Union Bank of India: Long-Term Head & Shoulders PatternUnion Bank of India has delivered a decisive long-term breakout on the monthly timeframe after completing a classic Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, marking a major structural shift in trend. The pattern has been in formation for several years, with a well-defined left shoulder, a deep head near the bottoming zone, and a higher right shoulder, clearly reflecting gradual accumulation after prolonged weakness.
The most important technical development is the clean breakout above the neckline resistance, which had capped price action for multiple years. This neckline breakout is supported by strong bullish candles, indicating conviction from long-term participants rather than short-term speculation. Such breakouts on higher timeframes often signal the beginning of a multi-year uptrend rather than a temporary rally.
From a projection perspective, the measured move derived from the head-to-neckline height suggests a primary upside target near the 240+ zone, followed by an extended target around 280+. If momentum sustains and the broader banking sector remains supportive, the structure also opens the door for a long-term projected target near 325+, aligning with the full pattern height projection shown on the chart.
Risk remains clearly defined in this setup. As long as the price holds above the neckline breakout zone, the bullish structure remains intact. Any sustained move back below this level would weaken the breakout thesis and shift the view back to consolidation. This makes the trade favorable from a risk–reward standpoint, as downside risk is limited relative to the potential upside.
Overall, Union Bank of India is transitioning from a prolonged basing phase into a new bullish cycle. Such high-timeframe pattern breakouts are often accompanied by volatility in the initial phase, but structurally they favor positional and long-term investors, especially when managed with disciplined risk control.
Community ideas
Does History Repeat Itself Every Time(RADICO)My Dear Friends, Radico Khaitan Limited is a leading company in the alcoholic beverage industry, known for brands like 'Magic Moments' vodka and '8 PM' whisky. According to astrology, this company is entirely under the influence of Venus and Rahu .
Rahu : Rahu is the lord of excitement and intoxication. In the alcoholic beverage industry, Rahu is the planet that makes a brand trendy and popular among young people.
This is a very serious astrological warning for the history and future of Radico Khaitan . A very precise correlation is observed between Rahu's transit in the Shatabhisha Nakshatra and the decline in the stock price.
Here is a detailed analysis of the chart and cautionary signals for 2026:
The historic crash of 2007-2008 (78% decline)
According to the chart, when Rahu entered Aquarius under the Shatabhisha Nakshatra (October 2007), the stock reached its peak, and subsequently:
Decline : A massive drop of approximately -78.36% occurred.
Duration: This lasted for about 399 days.
Reason: Rahu is the ruling planet of the Shatabhisha Nakshatra, and Aquarius is also ruled by Rahu. This creates "irrational exuberance," followed by the bursting of the BUBBLE ".
2025-2026 की वर्तमान स्थिति (The Second Cycle) ( Astro Cycle)
The chart shows that from November 3, 2025, Rahu has once again come under the influence of Aquarius and the Shatabhisha nakshatra.
Similarity: The stock is currently at the ₹2,900+ level, and the chart shows an almost "triple top" or "exhaustion" pattern, similar to what was observed in 2007.
Warning: If history repeats itself (as often happens in Rahu's 18-year cycle), the stock is at risk of another major decline. The projected -78.36% drop shown in the chart is very concerning and could send the stock plummeting.
Will history repeat itself in 2026? (Analysis)
Although the Rahu's nakshatra & zodic is the same in 2007 and 2025(after 18 years), there is a significant astrological difference that might prevent a 78% decline this time:
Difference in Jupiter's position : In 2007-08, Jupiter was struggling in a water sign (Scorpio). In 2026, Jupiter will be exalted in a water sign (Cancer). An exalted Jupiter often transforms a major "crash" into a "correction."
Nature of Shatabhisha : The Shatabhisha Nakshatra is associated with "mystery" and "sudden changes." The stock market might not experience a crash like in 2007, but instead move sideways (within a range), tiring out investors.
And as you all know, time is more important than price, so let's see what time tells us.
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | January 15-16✅ 4-Hour Chart (H4) Trend Analysis
From the 4-hour perspective, gold has clearly failed to sustain its bullish structure above the 4640–4650 zone and is now entering a classic high-level distribution and correction phase. After a strong impulsive rally, price formed consecutive lower highs and repeatedly failed to break new highs, which is a typical sign that bullish momentum has been exhausted and large funds have begun distributing positions at elevated levels. The short-term moving averages (MA5 and MA10) have flattened, MA20 has started to turn downward, and price is now consistently trading below the MA10/MA20 resistance zone. At the same time, the Bollinger upper band has flattened and begun to turn down, while price has dropped below the middle band, confirming that the overall structure has shifted from a trending market into a corrective channel. This means that the mid-term uptrend has ended and a medium-term pullback cycle has officially started.
