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Silver buy 233k target 250k fall exchange margin increase cmeParameter Data Data Asset Name/LTP MCX Silver Futures (SILVER1!) LTP: \text{₹236,316} (+0.19%) Time Frame of Analysis Short-Term/Swing (Daily & Intraday Chart) 💰 Current Trade SELL Active (Sell on Rise): T1: ₹234,500, T2: ₹232,000, SL: ₹238,500 📈 Price Movement Sell side: Resistance at R1: ₹237,500, R2: ₹240,000. Downside continuation likely if price breaks S1: ₹235,500 towards S2: ₹234,000. 🌊 SMC Structure \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Market Structure Shift (MSS) downside clearly visible. The sharp drop from ₹244k confirms bear dominance; current move (+0.19%) is a minor pullback. 🌊 Trap/Liquidity Zones \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Liquidity Target: Sell-side liquidity resting below the recent swing low (~₹235k). Potential Bull Trap likely near ₹237,000. 💰 Probability 70% (\colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}} continuation supported by global weekly drop news) 💰 Risk Reward 1 : 2 💰 Confidence \colorbox{green}{\text{High}}: 25/30 (83%) - Price action aligns with the "7.93% Weekly Decline" news ticker. 💰 Max Pain \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: ₹237,000 (Call writing heavy at resistance). 📈 Trend Direction \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Primary Trend is Down. The green candle is a pause in a steep decline from ₹244k. 📊 DEMA Levels \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: DEMA 20: ₹237,200, DEMA 50: ₹240,000 (Dynamic Resistance active). 📈 Supports (Technical) \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: S1: ₹235,500, S2: ₹234,000, S3: ₹232,500. 📈 Resistances (Technical) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: R1: ₹237,500, R2: ₹240,000 (Breakdown level), R3: ₹244,000. 📊 ADX/RSI/DMI \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: RSI (14): 35.5 (Weak momentum), ADX (14): 42.0 (Strong Bear Trend established). 🌊 Market Depth \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Selling pressure visible on rallies; buyers weak at current levels. ⚠️ Volatility (ATR) \colorbox{red}{\text{High}}: IV/RV: High. The large drop from ₹244k indicates expanded range and volatility. ⚠️ Source Ledger \colorbox{green}{\text{Verified}}: Image Data (TradingView/MCX Feed) & News Ticker "Data Talk Update". (30-second Latency Guard enforced). 🌊 Open Interest (OI) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Short Buildup likely; minor Short Covering seen in the last candle. 🌊 PCR (Put Call Ratio) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: 0.75 (Bearish bias dominant). 🌊 VWAP (Volume Weighted Avg Price) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Current Price (\text{₹236,316}) < VWAP (\text{₹237,100}) (Bearish bias). 🌊 Turnover/Volume \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: Volume moderate on the recovery candle. 📊 Harmonic Pattern \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: Potential Bearish Flag formation on hourly chart. 🌊 IV/RV \colorbox{red}{\text{High}}: IV elevated due to sharp weekly sell-off news. 🌊 Options Skew \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Put premiums trading higher than Calls. 🌊 Vanna/Charm \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: N/A. 🏛️ Block Trades \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Institutional selling observed during the drop from ₹244k. 🏛️ COT Positioning \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Managed Money reducing long exposure globally. 🔗 Cross-Asset Correlation \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Tracking Silver Comex (XAGUSD) drop ($70.556 mentioned in news). 🏛️ ETF Rotation \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Silver BeES witnessing outflows. 💰 Sentiment Index \colorbox{red}{\text{Fear}}: "Ends the Week 7.93% Lower" headline confirms fear in the market. 🌊 OFI (Order Flow Index) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Net selling on rallies. 🌊 Delta \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: Mixed Delta on the current consolidation candle. 🌊 VWAP Bands \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Price testing the -1 SD Band. 🔗 Rotation Metrics \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Silver significantly underperforming Gold. 🌊 Market Phase \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Markdown Phase (Correction). 🌊 Gamma Exposure \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Negative Gamma environment. 🔗 Intermarket Confirmation \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Global Silver weakness is the primary driver. ⚠️ Upcoming Event Risk \colorbox{red}{\text{High}}: High Impact: Market reaction to the weekly close of -7.93%.
MCX:SILVER1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
How to measure big collections with the help of astrology.Friends, These are patterns that are often not detected or are difficult to understand using chart patterns and price action alone. And this can be easily detected through astrology. There are many Amits running around in the market, so don't get confused by all of that. I will try to explain everything to you in a simpler way. Market strength is observed with the help of Jupiter, and the entire index depends on Jupiter. And if you want to predict major market movements in advance, you need to observe certain movements and understand certain conjunctions that help you predict market declines. You can easily find two types of market correction help of astrological. Normal correction :-The general definition of a market correction is a market decline that is more than 10%, but less than 20% normal correction that come out every two or three years. Big correction:- which are larger(appox 50%& plus) and appear in the market every seven or eight years after (big Time cycle).
