Zoom Out: Bitcoin’s 14-Year Structural Expansion Explained!Hey Everyone, let's analyse long term structural view on Bitcoin as it is once again sitting inside the same structural expansion channel it has respected for more than 14 years.
Zooming out removes the noise, what looks random on lower timeframes reveals a very consistent long-term pattern.
Most traders focus on headlines. Long-term moves are built on structure.
Bitcoin has never moved randomly on higher timeframes. Every major cycle since 2011 has expanded inside a rising macro channel driven by demand, time, and liquidity.
Each cycle looks different on the surface, but the internal structure remains the same, higher lows forming on macro support, followed by exponential expansion phases.
Current price is still respecting the long-term rising structure, with buyers consistently stepping in near the lower boundary of the channel.
The upper zone shown is not a prediction. It represents the historical expansion boundary where previous cycles matured and volatility peaked.
As long as the macro structure remains intact, the probability continues to favor structural continuation rather than random collapse.
Key takeaway:
Markets don’t repeat perfectly, but they rhyme .
And Bitcoin has been speaking the same structural language for over a decade.
Conclusion:
This is not about catching tops or bottoms.
It’s about understanding where you are in the cycle , and acting accordingly.
If this structural perspective helped you, like, comment, and follow for more long term market studies.
Analysis By @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects a long term structural view. It is not financial advice. Always manage risk and do your own research before making trading or investment decisions.
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State Bank Weekly Price Action Analysis for Jan 2026Analysis date: 20-Dec-2025
State Bank closed at 980 levels but the volume is pretty low. This is not a good sign of bullishness. Chances are, sellers could be waiting for price to come in 990 range. They may take the price down to 970 levels as shown on the charts.
Bulls trade with caution.
Bullish Targets are 984, 989, 994, 999 +
Bearish Targets are 970, 956, 947
Keep 10 points SL after your entry.
Happy Trading!
Gold After Liquidity Grab: Short side intraday move, R you readyHello Everyone, let's analyse Gold as this once again tested a major resistance zone, but instead of giving a clean breakout, price briefly moved above the level and then quickly reversed. This move was not strength, it was a liquidity grab.
In simple words, smart money pushed price above resistance to trap breakout buyers, collect their stop-loss liquidity, and then bring price back into the range. This is why price failed to hold above the highs and started showing weakness soon after.
Right now, Gold is trading back below resistance, which keeps the short term bias cautious to bearish. If selling pressure continues, price may slowly rotate toward the lower support / demand zone, where buyers could appear again.
This chart is a good reminder that not every breakout is real. Waiting for confirmation always matters more than speed.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Analysis By @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile.
If this helped you understand price behavior better, like, follow, and share your view in comments.
HSCL — Technically shaping up for a 20% short term run # HSCL a short-term bullish setup on daily chart, trading above its EMA support zone around 460–465 with improving momentum. RSI near 59 indicates strength without being overbought.
A sustained move above the 495–500 resistance can trigger upside towards 520-535 and next 580-600...while a close below 460 would weaken the setup.
Looks like a good ~20% upside candidate from current levels in the short term, provided it sustains above the 460–465 support zone and breaks decisively above the 500 resistance with volume confirmation.
Indigo: Accumulating the Market LeaderCorrections in market leaders like InterGlobe Aviation (Indigo) are opportunities, not warnings. The recent pullback offers a classic setup for value investors to apply a "Buy on Dips" strategy on India's premier airline.
Key Accumulation Levels:
1st Buy Zone (Immediate Value): The stock is currently testing support between ₹4,923 and ₹4,636. This is an ideal range to initiate positions.
2nd Buy Zone: A deeper dip towards the red moving average (approx. ₹4,200) offers a strong "average down" opportunity.
3rd Buy Zone: The ultimate value floor sits near ₹3,600.
Strategy: Instead of trying to time the exact bottom, i will use these defined zones to stagger entries. This correction allows us to buy high-quality growth at a discount.
