Kaynes tech (W): Bullish - V-Shape Recovery from Panic BottomTimeframe: Weekly | Scale: Logarithmic
The stock is staging a classic reversal from the bottom of its 6-month consolidation range. The recent panic drop was absorbed by "smart money," as evidenced by the massive volume Hammer candle.
📉 1. The Context (The Panic & Absorption)
> The Trigger: The sharp drop to ₹3,745 in early December was triggered by a brokerage note raising concerns about disclosures.
> The Absorption (The Hammer):
- Price Action: The stock plunged to a low of ₹3,712 but rallied sharply to close near ₹4,265 . This created the long lower wick (Hammer).
- Volume (61 Million): This massive volume confirms that while retail investors panic-sold, institutional buyers stepped in to buy the dip at the valuation floor. This is Climax Volume.
🕯️ 2. Current Price Action (The Pause)
> This Week's Candle: The "Neutral Bearish" candle (Spinning Top/Doji) with lower volume ( 15.06 Million ).
- Interpretation: After the violent volatility of the previous week, this "quiet" week is positive. It shows that the selling pressure has evaporated (volume dropped from 61M to 15M), and the price is stabilizing above ₹4,100 .
📊 3. Technical Indicators
> RSI Divergence: RSI rising from oversold territory confirms the momentum shift.
> Range Play: The stock is strictly following the ₹3,745 (Support) – ₹7,800 (Resistance) box. Trading at the bottom of the box offers the highest Risk:Reward ratio.
🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Trade Setup
The strategy is a classic "Range Trade."
> 🐂 Bullish Case (The Journey to Top):
- Trigger: A breakout above this week's high ( ~₹4,390 ).
- Target 1: ₹5,500 (Mid-range resistance).
- Target 2: ₹7,822 (The ATH). A move from support to resistance represents a ~100%+ potential gain .
>🛡️ Support (The Stop Loss):
- Critical Stop: ₹3,700 . The low of the Hammer candle is the "Line in the Sand." If the price breaks this, the "absorption" thesis fails.
Conclusion
This is a High-Conviction Setup . The Hammer on Climax Volume at major support is one of the most reliable signals in technical analysis.
> Refined View: The "Panic" is over. The "Accumulation" is done. The stock is now likely to drift upwards as the governance fears fade and the focus shifts back to its Semiconductor expansion plans.
Community ideas
Looking for 15-20% gain above 5310Growth Story: Explosive 40% profit CAGR past 5 years, fueled by infra push (govt spending) and exports. Analysts see FY26 sales at ₹14,500 crore (up 15%), profits climbing back. New deals in data centers and renewables.
Support ₹5,100 (key floor). Resistance ₹5,400—break it for rally. Analyst targets: ₹6,095 (15%+).
Health Check (Key Ratios):
ROE (Return on Equity): 28.8%—killer at turning shareholder cash into profits (way above industry avg of 15%).
Debt: Zero! Debt-to-equity is 0—super safe, no loan worries in tough times.
ROCE (Return on Capital): 38.9%—top-notch efficiency on every rupee invested.
Dividend: 0.9% yield—pays out ~52% of profits steadily.
Looking good for upside (+25%) in next 1-2 monthsSupport/Resistance: Support at ₹485 (if it dips, bounces here). Resistance at ₹510—break that for more upside. Analysts target ₹630 in 12 months (25%+ gain).
Fundamentals:
Health Check (Key Ratios):
ROE (Return on Equity): 14.4%—means they're good at turning shareholder money into profits (above average for the industry).
Debt: Almost zero! Debt-to-equity is super low (borrowings just ₹211 crore vs. ₹622 crore equity). Low risk if economy slows.
ROCE (Return on Capital): 17.8%—efficient use of all money invested.
Dividend: They pay 0.64% yield—small but steady payout of 36.5% of profits to shareholders.