✅ 1-Hour Chart (H1) Trend Analysis
On the 1-hour chart, a very clear M-top structure has already been completed. Price failed twice around the 4640–4650 region, broke below the neckline at 4595, and subsequent rebound attempts were capped around the 4615–4620 area, forming a textbook pullback rejection zone. All major moving averages are now in a full bearish alignment (MA5 < MA10 < MA20 < MA60), and price remains firmly below these averages, confirming that short-term control has shifted completely to the bears. Meanwhile, the Bollinger middle band has turned into resistance and the lower band has begun to open downward, indicating that the bearish channel is expanding and downside momentum is gradually strengthening.
🔴 Resistance Zones
• 4620–4630
• 4640–4650
🟢 Support Zones
• 4597 – 4600
• 4585 – 4580
• 4550 – 4530
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 1. Short from High Levels (Main Strategy)
📍 Light short positions near 4620–4630
🎯 Targets: 4580 / 4570 / 4550
🔰 2. Buy on Pullbacks (Secondary Strategy – Scalp Only)
📍 Light long positions near 4550-4570
🎯 Targets: 4580 / 4600 /4620
🔥 Trading Reminder:
This structure is in the early stage of a corrective downtrend.
All rebounds should be treated as selling opportunities.
Avoid chasing highs — light positions and strict risk control are strongly recommended.
Short term Analysis of GoldWrap up:-
Gold has almost completed a impulse of major wave 3 and also making a wxy pattern in wave 5 of wave 3. Buying Gold at these levels may lead to regret over time. Now, correction in Gold is about to start in coming 1-2 months.
What I’m Watching for 🔍
Short Gold once it breaks 38.2% level of wave y (i.e. from $3998 to a current high or if a new high is made then upto that level) for a target of $3702-$3577-$3446.
Disclaimer: Sharing my personal view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.
"Don't predict the market. Decode them."
NIFTY : TRADING LEVELS AND PLAN FOR 16-JAN-2025Timeframe: 15-minute ⏱️
Gap Criteria: 100+ points ⚡
Market Structure: Pullback after a sharp sell-off, with price testing an important intraday equilibrium zone ⚖️
Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points) 🚀
If NIFTY opens above the 25,740–25,780 zone, it would indicate continuation of the recovery along with short covering activity 📈.
The first price reaction is expected near 25,816 (last intraday resistance). Sustained trading above 25,816 can open upside potential towards 25,921 and further towards 26,005, which is a major supply zone 🧱. Given the prevailing broader downtrend, profit booking is likely near higher levels 💼. Aggressive long positions should only be considered after a strong 15-minute candle close above the resistance area ✅.
Options Strategy for Gap-Up 🧾:
A bull call spread is preferred by buying an ATM call and selling an OTM call 🟢. Avoid taking naked call positions near 25,921 and above ⚠️. Trail stop losses aggressively to protect gains 🔒📈.
Scenario 2: Flat or Range-Bound Opening ⚖️
If NIFTY opens between 25,660 and 25,740, the market is expected to remain range-bound with higher chances of option premium decay ⏳.
This zone will act as an opening support and resistance area 🧭. The index may consolidate before revealing a clear direction 🔄. Long trades should only be initiated if price sustains above 25,816 with confirmation 🟢. A short bias can be considered only if there is a decisive breakdown below 25,558 🔴.
Options Strategy for Flat Market 🧾:
Experienced traders may consider short strangle or iron fly strategies 🕸️. Focus should remain on quick theta capture ⏳, and profits should be booked early rather than waiting until end of the day ⌛.
Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points) 📉
If NIFTY opens below 25,558, selling pressure is likely to resume 🔻.
Immediate support is placed in the 25,516–25,489 zone, which is the last intraday support area 🛑. A bounce from this region may offer only a short-term pullback opportunity 🔄. If the index breaks below 25,489, further downside towards 25,358 becomes possible ⬇️. Bottom-fishing should be strictly avoided without strong confirmation 🚫🎣.
