XAU/USD – Market awaits JOLTS, Gold holds safe-haven role⚓️ Captain Vincent – XAU/USD: US–Venezuela tensions push Gold as safe haven
1. Market News 🌍
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio confirmed that the US military attacked a drug ship departing from Venezuela, as Washington steps up pressure on the Maduro government.
Earlier, Trump offered a $50 million bounty to force Venezuela’s President out of power, while deploying military forces near the Caribbean coast.
👉 These moves raise fears of a potential regional conflict, making Gold the top safe-haven asset. The strong rally this morning reflects safe-haven flows returning to GOLD.
📌 Tonight’s focus (3/9 – 21:00): JOLTS Job Openings report – a key gauge of US labour market health.
If the data comes weaker than expected → USD may face more pressure → Gold could accelerate higher.
2. Technical Analysis ⚙️
On the H1 chart, Gold has formed multiple BOS (Break of Structure), showing the bullish trend remains in control.
Buy Zone 3,478 – 3,480: Aligns with a major Order Block, strong support for pullback entries.
Sell Zone 3,577 – 3,579: Near fib extension 1.618, potential resistance where profit-taking may appear.
Key Support – Resistance zones:
Support: 3,528 – 3,507
Resistance: 3,562 – 3,585
3. Trade Scenarios 📌
🔺 BUY Zone (Priority)
Entry: 3,478 – 3,480
SL: 3,470
TP: 3,483 → 3,486 → 3,489 → 349x → 35xx
🔻 SELL Zone (Resistance)
Entry: 3,577 – 3,579
SL: 3,586
TP: 3,573 → 3,570 → 3,567 → 3,560 → 35xx
4. Conclusion ⚓
Gold continues to benefit from US–Venezuela geopolitical tensions, while maintaining a bullish structure with consecutive BOS signals.
In the short term, traders may:
Look to BUY around 3,478 – 3,480 to follow the main trend.
Watch for short-term SELL at 3,577 – 3,579 if price retests strong resistance.
👉 With geopolitical risks rising and US economic data (JOLTS) due tonight, Gold remains the No.1 safe-haven asset.
Safehaven
Gold consolidates as new alliances emerge | Captain Vincent 1. News Wave 🌍
At the two-day summit in Shanghai, Prime Minister Modi and President Xi Jinping announced that India and China will become development partners rather than competitors.
The meeting also included Russia and four Central Asian nations, aiming to form a Southern Hemisphere bloc to counterbalance the US and the West.
👉 This signals a shift in geopolitical power, heightening concerns of global polarization → Gold continues to hold its safe-haven position.
2. Technical Analysis ⚙️
On the H2 chart, Gold has formed a Higher High after the recent strong breakout.
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3511 – 3518): Strong resistance, potential for supply if price retests.
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3450 – 3448): Confluence with FVG + Fibonacci 0.5/0.618, a key support for pullback entries.
Main Trend: Gold likely to move sideways between 3450 – 3510 before choosing a major direction.
3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙
🔻 Storm Breaker 🌊 (SELL Reaction)
Entry: 3511 – 3508
SL: 3518
TP: 3505 → 3500 → 3497 → 349x → 348x
🏝️ Golden Harbor (BUY Zone – Strong Support)
Entry: 3450 – 3448
SL: 3440
TP: 3453 → 3456 → 3459 → 3462 → 346x
4. Captain’s Note ⚓
"Political news continues to stir the golden sea 🌊. Bears are waiting at Storm Breaker 3511, but the safe harbor remains Golden Harbor 3450 – 3448. In such unpredictable waters, prioritise short-term sells to flow with safe-haven demand, rather than recklessly facing the storm."
War Fear Driving Gold: Iran-Israel Conflict Fuels Breakout!Hello Evevryone, let's discuss about Gold today as it has officially broken out of its parallel (Neutral bullish) channel with a powerful candle backed by massive volume surge , confirming strong buying interest — likely driven by safe-haven demand amid the rising Iran-Israel conflict. The breakout above 3444–3410 zone indicates a potential trend continuation setup where price may now retest the breakout area before pushing higher.
This move isn’t just technical — it’s fundamentally supported by fear in global markets. Whenever war fears rise, investors rush towards Gold to hedge their capital. That’s exactly what this spike reflects.
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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How Gold Reacts During Economic Uncertainty!Hello Traders!
In times of fear, inflation, or recession — one asset often shines brighter than the rest: Gold .
Whether it’s due to geopolitical tensions, banking crises, or inflation spikes, gold has historically acted as a safe haven that protects capital when the broader markets get shaky.
If you look at the long-term chart of gold, you’ll notice a pattern — whenever the world panics, gold rallies hard. Let’s read the chart along with the logic
Why Gold Rallies During Uncertainty
1979–80: Oil Shock + High Inflation → Gold Spikes
Back then, inflation hit double digits, oil prices surged, and investors ran toward gold.
2008–2011: Global Financial Crisis
Bank collapses and money printing triggered a multi-year bull run in gold.
2020: COVID Pandemic Panic
Fear + liquidity = another sharp gold rally as investors looked for protection.
2023–25: Inflation, War Tensions, Banking Cracks
The most recent rally is no different. Sticky inflation, geopolitical tensions, and bank instability have once again pushed gold to new highs!
These major phases are clearly marked on the chart. Each rally followed a crisis — gold doesn’t rise randomly, it rises for a reason.
When Gold May Struggle
Strong Dollar Environment:
Since gold is priced in USD, a rising dollar often limits gold’s upside.
Rising Real Interest Rates:
When central banks hike rates aggressively and inflation cools, investors shift to bonds or savings for better returns.
Risk-On Sentiment:
During tech booms or bull markets, traders prefer equities over gold — causing consolidation or correction.
Rahul’s Tip
Gold is not always about profits — it's about protection.
When the world is calm, gold may rest. But when uncertainty hits, it roars.
Use it like an umbrella — not every day, but definitely when clouds appear.
Conclusion
Gold remains one of the smartest assets to watch during uncertain times.
From 1980 to 2025, the chart has told us one thing again and again — when fear enters the market, gold doesn’t just protect wealth — it creates wealth.
How do you use gold in your trading or investing? Drop your thoughts below!
Let’s discuss and learn together!
Gold (XAUUSD) Going Parabolic ?The chart suggests that Gold (XAUUSD) has been rising steadily in the past year.
Gold in general acts as hedge against inflation and uncertainty.
There can be further upthrust due to some catalyst. In general one should not short a parabolic move prematurely as it can keep moving upwards. Only with defined signals one must try that. Shorting in general is very difficult. Nevertheless if one wants to trade a parabolic move, they can long it with a small position so that the risk reward is great. Commit only that much which you are ready to lose with appropriate stop loss.
What effects the price of Gold in general -
1. Geopolitical events - e.g.
Ukraine War
Gaza War
Tariff Wars
2. Dollar Index - Post election DXY rose steadily causing selloff in emerging markets. Though Gold fell initially but it steadied and started moving upwards later. Since gold correlates negatively in general with DXY, it's important to keep a tab on it.
3. Demand and supply of physical gold.
Buying and selling by Central Banks around the world
Mining output
Demand by consumers
4. Monetary policies of Central Banks of USA, China, Japan etc
5. Trading in derivatives
PS - This is not an exhaustive list of course.
So in order to understand and speculate on Gold one must have an updated macro view and chart reading capacity.
Trade Safe