Gold shows bullish near 4355 bearish close indicates reversal.Gold is currently showing strong bullish momentum, with the price moving up to 4355. However, the market closing with bearish pressure indicates a potential reversal. The 4355 level is an important resistance point, and traders might consider entering a sell trade here. Setting a stop loss at 4374 would provide some room for price action to fluctuate while keeping risk in check. If the resistance at 4355 holds, the market could retrace towards 4320, which is the next key support level. The confirmation of this move should be based on the price action around the resistance zone. Traders should be cautious and monitor the market closely for any signs of a breakout above 4374, which would invalidate this bearish setup. It's important to always use proper risk management, and adjusting the stop loss accordingly if the market behaves differently than expected can help reduce potential losses.
Bitcoin AI tool data Analysis showing accumulation on lower pricParameter Data
Asset Name Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Spot
Price Movement 🟨 Neutral/Consolidation (LTP: $88,000 | +1.12% 24h)
Current Trade 🟨 ACCUMULATE (Spot buying preferred over high-leverage)
SMC Structure 🟨 Consolidation within Bullish Macro (Testing 4H Order Block)
Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟥 Bullish Trap: $92,000 | 🟩 Liquidity Pool: $84,450
Probability 🟨 60% (Likely range-bound movement until year-end expiry)
Risk Reward 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🟨 Medium (Elevated volatility due to Dec 26 OpEx)
Max Pain 🟨 $86,800 (Current Options Max Pain level)
DEMA Levels 🟨 Trading below 20-DEMA; Testing 50-DEMA support ($85.6k)
Supports 🟩 S1: $84,450, S2: $81,200, S3: $78,500
Resistances 🟥 R1: $91,500, R2: $98,000, R3: $110,000
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 RSI: 48 (Neutral), ADX: 24 (Trend losing momentum)
Market Depth 🟩 High ($27B Open Interest maintained)
Volatility 🟥 High (30-day realized volatility near 45%)
Source Ledger Binance / Deribit / CME Aggregate
OI 🟩 $27.00B (Stable OI suggesting long-term conviction)
PCR 🟥 0.38 - 0.58 (Put/Call ratio indicates heavy Call selling)
VWAP 🟩 Above VWAP (Intraday recovery sustained above $87,200)
Turnover 🟩 Increasing (High volume on the $87k rebound)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 Potential Gartley (Completing near $84k support)
IV/RV 🟥 IV: 57% - 58% (Option premiums elevated due to risk)
Options Skew 🟥 -5% (Put Skew) (Downside protection is expensive)
Vanna/Charm 🟥 Negative (Dealer hedging creating friction near $90k)
Block Trades 🟩 Whale Accumulation detected at $85,000–$86,000 range.
COT Positioning 🟩 Net Long (Asset managers increasing long exposure)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟥 Negative with DXY (Inverse move with USD continues)
ETF Rotation 🟨 Neutral (Outflows slowing; IBIT seeing renewed interest)
Sentiment Index 🟨 Fear/Neutral (Flipping from Greed last month)
OFI 🟩 Positive (Bid-side orders gaining strength at $87.5k)
Delta 🟩 Cumulative Delta: Neutralizing (Sellers losing steam)
VWAP Bands 🟨 Upper: $90,100 | Lower: $85,800
Rotation Metrics 🟥 Lagging Alts (Solana/Ethereum showing 3-4% strength)
Market Phase 🟨 Re-accumulation Phase
Crude mcx sell on rise until 5150 not break weekend avoid tradeParameter Data
Asset Name Crude Oil (CL) MCX Jan 2026 Futures
Price Movement 🟥 Strong Bearish Momentum (LTP: ₹5,077 | -0.76%)
Current Trade 🟥 SELL ON RISE (Resistance near ₹5,150)
SMC Structure 🟥 Bearish Order Flow (Clear lower-high sequence)
Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟥 Bullish Trap: ₹5,230 | 🟩 Liquidity Pool: ₹4,950
