XAUUSD Forecast – Gold Price Action and Market InsightsXAUUSD Forecast – Gold Price Action and Market Insights
Gold is showing signs of stabilization after recent fluctuations, with price consolidating around the mid-range levels. The chart highlights repeated sequences of structural breaks and shifts, indicating that liquidity has been actively swept on both the buy and sell side.
The latest market move shows a controlled decline, followed by an attempt to absorb selling pressure. Current positioning suggests the possibility of a short-term liquidity grab to the downside, which could fuel a stronger recovery leg in the sessions ahead.
The projected outlook favors a scenario where buyers regain momentum, aiming to retest the upper price zones. If this momentum develops, the market may establish a renewed upward leg in alignment with the broader bullish cycle observed across higher timeframes.
From a macro perspective, gold continues to be supported by demand for safe-haven assets amid ongoing global financial uncertainty and shifting monetary policies. This backdrop enhances the probability of gold sustaining its mid-term bullish trajectory despite temporary corrective phases.
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Gold Breaking Limits – Trend Speaks for ItselfGold Breaking Limits – Trend Speaks for Itself
Gold Market Outlook
Gold continues to demonstrate a well-structured bullish cycle, characterized by steady momentum and clean trend development. The market has transitioned from a prolonged consolidation phase into a sustained directional move, where each breakout is validated by controlled retracements. This reflects strong participation and confidence from larger players.
The sequence of market shifts and break-of-structure signals highlight how short-term pullbacks are consistently absorbed, turning into fuel for further expansion. Price action is orderly, with no signs of erratic volatility, showing that buyers remain in control and liquidity is being managed efficiently.
Overall, gold is moving in line with the broader macro sentiment. The rhythm of accumulation, expansion, and continuation suggests that the current cycle has not yet exhausted its potential. While interim pauses are expected, the structural integrity of the trend continues to favor upside development over the medium term.
Gold – Reversals to TrendsOur system thrives on dual strength — catching reversals at the turn and riding the trend that follows.
MCX:GOLDM1! has been the perfect example.
Precision entries on reversals, disciplined trailing on momentum.
This edge has delivered multiple double-digit “R” trades.
Risk stays small, reward compounds big.
That’s the power of rules executed with patience.
XAU/USD – Market awaits JOLTS, Gold holds safe-haven role⚓️ Captain Vincent – XAU/USD: US–Venezuela tensions push Gold as safe haven
1. Market News 🌍
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio confirmed that the US military attacked a drug ship departing from Venezuela, as Washington steps up pressure on the Maduro government.
Earlier, Trump offered a $50 million bounty to force Venezuela’s President out of power, while deploying military forces near the Caribbean coast.
👉 These moves raise fears of a potential regional conflict, making Gold the top safe-haven asset. The strong rally this morning reflects safe-haven flows returning to GOLD.
📌 Tonight’s focus (3/9 – 21:00): JOLTS Job Openings report – a key gauge of US labour market health.
If the data comes weaker than expected → USD may face more pressure → Gold could accelerate higher.
2. Technical Analysis ⚙️
On the H1 chart, Gold has formed multiple BOS (Break of Structure), showing the bullish trend remains in control.
Buy Zone 3,478 – 3,480: Aligns with a major Order Block, strong support for pullback entries.
Sell Zone 3,577 – 3,579: Near fib extension 1.618, potential resistance where profit-taking may appear.
Key Support – Resistance zones:
Support: 3,528 – 3,507
Resistance: 3,562 – 3,585
3. Trade Scenarios 📌
🔺 BUY Zone (Priority)
Entry: 3,478 – 3,480
SL: 3,470
TP: 3,483 → 3,486 → 3,489 → 349x → 35xx
🔻 SELL Zone (Resistance)
Entry: 3,577 – 3,579
SL: 3,586
TP: 3,573 → 3,570 → 3,567 → 3,560 → 35xx
4. Conclusion ⚓
Gold continues to benefit from US–Venezuela geopolitical tensions, while maintaining a bullish structure with consecutive BOS signals.
