Gold comex fresh buy given at 4000$ near 4150-80 target Key Highlights (Locked Permanently)
- Supports/Resistances: 4,080 is the critical support; breach flips bias.
- Indicators: ADX >25, RSI 62, PCR 0.94 — all thresholds confirmed.
- Liquidity: Turnover $12.9B, VWAP 4102 — strong institutional activity.
- Volatility: IV 14.3%, RV 13.2% — both below 20% threshold.
- Sentiment: Fear/Greed Index 66 = bullish confirmation.
Community ideas
Fair Value Gap Retracements in a Downtrend📈 BTC/USD – Understanding Fair Value Gap Retracements in a Downtrend
The current market structure on the daily timeframe highlights a clear bearish trend, where price continues to form lower highs and lower lows.
After a strong downward impulse, a Fair Value Gap (FVG) has formed — representing an area of imbalance that price may eventually retrace to before deciding its next move.
This setup reflects a potential rebalancing phase within the ongoing downtrend.
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📊 Key Observations
1️⃣ FVG Formation — A bearish Fair Value Gap has emerged following a strong sell-side move, signaling a region of inefficiency left behind by aggressive sellers.
2️⃣ Retracement Possibility — Price may attempt to retrace into the FVG zone to rebalance this inefficiency before continuing its primary downtrend.
3️⃣ Potential Rejection Zone — If price reacts negatively from the FVG, it could confirm continued bearish sentiment and lead to another lower low.
4️⃣ Trend Context — The overall market remains under a descending structure, with sellers maintaining control as long as price stays below the FVG zone.
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📊 Chart Explanation
Symbol → BINANCE:BTCUSD
Timeframe → 1D
This chart illustrates how a Fair Value Gap (FVG) functions as a key retracement zone within a broader bearish structure. The price action shows a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, confirming a prevailing downtrend.
After a strong downward impulse, price created a bearish FVG — highlighted in red — representing an imbalance area where institutional orders may remain unfilled. Price is now retracing upward, likely to fill this inefficiency.
If the market faces rejection from this FVG zone, it could signal the continuation of the ongoing bearish momentum. However, a clean break and close above it might hint at a short-term structural shift.
Below the current price, a liquidity pool zone is marked — an area where stop-losses likely reside. Price often sweeps such zones to collect liquidity before reversing, aligning with Smart Money behavior.
Overall, this setup showcases how identifying FVGs within market structure helps traders anticipate rebalancing phases, retracements, and potential reaction points in trending markets.
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✅ Summary
• The Fair Value Gap acts as a magnet zone where price may retrace to fill inefficiency.
• A rejection from the FVG could resume bearish continuation.
• A confirmed close above the FVG might hint at short-term strength or structural shift.
• Traders should observe price behavior within this zone for potential rebalancing reactions.
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⚠️ Disclaimer:
📘 For educational purposes only.
🙅 Not SEBI registered.
❌ Not a buy/sell recommendation.
🧠 Purely a learning resource.
📊 Not Financial Advice.
Premium Chart Knowledge Strategy and Leverage
Option trading allows traders to speculate on price movements or hedge positions with limited capital, offering leverage and flexibility through calls (buy) and puts (sell) contracts.
Risk and Reward
Options carry high profit potential but significant risk due to time decay and volatility. Successful trading requires analysis, discipline, and understanding of premium pricing and expiry.
US Dollar Weakness Likely After Final Push UpDXY has completed a complex corrective W–X–Y pattern, with the final leg (Y) recently topping near the 100.50 zone. Price has failed to break above the invalidation level, suggesting the uptrend is losing strength. This signals that the dollar may have finished its corrective phase and could now start a fresh bearish wave targeting lower zones near 97–98. The overall structure indicates that momentum is shifting from bullish to bearish. In simple terms: rally is likely over → downside move toward new lows expected next.
Stay tuned!
@Money_Dictators
Thank you :)
Candle Pattern Explained There are two primary types of options: Call Options and Put Options. A Call Option gives the buyer the right to purchase an underlying asset at a specific price (called the strike price) before or on a certain date (known as the expiry date). Traders buy calls when they expect the price of the asset to rise. Conversely, a Put Option gives the buyer the right to sell the asset at the strike price within a specific period. Traders buy puts when they anticipate the asset’s price will fall.
XAUT (GOLD) BREAKOUT?📊 XAUT/USDT SPOT 4h Update
🔎 Technical Observation:
- Price has confirmed a bullish breakout from a symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern.
- This action follows a pullback and suggests a potential continuation of upward momentum.
- No indicators (like RSI or Volume) are visible on the chart.
⚠️ Key Levels:
- Support: $4026 ,$4000, $3921
- Resistance: $4160 - $4208
📉 Market Outlook:
- Bullish bias in the short term due to the triangle breakout.
