BTC/USD – Support Reclaim Signals Potential Bullish ContinuationChart Analysis
1. Key Support Zone (≈ 90,350 – 90,920)
Your chart highlights a strong support zone where price previously reacted.
Price has reclaimed this area, showing that buyers stepped in aggressively.
This support aligns with Fibonacci retracement levels, strengthening its validity.
2. Current Price Structure
BTC is consolidating just above support, forming a minor bullish structure.
A higher-low formation is visible, suggesting buyers remain in control.
The drawn white arrow also suggests an expected retest before continuation.
3. Local Resistance Cluster (≈ 92,500 – 94,000)
The upper shaded zone marks a major resistance, possibly a supply region.
This aligns with Fib extension levels (2.618–3.618).
This is the area where sellers are likely to show up again.
4. Bullish Scenario (Most Probable Based on Chart)
If BTC holds above 90,920, a rally toward the resistance zone is likely.
The large grey projection box indicates a potential move to ~93,500–94,000.
Momentum from the recent strong bullish candle also supports the upside.
5. Bearish Risk Scenario
Losing 90,350 on strong volume could invalidate the bullish setup.
If that happens, price may revisit 87,500–88,000 (Fib confluence).
Community ideas
Ethereum – Elliott Wave Analysis (Weekly Chart)
#Phase 1:
Impulse Wave (1–5) Completed
ETH completed a 5-wave impulsive structure from the 2022 lows to the 2024 top:
Wave (1) – Initial reversal from the bear market bottom
Wave (2) – Deep corrective pullback
Wave (3) – Strong expansion wave (typically the largest, as shown here)
Wave (4) – Sideways consolidation within the channel
Wave (5) – Final push into the upper resistance of the long-term channel
This 5-wave structure completed near the $4,093 region.
#Phase 2:
ABC Corrective Pattern Playing Out
After the 5-wave completion, ETH entered a large ABC correction:
(A) Wave
A sharp drop from the top, marking the start of correction.
(B) Wave
A lower-high retracement that couldn’t break above the multi-year channel resistance — classic sign of a corrective rally.
(C) Wave
This wave completed near the lower boundary of the long-term channel (shown on your chart), fulfilling the ABC structure.
#Phase 3:
New Cycle – Larger ABC Structure Forming
After completing the previous ABC cycle, ETH started a new higher-degree correction:
Wave A (up)
A strong rally to ~4,956 created the larger-degree Wave A.
Wave B (current)
Price is now declining in a steep Wave B structure.
Your highlighted grey demand zone ($1,800–$2,200) is the most likely B-wave target.
Notes Must Read
B-waves often break support briefly, creating a sentiment trap
#Phase 4:
Wave C – The Big Expansion (2026?)
After Wave B finishes inside $1,800–$2,200, ETH is likely to start a massive Wave C.
Wave C is typically:
Impulsive
Equal to Wave A or 1.618× Wave A
Target 🎯 $6,000 – $6,400 region
This matches the Elliott Wave rule where Wave C often extends strongly after a deep B-wave.
~Disclaimer~
High Risk Investment
Trading or investing in assets like crypto, equity, or commodities carries high risk and may not suit all investors.
Analysis on this channel uses recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources for informational and educational purposes only, not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing or trading.
This channel, Render With Me, is not responsible for any financial loss arising directly or indirectly from using or relying on this information.
Relationship Between Open Interest and VolatilityIntroduction
In the world of derivatives trading, particularly in futures and options markets, understanding open interest and volatility is crucial for traders and investors. Both metrics provide critical insights into market sentiment, liquidity, and potential price movements. While open interest indicates the number of outstanding contracts, volatility reflects the degree of price fluctuations over time. The relationship between these two variables can reveal hidden trends, market momentum, and potential reversals, making them indispensable tools in trading strategies.
Understanding Open Interest
Open interest (OI) refers to the total number of outstanding contracts, either futures or options, that have not been settled or closed. Each open contract has a buyer and a seller, and OI increases when new positions are added to the market and decreases when positions are closed or exercised.
