remain intact.
On the upside, a decisive hold above 26,550 will open the gates for further upside expansion. In this scenario, fresh long positions can be considered with upside targets placed around 26,650, 26,700, and 26,750+. Any minor dip toward the 26,250–26,300 zone may act as a healthy pullback and provide a buying opportunity, as this area is now turning into a strong demand zone.
On the downside, if the index fails to sustain above 26,250 and slips below this support, short-term profit booking can be expected. A breakdown below 26,250 may drag Nifty toward 26,150, 26,100, and 26,000 levels. Until such a breakdown occurs, the overall bias remains buy-on-dips, with traders advised to trail stop losses and book partial profits at higher levels.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Resistance Breakout in MMFL
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
Sagility Ltd | Weekly Breakout Setup | 20–30% UpsideSagility Ltd is forming a strong weekly consolidation breakout setup after a prolonged range.
Price is holding above key moving averages
Higher lows indicate bullish structure
Tight consolidation near resistance suggests strength and absorption
Structure favors a range breakout continuation
Trade Setup:
Stop Loss: ₹51
Target: ₹62
Potential Upside: ~20–30%
⚠️ Technical view only. Manage risk strictly.
Nifty Analysis for Jan 06, 2026Wrap up:-
As updated earlier, Nifty has fallen before achieving 26421 so it is not a Ending diagonal formation in wave c. It is an impulse wave with wave 1 at 26057, wave 2 at 25878, wave 3 at 26373 and wave 4 is expected to be completed in the range of 26212-26113. Thereafter, heading towards wave 5.
Buy Nifty @26212-26113 sl 26113 (75 min./1 hr candle closing basis) for a target of 26630-26890.
Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.
"Don't predict the market. Decode them."
EURUSD – Liquidity Sweep + Break of Descending ChannelTimeframe: 1H
Bias: Bullish Reversal
Concepts Used: Liquidity Sweep • Discount Pricing • Reversal Structure • FVG • Channel Break
Trade Idea Summary
EURUSD has swept major sell-side liquidity below the previous swing low and immediately reacted from a deep discount demand zone. After the liquidity grab, price broke out of the descending channel, indicating a possible shift toward bullish order flow.
if Price also tap into an imbalance (FVG) and has shown a clean corrective retest of the breakout level.
All these confluences point toward a higher probability long continuation.
🟢 Long Setup Details
Entry: 1.17140 – 1.17160
Stop Loss: 1.16830 (below the liquidity sweep zone)
Take Profit: 1.17800 (premium zone / upper imbalance fill)
Risk-to-Reward: Approx. 1:3.5
Trade Narrative
✔ Price took out liquidity below the major lows
✔ Strong bullish displacement afterwards
✔ Retesting the channel trendline + equilibrium zone
✔ Price trading from discount toward premium
✔ Clean inefficiency above acting as magnet
As long as EURUSD holds above the retest zone, bullish continuation toward the premium area is expected.
This setup remains valid until price breaks below the liquidity sweep low.
Disclaimer: For Educational Purpose
EURUSD | HTF Demand Reaction After Liquidity SweepTrade Idea Overview
EURUSD is currently trading in a clear bearish structure, making lower highs and lower lows. Price has recently swept sell-side liquidity, tapped into a higher timeframe demand zone in discount, and reacted strongly from equilibrium — indicating potential mean reversion to the upside.
This setup aligns with Smart Money Concepts, where institutions accumulate positions after liquidity is taken and price trades below fair value.
Technical Confluence
HTF bearish structure with controlled pullback
Sell-side liquidity sweep below recent lows
Price entering HTF demand / discount zone
Reaction near equilibrium (50%), confirming imbalance
Previous internal structure support acting as demand
Trade Plan
Bias: Short-term bullish (counter-trend mean reversion)
Entry: From demand zone after liquidity sweep
Stop Loss: Below demand (invalidation level)
Targets:
TP1: Internal liquidity / imbalance fill
TP2: Previous structure high / premium zone
Risk-to-reward remains favorable, making this setup valid even with a modest win rate.