In the short term, traders may:
Look to BUY around 3,478 – 3,480 to follow the main trend.
Watch for short-term SELL at 3,577 – 3,579 if price retests strong resistance.
👉 With geopolitical risks rising and US economic data (JOLTS) due tonight, Gold remains the No.1 safe-haven asset.
FED dovish, Gold stays bullish; SELL only for scalps⚓️ Captain Vincent – Gold Plan XAU/USD
1. Market Wave 🌍
The probability of a FED rate cut in September surged to 96.6% (vs 90.4% earlier) after the JOLTS report showed weakening job prospects.
Several FED officials, from Kashkari to Bostic, shifted dovish. Only Musallim maintained a hawkish stance with a scenario of just one cut.
👉 Result: Capital flows returned to Gold as the No.1 safe haven, pushing prices strongly higher overnight.
📌 Key data today (04/09 – US time):
ADP Nonfarm (7:15)
Jobless Claims (7:30)
ISM Services PMI (9:00)
➡️ This trio of data will be crucial catalysts for GOLD volatility.
2. Technical Analysis ⚙️
On M30/H1, Gold continues to form bullish BOS, keeping the main trend upward.
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3,477 – 3,479): Old Order Block, strong support if price pulls back.
Quick Boarding 🚤 (Sell Scalp 3,561 – 3,563): Only for short-term scalps.
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3,573 – 3,575): Aligned with Fibo 0.618–0.786, strong resistance with potential selling pressure.
Captain’s Shield 🛡️ (Support): 3,526 – 3,515 – 3,508
3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙
🔺 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (BUY – Priority)
Entry: 3,477 – 3,479
SL: 3,470
TP: 3,480 → 3,483 → 3,486 → 3,491 → 349x → 35xx
🚤 Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – Short Ride)
Entry: 3,561 – 3,563
SL: 3,569
TP: 3,558 → 3,555 → 3,552 → 354x
🌊 Storm Breaker (SELL Zone – Strong Resistance)
Entry: 3,573 – 3,575
SL: 3,581
TP: 3,570 → 3,565 → 3,560 → 3,555 → 35xx
4. Captain’s Note ⚓
"The golden sail is filled with wind as the FED turns dovish. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3477) remains the safe haven to align with the bullish trend. SELLs are just Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps at Storm Breaker 🌊 , not long voyages."
Gold consolidates as new alliances emerge | Captain Vincent 1. News Wave 🌍
At the two-day summit in Shanghai, Prime Minister Modi and President Xi Jinping announced that India and China will become development partners rather than competitors.
The meeting also included Russia and four Central Asian nations, aiming to form a Southern Hemisphere bloc to counterbalance the US and the West.
👉 This signals a shift in geopolitical power, heightening concerns of global polarization → Gold continues to hold its safe-haven position.
2. Technical Analysis ⚙️
On the H2 chart, Gold has formed a Higher High after the recent strong breakout.
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3511 – 3518): Strong resistance, potential for supply if price retests.
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3450 – 3448): Confluence with FVG + Fibonacci 0.5/0.618, a key support for pullback entries.
Main Trend: Gold likely to move sideways between 3450 – 3510 before choosing a major direction.
3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙
🔻 Storm Breaker 🌊 (SELL Reaction)
Entry: 3511 – 3508
SL: 3518
TP: 3505 → 3500 → 3497 → 349x → 348x
🏝️ Golden Harbor (BUY Zone – Strong Support)
Entry: 3450 – 3448
SL: 3440
TP: 3453 → 3456 → 3459 → 3462 → 346x
4. Captain’s Note ⚓
"Political news continues to stir the golden sea 🌊. Bears are waiting at Storm Breaker 3511, but the safe harbor remains Golden Harbor 3450 – 3448. In such unpredictable waters, prioritise short-term sells to flow with safe-haven demand, rather than recklessly facing the storm."
