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Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – Week 2 of January 1. Momentum Analysis Weekly (W1) Weekly momentum is clearly turning bearish, therefore the medium-term primary trend remains bearish. Daily (D1) Daily momentum is preparing to reverse to the upside, which suggests that a corrective bullish move lasting at least several days is likely during this week. H4 H4 momentum is currently bearish; however, this signal was confirmed by the Friday close. Due to weekend market closure and geopolitical risks (US – Venezuela tensions), we will wait for Monday’s market open to observe price behavior before taking action. 2. Elliott Wave Structure Weekly Structure (W1) The strong bearish weekly close, combined with confirmed bearish reversal of W1 momentum, provides additional confirmation that purple wave Y of yellow wave 4 is forming. 👉 Target zones for purple wave Y: - First target: 4072 - Second target: 3761 Daily Structure (D1) The sharp decline from the 4549 area may have completed wave 1 or wave A of the purple wave Y structure. Since D1 momentum is preparing to turn bullish, the market is likely to experience a corrective rebound forming wave 2 or wave B over the next few days. ⚠️ Important invalidation: If D1 momentum reaches the overbought zone and reverses, while price breaks above 4549, then this Elliott Wave count will no longer be valid and must be reassessed. H4 Structure On H4, I am expecting a corrective bullish ABC structure (red) to develop. - Price is currently trading inside a high-liquidity zone at 4317 – 4348, which is considered a strong support area. This is where red wave B is expected to complete. - After that, red wave C is projected to rise toward the upper liquidity zone, specifically around 4471, to complete the ABC correction before the primary bearish trend resumes. Key resistance zones: - 4445 + 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the prior decline + Confluence where red wave C equals red wave A → This will be the first Sell-scouting zone. - 4471 + Boundary between high and low liquidity zones → This is the secondary Sell-scouting zone in our trading plan. 3. Trading Plan Sell Scenario 1 Sell Zone: 4444 – 4446 Stop Loss: 4455 TP1: 4405 TP2: 4348 TP3: 4072 Sell Scenario 2 Sell Zone: 4470 – 4472 Stop Loss: 4490 TP1: 4405 TP2: 4348 TP3: 4072
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Nifty strategy for next week Nifty has had moved between 25900 to 26300 from couple of weeks with decent volumes but it posted higher highs on weekly and daily charts it suggests breakout may occured in the nifty in upcoming week but it should be closed above 26390 levels on daily charts. If nifty closed above 26400 levels the nifty may reached upto 26900 levels in coming days. Nifty may move in positive direction based on budget expectations in the coming days. Nifty strategy to coming week Short nifty@26350 Buy one 26350ce Disclaimer :I am not a Sebi research analyst please take an advise from your financial advisor before investing based on my strategies which are provided by me on this platform Thanking you for supporting me
NSE:NIFTY
by viswanath_ktc
WAITING FOR LONG TRADE ON TCS.TCS is showing signs of strength after consolidating near key support levels, with positive volume buildup and a potential breakout above recent highs. The stock looks poised for an upside move in the near term, supported by improving IT sector sentiment and strong fundamentals. Trade Idea (Long):Entry: Around 3155 (or slightly below current levels for better risk-reward if it dips) Stop Loss: 3078 (below recent swing low to protect against downside) Target: 3356 (next major resistance, offering ~6-7% upside from entry) Risk-Reward: ~1:2.6 (Risk ~77 points, Reward ~201 points) Note: This is my personal view based on technical analysis. Trading involves risk – always use proper risk management, position sizing, and do your own research. Not financial advice.Feel free to tweak it if needed! Good luck with the post.
