Kotak Mahindra Bank - Bulls Wish Happy 2026 Ahead!!!Kotak Mahindra Bank after 4 years of tight consolidation , has given a Beautiful 2025 Yearly Breakout!!!
It is trading inside a expanding ascending channel pattern from 2014 till now ....taking support and resistance at respective channel lines( shown below- 6month timeframe chart )
Chances are less for a down move after this clean yearly breakout... .Breaking 2059.2 will be a warning sign and possibly delay the upmove...(not for long term investors....)
Monthly time frame chart view below-
For Long term Investors , Monthly breakdown out of the channel with good volume support would make the SL.
Target levels mentioned for long term ones.
With the Stock split on Jan 14, 2026, Kotak bank will see high retail participation and higher volumes!!!
Anyway , Charts indicating a bulls eye on Kotak Mahindra Bank in 2026 and future!!!
Just Sharing my View...not a tip nor advice!!!
Wishing you all a very HAPPY & Prosperous NEWYEAR 2026!!!!
Thank you,
mmjimm!!
Community ideas
Managing Losses and Drawdowns: The Psychology Behind DrawdownsUnderstanding Drawdowns Beyond Numbers
A drawdown is not just a percentage decline in capital; it is an emotional experience. A 10% drawdown can feel manageable to one trader and devastating to another. This subjective experience arises because drawdowns threaten three deeply rooted psychological needs:
Ego and self-image (“I thought I was good at this”)
Sense of control (“The market is not behaving as expected”)
Fear of future loss (“What if this gets worse?”)
When capital declines, traders often interpret it as personal failure rather than statistical variance. This misinterpretation magnifies emotional pain and clouds judgment.
Loss Aversion and Emotional Asymmetry
One of the strongest behavioral finance principles at play during drawdowns is loss aversion. Psychologically, losses hurt roughly twice as much as equivalent gains feel good. This asymmetry explains why traders may:
Exit winning trades too early
Hold losing trades too long
Abandon a profitable system after a temporary drawdown
Loss aversion pushes traders to seek emotional relief instead of probabilistic advantage. The mind prioritizes stopping pain now over achieving long-term expectancy, which is why impulsive decisions increase during drawdowns.
Ego, Identity, and Overreaction
Many traders unconsciously tie their identity to trading performance. When equity curves fall, it feels like a judgment on intelligence, discipline, or competence. This ego involvement triggers:
Overtrading to “prove oneself”
Revenge trading after losses
Strategy hopping in search of instant recovery
The more ego-driven the trader, the more severe the psychological reaction to drawdowns. Professionals, in contrast, view drawdowns as operational events, not personal ones.
Fear, Stress, and Cognitive Narrowing
During drawdowns, stress hormones such as cortisol increase, leading to cognitive narrowing—a mental state where the brain focuses on threats and ignores nuance. In this state:
Risk perception becomes distorted
Probabilistic thinking declines
Rule-based discipline collapses
Traders begin to see the market as hostile rather than neutral. This “fight or flight” response is biologically outdated for modern financial markets but still governs behavior unless consciously managed.
The Illusion of Control and Panic Adjustments
Another psychological trap during drawdowns is the illusion of control. Traders may believe that frequent changes—adjusting stops, indicators, timeframes—will immediately stop losses. While adaptation is important, reactive tinkering driven by fear usually worsens outcomes.
Common panic behaviors include:
Reducing position size inconsistently
Removing stops after losses
Doubling down to recover faster
These actions are rarely strategic; they are emotional attempts to regain certainty in an uncertain environment.
Drawdowns as Statistical Reality, Not Failure
Every trading system has a maximum expected drawdown. Even highly profitable strategies experience losing streaks. The psychological error is assuming that a drawdown means:
The strategy is broken
Market conditions will never improve
Losses will continue indefinitely
In reality, drawdowns are the cost of participation. Accepting this intellectually is easy; accepting it emotionally requires experience, preparation, and mindset conditioning.
Managing Losses Through Psychological Preparation
Effective drawdown management begins before losses occur. Traders who survive long term typically:
Define acceptable drawdowns in advance
Risk small enough to stay emotionally stable
Expect losing streaks as normal
When losses occur within expected boundaries, the mind remains calmer. Surprise—not loss itself—is what destabilizes psychology.
Detachment and Process-Oriented Thinking
One of the most powerful psychological shifts is moving from outcome focus to process focus. Instead of asking:
“How much money did I lose?”