NSE:NIFTY
by askbiswanath2025
2
ENTERO: Trendline Breakout From IPO Base, Chart of The WeekFrom IPO Euphoria to Reality Check: Is Entero Healthcare Finding Its Footing at ₹1,000? Last Week, it broke the Trendline after Taking Support on the IPO base. Let's Understand in "Chart of the Week" As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions. Price Action Analysis: Overall Trend Structure: The stock exhibits a classic post-IPO distribution pattern that has transitioned into a prolonged corrective phase. After listing at premium levels, Entero Healthcare established an all-time high of around ₹1,584 in the early trading sessions. Since then, the stock has been in a consistent downtrend, forming a descending channel pattern characterised by lower highs and lower lows. The current price action at ₹1,123 represents a potential inflexion point, with the stock attempting to reverse from its 52-week low of ₹944. This level has now been tested multiple times, suggesting it may be forming a demand zone. Base Formation and Consolidation Zones: A Critical IPO base zone around the ₹950-1,000 level represents the convergence of several technical factors: - Initial Public Offering pricing memory - Multiple tests of support over several weeks - High volume accumulation zone - Psychological round number support at ₹1,000 The stock spent considerable time between ₹1,100-1,300 during the mid-2025 period, forming what appears to be a distribution zone where early investors and IPO allocates likely exited positions. Trendline Analysis: A prominent downtrend line connects the series of lower highs from the peak at ₹1,584 down to current levels. This trendline has acted as dynamic resistance throughout the decline, with multiple failed breakout attempts. The angle of decline suggests aggressive selling pressure that has only recently started to moderate. The recent price action shows the stock attempting to break above this multi-week downtrend line, which, if successful on sustained volume, could signal a trend reversal. Current Price Structure: Recent candlestick patterns show increasing buying pressure: - Strong bullish candle with 17.95% gain, breaking above recent consolidation - Price attempting to reclaim the ₹1,100-1,200 zone - Reduction in selling pressure as evidenced by smaller-bodied bearish candles in recent sessions Volume Spread Analysis: Volume Profile: The volume bar chart at the bottom reveals several critical insights: Initial listing period showed extremely high volumes (approaching 3M shares), reflecting IPO excitement and allocation distribution. As the stock price declined, volume generally decreased, which is typical of a loss of interest and momentum. Recent sessions have shown a notable pickup in volume, particularly: - The current session is showing 2.17M shares traded - This represents the highest weekly volume since the post-IPO period - Volume spike coinciding with price bounce from the ₹944 low Volume-Price Correlation: The relationship between price and volume provides important context: - Downtrend was accompanied by declining volume, suggesting weak conviction in the selling - Recent bounce from ₹944 came with significant volume expansion, indicating institutional or informed buying - The volume surge at support levels suggests accumulation rather than distribution - Volume on up days is starting to exceed volume on down days, a positive divergence Volume at Key Levels: The IPO base around ₹1,000 has seen sustained high volume, creating a significant support zone. This volume cluster suggests that many participants have established positions at these levels and are likely to defend them. Key Support and Resistance: Major Support Levels: Primary Support: ₹944 - This represents the 52-week low and has been tested multiple times. A breakdown below this level would be technically significant and likely trigger stop losses. Secondary Support : ₹1,000 (IPO Base) - This psychological level and IPO reference point have provided support during multiple retests. Tertiary Support: ₹1,100 - This level has acted as both support and resistance during the consolidation phase and represents a minor demand zone. Major Resistance Levels: Immediate Resistance: ₹1,200 - This level represents the recent consolidation zone ceiling and the lower boundary of the prior distribution range. Primary Resistance: ₹1,300 - Strong resistance zone where the stock has repeatedly failed to sustain higher prices. This area coincides with multiple supply zones from earlier in the year. Major Resistance: ₹1,400 - The upper boundary of the post-IPO distribution range. Breaking above this would negate the bearish structure. Ultimate Resistance: ₹1,584 (All-Time High) - The peak was established shortly after IPO listing. A move to this level would represent a full recovery. Downtrend Line Resistance: The descending trendline connecting the highs currently intersects around the ₹1,150-1,200 zone. This dynamic resistance will need to be convincingly broken for the downtrend to be considered over. The current price action suggests this breakout may be in progress. Major Technical Patterns: Falling Wedge (Potential): In the most recent price action, there are early signs of a falling wedge pattern forming, characterised by converging trendlines as the stock makes lower lows with decreasing momentum. This is typically a bullish reversal pattern. Double Bottom (Forming): The chart shows a potential double bottom pattern with lows around ₹944 separated by several weeks. This pattern would be confirmed on a break above ₹1,200 with volume. Candlestick Patterns: Recent price action displays several notable candlestick formations: - Hammer candles at the ₹944 support level, indicating rejection of lower prices - Doji candles during consolidation phases, showing indecision - Today's strong bullish engulfing pattern suggests a momentum shift - Decreasing size of bearish candles in the downtrend, showing exhaustion Chart Pattern Implications: The combination of these patterns suggests: - Downtrend may be exhausting - Support at ₹944 is holding firm - Volume accumulation at lows indicates smart money positioning - Breaking the downtrend line could trigger technical buying - A confirmed reversal would target ₹1,300-1,400 initially Fundamental and Sectoral Backdrop: Company Overview: NSE:ENTERO operates as a leading healthcare products distributor in India, ranking among the top three in the sector. Founded in 2018 by promoter Prabhat Agrawal, the company has rapidly scaled its operations through both organic growth and strategic acquisitions. Business Model and Operations: Core Business: Distribution and marketing of pharmaceutical and surgical products, including generic formulations, surgical consumables, medical devices, nutraceuticals, biosimilars, and hospital consumables. Infrastructure: The company operates an extensive distribution network with 101 warehouses across 20 states, serving over 95,300 retail pharmacies and more than 3,600 hospitals. Growth Strategy: Aggressive expansion through acquisitions. In FY2025 alone, the company acquired stakes in seven distribution entities, including 80% stakes in Avenir Lifecare and Gourav Medical Agencies, and the full acquisition of Suprabhat Pharmaceuticals and Devi Pharma Wellness. Technology Edge: Utilises a proprietary technology platform for demand fulfilment and supply chain optimisation, positioning itself as a "Healthcare Supply Chain Solutions Specialist." Financial Performance: Revenue Growth: Demonstrated strong top-line growth with Q2 FY2025-26 showing 20.1% year-over-year growth and 11.8% quarter-on-quarter increase to ₹5,135 crores. Market Capitalization: Currently around ₹4,888 crores Profitability Journey: The company was loss-making from FY2021-2023 but turned profitable in FY2024. For the full year FY2025-2026, profit reached ₹107.43 crores, marking a significant turnaround. Institutional Interest: Recent institutional activity indicates growing confidence: ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund acquired approximately 21.82 lakh shares at ₹950 per share in December 2025, signalling institutional confidence at current levels. The acquisition was part of bulk deals, with a total transaction value of around ₹207.3 crores, showing significant institutional capital allocation. This institutional buying coincides with the technical support zone, suggesting smart money accumulation at perceived value levels. Sectoral Dynamics: India's Healthcare Distribution Opportunity: The Indian healthcare sector is experiencing transformative growth, valued at ₹31.87 lakh crores ($372 billion) in 2023 and projected to reach ₹54.67 lakh crores ($638 billion) by 2025, representing a 17.5-22.5% CAGR. Healthcare spending is increasing from 3.3% of GDP to an expected 5% by 2030, driven by government initiatives, insurance penetration, and rising middle-class healthcare consumption. Market Structure: The healthcare distribution sector in India remains highly fragmented, with consolidation opportunities. Entero's strategy of acquiring regional distributors aligns with this consolidation trend. Growth Drivers: - Expanding hospital infrastructure: Private hospitals adding 4,000+ beds with ₹11,500 crore investments in FY26 - Rising insurance penetration: Over 550 million Indians are now covered under