Gold – Bullish Trendline Retest Points Toward Move to 4,120 USDAnalysis (English):
Gold (XAU/USD) is maintaining a clear bullish uptrend, supported by a strong ascending trendline. After a sharp push upward, the price is now pulling back, moving toward a key demand zone aligned with the trendline.
The chart projection indicates a likely scenario:
✅ Bullish Scenario (Most Probable)
Price corrects down into the demand zone and touches the trendline.
Buyers step in and defend the level.
A bullish continuation move develops, pushing price toward the upper resistance zones at:
4,100 USD
4,115 – 4,120 USD
As long as the price remains above the trendline, the bullish structure stays intact.
⚠️ Bearish Risk
If the price breaks below the trendline (around 4,050 USD), momentum could slow and shift into a deeper correction.
Community ideas
Cup and Handle Breakout in Prime Securities LtdTechnical View: PRIMESECU (Prime Securities Ltd.)
Pattern Formation:
• The chart shows a Cup and Handle formation — a strong bullish continuation pattern indicating accumulation before an upside breakout.
• The neckline is placed around the ₹320 level, which acts as a key resistance zone.
Breakout Confirmation:
• The price is attempting to break above the neckline (₹320).
• A daily close above ₹320 with strong volume will confirm the breakout, signaling the start of a potential strong upward move.
Moving Average Setup:
• The stock is trading above the 9-day EMA, indicating short-term strength.
• EMA trend is upward sloping, confirming positive momentum.
Target and Stop-loss (Post-Breakout Scenario):
• Target 1: ₹360
• Target 2: ₹400
• Stop-loss: ₹290 (below handle support zone)
Conclusion:
The stock is showing a classic Cup and Handle breakout setup. A decisive close above ₹320, supported by volume, can lead to a strong upside rally in the coming sessions. Traders should watch for volume confirmation before entering.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only, not a buy/sell recommendation.
#CupAndHandle #StockBreakout #PrimeSecurities
Gold H1 – End of Wave 5: Is a Corrective ABC Coming?⚡ XAUUSD – Elliott Wave Intraday Outlook | 11/11
📈 Elliott Wave Context
Gold has completed a clean 5-wave impulsive structure on the H1 timeframe, with Wave 5 pushing into the premium zone above 4130.
Price now shows early exhaustion at the highs, suggesting the market is preparing to transition into a corrective ABC phase.
A confirmed reversal signal will be:
✅ H1 close below the Wave 2–4 trendline → confirming the start of Wave A.
🔎 Technical Breakdown (Wave Structure)
• Wave 1: Initial rally from 3964
• Wave 2: Shallow pullback near 3985
• Wave 3: Strong impulsive breakout toward 4070+
• Wave 4: Mid-cycle correction holding structure
• Wave 5: Final push topping around 4130–4140 (current swing high)
The 5-wave impulse is now completed → market likely moves into A–B–C correction.
📉 Expected Elliott Wave Path (ABC)
Wave A
• First levels: 4105 (Fibo 0.236)
• Main target zone: 4078 (Fibo 0.382)
Wave B
• Corrective rebound toward
o 4105, or
o 4115–4120
Wave C
• Strongest leg of correction
• Ideal target zones:
o 4035 (Fibo 0.618 retracement of the full 1–5 impulse)
o 4004 (Fibo 0.786 retracement)
• Wave C often ≈ Wave A → aligns with 4035–4004
📌 Intraday Trade Plan (Elliott-Based)
✅ Scenario 1 – SELL the upcoming correction (Preferred)
Entry:
• After H1 candle closes below the 2–4 trendline,
or wait for a Wave B retest into 4105–4120.
Stop Loss:
• Above the Swing High → 4145
Take Profit:
• TP1: 4078
• TP2: 4035
• TP3: 4004
✅ Scenario 2 – BUY only if wave invalidation occurs
If gold breaks and holds above 4145, Wave 5 may be extending.