Options Strategy for Gap-Down 🧾:
A bear put spread is preferred instead of naked put buying 🔴. Avoid selling put options in trending markets ⚠️. Quick profit booking is recommended due to higher volatility 💨.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 🛡️:
Risk only 1–2% of total capital per trade 🎯. During expiry week, price movements are faster, so exits should also be quicker ⚡. Spread strategies are preferred to manage theta decay and implied volatility risk 📉📊. Avoid revenge trading after a stop loss 🚫😤. Always wait for the first 15-minute market structure to form before initiating any position ⏱️.
Summary and Conclusion ✨:
NIFTY is currently positioned at a critical equilibrium zone after a sharp correction ⚖️. The 25,740–25,816 range remains the key bullish trigger 🟢, while 25,558 is the crucial make-or-break support 🔴. Trades should be executed strictly on confirmation, allowing the market to clearly indicate direction 👀📈.
Disclaimer ⚠️:
This analysis is shared strictly for educational purposes only 📚. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Markets are uncertain, and there is a possibility of being wrong 🤝. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade 🧑💼📑.
RELIANCE Indepth Analysis & swing Levels for 07th JAN 2026💥 RELIANCE Level Analysis: Intraswing for 07th JAN 2026
📈 PRICE LEVELS (📍 SUP. RES. Reversal / TF point mentioned on chart.
🔍 Reliance Industries (RELIANCE) Intraday Analysis Report - January 7, 2026 on wards.
Reliance Industries closed at ₹1,507.60 on the NSE, down 4.47% from the previous close of ₹1,578.10. The stock opened at ₹1,569.00, hit a high of ₹1,569.00, and a low of ₹1,496.30, with trading volume of 27.41 million shares (significantly above average). The sharp decline was triggered by the company's denial of receiving Russian oil recently, raising concerns over refining margins amid higher input costs.
📊 Current Technical Setup
Bearish structure with a close below pivot point (₹1,588.40) and multiple moving averages (5-day: ₹1,564.80, 10-day: ₹1,559.75, 20-day: ₹1,554.66, 50-day: ₹1,533.96). Beta ~0.31 indicates low relative volatility, but the 4.7% range shows heightened activity.
🐢 Pattern Analysis
Intraday: Bearish breakdown from recent consolidation near ₹1,600 (failed attempt at all-time high of ₹1,611.80). Longer-term: Potential cup-and-handle retest invalidated by drop below handle base; forming lower highs, with risk of evening star confirmation on daily charts.
🎯 Fundamental Catalyst & Backdrop
🏃🏽 Key catalyst:
Denial of Russian oil receipts at Jamnagar refinery, potentially compressing gross refining margins (GRMs) as the company shifts to costlier non-Russian crude. Broader backdrop: Solid TTM revenue of ₹10T and net income of ₹831B; segments like retail and digital services (Jio) drive growth, with new energy ramp-up expected. Earnings forecast: Q3 FY26 PAT growth modest at ~10% YoY, but tariff hikes and retail expansion targeted for H1 CY26. Risks include high capex and competition.
🎉 Technical Observations
RSI (inferred from momentum): ~42 (neutral, approaching oversold with no bullish divergence). MACD: Bearish signal amid downside crossover. Supports at ₹1,496 (intraday low) and ₹1,480 (next pivot S3); resistances at ₹1,530 (50-day MA) and ₹1,565 (pivot S1). Delivery volume ~53% suggests mixed institutional activity, with spike indicating selling pressure.
🚀 Key Observations
Stock hit 2-month low, eroding over ₹1 lakh crore in market cap intraday; biggest drop since June 2024. Analysts remain bullish (36 firms: 69% Buy, avg target ₹1,710), citing 2026 as a re-rating year with earnings upgrades. Institutional holdings high; sector mixed with energy under pressure but retail/digital resilient. Trades at 24.56x TTM EPS (fair vs. peers), YTD return ~4%.
🥇 Trading Strategy Notes
Short Bias: Sell rallies towards ₹1,530 with stop-loss at ₹1,565; targets ₹1,480-1,450. Monitor for oversold bounce.
Hedging: Buy protective puts (e.g., 1,500 strike) amid volatility; options PCR bearish favors call writing.
🎯 Risk Management: Limit exposure to 1% of capital; watch Russian oil updates and Q3 earnings. Potential buy-the-dip above ₹1,500 with volume support, but avoid until momentum shifts.
🏹 Upside Probability: 30%
Limited potential for immediate rebound amid negative sentiment from oil sourcing issues. Short-covering could occur if it holds above ₹1,500, but resistance looms overhead.