Invalidation
A strong candle close below the demand zone will invalidate the setup and signal continuation of the bearish trend.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 06.01.2026NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 06.01.2026
Timeframe: 3 Minutes
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
please like and share my idea if you find it helpful
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research
Silver comex buy recommended near 72$ ,79$ to 80$ will come soonParameter Data
Asset Name/LTP Silver Comex (SI, Mar 2026 FUT) LTP: $76.620
Time Frame of Analysis Short-Term/Swing (Daily & 4H Chart)
💰 Current Trade BUY ON DIPS Active. T1: $78.00, T2: $80.00, SL: $72.50.
📈 Price Movement 🟩 +7.89% (+$5.605). Day High: $77.76. Low: $72.51.
🌊 SMC Structure 🟩 Bullish: Major Change of Character (CHoCH) to upside confirmed. Demand at $73.00.
🌊 Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟩 Liquidity: Bears trapped below $74.00. Next Liquidity Pool: $80.00 (Psychological).
💰 Probability 84% (Bullish - Momentum is Extreme)
💰 Risk Reward 1 : 2
💰 Confidence ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (Very High)
💰 Max Pain 🟩 Bullish: $72.00 (Market squeezed well above Max Pain).
📈 Trend Direction 🟩 Bullish: Parabolic Uptrend. Price >> 20, 50, 200 EMAs.
📊 DEMA Levels 🟩 Bullish: Price far above DEMA 20 ($71.50) & DEMA 50 ($68.80).
📈 Supports (Technical) S1: $74.00
📈 Resistances (Technical) R1: $77.76 (Day High)
📊 ADX/RSI/DMI 🟩 Bullish: RSI (14): 76.5 (Overbought - "Walk the Band"). ADX: 44.5 (Strong Trend).
🌊 Market Depth 🟩 Bullish: Aggressive Bid support; sellers absent at lower levels.
⚠️ Volatility (ATR) 🟥 Extreme: ATR surged to $1.32+. Daily Range > $5.00.
⚠️ Source Ledger 🟩 Verified: Barchart, CME Group, Economic Times (Jan 5, 2026 Data).
🌊 Open Interest (OI) 🟩 Long Buildup: OI +108K Contracts (Rising participation).
🌊 PCR (Put Call Ratio) 🟩 1.38 (Bullish; Put writing aggressive at $70 strikes).
🌊 VWAP 🟩 Bullish: Price ($76.62) > VWAP ($75.15).
🌊 Turnover/Volume 🟩 Ultra High: 106,202 Contracts (Panic Buying).
📊 Harmonic Pattern 🟩 Bullish: "Bullish Flag" breakout targeting $85.00 extension.
🌊 IV/RV 🟥 Spiking: CVOL Index at 68.91 (+0.33) - Options expensive.
🌊 Options Skew 🟩 Bullish: Call Skew steep; OTM Calls trading at high premiums.
🌊 Vanna/Charm 🟩 Positive: Dealers hedging short calls by buying futures (Fueling rally).
🏛️ Block Trades 🟩 Active: Institutional blocks bought at $74.50.
🏛️ COT Positioning 🟩 Bullish: Managed Money Net Longs near multi-year highs.
🔗 Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 Positive: Gold (+2.9%), Copper (+3.5%), DXY (Neutral).
🏛️ ETF Rotation 🟩 Inflows: Heavy volume in SLV, SIVR, and PSLV.
💰 Sentiment Index 🟩 Euphoria: Market driven by "Scarcity Narrative".
🌊 OFI (Order Flow Index) 🟩 Bullish: Strong buying pressure on the Ask.
🌊 Delta 🟩 Positive: Cumulative Delta strongly positive.
🌊 VWAP Bands 🟩 Bullish: Price hugging the +2.5 SD Band (Extreme Momentum).