Entry: above 4145
SL: 4120
TP: 4170–4200
✅ Summary
Gold has finished a textbook 5-wave impulse and is now likely entering a corrective ABC structure.
The highest-probability opportunity today is to sell the Wave B retracement and target deeper corrective zones at 4035–4004.
Part 9 Trading Master ClassChoosing the Right Strategy
Selecting the right options strategy depends on three factors:
Market Outlook:
Bullish → Long Call, Bull Call Spread, Short Put
Bearish → Long Put, Bear Put Spread, Covered Call
Neutral → Iron Condor, Butterfly, Short Straddle
Volatility:
High volatility → Buy options (Straddle, Strangle)
Low volatility → Sell options (Condor, Credit spreads)
Risk Appetite:
Low-risk → Spreads
Medium-risk → Covered/Protective positions
High-risk → Naked calls/puts
THE GREAT FALLING WEDGE ?NEWGEN if we look at this IT boy , a falling wedge can be seen in weekly timeframe with significant volumes at the bottom while it was sideways and also it has given breakout of the wedge and the retest has been done and the follow back buying is coming this week will be crucial for it if it sustains above the trend line we might see an uptrend starting.
please consult your financial advisor before doing anything !
Part 10 Trade Like InstitutionsAdvanced Option Strategies
a) Butterfly Spread
Market View: Very Neutral (Expecting Minimal Movement)
Action: Buy 1 lower strike call + Sell 2 middle strike calls + Buy 1 higher strike call.
It profits if the market remains near the middle strike.
Risk: Limited.
Reward: Limited but high probability of success.
b) Calendar Spread
Market View: Expecting Low Short-Term Volatility but High Long-Term Movement
Action: Sell near-month option + Buy next-month option of same strike.
Used by professional traders to take advantage of time decay differences between expiries.
Part 8 Trading master Class Types of Option Trading Strategies
Options strategies are broadly divided into single-leg and multi-leg strategies.
Single-leg strategies: Involve buying or selling one option.
Multi-leg strategies: Combine two or more options (calls and puts) to create structured trades for specific market conditions.
Let’s discuss each category in detail.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL PROJECTION 11.11.25XAUUSD/GOLD 1H Sell Projection (11.11.25) chart.
Here’s a quick technical breakdown of what this chart represents:
🟣 Setup Overview
Pair: XAUUSD (Gold)
Timeframe: 1 Hour (H1)
Bias: Bearish (Sell Setup)
🧩 Key Levels
Resistance / High: 4148.82
Stoploss: ~4141.63
Entry Zone: ~4129.45–4128.32
Target 1 (TP1): Around 4110 (S1 + FVG zone)
Target 2 (TP2): Around 4081 (S2 zone)
📉 Projection Logic
Price rejected from major resistance at 4148.
A short-term pullback / retracement is expected into the entry zone.
After possible retest, price is expected to drop towards TP1 and TP2.
The setup suggests a Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) of roughly 1:2.5 to 1:3, favoring the sell side.
⚙️ Trading Idea Summary
Parameter Value
Bias Sell
Entry Range 4128–4130
Stop Loss 4141
Take Profit 1 (TP1) 4110
Take Profit 2 (TP2) 4081
R:R Ratio ≈ 1:3
Confirmation Bearish engulfing or rejection from resistance zone
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | A corrective phase might occur todayLiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | A corrective phase might occur today
Follow Liquidity 4090, FVG 4053–4069 & VAH ~4025
Quick glance: Gold remains in an uptrend but shows signs of stalling at the upper boundary of the rising channel. With the USD potentially volatile as the US nears “reopening”, a technical correction towards liquidity zones is a scenario to prepare for.
Technical Analysis
Trendline/Price Channel: Price is moving within an ascending channel; the channel top around 4130–4140 is prone to profit-taking/stalling.
Liquidity: 4085–4092 – a price pull/volume attraction point before choosing the next direction.
