Part 2 Ride The Big Moves How Option Prices Are Determined
Option prices are influenced by several factors. The most common model used to calculate the theoretical value of an option is the Black-Scholes Model. The key factors that affect option prices include:
Underlying Asset Price: The higher the price of the asset, the higher the value of a call option and the lower the value of a put option.
Strike Price: The difference between the strike and current market price affects the intrinsic value of the option.
Time to Expiration: The more time left until expiration, the higher the premium (because there’s more time for the option to become profitable).
Volatility: Higher volatility increases option premiums since the chance of large price movement rises.
Interest Rates and Dividends: These can slightly influence option values, especially for longer-term options.
Community ideas
CDSL Breakout from Falling Wedge – Can It Rally to 1830+?CDSL has recently broken out from a classic falling wedge pattern, a bullish technical setup that often signals a trend reversal or continuation of the broader uptrend. After months of being compressed between a descending resistance and a well-established support line, the stock has now pierced through the upper resistance zone with notable bullish momentum.
The wedge had formed over several months, creating lower highs and relatively equal or slightly rising lows. The pattern was further supported by a confluence with the 200 EMA, which acted as a critical dynamic support near the breakout zone. This alignment of technical indicators added strength to the breakout confirmation seen recently.
With this breakout, CDSL has now opened doors for higher targets. The immediate Target 1 is set at ₹1650, which also aligns with a recent horizontal resistance zone. Once this is breached, the next move could extend toward Target 2 at ₹1750, a level where previous price action has shown hesitation. If momentum continues to build and the broader market supports the move, the final projected target of ₹1830+ becomes achievable in the short to medium term.
However, it’s crucial to note that the support zone below ₹1480 is acting as a critical invalidation point for this bullish setup. Any strong breakdown below this zone, especially with volume, would fail the bullish structure and may push the stock back into consolidation or a deeper correction. Traders must also watch the red dotted trendline, which represents a former resistance turned possible retest zone.
Overall, the technical landscape is now favoring the bulls, especially after the breakout confirmation and support from the 200 EMA. Traders and investors should monitor price action near the projected levels and manage risk accordingly, while riding the momentum above the wedge resistance.
MAZDOCK 1 Day Time Frame ✅ Key Technical Levels
From the data:
Pivot / recent support levels: ~ ₹2,665 and ~ ₹2,603.
Resistance levels: ~ ₹2,837.6 (short term) and ~ ₹3,121.9.
Moving averages: The price (~ ₹2,729) is below the 20‑day / 50‑day / 100‑day MAs.
Technical indicators: RSI ~ 37.6 (low/neutral), MACD negative, trend strength weak (ADX ~11).
Gold Rejection at Resistance with Potential Bearish PullbackAnalysis:
The chart shows XAUUSD approaching a strong horizontal resistance zone around 4015–4020, a level where price has previously been rejected multiple times (highlighted in yellow). The market recently broke out of a falling channel, showing short-term bullish momentum, but now price is stalling again at this key resistance.
The grey zone above suggests a supply area, and the white arrow indicates a projected bearish move. As long as gold stays below this resistance, the probability of a downward correction increases.
A potential bearish target appears around 3900–3920 (previous support zone), where buyers may re-enter.
Key Points:
Strong multi-touch resistance at 4015–4020
Price showing early rejection signs
Bearish correction likely if price fails to break above resistance
Downside targets: 3920, possibly 3900
Bank nifty long term viewold idea posted 1 year ago and extended the analysis ...market still struggling for upside... need a major support otherwise it'll go back to the dump. last time when BN cracked after posting the old idea it was somewhere around 10%. if you look at the 6 jan 2025 it was cracked 5% in a week and it also broken lower line of the parallel channel after that you know it reached 48k made double bottom there and pumped up to go back in the old parallel channel. this channel contains all since 2020 except that double bottom. still BN trying to stay in that. let's see what happens. NSE:BANKNIFTY
GOLD IS SETTING UP FOR ANOTHER BULLISH RUN — BUY THE DIP BEFORE November 7, 2025 — GOLD Daily Trading Plan 💰
🎯 Bias: LONG Setup (Buy the Dip)
Gold continues to show bullish market structure after multiple BOS (Break of Structure) confirmations on both intraday and H1 charts.
Price has reacted from the previous demand area 3969–3977, leaving a clean FVG below, suggesting unfilled imbalance and potential liquidity resting underneath.
At the moment, XAUUSD is hovering near 4007, approaching a minor supply zone at 4018–4020. I expect price to potentially sweep liquidity above 4018, then retrace back toward 3975–3969 to form a higher low before continuing its bullish leg.