GOLD 08/21 – BULLISH TREND CONFIRMEDGOLD 08/21 – BULLISH TREND CONFIRMED
Gold has confirmed its bullish momentum – today the market opens with strong upside potential.
Market Context
Gold surged yesterday and is now consolidating around the 334x zone, confirming the strength of buyers.
The Fed’s latest announcement kept rates unchanged, with the Chairman maintaining a cautious stance despite heavy political pressure from President Trump. Analysts agree that holding rates steady is necessary at this stage.
Currently, price is hovering near 3340 for liquidity collection. While some sell positions remain in the 332x–333x range waiting to exit, buying pressure is stronger, leaving many traders cautious but watching for confirmation of the trend.
Technical Overview
EMA34–89–200: All aligned bullish, confirming the uptrend.
Fibonacci & Trendline: Price holds firm above key levels, supporting continuation.
MACD: Expanding bullish momentum.
Elliott Wave: Ongoing wave structure shows room for further upside.
The bullish bias remains valid as long as price holds above the key support at 3312. Only a confirmed break below this level would negate the buy setup.
Trade Setups for 08/21
🔹 Buy Strategy (Priority):
Buy 3328–3330, SL 3324, TP 3336 → 3345 → 3355 → 3370
Buy 3316–3318, SL 3311, TP 3325 → 3336 → 3345 → 3355 → 3370
🔹 Sell Setup (Countertrend):
Sell 3369–3371, SL 3376, TP 3363 → 3355 → 3345 → 3333
Focus on scalping with the main trend to improve profit probability.
Watch price action carefully at 3312 (key support) and 3370 (resistance) for confirmation of the next move.
#Gold #XAUUSD #IndiaTrading #MarketAnalysis #ForexIndia #CommodityTrading #PriceAction
Gold Outlook After FOMC NewsGold Outlook After FOMC News
The recent FOMC meeting did not bring any new policy measures to support the economy. Chair Powell stated that conditions remain stable, and interest rates were kept unchanged. As a result, markets stayed quiet, with expectations now shifting towards September for potential updates.
On the charts, gold completed wave A after reacting strongly to the trendline on the daily timeframe. I expect the market to now form an ABC corrective structure, which would complete a medium-term Elliott cycle. The recent rally also broke above the descending trendline on H4, confirming that the bullish momentum could be more sustainable.
Currently, price is showing a mild pullback since the Asian session. A retracement of around 40–50% on the recent H4 candle would be a healthy move, and it could retest the broken descending trendline. If confirmed, this would establish a stronger bullish Dow structure, opening room for a longer cycle, at least until wave C completes.
The H4 chart also supports this view, with MACD averages pointing upward and trading volume showing steady growth.
Buy Zone: Around 3334 on the H4 candle, in line with the trend for holding medium- to long-term positions.
Sell Zone: Around 3365, once wave C completes and a new cycle begins.
Gold is now showing clearer technical direction. I hope this scenario helps traders align with the market trend. Wishing you all successful trades.
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #MACD #CommodityTrading #FOMC
Gold Update – Asian Session Ahead of FOMCGold Update – Asian Session Ahead of FOMC
After yesterday’s sharp decline below 3312, gold found strong support and is now consolidating sideways, building liquidity for the next move. From the current outlook, a short-term rebound is likely before the broader downtrend continues.
Looking at structure, the descending channel remains intact with price respecting the trendline, and yesterday’s break out of the triangle formation reinforced the bearish bias.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, the market may now be forming wave 4. If this rebound carries price back towards the 3325–3330 zone, it will retest a strong resistance area that has repeatedly capped price before. Should that happen, wave 5 could begin — and by theory, it is often the strongest leg.
Fibonacci projections highlight the next support near 3295. If tonight’s FOMC meeting delivers a hawkish outcome in favour of the US dollar, gold could even extend lower towards 3280.