Key characteristics of open interest include:
Market Activity Indicator: Rising OI indicates the influx of new money and active participation in a particular contract.
Trend Confirmation Tool: Increasing OI along with rising prices generally indicates a strong bullish trend, whereas increasing OI with falling prices signals a strong bearish trend.
Liquidity Measure: Higher OI ensures better liquidity, tighter bid-ask spreads, and easier execution for traders.
Position Insight: OI can also help identify accumulation or distribution phases in the market.
For example, if a stock’s call options show rising OI while the underlying price rises, it may suggest that traders are bullish and expect further price gains. Conversely, rising OI in put options during a declining market may indicate growing bearish sentiment.
Understanding Volatility
Volatility represents the degree of variation in a security’s price over a specific period. It is a critical measure of market risk and uncertainty, and it directly impacts derivatives pricing, especially options.
Volatility can be classified as:
Historical Volatility (HV): Measures the past price fluctuations of an asset over a defined period.
Implied Volatility (IV): Reflects the market’s expectations of future price movements, derived from the prices of options.
Realized Volatility: Actual observed price movements over time.
High volatility indicates larger price swings and higher risk, whereas low volatility signals more stable price movement. Volatility affects traders’ decisions because it impacts potential profit and loss, option premiums, and hedging strategies.
Interplay Between Open Interest and Volatility
The relationship between open interest and volatility is complex and dynamic. Observing changes in OI alongside price movements can help traders interpret market behavior and anticipate potential trends.
Rising Open Interest with Rising Prices:
When both prices and OI increase, it usually indicates strong bullish momentum and higher trader confidence.
Increased participation can lead to higher liquidity, which may moderate volatility in the short term, as the market can absorb larger trades without drastic price swings.
Rising Open Interest with Falling Prices:
Rising OI amid falling prices suggests bearish sentiment is strengthening.
This can increase market volatility because more traders are actively participating in the trend, and any sudden news or market shock could amplify price swings.
Falling Open Interest with Rising Prices:
When OI declines as prices rise, it often signals short-covering or profit-taking.
This situation may lead to reduced volatility over time, as speculative positions are being closed, and fewer traders remain exposed to the market.
Falling Open Interest with Falling Prices:
Decreasing OI with declining prices typically indicates a liquidation phase where traders are exiting positions.
This can reduce market volatility, as downward movements are less fueled by speculative trading and more by position unwinding.
Open Interest as a Leading Indicator of Volatility
Open interest can act as a leading indicator for future volatility. Since OI reflects the number of active contracts and overall market participation, sudden spikes or drops in OI often precede changes in market volatility.
High Open Interest Levels:
When OI is unusually high, the market is crowded with positions.
Any unexpected news can trigger sharp price swings, increasing volatility, as traders rush to adjust or close positions.
Low Open Interest Levels:
Low OI indicates reduced market participation.
In such scenarios, even small trades can cause large price movements, resulting in high volatility despite low market participation.
Unwinding and Reversals:
A sudden decline in OI after a prolonged trend can hint at potential trend exhaustion.
Volatility often spikes during such reversals as traders adjust positions in anticipation of market corrections.
Practical Applications in Trading
Traders use the relationship between OI and volatility in multiple ways:
Trend Analysis:
Combining price trends with OI helps identify whether a market move is supported by new money or merely a short-covering rally.
For instance, a bullish trend with rising OI indicates genuine accumulation, while a bullish trend with falling OI may suggest the move is unsustainable.
Options Trading:
Implied volatility in options pricing is closely monitored alongside OI.
High OI in options, coupled with rising IV, often signals expectations of significant price movement, providing trading opportunities for straddles or strangles.
Risk Management:
Traders can use OI and volatility together to manage exposure.
For instance, high volatility with rising OI may warrant tighter stop-loss levels to protect against sudden adverse moves.
