Get started

Community ideas

XAUUSD Smart Money Levels: Demand 4312, Supply 4436XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (05/01) Market Context Gold remains structurally bullish on higher timeframes, yet short-term price action shows pullback pressure after premium liquidity was elected near 4440. As markets brace for ongoing USD direction from macro catalysts (Fed commentary, U.S. jobs data, Treasury yields), institutional participation is oscillating between liquidity hunts and controlled re-accumulation. Global risk sentiment and safe-haven bids are intensifying as traders weigh inflation trajectory with central bank pivot expectations — leading Gold to exhibit rotational distribution behavior rather than clean continuation. Controlled swings and sweep-driven moves dominate price progression. This environment favors engineered liquidity access and inducement, not blind breakout chasing. Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Higher-timeframe bullish bias with short-term corrective displacement. Key Idea: Expect structural engagement near HTF demand (~4312–4314) or internal supply liquidity (~4434–4436) before meaningful displacement sequences. Structural Notes: • HTF bullish structure remains intact • Recent CHoCH confirms corrective leg • Buy-side liquidity above recent highs is targeted • Supply cluster near 4436 acts as engineered lure • Demand confluence aligns with institutional accumulation Liquidity Zones & Triggers • BUY GOLD 4314 – 4312 | SL 4304 • SELL GOLD 4434 – 4436 | SL 4444 Institutional Flow Expectation Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → internal supply retest → expansion Execution Rules BUY GOLD 4314 – 4312 | SL 4304 Rules: ✔ Liquidity sweep into HTF demand ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirmation on M5–M30 ✔ Clear upside BOS with impulse candles ✔ Entry via refined demand OB or FVG fill Targets: • 4370 — initial displacement • 4410 — internal supply test • 4440+ — extended run if USD weakens SELL GOLD 4434 – 4436 | SL 4444 Rules: ✔ Reaction into internal supply cluster ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH confluence ✔ Downside BOS with momentum shift ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or supply OB Targets: • 4390 — first discount zone • 4350 — deeper pullback • 4314 — HTF demand scan Risk Notes • False breaks favored near thin Asian session volume • Macro catalysts (U.S. data, Fed speakers) may spike volatility • Avoid entries without MSS + BOS confirmations • Stops triggered by engineered liquidity hunts Summary Gold remains structurally bullish, but today’s edge lies in disciplined entries and liquidity awareness: • A sweep into 4312–4314 may reload longs with targets up to 4410–4440, or • A reaction near 4434–4436 provides a fade opportunity back into discount. Let liquidity initiate the move. Let structure confirm. Smart Money sets traps — retail chases them. Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
1
URBANCO 1 Day Time Frame 📌 Current Price Context (latest available) 1. Last known closing price was ≈ ₹132.70 (recent daily close). 2. Intraday high around ₹135.50 and low around ₹130.84 recently. 📊 Daily Pivot & Levels (Approx, based on latest pivot calculation) (These are calculated from previous day’s high‑low‑close and are used for intraday/daily bias and key levels) 🔁 Daily Pivot Central Pivot (CP) ≈ ₹136.43 📈 Resistance Levels R1 ≈ ₹141.34 R2 ≈ ₹144.41 R3 ≈ ₹149.32 📉 Support Levels S1 ≈ ₹133.36 S2 ≈ ₹128.45 – ₹128.45 S3 ≈ ₹125.38 Summary for Daily Chart Bias Above pivot ~₹136–137 = mildly bullish bias today. Below pivot ~₹136–137 = bearish/more selling pressure. 🟡 Intraday Trading Bias (1D) ✔ Bullish if price sustains above ~₹136–137 (pivot) — look for R1/R2/R3 plays. ✔ Bearish if below pivot — support tests at ~₹133 then ~₹128.
