Will Bitcoin Hit $50,000 or $500K In Next Cycle ?Most People Still Don’t Understand What This #Bitcoin Chart Is Saying.
This Is The 12-Month CRYPTOCAP:BTC Structure.
It Has Been Respected For 15 Years.
Every Cycle:
Excess → Reset → Higher Floor → Expansion.
All Called “The End.”
All Were Structural Resets.
Here’s The Part Retail Misses:
Bitcoin Is Now Holding Above Its Previous Cycle High, Historically The Most Bullish Phase Of The Cycle.
That’s Not Optimism.
That’s Market Memory.
No Price Targets.
No Narratives.
Just Structure Doing What It Always Does.
If You’re Waiting For Certainty, You’ll Buy Late.
If You Understand Cycles, You Already Know What Comes Next.
🟠 Bitcoin Doesn’t Need Belief. It Needs Time.
IMO:
2026 For Bitcoin Will Likely Be Bearish, And We Could See Bitcoin Under $50K Based On Previous Fractals And Cycle Analysis.
However, 2027–2028 Could Be Massive For Bitcoin, And We May See $500K Within The Next 4 Years, In My Opinion.
This Is Just My Personal View, Not Financial Advice.
Always DYOR Before Any Investment Decisions.
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Nifty Analysis for Dec 31, 2025Wrap-up:
Nifty breaks 25941. Therefore, our long term/positional targets are open and heading towards it step by step it. Nifty has completed wave 1 of major wave C at 25945 and heading towards wave 2.
In wave 2, Nifty is making a wxy pattern of which w is completed at 26098 and heading towards x.
In wave x of wave 2, Nifty again making a wxy pattern of which w is completed at 25693, x at 26236 and y is in progress.
In wave y of x of 2, Nifty has completed wave a at 26008, b at 25976 and heading towards wave c.
What I’m Watching for Dec 31, 2025 🔍
Short nifty below 25878 sl 26106 for a target of 25100.
Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.
Entry Setup 1 for 2026Entry Setup 1 for 2026
If you are new to Forex Trade, first you will need to open a trading account .
Open a Trading Account Now:- ☛
Before Trade Entry Follow the Step:-
Step 1:- Identify the Trend
Step 2:- Bullish Trend Wait for Support Price & Reversal Candlestick(Take Buy)
Step 3:- Bearish Trend Wait for Resistance & Reversal Candlestick(Take Sell)
Step 4:- Fibonacci retracement confirm
Step 5:- Wait for Reversal candlestick
RISK WARNING:- All trading involves risk. Only risk capital you're prepared to lose. This video has not given any investment advice, only for educational purposes.
NIFTY Levels for Today
Here are the NIFTY's Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both.
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
BANKNIFTY Levels for Today
Here are the BANKNIFTY’s Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both.
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 01/01/2026A gap-up opening is expected in Nifty, indicating a positive start to the session after the recent pullback and recovery from lower support zones. The index is currently trading near 26,140, where it is facing a crucial intraday resistance area. Price action suggests a short-term bullish bias, but follow-through buying will be important to sustain the upside move.
On the bullish side, 26,050–26,100 remains a strong support zone. As long as Nifty holds above this range, long positions can be considered with immediate targets at 26,150, 26,200, and 26,250+. A decisive breakout and sustain above 26,250 will strengthen bullish momentum further and can push the index toward 26,350, 26,400, and 26,450+, confirming trend continuation.
On the bearish side, 26,250–26,200 will act as a strong resistance and potential reversal zone. If the index fails to sustain above this area and shows rejection, a short-term reversal trade can be considered with downside targets placed at 26,150, 26,100, and 26,000. Overall, the market structure remains range-to-positive, and traders should focus on level-based trading with strict stop-loss discipline and confirmation from price action.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(01/01/2026)A slight gap-up opening is expected in Bank Nifty, indicating continuation of the recent bullish momentum after a strong recovery from lower levels. The index is currently trading near 59,600, where mild profit booking can be seen, but the overall structure remains positive as long as price holds above the immediate support zone. This suggests that buyers are still in control, though some intraday volatility can be expected near resistance.
On the upside, 59,550–59,600 will act as the key trigger area. A sustained move and hold above this zone can provide fresh long opportunities, with upside targets placed at 59,750, 59,850, and 59,950+. A decisive breakout above 59,950 may further strengthen bullish sentiment and open the door for an extended rally toward the 60,000 zone.
On the downside, 59,450 is the immediate support to watch, followed by the stronger support near 59,050. If the index fails to hold 59,450, short-term selling pressure may emerge, and short positions can be considered with downside targets at 59,250, 59,150, and 59,050-. Overall, the trend remains buy-on-dips as long as key supports are protected, and traders should focus on level-based entries with strict risk management.