Key confluences supporting the long bias:
✅ Multiple BOS and CHoCH shifts confirm bullish intent.
✅ FVG + Volume Gap below aligns with a discount zone for entries.
✅ Structural higher low formation still intact as long as price holds above 3965.
📌 Trade Plan:
🟩 Buy Zone: 3977 – 3969
⛔ Stop Loss: 3963 (max 6 points)
🎯 Take Profit 1: 4005
🎯 Take Profit 2: 4018
If price decisively breaks above 4020, expect continuation toward 4035–4040, but intraday traders should secure profits around the 4018 zone.
In case of a deeper retracement, watch for liquidity grabs near 3965–3950 FVG before another bullish push.
LiamTrading – Gold compressed at the triangle peak; watch for...LiamTrading – Gold compressed at the triangle peak; watch for a break at 4020 (H2)
After a week of accumulation, the price is pressing against the triangle peak between the descending trendline (from late October) and the ascending trendline (from 5/11). The advantage will clearly lean towards an increase if 4020 is broken and held.
Technical Analysis (prioritise H2, Volume Profile – Trendline – S/R – Fibonacci)
Trendline & Structure
The descending trendline is blocking recovery waves; the ascending trendline supports adjustment waves.
Closing the H2 candle above the confluence area ~4020 will confirm a clear upward movement.
Support / Resistance (S/R)
Main support: 3970–3972 (swing low & “Key level Support”).
Decision zone: 4014–4020 (break–retest zone).
Resistance: 4045 (medium-term), 4050 (supply for scalp orders), upper band 4105–4110.
Volume Profile (recent session / composite)
POC magnet: 4015–4017 → likely profit-taking/fluctuations; staying above POC turns this area into a launchpad.
LVN: around 4020 → beautiful break-and-go; failing to hold often pulls back to 4015/4010.
Fibonacci Extension (H2 swing)
1.618 coincides with 4045–4050 → first upward target.
2.272/2.618 creates a liquidity zone 4095–4110 → area may weaken/strong profit-taking.
Today's Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy on breakout direction
Entry: 4020–4022 after closing above trendline + retest holding 4018–4020
SL: 4014
TP: 4045 → 4070 → 4100–4110
Management: Partially close at 4045; move SL to breakeven when reaching +1R. Staying above 4020 means POC 4015–4017 should switch roles to support.
Scenario 1b – Buy on adjustment wave (before breakout, cautious volume)
Entry: 3998–4002 (“400x”) when there is an upward reaction at the ascending trendline
SL: 3988
TP: 4017 → 4045
Note: H2 closes below 3988 → cancel the order.
Scenario 2 – Sell scalp at resistance
Entry: 4048–4052 (confluence Fibo 1.618 + supply zone)
SL: 4056
TP: 4040 → 4030 → 4020
Note: This is counter-trend. Ignore if H2 closes strongly above 4052.
Summary
The upward bias is confirmed when breaking–holding 4020, opening targets 4045 → 4070 → 4100+. Before that signal, trade within the range respecting POC 4015–4017 and ceiling 4045/4050. Risk per order 0.5–1%, move SL to BE when reaching +1R.
Part 1 Ride The Big Moves How Option Trading Works
Option trading involves four basic positions:
Buy Call (Long Call): The trader expects the underlying asset’s price to rise.
Sell Call (Short Call): The trader expects the price to stay the same or fall.
Buy Put (Long Put): The trader expects the underlying asset’s price to fall.
Sell Put (Short Put): The trader expects the price to stay the same or rise.
For example, if a trader buys a call option on a stock with a strike price of ₹100 and pays a premium of ₹5, they have the right to buy the stock at ₹100 even if it rises to ₹120. In this case, their profit per share would be ₹15 (₹120 - ₹100 - ₹5). However, if the stock remains below ₹100, they would not exercise the option and would lose only the premium of ₹5.
SBIN 1 Month Time Frame Level🔍 Key Levels for 1‑Month Timeframe
Support Zones
Around ₹ 946‑953: Daily pivot/resistance turned support zone.
Next support near ₹ 935‑943: If the price drops below the first zone, this becomes the next demand area.
Broader support around ₹ 900‑910: From longer‑term moving averages and structural support. (MA200 ~₹ 896 per indicator).
Resistance / Upside Zones
Immediate resistance around ₹ 969‑972: Close to the 52‑week high and recent highs.
If momentum carries, potential extension to ₹ 1000+ zone. Some fib‑/pivot‑based projections suggest ~₹ 1003.
SHRIRAMFIN 1 Day Time Frame 🧮 Current Price Context
Latest available close: ~ ₹796.50.
Recent high of the day: ~ ₹814.15.
