Hindustan Copper Ltd. (HINDCOPPER) Price Analysis **Date:*#### **Current Price and Intraday Movement**
- **Latest Price:** ₹237.98 (+5.09% / +₹11.52)
- **Day’s Range:** ₹225.50 – ₹240.10
- **Open:** ₹227.60
- **Previous Close:** ₹226.46
- **Volume:** 1.63 crore shares (well above average daily volume of 55.89 lakh)
#### **Technical Overview**
- **52-Week Range:** ₹183.82 – ₹381.90
- **50-Day Average:** ₹216.99
- **200-Day Average:** ₹260.58
- **Market Cap:** ₹23,013 crore
- **P/E Ratio:** 57.48
- **EPS:** ₹4.14
#### **Recent Performance and Trends**
- **Short-Term Trend:** The stock surged over 5% today, outperforming its sector and showing strong buying interest .
- **Volume Spike:** Today’s volume is nearly triple the average, indicating heightened trader participation .
- **Technical Position:** The stock is trading above its 50-day moving average but remains below the 200-day average, suggesting a recovery from recent lows but still under medium-term resistance .
- **Support/Resistance:** Immediate resistance is near ₹240–₹249 (upper circuit), with support at ₹225 and ₹216 (50-DMA) .
#### **Fundamental Snapshot**
- **Valuation:** High P/E ratio (57.48) signals expensive valuation relative to earnings .
- **Profitability:** EPS at ₹4.14; profit margins have been under pressure.
- **Industry Position:** Hindustan Copper is India’s primary copper producer, with exposure to global copper price trends and domestic infrastructure demand.
#### **Outlook**
- **Short-Term:** Strong momentum and volume could drive further upside if it breaks above ₹240, but overbought conditions may trigger profit booking near resistance.
- **Medium-Term:** Needs to sustain above the 200-DMA (~₹260) for a confirmed trend reversal.
- **Risks:** High valuation and recent volatility; global commodity price swings can impact earnings.
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**Summary:**
Hindustan Copper is showing robust short-term momentum with strong volume and price gains, but faces resistance near ₹240–₹249. The stock remains fundamentally expensive, and investors should watch for sustained moves above the 200-DMA for a longer-term bullish signal .
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NIFTY 50 Technical LevelsNIFTY 50 Technical Levels:-
Current/Closing Level: Approx. 25,795 - 25,843 (Based on recent closing data).
Immediate Resistance (R1): 25,900 - 26,008 (Crucial breakout zone and upper band of the recent consolidation).
Key Resistance (SQRT-R2 / ATH Target): 26,244 - 26,277 (All-Time High and measured move target).
Immediate Support (SQRT-S1): 25,600 - 25,700 (Recent breakout region and strong demand area/pivot).
Key Support (SQRT-S2): 25,281 (Breakdown below this could signal a deeper correction).
Outlook: The Nifty is positioned for a breakout above 25,900. A "Buy on Dips" strategy near S1 is advisable given the short holding period and overbought conditions in some oscillators (RSI near 70, Stochastic overbought).
Q2 FY25 Earnings Season Impact
Overall Theme: Mixed to Largely In-Line, with K-shaped Recovery continuing.
Strong Performers (Positive Catalysts): Banking & Financial Services (strong loan demand, improved asset quality), Pharma (strong export demand, stabilization of raw material costs), IT (large deal wins, digital focus), and Realty.
Laggards (Negative/Muted Impact): FMCG (muted rural demand, inflation), Energy (margin compression, higher costs), and Infrastructure (slowdown in project announcements).
Investment Implication: Favor stocks in outperforming sectors (Financials, Pharma, IT) that have delivered positive earnings surprises or provided strong guidance for H2 FY25.
FII Flow Patterns & Global Market Sentiment
FII Flow: FIIs (Foreign Institutional Investors) have shown a recent turnaround to net buying after a period of selling, which is a significant positive sentiment boost. However, flows can be volatile. DII (Domestic Institutional Investor) support remains consistently strong, providing a robust floor to the market.