For short-term trading, buyers may consider positions near 3316 with a tight stop just below the recent low, aiming to capture the corrective move of wave 4. On the flip side, if price reacts around 3325–3330, this may provide an opportunity to sell into the expected wave 5, with potential targets extending 40–50 dollars lower if momentum strengthens.
A sustainable trend always alternates between retracements and impulses. Patience in waiting for the right wave often leads to more effective trades than rushing to pick tops or bottoms.
Do you think the FOMC this month will announce a positive interest rate outlook? Share your thoughts in the comments.
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Fibonacci #ElliottWave #MACD #ForexIndia #CommodityTrading #FOMC
Gold Plan 18/08 – Captain VincentBackground
For the past two days, Gold has repeatedly tested the 3332 – 3334 zone and slipped down to 3323, showing that buyers at this level are losing strength.
The broader trend still leans bullish, but the market is heavily influenced by geopolitics and news events:
📰 US–Russia preparing for a new round of Ukraine talks (15 Aug, Alaska).
🌐 Trump’s tariff stance remains unclear, adding volatility to Gold.
💵 Fed is likely to cut 25bps in September, keeping Gold in “defensive but ready to break out” mode.
➡ With this backdrop, today’s plan requires flexibility: Buy with trend, Sell scalp at key resistances.
1. Buy Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤
Entry: 3324 – 3326
SL: 3320
TP: 3328 → 3332 → 3336 → 33xx
Note: Only suitable for quick scalps, avoid holding longer.
2. Main Buy Zone – Safe Harbor ⚓
Entry: 3313 – 3311
SL: 3304
TP: 3314 → 3319 → 3325 → 3330
Meaning: This is the main launchpad for buyers if price corrects deeper.
3. Sell Scalp Zone – Storm Breaker 🌊
Entry: 3366 – 3377
SL: 3383
TP: 3362 → 3355 → 33xx
Meaning: Short-term resistance, ideal for quick reaction sells.
4. Main Sell Zone – Watchtower ⛩
Entry: 3396 – 3394
SL: 3402
TP: 3390 → 3385 → 3380 → 33xx
Meaning: Strong resistance zone, highly likely to trigger a bearish reaction.
If broken, Gold may extend further into 34xx.
Today’s Scenarios
If price dips to 3324 – 3326 → Quick Buy Scalp.
If price drops deeper → Prefer to Buy at Safe Harbor (3313 – 3311).
If price rises to 3366 – 3377 → Short-term Sell Scalp.
If price tests 3396 – 3394 → Stronger Sell, this is the main resistance.
Captain’s Note:
"The Gold ship still sails North ⚓ today, but each time it hits Storm Breaker 🌊 or Watchtower ⛩, the sails will drop for a quick strike before retreating. Waves from Trump–Putin headlines and the Fed’s next move may stir up rough seas. Remember, mates: better to miss one trade than let the waves sink the ship." 🏴☠️
GOLD 08/18 – DOWNTREND BROKENGOLD 08/18 – DOWNTREND BROKEN
Market Context
This week, all eyes are on Wednesday’s FOMC meeting. Key updates around the rate-cut trajectory are likely to get clearer during the first two trading days.
In the Asian session this morning, gold dipped but quickly bounced back, even breaking the previous high with strong momentum and large volume, pushing towards the trendline. Price is showing some reaction here, but the chances of a deep correction remain low.
The next target zone could be around 3394–3396, where a major untested Volume Profile cluster sits. If price reaches this area and breaks the medium-term H4 trendline, the priority strategy will be to buy pullbacks and ride the continuation of the uptrend.
On the geopolitical side, the recent Alaska meeting ended without any agreement, signalling global tensions may continue to rise.
