Bharti Airtel – looks strong now at 1911• **CMP:** ₹1911.50
• Price resolved out of compression zone with expanding volume — signal strength confirmed
• Reclaimed 20/50 EMAs; riding above 200 EMA — momentum shift visible
• Volatility contraction → expansion underway
• Demand observed near ₹1865–₹1875; higher lows aligning with bullish intent
• Structure: Clean, asymmetrical risk-reward
🧠 **Execution Plan**
• **Long Trigger:** ₹1925+ (daily close confirmation)
→ *Target Zone 1:* ₹1958
→ *Target Zone 2:* ₹1985
→ *Risk Anchor (SL):* ₹1865
• No trade below ₹1860 — setup deteriorates, reassess.
Efficiency > Emotion. Precision > Prediction.
#BhartiAirtel #QuantSetup #AlphaCapture #NSE #TechnicalStructure #PriceAction
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September 11th Gold AnalysisSeptember 11th Gold Analysis
Waiting for CPI Data to Break the Deadlock
Market Dynamics
Yesterday's gold market exhibited typical pre-data volatility. Following a series of emotional speculation, bulls and bears reached a stalemate, with gold prices fluctuating between $3,618 and $3,657 throughout the day, ultimately closing slightly higher.
This narrow consolidation pattern reflects the market's conflicting sentiment: on the one hand, expectations of a Fed rate cut and geopolitical risks are supporting gold prices; on the other hand, gold prices are already at historical highs, and further upward momentum requires new catalysts.
Gold has risen over 39% so far this year, an astonishing performance that makes it one of the best-performing asset classes in 2025.
Focus Event: US CPI Data
Today's US August CPI data will serve as a bellwether for the market. Market expectations are for the unadjusted CPI to be 2.9% annualized (previous reading: 2.7%) and 0.3% monthly; the core CPI is expected to be 3.1% annualized and 0.3% monthly.
This data will directly influence the Federal Reserve's decision at its September 17-18 meeting. The market currently places a 100% probability on a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed, but the strength of the CPI data will influence the subsequent policy path.
A strong reading could push gold below the $3,600 support level; conversely, a weak reading could see gold prices test or even break through all-time highs.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, gold is currently oscillating at a high level, with a tendency toward sideways trading. On the upside, watch for short-term resistance around 3,655-60, while on the downside, focus on support around 3,625-20.
The performance of the previous two trading days suggests that gold bullish sentiment is waning. A break below the 3,620-25 support level could trigger a short-term counterattack by bears, potentially testing support around 3,605-00, and even a pullback to 3,570.
However, such a deep correction would require support from negative fundamental factors. Tonight's US CPI data and the ECB's interest rate decision could contribute to this situation, but the market's current dominant sentiment remains focused on expectations of a Fed rate cut next week.
Trading Strategies and Risk Management
Prior to the data release, gold prices are likely to remain volatile at high levels. Consider adopting a light-weight strategy of buying low and selling high, and then following the market trend after the data is released.
Long: We recommend a light-weight long position in the 3620-3628 area, with a stop-loss below 3615 and a target of 3650-3660.
Short: We recommend a light-weight short position in the 3630-3640 area, with a stop-loss below 3655 and a target of 3620. If the price falls below the 3620 support level, you can increase your short position and target lower support levels.
The market is volatile, especially on trading days with major data releases, when volatility and uncertainty can increase significantly. Investors should respond flexibly based on real-time market conditions, ensure proper risk management, and make prudent decisions.
Thank you for your attention. I hope my analysis can be helpful to you.
HDFCBANK 4Hour Time frame 📊 Current Snapshot
Current Price: ₹967.95
Day’s Range: ₹959.90 – ₹968.90
Previous Close: ₹965.90
Opening Price (4H): ₹960.30
Volume: Approximately 7.2 million shares
📈 Trend & Indicators
Trend: Neutral to mildly bullish; trading near short-term resistance.
RSI (14): Neutral zone.
MACD: Positive → indicating mild bullish momentum.
Moving Averages: Short-term averages indicate neutral to slightly bullish outlook.
🔮 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Break above ₹968.90 with strong volume could target ₹975.00.
Bearish Scenario: Drop below ₹960.00 may lead to further decline toward ₹950.00.
Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between ₹960.00 – ₹968.90; breakout needed for directional move.