Global Sentiment: Cautious. Global growth concerns persist. US interest rates are expected to soften, which traditionally supports emerging markets like India. Global volatility is a key risk factor.
Investment Implication: The return of FII buying, combined with DII strength, supports a positive tactical view for the next 15 days, favoring liquid large-cap stocks that FIIs typically target (e.g., Financials, IT).
Sector Rotation Trends
Outperforming/Improving: Banking & Financial Services (Bank Nifty at All-Time High), IT (improving relative performance), Metals (commodity cycle/trade deal optimism), and Energy/Oil (improving relative momentum).
Underperforming/Lagging: FMCG and Midcap/Smallcap Indices (Midcap 100 in the weakening quadrant, suggesting caution in this segment).
Investment Implication: Focus on the improving and outperforming sectors, particularly Banking, IT, and selective Metals/Energy to capitalize on the current momentum for a short-term trade.
FOR FUTURE INVESTMENT EAGLE EYE ON:-
Hindalco
ITC
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ICICI Bank
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O N G C
HCL Technologies
Infosys
#CHOLAHLDNGThis weekly chart of Cholamandalam Financial Holdings Ltd (NSE) shows a significant bullish move, with the price closing at 2,012.70 INR, up by 7.83%. Strong support and resistance levels are clearly marked, along with indicators signaling technical strength.
Price and Trend Analysis
The stock surged to 2,012.70 INR after bouncing off the 1,822.3 support area, suggesting robust buying from lower levels.
Immediate resistance lies near 1,934.2 and a major resistance near the prior swing high at 2,230.06 INR.
The positive green candle after a consolidation range implies momentum has turned bullish on the weekly timeframe.
Technical Indicators
CCI (Commodity Channel Index) values are bullish (D: 155.16), supporting continued upward momentum.
The overall technical score (43, with an up arrow and star) indicates bullish bias based on combined weekly, monthly, and daily metrics.
Increasing volume bars on green (up) weeks further confirm buyers' strength at the current level.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support Level Resistance Level
1,822.3 1,934.2
1,524.4 2,204.2, 2,230.06
1,509.6
1,356.4
VEDL Price ActionAs of October 23, 2025, **Vedanta Limited (VEDL)** closed at around **₹483.25**, up approximately **1.6%** from the previous close near ₹475.65. The stock traded within a range of ₹474.65 to ₹484.85 during the day, reflecting sustained buying interest and moderate volatility.
Vedanta's market capitalization is about **₹1.89 trillion**, making it one of the largest diversified natural resources companies in India. Its earnings per share (EPS) stand at roughly **₹37.11**, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around **13.0**, indicating an attractive valuation relative to some peers in the metals and mining sector.
Technically, Vedanta is in a mild uptrend, trading above both the 50-day (₹452.40) and 200-day (₹441.10) moving averages, which represent strong support levels. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is near 60, indicating strength without being overbought.
Key support is positioned around ₹475, while resistance may be encountered near ₹490–₹495 levels. Overall, the medium-term outlook is positive, supported by stable commodity prices, cost control measures, and steady operational performance. Traders may look for a breakout above ₹490 to confirm further upside potential, while any dip closer to ₹470–₹475 may be viewed as a buying opportunity.
SILVER1!(DILBER-DILBER)Based on current trading volumes, liquidity, and market activity on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) as of October 2025, the most in-demand commodities are those with the highest trading volumes and consistent price movements. These reflect strong investor interest driven by global factors like economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and seasonal demand. Globally and on MCX, gold and silver in trading activity due to their high liquidity and role as safe-haven or industrial assets.
Gold and Silver: These bullion metals dominate MCX volumes (often 60–70% of total turnover) due to their role in hedging inflation. Recent corrections (down ~10% from peaks) have not dimmed interest.
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TATATECH 1 Week Time Frame 📉 Technical Summary (1-Week Outlook)
Overall Rating: Bearish to Neutral
Moving Averages: The stock is trading below key moving averages, including the 5-day, 10-day, 20-day, and 50-day, indicating a short-term bearish trend.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): At 43.13, the RSI suggests a neutral stance, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions.
