12OCT2021Global markets (Last Session):
🔴 US markets closed low near lowest point of the day. Dow/Nasdaq/SPX lost nearly 0.75% in a high volatile session
🟢 European markets had weak opening but managed to close marginally higher closing near highest point of the day
🔴 US 10YR yield cooling of today to 1.612 level. DXY rose high to 94.36 mark. Brent crude rose by 1.33% to 83.66.
Indian Indices Last Session:
🟢 #Nifty made high of 18059 before profit booking kicked in. Managed to close 0.42% higher. Highest closing near ATH.
🟢 #BankNifty made ATH of 38569 in a strong session. Second half seen some profit booking to close with +445(1.18%) high.
🟢 FII's were net seller of 2340+ cr ignoring option figures which could be for hedging. DII were net sellers of 373 cr.
Technicals:
🟢 Nifty RSIStairs has turned overbought in all timeframes D/W/M. D(67.28), W(76.46), M(80.12) & ADX D(37.59). #Caution
🟢 Nifty trading above all the major moving averages 20/50/100 in D/W time frame. 20DEMA 17636. Time to remain cautious
🟠 With quarterly results ahead, market may not be in hurry to correct anytime soon. May consolidate for another week
🔴 Good results are already priced in the market and hence #Nifty trading ATH. Any weak result may give TCS kind reaction.
🟢 Till some major levels are broken DCB #Nifty (17275-17433) and #BankNifty(37765) trend & momentum in favor of bulls.
🟢 #BankNifty RSI has given a breakout above 60. Banking stocks likely to do well this quarter. Expect BO. 20DEMA 37579
Global markets (Morning Cues @08.30 AM):
🔴 US & Europe futures trading marginally lower. Cues bearish. Need to wait for a day to get the direction for the week.
🔴 Asian markets trading lower. SGX trading down by 90 points indicating lower opening in the Indian benchmark indices
Intraday Index Futures Levels
🔴 IDX Levels adjusted to expected gap down. All TF bullish. Global cues negative. #ParticipantData of FII bearish.
🟠 #Nifty Fut 17618/17690/17743/17838-17995/18025/18053/18105. RDX Score- 15M(+1*)/75M(+3*)/1D(+5*)/1W(+6*) #Cautious
🟠 #BankNifty 37764/37957/38040/38175-38499/38569/38671/38775. RDX Score- 15M(+2*)/75M(+4*)/1D(+4*)/1W(+5*) #Cautious
#MarketOutlook #TradePlan #PreOpenUpdate #IndexFutLevels (View all levels only at 15M candle closing basis)
Intraday Index Trade Plan
🔴 #Nifty trading & sustaining below 17885 on 15 MCB will move lower. One need to wait for breakout and then take entry.
News And Additional Data:
🔴 Investors worry about the fear of rising crude & commodity prices, inflation, proposed tax hike & tapering, Evergrande.
🔴 Avoid buy on dips. Rising commodity prices is concerning. Even though all looks well, valuations doesn't justify. Cautious.
Search in ideas for "COMMODITY"
07OCT2021Global markets (Last Session):
🟢 US markets opened lower but recovered 1.5-1.75% sharply from day low to close higher near highest point of the day.
🟢 European markets opened lower & went down by 2-2.25%. But later recovered in second half to close with 1-1.5% loss.
🟠 US 10YR yield closed lower -0.33%. DXY rose to 94.23 mark. Crude oil eased off by 2.08% to close near 80.82 levels.
News And Additional Data:
🔴 Investors worry about rising crude and commodity prices, inflation, proposed tax hike & tapering, Evergrande crisis.
🟢 Indian equity markets have total disconnect with the global markets & have outperformed its global peers by miles
Indian Indices Last Session:
🟢 #Nifty opened gap up but seen consistent selling pressure. Towards the end, #Nifty closed near day low with 1% loss.
🟢 #BankNifty had a gap up too but closed near the day low, due to consistent profit booking at higher levels near 38117.
🔴 #Short buildup seen in #Nifty with PV breakout below PDL, Both indices had weak closng near the lowest point of day.
🔴 FII's were net seller of 2575+ cr ignoring option figures which could be for hedging. DII were net sellers of 998 cr.
Technicals:
🟢 Nifty RSIStairs cooled off in daily TF but it remains overbought in W/M. D(57.00), W(73.80), M(79.06) & ADX D(38.91)
🟢 #Nifty trading above all the major moving averages 20/50/100 in D/W time frame. 20 DEMA 17542. #BearishBeltHold daily.
🟢 #BankNifty trading above all the major averages 20/50/200 DEMA. 20 DEMA at 37402. Will turn weak below next LOC 37249.
