MOL LONGElliott Wave analysis shows that the stock has completed waves a, b, and c as a correction. Currently, the stock is undergoing an impulse wave.
The stock is currently in wave (i) in blue color.
This wave will unfold in five sub waves in red colour.
wave i,ii,iii and iv is completed and wave v is started (in red colour).
Wave targets shown on chart.
Level of Invalidation
The invalidation level is identified as the at 66.10. wave iv can not enter in wave ii. If the price falls below this level, it can indicate that the expected Elliott Wave pattern is not as it seems.
I am not a registered Sebi analyst. My research is being done only for academic interests.
Please speak with your financial advisor before trading or making any investments. I take no responsibility whatsoever for your gains or losses.
Regards
Dr Vineet
Community ideas
AA+ Atul Auto Opportunity or a TRAP 📈 Cup & Handle Formation
This stock had a major fall from ₹850 (Aug 2024) to ₹410 (Mar 2025).
Since then, for almost 7 months (Mar–Sep), it remained range-bound.
✅ Last week, it finally gave a Breakout with the Highest Volumes – confirming strength.
Trade Levels:
🔹 LTP: ₹525
🔹 Buy on dips: till ₹475
🔹 Stop Loss (CLB): ₹415
🔹 Targets: ₹700 / ₹750 (to be reviewed once achieved)
⚠️ Note: Stick to levels, follow discipline & use TSL (Trailing Stop Loss) once targets start approaching.
Let’s stay hopeful that the move continues as per our expectations! 📈
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Naresh G
SEBI Registered Research Analyst
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NIFTY Levels for Today
Here are the NIFTY's Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both.
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
PCJEWELLER Price ActionPC Jeweller closed today at ₹14.66, up around 9.4% from the previous close. The stock traded in a range between ₹13.37 and ₹15.38 during the session, showing strong buying interest and significant intraday volatility. The price surge follows better-than-expected quarterly results, with a 4% year-on-year rise in consolidated net profit and substantial revenue growth, which supported bullish momentum.
Technically, PC Jeweller is showing signs of a bullish shift with support around ₹13–14 and resistance near ₹15–16.70. A sustained move above ₹15 could open the path toward higher levels between ₹16 and ₹17. The stock has been forming higher lows and maintaining good volume, signaling strength. However, a breakdown below ₹13–13.50 would indicate a loss of momentum and potential short-term correction.
Overall, PC Jeweller currently exhibits bullish momentum with positive fundamentals supporting the uptrend, but it remains essential to monitor key support and resistance zones closely for trade decisions.
Nifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan : 18th September 4-Hour Chart:
Trend Context: Nifty has been in a strong uptrend, forming a rising channel. It has now reached a significant overhead supply zone, indicated by price action on Sep 17th.
Key Resistance: The red zone at 25,330 - 25,400 is a crucial area of overhead supply. The close on Sep 17th was at 25,330.05, right at the edge of this zone.
Key Support: The green support zone around 24,900 - 24,950 was a significant pivot. The ascending channel's lower trendline and the subsequent higher low formation around 25,000 - 25,100 have also served as support.
Observation: Nifty has closed precisely at the upper boundary of the rising channel and at the lower edge of the significant supply zone (25,330 - 25,400). This indicates a potential turning point. The price action on Sep 17th shows indecision with a long wick at the top, suggesting sellers are active in this zone.
1-Hour Chart:
Intraday Structure: The 1-hour chart shows a bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows within the ascending channel. However, the momentum appears to be slowing as it approaches the 25,330 - 25,400 supply. The closing candle on Sep 17th has a long upper wick, indicating rejection from higher prices.
EMA (21): The EMA (21) is around 25,170, currently acting as intraday support. Price closed above it, but the proximity to the resistance zone makes it a critical level to watch.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): A notable FVG exists between 25,100 - 25,200. This area was used as a pivot and demand zone during the recent rally. A break below this could signal further weakness.
Break of Structure (BOS): The chart indicates a BOS on the upside around 25,180, confirming the upward momentum. However, the recent price action at the resistance suggests this momentum might be stalling.
15-Minute Chart:
Micro-Structure: The 15-minute chart reveals that price attempted to break above 25,330 but was met with strong selling pressure, leading to a liquidity grab above the resistance before pulling back. This resulted in a confirmed Break of Structure (BOS) downwards on this timeframe around 25,240.
Consolidation: Price is currently consolidating just below the 25,240 level, which is now acting as immediate resistance. The support level to watch is around 25,100-25,120 (where the FVG and previous BOS occurred).
Short-Term Bias: The failure to sustain price above 25,330 and the subsequent BOS on the 15M chart indicate short-term weakness. Buyers are defending the area around 25,100-25,120.
