Community ideas
XAUUSD 45-Minute Chart – Strong Uptrend with Overbought MomentumMarket Structure & Trend
XAUUSD is in a clear bullish trend, respecting a rising trendline on the 45-minute timeframe.
Price is making higher highs and higher lows, confirming strong upside momentum.
Recent candles show continuation strength, not a reversal pattern yet.
2. RSI (14)
RSI is around 75.8, firmly in overbought territory.
Multiple bearish divergence labels are visible:
Price makes higher highs
RSI makes lower or flat highs
This suggests bullish momentum is weakening, not that price must immediately fall.
Interpretation:
Overbought + divergence = risk of pullback or consolidation, especially near resistance.
3. Awesome Oscillator (AO)
AO is strongly positive (~88) and rising.
Green histogram dominance confirms bullish momentum is still active.
Slight flattening at the top hints momentum may be peaking.
4. MACD (12,26)
MACD line above signal line → bullish continuation
Histogram is positive but losing expansion, aligning with RSI divergence.
This often precedes pause or shallow correction, not an instant reversal.
5. Price Behavior
Price is still above trendline support
No decisive bearish engulfing or breakdown candle yet
Buyers remain in control, but late buyers face higher risk
Bajaj Electricals💡 Liked the idea?
Then don’t forget to Boost 🚀 it!
Comments are Most Welcome
Volume Spike Followed by Product Addition news >> hints to something better
Trade Setup
CMP 440
add on dips till 400
SL CLB 360/340
Expected Target Between 550 & 750
For more insights & trade ideas,
📲 Visit my profile and hit Follow
Warm regards,
Naresh G
SEBI Registered Research Analyst
💬 Comment below if you want me to analyse any stock for you 🔍
GBPUSD at Decisive zone 1.3500In the last several days, this pair has historically encountered resistance in this zone of 1.3500, and it's currently back in this zone. My approach is impartial and neutral. After pair leave this zone, I'll wait, keep an eye on volumes, and see where the price is going. Thus, above bullish and below bearish as usual. We currently live in a world where Trump has the power to completely change the dynamics, so exercise patience.
Part 6 Learn Institutional TradingWhy Traders Use Options
Options allow traders to benefit from multiple market views:
Directional trading (up or down)
Non-directional trading (markets stay range-bound)
Volatility trading (IV expansion/contraction)
Hedging (protect portfolios)
Income generation (selling options)
Buy in deep Opportunity SCIShipping Corporation of India Ltd presents a compelling mid-term buy opportunity near the critical 204 support, reinforced by a double bottom pattern on the daily chart. As a government-owned PSU in the booming shipping sector, it benefits from rising global trade volumes and India's maritime growth, trading at a fair P/E of ~12 amid recent corrections.
The chart confirms a double bottom at ~204, with bullish divergence in RSI/MACD oscillators signaling exhaustion of sellers. Key support holds at 200-204 (200-SMA nearby), while resistance eyes 215-220; a break above 211 could target 230-250 in 4-8 weeks. Oversold RSI (<20) and rising volume on lows support reversal potential.
SCI maintains robust ~30% OPM consistently, driven by fleet modernization and demand in crude tankers/container segments amid global trade recovery. At ₹205 (P/E 12.2x, P/B 1.16x), valuation corrects to fair levels vs. sector averages; dividend yield ~3% adds appeal. Govt backing ensures stability in expanding markets like LNG and offshore services.
Deep correction (-45% from all time highs) aligns with sector rotation; entry 200-205 with SL as per risk capacity, targeting 250 and more upside.
Better to take view for buy and hold for long term
TATA Steel | Short Opportunity – CHART Study onlyKey Short Signals from Chart
Upper Channel Rejection
Multiple rejections near the top blue trendline.
Indicates sellers defending higher levels.
RSI Bearish Divergence
Price made higher high
RSI made lower high
Classic momentum weakness → bearish sign.
MACD Weakening
Histogram losing strength after bullish run.
MACD lines flattening → momentum slowdown.
Risk–Reward Zone (Marked)
Red zone (SL area): Above ~190–192
Green zone (Target area): ~165–168 (channel support)
Disclaimer: This chart analysis is for educational and study purposes only. It is not a trading or investment recommendation. Please do your own research and consult a financial advisor before taking any trade.
XAUUSD (H4) – Liam PlanMacro tailwinds remain, but price is extended | Trade reactions, not emotions
Quick summary
Gold remains supported by a strong macro backdrop:
📌 Fed hold probability in January: 95% → USD/yields capped.