Ask:
“Did I follow my rules correctly?”
This reframing reduces emotional volatility and restores a sense of control. Over time, consistency of process matters far more than short-term equity fluctuations.
Confidence vs. Overconfidence During Drawdowns
Healthy confidence allows traders to continue executing a proven system during drawdowns. Overconfidence, however, collapses quickly when losses appear. True confidence is built on:
Data-backed expectancy
Historical drawdown analysis
Emotional self-awareness
Traders with grounded confidence do not panic during losses; they become more disciplined.
Recovery Psychology and the Urge to ‘Make It Back’
One of the most dangerous mental states is the recovery mindset—the urge to quickly make back losses. This mindset shifts goals from execution to emotional repair. Consequences include:
Taking suboptimal trades
Increasing risk unjustifiably
Ignoring market conditions
Professionals understand that capital recovery is a byproduct of good decisions, not a direct objective.
Learning vs. Self-Blame
Constructive reflection during drawdowns focuses on behavior, not self-worth. Questions that promote growth include:
Were losses within expected parameters?
Did emotions influence execution?
Is this variance or a structural issue?
Self-blame, on the other hand, drains confidence and increases hesitation, leading to missed opportunities when conditions improve.
Resilience and Long-Term Survival
Psychological resilience is the ability to stay rational under prolonged uncertainty. This is developed through:
Experience with past drawdowns
Journaling emotional responses
Gradual exposure to risk
Traders who survive multiple drawdowns develop emotional immunity. Losses no longer shock them; they become routine data points.
Conclusion: Mastering the Inner Game
Managing losses and drawdowns is less about eliminating pain and more about responding intelligently to it. The market will always test patience, discipline, and emotional stability. Those who understand the psychology behind drawdowns stop fighting reality and start working with it.
In the long run, strategies make money—but psychology keeps you in the game. Traders who master drawdown psychology transform losses from threats into teachers, building the emotional durability required for sustained success in the financial markets.
ITC – Sell on Rise | Major Support Zone Ahead📉 ITC – Sell on Rise | Major Support Zone Ahead
Stock: ITC Ltd
Timeframe: Daily
Trend: Bearish (Short-term)
🔍 Technical Analysis
ITC has decisively broken all major support levels, indicating a clear shift in market structure from sideways to bearish. The recent breakdown is accompanied by weak price action, suggesting sellers are in control on rallies.
Post breakdown, the stock is now below key moving averages and struggling to reclaim lost support zones, confirming a sell-on-rise structure.
🔻 Trend Structure
Breakdown of multiple supports
Lower highs formation on daily timeframe
Pullbacks likely to face selling pressure
🔻 Volume Behavior
Breakdown occurred with expanding volumes
Indicates distribution, not panic selling
Any bounce without volume likely to fail
🟢 Strong Buy Support Zone (High Probability Demand Area)
📍 ₹280 – ₹295 zone
This zone is technically important due to:
Fibonacci 0.50 retracement level
Anchored VWAP support
Prior price acceptance area
This zone is expected to act as a strong demand zone where buyers may attempt a reversal or consolidation.
🧠 Trading Plan
🔹 Sell on Rise
Look for rejection signals near broken supports
Avoid fresh longs above resistance until structure improves
🔹 Buy Only at Support
Aggressive longs only if strong price reaction is seen in ₹280–₹295 zone
Look for:
Bullish reversal candle
Volume expansion on bounce
Failure of price to sustain below VWAP
⚠️ Risk Management
Avoid positional longs until price reclaims key resistances
Keep strict stop loss below support zone if attempting counter-trend longs
This is a zone-based trade, not blind buying
📌 Conclusion
ITC remains bearish in the short term and is best approached with a sell-on-rise strategy. A meaningful buying opportunity may emerge only near the ₹280–₹295 strong support zone, supported by Fibonacci 0.50 and Anchored VWAP confluence.
📉 Trade the trend. Respect levels. Manage risk.
