Paytm
Some hope for PayTM Investors!1. Base in formation on Lower Time Frames.
2. Stock needs to consolidate between 950-875.
3. Closing below 875, view is negated and downtrend may continue.
4. Confirmed uptrend only above Trend Line BO on upside. As of now, level is closing above 953.
5. Major Break Out only above 1150.
6. Consult your financial adviser before investing. I am personally not invested!
PAYTM CAN TAKE SUPPORT AT 898
We have very little data so far on PAYTM. Basis FIB retracement PAYTM is at 1.1618 levels and is also oversold on RSI. Chances are that it shud take support from these levels of 900 and see a decent upmove. Keep tracking and keep it on ur radar. If 900 is broken on a closing basis then 700 is also possible.
PayTm - Possible Short and long trades. PayTm -
1. In DownTrend.
2. Was bought from 1000 in anticipation of reversal to 1300 and above but failed as 1000 broke today.
3. Sustaining below 990 would mean new shorts will enter, many buyers will be forced to exit at loss.
4. Break of 990 and failing to sustain below it and reversing would mean buying coming from below 1000 level, trapped new shorts.
4. Intraday Trade -
a. Short if sustains below 990.
Target - 950, 910. Stop 1005.
b. Buy - Breaks 990 and fails to sustain below
it. Buy above 1003, Target - 1010, 1050,
Stop - 1000.
Reliance helps Nifty end Nov series above 17500NIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS 25-11-21
In this post, I talk about the analysis for the day and the trading range for tomorrow. The video discusses with the help of the charts how the indices as well as leading stocks performed during the day and their likely play tomorrow.
O 17417.30
H 17564.35
L 17351.70
C 17536.25
EOD 121.20 points /+0.70%
SGX Nifty 25-11-21 @ 1840h = +40 points
FII DII = Not yet available
CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS using 5 Minutes Chart
Nifty opened flat and then sold off to retest the lows of 24 Nov around 17350.
Like yesterday, it was able to generate a good amount of buying interest and then fueled by Reliance, it was able to sustain higher levels with greater ease.
Clearly, Bank Nifty underperformed.
However, Nifty has made a lower low and a lower high and yet managed to close in the green.
NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
Top 5 Lifters contributed = 154
Top 5 Draggers contributed = 36
Net = +118
POSITIVES
Nifty ended the Nov series above 17500.
Reliance single handedly changed the game for Nifty.
It would be improper to give credit to any other scrip today.
Infosys managed to close well above 1700.
NEGATIVES
Nifty retested the low of 24 Nov around 17350.
Bank Nifty is struggling and is unable to generate sustained buying interest.
All other leading scrips of both the indices lack momentum.
HDFC ended yet again below 2900.
HUL has been consistently having issues in getting investors attracted as it keeps drifting on the way down.
TRADING RANGE FOR 26 November 2021
Nifty Support 17300-350.
Nifty Resistance 17600 and above.
Bank Nifty support = 36800-37000.
Bank Nifty resistance = 37500-700-38000
INSIGHTS / OBSERVATIONS
Here are the links to 2 of my tweets related to how markets were today:
Nifty was up by 121 points and the net contribution by the Top 5 Lifters & Draggers is 118. Data is becoming very crucial in managing the indices.
Have a look at the close of 24 Nov and today’s open - barely 2 points difference.
All eyes are now on the Reliance counterpart in the Bank Nifty family - HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank. The day these two wake up, is the day when Bank Nifty is likely to outperform. The big question is when?
What do you feel about this?
Here is the video link --
Thank you, and Happy Money Making!
Umesh
25-11--21
NOTE --
This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
---
Indices Stage Dramatics amid increased VolatilityNIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS 23-11-21
In this post, I talk about the analysis for the day and the trading range for tomorrow. The video discusses with the help of the charts how the indices as well as leading stocks performed during the day and their likely play tomorrow.
O 17281.75
H 17553.70
L 17216.10
C 17503.30
EOD +86.50 points /+0.50%
SGX Nifty 22-11-21 @ 1905h = +8 points
FII DII = -3065 Crores
CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS using 5 Minutes Chart
Nifty made a 200+ points gap down opening action and possibly surprised many traders especially those who may have taken yesterday’s low as the short-term bottom.
It then found support just above 17200 and then never looked back at zones below 17300 for the entire day.
However, the day was not smooth as India Vix increased to 18+ and there were fast and wild swings that are not easily seen even on a 5 minutes chart.
Bank Nifty also ended in the green but relatively underperformed to Nifty.
Nifty has in the process made a lower high and a lower low.
NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
Top 5 Lifters contributed = 42
Top 5 Draggers contributed = 24
Net = +18
POSITIVES
Nifty closed above 17500.
Bank Nifty closed above 37200.
Reliance has finally halted bleeding was the leader of the lifters pack.
From the Bank Nifty pack, Kotak Bank and SBIN have shown positivity which is good.
NEGATIVES
Surprisingly, Infosys fell sharply - though it recovered a bit but is below 1750 and this may weigh on Nifty tomorrow.
HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, and Axis Bank continue to remain weak and this is preventing Bank Nifty to perform at its usual level.
TRADING RANGE FOR 24-26 November 2021
Just as I feared, Nifty broke the back of yesterday’s low , and made a dash towards 17200, but good support around that lifted it to where it ended.
So Nifty support for the week unless broken on the downside appears to be around 17175-200.
Any close below 17820 which was the resistance for 22 Nov may be used a sell trigger.
Bank Nifty found support around 36600 so 36500 may be a good line of defence for now and resistances are plenty and more.
INSIGHTS / OBSERVATIONS
When the net contribution of the top 5 Lifers and Draggers of Nifty is only 18 out of a total positive of 86, it indicates that there was a much wider change of color from red to green.
The nifty range for the day was almost 60% than that of yesterday, but volatility increased as it dipped sharply at the open. Interestingly, even though it closed above 17500, India Vix is still above 18 indicating further swings.
It is said that - One hot day does not change the weather to summer. Likewise, a close above 17500 when FTSE was in the negative does not mean that the pain is all over.
Bajaj Finance & Bajaj Finserv seem to work in tandem - either these are in the lifters list or in the draggers list. These two may well change the Nifty weightage going ahead.
Yet again, FIIs have sold for more than 4000 Crores - so even if there is a positive open, it is more likely to invite selling.
I am not sure if anyone is tracking the FIN NIFTY index as it is not seen prominently or it is just that I am not looking at it...
What do you feel about this?
Here is the video link --
Thank you, and Happy Money Making!
Umesh
23-11--21
NOTE --
This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
---
paytm two harmonic setupshi now we as retailer are stuck in his stock , we need to go ahead and see what can be done , now i have marked the up move possible with arrows. it must bounce back from lower red line for target of 1860 and most importantly it must hold lower green line as stop loss if this is breached it can fall like anything. If closes above blue line then it will become support
good luck