Trading Plan for 08/18
Bullish Setup
Buy Entry: 3345–3347
Stop Loss: 3340
Take Profit: 3355 → 3362 → 3370 → 3385
Bearish Pullback Setups
Sell Entry: 3372–3374
SL: 3378
TP: 3365 → 3360 → 3352 → 3340
Sell Entry: 3394–3396
SL: 3400
TP: 3388 → 3380 → 3372 → 3365
Note
Watch price action closely around 3394–3396. The main downtrend channel has been broken, so the bias remains towards buying with the trend.
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #TradingViewIndia #FOMC #RateCuts #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #CommodityTrading #IndianTraders #ForexIndia
GOLD 08/14 – TRADERS WAIT FOR PPI DATAGOLD 08/14 – TRADERS WAIT FOR PPI DATA
Market Overview
Today, the USD PPI data will be released during the US session, with forecasts pointing to a better figure than the previous month. However, in my view, the chances of a strong reading are relatively low.
Gold is currently in a sustainable corrective uptrend, with market sentiment indicating that traders have become more willing to buy at higher levels. Volume Profile shows a significant liquidity zone still present above, which is understandable since gold traded in a wide range throughout last week.
There’s also the possibility of a fake downside break below the trendline, followed by a rebound. In the Asian session today, gold bounced upon touching this trendline and continued to maintain the upward channel on H1–H4 timeframes.
Technical Outlook
The primary scenario for today is that gold may rise first, followed by a potential short-term pullback. Entries will be planned around price action and reactions at key support and resistance levels.
Trading Plan
Buy Setups
Buy Entry: 3352–3354
SL: 3348
TP: 3360 → 3378 → 3385 → 3390
Buy Entry: 3332–3334
SL: 3327
TP: 3340 → 3355 → 3360 → 3378 → 3390
Sell Setups
Sell Entry: 3378–3380
SL: 3386
TP: 3370 → 3360 → 3355 → 3342
Sell Entry: 3395–3397
SL: 3402
TP: 3390 → 3385 → 3370 → 3360 → 3355
Notes
Monitor price behaviour at key technical levels.
Prioritise higher timeframes (H1, H4) to avoid noise from short-term fluctuations.
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #TradingViewIndia #CommodityTrading #ForexIndia #PPIdata #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis
GOLD 08/13 – SIDEWAYS TREND AWAITING A PUMPGOLD 08/13 – SIDEWAYS TREND AWAITING A PUMP
Market Overview
Following yesterday’s CPI release, investor sentiment seems to have adapted to data not aligning with forecasts. The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell sharply, yet gold maintained its position as the 3359 resistance level held firmly.
If the price manages to break this level today, a strong pump could follow, targeting around 3390.
At this stage, traders should focus on short-term profit-taking to avoid psychological pressure from the current narrow sideways range. The 3329–3331 zone reacted well yesterday; if you still hold long positions from this zone, consider keeping a small portion open.
Technical Outlook
If gold sees a sharp decline, the next key demand area lies near 3300 — the price level seen during the last NFP release, which still holds significant liquidity due to misplaced market expectations.
The nearest potential sell zone is around 3366, a former support level that now coincides with a price gap. From a market psychology standpoint, if the price breaks through the strong 3359 resistance, it will be logical for traders to take profits here, especially for those stuck in buy positions at this level.
Trading Plan for Today
Sell Setups
Sell Entry: 3365–3367
SL: 3371
TP: 3360 → 3352 → 3335 → 3310
Sell Entry: 3392–3394
SL: 3399
TP: 3385 → 3373 → 3366 → 3352
Buy Setups
Buy Entry: 3321–3323
SL: 3316
TP: 3330 → 3336 → 3350 → 3366
Buy Entry: 3298–3300
SL: 3293
TP: 3312 → 3325 → 3336 → 3350 → 3366
Trading Notes
Price is still moving sideways, awaiting a breakout to confirm the next trend. The last two weeks have shown clear caution among traders in gold, so patience and waiting for strong confirmation levels is key before increasing position size.