52‑week high: ~ ₹814.15 and 52‑week low: ~ ₹493.35.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Based on recent pivot‑/support/resistance calculations:
Important resistance zone: ~ ₹808‑₹815 (pivot R2/R3 cluster)
Primary pivot/mid‑level: ~ ₹792.70 (central pivot)
Support zones:
First support: ~ ₹775‑₹780
Deeper support: ~ ₹712‑₹720
Stronger structural support: ~ ₹677‑₹680 and then ~ ₹626‑₹630 further down.
INFY 1 Month Time Frame 📊 Current status
Latest quoted price is around ₹1,466.70.
Technical indicators (daily & monthly) show a bearish bias. On daily, moving averages all give “Sell”.
From chart commentary: Intermediate resistance visible at ~ ₹1,479–₹1,523. Support stated around ~ ₹1,425–₹1,385, and a stronger support zone near ~ ₹1,348 in a deeper break scenario.
🎯 Key levels for the 1-month horizon
Resistance zone: ~ ₹1,479 up to ~ ₹1,523 — clearing this zone would be a positive signal. (see analysis above)
Support zone / trigger zone:
Initial support: ~ ₹1,425–₹1,385.
Deeper support (if breakdown): ~ ₹1,348.
Important pivot region: The current price around ~ ₹1,466–₹1,470 sits between support and resistance — watching whether it breaks down or starts a reversal.
Part 2 Support and Reistance Key Terminology in Option Trading
Before diving deeper, it’s important to understand the essential terms used in option trading:
Strike Price: The fixed price at which the holder can buy (call) or sell (put) the underlying asset.
Premium: The price paid by the option buyer to the seller for the contract.
Expiration Date: The date on which the option contract expires. After this date, the option becomes worthless if not exercised.
In-the-Money (ITM): A call option is ITM when the underlying price is above the strike price; a put option is ITM when the underlying price is below the strike price.
Out-of-the-Money (OTM): A call option is OTM when the underlying price is below the strike price; a put option is OTM when the underlying price is above the strike price.
At-the-Money (ATM): When the underlying asset price equals the strike price.
Underlying Asset: The financial instrument (stock, index, currency, or commodity) on which the option is based.
MANKIND 1 Week Time Frame 📌 Key Levels (Weekly Framework)
Support zone: ~ ₹2,287 (a strong weekly support identified)
Next lower support: ~ ₹2,201 (in case of breakdown below primary support)
Resistance zone: ~ ₹2,518 (first major weekly resistance)
Higher resistance area: ~ ₹2,696 to ₹2,937 in a medium‐term context.
🔍 Weekly Outlook & Notes
If price remains above ~₹2,287 and starts building volume/structure, there is upside potential toward ~₹2,518.
If the price breaks below ~₹2,287 decisively on the weekly chart, then watch for further drop toward ~₹2,201.
RADICO 1 Month Time Frame 📌 Current data snapshot
Latest price ~ ₹ 3,220.
52-week range: ~ ₹ 1,845.50 – ₹ 3,423.00.
Technical rating (1-month) on platforms shows “Buy” / “Strong Buy”.
🔍 Key support & resistance for ~1-month horizon
Support zone: ~ ₹ 3,050-3,100 — around current price minus some buffer.
Stronger support: ~ ₹ 2,900-3,000 — if the above zone fails.
Resistance zone: ~ ₹ 3,300-3,350 — near recent highs.
Possible breakout target: > ~ ₹ 3,400 — if it breaks resistance convincingly.
These levels are derived from recent chart data and pivot-analysis (for example, support ~₹3,052.5 seen on one chart).
Bank Nifty – Double Top Pattern Analysis📉 Bank Nifty – Double Top Breakdown: Initiate Sell Signal
The chart confirms a Double Top pattern on Bank Nifty, signaling a bearish reversal from the recent highs near ₹58,550. Both peaks faced strong rejection at this resistance, reflecting weakening bullish momentum.
🔹 Sell Signal Trigger:
Initiate short positions once Bank Nifty breaks and closes below ₹57,480 (neckline support).
This breakdown confirms pattern completion and potential start of a downward move.
📊 Trade Setup
Stop Loss: ₹58,550 (above recent highs / resistance)
Target : ₹56,370
🧭 Technical Rationale
Pattern: Double Top – Bearish reversal confirmation
Structure: Two failed attempts to cross ₹58,550 indicate selling dominance.
Momentum: Weakening buying strength visible; a neckline breakdown often triggers a short-term trend reversal.
Volume Confirmation: Look for increased selling volume on the breakdown to validate the move.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is purely for educational purposes and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
Trading involves substantial risk — always conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before taking any trade.
Part 1 Support and Resistance What Are Options?