🟠 With quarterly results ahead, market may not be in hurry to correct anytime soon. May consolidate for first 2 weeks.
🔵 Till some major levels are broken DCB #Nifty (17275-17350) and #BankNifty(37249) trend and momentum in favor of bulls.
Global markets (Morning Cues @07.45 AM):
🟢 Asian markets trading higher. SGX trading up by 135 points indicating higher opening in the Indian benchmark indices
🟢 US & Europe futures trading 0.5% higher after a volatile previous session. Rising commodity price remains a concern.
Intraday Index Futures Levels
🟢 IDX Levels adjusted to expected gap up. Lower TF bearish but basis the higher TF score & global cues bias bullish.
🟢 #Nifty Fut 17505/17556/17618/17640-17743/17792/17864/17905. RDX Score- 15M(-7*)/75M(+2*)/1D(+2*)/1W(+6*) #Bullish
🟢 #BankNifty 37185/37375/37525/37749-37764/37913/38048/38173. RDX Score- 15M(-6*)/75M(+2*)/1D(+3*)/1W(+4*) #Bullish
#MarketOutlook #TradePlan #PreOpenUpdate #IndexFutLevels (View all levels only at 15M candle closing basis)
Intraday Index Trade Plan
🟢 PCR 0.59. Shorts created yesterday will be on pressure today after seeing strong global markets. Expect #Shortcover
🟢 #Nifty trading & sustaining above 17743 on 15 MCB will move higher. One can adapt buy on dips strategy in expiry day.
🟡 Adjustment: Avg yesterday 17650 Straddle with 17750/17800 #Straddle when spot near BEP 17775. Will adjust more later.
05OCT2021Global markets (Last Session):
🔴 Tech driven sell off dragged the wall street. US markets opened flat but faced sustained selling to close 1-2% lower.
🔴 European markets recovered from early morning losses but pared the recoery after US market opoen and closed lower.
🔴 US 10YR yield rose 1.16%. DXY fell to 93.77 mark. Crude oil shoots up 3% after OPEC decides gradual production cut.
News And Additional Data:
🔴 Investors worry in the fear of rising commodity prices, rising inflation, proposed tax hike & tapering, evergrande.
🟠 Indian markets has complete disconnect with global markets & have outperformed its peers. Due for a profit booking.
🔴 Weak global cues could put some pressure on overbought markets. Crude > 80 is a major concern for emerging economy
Indian Indices Last Session:
🟢 #Nifty opened gap up sustained above 17618 and closed near high with 1% gain with volumes above 20 day SMA average.
🟢 #BankNifty opened gap down, but recovered shapely to close above 20 DEMA in a highly volatile session with 0.5% loss.
🟢 FII's were net buyer of 100+ crs excluding option figures which could be for hedging. DII were net buyers of 228+ cr.
Nifty 50 Technicals:
🟡 Nifty RSIStairs cooled off in daily TF but it remains overbought in W/M. D(64.00), W(74.55), M(79.39) & ADX D(40.53)
🟢 #Nifty trading above all the major moving averages 20/50/100 in D/W time frame. Took support near the 20 DEMA 17503.
🔴 #Nifty broken down of the two months rising channel on daily/75M charts. Till #Nifty regains 17801 can see weakness.
🔴 With quarterly results ahead, market may not be in hurry to correct anytime soon. May consolidate for first 2 weeks.
Global markets (Morning Cues @08.30 AM):
🔴 Asian markets trading lower. SGX trading 100 point lower indicating a -ve opening in the Indian benchmark indices
🟠 US & Europe futures trading flat after strong sell off in previious session. Rising commodity price is is a concern
Intraday Index Futures Levels
🟢 #Nifty Fut 17438/17507/17607/17653-17789/17821/17905/17935. RDX Score- 15M(+2*)/75M(-1*)/1D(4*)/1W(6*) #Bearish
🟢 #BankNifty 37025/37249/37396/37585-37855/37913/38048/38173. RDX Score- 15M(+3*)/75M(-1*)/1D(3*)/1W(4*) #Bearish
#MarketOutlook #TradePlan #PreOpenUpdate #IndexFutLevels #01OCT2021 (View all levels only at 15M candle closing basis)
Intraday Index Trade Plan
🔴 #Nifty trading & sustaining below 17567 15 MCB will extend the weakness. Bullish only above 17743 on HCB else avoid.
🟡 Sell #Intraday straddle at opening for IV crush. After a gap down if fall halts can give big gains in the #Intraday
🔴 #BankNifty below 37375 15MCB can see further selling. it has taken support 3-4 times near 37375. This time can break.
🔴 75M TF charts score -1, & we may open negative, so can create #BearishBrokenWingStraddle (-2x ATM CE, -1x ATM/OTM PE)
Brent Oil Future - Very Smokey ! 90 soon ?Yea yea, I know Oil is most manipulated commodity on the planet.