Summary of Key Dynamics for September 18th:
Nifty is at a critical juncture, exactly at the confluence of the upper boundary of its rising channel and a significant supply zone (25,330 - 25,400). The closing candle on Sep 17th shows rejection. The 15-minute chart confirms a short-term BOS downwards after a liquidity grab, indicating potential downside. The key levels to watch are 25,330 for resistance and 25,100-25,120 for support.
📝 Trade Plan - Nifty 50 (18th September 2025)
Long Scenario (Cautious):
Entry Zone: 25,100 - 25,150 (retest of the previous BOS/FVG zone, if it holds as support)
Targets:
T1: 25,240 (immediate resistance on 15M)
T2: 25,300 (psychological level)
T3: 25,330 - 25,400 (major supply zone - look for signs of reversal or a strong breakout)
Stop Loss: Below 25,050 (below the recent swing low and the FVG area)
Short Scenario (Preferred Bias):
Trigger: A confirmed break and sustained close below 25,100 on the 15M/1H chart.
Entry Zone: 25,120 - 25,150 (retest of the broken support/FVG zone as resistance)
Targets:
T1: 25,000 (psychological support)
T2: 24,900 - 24,950 (major demand zone)
T3: 24,800 (lower support if major demand fails)
Stop Loss: Above 25,200 (above the recent swing high and the FVG fill area)
Summary for September 18th:
Below 25,330: Look for shorts with targets towards 25,100 and then 24,900 - 24,950.
Above 25,330: If Nifty can decisively break and hold above 25,330, longs could be considered, but with extreme caution and tight stops, targeting 25,400 and then looking for signs of exhaustion.
Expect volatility around the open. It is best to wait for the 15M structure confirmation after the market opens to gauge the true direction, especially given the confluence of resistance and channel boundary.
Campus Activewear LtdCAMPUS - The stock has broken out upward from its falling channel, which suggests an end to the bearish trend and a potential shift to bullish momentum. Following this breakout, the price is now moving within an upward-sloping channel, indicating a gradual bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows.
Recent candle patterns indicate increased buying pressure after the price reached the lower channel support, a positive sign. Additionally, the recent consolidation near 275 before bouncing upward resembles a small symmetrical triangle breakout, further supporting the bullish outlook.
Given these observations, consider a buying opportunity above 285, with potential targets at 305 and 335.
BANKNIFTY Levels for Today
Here are the BANKNIFTY’s Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both.
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
L.G. Balakrishnan & Bros Ltd. (LGBBROSLTD) - Long term VCP
📊 **Trade Setup – LGBBROSLTD (Monthly Chart)**
✅ **Chart Structure**
* Price is trading at **₹1377.70**, showing strong bullish momentum (+8.37% this month).
* Holding above **Fibonacci 0.786 retracement (₹1154)** indicates strong support.
* Price is attempting to retest the **previous swing high zone near ₹1429**.
🎯 **Upside Levels (Fibonacci Extensions)**
* Next resistance zone: **₹1429 (Fib 1.0)**
* Target 1: **₹1600+** (previous swing top)
* Target 2: **₹2222 (Fib 1.618 extension)**
🛡 **Downside Risk Management**
* Strong support: **₹1154 (Fib 0.786)**
* Swing low support: **₹1240 – ₹1250** zone
* Stop-loss for positional swing: **₹1150 (monthly close basis)**
📌 **Trade Plan (Positional)**
* **Entry:** CMP ₹1377 or on dips near ₹1300–1320
* **Stop-loss:** ₹1150 (closing basis)
* **Targets:** ₹1600 / ₹1800 / ₹2220
📈 **View:** Bullish above ₹1300; momentum likely to continue as long as it sustains above Fib 0.786 support.
Will 25350 act as a RESISTANCE !? EXPLAINED!!As we can see NIFTY has shown unidirectional upmove as expected and analysed in our previous multiple posts but now it can be seen closing at very crucial area which is 25350 zone. As discussed earlier there is a pending GAP which was yet to be filled has finally been achieved but can show rejection as these zones has multiple unfilled orders of big volumes hence we can expect NIFTY to reject at this zone until it forms some kind of flag-pole pattern for bigger break towards 25500. so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
At Support - Weekly Chart - TECHM📊 Script: TECHM
📊 Industry: IT - Software (Computers - Software & Consulting)
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈On Weekly Chart Script is forming symmetrical triangle and trading near support line.
📈 Script is trading at upper band of BB.
📈 MACD and Double Moving Averages are giving Crossover
📈 Right now RSI is around 58.
