JSW - The court Mess sees its EndThe channel in which JSW is trading since last few years (from may 2022) has been respected very well. But if the resolution comes and the metal rally picks up this trend can be broken through and a rally equivalent to the depth of the channel is possible.
If it doesnt happen, we will see retracing to bottom of the channel.
Community ideas
GBPJPY SELL ENTRY – SUPPLY ZONE TRADE SETUP🔻 GBPJPY SELL ENTRY – SUPPLY ZONE TRADE SETUP
📊 Timeframe: 1 Hour
💡 Concept: Supply Zone | Premium Price Area
Price is approaching the strong supply zone between 203.39 – 205.21, which aligns with previous structural imbalance and liquidity sweep zones.
Expecting bearish reaction once price taps into the zone. Sellers may take control, pushing price downward.
📍 Entry Zone: 203.39 – 205.21
🎯 Target 1: 200.50
🎯 Target 2: 198.00
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 205.50
🧠 Trade Idea: Wait for bearish confirmation candle or market structure break on lower timeframe before entering short.
XAUUSD – EARLY WEEK SCENARIO - ATH CONTINUES TO HOLD CHAINXAUUSD – EARLY WEEK SCENARIO - ATH CONTINUES TO HOLD CHAIN
Hello trader 👋
Gold prices are currently moving sideways after a strong previous surge. The market is temporarily lacking momentum as the US government remains shut, causing economic data to be delayed – this reduces liquidity and makes many short-term traders hesitant to open new positions.
Currently, the price structure remains within the upward channel, but there are signs of accumulation and tug-of-war around key resistance – support zones. Therefore, the suitable strategy at this stage is “Buy at support zones, Sell at psychological resistance”, combined with POC (Point of Control) on Volume Profile to identify the price area with the highest liquidity.
⚙️ Technical Structure
The overall trend remains bullish, however, short-term corrective waves may appear as the price approaches strong resistance zones.
Thick volume areas clearly shown on the chart are where large investors are accumulating or distributing orders.
RSI is currently in the neutral zone → no overbought signals yet, so the possibility of range-bound movement remains high.
⚖️ Detailed Trading Scenario
🔴 SELL ZONE (Strong resistance – priority sell reaction)
Entry: 3,970 – 3,972
SL: 3,977
TP: 3,952 → 3,935 → 3,920 → 3,905
👉 Note: This is a psychological resistance zone – confluence between the upper edge of the price channel and the previous volume peak.
🔴 SELL SCALPING (short-term sell when support breaks)
Entry: 3,923 – 3,925 (wait for support break confirmation)
SL: 3,930
TP: 3,910 → 3,900 → 3,885 → 3,860
🟢 BUY ZONE (buy at support + POC volume profile)
Entry: 3,883 – 3,885
SL: 3,875
TP: 3,900 → 3,915 → 3,940 → 3,965 → 4,000
👉 This is a strong technical support zone, coinciding with the POC of Volume Profile – high liquidity, high rebound potential.
💡 Insights & Notes
The upward price channel remains intact, but buying power is gradually weakening, making short-term corrections likely.
Be patient and wait for directional confirmation before entering trades, avoid FOMO during sideways phases.
Limited news this week due to the US political situation → market is prone to tug-of-war, low volatility.
📌 Summary:
Buy at liquidity support zone (3,883–3,885).
Sell reaction at psychological resistance zone (3,970–3,972).
Maintain a flexible mindset within the fluctuation range, wait for clear confirmation signals to increase winning rates.
Stay updated with new gold articles by following me
EURNZD SELL ENTRY - SUPPLY ZONE TRADE SETUP🔻 EURNZD SELL ENTRY - SUPPLY ZONE TRADE SETUP
📊 Timeframe: 45 Minutes
💡 Concept: CE = DT = Supply Zone
Price has reached the strong supply zone, where previous double top structure (DT) and change of character (CE) confirm potential bearish pressure.
Currently, price is testing the supply zone — expecting sellers to dominate from here.
📍 Entry Zone: 2.0093 – 2.0142
🎯 Target 1: 2.0000
🎯 Target 2: 1.9950
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 2.0163
🧠 Bias: Bearish
📈 Confirmation: Watch for rejection candles or lower timeframe structure break before entering short.