Probability 🟩 70% (Continuation toward ₹5,000 psychological support)
Risk Reward 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🟩 High (Trend aligned with global macro/geopolitical stance)
Max Pain 🟨 ₹5,100 (Highest Call writing at ₹5,100-₹5,200 strikes)
DEMA Levels 🟥 Below 20, 50, 100 & 200-DEMA (Strong Bearish Grip)
Supports 🟩 S1: ₹5,030, S2: ₹4,960, S3: ₹4,880
Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹5,150, R2: ₹5,230, R3: ₹5,310
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟥 RSI: 34 (Oversold but trending), ADX: 31 (Strong Trend)
Market Depth 🟥 Sell-Side Dominant (High volume on red candles)
Volatility 🟩 High (ATR expanding as prices test new lows)
Source Ledger MCX Real-time / NYMEX WTI Sync
OI 🟥 Short Build-up (OI up +10.91% with falling prices)
PCR 🟥 0.58 (Bearish sentiment in January Options)
VWAP 🟥 LTP < VWAP (Trading below intraday average of ₹5,110)
Turnover 🟩 High (Reflects panic selling and long unwinding)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 Bearish AB=CD (Targeting the ₹4,900 zone)
IV/RV 🟩 IV: 31.4% (Normalizing after the weekly spike)
Options Skew 🟥 Put Skew (Expensive Puts as traders hedge downside risk)
Vanna/Charm 🟥 Negative (Dealer hedging adding weight to the fall)
Block Trades 🟥 Large Sell Blocks observed at ₹5,180 level.
COT Positioning 🟥 Non-Commercials Reducing Longs (Managed money exiting)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 Positive with DXY (Dollar strength hurting oil)
ETF Rotation 🟥 Outflows (Capital moving out of Energy into Staples/Utilities)
Sentiment Index 🟥 Extreme Fear (Prices hitting multi-year lows)
OFI 🟥 Negative (Heavy distribution at ₹5,100 resistance)
Delta 🟥 Cumulative Delta: Strongly Negative
VWAP Bands 🟨 Lower Band: ₹5,010 | Upper Band: ₹5,190
Rotation Metrics 🟥 Sector Laggard (Energy is the weakest 2025 sector)
Market Phase 🟥 Markdown / Capitulation Phase
Natural gas still negative, AI tool report on description Parameter Data
Asset Name Natural Gas (NG) MCX Dec 2025 Futures
Price Movement 🟥 Strong Bearish Momentum (LTP: ₹353.50 | -0.76%)
Current Trade 🟥 SELL ON RISE (Resistance near ₹360-₹365)
SMC Structure 🟥 Bearish Break of Structure (BOS) on Daily TF
Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟥 Bullish Trap: ₹368.00 | 🟩 Liquidity Pool: ₹342.00
Probability 🟨 60% (Further drift toward S1 likely before consolidation)
Risk Reward 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🟨 Medium (High dependency on shifting NOAA weather maps)
Max Pain 🟨 ₹360 (Heavy Call writing observed at this strike)
DEMA Levels 🟥 Below 20 & 50-DEMA; Approaching 100-DEMA (₹342.20)
Supports 🟩 S1: ₹349.70, S2: ₹342.20, S3: ₹332.00
Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹360.00, R2: ₹367.40, R3: ₹381.30
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟥 RSI: 38 (Weak), ADX: 29 (Bearish trend gaining strength)
Market Depth 🟥 Sell Side Heavy (OFI showing aggressive ask hitting)
Volatility 🟥 High (Intraday swings of 3-5% common)
Source Ledger MCX Real-time / NYMEX Sync
OI 🟥 Long Unwinding (LTP down, OI down -17.43%)
PCR 🟥 0.43 (Extremely Bearish - Heavy Call writing)
VWAP 🟥 Price < VWAP (Intraday bearish control below ₹356)
Turnover 🟩 Very High (High participation during US session)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 Potential Bat Pattern (Completing near S2 level)
IV/RV 🟥 IV: 74.52% (Extremely high; options are expensive)
Options Skew 🟥 Bearish Bias (Puts trading at discount relative to Calls)
Vanna/Charm 🟥 Negative (Dealer hedging adding to downward pressure)
Block Trades 🟨 Retail Exit seen at the ₹380 level earlier this week.