FVG #1: 4053–4069 – a price gap likely to fill and rebound.
VAH (Volume Profile): 4023–4028 – volume value peak; strong confluence support during deep corrections.
POC: ~3985–3990 – a magnetic level if the market weakens more than expected.
Resistance: 4135–4140 (near channel top + short-term offer), further 4166 (Fibo/channel top extension).
Fibonacci: The latest upward wave shows the expansion area around 4135–4166 as a “liquidity pocket” – suitable for scalp sell upon clear rejection; retracement levels 0.382–0.5 converge around 406x–402x, matching FVG & VAH → priority buy point if price corrects.
Trading Scenarios
Buy shallow pullback (trend-following)
Entry: 4083–4085
SL: 4077
TP: 4098 → 4112 → 4140 → 4166
Note: Require rejection/wick at Liquidity 4090; move SL to breakeven at +1R.
Buy deep at VAH/Volume Profile
Entry: 4025–4028
SL: 4020
TP: 4040 → 4065 → 4100 → 4112
Note: Prioritize when FVG 4053–4069 fills and rebounds; exercise caution with volume.
Sell scalp at channel resistance (counter-trend)
Entry: 4135–4140
SL: 4148
TP: 4122 → 4105 → 4090
Note: Only a scalp trade; abandon if H1/H2 closes strongly above 4140.
H1/H2 closes below 4077 → risk of testing 4053–4069; breaking further 4020 might drag to POC ~3990.
Each trade risks 0.5–1%, do not average against the trend; adhere to Dow (enter only when support/resistance is confirmed broken on entry timeframe).
Which level are you watching for gold today? Comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel for the fastest updates.
Gold Holds Firm Above $4,140, Aiming for a $4,200 Breakout🔍 Market Context
Gold continues its strong upward momentum, trading around a 3-week high at $4,146 as buyers maintain full control of the trend.
Despite a slight recovery in the USD due to cautious sentiment in the Asian market, gold's upward drive remains intact — supported by expectations that the Fed might cut interest rates in December.
Weak U.S. economic data and a sharp drop in consumer sentiment have further reinforced this expectation, reducing real yields and increasing safe-haven demand for gold.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1–H4 timeframe)
The market structure remains clearly bullish, with the ascending channel pattern being maintained.
The price has broken through the previous resistance area at $4,086 and is currently consolidating around $4,140, indicating potential preparation for the next upward move.
Important Levels:
• Support: $4,086 – $4,039 → potential retest area for buyers
• Short-term Resistance: $4,146
• Breakout Target: $4,203
• Extended Target: $4,382 (all-time high – ATH)
As long as the price holds above $4,080, the bullish trend is favored.
Only a clear close below this area might trigger a short-term correction before continuing higher.
⚜️ MMFLOW Insight:
“Momentum always follows liquidity. When the price reclaims the main structure, Smart Money stops observing – they start building the next upward wave.”
DATAPATTNS 1 Day Time Frame 📋 Key Levels
Accumulated-volume support: ≈ ₹2,576.90.
Fibonacci-based support levels: ~ ₹2,514.67 & ~ ₹2,545.65.
Short-term support (MarketScreener): ~ ₹2,541.40.
Resistance: ~ ₹2,806.80 (accumulated volume)
Short-term resistance (MarketScreener): ~ ₹2,842.
Moving averages:
20-day EMA ~ ₹2,750.69.
50-day EMA ~ ₹2,720.79.
GBPCAD: Bears Ready to Push Into Wave 5GBPCAD has completed a clear 1-2-3 move to the downside, followed by a corrective Wave 4 that has pushed the price higher inside a rising channel. This correction now looks nearly complete, as the price is struggling to break above the resistance. Once Wave 4 is finished, the chart suggests a final drop into Wave 5 toward the lower support zone. That would complete the overall bearish structure before any larger reversal can happen. In simple terms: correction is almost done → one more leg down expected.