📌 Key Factors to Watch
Economic Indicators: Interest rates, inflation, and RBI policy updates.
Sector Performance: Trends in the banking sector.
Global Cues: Global market trends, US indices, crude oil, and currency movements.
RELIANCE 4Hour 📊 Current Snapshot
Current Price: ₹1,380📈 Trend & Indicators
Trend: Neutral to mildly bullish; trading near short-term resistance.
RSI (14): Neutral zone.
MACD: Positive → indicating mild bullish momentum.
Moving Averages: Short-term averages indicate neutral to slightly bullish outlook.
🔮 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Break above ₹1,385.50 with strong volume could target ₹1,390.00.
Bearish Scenario: Drop below ₹1,375.00 may lead to further decline toward ₹1,370.00.
Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between ₹1,375.00 – ₹1,385.50; breakout needed for directional move.
📌 Key Factors to Watch
Economic Indicators: Interest rates, inflation, and RBI policy updates.
Sector Performance: Trends in the energy and petrochemical sectors.
Global Cues: Global market trends, US indices, crude oil, and currency movements..90
Day’s Range: ₹1,375.00 – ₹1,385.50
Previous Close: ₹1,377.00
Opening Price (4H): ₹1,376.00
Volume: Approximately 371,445 shares traded
BANKNIFTY 4Hour Time frame📊 Current Snapshot
Current Price: ₹54,731
Day’s Range (4H): ₹54,600 – ₹54,800
Previous Close: ₹54,228
Opening Price (4H): ₹54,350
Volume: Moderate
🔑 Key Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: ₹54,650
Next Support: ₹54,600
Immediate Resistance: ₹54,800
Next Resistance: ₹54,900
📈 Trend & Indicators
Trend: Mildly bullish; trading near short-term resistance.
RSI (14): ~64 – Neutral to slightly bullish.
MACD: Positive → indicates bullish momentum.
Moving Averages: Short-term averages indicate bullish bias.
🔮 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Sustained move above ₹54,800 may push toward ₹54,900–₹55,000.
Bearish Scenario: Drop below ₹54,650 could lead to retracement toward ₹54,600.
Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between ₹54,650 – ₹54,800; breakout needed for directional move.
SENSEX 4Hour📊 Current Snapshot
Current Price: ₹81,561.00
Day’s Range: ₹81,235.42 – ₹81,643.88
Previous Close: ₹81,101.32
Opening Price (4H): ₹81,504.36
Volume: Approximately 6.16 million shares
📈 Trend & Indicators
Trend: Neutral to mildly bullish; trading near 50-hour and 200-hour moving averages.
RSI (14): Neutral zone.
MACD: Positive → indicating mild bullish momentum.
Moving Averages: Short-term averages indicate neutral to slightly bullish outlook.
🔮 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Break above ₹81,643.88 with strong volume could target ₹81,917.15.
Bearish Scenario: Drop below ₹81,235.42 may lead to further decline toward ₹81,101.32.
Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between ₹81,235.42 – ₹81,643.88; breakout needed for directional move.
📌 Key Factors to Watch
Economic Indicators: Interest rates, inflation, and RBI policy updates.
Sector Performance: Trends in the IT and financial sectors.
Global Cues: Global market trends, US indices, crude oil, and currency movements.
NIFTY 4H Time frame📊 Current Snapshot
Current Price: ₹25,010.95
Day’s Range: ₹24,940.15 – ₹25,008.95
Previous Close: ₹24,977.95
Opening Price (4H): ₹24,940.15
Volume: Approximately 6.16 million shares
📈 Trend & Indicators
Trend: Neutral to mildly bullish; trading near 50-hour and 200-hour moving averages.
RSI (14): Neutral zone.
MACD: Positive → indicating mild bullish momentum.
Moving Averages: Short-term averages indicate neutral to slightly bullish outlook.
🔮 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Break above ₹25,008.95 with strong volume could target ₹25,186.00.
Bearish Scenario: Drop below ₹24,940.00 may lead to further decline toward ₹24,871.10.
Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between ₹24,940.00 – ₹25,008.95; breakout needed for directional move.
📌 Key Factors to Watch
Economic Indicators: Interest rates, inflation, and RBI policy updates.
Sector Performance: Trends in the IT and financial sectors.