XAUUSD (H1) – Early 2026 ForecastShort-term recovery inside a larger bullish cycle 💛
Quick market recap
2025 performance: Gold surged ~64%, the strongest annual gain since 1979
Recent move: Sharp year-end correction driven by profit-taking and margin adjustments, not trend reversal
Big picture: The multi-year bull market in precious metals remains intact
Fundamental context (why the trend still matters)
Despite the late-2025 pullback, the broader precious metals complex remains structurally strong. Gold, silver, platinum, and palladium all benefited from:
Fed rate-cut cycle expectations
Persistent geopolitical tensions
Strong central bank buying
Industrial demand and supply constraints (especially for silver and platinum)
Most analysts agree the recent correction was technical in nature. The long-term outlook still points toward gold potentially testing 5,000 USD/oz and silver approaching 100 USD/oz in 2026, although short-term volatility is expected to remain high.
Technical view (H1) – Based on the chart
After failing to hold above the ATH, gold experienced a sharp bearish displacement, followed by a stabilization phase near a strong support zone. Price is now attempting a recovery, but the structure suggests this is still a corrective move within a broader range.
Key observations:
Strong sell-off broke short-term bullish structure
Price is rebounding from major support, forming a potential higher low
Overhead liquidity and Fibonacci zones remain key reaction areas
Key levels Lana is watching
Buy zone – Strong liquidity support
Buy: 4345 – 4350
This is a strong liquidity zone where price already reacted. If price revisits this area and holds structure, it offers a favorable risk-to-reward buy aligned with the larger bullish cycle.
Sell zone – Short-term resistance (scalping)
Sell scalping: 4332 – 4336
This zone aligns with short-term resistance and Fibonacci reaction levels. If price fails here, a brief pullback toward support is possible.
Important overhead liquidity
Key liquidity: 4404 area
A clean break and hold above this level would signal stronger bullish continuation toward higher targets.
Scenarios to consider
Scenario 1 – Range correction continues
Price reacts at short-term resistance, rotates back into liquidity, and builds a base before the next directional move.
Scenario 2 – Bullish continuation resumes
A break above overhead liquidity opens the path toward higher levels, potentially retesting prior highs as the new year unfolds.
Lana’s approach 🌿
Trade zones, not headlines
Focus on price reaction at liquidity levels
Accept short-term volatility while respecting the long-term bullish structure
This analysis reflects Lana’s personal market view and is not financial advice. Please manage risk carefully and trade responsibly 💛
APLAPOLLO : VCP Breakout with Fundamental ConfirmationInitiated a long position in APLAPOLLO following a high-conviction breakout from a multi-month Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP). Although the price is currently extended from the 20- and 50-day EMAs, the structural strength of the breakout suggests the beginning of a fresh leg in the uptrend.
From a fundamentals perspective, the company continues to deliver strong and consistent sales and EPS growth, reinforcing its positioning as a proxy for India’s infrastructure-led growth cycle.
To manage the risk associated with being extended from the moving averages, I’ve opted for a wider stop-loss, allowing room for short-term volatility or a potential retest of the breakout zone. This approach gives the trade sufficient breathing space while the moving averages gradually catch up to price.
From a broader market standpoint, the recent ~10% correction in ITC following the government’s cigarette tax announcement has created temporary index-level pressure on the Nifty 50. However, this has triggered a clear sectoral rotation rather than broad-based weakness. Capital is rotating out of regulatory-impacted FMCG names and into high-growth industrial leaders like APL Apollo.
Given its insulation from regulatory shocks and its direct linkage to domestic capex growth, APL Apollo is exhibiting strong relative strength even as the broader market remains range-bound.
Initiated the position with 1% risk.
📢📢📢
If my perspective changes or if I gather additional fundamental data that influences my views, I will provide updates accordingly.
Thank you for following along with this journey, and I remain committed to sharing insights and updates as my trading strategy evolves. As always, please feel free to reach out with any questions or comments.
Other posts related to this particular position and scrip, if any, will be attached underneath. Do check those out too.
Disclaimer : The analysis shared here is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in all markets carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It’s essential to conduct your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. The views expressed in this analysis are solely mine. It’s important to note that I am not a SEBI registered analyst, so the analysis provided does not constitute formal investment advice under SEBI regulations.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 02.01.2026NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 02.01.2026
Timeframe: 3 Minutes
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
please like and share my idea if you find it helpful
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research
Nifty Analysis for Jan 01 to 06 Jan, 2026Wrap-up:
Nifty breaks 25941. Therefore, our long term/positional targets are open and heading towards it step by step it. Nifty has completed wave 1 of major wave C at 25945 and wave 2 at 26236. Now, Nifty heading towards wave 3.
In wave 3, internal wave 1 has completed at 25878 and wave 2 at 26195. Now, heading towards internal wave 3.