An option is a financial contract between two parties: the buyer (also called the holder) and the seller (also called the writer). The buyer pays a premium to the seller in exchange for the right to buy or sell the underlying asset at a specified strike price before or on a specified expiration date.
There are two main types of options:
Call Option – gives the buyer the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price.
Put Option – gives the buyer the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price.
PAUSE ....!!!!# Nifty 50 Index Analysis - Channel Breakdown & Transition to Range-Bound Phase
## Current Market Status
**Price:** 25,369.70 (-7.95, -0.03%)
**Timeframe:** 47-Minute Chart Analysis
## Technical Overview
### Channel Breakdown - Weak Bear Attempt
The Nifty 50 has broken out of the **descending channel** on the 47-minute timeframe, which represents a **weak attempt by bears** to maintain control. This intraday/short-term breakdown, combined with the completion of gap-fill objectives and arrival at medium-term support, signals an important market transition.
### Market Framework: Channel → Flat → Next Trend
Following the classic **Channel-Flat-Trend** framework, we're now entering the **FLAT/CONSOLIDATION PHASE**. This is the natural progression after a channeled move exhausts itself.
### Key Observations:
1. **Gap Fill Mission Accomplished**
- The descending channel successfully filled the previous gap
- Primary objective of the down move has been achieved
- Bears losing momentum after completing this task
2. **Medium-Term Support Zone Reached**
- Price sitting at crucial medium-term support ~25,370 (highlighted in yellow)
- This level held strongly in mid-October
- Confluence of support + gap fill + channel BO = high probability pause zone
3. **Channel Breakdown Significance**
- Breaking out of descending channel shows bear weakness
- Typically signals end of the down phase
- Market transitioning from trending to range-bound mode
4. **Volume & Momentum**
- Volume has been moderate - no aggressive selling pressure
- ROC/SROC showing negative but stabilizing momentum
- Lack of panic indicates controlled descent
## Current Market Phase: CONSOLIDATION EXPECTED
### The Pause Phase Setup
With the channel breakdown at medium-term support, we're likely entering a **range-bound/flat phase**. This is where the market digests recent moves before the next directional trend emerges.
**Expected Behavior:**
- Choppy, sideways price action in the near term
- Intraday range: 25,300 - 25,600 (likely trading range for next few sessions)
- Range could expand to 25,300 - 25,800 over coming days
- Time-wise correction rather than deep price correction
- Lower volatility compared to the recent down move
## Positional View: Bearish BUT With a Pause
While the **bigger picture remains bearish**, this setup suggests a **tactical pause** rather than immediate continuation lower. The market needs to:
- Build energy for the next move
- Let moving averages catch up
- Allow sentiment to reset
- Create the next setup (either continuation or reversal)
## Trading Strategy for the Flat Phase:
**Range Traders (Intraday & Swing):**
- Buy near 25,300-25,370 support
- Sell near 25,550-25,600 resistance initially
- Extended resistance at 25,700-25,800
- Keep positions smaller during consolidation
- Quick profit booking essential in flat phases
**Positional Bears (Like Me):**
- Use this pause to reassess and prepare
- Wait for range breakdown with volume confirmation
- Not the time to aggressively short
- Patience will be rewarded - let the range develop
**Swing Traders:**
- Best phase to stay nimble and timeframe-aware
- Both long and short opportunities within range
- On 47-min: Focus on intraday momentum shifts
- Use higher timeframes (Daily) for positional bias
- Watch for range expansion/contraction
## What to Watch For:
**For Next Bearish Leg:**
- Break below 25,300 with volume surge
- Breakdown from consolidation range
- This would align with the bearish positional view
**For Trend Reversal:**
- Strong breakout above 25,800
- Would need volume confirmation
- Less likely given current macro setup
## Risk Management:
- In flat phases, avoid aggressive directional bets
- Wider stops needed as price will whipsaw
- Position sizing should be smaller
- Don't fight the range - trade the range
## Conclusion:
Nifty has completed its channel-driven gap-fill mission and broken out of the descending channel at medium-term support. This textbook setup points to a **consolidation/flat phase** ahead. While my positional bias remains bearish, the market is signaling a pause. Smart money will use this range to position, not force trades. **The channel has done its job - now let the flat phase play out.**
Remember: **Channel → Flat → Trend**. We're in phase 2. Patience pays.
---
**Disclaimer:** This is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
**What's your view on Nifty? Bounce or Breakdown? Drop your thoughts below! 👇**
#Nifty50 #NSE #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket #IndianStocks #Trading #PriceAction #Support #Resistance #ChannelPattern






















