Volume Contraction Pattern Amidst Dual TrendlinesThe chart reveals important price structure and behavior over the past 18 months, featuring both a prominent counter trend line (marked in red) and a long-term support trendline (marked in green). Each element signifies distinct phases of supply absorption and buyer interest.
• Counter Trend Line (Red): This line has consistently acted as a pivot for multiple lower highs, reflecting the presence of vigilant sellers at each attempt to move higher. Multiple reaction points along this line indicate repeated supply emergence whenever price approached the zone, especially after sharp rallies earlier in the trend.
• Support Trend Line (Green): The green upward-sloping line marks sequential higher lows. This support axis has been respected multiple times, hinting at growing accumulation at each retest despite temporary price weakness in the broader market. The curvatures at lows (forming cup-like bases) display periods of volatility contraction and constructive price action as buyers step in at successively higher prices.
• VCP Dynamics: The pattern visible in the chart exhibits systematic contraction in the price swings. Each corrective structure—characterized by the curved reactions at support—shows a shrinking amplitude in both price and volume. This VCP sequence typically points toward consistent supply absorption, with sellers getting exhausted at lower levels after each contraction. The emergence of strong green candles with above-average volume near the support line often signals a revitalization of demand forces, as seen recently.
Community ideas
APLAPOLLO - Directional Move ahead?CMP: 1791.5
TF: Daily
I have been trying to follow/understand GANN principles and one of the key factor is the number 144.
From the Swing high made on 9th June 2025, the price has completed 100 Bars / 144 days on Friday (31st Oct). Both are very significant in the GANN timecycle calculation..
We should be expecting directional move from here on.. break and close outside of the day's candle will give us a guidance.
Interestingly, we could see, inside bar and outside bar formation in the previous days' candles..Lets track how this one moves in the coming days.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
TDPOWER Episodic Pivot Breakout ChartThis TradingView chart for TDPOWER illustrates a powerful episodic pivot (EP) breakout pattern as of November 2025, highlighting key technical elements like the “tight base” accumulation area, HVQ (High Volume Qualifier) candle, and recent surge above multiple moving averages. The chart shows a strong uptrend confirmation with price moving from base formation to a breakout driven by high volume, signifying bullish momentum. Technical markers and annotations emphasize actionable areas for traders, with a target projection towards 800 INR, reflecting anticipated upside from this breakout setup.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 03-Nov-2025🔹 NIFTY Trading Plan for 03-Nov-2025
(Based on psychological correction zones and technical confluences)
Chart Reference Levels:
🟩 Opening & Important Support: 25,644 – 25,682
🟧 Opening Resistance: 25,773
🟥 Last Intraday Resistance: 25,905
🩶 Last Intraday Support: 25,614
🩵 Extended Support Zone: 25,459
🟢 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above previous close)
If Nifty opens above 25,830 – 25,860, monitor how prices react near 25,905 (Last Intraday Resistance). A sustained move above this level with good momentum can trigger an upward extension towards 26,015.
However, if rejection appears near 25,905, expect a possible intraday correction back toward 25,773 (Opening Resistance), which could now act as support.
For option traders: Look for quick scalps on CE side only after confirmation (e.g., 15-min candle closes above 25,905). Avoid chasing if volatility spikes immediately after opening.
📘 Educational Note: Gap-ups often trap late buyers, so patience during the first 15–30 minutes can help identify genuine breakouts versus false moves.
🟠 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (±50 points from previous close around 25,730)
In this case, early trade will revolve around the Opening and Important Support zone (25,644–25,682). A bounce from this region could create a base for testing 25,773 and possibly 25,905 if momentum builds.
On the other hand, a clear break and sustained move below 25,644 may attract selling pressure, pushing prices toward 25,614 and later 25,459.
Intraday traders can focus on range-bound strategies initially, buying near support and selling near resistance, until a decisive breakout occurs.
📘 Educational Note: Flat openings provide balanced opportunities — observe where institutional participation appears before committing. Price confirmation > prediction.
