Rupee
USDINR - A short to medium term top in placeThe first leg of irregular correction has started to appear from 77.01. Now a trading opportunity is visible on price charts which can drag prices lower to:
i) 74 being 100% extension of wave A in an ideal case
ii) 73.22 being 138.2% extension of wave A in most cases
iii ) 72.70 being 161.8% extension of wave A on rare occasion
A break below 75.40 would provide the first confirmation that the move has started on the downside.
Could the Handle be forming ?In this current crisis, Could a Cup and Handle Pattern be forming?
Will we see 1USD = Rs.78 - Rs.80 ??
USD INR towards 84 in couple of months INR will be weak in the coming months. Target expecting beyond 84.
India VIXAlmost every year India VIX tends to test the lower end of its range and reverses sharply in JAN. A trigger for this usually is the Annual Budget (Vix rising as a lead up to the event). It appears that the same scenario might be repeated in 2020. However, this time we have a global trigger as well which could fuel the rise in VIX (as and when it happens) Gold & Silver breakout and USD/INR which is very close to a breakout above 70.40 (in this case it should be noted that US$ is so far fairly muted against major currencies).
We could initially see the Standard Deviation variation between Equity > Commodities / Currency expand. As a result, firstly the range will get broader, secondly price movement/reaction will be faster. Hence, option writing as Jan series gets into momentum might not be a safe hedge as it has appeared in NOV-DEC. Positional traders might get caught on the wrong side time and again as Swing traders are going to love the series
USD / INRUSD/INR appears to be within a sideways corrective. Appears like one more dip before it starts another up move. FM could give a short term boost to INR/Banking today in her budget speech
USDINR - Next Path (Holding 70.35) Expect 72.25 - 74.50+Trading Strategies
Plan A - Risky Traders
Buy with strict stops below 70.35 for 72.25
Buy above 72.50 for 74.50
Buy above 74.50 for 75.50-76 handle
Plan B- Safe Traders (Post Pattern Breakout on upside)
Buy only above 72.25 for 74.50 & above targets as mentioned in Plan A
Note - If USDINR moves in desired direction as expected upside holding 70.35/70.50 handle as support zone - Traders should be careful for Equities.
Thanks for Support
Does Dollar at Support?USDINR after reaching its high level range 72.20 is trying to test -- support range of 71.20-71.40
Any break down in any levels may lead to the further down levels of 70.48.
On the Resistance side, it may test 72.53 & 73 levels in the coming days.
Be Cautious with each trade.
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Market Commentary|Investiture.in
USDINR Flag BreakoutThough I'm just learning but this seems to be a Flag Breakout and we can buy at market or on some dips upto 70.30 for medium to long term targets of 75, 78 & 80 with a closing basis stop loss below 68. If I'm mistaken then please do correct me as I'm always open to learning the technical patterns and concepts. Thank you.
things r screaming for new all time high in USDINRNEW ALL TIME HIGH MUST BE INCOMING IN USD INR ...THAT MEANS BAD ...WORSE FOR INDIAN ECONOMY ..I ASSUME TILL END 2019 WE CAN SEE NEW ALL TIME HIGH IN USD INR .
THAT MEANS I WILL HEDGE MY ASSET VALUED IN INDIAN RUPPEE ..INTO DOLLAR OR WILL LONG THE USD INR PAIR .
USDINR - Short term directionThe currency pair is moving in corrective structures and is expected to extend the fall towards 69.30-69.35 range and then moving higher towards 70.40-70.45 in next one to two weeks.
USDINR Possible Downward in Short TermPossible target for the short is 67 area and If breaks above 72, this plan will fail.
USDINR UpdateHey Guys,
USDINR looks good for trade, currently on the weekly resistance zone and most probably it's going to go down from here(decision on Crude Oil on 3rd May is going to also impact it). There are 2 scenarios I have plotted in the charts
1. reaction in the upcoming months from the similarity of historical candles
2. From the combination of support resistance and Weekly charts RSI, It looks weak on the weekly chart so most probably can break the lower support level.
This is just my point of view, not financial advice.
Feel free to share your views.
Thank You
USDIN Bulls are ready to take overUSDINR is riding slowing on a bull trend with an strong support at ₹69.13, 69.001 and 68.47
Whenever it touches any of the support don't panic and wait for it to give a closing price of the day. If it below then it is still in bear trend.
Otherwise, taking the (SL) of ₹69.06 with the target of 69.70 and 70.20 in coming days.
USDINR - The Box Match@69.16Education & Trading Idea
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Mankading
Controversial Strategy Mankading has been discussed which is used at times to score a plus against your opponent and compared with similar box kind of strategy used in real time trading.
The act of dismissing a batsman when bowler makes the bowling action before he could complete the bowling -non striker batsman leaves the crease & bowler removes the bail. This act is called Mankading & was named after legendary cricketer - Sir, Vinoo Mankad
Latest Mankading act which I recollect was seen carrying out by famous cricketer- Chris Gayle in IPL & In Under-19 Cricket World Cup -West Indies V/s Zimbabwe where West Indies took the last quarter-final spot with a thrilling, but controversial, two-run win over Zimbabwe & finally winning Under - 19 World Cup.
That's the power of Mankading.
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Trading Strategy
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Strict Stoploss - 68.00
Target 1 Zone -
71.50-71.80
Target 2 Above 71.80
72.50
Target 3 Above 72.60
74.50
Target 4 Above 74.50
Can it be Up Up & Away
Thanks for watching this video.