What I’m Watching for Jan 01 to 06 Jan, 2026 🔍
Short nifty at 26195 sl 26236 for a target of 25097-24934.
Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.
Bank Nifty for Expansion Final Idea of 2025Greetings Traders, As we head into the final sessions of 2025, I’m sharing my last trading idea of the year a high-conviction Bank Nifty setup based purely on price structure, acceptance, and breakout continuation logic.
🔹 Current Market Structure:
Bank Nifty has completed a healthy corrective phase and is now trading inside a tight consolidation range after a prior impulsive move. The repeated inability of price to break below the demand zone suggests strong accumulation at lower levels.
🔹 Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: 58,400–58,600 (multiple rejections, double-bottom formation)
Resistance / Neckline: 59,500 (range high and supply cap)
Price is coiling between these two levels, creating a classic volatility compression setup. Such structures often resolve with directional expansion, and the higher timeframe bias currently favors the upside.
🔹 Trade Plan (Upside Bias):
Primary Trigger: A decisive 4H close above 59,500
Aggressive Entry: Break-and-hold above 59,500 on strong momentum
Conservative Entry: Breakout followed by a retest and hold of 59,500
🔹 Targets:
Target 1: 60,000 (round-number resistance and partial booking zone)
Target 2: 61,300–61,500 (measured move projection from consolidation range)
🔹 Risk Management / Invalidation:
As long as price holds above 58,400, the bullish structure remains intact
A sustained breakdown below this zone would invalidate the long setup and negate the idea
🔹 Trade Philosophy:
This is a structure-based trade, not a prediction. The idea is to react to confirmation, align with momentum, and let price expansion do the heavy lifting.
Final Note:
Ending 2025 with a reminder that clean levels, patience, and risk control matter more than overtrading. Trade light, trade planned, and let the market confirm.
⚠️ This is a trading idea for discussion and educational purposes only. Manage risk accordingly.
Regards- Amit, Happy new year in advance mates.
XAUUSD (H1) – Short-term Correction After ATH Lana focuses on sell rallies, waiting for a deeper buy zone 💛
Quick overview
Market state: Sharp sell-off after failing to hold above ATH
Timeframe: H1
Current structure: Strong bearish impulse → corrective rebound in progress
Intraday bias: Sell on pullbacks, buy only at major support
Technical picture (based on the chart)
Gold printed a clear distribution top near ATH, followed by a strong bearish displacement. This move broke the short-term bullish structure and shifted momentum to the downside.
Price is now attempting a technical rebound, but so far this looks corrective rather than impulsive. As long as price stays below key resistance, Lana treats this as a sell-the-rally environment.
Key observations:
Strong bearish candle confirms loss of bullish control
Current rebound is moving into prior liquidity + Fibonacci reaction zone
Market is likely building a lower high before the next move
Key levels to trade
Sell zone – priority setup
Sell: 4392 – 4395
This zone aligns with:
Prior structure resistance
Fibonacci retracement area
Liquidity resting above current price
If price reaches this zone and shows rejection, Lana will look for sell continuation.
Buy zone – only at strong support
Buy: 4275 – 4278
This is a higher-timeframe support zone and the first area where buyers may attempt to step back in. Lana only considers buys here if price shows clear reaction and stabilization.
Intraday scenarios
Scenario 1 – Rejection at resistance (preferred)
Price retraces into 4392–4395, fails to break higher, and rolls over → continuation to the downside, targeting deeper liquidity.
Scenario 2 – Deeper correction then recovery
If selling pressure extends, price may sweep liquidity into 4275–4278 before forming a base for a larger rebound into the new year.
Market tone
The recent move reflects profit-taking and risk reduction after an extended rally. With year-end liquidity thinning out, price action can remain volatile and deceptive, making zone-based trading essential.
This analysis reflects Lana’s technical view and is not financial advice. Always manage your own risk and wait for confirmation before entering trades 💛
GIFTNIFTY IntraSwing Levels For 02nd JAN 2026🚀Follow & Calculate Premium with NIFTY Post for NF Trading
💥Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
Do comment if Helpful .
Do Comment for In depth Analysis.
❇️ Follow notification about periodical View
💥 Do Comment for Stock WEEKLY Level Analysis.🚀
XAUUSD Pullback – Monitor Supply Before Next MoveMarket Context (Short-Term)
Gold has printed a strong bearish impulse, followed by a technical pullback phase. The current upside move is corrective in nature, driven by liquidity rebalancing, not a confirmed trend reversal.