COT Positioning 🟨 Flipping to Neutral (Speculators reducing net longs)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟨 Low Correlation (Moving purely on weather/inventory)
ETF Rotation 🟥 Outflows (Profit-taking in UNG/Boil equivalent funds)
Sentiment Index 🟥 Fear (Rapid cooling of early-December optimism)
OFI 🟥 -3,069 Contracts (Negative flow in last sessions)
Delta 🟥 Negative Cumulative Delta (Aggressive selling)
VWAP Bands 🟨 Lower Band: ₹348.50 | Upper Band: ₹364.20
Rotation Metrics 🟥 Lagging (Weakest performer in Energy sector)
Market Phase 🟥 Decline Phase / Markdown
Copper Upmove will continue buy on dip 1155-1170, final 1500++ Parameter Data
Asset Name Copper (HG) MCX Dec 2025 Futures
Price Movement 🟩 Bullish Trend / Intraday Sideways (LTP: ₹1,114.20 | +0.22%)
Current Trade 🟨 BUY ON DIPS (Targeting ₹1,125 near-term)
SMC Structure 🟩 Bullish Markup Phase (Market in a parabolic wave 5)
Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟥 Supply Zone: ₹1,119 - ₹1,124 | 🟩 Demand Zone: ₹1,100 - ₹1,105
Probability 🟩 75% (Persistence of supply-side deficit supports rally)
Risk Reward 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🟩 High (Strongly backed by global smelter output cuts)
Max Pain 🟨 ₹1,100 (Highest Put OI concentration for Dec expiry)
DEMA Levels 🟩 Above 20, 50, & 200-DEMA (Clear trend alignment)
Supports 🟩 S1: ₹1,110, S2: ₹1,100, S3: ₹1,082
Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹1,119.55, R2: ₹1,125, R3: ₹1,147
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 RSI: 66 (Near Overbought), ADX: 34 (Strong Bull Trend)
Market Depth 🟩 High Volume (Heavy accumulation seen in Jan/Feb far-month)
Volatility 🟨 Moderate (CVOL Index cooling slightly to 27.2)
Source Ledger MCX Real-time / LME Global Benchmark Sync
OI 🟥 Short Covering (LTP up +0.22%, OI down -1.64%)
PCR 🟩 1.32 (Highly Bullish positioning in Dec contracts)
VWAP 🟩 Above VWAP (Intraday strength sustained above ₹1,112)
Turnover 🟩 Increasing (Reflects institutional interest in base metals)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 Bearish Butterfly (Forming near multi-year channel top)
IV/RV 🟨 Stable (Implied Volatility not yet pricing in a crash)
Options Skew 🟩 Call Skew (Oversized premium on ₹1,150 strike calls)
Vanna/Charm 🟩 Positive Delta Decay (Supporting bulls into the year-end)
Block Trades 🟩 Adani Copper/Mine Deals providing long-term floor.
COT Positioning 🟩 Extreme Net Long (Speculators heavily positioned for $12k LME)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟥 Inverse with DXY (Dollar rebound remains the only threat)
ETF Rotation 🟩 Inflows (Base metal ETFs gaining at expense of agriculture)
Sentiment Index 🟥 Extreme Greed (Retail traders chasing the breakout)
OFI 🟩 Positive (Buy-side orders outnumbering sell-side at ₹1,112)
Delta 🟩 Cumulative Delta: Positive (Aggressive buyers dominant)
VWAP Bands 🟨 Upper Band: ₹1,121 | Lower Band: ₹1,106
Rotation Metrics 🟩 Industrial Lead (Base Metals outperforming Precious Metals)
Market Phase 🟩 Vertical Markup / Blow-off Phase
How Emotions Destroy Profitable TradersHow Emotions Destroy Profitable Traders
🧠 How Emotions Destroy Profitable Traders | Trading Psychology Explained
Most traders don’t fail because of strategy.