Liquidity Assessment:
OI levels indicate how easy it is to enter or exit positions.
High OI paired with moderate volatility ensures sufficient liquidity without excessive risk of large swings.
Limitations
While the relationship between OI and volatility is useful, traders should be aware of its limitations:
Lagging Nature: OI changes may not immediately reflect price reversals.
Market Manipulation: Large players can artificially inflate OI to mislead other traders.
External Factors: Macro events, earnings reports, geopolitical developments, and economic data can affect volatility independently of OI.
Thus, relying solely on OI and volatility without other technical or fundamental analysis can lead to misleading conclusions.
Conclusion
The relationship between open interest and volatility offers deep insights into market dynamics. Open interest measures trader participation and sentiment, while volatility quantifies market risk and price fluctuations. Together, they provide a framework for understanding trends, anticipating reversals, and making informed trading decisions. Rising OI often signals strong trends, while shifts in volatility highlight the market’s reaction to these trends. Traders who effectively combine these metrics with price analysis, market news, and other indicators can better navigate complex markets and optimize trading strategies.
In essence, open interest and volatility are intertwined indicators: OI reflects the quantity of market commitment, while volatility reflects the intensity of price reactions. Recognizing their interplay is essential for professional traders and retail investors alike, providing both predictive power and strategic guidance in derivatives markets.
INOX WIND – Testing Major Support + Falling Wedge StructureChart Overview
The price has been moving inside a descending trendline (falling wedge–like structure) since its peak earlier this year. Currently, the stock is once again testing a strong horizontal support zone around ₹132–135, which has acted as demand multiple times in the past.
This confluence of major support + wedge bottom makes this zone important for a potential bullish reversal.
🟩 Bullish Argument:
This zone offers a potential bullish opportunity because:
Price is sitting at strong demand zone (132–135).
The falling wedge structure is typically a bullish pattern.
RSI oversold → Possible reversal territory.
MACD is setting up for a future bullish crossover.
Risk–reward becomes favorable near major support.
🟧 What Bulls Want to See
A bounce from the ₹132–135 zone.
A close above the recent minor swing high on the daily.
Breakout above the descending trendline for positional upside.
🟥 Invalidity (When Idea Fails)
A daily close below ₹130 with volume would weaken the bullish case.
That would indicate breakdown from support instead of reversal.
📈 Potential Targets (if reversal occurs)
T1: ₹145
T2: ₹155
T3: Trendline breakout → ₹165+
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is not financial advice; for educational purposes only. Always manage risk.
HDFCBANK 1 Week Time Frame 🔹 Quick Snapshot
1. The current share price is about ₹ 1,015.
2. 52‑week range: Low ≈ ₹ 812.15, High ≈ ₹ 1,020.50.
3. Recent weekly momentum and technicals appear neutral-to‑slightly bullish: short‑term indicator signals mostly “buy”, and momentum oscillators (like MACD) are supportive.
🔄 What to Watch: Scenarios for the Week
Bullish breakout: If HDFC Bank closes above ~₹ 1,011–₹ 1,013 with good volume, there’s potential to rally toward ₹ 1,025–₹ 1,038 in coming days.
Range‑bound / consolidation: If price hovers between ₹ 984–₹ 1,013, expect sideways action — possibly oscillating in that band.
Bearish breakdown: A decisive close below ₹ 984 may send it toward ₹ 970–₹ 956, increasing risk of deeper downside, especially if market sentiment turns weak.
Samvardhana Motherson on Weekly TF1️⃣ Structure Overview
The stock has been in a downtrend since mid-2024:
Lower highs
Lower lows
A descending trend line acting as dynamic resistance (shown in red)
Now, we observe the first clean breakout attempt above this trend line.
🔥 2️⃣ Multiple Confluences Point to Bullish Reversal
✔ Breakout above descending trend line
Price has closed above the long-term declining trend line, which is the earliest sign of trend reversal.
✔ Horizontal resistance zone cleared
The ₹110 – ₹112 supply/resistance zone has been taken out.