🔴 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points below previous close)
A gap-down below 25,650 immediately places Nifty near or inside the support pocket (25,644–25,682). Watch for signs of reversal (hammer-type candles or volume spikes).
If Nifty fails to hold above 25,614, bears could dominate, targeting 25,459 as the next logical intraday support.
However, if Nifty stabilizes and closes back above 25,682, it could turn into a short-covering day with recovery potential up to 25,773.
📘 Educational Note: Gap-downs usually trigger emotional trades. Stay calm — wait for structure confirmation instead of reacting impulsively to open volatility.
💡 Tips for Risk Management in Options Trading
Always define your risk per trade — never risk more than 1–2% of your total capital on a single position.
Use stop-loss based on hourly candle close rather than fixed points for better accuracy in volatile sessions.
Avoid averaging in loss-making trades; instead, re-enter only on confirmation of trend reversal.
Focus on delta-neutral spreads (like Bull Call / Bear Put) on volatile days to manage premium decay effectively.
Remember: preserving capital is more important than chasing every move. The market will always provide new opportunities.
📊 Summary & Conclusion:
Above 25,905 → Bulls regain control, eyeing 26,015 as the next target.
Between 25,682–25,773 → Neutral zone, ideal for short-term reversals.
Below 25,614 → Bears dominate, with possible slide towards 25,459.
In essence, the session for 03-Nov-2025 may open with uncertainty near key support zones, so disciplined observation and reaction-based trading will be the key to consistent results.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . This analysis is shared purely for educational and informational purposes. Traders are advised to conduct their own research or consult a certified financial advisor before taking any investment or trading decisions.
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 03-Nov-2025BANKNIFTY TRADING PLAN – 03-Nov-2025
📊 Prepared by LiveTradingBox | Based on 15-min chart structure & psychological correction theory
🔍 Key Reference Levels:
🟩 Last Intraday Support: 57,344 – 57,234
🟧 No Trade Zone: 57,693 – 57,976
🟨 Opening Resistance: 58,060
🟥 Last Intraday Resistance: 58,295
🔺 Profit Booking Zone: 58,722
🟢 1. Gap-Up Opening (Above 58,060 – 200+ points)
If Bank Nifty opens above 58,060, it reflects a bullish sentiment driven by overnight momentum or positive global cues. However, the key test will be whether the index can sustain above this breakout zone or not.
Plan of Action:
Wait for the first 15–20 minutes to let early volatility settle.
A retest and strong candle close above 58,060 can trigger fresh buying opportunities.
Initial targets will be 58,295 (last intraday resistance) and then 58,722 (profit booking zone).
Maintain a stop loss below 57,950 on an hourly close basis for positional trades.
If Bank Nifty rejects from 58,295 with heavy volume, consider partial profit booking or a light counter short scalp targeting 58,000 – 57,900.
📘 Educational Insight:
Chasing a gap-up is one of the most common retail trader mistakes. Professionals wait for confirmation near resistance retests or structure validation to ensure they’re aligning with institutional flow rather than speculative enthusiasm.
🟦 2. Flat Opening (Around 57,750 ±100 points)
A flat start near the midpoint of the No Trade Zone (57,693 – 57,976) indicates indecision and balance between buyers and sellers. Patience is crucial here, as this range acts as a neutral ground where false signals can easily trap traders.
Plan of Action:
Avoid entering immediately after the open — the market needs time to reveal direction.
Wait for a breakout above 57,976 for potential upside movement toward 58,060 – 58,295.
A breakdown below 57,693 may trigger weakness toward 57,344 – 57,234.
Do not trade within the No Trade Zone to avoid choppy moves and unnecessary losses.
Focus on candle confirmations — avoid pre-empting breakouts or breakdowns.
📘 Educational Insight:
Flat openings are where discipline and patience pay off. Avoid trading “inside noise” — wait for price to leave the neutral range with conviction before joining the move.