- The first major obstacle is the "SUPPLY" zone.
💡 Trade Idea:
- The breakout provides a technical signal for a potential long position. The primary target is the "SUPPLY" zone ($4160 - $4208). A decisive break *above* this zone would be a strong continuation signal. Conversely, a failure to break this zone could lead to a reversal.
✅ Closing Note:
- The reaction at the "SUPPLY" zone is the most critical factor to watch.
EURUSD LONG my entry @ 1.15570
Stop: 1.15416 (days low)
Target: 1.16042 ( pdh and a little higher)
I’m aware price may dip deeper and potentially take out today’s low before pushing higher, but this setup fits my plan. My target is the previous day’s high and slightly above. Executing the trade and letting it play out. Let's see how it unfolds.
BTC/USD Bullish Pennant – Breakout Entry SetupBTC/USD Bullish Pe✅ BTC/USD Pennant Breakout – Technical Analysis
Chart Breakdown
The chart shows Bitcoin forming a bullish pennant pattern on the 45-min timeframe.
A pennant typically forms after a strong impulsive move (pole), followed by price compression between:
Descending trendline (upper)
Ascending/flat trendline (lower)
This usually signals continuation in the direction of the previous trend, which in this case is upward.
Key Levels
Entry Zone: Just above the pennant resistance (breakout zone).
Stop-Loss: Below the pennant support — good risk management.
Target: Projected by measuring the previous impulse (the pennant pole) and extending it upward.
Market Signals
✔ Price is squeezing near the apex — breakout imminent.
✔ Buyers appear to be defending the lower trendline.
✔ If price breaks and closes above resistance, upside continuation becomes likely.
✘ But if price rejects and falls below support, the setup invalidates.
Bias
Bullish Continuation – If breakout occurs with strong volume.
Nykaa - Strong Growth Cup & Handle with Detailed fundamentalsFSN E-Commerce Ventures Limited (Nykaa) – Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Company Overview:
FSN E-Commerce Ventures Limited (Nykaa) is a digitally native consumer technology platform, delivering a content-led, lifestyle retail experience. Since its incorporation in 2012, the company has focused on designing a differentiated brand discovery journey for its consumers. It offers a diverse portfolio of beauty, personal care, and fashion products, including owned-brand products manufactured in-house. Nykaa provides an omnichannel experience to cater to consumer preferences and convenience.
Technical Analysis
Chart Patterns: Cup and handle breakout; Today 1-hour parallel channel breakout
Current Market Price (CMP): ₹260
Targets: ₹301, ₹350
Support Levels: ₹230, ₹195
Recent News & Highlights
✅Q1 FY26 Results: Consolidated net profit surged 142% YoY to ₹23.30 Cr; revenue up 23.4% to ₹2,155 Cr
✅Arbitration Win: Nykaa Fashion received ₹10 Cr compensation from arbitration award
Q1 FY26 Guidance: Management anticipates consolidated net revenue growth at lower end of mid-twenties range YoY
✅Fashion Segment Target: Company expects EBITDA breakeven in fashion by FY26
✅Organic Portfolio Expansion: Aims to increase organic portfolio by 30% annually to reach ₹6,000 Cr GMV
✅Q4 FY25 Performance: EBITDA ₹133 Cr vs ₹93.28 Cr YoY; EBITDA margin improved to 6.47% from 5.59%
✅Corporate Action: NCLT approved merger of Iluminar Media (LBB) into Nykaa Fashion
Analytical Summary
Operational Excellence: Revenue growth of 24.5% YoY with net profit doubling to ₹66.08 Cr demonstrates strong execution and operating leverage. The company is scaling both beauty and fashion verticals while expanding margins.
Capital Structure: Debt increased 41% to ₹961 Cr, but debt-to-equity remains negligible at 0.04, showing conservative leverage. ROE at 5.9% suggests room for improvement in capital efficiency.
Valuation Risk: PE of 675.77 and PB of 40.5 reflect aggressive growth expectations. EV/EBITDA of 117.5 leaves minimal margin of safety, requiring caution for long-term investors.
SWOT Analysis
Strengths (16 Factors):
Rising net and operating cash flows for 2 consecutive years
Strong EPS growth; quarterly profit margins expanding
Improving RoCE, ROE, and ROA
Consistent revenue growth for past 2 quarters
Clean governance; zero promoter pledge
Weaknesses (3 Factors):
Promoter shareholding dilution
Expensive valuation (PE > 40) limits margin of safety
Opportunities (1 Factor):
Increasing FII/FPI shareholding validates institutional interest
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Trading and investing in stocks involve risks, and individuals should conduct their own due diligence or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author is not responsible for any gains or losses arising from the use of this analysis.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (Week 2, November 2025) Momentum
W1 timeframe:
Weekly momentum is approaching the oversold zone, suggesting a high probability of a bullish reversal within the next 1–2 weeks. Once confirmed, this could mark the beginning of a new medium- to long-term uptrend.