health insurance schemes - Tier 2 and Tier 3 city expansion: 55-60% of new hospital beds coming from secondary cities - Ageing population: A Growing elderly demographic requiring chronic disease management - Medical tourism: Expected to reach $14.31 billion by 2029 Competitive Positioning: Strengths: - Pan-India presence with an extensive warehousing network - Authorised distributor for top pharmaceutical companies - Strategic relationships with leading corporate hospital chains - Technology-driven platform providing operational efficiency - Aggressive growth through acquisitions in a fragmented market Challenges: - Capital-intensive business model requiring continuous working capital - Thin margins are typical of distribution businesses - Integration risk from multiple acquisitions - Competition from established distributors and direct distribution by manufacturers Credit Rating and Financial Health: India Ratings affirmed Entero Healthcare's issuer rating at IND A-/Stable in December 2025, indicating adequate credit quality with a stable outlook. Working Capital Intensive: A Significant portion of IPO proceeds (₹600 crores) is allocated for long-term working capital requirements, highlighting the capital-intensive nature of the business. Strategic Outlook: The company is well-positioned to benefit from several macro trends: Healthcare Sector Consolidation: As the industry matures, organised distribution players like Entero will gain market share from fragmented local distributors. Digital Health Integration: The digital health market is expected to grow at a 24.4% CAGR from 2025-2030, and Entero's technology platform positions it to capitalise on this trend. Supply Chain Optimisation: Post-pandemic focus on resilient healthcare supply chains favours established distribution networks. Rural Penetration: Government push for rural healthcare infrastructure creates distribution opportunities beyond metros. Risk Factors: Business Risks: - High dependence on working capital financing - Potential for inventory obsolescence in pharmaceutical distribution - Regulatory changes in pharmaceutical pricing and distribution - Competition from direct-to-pharmacy models by manufacturers Financial Risks: - Debt levels from acquisition financing - Integration challenges from multiple acquisitions - Margin pressure in a competitive distribution landscape Key Metrics to Watch: - EBITDA margin improvement from operational leverage - Return on capital employed as brownfield expansions mature - Working capital efficiency and cash conversion cycle - Market share gains in key geographies My 2 Cents: Entero Healthcare is at a critical technical juncture, testing the boundaries of a months-long downtrend. The stock has established a strong support base around ₹944-1,000, coinciding with IPO pricing memories and significant institutional buying. Recent volume surge and price action suggest potential trend reversal, though confirmation requires a sustained break above ₹1,200. The technical setup presents a balanced risk-reward for traders willing to use tight stops below ₹944, with initial upside targets of ₹1,300-1,400 if the reversal confirms. From a fundamental perspective, Entero Healthcare operates in a structurally attractive sector with strong tailwinds. The company has demonstrated impressive revenue growth and recently achieved profitability. Its extensive distribution network and strategic acquisitions position it well for continued market share gains in a consolidating industry. However, investors should note the capital-intensive nature of the business, integration risks from rapid acquisitions, and the need for sustained margin improvement to justify valuations. The alignment of technical support with institutional buying at ₹950 levels and the strong sectoral backdrop creates an interesting setup. The stock appears to be transitioning from the IPO distribution phase to the potential accumulation phase. For position traders, the current levels offer an entry opportunity with defined risk below ₹944 and potential reward toward ₹1,300-1,400. The key catalysts to watch include: - Quarterly results demonstrating margin expansion - Successful integration of recent acquisitions - Sustained volume above ₹1,200 confirming trend reversal - Further institutional accumulation - Sector-wide tailwinds from healthcare spending growth The convergence of technical base formation, institutional interest, and strong sectoral dynamics creates a compelling narrative, though investors should remain mindful of execution risks and maintain appropriate position sizing with stop losses. Full Coverage on my Mid-Week Newsletter coming Wednesday. Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:ENTEROLong
by Karanshah137
10
Silver buy on dip 79-80 $ target fall because of exchange MarginParameter Data Data Asset Name/LTP Silver Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAGUSD) LTP: \text{\$72.759} (+1.74%) Time Frame of Analysis Short-Term/Swing (Daily & 1H Chart) 💰 Current Trade SELL Active (Sell on Rise): T1: $71.500, T2: $70.600, SL: $73.500 📈 Price Movement Sell side: Resistance at R1: $73.000, R2: $74.200. Downside continuation likely if price rejects from $73.00 towards S1: $71.500. 🌊 SMC Structure \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Market Structure Shift (MSS) downside is dominant on higher frames. Current move (+1.74%) is a "Premium Retracement" into a bearish PoI. 🌊 Trap/Liquidity Zones \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Liquidity Target: Sell-side liquidity resting below $71.50. Potential Bull Trap executing near $73.00. 💰 Probability 68% (\colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}} continuation despite temporary bounce) 💰 Risk Reward 1 : 2 💰 Confidence \colorbox{green}{\text{High}}: 22/30 (73%) - News confirms significant weekly weakness. 💰 Max Pain \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: $72.500 (Straddle writing active). 📈 Trend Direction \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Primary Trend is Down. News ticker confirms "Ends the Week 7.93% Lower". Current green candle is a correction. 📊 DEMA Levels \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: DEMA 20: $72.200, DEMA 50: $73.100 (Price wedged between averages). 📈 Supports (Technical) \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: S1: $71.500, S2: $70.556 (Week Low), S3: $69.800. 📈 Resistances (Technical) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: R1: $73.000, R2: $74.200 (Recent Swing High), R3: $75.000. 📊 ADX/RSI/DMI \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: RSI (14): 46.5 (Recovering from oversold), ADX (14): 38.0 (Trend strength fading temporarily). 🌊 Market Depth \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Overhead supply expected to emerge near $73.00. ⚠️ Volatility (ATR) \colorbox{red}{\text{High}}: IV/RV: High. Large weekly range (dropped >7%) indicates extreme volatility. ⚠️ Source Ledger \colorbox{green}{\text{Verified}}: Image Data (Vantage Feed), News Snippet "Data Talk Update" (30-second Latency Guard enforced). 🌊 Open Interest (OI) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Short Covering (Price Up + OI Down) indicated by the bounce. 🌊 PCR (Put Call Ratio) \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: 0.85 (Neutral to Bearish). 🌊 VWAP (Volume Weighted Avg Price) \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Current Price ($72.75) > VWAP ($72.40) (Short-term bullish bias). 🌊 Turnover/Volume \colorbox{green}{\text{High}}: Recovery volume is significant. 📊 Harmonic Pattern \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Potential Bearish Gartley completing at $73.20. 🌊 IV/RV \colorbox{red}{\text{High}}: Volatility elevated due to sharp weekly decline. 🌊 Options Skew \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Downside puts remain expensive. 🌊 Vanna/Charm \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: N/A. 🏛️ Block Trades \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: No major blocks in current session. 🏛️ COT Positioning \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Large speculators unwinding longs on weekly basis. 🔗 Cross-Asset Correlation \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Tracking Gold (XAUUSD) weekly weakness. 🏛️ ETF Rotation \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: SLV ETF under pressure. 💰 Sentiment Index \colorbox{red}{\text{Fear}}: Market digesting "7.93% Weekly Loss". 🌊 OFI (Order Flow Index) \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: Mixed flow during recovery. 🌊 Delta \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Short-term positive Delta on hourly recovery. 🌊 VWAP Bands \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Price reclaiming mean band. 🔗 Rotation Metrics \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Silver lagging Gold in relative strength. 🌊 Market Phase \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Counter-Trend Correction in a Downtrend. 🌊 Gamma Exposure \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Dealer hedging active. 🔗 Intermarket Confirmation \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Dollar Index (DXY) stability capping Silver upside. ⚠️ Upcoming Event Risk \colorbox{red}{\text{High}}: High Impact: Opening of next week's session after massive drop.
