BankNifty - Navigating The Complex Correction in 39695-39275It was all amazing last few days as we have discussing how bulls could be trapped on the top close to 39695- which is one the key levels in the unfolding triangular correction
Have been student of astrology for last few years, it happened fortunately that I came across my bible book -American Ephemeris 2020-2030 on last Friday 24th March 2023 &
Realised that Moon will be passing through Gemini on 27th March 2023, I quickly updated on Saturday, 25th March about bulls short term trap
Wow!!! I was amazed how this structure unfolded
It is a triangular correction ---------------till the time 39695 -------key level is intact on upside
Trading Strategy
Holding Above 39400 - minor support we look for 39630-39650 touching the falling trendline
Once final leg upside is done & strictly holds below 39695 highs which should not be breached on upside, Index can drop to below targets
39275
Breaking 39275 - we look for 38925/39000
Thanks
Abhishek H. Singh, CMT
Penultimatewave
Bank Nifty - Roller Coaster Ride- Are We Expecting A Big Fall!!!Expiry Week Outlook- A Short Video. Thanks
Impulsive sequence unfolding from the tops of 44151 on 14th Dec 2022. From Budget day - 1st Feb 2023, Index has been doing a roller coaster moves so we need to be careful as next downside trend may start soon once key & critical levels are breached on downside.
Thanks
BankNifty - WaveTalks : Five Elements to WatchGood Morning All,
Traders should watch these Five Elements to plan their trade next.
Penultimate Wave ( Triangular Wave)
Upper trendline
Upper trendline of the triangle shown in the circle can act as support so Index holding 41450- 41500 can push short term upside 41750-41800
Key Level - 41051
1st warning sign for bulls - break of key level
Critical Level - 40800
Most important level to break & bulls have to be extremely cautious
Pattern Unfolding Next?
Pattern which will unfold in next few sessions as it could be last wave (pattern) of the sequence which started from 37386.35 will decide the next course of action.
Once critical level 40800 is broken - Traders have to be careful.
Bank Nifty - Triangle 15 Mins ChartBank Nifty Index has been doing sideways in the range 37959 (critical high) & 38800 (critical low). Looks like unfolding a triangle.
If you identify them then such patterns are amazing as traders get multiple opportunities between zone identified.
Trading Strategy ( Current Spot Price- 39305)
Plan A -
Buy close in 39000-39100 zone if Index halts above 38981 which should act as minor support. Avoid taking buy positions if fails to hold 38981
Target - 39650-39700
Plan B -
Selling close to critical high 39759 ( Avoid Selling If crosses above 39759 & moves higher above)
Target - 39150 / Below 39100 - 38800 / Below 38800 - 38350 / lower targets have to be reviewed later.
WaveTalks-Nifty-Can Fractals Repeat ? Can Bulls Bounce Back A fractal is a never-ending pattern repeating a simple process or pattern over and over again at the same degree or higher degree.
7th Oct 2021
Smaller Triangle or Penultimate Wave was seen & published on 7th Oct 2021- "Can Bulls Bounce Back? - The Irregular Triangle"
Can that fractal repeat again? Yes. The Answer is certainly positive because as nature is full of fractals like seashells / clouds / trees etc. In market, chart patterns can repeat.
This is a bigger fractal if unfolds holding above 16800 then Bulls can bounce back again.
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Possible Reasons for Bounce
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200 DEMA (High) Support
Centre Line Reversal Method
Double Bottom
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Targets Expected
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17795
18350 +
Note - Idea not Valid Below 16785 - 16800 zone
"Nifty Bulls have 60% chances / Bears have 40% chances at crucial juncture of 16800 but traders have 100 % chances if you plan your trades carefully. Going below 16800..."
HDFC: WaveTalks- Pattern / Patience & Penultimate Correction
WaveCount
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• 1-2 -3 -4 (Running Currently) - 5th Wave Expected Upside.
• 4th Wave
o Unfolding as Triangle having last leg - "e" wave close to end.
o 4th Wave Triangles are "penultimate wave" means it is 2nd last wave & one more wave left in the structure which started from the lows of 1473 on 23rd / 25th March2020.
• 5th Wave - Expected Next
o 5th Wave can be explosive upside & can travel upside to 2900+ high in days & weeks ahead
Traditional Chart Patterns
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• Cup & Handle Pattern
o Valid Cup & Handle Pattern always has prior trend as uptrend. In current case it is tilted cup with handle which is valid pattern as prior wave ("b-wave) was uptrend from low@2365 to high@2896
o Bias - Positive
• Inverse Head & Shoulder Pattern
o This pattern has no such requirement like cup & handle pattern but prior trend if downtrend is always preferred as after consolidation it most likely has to reverse & move upside again once neckline is crossed.
o Bias - Positive
Moving Average
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o 200 DEMA ( Daily Exponential Moving Average) has been taken into consideration which seems to be quiet in sync with the stock move as supported multiple times post completing "wave-1" which got resistance exactly at 1921.90 ( approx.- 1922)
o 1st support after completing Wave-1 was at 1907 which was exactly 200 DEMA support .
o Taking support from 1907- stock travelled explosive upside in "Wave -3" which got completed at high@2777
o Wave- 4 unfolded as Triangle which is almost completed or about to complete with "e-wave" the final leg in the triangle.
o "c-wave" in the triangle took support at 2354 which is again 200 DEMA support
o "e-wave" in the triangle also close to 200 DEMA support.
o Bias - Positive
Stop Loss
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• Stop loss should be below "c-wave" 2354 plus few points lower which can be taken as 2345 (10 points lower) or as per trader's judgement
Target
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• First Target - 2650 which is "d-wave" of the triangle wave
• Second / Final Target - 2900+
Risk to Reward
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• Excellent risk reward of 3-4 times
Conclusion
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• Stock has bullish bias holding above 2345 key & critical level which is close to 200 DEMA support & can be expected to move in the explosive 5th Wave to the targets of 2650 & 2900+ in days & weeks ahead.
• We also conclude that stock market can see fireworks generally if Nifty holds above 15450 –key & critical level. Nifty Expected move can be for 1st Target -15900 / 2nd Target – 16350 / 3rd Target – 16750
Thanks & Have a nice week ahead.
Reliance- (penultimate wave) Is that last move upside 2300+As suggested in last idea - 1st Sep 2020 mentioned below, we look for upside move for 2200 if holds above 2060. Went below & retested 2047-C(Wave Low) & Bounced Hard Upside from 2044 levels.
Usually, Penultimate waves forming triangular correction are the last waves as suggested by Wave Gurus . Let us see what happens next?
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This is not a trading call. Kindly do your own due diligence. Consult a financial advisor before taking any trading based on this view.
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