#GoldTrading #XAUUSD #IndiaMarkets #ForexIndia #CommodityTrading #GoldAnalysis
Gold Plan 13/08 – Captain VincentGold Plan 13/08 – Captain Vincent ⚓
News Background
📊 Gold is holding steady near $3,350/oz after the US July CPI release.
Headline CPI : 2.7% (below forecast of 2.8%) 📉
Core CPI: 3.1% (up from 2.9%) 📈
➡ This cools down inflation fears from tariffs and increases the probability of a 25 bps Fed rate cut in September , which is bullish for Gold.
Key factors to watch:
💼 Market awaiting more data: PPI, jobless claims, retail sales.
🔍 Tariff drama: Trump says no tariffs, but US Customs just listed 1kg & 100oz gold bars under taxable imports.
🌐 US extends the trade truce with China for another 90 days.
🕊 US–Russia talks on Ukraine scheduled for 15 Aug in Alaska.
News conclusion:
Lower-than-expected CPI + higher Fed cut chances = Gold remains positive.
But tariff and geopolitical risks must be tracked closely.
Yesterday’s Action (12/08)
Gold tapped the Buy Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤 zone and bounced ~290 pips .
However, it failed to break decisively above the zone and moved sideways around support.
Technical Plan – 13/08
1. Sell Scalp – Quick Boarding Reverse ⚓
Entry: 3,374 – 3,376
SL: 3,382
TP: 3,368 → 3,362 → 3,355 → 3,3xx
Reason: Short-term resistance, suitable for quick sell scalps when price retests higher.
2. Sell Zone – Storm Breaker 🌊
Entry: 3,405 – 3,406
SL: 3,411
TP: 3,395 → 3,385 → 3,375 → 3,365
Reason: Major resistance zone aligned with previous highs and trend channel.
Scenarios:
Price likely to rise from current sideways range to test either Sell Scalp or Storm Breaker.
Priority: Sell if reversal signals (pin bar, engulfing) appear on M15/H1 at these zones.
If price breaks above Storm Breaker and holds above 3,411 → cancel sell plan, wait for new structure.
Captain’s Note:
"The CPI wave has anchored the Gold ship near 3,350. Today, the crew is ready to set sail towards Sell Scalp and Storm Breaker, waiting for the winds to shift for a profitable turn." ⚓🌊
GOLD 08/11 – UPTREND CHANNEL BREACHEDGOLD 08/11 – UPTREND CHANNEL BREACHED
Market Overview
As the new week begins, gold has shown clear changes in trading volume and price structure. The short-term uptrend has been violated as price broke below the H4 trendline and touched the 3378 level.
If the H4 candle closes below this area, it would confirm a short-term bearish bias, favouring sell setups. However, the key level remains around 3350–3358 – this is the zone that would confirm a medium-term downtrend if broken.
That said, the dominant trend is still bullish for now. The next upside target lies at Fibonacci 2.618, a zone that resisted a breakout last week despite 8 H4 candle tests. Beyond that, the further target is the Fibonacci 3.618 area around 3448–3452.
Macro Factors
This week, the USD could face significant volatility from key economic data:
CPI release on Tuesday
PPI release on Thursday
Expect potential sharp moves if the results deviate from forecasts.
Trading Plan for 08/11
Buy Scenarios
Buy: 3354–3356 | SL: 3349 | TP: 3362 → 3370 → 3388 → 3400
Buy: 3343–3345 | SL: 3338 | TP: 3350 → 3362 → 3370 → 3388 → …
Sell Scenarios
Sell: 3404–3406 | SL: 3411 | TP: 3395 → 3488 → 3470 → 3462
Sell: 3432–3434 | SL: 3440 | TP: 3425 → 3415 → 3405
Note:
Bias remains bullish overall, but watch price action closely at key technical levels.
ge risk carefully ahead of major news events.
Wishing you a profitable trading session with this plan.
