GOLD – TRIANGLE COMPRESSION ON H4 ✨ GOLD – TRIANGLE COMPRESSION ON H4, AWAITING A STRONG BREAKOUT IN WAVE 5 ✨
💬 Gold is accumulating in a compression triangle – when silence lasts too long, the market is about to speak.
Hi everyone 💖, Kristina is back with today's perspective on gold. I hope this analysis will help you – whether you're a new trader or have been trading gold for years – gain a clearer view to prepare for the upcoming breakout.
📉 Technical Analysis:
Currently, gold is moving within a triangle pattern on the H4 frame, indicating that market energy is being compressed. When the price breaks out of this area, the movement range could reach several tens of points.
Important support zone: 3960–3980
Strong resistance zone: 4035–4045
👉 When the price breaks one of these zones, the trend will be clearly confirmed.
According to Elliott Wave, Kristina is observing two scenarios:
1️⃣ Long-term: Wave (5) could be a downward wave, heading towards 3820.
2️⃣ Medium-term: Wave (5) can still rise if the price holds the 4000 zone, targeting around 4110–4130.
💎 Trading zone according to ICT:
Order Block around 4040 is a potential supply zone – a reversal signal is likely to appear.
The area around 4000 is a notable support point – it can create a bounce reaction if the price retests.
🎯 Reference trading scenarios:
Sell around 4040 when there is a reversal signal, SL 10 points, TP 4020–4000.
Buy around 4000 after the price retests the OB, SL 10 points, TP 4110.
If the price breaks 3970, wait to Sell around 3980, SL 10 points, TP 3820.
🕊️ Currently, gold is in a waiting phase – observe, don't rush, to act with the trend when the market "speaks."
🌷 The analysis reflects Kristina's personal perspective, not an investment recommendation.
If you share the same viewpoint or have a different perspective, please leave a comment below 💬💕
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Bitcoin From $49k to $126k Target Achieved 📢 Hope you didn’t miss this…
On April 7, 2024, I posted my CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart calling for buys below $50K.
Bids filled perfectly at $49K, and price exploded to a new ATH at $126K.
That’s a +157% move, level-to-level, exactly as projected.
No hype: Just pure technical precision and liquidity flow mastery.
Bitcoin from $49k to $126k Target Achieved 📢 Hope you didn’t miss this…
On April 7, 2024, I posted my CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart calling for buys below $50K.
Bids filled perfectly at $49K, and price exploded to a new ATH at $126K.
That’s a +157% move, level-to-level, exactly as projected.
No hype: Just pure technical precision and liquidity flow mastery.
ANANTRAJ - Post-Breakout Retest & BounceThe Setup: Stage 1 Breakout Resumption
ANANTRAJ has confirmed a major breakout from a lengthy consolidation base (what you correctly identify as a Stage 1 Breakout). The current price action is the best-case scenario following such a move:
The Initial Breakout: The stock rallied sharply (around September/October) out of its large, multi-month base, confirming the end of the consolidation phase.
The Retest: The price then pulled back to the top of the former resistance zone (around ₹600 - ₹620). This retest is a crucial technical event that confirms the old resistance has turned into new support.
The Bounce: The price is now successfully bouncing off this retested support zone (as seen by the recent candles), signaling that demand has stepped in aggressively at the critical level. This is the low-risk entry point to participate in the Stage 2 uptrend.
Key Technical Confirmation
Trading Above All MAs: The stock is trading firmly above all key moving averages, which are stacked in a bullish order. This confirms the established uptrend is resuming.
Strong Relative Strength: The Relative Strength line is robustly positive and trending up, confirming that NSE:ANANTRAJ is a market leader and is strongly outperforming the Nifty.
Volume Signature: Volume spiked during the initial breakout and has quieted down during the shallow retest, confirming that supply dried up when the price returned to support. Volume must increase on the bounce to confirm conviction.
Sector Tailwinds: The underlying strength in the Real Estate sector provides a favorable backdrop for this move.