They fail because they can’t control emotions.
Even a profitable system becomes useless when emotions take control of decision-making. Let’s break it down 👇
😨 Fear: The Profit Killer
Fear appears after losses or during volatility.
What fear causes:
Closing trades too early
Missing high-probability setups
Moving stop losses emotionally
📉 Result: Small wins, big regrets.
Fear stops traders from letting probabilities play out.
😤 Greed: The Account Destroyer
Greed appears after wins.
What greed causes:
Overleveraging
Ignoring risk management
Holding trades too long
📈 Traders want “more” and end up losing everything.
Greed turns discipline into gambling.
😡 Revenge Trading: The Fastest Way to Blow an Account
After a loss, many traders try to win it back quickly.
Revenge trading leads to:
Random entries
No confirmations
Breaking trading rules
🔥 One emotional trade often leads to many bad trades.
🤯 Overconfidence After Wins
Winning streaks create false confidence.
Overconfidence causes:
Larger position sizes
Ignoring market context
Believing losses “won’t happen”
Markets punish ego — always.
😴 Impatience: Silent Consistency Killer
Good trades require waiting.
Impatience leads to:
Forcing setups
Trading low-quality zones
Entering without confirmation
⏳ The market rewards patience, not speed.
🧘♂️ How Profitable Traders Control Emotions
Professional traders don’t eliminate emotions — they manage them.
Key habits:
Fixed risk per trade
Pre-planned entries & exits
Accepting losses as part of business
Waiting for confirmation
Trading less, not more
🧠 Discipline > Emotion
📊 Process > Outcome
📌 Final Thought
If emotions control your trades, the market will control your money.
Master your psychology, and your strategy will finally work.
Trade the plan.
Respect risk.
Stay patient.
Silver mcx this week booked 20000 points huge profit holding buyParameter Data
Asset Name Silver (SILVER) MCX Mar 2026 Futures
Price Movement 🟥 Strong Intraday Correction (LTP: ₹2,09,000 | -0.95%)
Current Trade 🟨 BUY ON DIPS (Accumulate near S1/S2 levels)
SMC Structure 🟩 Aggressive Bullish Order Flow (Structure: Break of Structure - BOS)
Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟥 Bullish Trap: Above ₹2,11,000 | 🟩 Liquidity Void: ₹1,99,000
Probability 🟩 70% (For a bounce-back after testing the 20-DEMA)
Risk Reward 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🟩 High (Strong fundamental supply-side narrative)
Max Pain 🟨 ₹2,05,000 (Based on current options concentration)
DEMA Levels 🟩 Price above 50/200-DEMA; Testing 10-DEMA for support.
Supports 🟩 S1: ₹2,06,500, S2: ₹1,99,000, S3: ₹1,95,000
Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹2,11,000, R2: ₹2,15,500, R3: ₹2,20,000
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 RSI: 62 (Cooling from 80), ADX: 32 (Strong Trend)
Market Depth 🟨 High Liquidity (Heavy participation in Mar/May contracts)
Volatility 🟥 Extreme (Annualized Volatility >35%)
Source Ledger MCX Real-time / COMEX Global Arbitrage
OI 🟩 13.12 K (Decreasing OI indicates profit booking from longs)
PCR 🟩 1.25 (Bullish - Puts being written at lower strikes)
VWAP 🟥 LTP < VWAP (Bearish intraday bias below ₹2,10,200)
Turnover 🟩 Very High (Top traded commodity on MCX today)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 Bearish Deep Crab (Completing near R1 zone)
IV/RV 🟥 IV Expansion (Premiums expensive due to record highs)
Options Skew 🟩 Call Skew (Market pricing in further "melt-up" scenarios)
Vanna/Charm 🟩 Positive (Supporting price stability into expiry)
Block Trades 🟩 Large Buy Blocks recorded at ₹2,04,000 level earlier.