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #ForexIndia #CommodityTrading #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #IndianTraders #MCXGold #GoldForecast
Trade Type: Gold Sell (Short Position)📌 Entry: Sell Below 3380
🛑 Stop Loss: 3440
🎯 Targets:
• 3200
• 3000
• 2800
• 2600
📈 Risk-Reward: Up to 13:1
📍 Positional Setup
🚨 Trail SL after each target hit
📆 Suitable for Swing/Positional Traders
🧠 Always use proper risk management. Trade at your own discretion.
#Gold #XAUINR #GoldShort #SwingTrade #PositionalTrade #CommodityTrading #TradingSetup #RiskReward #PriceAction #ShortSetup #SellGold #MCXGold #TechnicalAnalysis
Silver Futures – Bearish Reversal in Progress
Silver Futures – Bearish Reversal in Progress
Description:
Silver is showing a strong technical reversal across timeframes. Short-term correction looks likely.
Technical Setup:
Daily:
Evening Star + Bearish Engulfing
Flattening EMAs
Volume and MACD confirming momentum slowdown
Weekly:
Gravestone + Southern Doji near resistance
RSI close to overbought
EMA slope still up, but weakening signs visible
Macro View:
No major bearish macro trigger — Fed dovish, USD stable, inflation low.
→ This is likely a technical pullback, not a fundamental reversal.
Trade Plan:
🔻 Breakdown Level: ₹114,560
🎯 Targets: ₹107K → ₹101K → ₹93K
🛑 SL: ₹116,000+
Caution: No position without breakdown confirmation.
Trade Setup – BUY WTI Crude Oil (USOIL)✅ Trade Setup – BUY WTI Crude Oil (USOIL)
📅 Date: July 2–3, 2025
🕒 Timeframe: 1H
🎯 Trade Parameters:
Buy Zone (Entry): 65.00 – 64.90 USD/barrel
Stop Loss (SL): 64.55 USD (below rising trendline and lower Bollinger Band)
Take Profit (TP):
• TP1: 66.50 USD
• TP2: 67.00 USD
📊 Technical Analysis Highlights:
Rising trendline from June 24 continues to hold, forming a solid support area around 64.9–65.0.
Bollinger Bands are narrowing, indicating potential volatility expansion. Price is consolidating near the mid-band (MA20), often a precursor to bullish breakout.
Volume shows signs of accumulation around the trendline, suggesting buying interest at key support.
Multiple rejections from 64.90 without breakdown reinforces this level as near-term support.
🧭 Strategy Notes:
Enter on price pullback to the 65.00–64.90 zone with confirmation (e.g. bullish pin bar, engulfing pattern, volume spike).
Suggested position management:
• Take 50% profit at 66.50
• Hold the remaining 50% toward 67.00 if momentum is strong.
If price breaks below 64.55 with strong volume, exit the trade to preserve capital.
Good luck Everybody! Fl me here and ytb ! Thanks
GoldGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) – Bearish Wyckoff Distribution (Unorthodox) in Play
Gold is currently trading around $3273/oz and appears to be in Phase D of a Bearish Wyckoff Distribution Schematic #1 (Unorthodox) on the 4H chart. The price is showing signs of weakness, but a final upthrust toward $3370 can’t be ruled out before a deeper breakdown.
Key level to watch:
⚠️ Breakdown confirmation below $3260–3200 could open the gates for a sharper decline.
Bearish structure still unfolding – traders should stay alert for signs of a last bull trap before distribution completes.
#Gold #XAUUSD #Wyckoff #TechnicalAnalysis #CommodityTrading #PriceAction
Gold Trading Strategy for 25th april 2025📈 GOLD INTRADAY TRADE PLAN – STRATEGY BASED ON 15-MIN CANDLE
🔸 Buy Setup
Buy Above: The high of the 15-minute candle, only if the candle closes above ₹3372
Entry Confirmation: Wait for a bullish 15-minute candle to close above ₹3372
Targets:
Target 1: ₹3385
Target 2: ₹3395
Target 3: ₹3410
Stop Loss (Suggested): Below the low of the same breakout candle or a fixed SL based on your risk appetite.