The Trade Plan
Entry Signal: Entry is confirmed on a daily close above the current consolidation box (above ₹660). The goal is to ride the momentum toward the next major resistance.
Stop Loss (Risk Management): A clear, objective stop loss should be placed just below the retested support zone, for example, around ₹580 - ₹600. This defines a tight, low-risk setup.
Target Expectation: The initial target is the Weak High near ₹880-₹900. If momentum holds, the stock should move into new All-Time Highs in price discovery mode.
⚠️ Potential Risks & Cautionary Notes
Failure to Hold Support: The primary risk is a failed retest. If the stock closes decisively below the ₹600 support zone, the bullish thesis is invalidated, and it signals that the Stage 1 breakout was a trap.
Volatility: Real estate stocks can be highly volatile. Use a stop loss strictly to manage the daily swings.
Momentum Reversal: The trade relies on the continuation of momentum. Monitor daily price action closely for signs of reversal once the price nears the ₹880-₹900 high.
#Disclaimer: This is for educational and observation purposes only and is not financial advice. Always adhere strictly to your defined stop-loss and manage your risk according to your personal trading plan.
Hero MotoCorp: Wedge Signals Wave 5 ExhaustionAfter a strong five-wave impulse from ₹3,344 to ₹5,717, Hero MotoCorp appears to have completed a textbook rally, with Wave (5) showing all signs of exhaustion.
The final leg developed into a rising wedge , a common terminal pattern that often precedes short-term pullbacks. Momentum loss is also visible on the RSI , which has been forming lower highs within a descending channel — a classic sign of fading strength.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, the advance from Wave 4 (₹4,195) to Wave 5 (₹5,717) aligns closely with the 1.0 Fibonacci projection of internal Wave (1), suggesting a complete internal impulse.
Should a correction unfold, the 0.382–0.5 retracement zone (₹4,810–₹4,530) — measured from the entire rally (₹3,344–₹5,717) — could become a potential accumulation area for the next bullish sequence (Wave 2 or B).
Summary :
Wave 5 likely completed inside a rising wedge
RSI bearish divergence confirms exhaustion
Next potential buy zone: ₹4,810–₹4,530
Structure remains bullish over the long term, but a short-term correction looks due
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
XUD/USD-Long-15MinInitially, the Previous Day High (PDH) and Previous Day Low (PDL) are marked on the Daily Time Frame. After that, we switch to the 4-Hour Time Frame to identify the Imbalance (IMB) candle for a potential entry setup. Once the IMB candle is identified, we move to the 15-Minute Time Frame, where the chart clearly highlights the Order Block and Liquidity Area.
The market then shows a clear Change of Character (CHOCH) indicating a shift from an uptrend. Following this, a liquidity hunt occurs as the market moves downward to capture liquidity. After this liquidity sweep, we shift to a Lower Time Frame (LTF) to plan the entry at the next Order Block. The target is set at the Previous Day High, while the stop loss is placed below the last liquidity hunting area.
Gold Range Compression — Breakout Imminent🟥 Resistance Zone (Key Supply Zone): 4028 – 4045
Price has tested this zone multiple times but failed to break through.
A clean break above this red zone will signal strong bullish continuation.
🟦 Support Zone (Key Demand Zone): 3995 – 4005
This is the immediate support keeping price from falling lower.
A break below this blue zone will confirm bearish momentum.
✅ Bullish Scenario
If price breaks and retests the red zone (4028–4045):
Expect upward continuation
Target 1: 4060
Target 2: 4095 – 4105
This matches the upward blue arrows on your chart.
✅ Bearish Scenario
If price breaks below 3995 and retests the blue zone as resistance:
Expect strong downward momentum
Target 1: 3960
Target 2: 3925
This matches the downward blue arrows shown.
✅ Current Bias
Market is neutral right now — sitting between support and resistance.
A breakout from either zone will decide the next direction.
Part 9 Trading Master Class With ExpertsTypes of Options
Options can be classified in different ways:
Based on Style:
European Options – can only be exercised on the expiry date.