Global Cues: Global market trends, US indices, crude oil, and currency movements.
TATASTEEL 4H 📊 Current Snapshot
Current Price: ₹169.43
Day’s Range: ₹168.46 – ₹170.90
Previous Close: ₹169.43
Opening Price (4H): ₹169.35
📈 Trend & Indicators
Trend: Neutral to mildly bullish; trading near 50-hour and 200-hour moving averages.
RSI (14): Neutral zone.
MACD: Positive → indicating mild bullish momentum.
Moving Averages: Short-term averages indicate neutral to slightly bullish outlook.
🔮 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Break above ₹170.90 with strong volume could target ₹172.50.
Bearish Scenario: Drop below ₹168.50 may lead to further decline toward ₹167.99.
Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between ₹168.50 – ₹170.90; breakout needed for directional move.
📌 Key Factors to Watch
Economic Indicators: Interest rates, inflation, and RBI policy updates.
Sector Performance: Trends in the metals and mining sectors.
Global Cues: Global market trends, US indices, crude oil, and currency movements.
LT FOODBullish Engulfing Zone (Support Area)
Around the ₹400–420 zone, a bullish engulfing candle formed, which indicates strong buying demand.
This zone is highlighted as a support region where buyers have shown interest.
Resistance Trendline Break
A descending resistance trendline was respected multiple times during the recent downtrend.
Price has now broken above this resistance, suggesting a potential trend reversal.
Market Structure Shift (MSS)
Price shifted structure around ₹443.40 with strong bullish momentum.
The MSS indicates that sellers lost control, and buyers are now dominating.
Volume Confirmation
The breakout was supported with increasing volumes, which adds reliability to the move.
Structure shift + volumes = strong bullish signal.
Current Price Action
CMP ~₹465.65
After breakout, price is sustaining above resistance-turned-support (443.40), which is healthy
HDFCBANK 1D Time frameCurrent Price Action
HDFCBANK is trading around ₹962–968.
Day’s low is near ₹960 and high is around ₹978.
The stock is consolidating in a tight range.
⚖️ Key Levels
Immediate Resistance: ₹968 – ₹970
Next Resistance: ₹975 – ₹980
Immediate Support: ₹960
Strong Support: ₹950 – ₹955
📊 Indicators
Moving Averages: Price is below the 50-day MA (short-term weakness) but above the 200-day MA (long-term trend still intact).
RSI (14-day): Around 40–45 → neutral to slightly weak momentum.
MACD: Negative bias, showing limited upside strength.
📈 Outlook
If HDFCBANK stays above ₹960, a bounce toward ₹970 – ₹975 is possible.
A breakout above ₹975 – ₹980 could turn the trend stronger.
If the stock slips below ₹955 – ₹950, it may head lower toward ₹940 – ₹935.
Current bias: Neutral to slightly bearish until price breaks above resistance.
RELIANCE 1D Time frameCurrent Price Action
Reliance is trading around ₹1,384.
Day’s low is near ₹1,375 and high is near ₹1,385.
Price is consolidating in a narrow band after recent gains.
⚖️ Key Levels
Immediate Resistance: ₹1,385 – ₹1,390
Next Resistance: ₹1,400 – ₹1,410
Immediate Support: ₹1,375
Strong Support: ₹1,360 – ₹1,350
📊 Indicators
Moving Averages: Short- and medium-term averages remain bullish, confirming uptrend strength.
RSI (14-day): Around 58–60 → showing bullish momentum, still not overbought.
MACD: Positive crossover → indicates bullish bias.
📈 Outlook
As long as Reliance holds above ₹1,375, the bias stays bullish.
A breakout above ₹1,390 – ₹1,400 can push the stock toward ₹1,410 – ₹1,420.
If it falls below ₹1,375, it could slip toward ₹1,360 – ₹1,350.
SENSEX 1D Time frame📍 Current Price Action
Sensex is currently trading around 81,577.
Day’s low is near 81,216 and high is near 81,589.
The index is consolidating near recent highs.
⚖️ Key Levels
Immediate Resistance: 81,600 – 81,850
Next Resistance: 82,000 – 82,200
Immediate Support: 81,200 – 81,000
Strong Support: 80,800 – 80,500
📊 Indicators
Moving Averages: Short-, medium-, and long-term averages are in bullish alignment → trend remains positive.