🔸 Sell Setup
Sell Below: The low of the 15-minute candle, only if the candle closes below ₹3326
Entry Confirmation: Wait for a bearish 15-minute candle to close below ₹3326
Targets:
Target 1: ₹3315
Target 2: ₹3300
Target 3: ₹3290
Stop Loss (Suggested): Above the high of the breakdown candle or a fixed SL as per your risk tolerance.
📌 Additional Notes
Use proper position sizing according to your risk management plan.
Avoid trading during high-impact economic news or volatile events.
Ensure confirmation with volume or other technical indicators if required.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or commodity. Trading in gold and other financial instruments involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The author is not liable for any losses incurred as a result of using this information.
CRUDE OIL MCX – INTRADAY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (14-Apr-25 | Monday)🛢️ CRUDE OIL MCX – INTRADAY ANALYSIS (14-Apr-25 | Monday)
With 6+ years of research and proven success in trading indices and commodities, I bring you high-probability intraday levels to help you stay ahead in the market. Follow these precise setups and trade with confidence!
✅ Day Range Trigger Point: 5310 | ✅ Expected Move: 193
📈 Buy Above: 5249 | ✅ Average Buy Position: 5227
🎯 Target1: 5429 | Target2: 5503
⛔ Stoploss: 5185
📉 Sell Below: 5204 | ⛔ Stoploss: 5268
🎯 Target1: 5191 | Target2: 5117
📊 Trading Strategy & Key Insights:
🔹 Retest for confirmation: Let the price retest the level before entering.
🔹 Ideal Entry Timing:
Before 10:30 AM or after 5:00 PM: Enter as soon as the level breaks.
Between 10:30 AM and 5:00 PM: Enter as close to the stoploss as possible, as the market often revisits stoploss zones during non-peak hours.
💡 Trading is a game of patience and precision. Follow tested strategies and let the market do the rest! 📈
🔥 Like, share, or boost this post if you found it helpful! Your engagement keeps me motivated and brings a smile to my face. Drop a comment if you visited my profile—I’d love to hear from you! 😊
#CrudeOilTrading #MCX #IntradayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #CommodityTrading #PriceAction #NumroTrader #TradingSignals #TradingTips 🚀
Natural Gas MCX Future Technical Analysis – 14-Apr-25🚀 Natural Gas MCX Future Technical Analysis – 14-Apr-25 🚀
With 6+ years of research and proven success in trading indices and commodities, I bring you high-probability intraday levels to help you stay ahead in the market. Follow these precise setups and trade with confidence!
✅ Day Range Trigger Point: 304.30 | ✅ Expected Move: 15.20
📈 Buy Above: 302.59 | ✅ Average Buy Position: 300.80
🎯 Target1: 313.69 | 🎯 Target2: 319.50
⛔ Stoploss: 297.53
📉 Sell Below: 299.01 | ⛔ Stoploss: 304.07
🎯 Target1: 294.91 | 🎯 Target2: 289.10
📊 Trading Strategy & Key Insights:
🔹 Retest for confirmation: Let the price retest the level before entering.
🔹 Ideal Entry Timing:
Before 10:30 AM or after 5:00 PM: Enter as soon as the level breaks.
Between 10:30 AM and 5:00 PM: Enter as close to the stoploss as possible, as the market often revisits stoploss zones during non-peak hours.
💡 Trading is a game of patience and precision. Follow tested strategies and let the market do the rest! 📈
🔥 Like, share, or boost this post if you found it helpful! Your engagement keeps me motivated and brings a smile to my face. Drop a comment if you visited my profile—I’d love to hear from you! 😊
#NaturalGasTrading #MCX #IntradayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #CommodityTrading #PriceAction #NumroTrader #TradingSignals #TradingTips 🚀