Growth Story: Strong tailwinds from EVs (they supply big names like Tesla, GM). Just bought a railway business in 2025 to expand beyond autos. Analysts expect sales to hit ₹4,410 crore in FY26 (up 18%) and profits to keep rising.
TechMahindra BreakoutHi All…
Greetings!
Today I’m sharing with you Tech Mahindra Daily Chart. There has been a good break out in the stock. The stock has made a Double Bottom Pattern and has crossed its Down Trend Line. I think it would a good time to invest in the stock. Hoping for the stock to reach the TGT of 1680.
In the coming time I think it should give good returns.
Thanking You
Important Things
1. This is only for educational purposes only.
2. Never over trade.
3. Always keep Stop Loss.
4. Trade in limited quantity.
5. Taking a small loss is better than wiping up your whole capital.
I hope you found this idea helpful.
Please like and comment.
Share with Your Friends.
Keep Learning,
Happy & Safe Trading
Disclaimer – These ideas shared by me to all are my personal analysis / views. I'm not a SEBI registered technical analyst.
Kirloskar Brothers cmp 1647.20 by Daily Chart viewKirloskar Brothers cmp 1647.20 by Daily Chart view
- Support Zone 1510 to 1610 Price Band
- Resistance Zone 1760 to 1860 Price Band
- Support Zone tested retested over past 2 weeks
- Support Zone sustained thou price dipped below 3 times
- Volumes synced with avg traded qty with heavy spikes too
- Rising Support Trendline since May 2024 seems well respected
XAUUSD (H4) – Weekly Outlook (Dec 22–26)Buy the dip inside the channel, watch for a short-term correction after Wave 5
Strategy summary for next week
On the H4 chart, gold is still trading inside a mid-term rising channel. However, the wave structure suggests Wave 5 is likely finished, so next week I’m focusing on two main ideas:
Mid-term BUY bias, but only if price pulls back to a better liquidity area.
Short-term SELL correction, triggered only with confirmation (break below 4309) on the lower timeframe.
1) Technical view: Uptrend channel holds, but a correction is likely
Price is currently in the upper half of the channel → not an ideal spot to chase buys.
The chart highlights two key liquidity areas:
Liquidity Sell Zone near 4433 (upside target, only valid if price builds a clean path higher).
Strong Liquidity around 4254 (the area where I want to reload mid-term buys).
Meaning: The channel is still the main framework, but if Wave 5 has finished, a pullback/correction is normal before the next directional leg.
2) Mid-term plan (priority): BUY at channel liquidity
✅ Buy zone: 4250 – 4255
SL: 4240
Expectation: A rebound back toward the channel’s midline, and if momentum returns, continuation toward 4433.
Logic: This is the “better price” area aligned with the channel structure + key liquidity. Risk-reward is far cleaner than buying at the highs.
3) Short-term plan: SELL the correction only after confirmation
Because Wave 5 looks completed, a corrective sell is valid — but I only want to sell after the market confirms on the lower timeframe:
✅ Bearish confirmation: break below 4309
After the break, prefer a sell on retest (no chasing).
A realistic correction target is a move back toward the 425x liquidity zone.
Note: This is a short-term correction trade and doesn’t conflict with the mid-term buy bias.
4) Fundamentals next week: Holiday liquidity = more sweeps
Dec 22–26 includes multiple European holidays, which often means thin liquidity: price may not trend hard, but it can still wick and sweep stops.
Geopolitical risk remains elevated: Israeli officials plan to brief Trump on potential new strikes on Iran — this can trigger sudden safe-haven flows into gold.
Action: Trade smaller, trade cleaner, and avoid getting trapped in abnormal volatility.
5) Execution checklist
Mid-term BUY: wait for 4250–4255, SL 4240.
Short-term SELL: only activate if 4309 breaks, then sell the retest on lower TF.
No FOMO in a low-volume holiday week.
Which scenario are you leaning into next week: buying 425x, or waiting for a 4309 breakdown to sell the correction?