NSE:TCS
by amarbajaj13
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES? - Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day - Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade - SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall Resistance Breakout in MMFL BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
NSE:MMFL
by Kapil-Mittal
2
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES? - Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day - Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade - SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall Trendline Breakout in INFOBEAN BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
NSE:INFOBEAN
by Kapil-Mittal
2
SMC Global Securities (W) - Aggressive BullishTimeframe: Weekly | Scale: Logarithmic The stock has confirmed a major structural breakout from a 7-month consolidation phase. The move is supported by the highest weekly volume in months and strong fundamental tailwinds, signaling the start of a new markup phase. 🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why") The breakout is fueled by a convergence of events: > Earnings Turnaround: The market is pricing in strong Q3 FY26 numbers. > Aggressive AUM Targets: Management has set a target to nearly double its Mutual Fund AUM to ₹8,000 Cr within a year. This shift towards "recurring revenue" (Wealth Management) commands a higher P/E multiple than traditional broking. 📈 2. The Chart Structure (The Box Breakout) > The Consolidation: A sideways trend. - Context: This consolidation (₹49–₹90) was effectively the market digesting the 1:1 Bonus Issue from late 2025. - Resistance: The ₹90–₹91 level was the "Lid." The stock tested this multiple times in Dec 2025 but failed to close above it until now. > The Breakout: This week's close at ₹92.06 (with a high of ₹94.90) confirms the range shift. - Significance: Breaking a post-bonus consolidation usually leads to a swift 15-20% rally as liquidity improves. 📊 3. Volume & Indicators > Volume Ignition: The 18.26 Million weekly volume is an "Ignition Bar." It confirms that institutions are entering to capture the pre-budget rally. > RSI: Rising in Monthly & Weekly timeframes. The Weekly RSI breaking above 60 is a classic "Range Shift" signal, indicating momentum is now in the driver's seat. 🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels The stock is now in "Price Discovery" mode. > 🐂 Bullish Targets (The Extension): - Target 1: ₹105 . - Target 2: ₹130 . > 🛡️ Support (The "Must Hold"): - Immediate Support: ₹88 – ₹90 . The breakout zone must now act as a floor (Polarity Principle). - Stop Loss: A weekly close below ₹82 would invalidate the bullish view and trap new buyers. Conclusion This is a Grade A Setup . > Refinement: The "Sideways Trend" was actually a "Base Building" phase. > Strategy: The breakout is confirmed. Use any intraday dip to ₹90 to enter/add. The risk-reward ratio targeting ₹130 is highly favorable.
NSE:SMCGLOBALLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
XAUUSD ANALYST H1Short term vision for #Gold (#XAUUSD) 🇺🇸 on the 1-Hour Timeframe Strong Selling Pressure 🔻 It is clear that the pair is close to completing a triangle pattern, which represents a connecting wave labeled as wave X. Only wave (E) remains to be completed, along with a break of a key level to confirm the bearish wave Y, within a larger-degree triangle pattern 🔽. Factors supporting the bearish outlook: A bearish structure composed of a three-wave movement forming wave W. The formation of a continuation triangle pattern in line with the prior trend, representing wave X. 🧐 A break of the key level for this correction supports a bearish move toward 4130.732. 📊 After that, a bullish recovery is expected, at least in an ABC corrective pattern.
FXPRO:XAUUSD
by Santosh_Sisodiya_7477297999
BTCUSDT – Elliott Wave Completion → Short Sell SetupPrice action on BTCUSDT appears to be completing a 5-wave Elliott impulse structure inside a rising wedge / channel. Waves (1)–(5) are clearly respected, with Wave (5) now testing a major trendline resistance zone around 91,800–92,000. Momentum indicators are showing loss of strength near the top, suggesting Wave (5) exhaustion. As per Elliott Wave theory, after a completed 5-wave move, a corrective ABC structure is expected. Trade Idea: Bias: Short / Sell Sell Zone: 92000 – 92,200 Invalidation (SL): Above 92,600 (Wave 5 extension failure) Targets: TP1: 90,000 TP2: 88,700 TP3: 87,400 (major demand & channel support) A breakdown from the upper trendline should accelerate downside pressure toward the lower channel support, aligning with a larger corrective move.