Market Structure & Price Action
Short-term structure remains bearish with lower highs in place.
The ongoing recovery is a pullback within a bearish leg, not a new bullish trend.
No valid bullish break of structure has been confirmed on the intraday timeframe.
Key Technical Zones
Supply / Sell Reaction Zone: 4,401 – 4,462
→ Major distribution area. Expect selling pressure and potential bearish reaction.
Intermediate Resistance: 4,348 – 4,350
→ Current reaction zone where price may consolidate or fake-break before the next move.
Demand / Buy Zones:
4,322 – 4,326
4,285 – 4,290
→ Liquidity-rich demand areas where the pullback may complete.
Primary Scenario (MMF Bias)
Price continues to retrace into the 4,40x supply zone, shows rejection or bearish confirmation, then rotates lower toward the demand zones below.
Alternative Scenario
If price accepts above 4,401 with strong bullish displacement and clean structure, the pullback could extend toward the higher supply near 4,46x.
Flow & Macro Considerations
Early-year liquidity remains thin, increasing the probability of liquidity sweeps on both sides. Patience is required—wait for price reaction at key zones rather than chasing momentum.
Conclusion
Bias remains bearish-to-neutral while below supply. Focus on price reaction at key zones, not direction. Let the market reveal intent.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – January 2, 2026
🎉 Happy New Year 2026
Wishing everyone a disciplined, consistent, and profitable trading year ahead.
1. Momentum Analysis
Daily (D1)
Daily momentum is currently approaching the oversold zone and preparing for a bullish reversal. This suggests that in the coming period, the market is likely to see a corrective rebound lasting at least several days, until D1 momentum reaches the overbought area.
H4
H4 momentum is currently in the overbought zone, which increases the probability of a bearish momentum reversal on the H4 timeframe in the near term.
H1
H1 momentum is compressed and overlapping within the overbought zone, indicating a high probability that H1 momentum will continue to turn bearish.
2. Elliott Wave Structure
Daily (D1)
After the strong sell-off, we can identify approximately five consecutive bearish D1 candles, which aligns well with the observation that D1 momentum is preparing to reverse upward from oversold conditions.
Therefore, the upcoming advance is likely to be Wave 2 or Wave B, within the structure of the purple Wave Y.
This expected rebound may move in sync with D1 momentum. As a result, we should closely monitor price behavior as D1 momentum enters the overbought zone for confirmation.
- If D1 momentum reaches overbought but price fails to create a new high, this will further confirm the continuation of the purple Wave Y scenario.
- The projected targets for Wave Y remain at 4072 and 3761.
H4
The prior decline on H4 can be counted as Wave 1 or Wave A within the purple Wave Y structure.
The current recovery is likely forming Wave 2 or Wave B.
⚠️ If price breaks decisively above 4549 while D1 momentum is already overbought, the current wave-count scenario would be invalidated and require reassessment.
H1
A complete five-wave bearish structure (red) has already formed.
According to Elliott Wave principles, a completed five-wave move is typically followed by at least a three-wave corrective structure.
With D1 momentum preparing to reverse bullishly, if today’s D1 candle closes with bullish confirmation, this corrective rally could extend for several days, but should not break above the 4549 level.
Since this advance is likely Wave 2 or Wave B, its characteristics are expected to be:
- Slow price movement
- Overlapping and choppy sub-waves
👉 For this reason, I recommend short-term trading only at this stage and avoiding aggressive long-term buy positions.
3. Resistance Zones & Key Levels
The expected completion zones for the corrective rebound are:
- 4376
- 4405
- 4445
Among these:
- 4405 and 4445 are strong confluence resistance zones, aligning with the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the prior decline.
- These areas are considered ideal zones to look for long-term sell opportunities, targeting the completion of the purple Wave Y.
4. Trading Plan
Sell Scenario 1
- Sell zone: 4404 – 4406
- Stop loss: 4415
- TP1: 4344
- TP2: 4275
- TP3: 4072
Sell Scenario 2
- Sell zone: 4444 – 4446
- Stop loss: 4465
- TP1: 4405
- TP2: 4275
- TP3: 4072
NIFTY Buy-on-Dips | 26,000 CE Opportunity for Jan 6NIFTY continues to show bullish strength, and the broader structure favors a buy-on-dips approach for today, 2nd January 2026.