🔻 3. Gap-Down Opening (Below 57,600 – 200+ points)
A gap-down below 57,600 signals weakness or profit booking, especially if it’s accompanied by negative global cues. The support zone of 57,344 – 57,234 becomes the key area to watch for buyer reactions.
Plan of Action:
Monitor price behavior near 57,344 – 57,234. If Bank Nifty forms a strong bullish reversal candle (hammer or engulfing), it can offer a potential intraday long setup.
Targets for such a bounce can be 57,600 – 57,800, but avoid overextending trades unless strong momentum follows.
Keep a strict stop loss below 57,200 to protect from deeper slides.
If the support fails to hold and price sustains below 57,234, expect continued weakness toward 57,000 – 56,850 levels.
Avoid aggressive averaging — trend continuation can accelerate in such cases.
📘 Educational Insight:
Gap-downs often trigger emotional selling among retail participants. However, observing price reactions at support zones helps identify whether the move is panic-driven or part of a larger corrective phase.
🧠 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders:
Never enter trades based on emotions — use defined entry and exit levels.
Avoid buying options during the first 15 minutes of the session; volatility premium is highest then.
Prefer ATM or slightly ITM options for directional trades — they offer better delta control.
Stick to a maximum risk limit of 2–3% per trade .
If you hit your daily loss limit, step aside and protect your capital — survival > prediction.
Keep monitoring time decay, especially post 2 PM — theta accelerates rapidly.
📈 Summary & Conclusion:
Above 58,060, trend bias is bullish toward 58,295 – 58,722, provided the level sustains.
Between 57,693 – 57,976, stay neutral — it’s a No Trade Zone; let direction confirm.
Below 57,600, expect weakness until support near 57,344 – 57,234 reacts.
Patience, observation, and disciplined execution are key to consistent results.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . This analysis is intended purely for educational and informational purposes . Traders and investors should perform their own research or consult with a financial advisor before taking any trading or investment decisions.
$Q ALERT | TECHNICAL SETUP (500% Potential Setup)$Q ALERT | TECHNICAL SETUP (500% Potential Setup)
Q/USDT is sitting on a strong demand zone at $0.014–$0.016. If it holds & sustains above, we could see a potential rally toward $0.10 (~500% from this zone).
✅ Bullish structure: Price above demand = trend intact
❌ Invalidation: Price closes below demand = setup fails
Keep an eye on this key level. NFA & DYOR
CAPLIPOINT : A Textbook Elliott Wave Correction Unfolding
\ Timeframe:\ Daily
\ Structure:\ Corrective to Impulsive
\ Type:\ Educational Swing Setup
---
🔍 \ 1. Context and Background:\
CAPLIPOINT has exhibited a classic 5-wave impulsive rally followed by a correction phase, aligning neatly with \ Elliott Wave Theory\ . Currently, the stock appears to be in \ Wave 4 correction\ – often a shallow, sideways or ABC-type pattern – preparing for a potential \ Wave 5 impulse\ .
---
📈 \ 2. Wave Structure Breakdown:\
* \ Wave 1 to Wave 3\ completed with good strength.
* \ Wave 3\ peaked near \ ₹2390\ , showing signs of extension.
* The ongoing \ Wave 4 correction\ seems to be forming a textbook \ ABC pattern\ :
* \ Wave A and Wave B\ completed.
* \ Wave C\ likely completed or very close to completion inside the support zone.
---
🟦 \ 3. Wave 4 Correction Zone – ₹1928 to ₹2068:\
This zone offers a \ high-probability reversal area\ supported by:
* \ 38.2%–50% Fibonacci retracement\ of Wave 3.
* Confluence with \ previous consolidation\ support.
* Price action showing \ long wicks and small candles\ , signaling accumulation or demand.
---
🟥 \ 4. Wave C and Critical Support – ₹1887:\
* ₹1887 is likely the \ end of Wave C\ and the complete ABC correction.
* Based on:
* \ 113%–127% Fibonacci extension\ of Wave A (classic C-wave completion area).
* Strong \ volume spike and price rejection\ near this zone.