ITC Downside Ke Side Target Hain 347 Ya Phir Trend Breakout Here’s a clear and complete overview of **ITC Business** 👇
---
## 🏢 **About ITC Limited**
**ITC Limited (Indian Tobacco Company)** is one of India’s biggest and most diversified conglomerates.
It was established in **1910** and is headquartered in **Kolkata, India**.
---
## 🔹 **Full Form:**
**I**mperial **T**obacco **C**ompany of India Limited
(now known simply as **ITC Limited**)
---
## 🌐 **Business Segments of ITC**
ITC operates in **multiple sectors**, not just tobacco:
### 1. 🥦 **FMCG (Fast-Moving Consumer Goods)**
ITC is one of India’s top FMCG companies.
**Popular brands include:**
* Aashirvaad (atta, ghee, salt, spices)
* Sunfeast (biscuits, pasta, noodles)
* Yippee! Noodles
* Bingo! Chips
* Fiama, Vivel, Savlon (personal care)
* Classmate, Paperkraft (stationery)
* Mangaldeep (agarbatti, dhoop)
---
### 2. 🌾 **Agribusiness**
* One of India’s largest buyers and exporters of agri-products
* Works directly with farmers via **e-Choupal network**
* Products: wheat, rice, coffee, soya, spices, etc.
---
### 3. 🏨 **Hotels**
ITC operates luxury hotels under the brand:
* **ITC Hotels**
* **WelcomHotel**
* **Fortune Hotels**
* **Mementos by ITC**
---
### 4. 📦 **Paperboards & Packaging**
* Leading producer of eco-friendly paper and packaging materials
* Used for notebooks, cartons, and FMCG packaging
---
### 5. ⚙️ **Information Technology**
Through its subsidiaries:
* **ITC Infotech** – provides global IT and digital solutions
(clients in banking, retail, and manufacturing)
---
## 💰 **Market Information (as of 2025)**
* **Stock Symbol:** ITC (NSE & BSE)
* **Market Cap:** Over ₹6 lakh crore
* **Share Price Range:** Around ₹420–₹480 (fluctuates)
---
## 🌱 **Sustainability & CSR**
ITC is known for:
* Being **carbon-positive, water-positive, and solid-waste recycling positive** for many years.
* CSR projects in rural education, women empowerment, and sustainable agriculture.
---
## 🧩 **Business Model Summary**
* Multi-sector presence (diversified)
* Focus on Indian consumers and rural growth
* Strong brand portfolio
* High dividends for shareholders
---
DELHIVERY Price ActionDELHIVERY has recently displayed a stable performance, with its stock trading in a tight range after recovering from previous lows. The price trend shows higher support levels indicating accumulation, while minor pullbacks have led to renewed buying interest. The company’s operational strengths in logistics and expanding e-commerce volumes continue to support positive market sentiment.
Technically, DELHIVERY maintains momentum above key moving averages, and volumes have been steady during upticks. There is mild resistance near its recent peak, and a clear breakout could trigger additional gains. On the downside, sustained weakness below established support may encourage short-term corrections. Overall, the outlook remains constructive, driven by robust business fundamentals and positive demand for digital logistics solutions.
Critical Support Zone: 0.786 Fib Holding?After a strong rally, INVZ has retraced sharply to the 0.786 Fibonacci level (~$0.75). This level is often considered the last line of defense for bulls before a deeper correction.
📌 Key Observations:
✅ Price testing 0.786 Fib—a potential bounce zone if buyers step in.
✅ RSI near 40, approaching a possible reversal territory.
✅ Low-volume selling suggests no strong bearish conviction yet.
🚨 Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Support: $0.75 (0.786 Fib), $0.46 (1.0 Fib).
🔹 Resistance: $0.97 (0.618 Fib), $1.13 (0.5 Fib).
If this support holds, a strong bounce could take the price back towards $1.13+. However, a breakdown below $0.75 may open the door to lower levels.
What do you think? Will bulls defend this level, or is more downside ahead? Share your thoughts! 📊👇
#INVZ #Fibonacci #Stocks #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis
SMCI - Symmetrical Triangle Breakout SetupSMCI is at a major decision point. Wait for breakout confirmation above $57.78, use the triangle structure and Fibonacci extensions as your target zones, and manage risk via the marked stop levels. This technical setup combines classical charting with quantitative projections, providing a clear framework for swing traders and investors.