COT Positioning 🟩 Commercials Short / Non-Commercials Extreme Long
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟨 Decoupling from Gold (Outperforming Gold significantly)
ETF Rotation 🟩 Strong Inflows (Physically-backed ETFs hitting 5-year highs)
Sentiment Index 🟥 Extreme Greed (Retail sentiment at 92/100)
OFI 🟥 -1200 Contracts (Net selling pressure in the last hour)
Delta 🟥 Negative Intraday Delta (Aggressive market sell orders)
VWAP Bands 🟨 Lower Band: ₹2,04,100 | Upper Band: ₹2,14,500
Rotation Metrics 🟩 Sector Leader (Silver > Base Metals > Precious Metals)
Market Phase 🟩 Advanced Markup / Blow-off Top potential
Gold mcx this week we booked 5500 points profit, holding buy nowParameter Data
Asset Name Gold (GC) MCX Feb 2026 Futures
Price Movement 🟥 Bearish Intraday / Bullish Macro (LTP: ₹1,33,772 | -0.56%)
Current Trade 🟨 WAIT & WATCH (Seek reversal near S1/S2 levels)
SMC Structure 🟩 Bullish Order Flow (Deep pullback into internal demand zone)
Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟥 Bullish Trap: Above ₹1,34,520 | 🟩 Liquidity Void: ₹1,33,100
Probability 🟨 65% (For consolidation at current base before bounce)
Risk Reward 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🟨 Medium (High volatility due to BoJ & USD fluctuations)
Max Pain 🟨 ₹1,34,000 (Based on 31 Dec Expiry Options chain)
DEMA Levels 🟩 Price above 200-DEMA; Testing 20-DEMA support.
Supports 🟩 S1: ₹1,33,110, S2: ₹1,32,450, S3: ₹1,31,500
Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹1,34,520, R2: ₹1,35,350, R3: ₹1,35,970
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 RSI: 54 (Neutralizing), ADX: 28 (Trend strength fading)
Market Depth 🟨 Balanced (Heavy sell-side absorption near R1)
Volatility 🟩 High (Intraday range expansion observed)
Source Ledger MCX Real-time / Global Spot Sync
OI 🟥 Short Build-up (Slight increase in OI with falling prices)
PCR 🟩 1.16 (Bullish bias maintained in options)
VWAP 🟥 Below VWAP (Price trading below intraday average)
Turnover 🟩 High (Volume confirms the significance of the drop)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 Potential Cypher (Developing on 4H timeframe)
IV/RV 🟩 IV: 13.0% (Slight expansion during the fall)
Options Skew 🟩 Bullish (Calls still trading at premium for far-month)
Vanna/Charm 🟨 Neutral (Market stabilizing post-BoJ impact)
Block Trades 🟩 Institutional Buying seen at lower ₹1,33,500 levels
COT Positioning 🟩 Net Long (Managed money remains heavily long)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟥 Negative with DXY (Dollar strength is the current headwind)
ETF Rotation 🟩 Inflows (Return of ETF demand as US rates cool)
Sentiment Index 🟨 Greed (Cooling off from Extreme Greed)
OFI 🟥 Negative (Sell orders dominating the order book)
Delta 🟥 Cumulative Delta: Negative (Aggressive sellers active)
VWAP Bands 🟨 Lower Band Support: ₹1,33,480
Rotation Metrics 🟨 Commodity Sector Lead (Still outperforming Equities)
Market Phase 🟨 Markup Phase / Consolidation
Simply trying to share a concept or idea for Swing TradeFriends, this is the chart of Gujarat Fluorochemicals Ltd. It is one of the leading producers of Fluoro-polymers, Fluoro-specialities, Chemicals and Refrigerants in India. It is one of the top five global players in the fluoropolymers market with exports to Europe, Americas, Japan and Asia.And is a part of the INOX Group of Companies
Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited (NSE: FLUOROCHEM, BSE: 542812) is a constituent of several major indices. Primarily, it is included in the Nifty 500 and Nifty Midcap 150 indices.
