Rulesbasedtrading
Day 11 of journalDay 11: Took an impulsive trade, lizard brain got me again. Need more consciousness to control it. Need more practice. Other than that, logic seems to be working good, strategy seems to be profitable, only issue is with practice so that lizard brain can be brought under control. Hate the market timings - very few hours to practice, the first hour just goes in deciding what direction to take, then it remains choppy for 2-3 hours and finally it decides to give you something. Wish the market remained open longer, maybe untill 12:00 midnight like MCX.
Day 6 of journalDay 6:
Had the idea of chasing the trend, however, realised that I am not yet ready for it. The SL was very far off and hence was sceptical of taking the plunge. Upon confirmation candle, did take the stand; and it turned out to be correct, got out at expected target.
Learning:
1. Waiting for confirmation definitely helps
2. Do not doubt the system even in an opposite trend ( the stops are reasonable/small as per system while targets are big)...... easier said, will require sometime I guess for me to take position against what shows if my system says contrary.
Untill now looks like taking the predefined SL and Tgts have been profitable (though it will miss large trends, but that later)
Bank Nifty analysis for 6th FEB'2024Bank nifty traded in a range between 46000 to 45600 today buyers were holding support but no momemtum from buyers end today tried twice to break 46000 but failed!
Major support at 45600 if breaks tomorrow seller can take it to 45300 addtion to that banknifty was showing weakness after 2 pm today & traded below trendline support.
Buyer can show momentum above 46100 - 46200, Tomorrow may be trend day or wide range day.
Support : 45300,45000
Resistance : 46100, 46300
Note : Do your own analysis before making any trade or invesment decesion.
Oppurtunity : Bank Nifty AnalysisLooks like buyers have hold the day from falling also have positive closing if same continue in morning may be tomorrow buyers can dominate as per trend if breaks with volume 48300.
Also a round number zone so avoids false breakouts and traps at this levels.
resistance 48300
support 48000
Note : Make your own analysis before making any trading decision.
Simple Bank Nifty Analysis!Buyers Showing strength but still facing Resistance at 43700 to 43800. If sustain above 43850 then good move is expected or a gap up opening.
Trendline Support at 43650 to 43680
Key level 43580 keep eyes on it if trade below then may sellers gets active more.
BN made a V shaped recovery from last fall but very slowpace then selling.
Note : Do your own analysis before making any trade or investment.
Rules to keep in mind while trading to became successful traderMost traders and investors treat trading as a hobby, because, they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Anyone who wants to become a profitable stock trader need only spend a few minutes online to find such phrases as plan your trade, trade your plan and keep your losses to a minimum.
For new traders, these things can seem more like a distraction than actionable advice. If you're new to trading, you probably just want to know how to hurry up and make money.
Each of the rules below is important, but when they work together the effects are strong. Keeping them in mind can greatly increase your odds of succeeding in the markets.
Key Takeaways
Treat trading like a business, not a hobby or a job. Learn everything about the business. Set realistic expectations for your business.
Rule 1: Trade based on Rule, when in doubt, stay out, Always Use a Trading Plan
Rule 2: Treat Trading Like a Business, not as a hobby
Rule 3: Proper position sizing is the key
Rule 4: Use Stop loss never trade based on hope, Protect Your Trading Capital
Rule 5: Constantly Analyze your mistakes and try to learn from it, become a student of the markets
Rule 6: Think about the risk potential before your reward potential, Risk only what you can afford to lose
Rule 7: Develop a methodology based on Facts, The objective is not to buy low and sell high, but to buy high and to sell higher
Rule 8: Trend is our real friend so Don't fight the trend
Rule 9: Never, under any circumstance add to a losing position
Conclusion
Understanding the importance of each of these trading rules, and how they work together, can help a trader establish a viable trading business. Trading is hard work, and traders who have the discipline and patience to follow these rules can increase their odds of success in a very competitive areas.
This post is just for educational and motivational purpose,
See you all next week. 🙂
RK
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
A Comprehensive Guide to Rectangle Formation.Introduction:
Price trends do not usually reverse on a dime. uptrend and downtrend are typically separated by a transitional period or trading range, and trading range formation signal trading opportunities for traders.
