mcx gold updatemcx gold fire boom near 1.50% due to rate cut bets fuel rally.
now if mkt sustain abv 123000 looks up side 123590-124000++++in coming session where hurdel 122700 again close blw looks some dwn correction till 122300-121890++++
trading ideas -- buy gold any dips near 123000-123100 with sl 122700 tgt 123590--124000++
Community ideas
Torrent Pharma (D): Strongly Bullish, Blue-Sky BreakoutThis is a high-conviction breakout. The stock has broken out of a 4-month consolidation, setting a new all-time high on high volume. The move is strongly supported by all indicators and a powerful fundamental catalyst.
📈 1. The Dominant Pattern: ATH Breakout
- The Consolidation: After making its previous ATH in July 2025, the stock entered a 4-month sideways trend.
- The "Lid": A horizontal resistance line formed at this ATH (approx. ₹3,787 ) restricted all forward movement.
- Volume Contraction: Volume was "drying up" during this consolidation phase. This is a classic bullish sign of seller exhaustion and accumulation.
🚀 2. The Decisive Breakout (Today's Action)
- The Surge: Today, the stock shattered this resistance with a 6.63% surge , backed by a high-conviction volume of 1.65 Million shares.
- The New ATH: This move resulted in a new all-time high, pushing the stock into a "blue-sky" price discovery phase.
- The Catalyst: This technical move is not speculative. It is driven by strong Q2 2026 earnings (30% profit growth), confirming that institutions are buying on good news.
📊 3. Key Technical Indicators
Indicator analysis confirms the bullish momentum across all timeframes:
- RSI: The Relative Strength Index is rising on the Daily, Weekly, and Monthly charts .
- EMAs: The short-term Exponential Moving Averages are in a "PCO" (Price Crossover) state on all three timeframes.
🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels to Watch
⚠️ A Note of Caution (The "Fakeout" Risk)
The risk is a "bull trap" or "fakeout." The correct thing to watch for, is bearish divergence (i.e., if the stock makes another new high, but the RSI makes a lower high).
🐂 The Bullish Case (Confirmation)
- Confirmation: The ideal "textbook" move would be a re-test . We want to see the stock pull back to the ₹3,787 level and "bounce," confirming the old resistance has become new support.
- Target: If the bullish momentum continues, the next logical target is ₹4,100 .
🐻 The Bearish Case (Breakout Failure)
- Trigger: The breakout fails, and the stock loses momentum (a "bull trap").
- Confirmation: The price falls and closes back below the ₹3,787 support level, invalidating the breakout.
XAUUSD – PRICE STRUCTURE UPDATE: MAINTAINING THE TRADING ...💛 XAUUSD – PRICE STRUCTURE UPDATE: MAINTAINING THE TRADING SCENARIO 🎯
🌤 Overview
Hello everyone 💬
The price structure of gold is still on track as per the previous scenario — those who have bought according to the prior plan might have already profited and should continue to hold their ground.
The price in the Asian session at the start of the week has risen steadily, breaking through the 4021 zone, confirming a short-term uptrend and aiming to retest the upper edge of the H4 price channel.
This is a positive signal before the market might enter a deeper correction in the mid-week sessions.
In terms of news, the latest statement from US President Trump indicates that the government shutdown might soon end — this is a factor that could cause significant USD volatility, thereby having a short-term impact on gold prices.
💹 Technical Analysis
📈 On the H4 frame, the price remains within the medium-term upward channel, maintaining the structure of “higher lows”.
🟣 Breaking the 4021 zone confirms that upward momentum is prevailing, and the Sell Zone Liquidity 4090–4100 continues to be the short-term target for testing.
🔹 After hitting this zone, a correction is expected towards the 3920 – 3785 zone (Buy Zone Fibonacci) – where buyers might return strongly.
💫 The current price signal is entirely in line with the previous technical scenario, with no need to change the trading plan.
🎯 Reference Trading Plan
💢 SHORT scenario (short-term)
Entry: 4098–4102 | SL: 4112
TP: 4078 – 4025 – 3998 – 3920 – 3875 – 3785
💖 LONG scenario (long-term strategy)
Entry: 3785–3789 | SL: 3777
TP: 3810 – 3865 – 3925 – 3988
🌷 Conclusion
Gold prices are moving exactly as predicted in the structure 💛
Be patient, maintain discipline, and stick to the key price zones – this is the time when perseverance will yield the greatest advantage.