---
🟪 \ 5. Wave 5 Target Projection – ₹2389 to ₹2410:\
Projected using:
* \ Fibonacci extension\ of Wave 1 from Wave 4 low.
* \ Measured move technique\ .
* Target aligns with previous resistance around \ Wave 3 top at ₹2390\ .
---
🛑 \ 6. Stop Loss & Invalidation Level:\
* \ Invalidation below ₹1887\ on a daily close.
* A close below this would signal a potential \ deeper correction\ toward ₹1547–1660 zone.
---
✅ \ 7. Strategic Swing Trade Plan:\
* \ Entry Zone:\ ₹1930 – ₹2065
* \ Stop Loss:\ ₹1887 (daily close basis)
* \ Target 1:\ ₹2250
* \ Target 2:\ ₹2389–2410 (projected Wave 5 zone)
---
### 🧠 \ 8. Why This Setup is Educational:\
* \ Textbook Elliott Wave Pattern:\ Classic 5-wave setup with ABC correction.
* \ Fibonacci Confluence:\ Retracement and extensions align perfectly.
* \ Price Action Validation:\ Support zone showing bullish characteristics.
* \ Defined Risk-Reward:\ Excellent R\:R with tight SL.
* \ Momentum Potential:\ Wave 5 often brings sharp, fast moves—ideal for swing setups.
---
📌 \ Conclusion:\
CAPLIPOINT is completing a clean \ Wave 4 correction\ and preparing for its \ final impulsive Wave 5\ . If \ ₹1887\ holds, the stock may target \ ₹2389–2410\ in the coming sessions. A technically rich and structurally strong swing opportunity for serious traders and wave enthusiasts.
NIFTY might get weaker below 25700!!As we can see NIFTY has fallen exactly as analysed as it couldnt sustain itself above 26000 level. Now that it has closed below 26000, and also fomed M kinda pattern in bigger time frame which is a REVERSAL kinda pattern moreover we can see a strong bearish candle in WEEKLY time frame which can add fuel to fire hence sticking to our view, we will keep selling keeping target of 25500 in coming trading session so plan your trades accordingly.
FIL 4H Technical Analysis — Cycle & Key Levels Overview📊 Cycle Structure:
HWC (Higher Wave Cycle): Bullish 🔽
MWC (Middle Wave Cycle): Range 🔁
LWC (Lower Wave Cycle): Bearish 🔼
📌 Market Context & Structure:🔽
FIL is moving within a box-like consolidation after a recent upward move.
Volume shows slight weakening, suggesting potential for a controlled breakout.
Key resistance is around 0.0245–0.0250, previously tested 3 times.
A trendline on the 4H chart has had 4 touches; the 3rd touch aligns with this resistance, reinforcing its significance.
🎯 Trade Considerations:
Long Opportunity: Breakout above 0.0250 could provide a solid long entry if confirmed with volume.
Short / Pullback: If price fails at the trendline or resistance, short-term pullbacks are possible. Keep stops tight due to LWC bearish pressure.
The current box could act as an accumulation zone; watching for a confirmed breakout is key.
📌 If you want a specific coin analyzed, drop a comment and I’ll do it for you.
⚠️ Without proper risk management, you're just a ticking time bomb.
— PXA
Market ThinkingThe market had been under pressure, but now it’s starting to show some bullish momentum building up — higher lows are forming, and each dip is getting bought up a little faster.
The entry around 0.6544 could be the start of a fresh upward impulse if price continues to hold above that zone. I’ll be looking for signs of confirmation: maybe a strong bullish candle, or a breakout above minor resistance.
If buyers stay active and momentum builds, there’s room for price to climb toward the 0.6712 target zone, which also matches a previous swing high — an area where profit-taking might start to happen
Risk is clearly defined — if price breaks below 0.64969, it means buyers failed.
Reward potential — aiming for a move toward 0.67123 gives a healthy risk-to-reward ratio (roughly 1:3).
The goal isn’t to predict perfectly, but to react to what the market confirms.