📌 Trade Setup (Options):
Instrument: NIFTY 26,000 CE (6th Jan Expiry)
Buy Zone: ₹180 – ₹170
Target: ₹240
Risk Level: ₹140 (must hold on closing basis)
As long as ₹140 remains intact, the bullish momentum stays valid. A dip into the mentioned buy zone could offer a low-risk, high-reward opportunity aligned with the current trend.
⚠️ Trade with strict risk management and adjust position sizing accordingly.
📌 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your trading plan.
Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀
Happy Trading,
– The InvestPro Team
NIFTY-50 ADVANCE ANALISYS FOR 2 JANUARY 2026Buy setup
Buy on pullback near 26182–26190
Stop loss: 26100
Sell setup
Sell below 26100 after 15min close
Stop loss: 26183
Bullish target-1 26262 (fake level extension OR short covering zone).
Bullish target-2: 26313 (day’s extreme resistance).
If price rejects at 26183 with long upper wick ......avoid longs.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 02nd January 2025📊 NIFTY INTRADAY TRADE SETUP (15-MIN CANDLE BASED)
🟢 BUY SETUP (Bullish Scenario)
📈 Condition:
Buy ONLY IF NIFTY breaks & closes above the HIGH of the 15-minute candle
Confirmation Level: 26192 (15-min candle must CLOSE above this level)
🎯 BUY TARGETS:
🎯 Target 1: 26230
🎯 Target 2: 26255
🎯 Target 3: 26299
🛡️ Risk Management Tip:
Trail stop-loss after Target 1 is achieved
Book partial profits at each target for safer trading
🔴 SELL SETUP (Bearish Scenario)
📉 Condition:
Sell ONLY IF NIFTY breaks & closes below the LOW of the 15-minute candle
Confirmation Level: 26107 (15-min candle must CLOSE below this level)
🎯 SELL TARGETS:
🎯 Target 1: 26075
🎯 Target 2: 26045
🎯 Target 3: 26005
🛡️ Risk Management Tip:
Trail stop-loss once Target 1 is hit
Avoid over-trading in sideways market
⚠️ IMPORTANT TRADING RULES
✔️ Trade only after 15-minute candle close confirmation
✔️ Avoid trades during high volatility news events
✔️ Follow strict stop-loss discipline
✔️ Capital protection is more important than profits
🚨 DISCLAIMER
⚠️ I am NOT a SEBI Registered Advisor.
📌 This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
📌 Stock market investments are subject to market risks.
📌 Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
📌 I am not responsible for any profit or loss arising from the use of this information.
LTTS : Near Key Support | Trend Continuation WatchTimeframe: Daily
Trend Context: Corrective phase nearing completion
Current Price Zone: ~4,380
🔍 Market Structure & Technical Observations
Elliott Wave Perspective (Educational View):
The stock appears to be completing a corrective Wave-C near the 4,360–4,390 zone.
This zone aligns with prior demand and acts as a potential reversal pocket.
If Wave-C holds, the next impulsive leg (Wave-5) can begin.
Moving Average Insight:
Price has pulled back toward the short-term moving average, often seen near corrective endings.
Sustaining above this base improves odds of a trend resumption.
Support & Risk Zone:
Critical support: 4,360–4,390
Invalidation level: Daily close below 4,290
A close below this would indicate deeper correction, not accumulation.
Volume Behavior (Contextual):
No panic volume seen during decline, suggesting controlled profit booking, not distribution.
🎯 Trade Strategies
🟢 1. Swing Trading Strategy (Cash / Positional)
Buy Zone: 4,360–4,420 (on stabilization / reversal candle)
Stop Loss: Daily close below 4,290
Upside Targets:
Target 1: 4,770–4,830 (Major supply / F&O target zone)
Target 2: 5,120 (Swing projection)
📌 This setup offers a favorable Risk–Reward if price respects the Wave-C base.
🟡 2. F&O / Options Strategy (Educational)
Prefer bull call spreads or call buying only after confirmation.
Ideal confirmation:
Strong close above 4,480–4,500
OR bullish structure on lower timeframe from support
Avoid aggressive naked calls below 4,360, as volatility expansion works both ways.
🎓 Educational Notes (Why This Zone Matters)
Corrections often end where:
Prior breakout occurred
Fibonacci retracement clusters
Market sentiment turns pessimistic
The 4,360–4,390 zone ticks multiple boxes → making it a decision zone, not blind buy.
