RKF Massive Breakout After 6-Month Consolidation.NSE:RKFORGE Hidden Auto Component Gem Ready for Massive Breakout After 6-Month Consolidation, after Breaking out Today With King Candle and Volumes.
Price Action:
- Current Price: ₹656.75 (+9.37% gain)
- Trading Range: ₹553.00 - ₹1,020.00
- Market Cap Category: Mid-cap stock with decent liquidity
- Chart Pattern: Extended consolidation phase with recent breakout attempt
Support and Resistance Levels
- Primary Resistance: ₹760-780 zone (red horizontal line)
- Secondary Resistance: ₹1,020 (previous high)
- Immediate Support: ₹620-640 zone
- Major Support: ₹553-580 zone (green horizontal rectangle)
- Critical Support: ₹553 (52-week low)
Base Formation:
- Base Type: Rectangle/Sideways consolidation base
- Duration: Approximately 6 months (January 2025 to June 2025)
- Base Depth: ~45% correction from highs
- Base Quality: Tight consolidation with reduced volatility
- Breakout Characteristics: Recent volume spike suggests potential base completion
Technical Patterns:
- Rectangle Pattern: Clear horizontal support and resistance boundaries
- Volume Accumulation: Declining volume during consolidation, spike on recent move
- Flag Formation: Potential bull flag pattern forming at current levels
- Double Bottom: Possible formation around ₹553-580 support zone
Volume Spread Analysis
- Volume Characteristics: 21.57M shares traded (above average)
- Volume Pattern: Higher volume on up days, lower on down days
- *Accumulation Signs: Volume spike coinciding with price breakout attempt
- Volume Confirmation: Recent breakout supported by increased participation
Trade Setup:
Entry Strategy:
- Primary Entry: ₹650-665 (current levels on pullback)
- Aggressive Entry: ₹680-690 (on breakout above resistance)
- Conservative Entry: ₹620-630 (on retest of support)
Exit Levels:
- Target 1: ₹750-760 (15% upside)
- Target 2: ₹850-880 (30% upside)
- Target 3: ₹980-1,000 (50% upside)
Stop Loss Levels:
- Tight Stop: ₹620 (5% risk)
- Swing Stop: ₹580 (12% risk)
- Position Stop: ₹550 (16% risk)
Position Sizing:
- Conservative Allocation: 2-3% of portfolio
- Moderate Allocation: 4-5% of portfolio
- Aggressive Allocation: 6-8% of portfolio (for risk-tolerant investors)
Risk Management:
- Risk-Reward Ratio: Minimum 1:2 for all entries
- Portfolio Risk: Maximum 2% portfolio risk per position
- Position Monitoring: Weekly review of technical levels
- Profit Booking: 25% at Target 1, 50% at Target 2, remainder at Target 3
Sectoral Backdrop:
Auto Components Sector Overview
- Sector Performance: Recovery phase post-COVID disruptions
- Growth Drivers: EV transition, export opportunities, aftermarket demand
- Challenges: Raw material inflation, supply chain disruptions
- Government Support: PLI schemes, Make in India initiatives
Forging Industry Dynamics
- Market Position: Specialised manufacturing with high entry barriers
- Demand Drivers: Commercial vehicle recovery, export growth
- Competitive Advantage: Technical expertise, established client relationships
- Cyclical Nature: Linked to auto industry cycles and capex spending
Fundamental Backdrop
Company Overview
- Business Model: Automotive forging components manufacturer
- Key Clients: Major OEMs in domestic and international markets
- Product Portfolio: Crankshafts, connecting rods, front axle beams
- Manufacturing Facilities: Multiple locations with modern equipment
Financial Health Indicators
- Revenue Growth: Recovery trajectory expected post-consolidation
- Margin Profile: Improving operational efficiency
- Debt Levels: Manageable debt-to-equity ratios
- Cash Flow: Positive operating cash flow generation
Growth Catalysts
- Export Expansion: Increasing share in global supply chains
- Product Diversification: Entry into new automotive segments
- Technology Upgrades: Investment in advanced manufacturing
- Market Recovery: Commercial vehicle segment revival
Risk Factors
- Cyclical Demand: Vulnerability to auto industry downturns
- Raw Material Costs: Steel price volatility impact
- Competition: Pressure from low-cost manufacturers
- Regulatory Changes: Environmental and safety compliance costs
My Take:
NSE:RKFORGE presents a compelling technical setup after a prolonged consolidation phase. The stock appears to be breaking out from a well-defined base with strong volume support. The risk-reward profile is attractive for medium-term investors, with clear support and resistance levels providing good trade management opportunities. However, investors should remain mindful of the cyclical nature of the auto components sector and size positions accordingly.