American Options – can be exercised any time before expiry.
Based on Underlying Asset:
Stock Options – based on shares of companies.
Index Options – based on market indices like Nifty or Bank Nifty.
Commodity Options – based on commodities like gold or crude oil.
Currency Options – based on currency pairs like USD/INR.
Part 8 Trading Master Class With ExpertsHow Option Premium Is Determined
The option premium is influenced by several factors, collectively known as the “Greeks.” These include:
Intrinsic Value – The actual value if exercised immediately (difference between market price and strike price).
Time Value – Extra premium paid for the time left before expiration.
Volatility (Vega) – The higher the market volatility, the higher the option premium.
Delta – Measures how much the option’s price changes with a change in the underlying price.
Theta – Indicates how much the option’s value erodes as time passes (time decay).
Rho – Measures sensitivity to interest rate changes.
For example, an option closer to expiry loses time value faster due to Theta decay.
Part 7 Trading Master Class With Experts How Options Work
Let’s take an example:
Suppose you buy a Call Option on Reliance Industries with a strike price of ₹2,500 and pay a premium of ₹50 per share.
If the stock rises to ₹2,600, you can exercise your right to buy at ₹2,500, making ₹100 profit per share (₹2,600 – ₹2,500), minus the premium (₹50). Net profit = ₹50.
If the stock falls below ₹2,500, you will not exercise the option. You lose only the premium of ₹50.
Similarly, a Put Option works the opposite way:
If you buy a Put Option with a strike price of ₹2,500 and the stock falls to ₹2,400, you can sell it at ₹2,500 and make a profit of ₹100 per share minus the premium.
This flexibility makes options a powerful tool for speculation and risk management.
Part 6 Learn Institutional Trading Key Terminology in Option Trading
Before trading options, understanding the terminology is crucial:
Underlying Asset: The financial asset (e.g., Nifty 50 index, stock, commodity) on which the option is based.
Strike Price: The fixed price at which the option holder can buy or sell the underlying asset.
Premium: The price paid by the buyer to the seller for obtaining the rights of the option.
Expiration Date: The date on which the option contract expires.
In-the-Money (ITM): When exercising the option would be profitable.
Out-of-the-Money (OTM): When exercising the option would not be profitable.
At-the-Money (ATM): When the market price equals the strike price.
Indian Energy ExchangeDate 04.11.2025
IEX
Timeframe : Weekly Chart
Note:
(1) Read the key notes mentioned in the chart
(2) Safe long entry only after breakout of consolidation
NEWS Update :
(1) CO ACHIEVES MONTHLY ELECTRICITY TRADED VOLUME OF 11,233 MU IN OCTOBER’25
AN INCREASE OF 16.5 % YOY
(2) ACHIEVES MONTHLY VOLUME OF 4,583 MU IN RTM, INCREASE OF 46.8% YOY
Caution:
(1) The primary negative news about the Indian Energy Exchange (IEX) in the market is the Central Electricity Regulatory Commission's (CERC) directive to implement "market coupling".
(2) This regulatory change is a significant structural risk for IEX because it threatens to end the company's near-monopoly and remove its primary competitive advantage: the ability to independently discover the most efficient electricity prices due to high liquidity.
Others:
(1) Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 39.2%
(2) Stock is trading at 11.0 times its book value
(3) High operating profit margins: 84%
(4) The company is India’s premier electricity exchange with an 85% market share
Revenue Mix:
(1) Transaction Fees: 79%
(2) Admission and Annual Fees: 3%
(3) Other Income: 18%
Regards,
Ankur
RADICO 1 Day Time Frame 🔍 Current price snapshot
Recent price: ~ ₹3,220 on the NSE.
The stock has its 52-week high around ~ ₹3,423 and 52-week low around ~ ₹1,845.
📈 Key technical levels (1-day frame)
Based on available pivot / support/resistance data:
Pivot (daily): ~ ₹2,831.17.
Immediate supports: ~ ₹2,777.77 (S2) and ~ ₹2,800.93 (S1).