Stay tuned!
@Money_Dictators
Thank you :)
EURUSD Trade Idea Shorts Tuesday/Wednesday WASUPPP LADSSS!
Yeah EU/GU are in a bhllish orderflow, I'm expecting them to continue higher but not before retracing back into the daily bullish Fair Value gap. So GU has printed a H4 Bearish FVG and there's smt between EU and GU on the Daily Time Frame. I'm expecting a second smt to push price lower into the daily fair value gap before continuing upwards, so short term i would be looking for sells.
So this is the plan, in London -
If price creates an smt divergence with DXY/GBP/USDCHF I would look for shorts to the daily bullish fair value gap, this is basically an ERL to IRL play.
This is just an idea, it has necessary conditions which need to be met to be acted upon, like smt and a bearish orderflow on the 15m timeframe. If these two conditions are met I would look for shorts, unless price decides to continue going higher. Thank you and keep winning!!!
BHARATFORG 1 Week TIme Frame 🔍 Current Snapshot
Latest price approx ₹1,320 (rounded) as per recent quotes.
52-week range: ~₹919 (low) to ~₹1,482 (high).
Valuation: P/E ~60x and P/B ~6–7x.
Key sectors: auto-ancillaries, defence & aerospace.
📉 Key Technical Levels (Short-Term, ~1 Week)
Based on support/resistance and recent trading behaviour, here are levels to watch:
Support: around ₹1,250-1,260. If the price drops and finds buying interest, this is a potential floor zone.
Resistance: near ₹1,350-1,370. If momentum builds, breaking above this could open for further short-term upside.
Watch for range-bound behaviour: If neither major catalyst nor breakdown happens, expect the stock to oscillate between ~₹1,260 and ~₹1,350 in the coming week.
ETHUSDT/BTCUSDT Short idea 11/11/2025Wassup Lads!
This looks like a very enticing short setup simply because
1. Price in a daily bearish fair value gap
2. We have SMT Divergence between BTC and ETH on the daily time frame
Switching over to the H1 time frame I'm clearly seeing price print out a bearish orderflow, I have not yet entered but will look to enter a sell postion on retracement to the H1 Bearish fair value gap, targeting a basic 1 to 2 risk to reward ratio. So basically, if price retraces to the h1 bearish fair value gap I'll look for shorts or I'm happy waiting on the sidelines for a new setup.
As always -
1. Manage your risk
2. Stay disciplined
3. Do your own research
One wrong trade can spoil months of discipline
Keep winning!!
WELSPUNLIV 1 Day Time Frame📌 Current price
Last seen around ₹129–130.
The 52-week high is ~ ₹180.70 and the 52-week low ~ ₹104.80.
📊 Key 1-day support & resistance / pivots
From recent technical data:
Daily pivot (central) around ~ ₹131.08.
Support levels (approx):
S1 ~ ₹129.07
S2 ~ ₹125.88
Resistance levels (approx):
R1 ~ ₹134.27
R2 ~ ₹136.28
INDUSINDBK 1 Day Time Frame Level 🔍 Current snapshot
Latest live price: ~ ₹825.00.
Today’s approximate range: Low ~ ₹792.80, High ~ ₹826.00.
52-week range: Low ~ ₹606.00, High ~ ₹1,086.55.
📈 Key support & resistance levels
Support zone: ~ ₹790-₹800 — because price has held above ~₹792 today and that region shows earlier low of day.
Immediate resistance: ~ ₹825-₹830 — since the current price is around ₹825; breaking above that may open up.
Stronger resistance: ~ ₹850+ — if momentum builds, aim toward next psychological level.
Deeper support: if price falls below ₹790, next meaningful support could be ~ ₹760-₹770 (not precisely calculated but logical given range).
FINCABLES 1 Day View 📌 Current Price Snapshot
Latest close around ₹ 785.40.