Key Levels and Setup
Symmetrical Triangle: Price is consolidating between converging trendlines, now nearing the apex, signaling an imminent breakout move.
Breakout Level: A sustained close above $57.78 (upper trendline/horizontal resistance) would confirm the bullish breakout.
Stop Loss: Clearly marked near the lower horizontal line (below $39.47 or $35.18) to protect against false breakouts.
Inverted Head and Shoulder Pattern Breakout in Bank NiftyBank Nifty has given a Big Breakout in 4HR time frame.
Price has broken the trend line with gapu0 and then sustained above and closed high.
A full explanation video with entry and Target has been made live on my YouTube channel. Also, analysis of Nifty, Bank Nifty and sensex has also been given in video.
The channel link is given in my Bio (Channel Name: Smart Stock Insight)
Subscribe for daily analysis video.
Note: This analysis is for Educational Purpose Only. Please invest after consulting a professional financial advisor.
Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals LtdMRPL's technical structure appears bullish if it can break and sustain above its current resistance. Otherwise, it will likely continue its range-bound movement within the channel.
The price movement shows a "Falling Channel" (downtrend channel) within a larger uptrend channel. This suggests the stock has been correcting within a broader bullish structure. It recently bounced from the lower boundary of the falling channel, around 150, which is acting as a key support level.
If MRPL closes above 154, it would confirm a breakout from the falling channel, indicating the end of the corrective phase and the start of a new upward swing within the long-term bullish trend, and the possible target is 184.
XYZ: Multiple resistance points being tested v/s High VolumeMonthly chart of XYZ shows multiple resistance points (including 200 week) are being tested, however significant volumes on 21st and 22nd July + 10week EMA crossing above 20 Week EMA, along side results day c.6th Aug make this an interesting intersection of resistance lines... am holding since the hammer created around bounce back zone.. will watch it over the next few days before exit.
ORIENT TECH - VCP Breakout with Pocket PivoTThis chart showcases a classic Volume Contraction Pattern (VCP) formation in ORIENT TECH, followed by a powerful breakout triggered by a Pocket Pivot setup. After forming a non-linear base, the price consolidated through multiple contractions, aligning major moving averages. The marked Pocket Pivot alongside VCPs indicated increasing accumulation and momentum. The breakout above the VCP base led to a sharp price surge, confirming trend reversal and strong bullish sentiment. Key fundamentals and technical overlays support the move, making this a prime example for advanced traders tracking high-probability breakout opportunities.
The Euphoria Before the FallThe recent price action in Natural Gas is a textbook example of short-term optimism divorced from underlying fundamentals. While traders celebrate minor weather-related demand forecasts, the broader structure tells a different story — one of excess positioning and complacency.
1. Technical Overextension Disguised as Strength
Natural Gas has rallied sharply over the last few sessions, but the 4-hour chart reveals critical fatigue near the 3.65–3.75 resistance band. This zone aligns with previous supply pockets and the upper boundary of the last major distribution phase.
• The CCI is rolling over from overbought levels.
• Volumes have thinned out despite higher prices, indicating smart money exiting quietly.
• The most recent candle formation shows clear rejection, suggesting failed attempts to hold above the breakout point.
Such structures rarely sustain without meaningful follow-through volume. This is a market running on fumes, not on fundamentals.
2. Fundamental Dissonance
On the macro front, the narrative doesn’t justify the rally:
• Storage levels in the U.S. remain above the 5-year average, implying no genuine supply stress.
• Mild weather forecasts across key consuming regions reduce the probability of significant short-term demand spikes.
• LNG export growth, while a supportive long-term story, has already been priced in by speculative traders.
In essence, the market is reacting to marginal bullish headlines while ignoring the broader supply overhang. The structural imbalance remains — and it favors lower prices once speculative positioning unwinds.
3. Behavioral Mispricing and Market Psychology
Markets often repeat a familiar behavioral pattern:
• Retail enthusiasm builds on narratives of “early winter demand.”
• Hedge funds chase momentum, ignoring inventory and weather convergence data.
• The setup peaks when conviction is highest and that’s exactly what the price structure at 3.70–3.75 is signaling now.