📌 Geopolitical tension (Kremlin praising Trump over Greenland, NATO cracks) adds safe-haven demand.
Technically, price has pushed aggressively into upper expansion territory. At this stage, the edge is reaction trading at key levels, not chasing strength.
Macro context (why volatility stays elevated)
With the Fed very likely holding rates in January, markets are highly sensitive to USD and yield shifts.
Rising geopolitical noise keeps gold bid, but also increases the risk of headline-driven spikes and liquidity sweeps.
➡️ Conclusion: directional bias is secondary to execution quality. Trade levels + confirmation only.
Technical view (H4 – based on the chart)
Gold is trading inside a rising channel, currently extended toward the upper Fibonacci expansion.
Key levels to focus on:
✅ Major sell Fibonacci / wave top: 4950 – 4960
✅ Sell wave B / reaction zone: 4825 – 4835
✅ Buy entry / structure support: 4730 – 4740
✅ Sell-side liquidity: 4520 – 4550 (below structure)
Price is stretched above the mid-channel — conditions where pullbacks and rotations are statistically more likely than clean continuation.
Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) 1️⃣ SELL scenarios (priority – reaction trading)
A. SELL at Fibonacci extension (primary idea) ✅ Sell zone: 4950 – 4960 SL: above the high / fib extension TP1: 4830 TP2: 4740 TP3: 4550 (if momentum accelerates)
Logic: This is an exhaustion area aligned with wave completion and fib extension — ideal for profit-taking and mean rotation, not trend chasing.
B. SELL wave B reaction ✅ Sell: 4825 – 4835 Condition: clear rejection / bearish structure on M15–H1 TP: 4740 → 4550
Logic: Classic corrective wave zone. Good for tactical shorts within a broader volatile structure.
2️⃣ BUY scenario (secondary – only on reaction)
BUY at structural support ✅ Buy zone: 4730 – 4740 Condition: hold + bullish reaction (HL / rejection / MSS on lower TF) TP: 4825 → 4950 (scale out)
Logic: This is a key flip zone inside the rising channel. BUY only if price proves acceptance — no blind dip buying.
Key notes (risk control)
Market is extended → expect fake breaks and sharp pullbacks.
Avoid mid-range entries between levels.
Reduce size during geopolitical headlines.
Confirmation > prediction.
What’s your play: selling the 4950 fib extension, or waiting for a clean reaction at 4730–4740 before reassessing?
— Liam
Part 4 Learn Institutional TradingPut Options (PE)
A Put Option Buyer expects the market to go down.
A Put Option Seller expects market to remain above the strike.
1. PE Buyer Example
Bank Nifty = 49,000
You buy 48,800 PE at ₹100.
If Bank Nifty falls to 48,500:
Intrinsic value = 48,800 - 48,500 = 300
Profit = 300 - 100 = 200
If Bank Nifty stays above 48,800:
PE buyer loses premium.
2. PE Seller Example
You sell 48,800 PE at ₹100
If Bank Nifty stays above 48,800 → Seller profits full premium.
If it falls → Seller loses point by point.
Part 3 Learn Institutional Trading Call Options (CE)
A Call Option Buyer expects the market to go up.
A Call Option Seller expects the market to stay below the strike or fall.
1. CE Buyer Example
Nifty = 22,000
You buy 22,100 CE at ₹50 premium.
If Nifty closes at 22,300 on expiry:
Intrinsic value = 22,300 - 22,100 = 200
Profit = (Intrinsic - Premium) = 200 - 50 = 150
Your profit is ₹150 × lot size.
If Nifty stays below 22,100:
Your loss = premium = ₹50
2. CE Seller Example
You sell 22,100 CE at ₹50
If Nifty stays below 22,100 → Full premium is your profit.
If Nifty goes above 22,100 → You lose point by point.
Seller risk = unlimited.
Trump Davos Warning Keeps Gold in Strong Uptrend Market Context (News → Flow)
Comments from Trump at Davos, including renewed threats and pressure around Greenland, have escalated geopolitical uncertainty during the Asian session.
Markets reacted in classic risk-off mode:
USD weakens amid political uncertainty
Equities hesitate, risk appetite fades
Safe-haven flows rotate into Gold, driving momentum higher
Gold is not moving on speculation — it is reacting to capital seeking protection.