Now we are holding buy trade @5280 , target 5410,5490,5560🔑 Key Highlights (Locked Permanently)
- Supports/Resistances: 5250 is the critical support; breach flips bias.
- Indicators: ADX >25, RSI 63, PCR 0.91 — all thresholds confirmed.
- Liquidity: Turnover ₹12,400 Cr, VWAP 5345 — strong institutional activity.
- Volatility: IV 16.2%, RV 14.5% — both below 20% threshold.
- Sentiment: Fear/Greed Index 68 = bullish confirmation.
NIFTY Breakout + Goldman Sachs Upgrade = 29,000 Target?Hello Traders!
Today’s analysis is on NIFTY 50 Index, which has recently given a strong Breakout and Retest setup after months of consolidation. The index broke out from its Resistance Zone , retested the breakout area perfectly, and is now holding firmly inside a rising Trend Channel .
This move is not just technical, it’s being backed by major institutional optimism. According to a recent Goldman Sachs report , India’s stock market has been upgraded to “Overweight”, with NIFTY 50 projected to reach 29,000 by 2026 .
Why this setup is special?
Perfect breakout and retest structure with strong volume confirmation.
Channel trend remains intact, showing controlled accumulation at higher levels.
Institutional support from Goldman Sachs aligns with the technical breakout, adding conviction to the rally.
Levels to Track:
NIFTY is holding above the breakout zone near 25,000 , with immediate support seen at 24,600 . As long as the index sustains above this level, the short-term upside remains open toward 26,800 , followed by the next leg around 29,000 , matching Goldman Sachs’ longterm projection.
Rahul’s Tip:
When technicals and fundamentals align, the results are often explosive. A clean retest like this, supported by global institutional confidence, can lead to a powerful trend extension. Traders who position early usually ride the strongest part of the move.
(Analysis By @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile. If this helped you, don’t forget to like and follow for regular updates.)
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Gujarat Ambuja Exports Ltd (GAEL) at Key Support levelsGujarat Ambuja Exports Ltd (NSE: GAEL), currently trading at ₹111.00, is positioned at a critical juncture on its long-term trend line support. This level has historically acted as a strong base for price reversals, and current technical signals suggest a similar setup may be unfolding.
🔍 Trend Line Support: A Proven Reversal Zone
The stock has approached this long-term ascending trend line three times in the past, each time triggering a notable reversal.
The current price action once again aligns with this support, indicating a potential fourth bounce if the trend holds.
📊 RSI Behavior: Echoes of the Past
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has consistently dipped below the 50 mark during previous touches of the trend line, only to recover as the price rebounded.
At present, RSI is hovering around 40, a level that has historically acted as long-term support for momentum.
A move back above 50 on the RSI, in conjunction with price stability or reversal, could signal the start of a fresh upward leg.
⚠️ Key Takeaway
This technical setup remains valid only as long as the trend line support holds. A decisive breach below this level would invalidate the bullish thesis and warrant a reassessment of the trend.
This analysis highlights how price action and RSI can work together to identify high-probability reversal zones.
Holding sell trade on natural gas from 397 target 375-374🔑 Key Highlights (Locked Permanently)
- Supports/Resistances: 385 is the critical support; breach flips bias.
- Indicators: ADX >25, RSI 65, PCR 0.95 — all thresholds confirmed.
- Liquidity: VWAP 398 confirmed; turnover ₹7,980 Cr slightly below ₹8,000 Cr threshold ⚠.
- Volatility: IV 15.6%, RV 14.0% — both below 20% threshold.
- Sentiment: Fear/Greed Index 66 = bullish confirmation.
Copper buy givem last week near 996-995 , target 1020,1030,1045Copper buy on dip will continue 1055-1060 swing target open
🔑 Key Highlights (Locked Permanently)
- Supports/Resistances: 995 is the critical support; breach flips bias.
- Indicators: ADX >25, RSI 64, PCR 0.92 — all thresholds confirmed.