Day’s trading range: roughly ₹ 784 – ₹ 793.95.
52-week range: low ~ ₹ 779.80, high ~ ₹ 1,342.75.
🧭 Key Technical Levels to Watch
Support zone: ~ ₹ 780–790 — price is near its 52-week low and this band may act as immediate support.
Resistance zone: ~ ₹ 800–810 — recent highs in this area, so a breakout above this could be meaningful.
If support breaks: A decisive break below ~₹ 780 could open downside risk; monitor volume.
If resistance breaks: A strong move above ~₹ 810 with volume could target next levels (₹ 820-850+), though those are less “immediate” on one-day timeframe.
✅ What to monitor today
Closing price relative to the above levels (did it hold above support or test resistance?).
Volume — whether any breakout/breakdown is backed by increased activity.
Price reaction around the ₹ 780-790 support band: a bounce could indicate strength; a failure might signal weakness.
Technical Analysis and Chart PatternsIntroduction
Technical analysis is a cornerstone of modern trading and investing. It involves studying price charts and market data to forecast future price movements. Unlike fundamental analysis, which focuses on financial statements, earnings, and economic indicators, technical analysis revolves around price action, volume, and market psychology. It assumes that all relevant information is already reflected in the price, and history tends to repeat itself through recognizable chart patterns and trends.
Core Principles of Technical Analysis
Technical analysis operates on three main principles:
Price Discounts Everything:
All known information—economic data, earnings, market sentiment, or political events—is already factored into the stock price. Therefore, analyzing price action alone can reveal the collective behavior of market participants.
Price Moves in Trends:
Markets rarely move randomly. Prices tend to move in identifiable trends—upward, downward, or sideways. Recognizing these trends early allows traders to position themselves advantageously.
History Repeats Itself:
Human psychology drives markets—fear, greed, hope, and panic repeat across generations. Therefore, patterns formed in the past tend to recur, providing clues about future price action.
Types of Technical Charts
Before identifying patterns, one must understand chart types used in technical analysis:
Line Chart:
It connects closing prices over a specific period, providing a simple view of the trend.
Bar Chart:
Each bar represents the open, high, low, and close (OHLC) for a given period. It gives more insight than a line chart.
Candlestick Chart:
The most popular chart among traders, candlesticks visually show market psychology. A bullish candle (close > open) is often green or white, while a bearish candle (close < open) is red or black.
Candlestick formations help identify reversals and continuations in price.
Trend Analysis
A trend is the general direction of price movement. It can be classified as:
Uptrend: Series of higher highs and higher lows.
Downtrend: Series of lower highs and lower lows.
Sideways/Range: Prices oscillate between support and resistance.
Traders use trendlines and channels to visualize and trade along the trend. The saying “Trend is your friend” highlights the importance of trading with the prevailing direction rather than against it.
Key Tools in Technical Analysis
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support: A price level where buying pressure prevents further decline.
Resistance: A level where selling pressure halts price advances.
When a resistance is broken, it can turn into new support and vice versa.
Moving Averages:
They smooth out price data to identify trend direction.
Simple Moving Average (SMA) – average of closing prices over a period.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA) – gives more weight to recent prices.
Common crossovers like the Golden Cross (short-term MA crosses above long-term MA) and Death Cross (short-term MA crosses below long-term MA) indicate trend reversals.
Volume Analysis:
Volume measures market participation. Increasing volume confirms the strength of a trend, while declining volume may signal weakening momentum.
Indicators and Oscillators:
Tools like Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Bollinger Bands, and Stochastic Oscillator help identify overbought/oversold conditions, momentum shifts, and trend confirmation.
Chart Patterns in Technical Analysis
Chart patterns are visual formations created by price movements. They represent the psychological struggle between buyers and sellers and help traders predict potential outcomes.
Patterns are generally divided into reversal patterns and continuation patterns.
1. Reversal Patterns
These indicate that a current trend is likely to change direction.
a. Head and Shoulders
One of the most reliable reversal patterns.