Immediate resistances: ~ ₹2,884.57 (R2) and ~ ₹2,907.73 (R3).
Using another source: Support ~ ₹3,143.31 and ~ ₹3,125.26; Resistance ~ ~₹3,219.81 & ~₹3,249.03.
ASHOKA 1 Day Time Frame 📊 Current Context
Latest quoted price: ~ ₹214.86.
Daily technical/oscillator readings: RSI (14) ~ 73.64 → bullish but nearing over-bought territory.
Moving-averages: 5-day ~ ₹199.49; 20-day ~ ₹192.38; 50-day ~ ₹189.35. Price is above all these, which suggests upward momentum.
🎯 Key Levels to Watch (Daily)
From the latest data:
Pivot (classic): ~ ₹210.16.
Resistance levels:
R1 ~ ₹214.66
R2 ~ ₹221.42
Support levels:
S1 ~ ₹203.40
S2 ~ ₹198.90
S3 ~ ₹192.14
NETWORK18 1 Day Time Frame 📊 Key daily levels to watch
Here are approximate levels based on recent data:
Support: around ₹47.50-₹48.00 region (the near lower band)
Resistance: around ₹50.00-₹52.00 region — a near barrier if the stock tries to bounce.
Pivot/central reference: ~ ₹48.15 (classic pivot) for the day.
📌 Interpretation for a Day Trader
a) If price remains above ~₹48.00 and holds, that level may act as a short-term base.
b) A decisive break above ~₹49.50-₹50.10 with good volume could open a short relief move towards the next resistance zone.
Conversely, a break below ~₹47.50 would signal risk of deeper downside and may invalidate the c) short-term support.
d) Because the trend/indicator setup is weak (daily technicals show “Strong Sell” for daily timeframe), any long trade should be cautious and risk-managed.
Punjab National Bank: A Technical Setup Worth WatchingPunjab National Bank is trading at ₹122.80 and nearing a test of its long-term downtrend line on the monthly chart. With RSI climbing back above 60, the stock is showing signs of renewed bullish momentum.
Punjab National Bank (PNB), one of India’s leading public sector banks, is currently presenting an intriguing technical setup that could serve as a valuable case study for traders and investors. As of early November 2025, the stock is trading around ₹122.80 and is approaching a critical juncture on its monthly line chart—a potential test of its long-term downtrend line.
🔹 The Downtrend Line: A Barrier to Watch
In technical analysis, a downtrend line connects a series of lower highs and acts as a dynamic resistance level. When a stock approaches this line, it often faces selling pressure. However, if the stock manages to break above and sustain beyond this line, it signals a potential reversal in trend—from bearish to bullish.
PNB’s current price action suggests it is close to challenging this long-term resistance, which has historically capped upward movement. A successful breakout would not only mark a technical victory but could also shift investor sentiment in favor of the stock.
🔹 RSI Momentum: Strength Rebuilding
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum indicator that helps gauge the strength of price movements. PNB’s RSI has already traded above 70 once, indicating strong bullish momentum in the recent past. Although it pulled back, it has now rebounded above 60, suggesting that buying interest is returning.
This RSI behavior is significant. A move above 50 typically signals bullish territory, and a climb toward 70 reflects increasing strength. In the context of a potential trendline breakout, this momentum could provide the necessary fuel for a sustained upward move.
🧠 Educational Insights
Trendline Tests on Higher Timeframes: Monthly charts offer a broader view of market sentiment. A breakout on this timeframe carries more weight than short-term fluctuations.
Momentum Confirmation: RSI above 60, especially after a prior move above 70, indicates that the stock is regaining strength. This supports the case for a breakout rather than a rejection.
Price-Action Focus: Watching how the stock behaves around the downtrend line—whether it consolidates, spikes, or pulls back—can offer clues about the next move.
📌 Learners Takeaway
Punjab National Bank’s current setup is a classic example of a stock approaching a technical inflection point. With the price near ₹122.80 and RSI showing renewed strength, traders should monitor the monthly chart closely. A confirmed breakout above the long-term downtrend line could signal a major trend reversal, offering potential upside for those positioned early.