RSI (14-day): Around 60–62 → shows bullish momentum, not in overbought zone.
MACD: Positive, confirming bullish bias.
📈 Outlook
As long as Sensex holds above 81,000, the bias stays bullish.
A breakout above 81,850 – 82,000 can open upside toward 82,500+.
If it slips below 81,000, a pullback toward 80,800 – 80,500 is possible.
BANKNIFTY 1D Time frame📍 Current Price Action
BankNIFTY is trading around 54,680 – 54,817.
Day’s low is near 54,400, and high is near 54,825.
Index is consolidating near the upper end of the recent range.
⚖️ Key Levels
Immediate Resistance: 54,700 – 55,000
Next Resistance: 55,300 – 55,500
Immediate Support: 54,400
Strong Support: 53,800 – 53,500
📊 Indicators
Moving Averages: Short-, medium-, and long-term averages remain in a bullish alignment → trend still positive.
RSI (14-day): Around 60-65 → showing bullish momentum, but not extreme.
MACD: Still positive, indicating bullish momentum, though strength is flattening.
📈 Outlook
As long as BankNIFTY stays above 54,400, the bias remains bullish to neutral.
A breakout above 55,000 could push the index toward 55,300 – 55,500.
A breakdown below 54,400 could trigger a slide toward 53,800 – 53,500.
HCLTECH 1D Time frame📍 Current Price Action
HCLTECH is trading around ₹1,464.
Day’s low is near ₹1,458, and high is around ₹1,470.
The stock is consolidating near the upper end of its intraday range.
⚖️ Key Levels
Immediate Resistance: ₹1,470 – ₹1,475
Next Resistance: ₹1,495 – ₹1,500
Immediate Support: ₹1,450
Strong Support: ₹1,430 – ₹1,420
📊 Indicators
Moving Averages: Short-term MAs (5-, 10-day) slightly lagging, medium-term (20-, 50-day) supportive → trend mildly bullish.
RSI (14-day): Around 66 → showing bullish momentum, approaching overbought.
MACD: Positive, indicating mild bullish bias, but momentum is not extremely strong.
📈 Outlook
If HCLTECH holds above ₹1,450, potential upside toward ₹1,470 – ₹1,495 exists.
A breakout above ₹1,475 could open room toward ₹1,500.
On the downside, a drop below ₹1,450 may test ₹1,430 – ₹1,420 support.
Overall bias: Slightly bullish, but caution near resistance.
TCS 1D Time framePrice Action (Daily Chart)
Current price is around ₹3,117 - ₹3,120
Price is consolidating near support zones after a recent upward move.
Candle structure shows buying interest at lower levels, but resistance is capping the upside.
📊 Indicators
Moving Averages (MA):
Short-term MAs (5-day, 10-day) are slightly mixed.
Medium to long MAs (20, 50, 100, 200-day) are in buy zone, showing broader uptrend strength.
RSI (14-day): ~62-65 → indicates mild bullish momentum, not yet in overbought zone.
MACD: Shows positive crossover, momentum favors bulls but losing some strength.
⚖️ Key Levels
Immediate Resistance: ₹3,135 – ₹3,140
Next Resistance: ₹3,170 – ₹3,200
Immediate Support: ₹3,100 – ₹3,110
Strong Support: ₹3,050 – ₹3,000
📈 Outlook
Short-term sentiment: Neutral to slightly bullish as long as price holds above ₹3,100.
A breakout above ₹3,140 may open room toward ₹3,170–₹3,200.
A breakdown below ₹3,100 may drag price to ₹3,050–₹3,000.
Overall trend on daily timeframe is still uptrend, but near resistance, so caution is needed.
WAAREE ENERGIES READY FOR A BLASTWaaree Energies is India’s largest manufacturer and exporter of solar modules. As of FY24, they hold 21% share of the domestic market for solar modules and 44% share in India's solar module exports. Its installed capacity surged from 2GW in FY21 to 13.3GW by FY24.
The stock has a crucial resistance at 3774 level which was seen post few days after listing but after that the stock had a bit roller coaster ride ranging a series of peaks and troughs over the past 10 months.
However the series of stagnation is about to end as the stock races towards breaching it's all time high.