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Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
RKFORGE
RAMAKRISHNA STOCK TO TAKE LONG ENTRYLong Ramakrishna all important levels has given on the charts. Support taking 50 EMA on daily charts as well as stock near the breakout of the resistance area. Entry to be taken after the breakout. Good risk to reward trade. This is for your educational purpose only.
RKFORGE - Ichimoku Bullish Breakout Stock Name - Ramkrishna Forgings Limited
Ichimoku Cloud Setup :
1). Today's close is above the Conversion Line
2). Future Kumo is Turning Bullish
3). Chikou span is slanting upwards
All these parameters are showing bullishness at Current Market Price
and more bullishness AFTER crossing 370
#This is not Buy and Sell recommendation to any one. This is for education purpose and a helping hand to learn trading in Market.
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RKFORGE - SMALL CAP - MULTIBAGGAR Close to 52 Week High
3.57% away from 52 week high of Rs 318
Performance Today
Underperformed Sector by -2.03%
Trend Reversal
Stock has fallen after 3 days of consecutive gain
Day's Low
Stock touched an intraday low of Rs 305.1
(-2.32%)
Moving Averages
Ramkrishna Forg. is trading higher than 5 day, 20 day, 50 day, 100 day and 200 day moving averages
Falling Investor Participation
Delivery Vol of 2.32 lacs on 31 Mar has fallen by
-1.93% against 5-day avg delivery vol
Liquidity
Based on 2% of 5 day average traded Value the stock is liquid enough for trade size of Rs 0.69 cr
Fundamentals
Pat (HY)
At Rs 128.27 cr has Grown at 43.46 %
Net Sales (HY)
At Rs 1,601.92 cr has Grown at 35.74 %
Roce (HY)
Highest at 16.45 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio (HY)
Highest at 3.38 times
Debt-Equity Ratio (HY)
Lowest at 1.20 times
Debtors Turnover Ratio (HY)
Highest at 3.57 times
Best time to enter 290 levels
RKFORGE - Ichimoku Bullish Breakout Stock Name - Ramkrishna Forgings Limited
Ichimoku Cloud Setup :
1). Today's close is above the Conversion Line
2). Future Kumo is Turning Bullish
3). Chikou span is slanting upwards
All these parameters are showing bullishness at Current Market Price
and more bullishness AFTER crossing 311
#This is not Buy and Sell recommendation to any one. This is for education purpose and a helping hand to learn trading in Market.
# Cloud Trading
# Ichimoku Cloud
# Ichimoku Followers
I hope you all like my analysis.
Please do share your thoughts into comment section.
Please give a like, share & subscribe for daily analysis.
Ramkrishna Forgings LimitedRKFORGE:- Rounding bottom pattern has formed, keep your eye.
Hello traders,
As always, simple and neat charts so everyone can understand and not make it too complicated.
rest details mentioned in the chart.
will be posting more such ideas like this. Until that, like share and follow :)
check my other ideas to get to know about all the successful trades based on price action.
Thanks,
Ajay.
keep learning and keep earning.
38# Ramakrishna ForgingsNSE:RKFORGE Looking Good as
1. Rounded Bottom Formation
2. Bullish Crossover: Weekly EMA 20 Above Weekly EMA 50
3. Breakout with Huge Volume
4. Stock at all time high in unchartered territory
if you liked it please don't forget to follow me
#Disclaimer: I'm not a SEBI Registered Research Analyst, These are my views, please consult your Investment Advisor before buying and selling any position. This is just for Education purposes.