This was tested multiple times → forming a major breakout area.
✔ Strong weekly candle
The breakout candle is: Wide-range & Closed near the high
Shows clear buying pressure (institutional action likely)
This increases breakout reliability.
🧩 3️⃣ Key Levels
Immediate Support Zone (Now Strong Support):
₹108 – ₹112
(Previous resistance → acting as support)
Next Resistance Levels (Upside Targets):
₹122 – ₹124 (first resistance)
₹132 – ₹135 (swing high zone – major supply)
₹147 – ₹150 (major trend target)
🟢 4️⃣ Trend Reversal Confirmation Checklist
Condition Status
Trendline breakout > ✔ Confirmed
Horizontal resistance breakout > ✔ Confirmed
Higher low formation > ✔ Visible
This is a textbook trend reversal setup on weekly time frame.
📉 5️⃣ Risk Management
If one were to trade (not a recommendation):
Entry Zone: ₹112–115 (breakout retest zone)
Stop-loss: Below ₹98 (structural invalidation)
Target 1: ₹132
Target 2: ₹148–150
🥇6️⃣ Professional Summary
Bias: STRONGLY BULLISH (above ₹108–112 zone)
Weekly trend line & horizontal resistance breakout
Buyers taking control after multi-month weakness
First strong higher-time-frame structure shift since mid-2024
Targets open up toward ₹122 → ₹132 → ₹150
A sustained weekly close above ₹115–118 strengthens the breakout even more.
Disclaimer : This content is strictly for educational and informational purposes. Nothing shared here should be considered investment, financial, or trading advice. Markets involve risks. I am not a SEBI-registered financial advisor or research analyst. Viewers and readers must do their own research or consult a certified professional before acting on any information. Any gains or losses arising from market decisions will be solely your responsibility.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Round Bottom Breakout in ROSSTECH
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
Candle Patterns Practical Trading Tips Using Candle Patterns
Trade only with trend confirmation.
A reversal pattern against a strong trend may fail.
Look for patterns at key levels.
Support, resistance, supply-demand zones enhance accuracy.
Use stop-loss placement wisely.
For example, below the wick of a Hammer or above the wick of a Shooting Star.
Avoid trading every pattern blindly.
Candle patterns tell probabilities, not certainties.
Wait for candle close.
Incomplete candles may give false signals.
Use volume and structure to confirm.
Patterns with volume are more reliable.
Premium Chart Patterns Chart patterns provide clues about what buyers and sellers are doing:
Buyers create demand, pushing prices higher.
Sellers create supply, pushing prices lower.
When these forces interact, certain shapes form on the price chart. These shapes—like triangles, flags, head and shoulders, double tops—help traders forecast the next big move.
Patterns can be classified into two major types:
Reversal Patterns – indicate a possible change in trend.
Continuation Patterns – indicate the existing trend is likely to continue.
Understanding both helps traders catch major market moves with good accuracy.
Nifty Analysis for Nov 21, 2025Wrap-up:
Nifty breaks previous high 26104, now pattern has been changed and nifty now formed internal wxy pattern and major ABC wave pattern of which wave 5 is expected to be completed at 26104.
What I’m Watching for Nov 21, 2025 🔍
Short nifty only if it breaks 26097 SL above 25857 for a target of 25934-25892 and 25673-22596 (SL on 15 min. candle close).
Buy nifty only if takes support at 26154 for a maximum target of 26433 only intraday with a sl below 26097.
Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.
Sensex - Expiry day analysis Nov 27Today, the price opened gap down, showed bullish strength, broke the resistance and moved up. Now it is near the next resistance, which is also a double top. 85600 - 85800 zone should show bullish strength to break 86k.
If the price opened right at the double top and showed bearish strength, then it can test the 85500 zone.
If the price opens flat, buy above 85640 with the stop loss of 85520 for the targets 85760, 85900, 86080 and 86160.