- Liquidity: Turnover ₹8,950 Cr, VWAP 1008 — strong institutional activity.
- Volatility: IV 15.4%, RV 13.9% — both below 20% threshold.
- Sentiment: Fear/Greed Index 65 = bullish confirmation.
TORNTPHARM - 52-Week Breakout With Institutional Conviction________________________________________
💹 Torrent Pharmaceuticals Ltd (NSE: TORNTPHARM)
Sector: Pharmaceuticals | CMP: ₹3,817.50 | View: 52-Week Breakout With Institutional Conviction
________________________________________
📊 Price Action:
Torrent Pharma delivered a powerful 52-week breakout candle backed by exceptionally high volume, confirming strong institutional participation and renewed leadership momentum within the pharma space.
After consolidating for several weeks between ₹3,400–₹3,650, the stock broke through resistance with a wide-range bullish candle, signaling a structural shift from accumulation to expansion.
The follow-through strength and delivery volume highlight conviction buying, positioning Torrent Pharma for potential short- to medium-term trend continuation.
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💼 HNI Trade Levels (STWP Setup):
Aggressive Entry: ₹3,817–₹3,835 | Stop Loss: ₹3,660
Low-Risk Entry: ₹3,770 | Stop Loss: ₹3,594.09
The breakout session recorded 1.65M shares vs 0.23M average, confirming institutional footprints.
Price structure has cleanly shifted into higher territory, with ₹3,665–₹3,700 now acting as the new demand base.
Sustaining above this zone keeps the bias firmly bullish with room for further upside extension.
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📉 Chart Pattern Analysis – 52-Week Breakout (Institutional Structure):
Torrent Pharma has been in a multi-week compression phase, forming a tight base under the ₹3,700 resistance zone.
Such base formations often precede high-conviction institutional breakouts, and the explosive candle with volume confirmation validates that the breakout is not speculative but driven by genuine accumulation.
The move aligns with sectoral strength seen across quality pharma counters, where price action is transitioning from range-bound to trending behavior.
This breakout now places Torrent Pharma in the leadership bracket within the pharma index structure, supported by momentum and delivery expansion.
________________________________________
📈 STWP Trading Analysis:
Bullish Breakout: ₹3,817–₹3,835 | Stop Loss: ₹3,660.06
The breakout candle exhibited strong momentum with a 7x volume surge, indicating clear participation from institutions and long-only funds.
Price has decisively closed above short- and medium-term EMAs, confirming trend alignment across daily and weekly timeframes.
Holding above ₹3,665–₹3,700 will maintain the bullish bias, keeping the setup active toward ₹3,935–₹4,015 in the short term.
A sustained close above ₹3,935 can potentially open the next expansion leg toward ₹4,145 levels.
________________________________________
📈 Candlestick Structure – Bullish Strength Confirmation:
The breakout candle represents a strong bullish engulfing formation, signaling complete control by buyers.
The large body-to-wick ratio and volume expansion confirm institutional momentum entry rather than retail-driven strength.
Such candles following a multi-week base often mark early-stage uptrend resumption phases, where risk-to-reward remains highly favorable if trend levels hold.
________________________________________
📏 Fibonacci Analysis:
From swing low ₹3,079 to swing high ₹3,835:
61.8% retracement @ ₹3,436 → Major base support
50% retracement @ ₹3,457 → Structural accumulation zone
23.6% retracement @ ₹3,666 → Confirmed demand zone
Sustaining above the 23.6% level keeps the momentum firmly intact, while a clean close above ₹3,935 validates continuation toward ₹4,145–₹4,185 Fibonacci extension levels.
________________________________________
🧭 STWP Support & Resistance:
Resistances: ₹3,901 | ₹3,984 | ₹4,134
Supports: ₹3,667 | ₹3,518 | ₹3,344
The ₹3,665–₹3,700 area remains the immediate accumulation pocket, aligning with EMA support and Fibonacci confluence.
The breakout above ₹3,835 confirms strength, while supports around ₹3,500 represent deeper institutional demand zones.
________________________________________
📊 STWP Volume & Technical Setup:
Today’s session saw 1.65M shares traded vs 0.23M average, validating strong institutional accumulation and conviction buying.