RKFORGE | Good for Long |DIWALI PICKNSE:RKFORGE
Reason for Trade : WEEKLY SUPPORT / ROUNDING BOTTOM
Cmp : 229
Entry : Cmp or near Support 215
Stop Loss: According to one's Risk Reward ratio
#Study, Learn & Earn.
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Disclaimer: All the information posting on this page are for the educational purpose only, we are not SEBI registered financial advisor. We wont recommend any BUY/SELL of stocks. Contact your financial advisor before taking any action
RKFORGE - Ichimoku Bullish Breakout Stock Name - Ramkrishna Forgings Limited
Ichimoku Cloud Setup :
1). Today's close is above the Conversion Line
2). Future Kumo is Turning Bullish
3). Chikou span is slanting upwards
All these parameters are showing bullishness at Current Market Price
and more bullishness AFTER crossing 232
#This is not Buy and Sell recommendation to any one. This is for education purpose and a helping hand to learn trading in Market.
# Cloud Trading
# Ichimoku Cloud
# Ichimoku Followers
I hope you all like my analysis.
Please do share your thoughts into comment section.
Please give a like, it motivates me to do analysis.
Inverse Head and Shoulder in RK ForgeChart -> RK Forge Weekly
The stock has given an inverse head and shoulder breakout with volume build-ups. Keep it on your radar!
CMP: 229
Good range: Around 212
Targets: 252, 280
SL: 199 Weekly close
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only, not any recommendations to buy or sell. As I am not SEBI registered, please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
RKFORGE - Ichimoku Bullish Breakout Stock Name - Ramkrishna Forgings Limited
Ichimoku Cloud Setup :
1). Today's close is above the Conversion Line
2). Future Kumo is Turning Bullish
3). Chikou span is slanting upwards
All these parameters are showing bullishness at Current Market Price
and more bullishness AFTER crossing 228
#This is not Buy and Sell recommendation to any one. This is for education purpose and a helping hand to learn trading in Market.
# Cloud Trading
# Ichimoku Cloud
# Ichimoku Followers
I hope you all like my analysis.
Please do share your thoughts into comment section.
Please give a like, it motivates me to do analysis.
RKFORGE - Ichimoku Bullish Breakout Stock Name - Ramkrishna Forgings Limited
Ichimoku Cloud Setup :
1). Today's close is above the Conversion Line
2). Future Kumo is Turning Bullish
3). Chikou span is slanting upwards
All these parameters are showing bullishness at Current Market Price
and more bullishness AFTER crossing 213
#This is not Buy and Sell recommendation to any one. This is for education purpose and a helping hand to learn trading in Market.
# Cloud Trading
# Ichimoku Cloud
# Ichimoku Followers
I hope you all like my analysis.
Please do share your thoughts into comment section.
Please give a like, it motivates me to do analysis.
YR 2022 Idea #96: Long on RKFORGE This is a public swing trade idea and is only for Learning and observational purpose. Please understand your risk and take full responsibility of your actions. I might trail my stoploss after I get an entry but even if my original Stoploss hits, i exit the trade with pre-planned loss (risk). At target, I book usually 75% positions and trail stoploss for rest. Our objective to help anyone who wants to learn technical analysis using charts by demonstrating my real trade entries. You can post your queries in comment section here and we will try to answer them asap.
RKFORGE - new 2021 closing highAs the chart shows RK Forging has cleared 4 month old resistance at 615 this week. The breakout happened middle of last week and the stock managed to hold above the resistance level of 615 and closed at 647 this Friday with very high volumes.
One can go long in this stock with possible targets at 705 and 850 both of which are important levels for this stock from the 2018 bull market. A WCB SL of 615 (current breakout level) is ideal.
PS: RK Forging is an illiquid stock with fairly low volumes, please trade accordingly.