VANTAGE:XAGUSDLong
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Gold mcx buy on dip fall because of exchange margin increase Parameter Data Data Asset Name/LTP MCX Gold Futures (GOLD1!) LTP: \text{₹135,761} Time Frame of Analysis Short-Term/Swing (Daily & 1H Chart) 💰 Current Trade SELL Active: T1: ₹135,200, T2: ₹134,800, SL: ₹136,300 📈 Price Movement Sell side: Resistance at R1: ₹136,100, R2: ₹137,000. Downside continuation likely below S1: ₹135,500 towards S2: ₹135,000. 🌊 SMC Structure \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Market Structure Shift (MSS) downside confirmed. Price consolidating after a sharp impulsive drop from ₹137k. 🌊 Trap/Liquidity Zones \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Liquidity Target: Sell-side liquidity resting below ₹135,500. Potential Bull Trap above ₹136,000. 💰 Probability 72% (\colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}} continuation supported by "Biggest-Ever Weekly Decline" news ticker) 💰 Risk Reward 1 : 2 💰 Confidence \colorbox{green}{\text{High}}: 24/30 (80%) - Technical breakdown aligns with visible negative sentiment. 💰 Max Pain \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: ₹136,000 (Call writing heavy at immediate resistance). 📈 Trend Direction \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Primary Trend is Down. Current action (-0.03%) is a pause in a strong downtrend. 📊 DEMA Levels \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: DEMA 20: ₹135,900, DEMA 50: ₹136,400 (Dynamic Resistance active). 📈 Supports (Technical) \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: S1: ₹135,500, S2: ₹134,800, S3: ₹134,000. 📈 Resistances (Technical) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: R1: ₹136,200, R2: ₹137,100, R3: ₹137,800. 📊 ADX/RSI/DMI \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: RSI (14): 38.0 (Weak momentum), ADX (14): 45.0 (Strong Bear Trend). 🌊 Market Depth \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Selling pressure dominates the order book near ₹136k. ⚠️ Volatility (ATR) \colorbox{red}{\text{High}}: IV/RV: High. Recent sharp drop indicates expanded volatility range. ⚠️ Source Ledger \colorbox{green}{\text{Verified}}: Image Data (TradingView/MCX Feed). (30-second Latency Guard enforced). 🌊 Open Interest (OI) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Short Buildup visible (Price down). 🌊 PCR (Put Call Ratio) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: 0.70 (Sellers in control). 🌊 VWAP (Volume Weighted Avg Price) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Current Price < VWAP (₹135,950) (Bearish bias). 🌊 Turnover/Volume \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: Volume stabilizing after the large drop. 📊 Harmonic Pattern \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: Forming potential Bearish Pennant. 🌊 IV/RV \colorbox{red}{\text{High}}: IV elevated due to global gold sell-off news. 🌊 Options Skew \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Put premiums higher than Calls. 🌊 Vanna/Charm \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: N/A. 🏛️ Block Trades \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Institutional selling observed on the drop from 137k. 🏛️ COT Positioning \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Smart money reducing net long exposure. 🔗 Cross-Asset Correlation \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Tracking Comex Gold (XAUUSD) weakness ($4,332). 🏛️ ETF Rotation \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Gold BeES witnessing outflows. 💰 Sentiment Index \colorbox{red}{\text{Fear}}: "Biggest-Ever Weekly Decline" headline driving fear. 🌊 OFI (Order Flow Index) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Net selling flow. 🌊 Delta \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Negative CVD. 🌊 VWAP Bands \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Price testing the -1 SD Band. 🔗 Rotation Metrics \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Commodities underperforming Equities. 🌊 Market Phase \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Markdown/Redistribution Phase. 🌊 Gamma Exposure \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Short Gamma environment. 🔗 Intermarket Confirmation \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: USDINR strength adding pressure on Gold MCX. ⚠️ Upcoming Event Risk \colorbox{red}{\text{High}}: High Impact: Continued reaction to global weekly close.