🔥 Downside Probability: 45%
Elevated risk following the breakdown and high-volume selling. Further weakness could test ₹1,480-1,450 if global oil dynamics worsen.
🕸️Volatile Market Probability: 25%
🌈 High chance of swings due to elevated volumes and news-driven moves; implied volatility may rise with earnings proximity, though India VIX at ~10 suggests contained extremes.
💥Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
❇️ Follow notification about periodical View
💥 Do Comment for Stock WEEKLY Level Analysis.🚀
📝 WHAT CHARTS DO YOU WANT ME TO ANALYZE?
Share your desired stock names in the comments below! V
I will try to analyze the chart patterns and share my technical view (so far my knowledge)
If helpful looking forward to hearing from all of you, also let's keep this discussion going and help each other make better trading decisions.
RELIANCE: Impact of Negative News-Change in Market DynamicMentioned on Earlier Post dated 07 Jan 2026- DOWNSide Probability Maximum (See for detailes)
Last L:evel to reach "USTgt"- @ 1449.65 - Til now made a Low 1451.
Below some analysis about recent "🕸️ manipulative news broadcasted / published by some OIL Operators" using eminent journals / channels.
RELIANCE Level Analysis: Intraswing for 16th JAN 2026
🔥 Negative News on Reliance Industries Market Dynamics- In DEPTH Analysis 🔥
🕸️ Impact of Recent Negative News on Reliance Industries' Market Dynamics
In early January 2026, Reliance Industries Limited (RIL) faced significant negative news coverage, primarily centered on disruptions in Russian oil supplies and related clarifications, leading to heightened volatility and a sharp decline in its stock price. This has altered short-term market dynamics, with increased selling pressure from FIIs, retail investor caution, and a broader drag on benchmark indices like Nifty 50, where RIL holds substantial weight (around 10-12%). However, some analysts view the dip as a buying opportunity ahead of Q3 FY26 results on January 16, 2026, citing resilient fundamentals in energy and retail segments.
Key Negative News Events (Last Few Days)
The downturn was triggered by reports and denials around Russian crude oil imports, a critical input for RIL's refining business:
⁉️January 5-6, 2026 : Reports emerged that RIL is not expecting any Russian crude deliveries in January due to payment issues and US sanctions, potentially reducing India's Russian oil imports by 20-30%. RIL denied parts of the report, but the stock tumbled 4.5% on January 6—the biggest single-day drop since June 2024—erasing ₹1 lakh crore in market cap that day alone.
⁉️January 6-9, 2026: Follow-up coverage highlighted weak retail outlooks and slowing Jio growth, amplifying concerns amid global tariff fears (e.g., US threats under Trump 2.0). Additional older news (e.g., a December 2025 GST fine for input tax credit misuse) resurfaced, adding to sentiment pressure.
⁉️January 12-14, 2026: Clarifications continued, including denials of battery manufacturing ecosystem changes and talks with Lithium, but the damage lingered.
These events, often amplified by media and social platforms, created a cycle of "news-driven sell-offs followed by clarifications," a pattern noted in Social Network discussions as manipulative or overreactive.
Overall market cap loss: ~₹2 trillion from January high of ₹19.88 trillion, reducing RIL's valuation to ~₹9.8 trillion by mid-January.
🌈 Changes in Market Dynamics
Increased Volatility and Selling Pressure: The news led to elevated trading volumes (e.g., 27M shares on Jan 6 vs. average 10-15M), indicating panic selling. FII outflows intensified, dragging Nifty down ~1-2% on key days, as RIL's weight amplified the impact.
❎ Shift in Investor Sentiment: From bullish (stock hit 17-month high on Jan 5) to bearish, with X users highlighting "overthinking" by analysts and "farzi news" cycles. Some see it as manipulated for short-selling, while others note no major fundamental change.
Broader Sector Ripple: Energy stocks (e.g., ONGC, OIL) dipped 1-3% in sympathy; retail peers like Trent fell amid group concerns. However, positives like ₹7 lakh crore investment commitment over 5 years (announced Jan 11) sparked recovery hopes.
🏹 Options and Derivatives: High put OI at lower strikes (e.g., 1,450-1,500) reflects hedging; PCR dipped below 0.9, signaling bearish bias.