Sell below 85380 with the stop loss of 85520 for the targets 85260, 85120, 85020, 84900 and 84780.
Daily chart shows the strength of today's move.
The expected expiry day range is 85500 to 86300.
Reliance - Multi time frame analysis...We are going to see the daily and weekly charts. It's beautiful to see how the patterns are aligning.
The daily chart shows, the price has formed a rounding bottom, and right now it is testing the rounding bottom resistance/high.
The weekly chart shows, the price is nearing the cup and handle pattern resistance, which is around the zone 1600. Support is at 1350.
Any dip can be used as a buying opportunity as long as the price is above 1350.
As per the daily chart, we can enter above 1520 with the stop loss of 1470 for the targets 1560, 1590, 1615, 1640, 1676 and 1712. If the price has enough bullish strength, it can test the 1800 and then the 2000 zone.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [27/11/2025: Thursday]Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 27th November 2025. The day is Thursday.
(1) Monthly Timeframe:
Strong green candle. Major support is at level 26000. The view is bullish.
(2) Weekly Timeframe:
Green paper umbrella candle. But there is no sign of weakness or trend reversal. A very strong buying force is available from level 25850. Major support zone is in the zone - 26050 - 26000. The view is bullish.
(3) Daily Timeframe:
Perfect bullish marubozu. The candle engulfed the 4-day candle body. Very strong support in the zone 26100 - 26000. No bearish trade till the zone is breached. The view is bullish.
(4) 30-Minute Timeframe:
Strong bullish trend. Any down move should be doubted; rather, it will be an opportunity to go long. Strong support is in the zone 26100 - 26000. No bearish trade. The view is bullish.
Bullish Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price stays above the level 26100.
Bearish Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price breaches the zone of 26100 - 26000 and sustains below it.
Expectation: There is a higher probability of bullish continuation. Take no bearish trade.
Event: SENSEX monthly expiry. No other major trend.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen. Trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
ADANIENT - Eying 2700 on this corrective rise?
TF: Daily
CMP: 2462
From the lows at 1964, The swings are overlapping, making it a corrective move/structure overall.
This leg appears to be the Y wave up in the corrective WXY rise and could potentially reach 2700-2750 levels. Just so you know/observe, The zone also happens to be the confluence of the unfilled GAP area.
IN the shorter TF, the price is about to complete it's A wave and one can wait for the B wave to end in order to initiate a trade for the C wave rise.
Shorter TF counts are marked below for better understanding.
Just because the price is expected to reverse, don't try to take a short trade.. B waves are to be avoided at best.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
Nifty Ready for a Sharp Move — But Volume Says “Be Careful”So exactly as written yesterday, NSE:NIFTY trapped both sellers and buyers today.
A perfect inside-bar style liquidity grab.
Now let’s see what today’s data says for tomorrow:
• Pivot has moved up to 26226
• Macro data strongly positive
• Buyers beat sellers by 28 million
• PP is extremely tight — just 0.03%
These points clearly signal that tomorrow can be a sharp bullish day.
But… something very strange is happening underneath.
Price is moving up, but the 10-day average volume is falling every single day.
This means people are acting in greed — not confidence.
So even if a bullish move comes tomorrow, it can be a trap.
That’s why building long positions on the index is not advised.
Playing it day-by-day would be the smartest thing to do until average volume aligns with price again.
Resistance is at 26277.
I’ll take a trade only if we get an hourly close above this level.
For intraday traders, buying the dip is fine — but only till 26026.
Below that, I won’t touch the long side because the trap from bears is very clear.
📊 Levels at a Glance:
Pivot: 26226
Support: 26026
Resistance: 26277
PP: 0.03%
Bias: Day-by-Day (Avoid index positional longs)
Market View: Sharp move possible but volume divergence = trap potential
That will be all for today.
Take care. Have a profitable tomorrow.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Cup & Handle Breakout in KTKBANK
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Trendline Breakout in GMRAIRPORT
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%






