MACD: The MACD is at -0.64, which typically signals a bearish trend.
Support Levels: Key support is observed around ₹677.75.
Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance is near ₹699.95.
🔍 Indicator Insights
Stochastic Oscillator: At 13.30, indicating potential for a short-term rebound.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI): At -74.09, suggesting neutral momentum.
Average Directional Index (ADX): At 16.41, showing weak trend strength.
HFCL 1 Month Time Frame 📊 Monthly Technical Indicators
RSI (14-day): 57.91 — Neutral
Stochastic RSI: 72.52 — Neutral
MACD: 0.64 — Slightly bullish
ADX (14): 18.80 — Weak trend strength
Commodity Channel Index (CCI): 26.28 — Neutral
Rate of Change (ROC): 4.63% — Positive momentum
Williams %R: -51.95 — Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator: 48.33 — Neutral
Average True Range (ATR): ₹2.67 — Moderate volatility
📈 Moving Averages
Short-Term (5, 10, 20-day): Bullish
Medium-Term (50-day): Bullish
Long-Term (100, 200-day): Bearish
🧭 Key Support & Resistance Levels
Support Levels: ₹76.43 (S1), ₹75.73 (S2), ₹74.86 (S3)
Resistance Levels: ₹78.12 (R1), ₹79.06 (R2), ₹80.00 (R3)
IRCON 1 Week Time Frame 📉 1-Week Performance
Current Price: ₹170.23
Weekly Change: Approximately -1.33%
Recent High: ₹175.30 on October 16
Recent Low: ₹167.30 on October 21
📊 Technical Indicators (Weekly)
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 57.79 — Neutral
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): 0.04 — Slightly Bearish
Commodity Channel Index (CCI): -283.04 — Bearish
Average Directional Index (ADX): 25.32 — Indicates a weak trend
Ultimate Oscillator: 63.31 — Neutral
PNB 1 Month Time Frame Level 📊 Key Technical Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The 14-day RSI is approximately 59.6, suggesting the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, indicating a neutral stance.
Moving Averages:
20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA): 113.73 (bullish)
50-day SMA: 113.61 (bullish)
200-day SMA: 113.87 (bearish)
20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA): 113.75 (bullish)
50-day EMA: 113.66 (bullish)
200-day EMA: 113.97 (bearish)
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): The MACD is positive, indicating bullish momentum.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI): The CCI is at 462.41, which is considered extremely overbought, suggesting potential for a pullback.
🔍 Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance: 117.24
Support: 111.4
TITAN 1 Month Time Frame Titan Company Ltd is trading near ₹3,636.50, approaching its 52-week high of ₹3,740.
📊 1-Month Technical Overview
Price Performance: The stock has seen a modest decline of approximately 0.20% over the past month.
Technical Indicators:
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is currently in the neutral zone, indicating balanced buying and selling pressures.
Moving Averages: The stock is trading above its short-term moving averages, suggesting a positive short-term trend.
Stochastic Oscillator: The stochastic indicator is in the bullish zone, indicating potential upward momentum.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI): The CCI is above zero, signaling a bullish trend.
Rate of Change (ROC): The ROC is positive, further confirming bullish momentum.
Money Flow Index (MFI): The MFI is above 50, indicating healthy buying activity.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support: ₹3,189.25
Resistance: ₹3,559.25
BRIT 1 Week TIme Frame 📊 Technical Indicators (Weekly)
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 41.73 — Indicates a neutral stance, neither overbought nor oversold.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): -25.66 — Suggests a bearish trend, with the MACD line below the signal line.
Average Directional Index (ADX): 20.38 — Points to a weak trend, implying indecision in the stock's movement.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI): -132.30 — Reflects a mildly bullish condition, though caution is advised.
Williams %R: -84.06 — Indicates a mildly bullish position, suggesting potential upward movement.
📈 Price Action & Trend
Weekly High: ₹5,953.00
Weekly Low: ₹5,782.00
Current Price: ₹5,800.50
Weekly Return: +1.47%
The stock has shown resilience, trading above its 200-day simple moving average (SMA), which is considered a positive long-term indicator.