✍🏼 Key Observations from Sentiment Analysis
On Social Network discussions, sentiment is mixed but leans toward viewing the sell-off as overdone:
❌ Users criticized "Gadha analysts" for spreading negativity on Venezuelan oil or Russian issues , leading to unwarranted plunges.
Patterns of "negative news → hammer → denial" noted in stocks like L&T, BHEL alongside RIL.
Optimism for rebound: No major global negatives (e.g., no 500% tariffs), plus massive investment pledges by Reliance and Adani groups.
⁉️ Outlook and Trading Notes
The negative news has shifted dynamics toward caution, but Q3 results (expected PAT up 9.9% YoY for subsidiary) could reverse it if O2C margins hold amid oil shifts. Technicals: Support at ₹1,440; resistance ₹1,500. Bias bearish short-term (forecast +5.25% in 3 months), but buy on dips if holds above ₹1,450. Monitor for Venezuelan crude pivot as a positive catalyst.
____________________^^^^^^^^^^^________________________
💥Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
❇️ Follow notification about periodical View
💥 Do Comment for Stock WEEKLY Level Analysis.🚀
📊 Do you agree with this view?
✈️ HIT THE PLANE ICON if this technical observation resonates with you. It will Motivate me.
Why “Buying the Dip” Fails More Often Than You Think (BTC ExamplMost traders lose money not because they pick the wrong direction —
but because they enter at the wrong market regime.
On this BTC chart, price looks like it’s forming support.
Many traders interpret this as “buyers stepping in”.
But here’s the problem 👇
Price can bounce while buyers are still trapped.
A bounce without acceptance is not strength — it’s liquidity.
This chart demonstrates a simple but critical concept:
Support only works when the market accepts above it.
If acceptance fails, dip buyers become trapped liquidity.
What you’re seeing here is context before signals:
No indicators
No predictions
No buy/sell calls
Just market behavior.
This framework helps answer questions like:
Why did that “perfect” support fail?
Why did price bounce and still continue lower?
Why do breakouts fail even with volume?
Understanding regime prevents bad trades, not just bad entries.
📌 This is an educational framework, not a signal system.
📌 Use it to filter trades, not to chase moves.
The goal isn’t to predict price — it’s to avoid trading when the market isn’t ready.
DowJones (DJI) IntraSwing Levels for 15th-16th Jan 2026 (2:30 amDowJones (DJI) IntraSwing Levels for 15th-16th Jan 2026 (2:30 am)
👇🏼Screen shot of Todays (15th Jan 2026 as of now) 5 min TF Chart Formation
💥Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
❇️ Follow notification about periodical View
💥 Do Comment for Stock WEEKLY Level Analysis.🚀
📊 Do you agree with this view?
✈️ HIT THE PLANE ICON if this technical observation resonates with you. It will Motivate me.
XAUUSD Long Trade
XAUUSD Long Trade – Smart Money Play 📈🟡
XAUUSD long trade executed with predefined levels and controlled risk.
**Entry:** 4610
**Stop Loss:** 4595
**Target:** 4643
Trade planned, executed, and managed with discipline.
Letting the levels do the work.
#XAUUSD #GoldTrading #ForexTrade #LongTrade #TradeRecap #TradingView #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #RiskManagement #DisciplinedTrading
NIFTY50 - 27 JAN 2026 EXPIRY OutlookAfter a sharp ~700+ point corrective move, NIFTY has entered a decision phase. The recent sell-off shows signs of momentum exhaustion, followed by volatility compression, which typically precedes a directional expansion — though the direction still requires confirmation.
Higher Timeframe Context
Weekly trend remains intact; no major structural breakdown so far.
Daily price has reacted from previous demand zones, suggesting buyers are active below.
RSI across higher TFs has cooled from overbought levels but has not collapsed, indicating this remains a correction within a broader structure.
Intraday Structure (Key for Expiry)
On the 1H TF, selling pressure has clearly slowed.
RSI is attempting to form higher lows while price consolidates — a sign of bearish momentum fatigue.
Bollinger Bands show compression after expansion, often seen before a range expansion.
Volume Profile indicates acceptance around the 25,700–25,850 zone, strengthening this as a near-term balance area.
Wyckoff-style price behaviour suggests early accumulation characteristics (Phase B–C), though it is still too early to assume a full markup phase.