4. Trade Structure and Risk Framework
• Sell Zone: Below 3.63
• Stop Loss: 3.77 (above structural rejection)
• Targets: 3.40 (first target), 3.25 (extended move)
• Risk–Reward: Approximately 1:2.5, highly asymmetric.
If the correction gains traction, a break below 3.40 could accelerate profit-taking, potentially dragging prices toward 3.20 levels as speculative longs unwind.
5. The Contrarian Premise
Natural Gas is pricing perfection ie the assumption that seasonal demand will spike and storage draws will tighten balances. The data doesn’t confirm it. This is a liquidity-driven bounce within a broader range-bound market, not the start of a structural uptrend. When fundamentals contradict price, the correction is only a matter of timing, not probability.
SELLDow Jones Industrial Average – Elliott Wave Cycle Analysis
Following the market crash of 2020, the DJI initiated a new long-term impulsive wave cycle:
- Wave 1: Began on 30 March 2020 and extended through 27 December 2021, marking a strong bullish recovery phase.
- Wave 2: A corrective zigzag pattern unfolded, bottoming out in October 2022.
- Wave 3: A powerful rally commenced post-correction, culminating on 2 December 2024, consistent with the characteristics of a third wave—typically the strongest in momentum.
- Wave 4: A complex elongated flat correction formed, concluding around 7 April 2025.
- Wave 5: The index has since resumed its upward trajectory, entering the final leg of the cycle.
🔺 Structural Implication:
Wave 1 remains the largest in magnitude, suggesting the development of an Ending Diagonal in Wave 5. This pattern typically occurs in the final wave of a motive sequence and is characterized by converging trendlines and weakening momentum.
📉 Key Technical Signal:
To validate the Ending Diagonal structure, the price must breach the 1–3 trendline, which is currently within close proximity. A breakdown below this trendline would signal the completion of the long-term bullish cycle and potentially usher in a broader corrective phase.
⚠ Investor Note:
The DJI appears to be approaching the terminal phase of a multi-year impulsive cycle. Traders and investors should exercise caution and monitor key structural levels closely, as the risk of a significant reversal increases upon completion of the Ending Diagonal.
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AMPXAMPX Daily: The stock appears to be trading within an ascending channel, which is a bullish pattern. The upper and lower parallel lines create a range, and the price has been consistently trending upward since May. The price is nearing the midline of the channel near the $13-14 range, which could act as short-term resistance.
There’s a clear horizontal support zone in the $12.50-13 area highlighted on chart. The price is currently sitting on this resistance zone after briefly breaching above it in the past few candles.
If the support holds, there’s potential for further bullish momentum. However, if this zone fails to hold, the next lower levels of support could be closer to $11 or the bottom of the ascending channel.
#ampx#stockmarket#sigal#forex
GOLD Marching Toward $4,000 Zone? Gold Holds Firm Above 3,900Gold starts the week with relentless bullish momentum, breaking through 3,900 USD for the first time and eyeing new record highs.
The rally is fueled by safe-haven demand as the US government shutdown drags on and market expectations grow for an upcoming Fed rate cut. Despite a stronger USD and risk appetite in equities, gold buyers remain firmly in control.
🔎 Technical Outlook (H1 – FIBO Matrix)
📍 Reaction Buy Zones
3884 – 3880 (Fibo 0.5 support) → Short-term demand pocket.
386x (Fibo 0.618 H1) → Stronger liquidity-backed support, high-probability rebound zone.
📍 Reaction Sell Zones
393x – 394x (Fibo Extension 1.5 – 1.618) → Intraday resistance, possible rejection.
4,000 (Psychological Round Level) → Key psychological barrier; heavy liquidity likely.
🎯 Trade Plan
1️⃣ BUY Scenario
Entry: 3884 – 3880 / 386x, wait for bullish confirmation.
Targets: 3925 → 3940 → 4000.
Stop Loss: Below 3850.
2️⃣ SELL (Short-term Scalp)
Entry: 393x – 394x or rejection at 4000.
Targets: 3900 → 3884.
Stop Loss: Above 3952.
⚡ Key Insights
Trend bias remains bullish → Prefer long setups from strong Fibo supports.
3925 is the immediate hurdle, 4000 the ultimate psychological wall.
Watch USD volatility and Fed commentary for intraday direction.
💬 What’s your take, India?
Do you expect Gold to hit 4,000 this week, or will sellers defend the zone? Drop your setups 👇