BHARTIARTL 1 Day Time Frame Bharti Airtel Limited is trading at ₹1,973.50, reflecting a 0.31% increase from the previous close.
Technical Analysis Overview (1-Day Time Frame):
Trend: Neutral to mildly bullish
Support Levels: ₹1,900 – ₹1,895
Resistance Levels: ₹1,920 – ₹1,925 and ₹1,950 – ₹1,960
Key Technical Indicators:
Moving Averages: All major moving averages (20-day, 50-day, 200-day) are bullish, indicating upward momentum.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): At 55.9, suggesting a neutral stance, neither overbought nor oversold.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI): At -214.32, indicating a bullish condition.
Momentum Oscillator: Positive, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
Average Directional Index (ADX): At 20.28, suggesting a neutral trend strength.
BAJFINANCE 1 Week Time Frame 📈 Weekly Technical Levels
Resistance Levels: ₹1,036.75 (short-term), ₹1,023.85 (mid-term)
Support Levels: ₹1,009.85 (short-term), ₹938 (mid-term), ₹816.86 (long-term)
These levels suggest that the stock is trading above its key support zones, indicating a potential continuation of the uptrend.
🔧 Key Technical Indicators
RSI (14): 66.57 — approaching overbought territory, but still room for upward movement.
MACD: 20.92 — indicates bullish momentum.
ADX (14): 31.50 — suggests a strong trend.
Supertrend: ₹973.61 — currently bullish.
Parabolic SAR: ₹982.79 — supports the bullish trend.
Stochastic Oscillator: 84.34 — near overbought levels, indicating potential for a pullback.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI): +131.56 — suggests the stock is overbought.
These indicators collectively point towards a strong bullish trend, though caution is advised as some indicators approach overbought conditions.
XAUUSD — Decline reaction not yet confirming reversal XAUUSD — Decline reaction not yet confirming reversal | Prioritise buying on Fibonacci retracement 🟡
Summary: The rapid decline at the start of the session did not break the upward structure. Gold continues to move within the Fibonacci expansion wave; prioritise buy-the-dip at confluence zones. Sell orders are only for short-term scalping when there's a clear rejection signal.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1)
Structure & Price Behaviour
Price is increasing in steps, the recent correction hasn't violated key lows, leaning towards a trend pullback.
The chart shows multiple Fib expansion levels (0.618/0.786/1.618/2.618); the 4120–4135 zone is the short-term trading hub, above it are clusters 4160–4188–4179 and further 4200–4220.
Volume has slightly decreased compared to previous sessions → likely to see pullbacks at support before continuing.
Price Zones to Watch
Resistance: 4160–4162, 4179, 4200.
Support: 4116–4118, 4102, 4073, 4062–4065, 4024.
Significance: 4062–4065 coincides with Fib + old resistance (good confluence for buying); 4116–4118 is the nearest retest; 4160–4162 is a sell retest only for scalping.
If 4116–4118 holds and H1 closes above 4130, the probability of retesting 4155/4188 increases.
If 4062–4065 breaks and stays below 4057, the adjustment range may extend to 4024.
📰 Fundamental Factors (Highlights)
Central banks continue to buy gold, supporting fundamental demand.
On 14/10, gold led the commodity basket this year; expectations of Fed rate cuts in upcoming sessions are the main driver for holding gold.
Gold ETF: attracted an additional ~2 billion USD (~14 tonnes) last week; YTD cumulative ~68 billion USD, annual demand ~645 tonnes (second only to the 2020 record).
⇒ The cash flow picture supports a medium-term uptrend, although short-term fluctuations remain around Fib/resistance levels.
🎯 Trading Plan (European–American session) — if–then
Scenario 1 — BUY near retest (priority)
Entry: 4116–4118
SL: 4110
TP: 4134 → 4155 → 4188 → 4222
Condition: if price retests 4116–4118 and a confirmation candle/rebound momentum appears on H1.
Scenario 2 — BUY at Fib + old resistance (backup)
Entry: 4062–4065
SL: 4057
TP: 4082 → 4098 → 4115 → 4135
Condition: only activate when there's a pullback at 4062–4065; better if reclaiming 4073/4102 afterwards.