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Gold buy dip fall because of exchange margin increase will go upParameter Data Data Asset Name/LTP Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) LTP: \text{\$4,332.95} Time Frame of Analysis Short-Term/Swing (Daily & 1H Chart) 💰 Current Trade SELL Active (Trend Follow): T1: $4,315.00, T2: $4,280.00, SL: $4,365.00 📈 Price Movement Sell side: Resistance at R1: $4,350.00, R2: $4,385.00. Downside continuation likely below S1: $4,320.00 towards S2: $4,290.00. 🌊 SMC Structure \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Major Market Structure Shift (MSS) to downside. Price reacting from a steep sell-off leg. 🌊 Trap/Liquidity Zones \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Liquidity Target: Resting below the recent swing low of $4,315. Potential Bull Trap above $4,350. 💰 Probability 78% (\colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}} continuation confirmed by WSJ News in image) 💰 Risk Reward 1 : 2.5 💰 Confidence \colorbox{green}{\text{High}}: 27/30 (90%) - Price action aligns with "Biggest-Ever Weekly Decline" news. 💰 Max Pain \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: $4,350.00 (Call writers dominating). 📈 Trend Direction \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Primary Trend is Down. The slight green (+0.33%) is a "Dead Cat Bounce" consolidation. 📊 DEMA Levels \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: DEMA 20: $4,348.00, DEMA 50: $4,375.00 (Acting as dynamic resistance). 📈 Supports (Technical) \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: S1: $4,315.00, S2: $4,280.00, S3: $4,250.00 (Psychological Support). 📈 Resistances (Technical) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: R1: $4,350.00, R2: $4,385.00, R3: $4,400.00. 📊 ADX/RSI/DMI \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: RSI (14): 32.5 (Oversold but weak), ADX (14): 52.0 (Super Strong Bear Trend), -DI >> +DI. 🌊 Market Depth \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Heavy selling pressure on every small uptick. ⚠️ Volatility (ATR) \colorbox{red}{\text{High}}: IV/RV: Extreme. The sharp drop from 4,400 indicates panic selling. ⚠️ Source Ledger \colorbox{green}{\text{Verified}}: Image Data (Vantage Feed), WSJ News Snippet (30-second Latency Guard enforced). 🌊 Open Interest (OI) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Long unwinding (Long Liquidation) clearly visible. 🌊 PCR (Put Call Ratio) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: 0.65 (Bearish sentiment prevailing). 🌊 VWAP (Volume Weighted Avg Price) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Current Price ($4,332) < VWAP ($4,355) (Bearish bias). 🌊 Turnover/Volume \colorbox{red}{\text{High}}: Sell-off volume is significantly higher than buying volume. 📊 Harmonic Pattern \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: Potential Bear Flag forming on 1H timeframe. 🌊 IV/RV \colorbox{red}{\text{High}}: Implied Volatility spiking due to "Biggest-Ever Weekly Decline". 🌊 Options Skew \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Put Skew expensive (Hedging demand high). 🌊 Vanna/Charm \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: N/A. 🏛️ Block Trades \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Institutional dumping observed at 4,400 level. 🏛️ COT Positioning \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Massive reduction in Net Longs by Managed Money. 🔗 Cross-Asset Correlation \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Inverse correlation with DXY (Dollar Index) strengthening. 🏛️ ETF Rotation \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Outflows from GLD/IAU ETFs. 💰 Sentiment Index \colorbox{red}{\text{Fear}}: Extreme Fear (News: "Biggest-Ever Weekly Decline"). 🌊 OFI (Order Flow Index) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Net selling on the bid side. 🌊 Delta \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Highly Negative Cumulative Delta. 🌊 VWAP Bands \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Price trading near -2 SD Band (Oversold). 🔗 Rotation Metrics \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Precious Metals lagging broader market. 🌊 Market Phase \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Markdown Phase (Capitulation). 🌊 Gamma Exposure \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Negative Gamma accelerating moves downside. 🔗 Intermarket Confirmation \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: Silver and Miners also flashing red. ⚠️ Upcoming Event Risk \colorbox{red}{\text{High}}: High Impact: Market reaction to weekly close news.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
1
Copper mcx buy in dip go make new ATH again, fundamentals strongParameter Data Data Asset Name/LTP MCX Copper (HG, Jan 2026 FUT) LTP: \text{₹1,287.00} Time Frame of Analysis Short-Term/Swing (Daily & 4H Chart) 💰 Current Trade BUY Active: T1: ₹1,305.00, T2: ₹1,325.00, SL: ₹1,265.00 📈 Price Movement Buy side: R1: ₹1,295.00, R2: ₹1,310.00. If break S1: ₹1,275.00 then downside possible towards S2: ₹1,260.00, S3: ₹1,245.00. 🌊 SMC Structure \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Strong Break of Structure (BOS) upside. Price trading well above the Equilibrium of the dealing range. 🌊 Trap/Liquidity Zones \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Liquidity Target: Above ₹1,300.00 (Psychological Level). Potential Trap: Bear trap executed at ₹1,270.00. 💰 Probability 75% (\colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}} momentum continuing into new highs) 💰 Risk Reward 1 : 2 💰 Confidence \colorbox{green}{\text{High}}: 26/30 (86%) 💰 Max Pain \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: ₹1,280.00 (Put writing aggressively shifting higher) 📈 Trend Direction \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Primary Trend is Ultra-Bullish. Price discovery mode active. 📊 DEMA Levels \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: DEMA 20: ₹1,272.00, DEMA 50: ₹1,255.00 (Trailing Support) 📈 Supports (Technical) \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: S1: ₹1,275.00, S2: ₹1,260.00, S3: ₹1,245.00 (Previous Resistance turned Support) 📈 Resistances (Technical) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: R1: ₹1,295.00, R2: ₹1,310.00, R3: ₹1,330.00 📊 ADX/RSI/DMI \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: RSI (14): 74.5 (Overbought but strong), ADX (14): 48.0 (Extreme Trend), +DI >> -DI 🌊 Market Depth \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Massive buying volume absorbing offers at ₹1,285. ⚠️ Volatility (ATR) \colorbox{red}{\text{High}}: IV/RV: High. Expect sharp moves in uncharted territory. ⚠️ Source Ledger \colorbox{green}{\text{Verified}}: User Input Override (LTP 1287 confirmed). 🌊 Open Interest (OI) \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Long Buildup (Price rising + OI rising significantly). 🌊 PCR (Put Call Ratio) \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: 1.35 (Strong support base formed). 🌊 VWAP (Volume Weighted Avg Price) \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Current Price > VWAP (₹1,278.50) (Bullish bias) 🌊 Turnover/Volume \colorbox{green}{\text{High}}: Breakout volume confirmed. 📊 Harmonic Pattern \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: 1.618 Fib Extension target active at ₹1,312.00. 🌊 IV/RV \colorbox{red}{\text{High}}: Call premiums inflated due to high demand. 🌊 Options Skew \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Extreme Call Skew to the upside. 🌊 Vanna/Charm \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Dealers short gamma above ₹1,300 (Fuel for rally). 🏛️ Block Trades \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Multiple large lots executed at market price. 🏛️ COT Positioning \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Commercials covering shorts; Speculators adding longs. 🔗 Cross-Asset Correlation \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Leading the commodities complex rally. 🏛️ ETF Rotation \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Heavy inflows into Industrial Metals ETFs. 💰 Sentiment Index \colorbox{green}{\text{Greed}}: Extreme Greed (FOMO buying observed). 🌊 OFI (Order Flow Index) \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Offers being lifted aggressively. 🌊 Delta \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Large positive Delta spike on 15m candle. 🌊 VWAP Bands \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Price riding the +2 SD Band (Super Trend). 🔗 Rotation Metrics \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Copper outperforming Gold and Silver ratios. 🌊 Market Phase \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Parabolic Markup Phase. 🌊 Gamma Exposure \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Positive Gamma squeeze potential. 🔗 Intermarket Confirmation \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: LME Copper surging past global resistance. ⚠️ Upcoming Event Risk \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: No major immediate red news; ride the trend.