Indicators confirm trend strength:
RSI (70+) – sustaining above bullish zone.
MACD – positive crossover maintained.
CCI & Stochastic – both elevated, reflecting momentum expansion.
Overall alignment across daily and weekly charts confirms trend continuation potential.
Trend Direction: UPTREND | Volume Confirmation: Strong Institutional Activity
________________________________________
🧩 STWP Summary View:
Final Outlook:
Momentum: Strong | Trend: Bullish | Risk: Moderate | Volume: High
Torrent Pharma’s breakout signifies a transition from accumulation to expansion, supported by clear institutional conviction and strong technical structure.
As long as the price sustains above ₹3,665–₹3,700, the bias remains bullish with targets toward ₹3,935–₹4,145 in the near term.
The setup continues to display a clean risk–reward framework within an evolving leadership trend in the pharma sector.
________________________________________
⚠️ Disclosure & Disclaimer – Please Read Carefully
This post is created purely for educational and informational purposes and does not constitute investment advice or a buy/sell recommendation.
I am not a SEBI-registered investment adviser. All observations are based on technical studies and publicly available information.
Trading and investing involve risk; please manage position size and stop-loss discipline as per your risk profile.
Always consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making trading decisions.
________________________________________
Position Status: No active position in (TORNTPHARM) at the time of analysis.
Data Source: TradingView & NSE India
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🔼 Boost this post if you value clean, structured analysis.
💭 Drop your views — can Torrent Pharma sustain this breakout above ₹3,835?
🔁 Share this with traders who track institutional breakouts.
👉 Follow for more price-action based institutional setups.
🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience.
Trade Smart | Learn Zones | Be Self-Reliant 📊
________________________________________
Silver buy recommended on weekends 51.50 to 51.80 comex target Silver buy recommended on weekends , 51.50 to 51.80 comex target open .
🔑 Key Highlights (Locked Permanently)
- Supports/Resistances: 150,800 is the critical support; breach flips bias.
- Indicators: ADX >25, RSI 59, PCR 0.95 — all thresholds confirmed.
- Liquidity: Turnover ₹9,450 Cr, VWAP 152,300 — strong institutional activity.
- Volatility: IV 15.1%, RV 13.6% — both below 20% threshold.
- Sentiment: Fear/Greed Index 64 = bullish confirmation
Silver comex buy recommended at 48.35 target open 50.50 ,to 50.8🔑 Key Highlights (Locked Permanently)
- Supports/Resistances: 48.80 is the critical support; breach flips bias.
- Indicators: ADX >25, RSI 58, PCR 0.96 — all thresholds confirmed.
- Liquidity: Turnover $8.7B, VWAP 49.90 — strong institutional activity.
- Volatility: IV 15.0%, RV 13.7% — both below 20% threshold.
- Sentiment: Fear/Greed Index 63 = bullish confirmation.
UNOMINDA - Institutional Breakout After Price Compression________________________________________
💹 UNO Minda Ltd (NSE: UNOMINDA)
Sector: Auto Components | CMP: ₹1,319.30 | View: Institutional Breakout After Price Compression
________________________________________
📊 Price Action:
UNO Minda has delivered a strong breakout candle after a prolonged phase of price compression within a rising channel, confirming a shift from consolidation to directional momentum.
The stock rebounded sharply from the ₹1,190 zone and pierced through the upper trendline with an exceptionally high volume spike, signaling renewed institutional interest.
This breakout structure now positions the stock for a potential continuation move as long as price sustains above the ₹1,255–₹1,270 support base.
________________________________________
💼 HNI Trade Levels (STWP Setup):
Aggressive Entry: ₹1,319–₹1,327 | Stop Loss: ₹1,238.57
Low-Risk Entry: ₹1,297 | Stop Loss: ₹1,210.74
The breakout candle recorded volume of 2.9M vs 0.95M average, confirming heavy accumulation and strong HNI participation.
The near-term momentum bias remains bullish, supported by both volume expansion and favorable price structure.
________________________________________
📉 Chart Pattern Analysis – Compression Breakout (Bullish Structure):
Over the past few weeks, UNO Minda formed a rising channel pattern characterized by narrowing ranges and lower volatility — a classic price compression structure.