NSE:URBANCOLong
by Knowledgehub
Buy idea in CholafinAn ascending triangle pattern has been formed which is a bullish continuation pattern in technical analysis, characterized by a flat, horizontal resistance line at the top and a rising trendline connecting higher lows at the bottom. It indicates that buyers are becoming more aggressive, pushing the price higher with each dip, while sellers are unable to push the price below a specific resistance level. The pattern suggests that buyers will eventually break through the resistance, leading to a bullish breakout. RSI on D+W+M is above 60 and on monthly it has taken support on again started the rally upto the price of 2300
NSE:CHOLAFINLong
by Krishnareds
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES? - Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day - Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade - SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall Trendline Breakout in INDIACEM BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
NSE:INDIACEM
by Kapil-Mittal
2
Nifty Analysis for Jan 06, 2026Wrap up:- As updated earlier, Nifty has fallen before achieving 26421 so it is not a Ending diagonal formation in wave c. It is an impulse wave with wave 1 at 26057, wave 2 at 25878, wave 3 at 26373 and wave 4 is expected to be completed in the range of 26212-26113. Thereafter, heading towards wave 5. Buy Nifty @26212-26113 sl 26113 (75 min./1 hr candle closing basis) for a target of 26630-26890. Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice. "Don't predict the market. Decode them."
NSE:NIFTYLong
by ChartMasteryHQ
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis JENUARY 5Hello It's a Bitcoin Guide. If you "follow" You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections. If my analysis was helpful, Please click the booster button at the bottom. This is a Bitcoin 30-minute chart. There will be a Nasdaq indicator release at 12:00 PM shortly. *If the red finger moves, this is a conditional long position strategy. 1. After touching the first purple finger at the top, switch to a long position at $92,627.5 / stop-loss if the green support line is broken. 2. At the top, $94,642.8 is the first target price at the top -> Good. Second target price. (If the Good level is reached, there is a high possibility of a short-term rise to 104.7K.) Also, if the first target price at the top is touched, a vertical rise may occur immediately. If it fails to touch the first target and immediately falls, wait for a final long position at the second target price at $92,210.9. (If the green support line is broken, the stop-loss price remains the same.) I've also marked a bottom level of $91,462.8. If the price falls below this level, the weekly and daily candlestick lows will be broken, so it may take time for the uptrend to resume. It would be advantageous for a long position to hold until the light blue support line is reached, right? Please use my analysis as a reference only. I hope you operate safely, following the rules and maintaining a stop-loss price. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
HEROMOTOCO – Wave 5 Setup Unfolding After Ideal Wave 4 📘 HERO MOTOCORP – Wave 5 Setup from Textbook Elliott Structure Timeframe: Weekly Structure: Impulsive (1–2–3–4 complete) → Preparing for Wave 5 Type: Positional Swing Setup | Elliott Wave Based 🔍 1. Elliott Wave Structure Breakdown: Wave 1: ₹1,475 to ₹3,629 Wave 2: Retraced to ₹2,146.85 (between 50%–78.6% Fib of Wave 1) Wave 3: Impulse to ₹6,246.25 Wave 4: Currently correcting between 38.2%–61.8% Fib of Wave 3 (₹4,680–₹3,712) ✅ Price found support near ₹3,344, which is just below 61.8% retracement – a common zone for Wave 4 completion. 🟫 2. Wave 4 Support Zone – ₹3,712 to ₹3,344: This zone is acting as a potential reversal base with: Fib retracement confluence: 38.2%–61.8% of Wave 3 Failed breakdown attempts followed by recovery candles CHoCH observed in lower timeframes – suggests momentum shift 🟩 3. Breakout Confirmation Level – ₹4,680: Breaking above ₹4,680–₹4,800 range would confirm Wave 5 activation Indicates structure validation + bullish resumption Close above this zone = strength & momentum breakout 📈 4. Wave 5 Target Projection – ₹6,595 to ₹7,019: Calculated using: 113%–127% Fibonacci extension of Wave 3 Historical rally symmetry from Wave 1 and 3 Target zone offers positional upside potential of ~55%+ 🛑 5. Stop Loss & Invalidation Level: SL Zone: ₹3,344 Sustained breakdown below this invalidates Wave 4 base Can lead to sharp drop toward ₹2,600–2,900 (next Fib cluster) ✅ 6. Trade Plan (Swing): Accumulation Zone: ₹3,700 – ₹4,300 (if support structure holds) Breakout Entry: Close above ₹4,680–4,800 Stop Loss: ₹3,344 Target: ₹6,595–7,019 (Wave 5 zone) 🧠 7. Why This Setup Matters: Elliott Wave Confluence: Clean 1–2–3–4 formation Textbook Fib Behavior: Wave 2 and Wave 4 within ideal retracement ranges Defined R:R Structure: Tight invalidation + 1:2+ reward Momentum Setup: Wave 5 can unfold rapidly once confirmed 📌 Conclusion: HERO MOTOCORP is poised for a potential Wave 5 rally after a well-behaved corrective Wave 4. A breakout above ₹4,680 could trigger bullish continuation toward ₹7,000+. This is a classic trend continuation setup for wave-based swing traders.