⚠️ Risk Management Guidelines
Do not average blindly below support.
Size positions assuming stop loss will be hit.
Options traders must factor in time decay — direction alone is not enough.
🧾 Summary & Conclusion
LTTS is currently at a make-or-break zone.
If the 4,360–4,390 support holds, the stock has the potential to resume its primary uptrend toward 4,830 and 5,120 in the coming weeks.
Failure to hold 4,290 on daily closing basis invalidates the bullish structure.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI registered analyst.
Markets are uncertain, and I may be wrong — please manage risk responsibly.
NIFTY Levels for TodayHere are the NIFTY's Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both.
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
BANKNIFTY Levels for TodayHere are the BANKNIFTY’s Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both.
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 02/01/2026A gap-up opening is expected in Nifty 50, with prices opening near 26,140, indicating stability and continuation of the existing range. Despite the positive opening bias, there are no major changes in yesterday’s levels, suggesting that the index is still trading within a well-defined consolidation zone. The market remains balanced, and a clear breakout or breakdown is required for strong directional momentum.
On the upside, 26,250 continues to act as a crucial resistance level. A sustained move and hold above this zone can trigger fresh long positions, with upside targets placed at 26,350, 26,400, and 26,450+. Additionally, intraday buying interest can be considered near 26,050–26,100 if the index shows strength, aiming for 26,150, 26,200, and 26,250+.
On the downside, rejection from the 26,200–26,250 zone may lead to a short-term reversal move. In such a scenario, short trades can be considered with downside targets at 26,150, 26,100, and 26,000. As long as Nifty remains within this range, traders should focus on level-based trades, maintain strict risk management, and avoid aggressive positions until a decisive breakout confirms the next trend.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(02/01/2026)A gap-up opening is expected in Bank Nifty, reflecting continued bullish sentiment after the recent strong upside move and consolidation near higher levels. The index is currently trading around 59,700, which places it above key intraday support zones and keeps the overall bias positive as long as these levels are defended.
On the bullish side, 59,550–59,600 remains an important support zone. If Bank Nifty sustains above this range, buying can be considered with upside targets at 59,750, 59,850, and 59,950+. A decisive breakout above 60,050 will be a major strength signal and can open the path for a further rally toward 60,250, 60,350, and 60,450+, indicating trend continuation.
On the bearish side, any rejection or breakdown below 59,450–59,400 may invite short-term profit booking. In that case, selling positions can be considered with downside targets at 59,250, 59,150, and 59,050. Overall, the structure remains bullish, and traders should prefer buy-on-dips near support levels while keeping strict stop-losses, as volatility can increase after a gap-up opening.
BPCL : Trading the Confluence of Price Action & Macro TailwindsThe stock has been consolidating within a defined range over the past few weeks and has recently started forming a solid base. While the breakout volume isn’t a classic “God-candle,” price action continues to hold firmly above key moving averages, which is a constructive sign. That said, the price is somewhat extended from the EMAs, increasing the probability of a mean-reversion move. Hence, the stop loss needs to be placed wider rather than just below the basing structure.
The conviction behind this trade comes largely from the current Goldilocks macro environment we’re witnessing in early 2026. With global crude prices remaining comfortably low, BPCL is benefiting from strong marketing margins across petrol and diesel, supporting near-term earnings visibility.
On the fundamental side, a major catalyst is the Government’s LPG compensation package. BPCL is expected to receive a significant share of the ₹30,000 crore payout allocated to OMCs, which materially improves cash flows in H2 FY26. This inflow also acts as a strong deleveraging trigger, further strengthening an already improving balance sheet that has seen a steady decline in debt-equity levels over recent quarters.
So took this position with 1% risk on the net capital.
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If my perspective changes or if I gather additional fundamental data that influences my views, I will provide updates accordingly.
Thank you for following along with this journey, and I remain committed to sharing insights and updates as my trading strategy evolves. As always, please feel free to reach out with any questions or comments.
Other posts related to this particular position and scrip, if any, will be attached underneath. Do check those out too.
Disclaimer : The analysis shared here is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in all markets carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It’s essential to conduct your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. The views expressed in this analysis are solely mine. It’s important to note that I am not a SEBI registered analyst, so the analysis provided does not constitute formal investment advice under SEBI regulations.






