🔗 Rotation Metrics 🟩 Leader: Silver outperforming Gold (Ratio down to ~57).
🌊 Market Phase 🟩 Blow-Off Top: Potential for sharp volatility but trend is UP.
🌊 Gamma Exposure 🟩 Positive: Dealers long gamma, supporting dips to $75.
🔗 Intermarket Confirmation 🟩 Bullish: Industrial Metals (Copper/Aluminum) all green.
⚠️ Upcoming Event Risk 🟥 High: Venezuela Updates & FOMC Minutes (Wed).
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis JENUARY 5Hello
It's a Bitcoin Guide.
If you "follow"
You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections.
If my analysis was helpful,
Please click the booster button at the bottom.
This is a Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There will be a Nasdaq indicator release at 12:00 PM shortly.
*If the red finger moves,
this is a conditional long position strategy.
1. After touching the first purple finger at the top,
switch to a long position at $92,627.5 / stop-loss if the green support line is broken.
2. At the top, $94,642.8 is the first target price at the top -> Good. Second target price.
(If the Good level is reached, there is a high possibility of a short-term rise to 104.7K.)
Also, if the first target price at the top is touched,
a vertical rise may occur immediately.
If it fails to touch the first target and immediately falls,
wait for a final long position at the second target price at $92,210.9. (If the green support line is broken, the stop-loss price remains the same.)
I've also marked a bottom level of $91,462.8.
If the price falls below this level, the weekly and daily candlestick lows will be broken, so it may take time for the uptrend to resume.
It would be advantageous for a long position to hold until the light blue support line is reached, right?
Please use my analysis as a reference only.
I hope you operate safely, following the rules and maintaining a stop-loss price.
Thank you.
XAUUSD (H1) – Inverse Head & Shoulders formingLana focuses on pullback buys above key liquidity 💛
Quick overview
Timeframe: H1
Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders confirmed on the chart
Bias: Bullish continuation while price holds above neckline
Strategy: Buy pullbacks into liquidity zones, avoid chasing highs
Technical view – Inverse Head & Shoulders
On H1, gold has completed a clean Inverse Head & Shoulders structure:
Left shoulder: Formed after the first sharp sell-off
Head: Deeper liquidity sweep, followed by strong rejection
Right shoulder: Higher low, showing weakening selling pressure
Neckline: Around the 4030–4040 resistance zone (now being tested)
The recent breakout and strong follow-through suggest buyers have regained control. As long as price holds above the neckline, the structure favors continuation to the upside.
Key levels Lana is watching
Primary buy zone – Pullback entry
Buy: 4363 – 4367
This area aligns with prior structure support and sits inside a healthy pullback zone. If price revisits and shows acceptance, it offers a good risk-to-reward buy.
Liquidity risk zone – Deeper pullback
Liquidity risk: 4333 – 4349
If volatility increases and price sweeps deeper liquidity, this zone becomes the secondary area to watch for bullish absorption.
Upside targets & resistance
High liquidity area: 4512 – 4517
ATH zone: Above the previous all-time high
These zones are expected to attract profit-taking or short-term reactions, so Lana avoids chasing price near these levels.
Fundamental context (market drivers)
Geopolitics: Rising tension after comments about potential military intervention in Colombia adds background support for gold as a safe haven.
Goldman Sachs: Views Venezuela-related developments as having limited impact on oil, keeping broader commodity sentiment stable.
ISM Manufacturing PMI (US): Any sign of slowing manufacturing can pressure USD and indirectly support gold.
Overall, fundamentals remain supportive for gold, reinforcing the bullish technical structure.
Trading plan (Lana’s approach)
Prefer buying pullbacks into 4363–4367 while structure holds.
Be patient if price dips into 4333–4349 and wait for confirmation before entering.
If price falls back below the neckline and fails to reclaim it, Lana steps aside and reassesses.
This is Lana’s personal market view and not financial advice. Please manage your own risk before trading. 💛






