NSE:HEROMOTOCOLong
by LiveTradingBox
6
#BITCOIN is compressing inside a falling wedge on the lower time#BITCOIN is compressing inside a falling wedge on the lower timeframe after a strong impulsive move. This structure usually signals pause before expansion, not weakness. Price is respecting both trendlines cleanly, showing balance between buyers and sellers. What matters now is how price exits this range. 🔼 Bullish breakout possibility If CRYPTOCAP:BTC breaks and holds above the upper wedge / 94,200–94,700 zone, momentum can quickly flip bullish again. That would confirm continuation and open the path toward: 94,800 (recent high) 95,300 96,000+ if momentum accelerates Acceptance is key — one candle is not enough. Sustained price above resistance confirms strength. 🔽 Bearish breakdown risk If price loses the 93,400–93,550 support with strong candles and volume, the wedge fails. In that case: Expect a deeper pullback toward 92,900–92,500 Bulls would need to rebuild structure before continuation This is a reaction zone, not a prediction zone. Wait for confirmation, manage risk, and let the market show its hand. Support: 93,400 – 93,550 Resistance: 94,200 – 94,700
Short
by CryptoSatRed
2
Derivatives Hedge RisksDerivatives are powerful financial instruments widely used by corporations, financial institutions, fund managers, and traders to hedge risks arising from uncertainty in prices, interest rates, currencies, and credit conditions. While derivatives are often associated with speculation, their primary economic purpose is risk management. Hedging through derivatives allows market participants to stabilize cash flows, protect balance sheets, and plan future operations with greater certainty. However, hedging itself introduces a unique set of risks that must be clearly understood and managed. This section explores the concept of derivatives hedging, the types of risks hedged, the instruments used, and the inherent risks involved in derivative-based hedging strategies. Understanding Hedging with Derivatives Hedging is the process of taking a position in a derivative instrument to offset potential losses in an underlying exposure. For example, a company exposed to rising fuel prices may use futures contracts to lock in prices, while an exporter exposed to currency fluctuations may use forward contracts to stabilize revenues. The goal of hedging is risk reduction, not profit maximization. Effective hedging smooths earnings, reduces volatility, and protects against adverse market movements. Derivatives commonly used for hedging include futures, forwards, options, and swaps. Each instrument has unique characteristics, payoffs, and risk profiles. Futures and forwards provide linear protection by locking in prices, while options offer asymmetric protection, allowing hedgers to benefit from favorable price movements while limiting downside risk. Swaps are widely used to manage interest rate and currency exposures over longer horizons. Types of Risks Hedged Using Derivatives Derivatives are employed to hedge a wide range of financial risks. Price risk is one of the most common, affecting commodities, equities, and bonds. Commodity producers hedge against falling prices, while consumers hedge against rising prices. Interest rate risk is hedged using interest rate swaps, futures, and options to manage exposure to fluctuating borrowing or lending rates. Currency risk arises from cross-border transactions and is hedged using currency forwards, futures, and options. Credit risk can be partially hedged through credit default swaps (CDS), which transfer the risk of default to another party. By hedging these risks, organizations can focus on their core operations rather than being overly exposed to market volatility. However, eliminating one type of risk often introduces another, making risk assessment critical. Basis Risk in Hedging One of the most significant risks in derivatives hedging is basis risk. Basis risk arises when the derivative used for hedging does not move perfectly in line with the underlying exposure. This mismatch can occur due to differences in contract specifications, maturity dates, locations, or underlying assets. For instance, hedging jet fuel exposure with crude oil futures may not provide perfect protection because jet fuel prices do not always move in tandem with crude oil prices. Basis risk can reduce hedging effectiveness and result in residual losses even when the hedge is properly structured. Managing basis risk requires careful selection of instruments and continuous monitoring of correlations between the hedge and the exposure. Market Risk and Hedge Ineffectiveness While derivatives are designed to mitigate market risk, improper hedge design can amplify losses. Hedge ineffectiveness occurs when the size, timing, or structure of the hedge does not align with the underlying exposure. Over-hedging can lead to losses if market conditions move favorably, while under-hedging leaves the exposure insufficiently protected. Market volatility itself can also impact hedges, particularly when options are used. Changes in