It’s a patient setup — waiting for the market to prove strength before committing fully
Educational Trade Idea: Understanding a Technical SetupEntry: 153.223 – planning to enter once price confirms a break below the flag.
Stop-Loss: 155.723 – placing it just above the flag’s upper line, where the setup would be invalid if broken
Target (Demand Zone): 151.154 – that’s the next area where buyers might step in based on past price action.
The main idea here is that the bigger trend is still bearish, and this little bounce looks weak and corrective.
If sellers step back in and push price below the channel, that could be the start of another strong move down.
The stop-loss keeps the risk tight, and the target gives a decent reward if the pattern plays out.
It’s all about waiting for confirmation — a strong break and close below the channel would be the sign that momentum is shifting back to the sellers
GOLD: US Fed is Not Giving Up! Big Selling Zone is Activated.Hello, Traders! It's a crucial time, yaar! Gold is at a major crossroads. The pressure from the US Fed is real, and it’s lining up perfectly with our key price levels. Let’s do a quick scan of the market.
I. FUNDAMENTALS: The Big Boss (The Fed) is Hawkish 📰
Main Reason for Bears: The US Fed officials are not interested in rate cuts for now. They are very much "hawkish" due to inflation concerns. This has crushed market optimism.
The Direct Impact: Higher US interest rates mean the Dollar is strong and mighty. For a non-yielding asset like Gold, this is a major negative signal.
Long-Term View (The Hope): Don't lose heart completely! Big institutions still see Gold climbing (like Morgan Stanley projecting $4,300/oz by 2026). So, current dips are good for long-term accumulation.
II. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: The Supply-Demand Game 🎯
The H4 chart is showing a confirmed DOWNTREND. The recent small rally is just a necessary pullback to test the sellers' power before the next big drop.
1. Primary Strategy: GO SHORT (Following the Main Trend)
The Hot Selling Zone: $4,059 to $4,085. This is our Supply Area where the institutional players are likely waiting. This level is key.
Action Plan: Wait for Gold to enter $4,059 - $4,085. Look for a solid rejection (a strong reversal candle) to confirm your SHORT entry.
Final Target (TP): Our main target is the Strong Demand Zone at $3,939 - $3,952.
2. Counter-Trend Strategy: The Bounce Level
Crucial Buying Zone: $3,939 - $3,952. This is a major support level.
Action Plan: If the price really drops here, you can watch for a quick long entry for a bounce, but maintain tight stop-loss.
🔑 Final Verdict
Best Bet: We must look for a SELL near the $4,059 - $4,085 Supply Zone. Everything is lining up for a continued downside move. Risk management is paramount, okay?
What's your plan for Gold? Will the market respect the $4,085 level? Tell me in the comments! 👇
#XAUUSD #GOLD #FED #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrading #SupplyAndDemand #Bearish #TradingStrategy #IndianTrader #MarketAnalysis
31 Oct 2025 - Finally, we are short-selling Nifty + PostMortemNifty Stance Bearish 🐻
In last week's postmortem report, we said the Diwali rally would be coming to an end. I guess I said that too early, as I was hoping for a reversal on Monday or Tuesday, but the reversal came only on Friday.
Our last long signal was on the 3rd of October and a short-reversal came only on the 31st, which again shows how Nifty spent an entire month in bullish mode. The profits gained in this period is a whopping 985 points ~ 3.97%.
We have now formed a decent double top at the 26086 level and a faint double bottom on an upward-sloping trendline. As we all know, only one of them will actually work, and the double top is here to stay.
The upcoming support levels are 25681, 25219 and 25003. If we break the 25681 on Monday, the next 400 pts fall could come quite easily as more shorts could enter the system.
Meanwhile, the new rules on Nifty bank look really promising as the weightage of each component should not exceed 20% and a total of 14 banks have to be present in the index. The downside to this rule is that HDFC and ICICI banks, which have a weightage above 20% currently, may have to face outflows to reduce the weightage, or their weightage may have to be controlled via a formula.