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 22 Dec 2025NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 22 Dec 2025
NIFTY has closed on a positive note last day. Consecutive 4 pinbars have formed in weekly TF. A good consolidation near ATH. Now we have zones marked for the next leg of move. 26400 and 25700 are key levels for any directional move either side. It is simply sideways inside this range.
Above 25060 index will be bullish in intraday and 25890 is the downside gateway. Plan trades on 15 Min candle close on intraday levels.
26250 and 25800 zone will be intraday resistance and support respectively.
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty at crucial stageNIFTY is in verry crucial stage. In past 2–3-month first time nifty gives POSITIVE BREATH CROSSOVER at 50 level. So BIG BOYS has been the changing their pattern tough of war between buyer and seller at confluence level of symmetrical triangle and monthly pivot level. In MARKET PROFILE structure not a single stock in bearish pattern in nifty 50 which shows strength in nifty.
Big break out is about to happen either buy side or sell side.
Why Gold Spikes Right When Everyone Gives Up!Hello Traders!
Over the years, one thing I’ve noticed again and again is this, gold rarely moves when everyone is confident about it.
In fact, the strongest gold spikes I’ve seen came at moments when traders were tired, bored, and emotionally done with gold.
No excitement, no news, no hype. just silence and frustration. That is usually when gold decides to move. This post is about that exact moment most people miss.
1. The Phase Where Traders Emotionally Disconnect
After a long consolidation or slow decline, gold starts testing patience more than levels.
Daily candles become small, nothing seems to work, and traders slowly stop caring.
People say things like “gold is not moving” or “nothing is happening here” and shift their attention elsewhere.
I’ve personally learned to be very alert during this phase.
When traders disconnect emotionally, the market often prepares its next move.
2. Giving Up Is Not Random, It Is a Signal
When traders finally give up, they close positions without a plan, just to feel relief.
This creates a wave of selling from weak hands.
That selling provides clean liquidity for stronger participants to step in quietly.
Gold does not spike because something suddenly improves.
It spikes because selling pressure gets exhausted.
3. Why Gold Loves Emotional Extremes
Gold is not driven only by fundamentals, it is heavily driven by emotion and sentiment.
Fear pushes people into gold, boredom pushes them out.
When boredom and frustration peak, price often stops falling even though sentiment stays negative.
Whenever I see gold refusing to go lower despite bad sentiment,
I know the story is changing under the surface.
4. What Retail Traders Usually Do at This Point
Most retail traders stop watching gold charts completely.
They move to faster markets or trending assets.
They tell themselves they will come back “once gold starts moving again”.
Ironically, by the time gold starts moving, it is already far from the level where patience was required.
5. How I Personally Read These Gold Spikes
I focus more on behavior than prediction.
I look for long periods where price goes nowhere but also refuses to break down.
I pay close attention when volatility compresses and volume dries up.
When price holds steady while emotions collapse,
I don’t rush, I observe.
That calm observation has helped me catch moves that looked sudden to everyone else.
6. The Spike Feels Sudden Only If You Were Not Prepared
By the time gold spikes, accumulation is usually already complete.
To emotional traders, the move feels random and unfair.
To prepared traders, it feels logical and almost expected.
Big moves never announce themselves loudly.
They quietly prepare while most people lose interest.
Rahul’s Tip
Whenever I feel bored or frustrated watching gold, I pause instead of walking away.
That emotional discomfort is often a signal, not a problem.
If you can stay present when others disconnect, you automatically gain an edge.
Conclusion
Gold rarely spikes when belief is strong. It spikes when patience is gone and hope feels weak.
If you understand this emotional timing, you stop chasing gold and start positioning before it moves.
If this post felt relatable, like it, share your experience in the comments, and follow for more market psychology insights.
Bull Run at a Critical PointThe last hope for bull continuation on the weekly chart lies in the $86K–$74K demand zone.