volatility affect option premiums and hedge performance. Dynamic hedging strategies, such as delta hedging, require frequent adjustments and can be costly or impractical during periods of extreme market stress. Liquidity Risk in Derivatives Hedging Liquidity risk arises when derivative positions cannot be adjusted, rolled over, or closed without significant cost. Exchange-traded derivatives like futures generally offer high liquidity, but over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives may suffer from limited market depth. During financial crises, liquidity can dry up suddenly, making it difficult to manage hedges effectively. Margin requirements also contribute to liquidity risk. Adverse price movements may trigger margin calls, forcing hedgers to post additional capital at short notice. Even if the hedge is economically sound, insufficient liquidity can force premature unwinding of positions, leading to realized losses. Counterparty Risk In OTC derivatives, counterparty risk is a major concern. This risk arises when the counterparty to a derivative contract fails to fulfill its obligations. If a counterparty defaults during a period of market stress, the hedge may become ineffective precisely when protection is most needed. Although clearinghouses and collateralization have reduced counterparty risk, it has not been eliminated entirely. Managing counterparty risk involves credit assessment, diversification of counterparties, use of central clearing, and regular collateral management. Failure to manage this risk can turn a hedging strategy into a source of financial instability. Operational and Legal Risks Derivatives hedging also involves operational risk, including errors in trade execution, valuation, accounting, and settlement. Complex derivatives require sophisticated systems and skilled personnel. Mistakes in documentation or valuation models can lead to unexpected losses or regulatory issues. Legal risk is another critical aspect. Poorly drafted contracts, unclear terms, or disputes over settlement conditions can undermine hedging strategies. Regulatory changes can also affect the legality, cost, or accounting treatment of derivatives, impacting hedge effectiveness. Accounting and Regulatory Risks Hedge accounting rules are designed to align the accounting treatment of hedges with the underlying exposure. However, failing to meet hedge accounting criteria can result in earnings volatility, even if the hedge is economically effective. This accounting mismatch can discourage firms from using derivatives or lead to suboptimal hedge structures. Regulatory risk has increased significantly since the global financial crisis. Higher capital requirements, reporting obligations, and restrictions on certain derivatives can raise costs and limit flexibility. Firms must balance regulatory compliance with effective risk management. Strategic and Behavioral Risks Finally, hedging decisions are influenced by human judgment, introducing behavioral risk. Overconfidence, poor forecasts, or pressure to reduce costs may result in inadequate or overly aggressive hedging strategies. Some firms may selectively hedge based on market views, blurring the line between hedging and speculation. Strategic risk also arises when hedging policies are not aligned with business objectives. A hedge that protects short-term earnings but limits long-term growth opportunities may not serve the organization’s best interests. Conclusion Derivatives are indispensable tools for hedging financial risks in modern markets. They enable organizations to manage price, interest rate, currency, and credit risks with precision and flexibility. However, derivatives hedging is not risk-free. Basis risk, market risk, liquidity risk, counterparty risk, operational challenges, and regulatory constraints all influence hedge effectiveness. Successful hedging requires a clear understanding of exposures, careful instrument selection, robust risk management frameworks, and disciplined execution. When used prudently, derivatives reduce uncertainty and enhance financial stability; when misused or misunderstood, they can introduce new and potentially severe risks.
NSE:HCLTECHEducation
by TechnicalExpress
NIFTY- Intraday Levels - 8th Jan 2026* Major levels only consider buffer in levels* If NIFTY sustain above 26156/178 above this bullish then around 26273 above this more bullish then 26312/28 then 26328/340 then around 26373 above this wait If NIFTY sustain below 26109/04/26099 below this bearish below this wait more levels marked on chart My view :- "My viewpoint, offered purely for analytical consideration, The trading thesis is: Nifty (bullish tactical approach: buy on dip) This analysis is highly speculative and is not guaranteed to be accurate; therefore, the implementation of stringent risk controls is non-negotiable for mitigating trade risk." Always Consider some buffer points in above levels. Please do your due diligence before trading or investment. **Disclaimer -  I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk. Thank you.
NSE:NIFTY
by PrashantTaralkar