Technical Structure (H1 – SMC)
Overall structure remains bullish, confirmed by multiple BOS
Price is trending inside a well-defined ascending channel
Recent pullback respected the bullish FVG, showing strong demand
No bearish acceptance below structure at this stage
➡️ FVG respected → continuation remains in play
Key Decision Zones
Upper FVG: 4,765.425
Mid support: 4,727.188
Current impulse high: 4,883.900
These are reaction zones, not chase levels.
Scenarios (If – Then)
Primary Scenario – Trend Continuation
If price holds above 4,765.425
Bullish structure remains intact
Gold can continue advancing toward higher channel resistance
Alternative Scenario – Technical Pullback
If price loses 4,765.425
A pullback toward 4,727.188 is possible for rebalancing
Only a clear H1 close below 4,727.188 would weaken the bullish bias
Summary
Geopolitical rhetoric is accelerating volatility, but structure still leads the narrative.
Gold is not reacting emotionally —
it is pricing risk.
PAYTM 1 Day Time Frame 📌 Live/Recent Price:
Around ₹1,240 – ₹1,300 range intra‑day (varying by source/time) — showing recent session weakness.
📊 Daily Pivot & Support/Resistance Levels
These levels are typical pivot analysis (daily frame) used by traders to identify short‑term sell/buy pressure points:
Pivot Zone (Daily): ~₹1,307–1,325
Resistances:
R1: ₹1,325–₹1,330
R2: ₹1,354–₹1,355
R3: ₹1,372–₹1,373
Supports:
S1: ~₹1,278–₹1,280
S2: ~₹1,259–₹1,260
S3: ~₹1,231–₹1,232**
📌 Interpretation:
Above Pivot (₹1,307–₹1,325) ➜ short‑term bullish bias.
Below Pivot ➜ bearish bias with S1→S2 as key downside zones today.
🧠 Key Daily Zones to Watch
🎯 Bullish Break Zones
Strong intraday upside trigger: RSI/Vol can push price back above ₹1,307 pivot
Next upside targets: ₹1,325 → ₹1,354 → ₹1,372
⚠️ Bearish Breakdown Zones
If drops below S1 (~₹1,278), next key downside to watch is ₹1,259 (S2)
Breaking below ₹1,231 (S3) may accelerate intraday selling
Entry Setup 8Before Trade Entry Follow the Step:-(check list)
Step 1:- Identify the Trend
Step 2:- Bullish Trend Wait for Support Price & Reversal Candlestick(Take Buy)
Step 3:- Bearish Trend Wait for Resistance & Reversal Candlestick(Take Sell)
Step 4:- Fibonacci retracement confirm
Step 5:- Wait for Reversal candlestick
My Trading Role:-
1. Don't Lose capital
2. Trade less Earn More
Focus On:-
1. Quality Trades
2. Risk Management
3. Self - Discipline
RISK WARNING:- All trading involves risk. Only risk capital you're prepared to lose. This video has not given any investment advice, only for educational purposes
CUBEXTUB 1 Week Time Frame 📊 Current Price Context
Latest trading range (approx): ₹99–₹103 per share.
📈 Weekly Key Levels (Approximate)
🎯 Resistance Levels
These are areas where upside price movement may slow or reverse:
1. First Resistance: ~₹108–₹109 — near recent pivot resistance.
2. Next Resistance: ~₹113–₹116 — upper weekly resistance zone.
3. Higher Target: ~₹118–₹120+ — longer weekly resistance/extension.
📉 Support Levels
These are areas where price may find buying interest or a bounce:
1. Immediate Support: ~₹101–₹102 — just below recent price and short‑term pivot support.
2. Secondary Support: ~₹98–₹99 — next downside zone.
3. Lower Support: ~₹94–₹95 — deeper support if weakness continues.
📌 Weekly Pivot Reference
Pivot Level (central reference): ~₹106 — roughly the fulcrum of bulls vs. bears this week.
🛠 How to Use These Levels (Weekly Basis)
Bullish scenario:
✅ If the weekly close breaks and holds above ₹108–₹109, next resistance targets of ₹113–₹116 become active.
Bearish scenario:
❌ Failure below ₹101–₹102 could open the path toward ₹98–₹95 support.
Range bias:
🟡 Price may oscillate between ₹101–₹113 in the absence of a decisive trend signal.
VEDL 1 Week Time Frame 📊 Current Price Context (approximate latest)
• Vedanta is trading around ₹660‑₹675 range on NSE as of the latest session.
📈 Weekly Resistance Levels
These are levels where the stock might face selling pressure on an upward move:
Resistance Zones
1. ₹682–₹688 area – near recent intraday highs and 52‑week high cluster.