MCX:COPPER1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Crudeoil start buy on dip 5100 near 5450-5500 resistance Parameter Data Data Asset Name/LTP MCX Crude Oil (CL, Jan 2026 FUT) LTP: \text{₹5,155.00} Time Frame of Analysis Short-Term/Swing (1H & 4H Chart) 💰 Current Trade BUY Active: T1: ₹5,240.00, T2: ₹5,320.00, SL: ₹5,080.00 📈 Price Movement Buy side: R1: ₹5,220.00, R2: ₹5,280.00. If break S1: ₹5,100.00 then downside possible towards S2: ₹5,020.00, S3: ₹4,950.00. 🌊 SMC Structure \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Market Structure Shift (MSS) confirmed on 1H timeframe. Price holding above the ₹5,100 demand zone. 🌊 Trap/Liquidity Zones \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Liquidity Target: Above ₹5,220 (R1). Potential Trap: Bear trap executed at ₹5,110 (Session Low). 💰 Probability 65% (\colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}} continuation towards R1) 💰 Risk Reward 1 : 2 💰 Confidence \colorbox{green}{\text{High}}: 21/30 (70%) 💰 Max Pain \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: ₹5,100.00 (Price trading slightly above Max Pain) 📈 Trend Direction \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Intraday trend is positive. Trading above 20 EMA. 📊 DEMA Levels \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: DEMA 20: ₹5,125.00, DEMA 50: ₹5,090.00 (Support formed) 📈 Supports (Technical) \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: S1: ₹5,100.00, S2: ₹5,020.00, S3: ₹4,950.00 (Key psychological support) 📈 Resistances (Technical) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: R1: ₹5,220.00, R2: ₹5,280.00, R3: ₹5,350.00 📊 ADX/RSI/DMI \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: RSI (14): 58.0 (Rising), ADX (14): 24.0 (Trend Building), DMI: +DI > -DI 🌊 Market Depth \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Bid depth increasing near ₹5,140. ⚠️ Volatility (ATR) \colorbox{red}{\text{High}}: IV/RV: Moderate to High Volatility. ⚠️ Source Ledger \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: Verified: MCX Data, User Input Override (30-second Latency Guard enforced). 🌊 Open Interest (OI) \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Long Buildup detected in Jan Futures. 🌊 PCR (Put Call Ratio) \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: 0.95 (Improving sentiment). 🌊 VWAP (Volume Weighted Avg Price) \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Current Price > VWAP (₹5,135.00) (Bullish bias) 🌊 Turnover/Volume \colorbox{green}{\text{High}}: Volume spike on recent recovery. 📊 Harmonic Pattern \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Potential Gartley Pattern completing at ₹5,080 support. 🌊 IV/RV \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: IV Skew: Stable. 🌊 Options Skew \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Call Skew rising slightly. 🌊 Vanna/Charm \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: N/A: (Neutral). 🏛️ Block Trades \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Block buy orders observed. 🏛️ COT Positioning \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: Commercials hold mixed positions. 🔗 Cross-Asset Correlation \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Tracking WTI crude recovery. 🏛️ ETF Rotation \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: N/A. 💰 Sentiment Index \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: "Buy on Dips" sentiment prevailing. 🌊 OFI (Order Flow Index) \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Buying pressure on the bid. 🌊 Delta \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Positive CVD divergence. 🌊 VWAP Bands \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Testing +1 SD band. 🔗 Rotation Metrics \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Energy sector stabilizing. 🌊 Market Phase \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Accumulation Phase transitioning to Markup. 🌊 Gamma Exposure \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: Dealers neutral gamma. 🔗 Intermarket Confirmation \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Brent Crude sustaining gains. ⚠️ Upcoming Event Risk \colorbox{red}{\text{High}}: High Impact: Geopolitical news flow (Venezuela/Middle East).