Short
by Dinesh_Kryptonian
Nifty Move Prediction📈 Upside Targets (Wave-5 completion) 🎯 Primary Target Zone 26,600 – 26,750 🎯 Stretch Target (only if momentum expands) 26,900 – 27,000 📌 Do not expect strong follow-through above this zone. 🛑 Stop-Loss Levels 🔵 If you are in BUY: Hard SL: 26,150 Aggressive SL: 26,220 (below Wave-4) 🔥 High-Probability Trade Setup (Best Risk-Reward) 🚨 Sell Setup (Preferred) Trigger: Breakdown below 26,220 OR clear rejection near 26,700 Targets (Downside): T1: 26,050 T2: 25,850 T3: 25,600 (wedge base) SL for Shorts: Above 26,780 🧩 Options Perspective Near top → avoid fresh CE buys Prefer: Bear Call Spread Put Debit Spread Or ATM PE after breakdown confirmation
NSE:NIFTYLong
by peddollakishore
MMFL: Stage 1 to Stage 2 Breakout SetupThe Core Thesis: Change of Character (Weinstein Stage 1 Breakout) After a prolonged period of underperformance and sideways consolidation (the "Stage 1 Base"), MMFL has shown a clear Change of Character. The stock is emerging from its long-term accumulation zone, supported by a significant "volume shocker" session that signals the start of institutional accumulation. Technical Analysis & Breakout Factors Stage 1 Accumulation Breakout: The stock spent months in a neutral range between ₹350 and ₹370. The recent move above ₹390 marks a clean breakout from this base, potentially initiating the Stage 2 Advancing Phase. Moving Average Alignment: MMFL is now trading above all key Simple Moving Averages (SMAs), including the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day lines. Weinstein’s strategy emphasizes price holding above a rising 30-week (or 150/200-day) moving average for a confirmed Stage 2 move. Relative Strength (RS) Positive: While the stock was down -14.2% over the last year, its 1-week return (+10.2%) and 1-month return (+16.6%) show a powerful reversal in relative strength against the broader market. Volume Confirmation: On the breakout day , the stock traded 1.09 million shares, which is more than 4x the weekly average volume of 2.62 lakh shares. This "volume spike" is a mandatory requirement for a valid Weinstein breakout. Fundamentals: Management has guided for a "breakout year" in FY27, with the commissioning of a new 16,500-ton press expected to add ₹300 crore to the annual turnover. Trade Recommendation: Long Position (Early Stage 2) Action: BUY (Long Entry) Entry Trigger: Daily Close above ₹401.00 (Confirmation of the recent intraday high and clear distance from the base). Target 1 (T1): ₹430.00 (Immediate consensus analyst target). Target 2 (T2): ₹475.00 – ₹485.00 (Testing the 52-week high resistance zone). Stop-Loss (SL): ₹358.00 (Placed strictly below the first support zone and the recent base floor). Risk/Reward Ratio (R:R): Approx. 1:2.3 (Risking ~₹36 to gain ~₹85). Key Takeaway for Traders MMFL has transitioned from a boring, sideways "Basing Area" to an active "Advancing Phase". The combination of a massive volume surge and a break above key moving averages suggests the start of a multi-month trend. Ensure the stock stays above its 30-week MA (approx. ₹360 zone) to maintain the bullish thesis. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research before trading.
NSE:MMFLLong
by Sudhi4488
Bajaj Housing Finance Limited Trade Information Traded Volume (Lakhs) 59.51 Traded Value (₹ Cr.) 57.27 Total Market Cap (₹ Cr.) 80,457.02 Free Float Market Cap (₹ Cr.) 9,016.98 Impact cost 0.04 Face Value 10.00 Applicable Margin Rate Price Information 52 Week High (24-Apr-2025) 136.96 52 Week Low (09-Dec-2025) 92.10 Upper Band 106.28 Lower Band 86.96 Price Band (%) 10 Tick Size 0.01 Daily Volatility 1.50 Annualised Volatility 28.66 Securities Information Status Listed Trading Status Active Symbol P/E 35.38 Adjusted P/E 35.38 Date of Listing 16-Sep-2024 Index NIFTY NEXT 50 Basic Industry Housing Finance Company 12.94 % of Deliverable / Traded Quantity 61.21%
NSE:BAJAJHFL
by nirajbaba520