This phase often precedes large directional moves, and the breakout above ₹1,310 confirms the volatility expansion phase.
Such structures typically indicate early-stage accumulation by institutional hands before momentum expansion begins.
The confirmation of breakout with both volume and candle strength reflects clear smart money participation.
________________________________________
📈 STWP Trading Analysis:
Bullish Breakout: ₹1,319–₹1,327 | Stop Loss: ₹1,195.20
The breakout candle displayed strong momentum and 3x volume expansion, validating aggressive buying from higher timeframes.
Price action has now closed firmly above short- and mid-term EMAs, aligning all major timeframes — Daily, Weekly, and Monthly — in a unified uptrend.
Holding above ₹1,255–₹1,270 will maintain the bullish bias, keeping the setup active toward ₹1,379–₹1,420 in the near term.
A decisive close above ₹1,355 could further accelerate the next leg of the uptrend, extending the move toward ₹1,455.
________________________________________
📈 Candlestick Structure – Bullish Engulfing Confirmation:
The current breakout candle is a strong bullish engulfing formed after a brief sideways phase — signaling renewed dominance of buyers.
Such candles, especially when paired with volume spikes and EMA crossovers, mark the beginning of institutional-led expansion legs.
The price-volume confluence validates that the short-term correction phase has likely ended, and the stock is transitioning into an active swing momentum phase.
________________________________________
📏 Fibonacci Analysis:
From swing low ₹1,114 to swing high ₹1,327.8:
61.8% retracement @ ₹1,190 → Strong support zone defended.
78.6% retracement @ ₹1,255 → Current breakout retest area.
100% extension @ ₹1,327 → Confirmed expansion level.
Sustaining above ₹1,255 keeps the structure intact and supports continuation toward the ₹1,379–₹1,420 target band.
________________________________________
🧭 STWP Support & Resistance:
Resistances: ₹1,355 | ₹1,391 | ₹1,456
Supports: ₹1,255 | ₹1,191 | ₹1,155
The ₹1,255–₹1,270 zone remains a high-probability demand pocket, supported by both Fibonacci confluence and recent volume base formation.
The ₹1,355–₹1,390 zone acts as a minor resistance band, where partial booking or temporary supply may appear before momentum resumes.
________________________________________
📊 STWP Volume & Technical Setup:
Today’s breakout session recorded 2.92M shares vs 0.95M average, confirming exceptional institutional participation.
Indicators such as RSI (68.7) and MACD bullish crossover reinforce the continuation potential.
Stochastic and CCI both remain in strong zones, consistent with trend alignment across timeframes.
Trend Direction: UPTREND | Volume Confirmation: Strong Institutional Activity
________________________________________
🧩 STWP Summary View:
Final Outlook:
Momentum: Strong | Trend: Bullish | Risk: Moderate | Volume: High
UNO Minda has transitioned from a consolidation phase into a clean institutional breakout setup.
The combination of price compression, breakout volume, and bullish engulfing confirmation signals a fresh impulse wave beginning within the existing uptrend.
Holding above ₹1,255–₹1,270 will sustain the bullish structure, with potential upside toward ₹1,420–₹1,455 zones in the coming sessions.
________________________________________
⚠️ Disclosure & Disclaimer – Please Read Carefully
This analysis is intended solely for educational and informational purposes and does not constitute investment advice or a buy/sell recommendation.
I am not a SEBI-registered investment adviser. All observations are based on chart study, technical structure, and publicly available data.
Trading involves risk; please manage position size, stop-loss levels, and discipline as per your risk appetite.
Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before acting on any trade setup.
________________________________________
Position Status: No active position in (UNOMINDA) at the time of analysis.
Data Source: TradingView & NSE India
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🔼 Boost this post to help more traders learn from structured setups.
💭 Drop your insights — how do you view this breakout’s sustainability?
🔁 Share with traders who value clean, volume-backed analysis.
👉 Follow for more price structure + institutional logic breakdowns.
🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience.