Strong RECOVERY exactly as analysed! But will it sustain!?As we can see NIFTY recovered sharply exactly as analysed as it took support at our demand zones! But it is too quick now to judge the upcoming trend by single day move as it could be a sentiment based volume which doesn’t last long. Hence as long as NIFTY doesn’t crosses and closes itself above previous swing, shorting at signs of rejection around supply zones can be done so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
USDINR — Controlled Structural TrendUSDINR continues to trade within a long-term rising channel on the yearly timeframe.
The move reflects gradual structural INR depreciation , driven by macro differentials rather than stress or disorderly conditions.
No currency regime shift is visible at cycle degree.
Invalidation: Only a sustained breakdown below the long-term rising channel would alter the structural view.
📌 FX moves slowly — structure reveals intent.
#USDINR #Forex #IndianRupee #CurrencyMarkets #MarketStructure #MacroTrends
S&P 500 — Mature but Structurally HealthyThe S&P 500 remains in a long-term impulsive uptrend at cycle degree.
Despite maturity, the structure shows no confirmed cycle-degree violation. Corrections continue to be corrective, not distributive.
This suggests the global equity cycle is aging — but not ending.
Invalidation: Only a confirmed breakdown below the primary rising structure would alter the yearly view.
📌 Cycles age before they end.
#SP500 #USMarkets #Equities #MarketStructure #CycleAnalysis #LongTermView
NIFTY 50 — Primary Trend IntactNIFTY continues to respect its long-term rising cycle base on the yearly timeframe.
Higher highs and higher lows remain intact, with corrections staying contained within the primary structure.
No cycle-degree trend violation or exhaustion pattern is visible at this stage.
Invalidation: Only a sustained breakdown below the primary rising base would alter the yearly bias.
📌 Trend persists until structure breaks.
#NIFTY50 #IndianMarkets #Equities #MarketStructure #LongTermInvesting #ElliottWave
US 10Y — Elevated but Structurally StabilizingLong-term yields remain elevated but contained within a broader corrective structure on the yearly timeframe.
No impulsive expansion is visible that would signal systemic tightening or macro stress.
This keeps the cost-of-capital environment restrictive but stabilizing , not disruptive.
Invalidation: Only a sustained impulsive breakout above the long-term trendline would alter the macro regime.
📌 Structure defines risk.
#US10Y #BondYields #InterestRates #MacroAnalysis #MarketStructure #LongTermView
Dollar (DXY) — Range-Bound at Cycle DegreeThe Dollar Index continues to trade within a broad rising range structure on higher timeframes.
There is no cycle-degree impulsive breakout indicating a sustained risk-off regime. Dollar strength remains episodic, not dominant.
This supports a macro environment where risk assets can coexist with a stable dollar.
Invalidation: Only a confirmed impulsive breakout beyond the long-term range would change the macro bias.
📌 Macro regimes change after structure confirms — not sentiment.
#DXY #USDollar #MacroAnalysis #MarketStructure #RiskOn #RiskOff #LongTermCycles
Crude Oil — Still Corrective, Not LeadingCrude remains contained within a broad, long-term consolidation on the yearly timeframe.
Despite volatility, there is no confirmed impulsive resolution at cycle degree. The structure continues to reflect a corrective / range-bound macro phase.
This suggests inflation pressure remains contained , not accelerating structurally.
Invalidation: Only a sustained, impulsive breakout from the long-term range would alter the yearly view.
📌 Structure over headlines.
#CrudeOil #WTI #Brent #EnergyMarkets #MarketStructure #MacroContext #LongTermView
Silver — Structural Confirmation at Cycle DegreeSilver has delivered a decisive breakout above prior long-term cycle resistance and continues to hold that structure on higher timeframes.
The advance is impulsive in character, confirming broader participation within the precious metals cycle — not limited to Gold alone.
No higher-degree overlap or distribution signal is visible at this stage.
Invalidation: Sustained acceptance back below the prior breakout zone would weaken the yearly structure.
📌 Only cycle-degree structure alters the yearly view.
#Silver #XAGUSD #PreciousMetals #MarketStructure #CycleConfirmation #ElliottWave #LongTermView
Gold — Yearly Structure Remains IntactGold continues to respect its higher-degree structural base on the yearly timeframe.
The broader cycle remains impulsive, with no confirmed cycle-degree corrective overlap. Corrections so far remain contained and proportional within the long-term structure.
This suggests the precious metals cycle remains active, not exhausted.
🔍 Key point: Structure defines risk. Price confirms.
Invalidation: Only a sustained breakdown below the primary structural base would alter the yearly view.