Live chart Example to keep Track
ADANIENT 1 Day Time Frame ✅ Important Levels
From the pivot-point and support/resistance calculations:
Pivot (Classic) ≈ ₹ 2,448.43
Resistance levels: ≈ ₹ 2,466.16 (R1) / ₹ 2,493.93 (R2)
Support levels: ≈ ₹ 2,420.66 (S1) / ₹ 2,402.93 (S2)
🧭 What to watch in the near term
a) If price breaks above ₹2,466-2,493 and holds above, that could shift bias upward and open a test of higher resistance levels.
b) If price slips below ₹2,420-2,402, further downside risk is likely, and next support zones would become relevant.
c) Given the bearish MA structure and weak momentum, the path of least resistance right now appears downward (unless strong buying emerges).
Crypto and Digital Asset Regulations in India (Post-2025)1. Early Phase: From Uncertainty to Recognition
The Indian crypto journey began with skepticism. In 2013, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) first issued warnings about virtual currencies like Bitcoin, citing risks of volatility, fraud, and lack of legal backing. Between 2017 and 2018, crypto trading volumes surged across Indian exchanges such as ZebPay and CoinDCX, prompting the RBI to impose a banking ban in April 2018. This prohibited regulated entities from providing services to crypto businesses, effectively stalling industry growth.
However, in March 2020, the Supreme Court of India overturned the RBI ban, ruling that it was unconstitutional. This verdict reopened doors for the crypto sector, allowing exchanges to restart operations. This was a landmark judgment that recognized crypto assets as a legitimate digital commodity, though not yet as legal tender.
2. Post-2021 Developments: Regulatory Consolidation
From 2021 onwards, the Indian government and financial regulators started formulating frameworks to oversee the growing digital asset ecosystem. The focus was on taxation, registration, and consumer protection, rather than outright prohibition.
In Budget 2022, the Finance Ministry took a crucial step by introducing a 30% tax on income from Virtual Digital Assets (VDAs). This was a clear signal that the government acknowledged the existence of digital assets but wanted to regulate them stringently. Additionally, a 1% TDS (Tax Deducted at Source) was applied to crypto transactions exceeding ₹10,000, aimed at tracking transactions and ensuring compliance.
While this tax structure made day trading less attractive, it marked a shift from banning to monitoring. The move was followed by exchanges being required to comply with Know Your Customer (KYC) and Anti-Money Laundering (AML) norms, integrating with India’s Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU-IND).
3. The Digital India Context: Blockchain Beyond Crypto
India’s broader Digital India initiative has greatly influenced crypto policy. The government recognizes that blockchain technology — which underpins cryptocurrencies — can revolutionize financial inclusion, supply chain management, and public records.
Projects such as the Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC), launched by the RBI as the Digital Rupee (e₹) in 2023, have demonstrated India’s willingness to explore regulated digital currencies. The CBDC aims to provide the benefits of digital transactions while maintaining state control over monetary policy.
However, private cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin or Ethereum remain outside the legal tender framework — they can be traded, but not used as official currency.
4. Current Regulatory Structure (Post-2025)
As of post-2025, India’s crypto and digital asset framework revolves around four key pillars:
a) Legal Recognition & Definitions
The Virtual Digital Asset (VDA) category covers cryptocurrencies, NFTs (Non-Fungible Tokens), and certain tokenized assets. They are recognized as digital commodities or property, not as money. The term “crypto currency” is deliberately avoided in official documents to emphasize that these are assets for investment, not currency substitutes.
b) Taxation Framework
30% flat tax on profits from digital asset transfers.
1% TDS on each transaction for monitoring purposes.
No offset of losses between different digital assets or against other income.
Gifts in digital assets are also taxable under existing income tax rules.
This framework discourages speculative trading but supports transparency and record-keeping.
c) Regulatory Bodies
RBI (Reserve Bank of India) – Oversees monetary implications and CBDC operations.