The trading range separating rising and falling price trends discussed here
is a pattern known as a rectangle.
This post will cover these questions:
1. Types of a trend reversal.
2. Rectangle formation.
3. consolidation rectangles.
4. Significance of a rectangle pattern.
5. Retracement moves
6. What when a rectangle fails?
1.Trend reversal
The turning point between the bull and bear phases is termed a reversal pattern.
# Reversal patterns at market tops are known as distribution because the security is said to be “distributed” from strong, informed participants to weak, uninformed ones.
# Price patterns, including rectangles, that develop at market bottoms are
called accumulation formations where the security passes from weak, uninformed participants to strong, informed ones.
a.Horizontal or transitional reversal.
An oil tanker takes a long time to slow down and then go into reverse. The same is normally
true of financial markets. Generally speaking, the longer the trend, the more
time spent in the reversal (turnaround) process. This transitional or horizontal phase has great significance
because it is the demarcation between a rising and a falling trend.
b. Reversal on a dime without warning.
This type of reversal is the exception to transitional reversal and they are the highly emotional market that changes without warning.
2. Rectangle formation.
The figure shows the price action at the end of a long rising trend. price starts to move in a trading range between Point A and Point B.
Point A can be identified as a resistance area after the price backed of two times from Point A.
Point B can be identified as a support area after the price moved up two times from Point B.
one can draw horizontal trendlines or Box on the chart to mark the level.
At this point, the demand/supply relationship comes into balance in favour of the sellers whenever the price
reaches A, and the demand/supply relationship comes into balance in favour of the buyers when the price reaches B.
Finally, prices fall below point B signals a trend reversal and the sellers are dominating the market.
3. consolidation rectangles.
If the rectangle following an uptrend is completed with a victory for the buyers as the price pushes through the upper line A , a reversal does not develop because the breakout above A reaffirms the underlying trend. In this case, the corrective phase (trading range) associated with the formation of the
rectangle temporarily interrupts the bull market and becomes a consolidation pattern.
In the figure, a breakout to the upside makes this pattern a continuation rectangle.
#the prevailing trend is in existence until it is proved to have been reversed.
4. Significance of a rectangle pattern.
i. Time Frames
The longer the time frame, the more significant the pattern. A pattern that
shows up on a monthly chart is likely to be far more significant than one
on an intraday chart, and so forth.
the longer a pattern takes to develop in a particular time frame, the greater its significance within that
time frame.
# Most of the time the larger pattern will be more important, but not every time. In technical analysis, we are dealing in probabilities, never certainties.
ii.Volume Considerations.
volume is an important independent variable that can help us obtain a more accurate reflection of crowd psychology. volume shrinks during the formation of pattern and blastoff on successful breakout/breakdown of the price.
iii. Measuring implications:
The depth of the pattern is projected in the direction of the breakout from the breakout point
5. Retracement moves.
Many times when the price breaks out from the rectangle, the initial move is followed by a corrective move back to the breakout point. This is known as a retracement move, and it offers an additional entry point for left out players who pushes the prices again in the breakout direction.
6. What when a rectangle fails?
One of the first things that should be done upon entering any business venture is to weigh the possible risk against the potential reward. the same is true in the financial markets.
*Amatures on breakout only focuses on potential profits.
*Professionals always consider the risk as an equal.
this means when opening a new position you have to consider the risk to reward ratio and decide prior to opening the position what type of price action would cause you to conclude that the breakout was a whipsaw.
Some price action to consider to identify a whipsaw (fake breakout).
a.50% rule.
It very much depends on the chart. If there are no obvious support points, many traders believe that a penetration of the 50 percent mark is the place to exit. In this case, the 50 percent mark is the central point between the two horizontal lines that make up the rectangle.
b. Trendline support
using price action trendline to identify if the trend is valid or has been breached.
c. Stop below/above the opposite line of breakout/breakdown.
one can set a stop above the resistance line if the short-sell position is triggered.
or set a stop below the support line if the long position is triggered.
d. False breakouts:
Shrinking volume on an upside/downside breakout.
Hope you found this helpful and I sincerely hope you find a ton of good rectangle formations to trade-in!
Happy Trading!