Key Levels to Watch
Support Zone: 25,600 – 25,450
Balance / Acceptance: 25,700 – 25,850
Immediate Resistance: 25,950 – 26,100
Major Supply Zone: 26,150 – 26,300
Probabilistic Scenarios into Expiry
Base → Gradual Upside (Higher Probability ~60%)
Price holds above 25,600
Controlled upside toward 25,950–26,100
Likely driven by short covering and selective buying, not aggressive momentum
Range Expansion & Fakeouts (~25%)
Wide intraday swings between 25,500–26,150
Both CE & PE buyers face whipsaws
Expiry may pin near 25,800–25,900
Bearish Breakdown (Low Probability ~15%)
Only if daily closes below 25,450
Downside opens toward 25,200–25,000
Bias & Invalidation Checklist
Bullish Bias Valid IF:
Sustained price above 25,600
1H RSI holds above 40
Acceptance above 25,800
Bullish Bias Invalid IF:
1H close below 25,450
RSI remains below 30
Strong rejection with volume from 25,900–26,000
Conclusion
This phase demands patience and confirmation, not anticipation. The structure currently supports range-controlled behaviour with a mild positive tilt, rather than a trending move.
Markets pay for discipline, not predictions.
NIFTY Analysis for 16th JAN 2026: IntraSwing Spot levelsNIFTY Analysis for 16th JAN 2026: IntraSwing Spot levels
🚀Follow GIFTNIFTY Post for NF levels
💥Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
❇️ Follow notification about periodical View
💥 Do Comment for Stock WEEKLY Level Analysis.🚀
📊 Do you agree with this view?
✈️ HIT THE PLANE ICON if this technical observation resonates with you. It will Motivate me.
Natural Gas (XNGUSD) AnalysisNatural Gas (XNGUSD) Analysis
On the daily chart, NG witnessed an aggressive sell-off from the highs made during early November
Although prices are now testing a long-term support base (blue ascending trendline) and have failed to close below the trendline.
A Classic Bullish Divergence has also been formed (Prices: Lower lows & RSI: Higher lows => brown boxes)
Also, RSI has started rising higher froma deep oversold zone (<30)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Therefore, if 2.80 holds, then potential bullish reversion can be expected
with upside targets of 3.00, 3.15 & 3.38
RSI will likely move back toward the 40–50 zone
Note: This would be a corrective rally, not a full trend reversal yet.
Alternative Scenario: If NG gives a daily close below 2.75, then Bullish divergence fails & next downside will be 2.60 & 2.45
NEXT BOOM IN METALS/IRON (JINDALSTEL)Friends, many of you were unable to participate in buying gold or missed the opportunity. Don't worry, because the global trend this time is such that this rally is still ongoing and will continue.I'll tell you the reasons why:-
Main Reasons for the Gold Rally in 2026:
Geopolitical Tensions: International tensions involving Iran and Venezuela have increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Central Bank Buying: Central banks worldwide (especially China and India) are diversifying their dollar reserves into gold.
Interest Rate Cuts: Interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve are acting as a "booster" for gold prices.
Current Market Situation (January 2026)
As of January 15, 2026, gold is trading above $4,600 per ounce in the international market. It recently reached a new all-time high of $4,642. In India, gold prices on the MCX have crossed the ₹1.4 lakh per 10 grams mark.
In astrology, gold is primarily influenced by Jupiter and the Sun. After May 2026, when Jupiter will be in its exalted sign of Cancer, a "super rally" in gold prices could be observed.
Similarly, the opportunity to trade in silver has also been missed.
If you're hesitant about buying gold , no problem, I'll tell you about another trade that can give you a good profit.
So what's the opportunity now? The opportunity is that after expensive metals, comes iron, which could see a significant surge in the next two years. It's time to start building positions now. The metal market moves based on SATRUN.
Currently, Saturn is in a water sign(Pisces), and it is during its transit through this sign that inflows begin to occur in the stocks of the iron and steel sector. When Saturn moves from a water sign (Cancer, Scorpio, Pisces) to a fire sign (Aries, Leo, Sagittarius), a major peak or significant surge is observed in iron ore prices.
It's surprising that every 10 years, when Saturn moves from a water sign to a fire sign, we see a tremendous rally in the metal sector, specifically iron and steel, within two years(2X-3X). I am sharing historical data from 2016, and 2006 with you.
Current Situation (around January 2026)
Iron ore prices are currently trading around $100-108 per ton, which is slightly stronger than in 2025.
2006 to 2008: The Big Surge (Peak of the Super Cycle)
Late 2005/Early 2006: Prices were around ~$65-70 per ton (Dry Metric Ton).