But amidst the super consolidation worldwide, the most suppressed commodity is oil, and the hurricane supply chain destruction will annihilate the supply.
We should see sharp rise in Brent Oil futures in coming days. It’s inevitable.
I have given a range of targets from moderate to aggressive. In any version, Oil is touching sky.
This is just a chart pattern discussion. Please trade your hard-earned money on advice of a registered stock market expert. I am a newbie trader :)
NMDC: Short term & Mid term view- BullishTarget given by using patterns. Indicators are showing bullish signals on weekly chart and Daily MACD crossover may happen on upcoming days. Be ready for the next move on upside. Stoploss as per your risk. Apart from technical Iron and coal prices are multiyear high so can expect a good quarter on fundamental side.
Vijayaraghavan.K,
Kovilpatti,Tuticorin dist.
SUNTV: Short term & Mid term view- BullishMonthly MACD crossover happened but the stock price not reacted and all my indicators are showing bullish on this stock. Daily MACD crossover also may happen on upcoming days. ADX trend is getting strong but price not moving much. It can shoot up on upcoming days. Price may move more than the target levels bcaz of the bullish signals in monthly chart.
Vijayaraghavan.K,
Kovilpatti,Tuticorin dist.
CESC : MID term view- BullishIt breakout the channel and formed cup and handle pattern . All indicators are bullish Monthly MACD crossover may happen upcoming months. Share split also may approved on upcoming AGM. These parameters may help to reach the target levels.
Vijayaraghavan.K,
Kovilpatti, Tuticorin Dist.
Rain Industries: On verge of BreakoutAll the technical indicators,chart patterns,momentum indicators,price action, commodity price increase are all the factors culminating to bet on rain industries.
The commodity bull run will increase the margins of the business.
Rounding bottom/Cup&handle pattern is in formation.
Respecting the trend line support and the momentum indicator,RSI>70 showing signs of good strength.
Volumes are continuously increasing.
One can start accumulating from these levels for targets of 230/280/300/340/400 with a stop loss of 155-160.
#TradeTheTrend#ThemeBasedPick#TechnicalPick#MultiBagger#MomentumPick
HIND ZINC LONGHere the zone has been tested multiple times , there is a false breakout in between although, the ascending trendline shows buyers are pushing in and the zone has also become weak.
Reason to go Long
Zone tested multiple times
Commodity Uptrend Cycle has pushed commodity and metal prices up
Expect a good upmove in the coming days one can take positions in it keeping risk management in perspective.
PLS DO LIKE THE ANALSIS!
Brent oil seeks fresh buying but $65.00 probes buyersBrent oil’s bounce-off early February low has a bumpy road ahead as 200-SMA joins the previous support line from February 19 to challenge the commodity buyers around $65.00. Even if the black-gold prices conquer the $65.00 hurdle, March 10 low and February 25 top, respectively around $67.00 and $67.70 could test the oil bulls. It should also be noted that bearish MACD suggests further hardships for the commodity’s corrective pullback.
Meanwhile, six-week-old horizontal support around $61.85 restricts the quote’s immediate downside ahead of 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level near $61.00 and the $60.00 psychological magnet. If at all the oil bears dominate past-$60.00, the late January tops surrounding $56.00 may return to the chart. Overall, oil bears are likely rolling up their sleeves to consolidate the latest run-up.
BSE : Short & Mid term viewApart from patterns, It may turns bullish side on monthly chart. It is not participated much on market rally. Monthly MACD is positive and also other indicators also showing positive signals. Any time can shoot-up. At first, Daily MACD crossover helps to move upside from the current levels and it may reach the targets on upcoming weeks/Months.
CMP:586.55
Vijayaraghavan.K,
Kovilpatti.
TV18 Broadcast: Mid & Long term bullishRef chart. View given based on weekly and monthly indicators. Monthly MACD crossover and CCI above 0 level will helps to move further target levels.
Vijayaraghavan,
Kovilpatti
NB Venture: Short & Mid term BullishRef Chart. Indicators are bullish on Daily, Weekly and Monthly charts.
Vijayaraghavan.K,
Kovilpatti.
IOLCP: Short& Mid term view BullishRef chart. MACD crossover may happen on upcoming days in daily chart. This will trigger to price shoot-up. In daily chart Indicators are turning bullish from bearish . In monthly chart indicators are continuing the bullish momentum last few months. From this level it may move the further upside. Targets are given by using patterns.
****Note: If you noticed my earlier views, most of the views given before breakouts by using indicators. Risk takers no issues but Safe traders can take the trade after breakout.
Vijayaraghavn.K
Kovilpatti.