Other indices it is a part of include:
Nifty LargeMidcap 250
Nifty MidSmallcap 400
Nifty 500 Multicap 50:25:25
Nifty India Manufacturing
Nifty EV & New Age Automotive
BSE 500, BSE 200, BSE MidCap, BSE 150 MidCap, etc.
(This stock is not part of major indices like the Nifty 50 or Sensex, but is included in mid-cap and broad market indices. )
Friends, I'm not giving you any stock recommendations here; I'm simply trying to share a concept or idea with you.
If you try to understand this correctly, a typical investor invests with the expectation of earning a 12-15% profit every year. And by investing in a good mutual fund, you can earn an annual profit of 24 to 30%. A good/smart investor doesn't look for returns higher than this, and a substantial profit can be made with this kind of return.
This 71-trading session or three-and-a-half-month time cycle is working perfectly on this Gujarat Fluorochemicals Ltd. chart. And you can see that this stock investment has given a return of at least 15% and a maximum of 50% within 3.5 months. For profit booking, you can use a trailing stop-loss or a good moving average Sl
If you can set aside technical analysis, chart patterns, and price action for a moment and think about this, consider how effective time cycle investing can be as a swing trading or a profitable strategy.
I hope you understand that with a little effort, you can find many such stock charts. The Indian stock market has at least 6000+ stocks, including blue-chip and well-established companies. You only need to find 10-12 stocks to trade throughout the year.
If you liked this article, please like it.
Thank you all.
Prime Focus (W): Strongly Bullish - Blue Sky BreakoutTimeframe: Weekly | Scale: Logarithmic
The stock has confirmed a major structural breakout, clearing both a short-term horizontal hurdle and a multi-year channel resistance. This move is supported by the highest weekly volume in months and significant corporate restructuring news.
🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why")
The massive volume and breakout are driven by strategic clarity:
> Internal Restructuring: The company recently announced the divestment of its subsidiary, Prime Focus Studios , to DNEG S.a.r.l (its material subsidiary). This simplifies the group structure and potentially unlocks value ahead of DNEG's future listing plans.
> New ATH: The stock hitting a new All-Time High (~₹224) attracts momentum traders and algorithms, fueling the volume surge.
📈 2. The Chart Structure (Channel Breakout)
> The Pattern: Ascending Parallel Channel (since Aug 2021).
- The Move: Most stocks trade inside the channel. Breaking the Upper Resistance Line is a sign of extreme bullishness. It indicates that buyers are so aggressive they are willing to pay prices above the standard trend trajectory.
> Horizontal Breakout: The level of ₹203 (Sep 2025 High) was the final "Lid." The stock smashed through this on massive volume, turning it into a concrete floor.
📊 3. Volume & Indicators
> Volume Ignition: The 52.99 Million volume is not just "rising"; it is an Ignition Bar . It confirms that institutions are participating in this leg of the rally.
> RSI Strength: Rising RSI in all timeframes confirms the trend. Note that in a "Blue Sky" breakout, RSI can stay "overbought" (>70) for weeks.
🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels
The stock is now in "Price Discovery" mode.
> 🐂 Bullish Target (Momentum):
- Target 1: ₹254 .
- Blue Sky: If the "Parabolic" phase holds, the stock could overshoot towards ₹275 .
> 🛡️ Support (The "Must Hold"):
- Immediate Support: ₹203. The horizontal resistance has flipped to support. A pullback to ₹203-205 is a high-probability "buy the dip" zone.
- Trend Support: As long as the stock stays above the Upper Channel Line (now acting as dynamic support around ₹210), the accelerated trend is intact.
Conclusion
This is a High-Octane Setup . You have an "Upper Channel Breakout" + "New ATH" + "Massive Volume."
> Strategy: Ride the momentum. Use a trailing stop (e.g., weekly low) rather than a fixed target, as these breakouts can extend further than expected. Watch ₹203 as your safety net.