Privi Speciality Chemicals Ltd – Weekly Breakout SetupPrivi has shown a clean breakout from a long consolidation zone, backed by steady volume expansion. After months of range-bound action, the stock finally broke above ₹2,600 and is now sustaining well above its breakout zone — indicating the start of a new upward leg.
Price action shows strong bullish candles supported by the 10- and 20-week EMAs, signaling trend confirmation.
🎯 Key Levels:
CMP: ₹2,903 (+2.55%)
Breakout Zone: ₹2,500 – ₹2,600
Target Zone: ₹3,150 – ₹3,250
Stop-Loss: ₹2,700 (weekly close basis)
📊 Technical View:
Weekly breakout from multi-month consolidation box.
Volume confirmation supports sustained momentum.
Price trading above both EMAs, confirming bullish trend continuation.
Minor resistance near ₹2,950; sustained move above can accelerate momentum.
🧠 View:
Privi Speciality Chemicals has completed a strong breakout after a long accumulation phase. Sustaining above ₹2,900 can push the stock towards ₹3,200 levels in the coming weeks.
Ramco Systems (M): Extremely Bullish, Multi-Decade BreakoutThis stock is displaying one of the most powerful bullish technical signals possible: a decisive breakout from a 25-year angular resistance trendline . This is a major, long-term secular trend change.
📈 1. The Long-Term Context
- The 25-Year Pattern: Since its peak in April 2000, the stock has been held down by a massive, multi-decade angular resistance trendline.
- The Bottom & Reversal: The stock formed its ultimate bottom in March 2009. Since then, it has been in a slow, 16-year recovery, forming a pattern of Higher Lows against this unbreachable resistance.
- Volume Contraction: Volume was declining (or contracting) during the final phases of this consolidation. This is a classic sign of seller exhaustion right before a major breakout.
🚀 2. The Decisive Breakout
In October 2025, this 25-year pattern was shattered:
- The Surge: The stock surged +26.61% in a single month.
- High-Conviction Volume: This move was backed by a massive spike in volume ( 2.77 Million shares), confirming strong institutional interest and the validity of the breakout.
- The Close: Most importantly, the stock closed firmly above the 25-year trendline, signaling the "lid" has finally been broken.
📊 3. Key Technical Indicators
The underlying momentum supports this new long-term trend:
- RSI: The Relative Strength Index is rising, showing that strong buying momentum is accelerating.
- EMAs: The short-term Exponential Moving Averages are in a "PCO" (Price Crossover) state, confirming the new bullish trend is in effect across timeframes.
🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels to Watch
This breakout provides a very clear road map.
🐂 The Bullish Case (Confirmation)
- Confirmation: The "gold standard" for a breakout of this magnitude is a successful "re-test." We want to see the price pull back to the old trendline (now new support, around ₹560 ) and "bounce," confirming the breakout is genuine.
- Target: Once confirmed, the next logical technical price target is ₹787 .
🐻 The Bearish Case (Breakout Failure)
- Trigger: If the momentum is not sustained, and the breakout is a "fakeout" (a "bull trap").
- Confirmation: The stock fails to hold its gains and closes back below the broken trendline (around ₹560 support level) on high volume.
- Target: This failure would invalidate the immediate thesis and likely lead to a sharp sell-off.
Option Trading StrategiesFactors Affecting Option Prices (The Greeks)
Options are influenced by multiple variables, often referred to as Option Greeks. These measure the sensitivity of option prices to different factors:
Delta (Δ): Measures how much the option’s price changes with a ₹1 change in the underlying.
Gamma (Γ): Measures the rate of change of Delta; it indicates stability.
Theta (Θ): Represents time decay; how much the option loses in value per day.
Vega (ν): Measures sensitivity to volatility; higher volatility increases premium.
Rho (ρ): Measures sensitivity to changes in interest rates (less relevant for short-term options).
Understanding Greeks helps traders manage risk and hedging more effectively.






