The volumes are decent, pattern is reliable i.e. the cup and handle pattern breakout moreover the fundamentals are absolute stunning and in a good uptrend
While the stock price is around it's all time high the sales and profits are also at the lifetime high bringing more conviction in the stock supported by great future outlook.
As of June 30, 2024, Waaree Energies Limited boasts a substantial 16.6 GW order book for solar PV modules, including domestic, export, and franchisee orders.
The sale have become 7X in 5 years and the net profit has grown 50X
If stock breaches this level the stock can reach 5800 levels in no time
Ashok Leyland: Q1 Results Drive Breakout Move🔍 Technical Analysis
Ashok Leyland has showcased an extraordinary super bullish rally spanning an incredible 25-year journey since 1999. The stock's transformation from trading below ₹1 in 1999 to the current level of ₹134 represents a phenomenal 13,400%+ growth over two and half decades - a testament to India's commercial vehicle revolution.
However, since 2024, the stock encountered formidable resistance at the ₹130-132 zone, creating a critical supply area that tested multiple times. In August 2024, this resistance proved too strong, causing a sharp correction down to ₹96 levels, representing a significant 27% decline from resistance.
The game-changing catalyst arrived with the announcement of strong Q1 FY26 results, showcasing record commercial vehicle volumes and impressive cost discipline. These stellar quarterly numbers provided the momentum needed to stage a remarkable recovery, with the stock breaking above the stubborn ₹132 resistance level with strong volume confirmation on September 8th, 2025.
Currently trading at ₹134, the stock has successfully conquered the 130-132 resistance zone. If this previous resistance transforms into robust support with bullish candlestick pattern confirmation, the technical setup appears highly favorable for the next leg of rally.
Entry Strategy: Enter on any dips toward ₹130-132 range, ensuring the old resistance holds as new support with volume confirmation.
Targets:
Target 1: ₹140
Target 2: ₹145
Target 3: ₹150
Stop Losses:
Critical Stop: ₹130 (previous resistance, now key support)
If ₹130-132 zone doesn't sustain as support or demand zone, no more expectations on this stock.
💰 Q1 FY26 Financial Highlights (vs Q4 FY25 & Q1 FY25)
Total Income: ₹11,709 Cr (↓ -20.3% QoQ from ₹14,696 Cr; ↑ +9.2% YoY from ₹10,724 Cr)
Total Expenses: ₹9,535 Cr (↓ -18.5% QoQ from ₹11,705 Cr; ↑ +7.7% YoY from ₹8,856 Cr)
Operating Profit: ₹2,173 Cr (↓ -27.4% QoQ from ₹2,991 Cr; ↑ +16.3% YoY from ₹1,868 Cr)
Profit Before Tax: ₹891 Cr (↓ -45.0% QoQ from ₹1,621 Cr; ↑ +16.5% YoY from ₹765 Cr)
Profit After Tax: ₹658 Cr (↓ -47.2% QoQ from ₹1,246 Cr; ↑ +19.4% YoY from ₹551 Cr)
Diluted EPS: ₹1.04 (↓ -45.8% QoQ from ₹1.92; ↑ +19.5% YoY from ₹0.87)
🧠 Fundamental Highlights
Ashok Leyland delivered impressive Q1 FY26 performance with PAT surging 19.4% YoY to ₹658 crore, driven by record commercial vehicle volumes and superior cost discipline. The company achieved record Q1 volumes with profit rising on improved market execution and cost control, with exports reaching all-time high levels.
As India's 2nd largest commercial vehicle manufacturer, 4th largest bus manufacturer globally, and 19th largest truck manufacturer worldwide, Ashok Leyland maintains a dominant market position with diversified operations across 9 manufacturing plants internationally.
The company sold 44,238 units in Q1 - its highest for any first quarter - and posted revenues of ₹8,725 crore, marking the strongest-ever first-quarter results in company history. This record performance validates the technical breakout above ₹132 resistance levels.
Operating margin resilience demonstrated through 16.3% YoY operating profit growth despite seasonal QoQ decline, showcasing management's focus on operational efficiency. Recent January 2025 sales data shows continued momentum with 8% YoY growth in commercial vehicle sales to 17,213 units.
The commercial vehicle cycle is expected to continue into FY25 driven by economic growth and infrastructure spending, with government likely to introduce payment security mechanism for electric buses. This provides strong sectoral tailwinds for sustained growth.