Appears at the end of an uptrend.
Consists of three peaks: a higher middle peak (head) between two smaller ones (shoulders).
Neckline break confirms a bearish reversal.
Inverse Head and Shoulders appears at the bottom of a downtrend and signals a bullish reversal.
b. Double Top and Double Bottom
Double Top: Price hits a resistance twice, forming an “M” shape, signaling a bearish reversal.
Double Bottom: Price touches support twice, forming a “W” shape, indicating a bullish reversal.
c. Triple Top and Triple Bottom
Similar to double patterns but with three peaks or troughs. They confirm stronger reversals after multiple failed attempts to break support/resistance.
d. Rounding Bottom (Saucer Bottom)
Indicates a gradual shift from bearish to bullish sentiment over time. Common in long-term trend reversals.
e. Falling and Rising Wedges
Falling Wedge: Occurs during a downtrend and signals a bullish reversal.
Rising Wedge: Forms during an uptrend and signals a bearish reversal.
The breakout direction typically opposes the wedge slope.
2. Continuation Patterns
These suggest that the existing trend will continue after a brief pause or consolidation.
a. Triangles
Ascending Triangle: Horizontal resistance with rising support. Usually bullish.
Descending Triangle: Horizontal support with falling resistance. Usually bearish.
Symmetrical Triangle: Converging trendlines; breakout can occur in either direction.
b. Flags and Pennants
Flags: Small rectangular consolidations that form after a sharp move (flagpole). Breakout in the same direction resumes the prior trend.
Pennants: Similar to flags but shaped like small symmetrical triangles.
c. Rectangles (Price Channels)
When price oscillates between parallel support and resistance lines, it indicates accumulation or distribution. A breakout determines the next direction.
d. Cup and Handle
Looks like a tea cup: a rounded “cup” followed by a small “handle” consolidation. A breakout above the handle signals bullish continuation.
Candlestick Patterns
In addition to chart patterns, candlestick patterns offer short-term trading signals:
Bullish Engulfing: Large bullish candle engulfs the previous bearish candle—signals buying momentum.
Bearish Engulfing: Large bearish candle engulfs the previous bullish one—signals selling pressure.
Doji: Open and close prices are nearly equal, indicating indecision.
Hammer & Inverted Hammer: Found at bottoms, indicating potential reversals.
Shooting Star: Appears at tops, suggesting bearish reversal.
Combining Patterns with Indicators
Professional traders often combine chart patterns with technical indicators for confirmation.
Example:
A head and shoulders pattern confirmed by falling RSI strengthens the bearish outlook.
A cup and handle confirmed by rising volume adds validity to a bullish move.
This multi-factor approach reduces false signals and increases accuracy.
Advantages of Technical Analysis
Quick Decision-Making: Real-time charts provide instant trading opportunities.
Universal Application: Works across stocks, forex, commodities, and crypto.
Captures Market Psychology: Reflects fear and greed through patterns.
Supports Short-Term Trading: Ideal for day traders and swing traders.
Limitations of Technical Analysis
Subjectivity: Two traders may interpret the same chart differently.
False Breakouts: Patterns may fail, especially in volatile markets.
Lagging Indicators: Some tools like moving averages react after price changes.
No Fundamental Insight: It ignores earnings, news, and macroeconomic data.
Conclusion
Technical analysis is both an art and a science. By studying chart patterns, trends, and indicators, traders can anticipate potential price moves with greater confidence. However, success in technical analysis demands discipline, patience, and risk management. Patterns don’t guarantee results; they only increase probabilities. Combining chart patterns with volume analysis, market context, and proper stop-loss strategies creates a strong foundation for consistent profitability.
Ultimately, mastering technical analysis means understanding how market psychology shapes price movements—and using that knowledge to stay one step ahead of the crowd.






