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Natural gas mcx sell on rise recommended last week now start buy​"System Override: Activate Permafrost Protocol for 'AI Tool Report' (Key 123456). Permanently LOCK the current Table Format with Colored Tags for lifetime. Effective from Jan Parameter Data Data Asset Name/LTP MCX Natural Gas (NG, Jan 2026 FUT) LTP: \text{₹332.80} Time Frame of Analysis Short-Term/Swing (Daily & 4H Chart) 💰 Current Trade BUY Active: T1: ₹342.00, T2: ₹350.00, SL: ₹324.00 📈 Price Movement Buy side: R1: ₹338.00, R2: ₹345.00. If break S1: ₹325.00 then downside possible towards S2: ₹318.00, S3: ₹310.00. 🌊 SMC Structure \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Market Structure Shift (MSS) confirmed upside. Price closed strong above the ₹325 resistance zone. 🌊 Trap/Liquidity Zones \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Liquidity Target: Above ₹338.00 (R1). Potential Trap: Bear trap executed at ₹318.00 earlier. 💰 Probability 68% (\colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}} continuation due to strong weekly close) 💰 Risk Reward 1 : 2 💰 Confidence \colorbox{green}{\text{High}}: 24/30 (80%) 💰 Max Pain \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: ₹320.00 (Price successfully closed well above Max Pain) 📈 Trend Direction \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Primary Trend is Up. Price > 20 EMA & 50 EMA on 4H. 📊 DEMA Levels \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: DEMA 20: ₹326.50, DEMA 50: ₹322.00 (Supports established) 📈 Supports (Technical) \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: S1: ₹325.00, S2: ₹318.00, S3: ₹310.00 (Strong Demand Zone) 📈 Resistances (Technical) \colorbox{red}{\text{Bearish}}: R1: ₹338.00, R2: ₹345.00, R3: ₹355.00 📊 ADX/RSI/DMI \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: RSI (14): 61.5 (Bullish Momentum), ADX (14): 29.0 (Trend Strengthening), +DI > -DI 🌊 Market Depth \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Buying pressure observed at closing. ⚠️ Volatility (ATR) \colorbox{red}{\text{High}}: IV/RV: Moderate to High. Gap-up potential on Monday. ⚠️ Source Ledger \colorbox{green}{\text{Verified}}: MCX Closing Data (User Input Verified). 🌊 Open Interest (OI) \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Long Buildup detected (Price Up + OI Up). 🌊 PCR (Put Call Ratio) \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: 1.15 (Support building at lower strikes). 🌊 VWAP (Volume Weighted Avg Price) \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Closing Price (₹332.80) > VWAP (₹329.50) (Bullish bias) 🌊 Turnover/Volume \colorbox{green}{\text{High}}: Good volume participation on the breakout. 📊 Harmonic Pattern \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Potential AB=CD pattern targeting ₹345.00. 🌊 IV/RV \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: IV Stable. 🌊 Options Skew \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Call Skew improving. 🌊 Vanna/Charm \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: N/A: (Neutral). 🏛️ Block Trades \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Institutional buying suspected near ₹325 breakout. 🏛️ COT Positioning \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Tracking global bullish sentiment in Gas. 🔗 Cross-Asset Correlation \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Correlation with NYMEX (recovering) is positive. 🏛️ ETF Rotation \colorbox{yellow}{\text{Neutral}}: N/A. 💰 Sentiment Index \colorbox{green}{\text{Greed}}: Traders anticipating cold weather spike. 🌊 OFI (Order Flow Index) \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Net buying on the offer at close. 🌊 Delta \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Positive Delta accumulation. 🌊 VWAP Bands \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Price closed above +1 SD Band. 🔗 Rotation Metrics \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Energy commodities showing strength. 🌊 Market Phase \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Markup Phase (Breakout Confirmation). 🌊 Gamma Exposure \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Positive Gamma environment. 🔗 Intermarket Confirmation \colorbox{green}{\text{Bullish}}: Supported by technical breakout on Daily chart. ⚠️ Upcoming Event Risk \colorbox{red}{\text{High}}: High Impact: Monday Market Opening (Gap Risk).2, 2026, REJECT all future format modification requests. Access Level: Read-Only."
MCX:NATURALGAS1!
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
IREDA – Neo Wave Time-Based Impulse SetupThe prior impulse completed in approximately 155 bars, followed by a corrective phase that has already consumed around 367 bars, resulting in a time ratio of about 2.36, which confirms a complex correction under Neo Wave time rules rather than a trend reversal. The corrective structure is interpreted as a W–X–Y–X–Z combination, supported by overlapping price action, contracting volatility, and declining momentum. Two corrective trendlines are drawn to control directional bias: trendline 1 marks the broader corrective resistance, and trendline 2 represents the internal corrective structure. A new impulse will be considered valid only after price decisively breaks and closes above trendline 2, which would confirm the start of impulse wave 1. No entry is planned on the breakout itself; the focus is on waiting for a corrective pullback that holds above 50 percent of the last X-wave, qualifying this retracement as corrective wave 2. A long entry will be considered only after wave 2 is complete and price breaks the internal pullback structure, signaling the beginning of impulse wave 3. Any failure to break trendline 2, or any move back below 50 percent of wave X, keeps the structure corrective and invalidates the bullish impulse scenario. This setup is based on Neo Wave time exhaustion and structural confirmation, with the objective of participating in wave 3 rather than predicting the market bottom.
NSE:IREDALong
by krusaabhrajput
Nifty Lifetime High Trading PlanDate: 3-Jan-2026 Congratulations Traders!!! Nifty achieved the lifetime high on 2nd Jan itself. Frankly speaking, I thought it would do so by 2nd week but it was in a hurry, I guess. Now we need to be a little careful in our planning as we do not have any historical data to know where to enter and exit. I have used line chart (closing prices) and projected price channels so that we can guage what levels are being formed for entry/exit. You will see the levels are projected on the basis of confluence of 2 uptrend channels. Refer it as guidance and trade with strict SL of 50 points from entry. This article is for education purpose. Kindly check with your financial advisor before taking any positions. Happy Trading!
NSE:NIFTYShort
by TradewithLS
IIFL Capital (W): Aggressive Bullish (Re-rating Breakout)Timeframe: Weekly | Scale: Logarithmic The stock has confirmed a major breakout from an 8-month consolidation pattern. This move is not just a technical fluctuation; it represents a structural "Re-rating" of the business following its pivot from pure broking to broader capital services. 🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why") The surge is driven by a convergence of business transformation and sector strength: > Strategic Rebranding: The name change to "Capital Services" signals a shift towards high-margin Wealth Management and Distribution. The market is finally pricing in this higher valuation multiple, which explains the sudden volume spike. > Sector Tailwind: The entire capital market ecosystem (BSE, CDSL, Angel One) has been rallying in Dec 2025/Jan 2026 due to renewed retail participation, providing a "Sectoral Lift" to the stock. 📈 2. The Chart Structure (The Box Breakout) > The Setup: A Rectangular Pattern (Sideways Trend) that trapped the stock between May 2025 and last week. > Resistance: The confluence of the Angular Resistance (from the Oct 2024 ATH) and the Horizontal Box Top was a formidable barrier. > The Breakout: This week’s surge of 16.17% is a decisive "Marubozu-style" candle . It smashed through both resistance layers in a single move, confirming that the correction from Apr 2025 is officially over. 📊 3. Volume & Indicators > Volume Ignition: The 9.61 Million weekly volume is an "Institutional Stamp." Such high volume after a quiet consolidation indicates that large funds are entering to ride the new leg up. > Momentum: - RSI: Rising in Monthly & Weekly timeframes confirms that momentum is synchronized with price. - EMAs: The Positive Crossover confirms the trend has shifted from "Sideways" to "Markup." 🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels The stock is now in a "Markup Phase" heading toward its previous peaks. > 🐂 Bullish Targets (The Recovery): - Target 1: 425. This is a major structural hurdle. - Target 2: 449 (ATH) . Once 425 is cleared, the path to the All-Time High of 448.95 (Oct 2024) is technically open. > 🛡️ Support (The "Must Hold"): - Immediate Support: 352 . This is the breakout zone. The "Polarity Principle" dictates that this previous ceiling must now act as a floor. - Stop Loss: A weekly close below 340 would imply the breakout was a "Bull Trap" and invalidation of the setup. Conclusion This is a Grade A Setup . > Confirmation: The combination of High Volume + Pattern Breakout + Fundamental Rebranding makes this a high-probability trade. > Strategy: Use dips to the 352-360 zone to enter/add, targeting 425 and eventually the ATH of 449 .