HERO MOTOCORP: High-Momentum Base & Breakout SetupThe stock is exhibiting a "Buy on Dips" profile within a strong Stage 2 Uptrend. After a significant upmove, it formed a sideways consolidation (a "flat base" or "pennant") to digest gains before resuming its upward trajectory. The recent bounce from the 10-period Moving Average (MA) confirms that short-term demand remains aggressive. Technical Analysis & Breakout Factors Base and Breakout Pattern: The stock has formed a tight consolidation range after hitting its peak. A decisive move above the ₹6,030 resistance marks the start of a fresh breakout leg. Moving Average Alignment: HEROMOTOCO is trading above ALL key moving averages (5, 10, 20, 50, 100, and 200-day SMAs). The 10 MA and 20 MA are acting as immediate dynamic support, currently hovering around the ₹5,770 – ₹5,900 zone. Relative Strength (RS): Positive. 10 MA Bounce: The price recently touched the 10 MA and responded with a strong bullish candle, signaling that buyers are stepping in at higher levels to defend the trend. Volume Confirmation: On the breakout day , the stock saw robust trading volume. Trade Recommendation: Long Position (Momentum Breakout) Action: BUY (Long Entry) Entry Trigger: Daily Close above ₹6,030 (Confirmed break of the intraday high/resistance). Target 1 (T1): ₹6,330 (Prior all-time high resistance zone). Target 2 (T2): ₹6,500 – ₹6,650 (Brokerage target price based on expected volume growth in FY26). Stop-Loss (SL): ₹5,770 (Strict SL below the 20-day SMA and recent pivot low). Risk/Reward Ratio (R:R): Approx. 1:1.9 (Risking ~₹260 to gain ~₹500+). Key Takeaway for Traders Hero MotoCorp is a market leader benefiting from a recovery in rural demand and strategic global expansion. The technical setup; a base breakout with a 10 MA support bounce, is a classic momentum trigger. Monitor delivery volumes to ensure long-term holders are joining the move. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please perform your own research or consult a financial advisor before trading.
NSE:HEROMOTOCOLong
by Sudhi4488
XAUUSD (H4) – Monday StrategyGeopolitical shock risk, gold may spike | Trade liquidity and reaction zones only Quick summary News around Trump’s claim that Maduro has been detained, plus Venezuela’s response (they don’t know his and his wife’s whereabouts and are demanding proof of life), raises geopolitical uncertainty sharply. For gold, that’s a classic catalyst for a gap/spike at Monday open. So my rule for Monday: no FOMO, only trade liquidity zones and confirmed reactions on the chart. 1) Macro context: Why gold can surge on Monday Rising geopolitical tension often drives flows into safe-haven assets like gold. When facts are unclear and tensions escalate, the market can open with: ✅ sharp spikes, ✅ liquidity sweeps, ✅ wider spreads. ➡️ Best approach: wait for price to hit levels, then trade the reaction — not the headline. 2) Technical view (H4 – based on your chart) Gold is currently moving inside a larger structure after a heavy move, and your chart highlights the key zones clearly: Key zones Sell test support 4450 (pullback area where price may get sold) Liquidity 4330 (major liquidity magnet) OB 4309 (order block / short-term reaction zone) Support 4277 (intermediate support) Buy zone 4203–4206 (deep support / swing buy area) 3) Monday trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) Scenario A (priority): Spike up → SELL around 4450 ✅ If gold pumps on the headline at the open: Sell around 4450 (sell-test zone) SL: above the most recent swing high (refine on lower TF) TP1: 4330 TP2: 4309 TP3: 4277 Logic: Headline-driven opens often spike to sweep buy-side liquidity first, then rotate back into value/liquidity. Scenario B: Sweep down → BUY at liquidity zones ✅ If price gets pulled down first: Buy around 4330 (Liquidity) Buy confirmation at 4309 (OB) SL (guide): below 4300 TP: 4380 → 4450 (scale out) Logic: 4330 is a major liquidity magnet and often produces a sharp reaction bounce. Scenario C (worst-case dump): BUY the deep support 4203–4206 ✅ If volatility is extreme and price flushes: Buy: 4203 – 4206 SL: 4195 TP: 4277 → 4330 Logic: This is a deep swing-buy area if the market does a hard liquidity reset. 4) Key notes for a headline-driven Monday open Avoid trading the first 5–10 minutes if spreads widen. Only enter once price hits the level and shows a clear reaction (rejection / engulf / MSS on M15). Reduce size — geopolitical opens can whip hard. Do you think Monday’s move sweeps up into 4450 first, or drops straight into 4330 liquidity?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