Late 2007: Rapidly increased to ~$190-195/ton.
Early 2008/Peak: Reached a high of ~$197/ton in March-April 2008 (around ~$193-197 for a few months).
Then the Crash: Sharp decline from September 2008 due to the Global Financial Crisis, falling to ~$88 in October, and even lower by the end of the year.
Multiplication: Approximately a 3x (around 2.8-3 times) increase from early 2006 (~$65-70) to the 2008 peak (~$197). This was part of China's rapid industrial growth and the commodity boom.
2016 to 2018: Recovery
Beginning of 2016: Very low, ~$40-45/ton (low point in 2015-16 ~$38-42).
2017: Good recovery — January ~$80+, then a decline, but back up to ~$72 by December.
Beginning of 2018: Peak ~$76-77/ton (January-February).
Rest of 2018: Mostly fluctuated between $65-73, no major new highs.
Fire Sign Transits:
Saturn spends less time in fire signs, but when it does, some astrological sources mention a "surge" or "spike" in metals/iron (because Saturn is the significator of iron/metal, and in a fire sign it becomes "active/expansive").
Recent Pattern: Saturn is currently in Pisces (water) (from 2025 to 2027), and will enter Aries (fire) in February 2026. If this theory is correct, there could be another major surge or peak in iron ore prices in 2026-2028!
Gold Hits Resistance Inside Rising Channel | Short-Term PullbackHello Everyone, i hope u all will be doing good in your life and your trading as well, let;s analyise Gold as it is trading inside a rising channel, but price is currently facing strong resistance near the channel top. The recent move shows signs of rejection, which opens the door for a short-term pullback, not a trend reversal.
This is a counter-trend short focused only on a corrective move. As long as price stays below the marked resistance zone, selling pressure can continue toward lower channel support. Buyers are still in control on higher timeframes, so shorts should remain quick and disciplined.
Key Levels
Short Zone: Near channel resistance
Pullback Targets: 4625 → 4610 → 4597
Invalidation: Above 4660
Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading involves risk. Please do your own research and use proper risk management before taking any trade.
Analysis By @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile.
If this update helped, like and follow for regular updates.
FedFina (D): Aggressive Bullish (Blue Sky Breakout)(Timeframe: Daily | Scale: Linear)
The stock has confirmed a major "Rectangle Breakout" from a 5-month consolidation base. By clearing ₹166.80, it has entered "Price Discovery" territory (New ATH), powered by pre-earnings institutional buying.
🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why")
The breakout is timed perfectly with corporate events:
> Earnings Anticipation: The Q3 FY26 results are scheduled for Jan 16, 2026 . The massive volume suggests that "informed investors" expect robust AUM growth and stable asset quality.
> Sector Re-rating: Small/Mid-cap NBFCs are currently outperforming larger peers due to faster growth rates, attracting capital flows.
📈 2. The Chart Structure (The Base)
> The Pattern: Sideways trend (₹133 – ₹166). This 5-month pause allowed the stock to digest its gains from the Apr 2025 lows (₹80).
> The Breakout: Yesterday's close at ₹176.40 was decisive.
- Significance: A breakout to a new ATH usually signals the start of a new, durable trend rather than a quick pop.
📊 3. Volume & Indicators
> Volume Ignition: The 6.89 Million volume is an "Ignition Bar." It confirms that the breakout is real and not a "retail trap."
> Indicators:
- RSI: Rising into the "Overbought" zone (>70) is actually positive here. In strong momentum stocks (like NBFCs in a bull run), RSI can stay overbought for weeks.
- EMAs: The stock is trading well above all short-term averages, confirming the markup phase.
🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels
The stock is now in unchartered territory.
🐂 Bullish Target (Blue Sky):
- Target 1: ₹200 .
- Target 2: ₹215 .
🛡️ Support (The "Must Hold"):
- Immediate Support: ₹166 – ₹168 . The previous resistance ("The Ceiling") must now act as a rigid floor ("The Floor").
- Risk: Be careful of "Sell the News" volatility after the Q3 results are announced. If the stock falls back below ₹160 , the breakout could fail.
Conclusion
This is a Grade A Setup .
> Strategy: The breakout is valid. If you are holding, trail your stop loss. If looking to enter, wait for the Q3 results (Jan 16) to settle.
GBPUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARDGBPUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you






