Strategic expansion initiatives include network expansion in Eastern India to tap regional economic growth and strengthen customer service in light commercial vehicle segment. Partnership with Nidec in October 2024 to boost commercial vehicle electrification through E-Drive system development positions the company for future mobility trends.
Cost management excellence reflected in expense control while maintaining record volume performance, demonstrating operational leverage benefits. Strong balance sheet fundamentals and established market leadership support the technical breakout thesis for sustained momentum.
✅ Conclusion
Ashok Leyland's spectacular 19.4% YoY PAT growth and record Q1 volumes triggering successful breakout above 25-year resistance at ₹132 creates compelling technical and fundamental convergence. The company's market leadership position, record quarterly performance, and strong sectoral tailwinds from infrastructure spending provide robust backing for the upward trajectory. Critical support at ₹130-132 breakout zone must sustain for continued bullish momentum toward the ₹150 target zone. The 25-year wealth creation journey continues with fresh technical setup favoring further upside.
Bitcoin – Trend Update Ahead of PPIBitcoin – Trend Update Ahead of PPI
Hello Traders,
The current scenario for Bitcoin is unfolding in line with expectations, with the uptrend continuing to develop strongly. Price waves are moving with solid volume, and the overall structure is progressing exactly as anticipated.
Key Levels
Price has broken through the 113k zone, confirming that the bullish trend is intact. This move increases the likelihood of completing the final wave of the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern.
The next level to watch is around 116k, where a mild reaction or pullback may occur before the trend resumes higher towards the 121k region.
Special attention should be given to the 117k level, as this marks the potential completion of the inverse head-and-shoulders structure. At this point, price may consolidate before establishing a new primary trend.
Trading View
For now, it remains important to follow the prevailing uptrend. Any shift in price structure will require re-evaluation, and updated strategies should be applied only after clear confirmation.
This is my latest outlook on Bitcoin ahead of the PPI release. I hope this perspective proves useful in shaping your trading approach.
Jindal Steel: Q1 Turnaround Fuels Technical Breakout Setup🔍 Technical Analysis
Jindal Steel has demonstrated an exceptional super bullish rally spanning the past decade, establishing itself as a market leader. However, since 2024, the stock encountered formidable resistance at the 1050-1100 zone, creating a critical supply area that has tested multiple times.
The game-changing catalyst arrived with the announcement of stellar Q1 FY26 results in August 2024, showcasing remarkable operational turnaround. These super positive quarterly numbers provided the momentum needed to challenge the stubborn resistance zone once again.
Currently trading at ₹1,039, the stock sits just below the crucial 1050-1100 supply zone. A decisive breakout above this range with strong volume confirmation would mark a significant technical milestone, transforming previous resistance into robust support.
Entry Strategy: Enter on sustained breakout above ₹1,100 with volume confirmation, ensuring bullish candlestick patterns emerge.
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: ₹1,150
Target 2: ₹1,200
Target 3: ₹1,250
Stop Losses:
Critical Stop: ₹1,050 (supply zone breakout level)
If the supply zone sustains and market fails to hold above these levels, no more expectations on this stock.
💰 Q1 FY26 Financial Highlights (vs Q4 FY25 & Q1 FY25)
Total Income: ₹12,294 Cr (↓ -6.7% QoQ from ₹13,183 Cr; ↓ -9.7% YoY from ₹13,618 Cr)
Total Expenses: ₹9,289 Cr (↓ -14.9% QoQ from ₹10,922 Cr; ↓ -13.8% YoY from ₹10,779 Cr)
Operating Profit: ₹3,006 Cr (↑ +32.9% QoQ from ₹2,262 Cr; ↑ +5.9% YoY from ₹2,839 Cr)
Profit Before Tax: ₹2,018 Cr (↑ +2,703% QoQ from ₹72 Cr; ↑ +8.6% YoY from ₹1,859 Cr)
Profit After Tax: ₹1,498 Cr (Turnaround from ₹-304 Cr QoQ; ↑ +11.8% YoY from ₹1,338 Cr)
Diluted EPS: ₹14.65 (↑ +540% QoQ from ₹-3.33; ↑ +11.5% YoY from ₹13.14)
🧠 Fundamental Highlights
Jindal Steel delivered a spectacular operational turnaround in Q1 FY26 with PAT surging to ₹1,498 crore, marking an impressive 11.8% YoY growth and complete recovery from Q4 FY25 losses. The dramatic quarterly improvement showcases superior cost management with expenses declining 14.9% while operating profits jumped 32.9%.