BTC PredictionI’ll analyze what your BTCUSD (Daily) chart is showing and what to expect next, based strictly on the structure you marked (A-B-C-D + wedge/triangle). 🔍 What the chart is telling 1️⃣ Market structure Strong downtrend from ~115k → 90k (below 50 & 200 EMA). Price is now consolidating inside a descending / contracting triangle (wedge). You’ve marked a harmonic-like ABCD corrective structure after the impulse drop. This is not accumulation yet — it’s a bearish continuation setup unless proven otherwise. 2️⃣ EMA & Trend context Price below 50 EMA (yellow) & 200 EMA (black) → bearish bias EMAs are sloping down, acting as dynamic resistance Repeated rejection near 92k–93k zone ➡️ Trend is still DOWN. 3️⃣ Triangle / Wedge interpretation Lower highs + slightly higher lows Volume contraction (implied) This pattern usually resolves in the direction of the prior trend 📌 Prior trend = DOWN, so breakdown probability is higher 🎯 Key Levels to Watch Resistance (very important) 92,800 – 93,200 → strong supply + EMA resistance 99,900 – 100,000 → major trendline resistance (unlikely without breakout) Support 90,500 – 91,000 → current support (make-or-break zone) 85,000 78,000 – 76,000 71,600 (major weekly support) 📉 Most Probable Scenarios 🔴 Scenario 1: Bearish Breakdown (HIGH probability) If daily candle closes below 90,500: Target 1: 85,000 Target 2: 78,000 Target 3: 71,600 This matches your green downside projection box ✔️ 🟢 Scenario 2: Bullish Invalidity (LOW probability) Only if: Daily close above 93,500 Then reclaim 95,000 And finally break 100,000 with volume Until then → all upside is just a pullback 🧠 Smart Trading Advice (very important) ❌ Avoid long positions inside the triangle ✅ Trade breakout or breakdown only For investors: wait near 78k–72k zone for accumulation Risk is still high 🧾 Summary Structure: Bearish continuation Pattern: Descending triangle / corrective ABCD Bias: Down Expectation: Breakdown before any major rally
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by peddollakishore
MarketOmorph — Weekly Structural Update - Silver (XAGUSD)Silver remains in a volatile consolidation phase after a sharp advance. While price swings have expanded, the internal structure continues to show overlap rather than impulsive continuation or reversal. Volatility alone does not confirm trend resolution. The higher-degree structure remains intact, and the market is still digesting prior strength. Patience is required until structure provides confirmation. 🔗 Yearly structural context: MarketOmorph — Structural reference only | Educational #MarketOmorph #Silver #XAGUSD #MarketStructure #StructuralAnalysis
OANDA:XAGUSD
by kacraj
MarketOmorph — Weekly Structural Update - Gold (XAUUSD)Gold continues to trade in alignment with its higher-timeframe structure. Following a strong advance, price action has shifted into a consolidation phase dominated by overlap and reduced momentum. Recent volatility reflects time-based digestion rather than impulsive trend reversal. No cycle-degree structural damage is visible at this stage. As long as the broader structure remains intact, current behavior should be viewed as consolidation within a larger trend, not confirmation of a new directional leg. 🔗 Yearly structural context: MarketOmorph — Structural reference only | Educational #MarketOmorph #Gold #XAUUSD #MarketStructure #StructuralAnalysis
OANDA:XAUUSD
by kacraj
NIFTY Analysis for 05th JAN 2026: IntraSwing Spot levels💥 NIFTY Analysis for 05th JAN 2026: IntraSwing Spot levels 💥 🚀Follow GIFTNIFTY Post for NF levels 💥Level Interpretation / description: L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias. L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above. L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias. L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone, *** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature) Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart Color code Used: Green =. Positive bias. Red =. Negative bias. RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change / CYCLE Change and Vice Versa. Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working. Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser. Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research. "As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's". Do comment if Helpful . Do Comment for In depth Analysis. ❇️ Follow notification about periodical View 💥 Do Comment for Stock WEEKLY Level Analysis.🚀
NSE:NIFTY
by DSKF16