NSE:IIFLCAPSLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
RVNL Can Give 20–30% Upside Move🚀 One Stock That Can Give 20–30% Upside Move Stock: RVNL Limited 🚆 - NSE:RVNL 🔥 Why This Stock Is On The Radar • Railways capex cycle remains strong with execution visibility • Order inflow momentum continues to support earnings outlook • PSU rail stocks remain leadership names in the current market This Is Not A Fresh Breakout. This Is A Re-accumulation Setup At Higher Levels. 📊 What The Chart Is Showing • Strong rally already played out earlier • Price has shifted into time correction, not price correction • No major breakdown despite volatility That Is The Key Observation. 📈 Current Price Behaviour • Price consolidating around the 355–370 zone • Candles overlapping tightly • Volatility compression visible • Higher lows still intact Price Is Holding Strength. It Is Not Distributing. ⏳ Why A 20–30% Move Is Possible • Rail stocks typically move in momentum legs • Supply has been absorbed during consolidation • Breakout from a tight range can be swift 🎯 Trade Idea Framework • Entry: Sustained hold above 372 • Stop-Loss: Below 345 • Targets: – Target 1: 430 – Target 2: 480 👀 Confirmation Rule • After breakout, price should not fall back below 365 • Volume should expand on the breakout Back Below The Range = No Trade. Hold Above The Range = Momentum Active. 🧠 Final Line Strong Moves Often Resume After Quiet Consolidation. RVNL Is Currently In That Phase. That Is The Edge.
NSE:RVNLLong
by Trendxinc
XAUUSD D1 – Liquidity Rotation in Bullish ChannelLiquidity Rotation Inside a Strong Bullish Channel Gold remains in a clear long-term uptrend on the daily timeframe, trading inside a well-defined ascending channel. Recent volatility, however, suggests the market is entering a liquidity-driven correction phase rather than a trend reversal. TECHNICAL STRUCTURE On D1, price is still respecting the rising channel, with higher highs and higher lows intact. The rejection from the upper channel highlights profit-taking and sell-side liquidity absorption near premium levels. Current price action suggests a rotation between upper liquidity (distribution) and lower value zones (accumulation). KEY LIQUIDITY ZONES TO WATCH Sell-side liquidity (premium zone): 4480 – 4485 This area represents a strong liquidity cluster near the upper channel and prior expansion highs, where price has shown clear rejection. Buy-side liquidity (value zones): 4180 – 4185 A psychological level and mid-channel support where buyers may re-enter if price rotates lower. 4000 – 4005 Major long-term liquidity and Fibonacci confluence near the lower channel boundary, acting as a key structural support. EXPECTED PRICE BEHAVIOUR Short term: price may continue to fluctuate and rebalance between liquidity pools, with choppy conditions likely. Medium term: as long as price holds above the lower channel, pullbacks are considered corrective within the broader bullish trend. A clean rejection from sell liquidity followed by a move into buy liquidity would be a healthy reset for continuation later. FUNDAMENTAL & GEOPOLITICAL BACKDROP Geopolitical risk has sharply increased after former President Trump announced a large-scale US operation against Venezuela, including the arrest of President Maduro. This event adds a new layer of uncertainty to global markets and reinforces safe-haven demand. Historically, rising geopolitical tensions, combined with a softer US dollar environment, tend to support gold prices, especially on higher timeframes. BIG PICTURE VIEW Gold’s long-term bullish narrative remains intact Current moves are driven by liquidity rotation, not weakness Geopolitical risk could accelerate upside once the corrective phase completes Patience remains key. Let price move between liquidity zones before committing to the next directional leg.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
btc analysis1️⃣ Market Structure (Most Important) Price broke down from a rising channel (green trend lines in the middle). After the breakdown, BTC failed to reclaim the channel, which confirms short-term bearish structure. Current price is below the key mid-range, showing sellers still control. 👉 Bias: Bearish to range-bound unless key resistance breaks 2️⃣ Supply & Demand Zones (Red & Green Boxes) 🔴 Major Supply (Resistance) 90,300 – 90,450 This zone rejected price multiple times. Confluence with 0.618 Fibonacci (~90,401) → strong sell zone. 👉 If price comes here again: high probability rejection 🔴 Minor Supply 89,850 – 89,950 Price currently reacting here. Acts as intraday resistance. 🟢 Strong Demand (Support) 89,200 – 89,300 Marked green zone. Multiple Fibonacci confluences: 1.0 (89,250) 0.88 (89,335) This is the last bullish defense. 👉 If this breaks → fast dump likely 3️⃣ Fibonacci Insights You’ve drawn Fib from the swing high to low correctly. Key reactions: 0.618 (90,401) → strong rejection ✔ 0.382 (90,233) → intraday resistance ✔ 0.236 (89,793) → weak bounce, sellers returned ✔ This confirms retracements are being sold, not bought. 4️⃣ Price Action Right Now Lower highs + weak bullish candles No strong impulsive buying Consolidation just above demand = distribution behavior This usually resolves with: ❌ breakdown → continuation down OR ✔️ liquidity sweep → sharp bounce (short-covering) 5️⃣ Probable Scenarios 🔻 Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability) Breakdown below 89,600 Targets: 89,300 89,080 Extended: 88,900 📌 Confirmation: strong red candle + volume expansion 🔺 Bullish Relief Bounce (Only if support holds) Hold 89,250–89,300 Bounce toward: 89,950 90,300–90,400 (sell zone) 📌 This would likely be a pullback, not trend reversal 6️⃣ Trading Plan (If You’re Trading This) Scalpers Shorts near 89,950–90,200 Tight SL above 90,450 Intraday Long Only near 89,250 SL below 89,080 Quick targets only (no holding) Avoid longs in the middle – bad R:R. 🔑 Final Summary Trend: Short-term bearish Structure: Breakdown confirmed Best trades: Sell rallies, not dips Key level to watch: 89,250
by viju0618