Scenario 3 — SELL reaction (scalping)
Entry: 4160–4162
SL: 4168
TP: 4134 → 4118 → 4100 → 4078
Note: only sell when there's a clear rejection signal (long wick/distribution volume); do not chase price.
Invalidation & Risk Management
Loss of 4057 → reduce buy priority, wait for new signals at 4024.
Risk ≤1–2%/order; adhere to SL first, position later. 🛡️
Summary
Bias: Upward; current decline reaction not confirming reversal.
Strategy: Prioritise buy at 4116–4118 and 4062–4065; sell only for scalping at 4160–4162 when signalled.
Levels to watch: 4102 – 4073 – 4024 – 4179 – 4200.
Note: This article is for reference purposes only, not investment advice.
MCX (D) - Gathers Steam for All-Time High BreakoutMulti Commodity Exchange of India (MCX) is showing strong bullish momentum as it closes in on its all-time high. After a period of healthy consolidation, today's positive price action suggests the stock is preparing to challenge its key resistance level.
The Context: Consolidation Below the Peak
Following a strong bullish uptrend, MCX entered a sideways consolidation phase in June 2025. It registered a new All-Time High (ATH) in July 2025 , which established a formidable resistance level that has capped all subsequent rallies.
Today, the stock showed renewed strength with a solid gain of +2.87% on good volume. This move has pushed the price to less than 2% below its ATH resistance , placing it on high alert for an imminent breakout attempt.
Underlying Technical Strength
The potential for a breakout is strongly supported by key technical indicators across multiple timeframes (Monthly, Weekly, and Daily):
- EMA Crossover: The short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are in a bullish positive crossover state.
- Rising RSI: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is rising, confirming that momentum is building.
These indicators suggest a broad-based strength that could fuel a move to new highs.
Outlook and Key Levels
The immediate path for MCX will be determined by its interaction with the ATH resistance.
- Bullish Breakout Scenario: A decisive close above the all-time high on strong volume would confirm a breakout and signal a continuation of the primary uptrend. The next potential target in this scenario would be the ₹10,800 level.
- Potential Pullback Scenario: If the stock fails to breach the resistance and loses momentum, it could pull back to test the lower end of its consolidation range, with the primary support level at ₹7,800 .
In conclusion, MCX is coiled for a potentially significant move. The focus in the coming days should be squarely on the price and volume action at the all-time high resistance, as a breakout here would be a major bullish signal.
Look at this........i already make a entry 🧪 Fundamentals / Business Snapshot
What they do: Privi Speciality Chemicals is a major Indian manufacturer, exporter, and supplier of aroma & fragrance chemicals. Their capability includes many complex operations (distillation, condensation, hydrogenation etc).
Recent financials:
• In FY25, revenue rose ~ 19.9 % to ~ ₹2,101.19 crore from ~ ₹1,752.23 Cr prev year.
• Net profit nearly doubled—~ 97 % YoY to ~ ₹187.00 crore vs ~ ₹94.91 Cr the previous year.
• In the most recent quarter (Q1 FY26), revenue ~ ₹567.80 Cr (up ~21.7 % YoY), net profit ~ ₹61.93 Cr (up ~97.4 % YoY).
Margins / Efficiency:
• Operating / EBITDA margins have improved. For example, in recent quarters the OPM has been ~ 20-23 % in some reports.
• ROE recently ~ 16.94 % vs its 5-yr average ~11.8 %.
Risks / concerns:
• Some analysts / rating agencies see weaker long-term fundamentals: slow growth in net sales / operating profit over longer horizon, high debt/EBITDA in some reports.
• Commodity input risk, foreign exchange risk (since exports are significant), margin pressure possible. (General for speciality chemicals)
Competitive / strategic positives:
• Strong R&D, product mix improvements.
• Export orientation gives access to global markets.
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📊 Technical / Price Action View
Current trend & moving averages: According to ETMoney, the stock is hovering around key moving averages: the 20, 50, 100, 200-day EMAs/SMAs are giving “neutral” signals in many cases.