SEBI (Securities and Exchange Board of India) – May regulate tokenized securities or investment contracts.
FIU-IND – Monitors compliance with AML and KYC norms.
Finance Ministry – Leads policy formation and taxation oversight.
d) Exchange & Custody Regulations
Crypto exchanges are now required to:
Register under FIU-IND as “reporting entities.”
Maintain complete transaction and user data for audit purposes.
Ensure compliance with international FATF (Financial Action Task Force) standards.
Implement cold wallet storage and cybersecurity frameworks for asset safety.
5. Investor Protection and Market Discipline
Post-2025, investor protection remains a top priority. Regulators aim to protect retail investors from frauds, Ponzi schemes, and misleading promotions. Exchanges must provide disclosures on risk, volatility, and regulatory uncertainty.
Educational campaigns are being promoted through both government and industry initiatives to help investors differentiate between legitimate projects and scams. The industry also follows self-regulatory codes, inspired by SEBI norms for mutual funds and brokers.
6. India’s Stance on Global Coordination
India has been actively engaging in G20 and FATF discussions to establish global crypto standards. As G20 president in 2023, India pushed for a global regulatory framework to avoid cross-border arbitrage.
In 2025, India’s policies align with the G20-endorsed framework that calls for:
Uniform tax reporting standards (similar to the OECD’s “Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework”).
Common KYC and anti-terrorism financing standards.
Information sharing between nations on suspicious crypto transactions.
This international collaboration helps prevent misuse of crypto for money laundering or terror financing while enabling legitimate innovation.
7. Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) – The Digital Rupee
The Digital Rupee (e₹) represents India’s official foray into state-backed digital assets. Issued by the RBI, it functions like a virtual version of the Indian Rupee, ensuring transparency, traceability, and low-cost transfers.
Key features include:
Pilot use in wholesale and retail segments.
Interoperability with UPI and bank apps.
Programmable transactions for specific purposes (like subsidies or government payments).
The CBDC complements rather than competes with private crypto assets — providing a regulated digital payment option backed by sovereign authority.
8. Emerging Trends: Tokenization and DeFi
India’s next wave of digital asset regulation focuses on tokenized real-world assets (RWA) and Decentralized Finance (DeFi). Tokenization allows physical assets such as real estate, art, or bonds to be represented digitally, creating liquidity and transparency.
However, regulators are cautious about DeFi projects due to the anonymity involved. The focus remains on regulated innovation, where blockchain is used under frameworks ensuring identity verification and financial stability.
9. Challenges Ahead
Despite progress, India faces several challenges:
Tax Burden: The 30% tax and 1% TDS discourage active participation.
Lack of Clear Legal Status: Crypto is not illegal, but not officially legal either.
Banking Hesitancy: Some banks remain cautious in offering services to exchanges.
Regulatory Fragmentation: Multiple agencies overlap in jurisdiction, slowing innovation.
Still, the policy direction is moving toward clarity, control, and co-existence.
10. The Road Ahead
Looking beyond 2025, India aims to establish a Comprehensive Digital Asset Regulation Bill that classifies different asset types (utility tokens, security tokens, stablecoins) and provides guidelines for their issuance, trading, and taxation.
The focus will be on:
Integrating blockchain in public infrastructure.
Encouraging innovation in Web3 and fintech startups.
Aligning with global best practices to make India a regulated digital asset hub.
With its young tech-driven population and strong fintech ecosystem, India has the potential to lead in responsible crypto innovation while maintaining financial sovereignty.
Conclusion
Post-2025, India’s crypto and digital asset regulations reflect a measured and pragmatic approach — not anti-crypto, but pro-regulation. The government acknowledges the transformative power of blockchain while safeguarding against financial risks. Through structured taxation, compliance requirements, and global coordination, India is building the foundation for a transparent, secure, and innovation-friendly digital asset ecosystem.
As policies mature, the country’s focus will likely shift from control to collaboration — enabling India to play a leading role in shaping the future of global digital finance.






