📈 One can go for Swing Trade.
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 1547
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 1612 / 1655
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 1499
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
Sensex expiry Analysis - Daily ChartSensex expiry analysis for tomorrow. On daily time frame we completed 1 W shape pattern and there are still 2 levels left at 83080, 83480, 83840. We need to wait for the resistance to break after a retest so we can see good premium spikes. It will not be so easy on expiry, SL hunting will happens few times with big candles then continuation can happen. Have patience and wait till the resistance is broken. Will be updating levels as the day progresses.
EURO/USDDealing Range & Discount Zone: Price is in the lower half of the recent range, where buyers may step in.
FVG (Fair Value Gap): Market may retrace to fill imbalance before moving higher.
Bullish Order Block: Strong demand area below, likely to support price if tested.
Trendline: Price is compressing under a descending trendline.
Scenarios:
Break above trendline → bullish continuation.
Small dip to order block → reversal upward.
👉 Overall bias: Bullish, with retracement possible before upside move.
Bearish View On Jio Financial Services
## What is Jio Financial Services
* Part of Reliance Industries. It was demerged in 2023 from RIL’s financial services arm. ( )
* It is registered as an **NBFC-ND-SI** (Non-Deposit Taking, Systemically Important). ( )
* Also got approvals/structure to operate as a **Core Investment Company (CIC)**. ( )
---
## Key Business Verticals / Subsidiaries & Offerings
JFSL operates through multiple verticals. Main ones are:
| Vertical | What they do |
| ------------------------------------------------------ | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| **Lending & Financing** (via Jio Finance / Jio Credit) | Personal loans, unsecured & secured loans (e.g. loans against mutual funds/securities, device/consumer durable financing, supply chain finance, leasing etc.). ( ) |
| **Payments / Digital Banking** | Jio Payments Bank (has CASA accounts, wallet services etc.), also merchant acquiring, POS/UPI etc. ( ) |
| **Payment Aggregation** | Subsidiary Jio Payment Solutions got license to operate as an online payment aggregator. ( ) |
| **Insurance Broking / Embedded Insurance** | Distributing life, health, motor or general insurance policies, via broking. Embedded in other services/platforms. ( ) |
| **Asset / Wealth Management** | Joint venture with BlackRock (JioBlackRock) for mutual funds / investment advisory etc. |
---
## Revenue Streams
JFSL has multiple sources of revenue. Some of the big ones:
1. **Interest income**
From its lending / financing arms — interest charged on loans etc. This is a major income stream.
2. **Fees, Commissions and Service Income**
From insurance broking, payment aggregator fees, merchant fees, wealth management fees etc.
3. **Asset Under Management (AUM) growth**
JV with BlackRock etc. As more funds come in, more revenue from fund management / advisory / wealth services.
4. **Deposits / CASA / Wallet / Payments Bank**
The Payments Bank side gives access to customer deposits, transaction volumes, small scale float etc., which help both in revenue and in feeding other verticals.
5. **Other financial instruments / capital markets / bond issue**
E.g. its subsidiary raising bonds etc.
---
## Key Strengths / Competitive Advantages
* **Strong parent & ecosystem**: Backed by Reliance & Jio. Big reach, infrastructure, customer base. Allows cross-selling, embedding finance into telecom / retail etc.
* **Digital first approach**: App platforms, digital origination, use of technology, alternate data. Lower friction, lower costs.
* **Regulatory traction / licenses**: Getting necessary approvals (payment aggregator, payments bank, NBFC etc.
* **Diversity & synergy across verticals**: Lending, payments, insurance, wealth — this gives multiple touch points with customers; can cross-sell.
* **Brand trust and scale**: Jio / Reliance already very large, so new financial services get benefit.
---
## Costs, Risks, Challenges
* **Capital cost & funding**: Lending requires capital; must manage cost of funds, credit risk, NPAs etc.
* **Regulation & compliance**: Financial services is heavily regulated. Licensing, oversight, risk controls.
* **Competition**: Existing banks, NBFCs, fintechs are well entrenched. JFSL needs to differentiate.
* **Customer acquisition & trust in finance**: For financial services, trust, safety, privacy very important. Mistakes hurt more than in telecom.
* **Technology risk / cyber risk**: Given it's digital-first, needs robust cyber security and data protection.
* **Profitability in non-lending verticals**: Some verticals (insurance, wealth) may have lower margins / higher risk.