✅ A strong weekly rejection from this level is mandatory
✅ Followed by a daily close above $107,400
❌ If $107.4K is not reclaimed, this move is just a relief rally in a bearish trend, with more downside ahead.
📉📈 Market structure will decide. Watch the candles, not the noise.
Nifty for long The market moves in a very simple way, like impulse or correction. When we traders start understanding impulse or correction, it becomes very easy to anticipate the market movement. However, some traders become too complex and start bringing complexity in the market movement. If we do not become complex and understand the market in impulse or correction, even in the present time frame of hours, then after creating an impulse wave, a correlative wave such as WXY wave is created, in which two possible structures can be formed in the market, either WXY is a complete correction in itself or another wave WXYXZ can be formed. We have to answer this first, whether WXY is a complete correction Let's cross a key level 25946. The market will form the next impulse wave above this key level. Now let's answer the second one. Below 25946, the market can form a lower Z wave. Now we have answered both of them. Now the market itself will tell at which level it is trading. As you and all of us know that after completing a corrective wave, the market forms the next impulse wave. So here the market will form the next impulse wave above the level of 25946 for a new high. That is the simple answer for all traders.
Thanks
GALAPREC – Prolonged Downtrend, Watching for Breakout ConfirmatiGALAPREC has been moving inside a well-defined falling channel for a long time. Price has respected both the upper resistance line and the lower support line multiple times, which confirms that this structure is being followed by the market.
Each time price moved toward the upper boundary, selling pressure appeared and pushed it back down. Similarly, when price reached the lower boundary, buyers stepped in and defended that zone. This repeated behaviour shows controlled price action rather than panic selling.
Recently, price again bounced from the lower part of the channel. At the same time, volume has started to build gradually, which indicates growing participation after a long period of compression.
Now price is approaching the upper trendline again. This is an important zone. A meaningful move can only be expected after a clear breakout and hold above the channel. Until that happens, price is still technically inside a downtrend.
This chart highlights why patience matters. Instead of anticipating moves, it’s better to wait for breakout confirmation and observe how price behaves near resistance.
Practical Study On Supply and Demand Concept NSE:ICICIBANK
Most traders fail at Supply & Demand for one simple reason:
They draw zones…
but don’t understand context, intent, or execution.
Zones don’t make money.
Decisions do.
📘 Supply & Demand – Practical Application
All the charts are annotated in very much details no description is needed so study these charts in detail and that will be self-explanatory.
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Keep Learning,
Happy Trading.
DATAMATCIS GLOBAL SERVICE LIMITED ANALYSISTHIS IS MY CHART OF THE WEEK PICK
FOR LEARNING PURPOSE
DATAMATICS GLOBAL SERVICE LTD- The current price of DATAMATICS is 826.05 rupees
I am going to buy this stock because of the reasons as follows-
1. It's retesting the zone which acted as a good resistance in 2023. Before it acted as resistance and now it should act as some support.
2. This stock has seen some great buying since 2021. It has consolidated in between and continued it's run.
It has got time correction which was required.
3. It is showing better relative strength as it stood strong in volatile times including last few weeks.
4. The risk and reward is favourable.
5. The stock is one of the outperformers in this market. The structure is great as of now. It has also outperformed it's sector.
6. Another good part- The overall sector has shown some decent strength and have good momentum.
I am expecting more from this in coming weeks.
I will buy it with minimum target of 35-40% and then will trail after that.
My SL is at 713.55 rupees.
I will be managing my risk.
BTCUSD WEEKLY ANALYSISAll support and resistance in the weekly and monthly time frames have been tested from 126000 to 76000.
A reaction of the weekly and monthly supply zones results in an explosive red candle in both time frames.
as per my opinion, the very next demand zone in the weekly time frame range is 74000 to 64000 for aggressive buyers.
And for conservative buyers, it is 69700 to 64000.