📌 For learning & structural reference only.
#Gold #XAUUSD #PreciousMetals #MarketStructure #CycleAnalysis #LongTermView #ElliottWave
Historic bull runGold – Historic Bull Run | Weekly Elliott Wave Perspective
Gold is in a long-term secular bull market that began in 2015.
The structure on the weekly chart is very clear.
Red Wave (I) ended in August 2020.
Red Wave (II) completed in October 2022 and was a shallow correction, not even retracing 50% of Wave (I).
Red Wave (III) extended strongly and terminated near the 2.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave (I) — a typical behavior of an extended third wave.
Currently, Red Wave (IV) is unfolding.
According to Elliott Wave alternation, when Wave (II) is shallow, Wave (IV) tends to be deeper and more complex.
The present structure of Wave (IV) appears to be shaping as an expanded flat correction, which keeps the larger bull trend intact but allows for further downside volatility.
Important short-term observations:
This week’s high is higher than last week’s high
But the low has breached last week’s low
This outside-range behavior suggests more correction is still possible before Wave (IV) completes.
📌 Conclusion:
The long-term bullish structure of Gold remains intact, but in line with Elliott Wave alternation, a deeper pullback during Wave (IV) should not be ruled out before the final Red Wave (V) resumes the uptrend.
This is a structural analysis, not a trading call.
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Aadhar Housing Finance - New Year Pick Date 01.01.2025
Aadhar Housing Finance
Timeframe : Weekly Chart
About
It is one of the largest low-income housing finance companies in India servicing the home financing needs of the low income sections of the society.
AUM
As of 9MFY25, their AUM stood at ₹23,976 Crs achieving a 21% YoY growth
AUM by Product Type
(1) Home Loans: 74%
(20 Other Mortgage Loans: 26%
Borrowings Mix
(1) Banks: 51%
(2) National Housing Bank: 25%
(3) Non-Convertible Debentures: 24%
(4) Cost of Borrowings: 8.1%
Asset Quality
(1) GNPA: 1.36%
(2) NNPA: 0.9%
(3) Capital Adequacy Ratio : 46.1%
Geographical AUM Diversification
Uttar Pradesh – 13%
Gujarat – 12%
Maharashtra – 12%
Tamil Nadu – 10%
Rajasthan – 9%
Madhya Pradesh – 8%
Telangana – 8%
Andhra Pradesh – 7%
Karnataka – 5%
Other States – 17%
Valuations
(1) Market Cap ₹ 21000 Cr
(2) Stock Pe 21
(3) Roce 11.4 %
(4) Roe 17 %
(5) Book Value 3X
(6) Opm 21%
(7) Promoter 75%
(8) Profit Growth (TTM) 18.50%
(9) EV/Ebita 14.26
(10) PEG 0.79
Regards,
Ankur Singh
Btc big trade to analysis Here is a breakdown of the key elements and the strategy being described:
1. The Core Strategy: Liquidity Sweep
marked two grey boxes labeled "liquidity grab." * What this means: In trading, "liquidity" often sits just below recent lows where traders place their "Stop Loss" orders.
* The Prediction: The text "Req. This liquidity grab before b/o" the price needs to drop into the $80,500 – $82,000 range first. This "flushes out" sellers and collects buy orders before the price has enough strength to breakout (b/o) to the upside.
2. The Resistance Levels (Targets)
There are two major horizontal lines acting as hurdles for the price:
* Intermediate Resistance ($89,385). if a daily candle closes above this line, it confirms bullish momentum.
* Main Target ($98,981): This is the ultimate "take profit" zone for this specific trade setup.
3. Fair Value Gaps (FVG)
You can see small orange boxes labeled FVG.
* Definition: These are areas on a chart where there was an imbalance in price—usually a very fast move that left a "hole."
* Significance: Price often acts like a magnet to these gaps, returning to fill them before continuing in the original direction. There is a large FVG near the top ($100k+ range) that the analyst expects to be filled eventually.
4. Current Market Position
* Current Price: Approximately $87,516.
* Trend: The price recently had a sharp drop from $107k and is currently consolidating (moving sideways).
* Volume: The bars at the bottom show that trading volume is relatively steady, but the analyst is waiting for a "spring" move (the dip to $80k) to trigger a high-conviction buy.
Summary of the "Trade Plan"
If you were following this chart's logic, the steps would be:
* Wait for the price to dip into the $80k-$82k zone (the liquidity grab).
* Look for a reversal and a daily candle close above $89,385.
* Target the move up to $98,981.
Would you like me to explain more about how to identify "Liquidity Grabs" or how Fair Value Gaps work in more detail?






