---
## Financial & Growth Metrics (Recent)
* In Q1 FY26, revenue from operations rose \~47% YoY to **₹612 crore**. ( )
* Profit after tax (PAT) was \~ **₹325 crore** for same quarter. ( )
* **AUM** for lending / financing (Jio Credit) \~ ₹11,665 crore as of June 30, 2025. ( )
* AUM of JioBlackRock crossed \~ **₹17,800 crore**. ( )
---
## How They Put It All Together – The Model
Putting the pieces together, JFSL is trying to build a **financial super-app / platform** embedded in the larger Reliance / Jio / Retail ecosystem. Key features:
* Use Reliance / Jio / Retail channels to distribute finance / payments / investment products.
* Borrow or attract capital to fund lending, while earning interest, fees.
* Leverage tech + data to reduce costs, assess risk better.
* Cross-sell across verticals; e.g. a retail customer who uses Jio telecom, then payments, then device financing, then insurance etc.
* Use digital platforms to scale quickly without proportionate cost rise.
Classic Example of Expanding Ending diagonal ( Maga Phone) The visual representation suggest the Pattern have already completed its Move
some call it Expanding Ending diagonal OR Maga Phone Ending Sequence
Based on my Experience let the flag pattern complete marked in white lines
crack of flag will result momentum below the Maga Phone Cannel line
This is education content Only
Good luck
Breakout Stock For Swing Trading Banco india is a very good stock in his secret. It's given breakout with high volume.
It's looking good for Swing trading tgt 5 -8%
SL 5% . then Trail SL.
It's given good breakout.
You can Visit my Tradingview Profile for more information.
Consult your financial advisor before making any position in stock market.
Why Most Traders Stay Average: The Comfort Trap[ Most traders treat moving averages like magic buy/sell buttons.
That’s not how professionals think .
A moving average is a map of trend + structure, not a trading signal.
❌ The Retail Mistake
Buying when price crosses above
Selling when price crosses below.
Blindly trusting “golden cross” or “death cross.”
👉 Result: Whipsaws, fake entries, frustration.
✅ The Pro Mindset
Trend filter: Are we in uptrend (above MA), downtrend (below MA), or chop (whipsaw around MA)?
Dynamic support/resistance: Does price respect the MA and bounce, or reject and break?
Mean reversion tool: If price stretches too far from the MA, expect it to snap back.
📊 In this NIFTY 50 chart:
April–June → Price rode the 50MA upward (dynamic support).
July–Aug → Price broke below → MA flipped into resistance.
Now → Price reclaiming above → shows buyers regaining control.
🎯 How You Can Use This
Use a 20/50/200 MA to filter trend → trade in the direction of bias.
Use MAs as areas of interest, not entry triggers. Wait for price reaction.
Don’t predict → let context confirm.
👉 Moving averages don’t predict. They contextualize.
Stop asking them for signals. Start using them as maps.
💡 Save this. Follow for daily trader mindset + real education — no fluff.
GRSE Price Action — Demand Zone & Nonlinear Base BreakoutThis TradingView chart presents the price action of GRSE, highlighting a demand zone and PRZ confluence area where the price reacted strongly before advancing to a Nonlinear Base resistance. The chart features a bullish breakout above key moving averages and trendlines, supported by volume and EPS growth data. Technical overlays include harmonic pattern completion, multi-timeframe support, and a clear visual of recent momentum shift, making this setup ideal for swing traders seeking confirmation in price-volume synergy and fundamental strength.
Gold Demand Zone Holding – Upside Potential Toward 3710!Gold is currently testing a demand zone around 3640–3650 , which aligns well with moving average support. As long as this zone holds, price action favors a potential bounce toward the falling trendline and eventually the key resistance area near 3710 . Short-term buyers may look for confirmation inside the demand zone before positioning, while a breakdown below 3614 would invalidate this setup.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Trade With My NeoWave Charts Hello Everyone
This is an educational post in which i will describe how to read and trade with my wave Charts.
So first lets start by seeing a wave Chart.
First you will be seeing a S1 series called Short Term Trend.
Than a group of S1 is denoted by M1 series called Medium Term Trend.
Than a group of M series is marked by L series called Long term trend.
All this means is that smaller trend makes a bigger trend and than more bigger trend and than more.
This is how a wave structure become.
All these Short, medium and long term trend are called Degree.
You can think of them as a car gear like bigger the gear greater the speed of price and consolidation.
In my charts i used total 10 gears but i am showing you 9 degree.
See the below 3 images.
Degree List 1
Degree List 2
Degree List 3
Now there are few more things left-
Like you will be seeing some coding with C keywod like MC1,LC1, and a,AA,BB.
These are consolidation or correction counting.
Mean after a rally market rest or consolidate before resume another rally. We represent these consolidation period with LC1,AA,BB Like this.
If you have any query, you can ask me in comments sections.
Thank You