RVNL cmp 319.15 by Daily Chart viewRVNL cmp 319.15 by Daily Chart view
- Support Zone 294 to 306 Price Band
- Resistance Zone 332 to 345 Price Band
- Support Zone tested retested over past few days
- Support Zone since January 2025 seems been sustained
- Volumes below avg traded quantity, need to increase for fresh upside
- Breakout from Descending Triangle pattern might be in the making process
One Gold Trade Can Destroy a Week of Profits💥 One Gold Trade Can Destroy a Week of Profits – Education
One Gold Trade Can Destroy a Week of Profits
Gold (XAUUSD) is one of the most exciting yet dangerous instruments in trading. Its high volatility offers massive profit potential—but one wrong move can erase all your hard-earned gains. Let’s break this down in detail.
1️⃣ Understanding Gold Market Volatility 🔥
Gold reacts sharply to geopolitical events, economic news, and central bank decisions.
Price swings of 50–200 pips in a day are common.
High volatility means both high reward and high risk—making risk management essential.
Example:
If you earned $500 in small, careful trades, one unexpected spike or wrong trade in XAUUSD could cost $600+, wiping out a week’s profits in minutes. 😱
2️⃣ Risk Management is Your Lifesaver 🛡️
Trading without protecting your capital is like walking on a tightrope without a safety net.
✅ Rules to Follow:
Risk 1–2% of your account per trade.
Always set a stop-loss and take-profit.
Use a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:2 or 1:3.
Avoid over-leveraging—even small mistakes become huge losses with high leverage.
Tip: A single trade should never threaten your entire weekly profit.
3️⃣ Emotions Can Kill Your Profits 😵🧠
Trading isn’t just about charts; it’s about psychology. One impulsive decision can erase a week of careful work.
Avoid revenge trading after losses.
Don’t chase trades that don’t meet your plan.
Practice discipline and patience—stick to your strategy and setups.
Reality Check: Emotional trades often ignore risk management, which is why one trade can wipe out a week of profits.
4️⃣ Timing is Everything ⏱️
Gold has major moves during:
US session open 🌎
Fed announcements 🏦
High-impact economic news 📊
Avoid trading blindly during these times unless you are highly experienced.
Pro Tip: Sometimes the best trade is no trade—waiting for clear setups can save your profits.
5️⃣ Technical Analysis Must Be Precise 📈🔍
Before entering a trade, confirm setups using:
Order Blocks & Fair Value Gaps
Momentum Shifts
Volume & Price Action Confirmation
Avoid: Entering on impulse or guessing the trend. Even a small error can result in losses bigger than weekly profits.
6️⃣ Practical Example: The “Profit Destroyer” Trade 💣
Imagine your trading week:
Monday to Friday: 5 small, calculated trades → $500 profit 💰
Friday afternoon: Impulsive Gold trade without stop-loss → $600 loss 😱
Result? You’re down $100 for the week despite a strong start.
Lesson: Protect your capital first. Profits come from consistent, disciplined trading—not luck.
7️⃣ Key Takeaways ✅
Gold = High Risk, High Reward ⚖️
Risk Management is Non-Negotiable 🛡️
Discipline Beats Emotions Every Time 🧘♂️
Wait for Clear Setups 🕵️♂️
One Wrong Trade Can Erase a Week of Profits ⚠️
Follow for More Gold & Forex Trading Insights! 🚀📈
Stay updated with XAUUSD tips, risk management strategies, and profitable trading setups. Don’t miss out—follow now and trade smarter every day! 💎🔥
Godrej Consumer Products: Weekly Accumulation Showing StrengthAfter weeks of quiet accumulation near the 0.618 retracement (~₹1,105) , the stock has now delivered a weekly close above the 50-week moving average — a constructive sign of improving sentiment.
The move also puts price right at the descending resistance trendline , where follow-through buying will determine if this recovery extends further.
The structure continues to look steadily constructive , with early signs of buyers regaining control.
As long as the stock holds above the recent base, the bias leans cautiously bullish .
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.






