Market cap stands at ₹1,05,635 crore (up 7.49% in 1 year) with strong promoter holding of 62.4% indicating management confidence. The company maintains diversified operations across steel, power, mining and infrastructure sectors providing business stability.
Operating margin expansion from 20.8% in Q1 FY25 to 24.5% in Q1 FY26 demonstrates exceptional operational efficiency improvements. The integrated steel-to-power business model offers competitive advantages and revenue diversification benefits.
India's steel sector momentum provides strong tailwinds with market projected to grow from $102.67 billion in 2024 to $166.96 billion by 2030 at 8.28% CAGR. Infrastructure boom and government initiatives support sustained steel demand growth prospects.
Cost optimization excellence reflected in 13.8% YoY expense reduction while maintaining operational capabilities, showcasing management's focus on profitability enhancement. The company's strategic positioning in key infrastructure segments aligns with India's growth trajectory.
EPS improvement from negative territory to ₹14.65 validates the operational turnaround strategy. Strong balance sheet fundamentals and debt management support the technical breakout thesis for sustained momentum.
✅ Conclusion
Jindal Steel's remarkable Q1 FY26 turnaround with 11.8% YoY PAT growth and operational margin expansion creates compelling technical setup at the 1050-1100 resistance zone. The company's integrated business model and sector tailwinds from India's infrastructure boom provide strong fundamental backing. Critical breakout above ₹1,100 with volume confirmation could unlock significant upside to the ₹1,250 target zone. Support at ₹1,050 breakout level must sustain for continued bullish trajectory.
How to Close a Losing Trade?Cutting losses is an art, and a losing trader is an artist.
Closing a losing position is an important skill in risk management. When you are in a losing trade, you need to know when to get out and accept the loss. In theory, cutting losses and keeping your losses small is a simple concept, but in practice, it is an art. Here are ten things you need to consider when closing a losing position.
1. Don't trade without a stop-loss strategy. You must know where you will exit before you enter an order.
2. Stop-losses should be placed outside the normal range of price action at a level that could signal that your trading view is wrong.
3. Some traders set stop-losses as a percentage, such as if they are trying to make a profit of +12% on stock trades, they set a stop-loss when the stock falls -4% to create a TP/SL ratio of 3:1.
4. Other traders use time-based stop-losses, if the trade falls but never hits the stop-loss level or reaches the profit target in a set time frame, they will only exit the trade due to no trend and go look for better opportunities.
5. Many traders will exit a trade when they see the market has a spike, even if the price has not hit the stop-loss level.
6. In long-term trend trading, stop-losses must be wide enough to capture a real long-term trend without being stopped out early by noise signals. This is where long-term moving averages such as the 200-day and moving average crossover signals are used to have a wider stop-loss. It is important to have smaller position sizes on potentially more volatile trades and high risk price action.
7. You are trading to make money, not to lose money. Just holding and hoping your losing trades will come back to even so you can exit at breakeven is one of the worst plans.
8. The worst reason to sell a losing position is because of emotion or stress, a trader should always have a rational and quantitative reason to exit a losing trade. If the stop-loss is too tight, you may be shaken out and every trade will easily become a small loss. You have to give trades enough room to develop.
9. Always exit the position when the maximum allowable percentage of your trading capital is lost. Setting your maximum allowable loss percentage at 1% to 2% of your total trading capital based on your stop-loss and position size will reduce the risk of account blowouts and keep your drawdowns small.
10. The basic art of selling a losing trade is knowing the difference between normal volatility and a trend-changing price change.
TCS - One More RISE Again.Ratio Chart of TCS to USD INR shows a clear trend where RSI is in exhaustion and Support matches previous instances of rise in 2022 and between 2020-21. USD Appreciation fundamentally is pending against INR which will aid PAT rise fundamentally. Indian IT companies have not yet launched own LLMs / AI bandwagons, which are an optionality if they do such acquisitions or around Cloud Vertical. Technically a rise of 40-50% upside can happen here.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Trendline Breakout in SMSPHARMA
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%