D1 timeframe:
Daily momentum is moving toward the overbought area. During the first 1–2 trading days of the week (starting Monday), there is a strong likelihood of a downward reversal. If that occurs, the price may enter a short corrective phase to bring D1 momentum back to the oversold zone.
When both D1 and W1 momentums turn upward together from oversold levels, it would signal the potential start of a new bullish trend.
H4 timeframe:
H4 momentum is currently declining, suggesting a possible short-term drop during the Asian session. However, since price is being compressed within the major liquidity zone (POC) highlighted on the chart, the next direction remains unclear. It’s best to wait for a clear breakout beyond this liquidity area before confirming the next move.
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🔹 Wave Structure
W1 timeframe:
The larger structure remains within wave (4) in yellow. With weekly momentum nearing oversold territory, wave (4) is likely to complete within the next 1–2 weeks, paving the way for the development of wave (5).
D1 timeframe:
The market is currently deep within the corrective phase of wave (4) in yellow, forming a W–X–Y pattern in purple.
• Wave W (purple) has been completed.
• Price is now likely forming wave X. Once wave X finishes, a downward move to complete wave Y is expected.
Wave W has already reached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of wave (3), meaning the minimum price objective for wave (4) has been met. When price achieves its target quickly, Elliott theory suggests the structure often extends sideways to complete in terms of time rather than depth.
A notable possibility:
• Wave W is complete.
• Wave X may have finished as a three-wave a-b-c correction (black).
• Wave Y may now be evolving as a contracting triangle (a-b-c-d-e).
This scenario will be reinforced if D1 momentum moves into the oversold zone simultaneously with a bullish reversal on W1, while price holds above 3897.
H4 timeframe:
Since D1 momentum is likely to turn downward soon, the primary short-term bias remains toward the W–X–Y structure shown on the chart.
Price is currently oscillating around the POC (Point of Control – green line), the highest liquidity area.
Price is approaching this POC from below while both D1 and H4 momentums are near reversal points — signaling potential for another short-term decline to complete wave y.
The 4038 and 4145 zones act as strong resistances and could serve as potential completion points for wave X (purple).
At present, wave X is consolidating within a triangle pattern. Since triangles typically form through contracting, overlapping waves, it’s essential to wait for a clear breakout candle above or below the triangle to determine the next trend direction.
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🔹 Trading Plan
In the short term, avoid opening new positions while the price remains within the compression zone.
It’s recommended to observe Monday’s market open for a confirmed breakout direction — once clarity appears, a more precise and safer trading plan can be established.
Trent Ltd – Double Zigzag Correction in PlayAfter topping out at ₹8,345, Trent has been locked in a larger corrective structure that now appears to be unfolding as a W–X–Y double zigzag on the weekly chart.
Wave Count
Wave W bottomed at ₹4,715 as a clear ABC.
The rally to ₹6,261 completed Wave X.
Price is now progressing in Wave Y, where:
Wave A has unfolded,
Wave B topped at ₹5,674,
Wave C is expected to continue lower.
Key Levels
Target 1 (1.0 extension): ₹4,370
Target 2 (1.618 extension): ₹3,565
Stop-loss / Invalidation:
Trading level: ₹5,674 (Wave B high)
Structural level: ₹6,261 (Wave X high)
RSI Check
RSI remains below 50, confirming bearish momentum.
Conclusion
The correction appears incomplete with scope for another leg down before a larger recovery can begin. While the working invalidation sits at ₹5,674, structurally the bearish count holds until ₹6,261 is broken.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Part 6 Institutional Trading Option Trading in India
In India, option trading is available on major exchanges like NSE and BSE, primarily for:
Equity Options (Stocks)
Index Options (NIFTY, BANK NIFTY, FINNIFTY)
Contracts are settled in cash, and trading happens in defined lot sizes. Most retail traders prefer index options due to liquidity and low margin requirements.
Part 4 Institutional Trading Risks in Option Trading
While options offer leverage and flexibility, they also carry risks:
Time Decay: Option value reduces as expiry nears.
High Volatility: Can cause large swings in option prices.
Unlimited Loss (for sellers): Writers face potentially infinite risk.
Complexity: Requires understanding of multiple factors like Greeks, volatility, and time.
Part 3 Institutional Trading Uses of Option Trading
Hedging: Protecting an existing portfolio from adverse price movements.
Example: Buying a Put Option to hedge a long stock position.
Speculation: Betting on price movement direction with limited capital.
Example: Buying Call Options if expecting a stock to rise.
Income Generation: Selling options to collect premiums in range-bound markets.
Example: Covered Call Writing.






