2. ~₹693–₹700 – broader higher resistance in week ahead.
3. Above ₹700 – extended breakout zone if bullish momentum accelerates.
👉 Bullish breakout triggers shorter‑term targets toward these zones, especially if sustained above daily pivots/resistance.
📉 Weekly Support Levels
These are areas where price might find buyers or pullback cushions:
Support Zones
1. ~₹665–₹658 – immediate weekly support cluster.
2. ~₹647–₹648 – next meaningful support if the price weakens.
3. ~₹620–₹630 – deeper pivot/demand zone from recent action (from broader short‑term analysis).
4. ~₹560–₹570 – more distant support if the stock corrects further from current levels.
👉 A break below ₹658–665 on weekly closes could shift bias toward deeper support ranges.
🔁 1‑Week Bias Summary
Scenario Level to Watch What It Implies
Bullish continuation Above ₹682–₹688 Can target ₹693–₹700+
Neutral / congestion ₹665–₹658 Choppy range, sideways trades
Bearish correction Below ₹658 Deeper support at ₹620–₹570+
Gold (XAUUSD) ABCD Completion Near 5000 – Major Sell Zone Ahead
Gold has been in a strong long-term bullish trend, driven by macro uncertainty and persistent demand. However, from a structural and harmonic perspective, price is now approaching a critical long-term resistance zone near the 5000 level, where a bearish ABCD pattern is nearing completion.
The current rally appears to be the final leg (CD) of the ABCD structure. Completion around the psychological 5000 round number also aligns with historical extension behavior and potential exhaustion after an extended impulsive move.
Primary Scenario:
Watch for price rejection, reversal patterns, or bearish confirmation near the 5000 region.
A confirmed rejection could open the door for a long-term corrective move, potentially targeting the previous demand / consolidation zone.
Invalidation:
A strong acceptance and sustained close well above 5000 would invalidate the bearish ABCD outlook and suggest continuation higher.
Power Grid Corporation of India Ltd. Daily Chart 1. Price action:
The stock has been consolidating inside a descending triangle (lower highs and a horizontal support around 260).With descending parallel channel inside the triangle .
A breakout above the upper trendline of the triangle would signal a bullish reversal, as suggested by the drawn arrow.
2. RSI divergence:
The RSI (blue line at the bottom) appears to be forming a bullish divergence as price makes lower lows while RSI makes higher straight line with higher lows near the support zone.
This divergence can indicate weakening bearish momentum and potential upcoming upswing.
3. The View (arrow line):
The drawn arrow suggests an expected upward move after the triangle breakout, targeting the previous resistance zone (~270–280) near parallel channel and above level near 300
Confirmation would require a clear close above the triangle’s upper line with rising volume.
Trump Davos Warning Keeps Gold in Strong UptrendMarket Context (News → Flow)
Comments from Trump at Davos, including renewed threats and pressure around Greenland, have escalated geopolitical uncertainty during the Asian session.
Markets reacted in classic risk-off mode:
USD weakens amid political uncertainty
Equities hesitate, risk appetite fades
Safe-haven flows rotate into Gold, driving momentum higher
Gold is not moving on speculation — it is reacting to capital seeking protection.
Technical Structure (H1 – SMC)
Overall structure remains bullish, confirmed by multiple BOS
Price is trending inside a well-defined ascending channel
Recent pullback respected the bullish FVG, showing strong demand
No bearish acceptance below structure at this stage
➡️ FVG respected → continuation remains in play
Key Decision Zones
Upper FVG: 4,765.425
Mid support: 4,727.188
Current impulse high: 4,883.900
These are reaction zones, not chase levels.
Scenarios (If – Then)
Primary Scenario – Trend Continuation
If price holds above 4,765.425
Bullish structure remains intact
Gold can continue advancing toward higher channel resistance
Alternative Scenario – Technical Pullback
If price loses 4,765.425
A pullback toward 4,727.188 is possible for rebalancing
Only a clear H1 close below 4,727.188 would weaken the bullish bias
Summary
Geopolitical rhetoric is accelerating volatility, but structure still leads the narrative.
Gold is not reacting emotionally —
it is pricing risk.
Perfect F&P on Bitcoins daily charts (21/01/26)Bitcoin forming good chart pattern on the daily charts.
The charts is a perfect example of a Flag and Pole pattern. If the pattern completes there are chance of seeing bitcoin dipping.
Identifying the last support around 85K. Be watchful if price dips below it.






