Trade Smart | Learn Zones | Be Self-Reliant 📊
________________________________________
Gold mcx buy recommended during weekend1300-1400 profit running
🔑 Key Highlights (Locked Permanently)
- Supports/Resistances: 122,800 is the critical support; breach flips bias.
- Indicators: ADX >25, RSI 60, PCR 0.93 — all thresholds confirmed.
- Liquidity: Turnover ₹11,200 Cr, VWAP 123,700 — strong institutional activity.
- Volatility: IV 14.5%, RV 13.4% — both below 20% threshold.
- Sentiment: Fear/Greed Index 67 = bullish confirmation.
Gold comex fresh buy given at 4000$ near 4150-80 target Key Highlights (Locked Permanently)
- Supports/Resistances: 4,080 is the critical support; breach flips bias.
- Indicators: ADX >25, RSI 62, PCR 0.94 — all thresholds confirmed.
- Liquidity: Turnover $12.9B, VWAP 4102 — strong institutional activity.
- Volatility: IV 14.3%, RV 13.2% — both below 20% threshold.
- Sentiment: Fear/Greed Index 66 = bullish confirmation.
Fair Value Gap Retracements in a Downtrend📈 BTC/USD – Understanding Fair Value Gap Retracements in a Downtrend
The current market structure on the daily timeframe highlights a clear bearish trend, where price continues to form lower highs and lower lows.
After a strong downward impulse, a Fair Value Gap (FVG) has formed — representing an area of imbalance that price may eventually retrace to before deciding its next move.
This setup reflects a potential rebalancing phase within the ongoing downtrend.
⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻
📊 Key Observations
1️⃣ FVG Formation — A bearish Fair Value Gap has emerged following a strong sell-side move, signaling a region of inefficiency left behind by aggressive sellers.
2️⃣ Retracement Possibility — Price may attempt to retrace into the FVG zone to rebalance this inefficiency before continuing its primary downtrend.
3️⃣ Potential Rejection Zone — If price reacts negatively from the FVG, it could confirm continued bearish sentiment and lead to another lower low.
4️⃣ Trend Context — The overall market remains under a descending structure, with sellers maintaining control as long as price stays below the FVG zone.
⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻
📊 Chart Explanation
Symbol → BINANCE:BTCUSD
Timeframe → 1D
This chart illustrates how a Fair Value Gap (FVG) functions as a key retracement zone within a broader bearish structure. The price action shows a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, confirming a prevailing downtrend.
After a strong downward impulse, price created a bearish FVG — highlighted in red — representing an imbalance area where institutional orders may remain unfilled. Price is now retracing upward, likely to fill this inefficiency.
If the market faces rejection from this FVG zone, it could signal the continuation of the ongoing bearish momentum. However, a clean break and close above it might hint at a short-term structural shift.
Below the current price, a liquidity pool zone is marked — an area where stop-losses likely reside. Price often sweeps such zones to collect liquidity before reversing, aligning with Smart Money behavior.
Overall, this setup showcases how identifying FVGs within market structure helps traders anticipate rebalancing phases, retracements, and potential reaction points in trending markets.
⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻
✅ Summary
• The Fair Value Gap acts as a magnet zone where price may retrace to fill inefficiency.
• A rejection from the FVG could resume bearish continuation.
• A confirmed close above the FVG might hint at short-term strength or structural shift.
• Traders should observe price behavior within this zone for potential rebalancing reactions.
⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻
⚠️ Disclaimer:
📘 For educational purposes only.
🙅 Not SEBI registered.
❌ Not a buy/sell recommendation.
🧠 Purely a learning resource.
📊 Not Financial Advice.
Premium Chart Knowledge Strategy and Leverage
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US Dollar Weakness Likely After Final Push UpDXY has completed a complex corrective W–X–Y pattern, with the final leg (Y) recently topping near the 100.50 zone. Price has failed to break above the invalidation level, suggesting the uptrend is losing strength. This signals that the dollar may have finished its corrective phase and could now start a fresh bearish wave targeting lower zones near 97–98. The overall structure indicates that momentum is shifting from bullish to bearish. In simple terms: rally is likely over → downside move toward new lows expected next.
Stay tuned!
@Money_Dictators
Thank you :)






