Momentum indicators:
• RSI (14) ~ 48-50 area → neutral territory.
• MACD in some sources is slightly negative or weak → indicates not strong momentum up currently.
• Some resistance / support zones via pivot / classic technical tools: TipRanks shows pivot at ~ ₹2338, with resistance above and support below.
Recent behaviour:
• The stock has hit 52-week highs in recent past, showing strong sentiment after good results.
• However, price also seems to be consolidating / facing short-term corrections (QoQ revenue drops, expenses growth) in some quarters.
Retest complete now good to go......🌾 About Gokul Agro Resources (GOKULAGRO)
Business / Fundamentals Snapshot
Gokul Agro is in the edible oil / agro processing business: oils, meals, seeds, castor products, etc.
Over recent years, the company has delivered good revenue growth and profit growth. For instance, revenue growth ~19 % over 3 years ; profit growth ~44.68 % over 3 years
Key ratios:
• ROE (Return on Equity) has been in strong territory: ~ 23-27 % in recent periods
• ROCE is likewise healthy: significant returns on capital employed
• Debt levels are moderate: Total Debt / Equity ~ 0.60 x in recent period
• P/E ratio is moderate: ~ 14.4 according to one source
Valuation / intrinsic value estimates are mixed:
• One model gives intrinsic value ~ ₹486.95 vs current (~₹290)
• But another suggests fair value ~ ₹92.90 (lower) based on historical models
Overall: the fundamentals show a business with good growth and returns, with manageable leverage. The valuation estimates vary widely, so market confidence / multiples will matter a lot.
Strengths / Risks
Strengths Risks / Weaknesses
Strong ROE / ROCE indicates good capital efficiency Valuation is a bit stretched depending on model
Business in essential sector (agro/edible oils) gives demand buffer Commodity / input cost risk (crude, seeds, raw oils)
Moderate debt gives some comfort Volatility, margin pressure, regulatory / environmental risks
Good historic earnings growth If results slow, multiples may compress
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📈 Technical / Price-Action View & Trade Idea
Current Technicals / Indicators
On TradingView, GOKULAGRO is rated “Strong Buy” currently (according to their technical summary)
On Investing.com, the daily technical sentiment is more cautious: more “sell” signals than “buy” currently
On technical view:
• ATR(14) is ~ 14.07 — shows volatility
• Stochastic RSI is overbought (~ 83.7)
• MACD is in bullish zone (~ 1.52)
Trendlyne / other sources: the moving averages (SMA, EMA) are aligned bullishly (shorter MA above longer)
Pivot / support-resistance (from Moneycontrol for the day) gives:
• Resistance zones (R1, R2, R3) in ₹402–418 region; Pivot ~ ₹396; Support (S1, S2, S3) ~ ₹386–370 region (for short term intraday)
Interpretation & Possible Trade Setups
The stock is in a bullish bias in multiple timeframes (moving averages aligned, MACD positive)
But short-term overbought warning (Stoch RSI) suggests that a pullback or consolidation is possible before continuation
A classic approach would be:
• Buy on pullback / dip to a strong support (e.g. near 50-day MA or prior consolidation) if it holds
• Or enter on breakout above a resistance (with strong volume confirmation)
Use volume confirmation, momentum (RSI/MACD) to validate entries
Keep stop losses tight because of volatility (ATR = ~14 gives a sense of normal daily range)
XAUUSD — Accumulation phase awaiting breakoutXAUUSD — Accumulation phase awaiting breakout | European–American session scenario & detailed trading plan 🟡
Summary: Gold maintains an upward trend within the rising price channel. The European–American session prioritises buying in line with the trend at confirmed support zones; selling is only a secondary option when there is a strong rejection signal at the peak zone.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1/H30)
Market Structure
Price moves within an ascending channel, with adjustments mainly being pullbacks.
Two prominent liquidity zones on the chart: Buy zone around 4020–4030 and Sell zone above 4125–4135.
Key Price Zones & Confluence
Support:
4057–4059: former resistance turned support + channel boundary, suitable for retest.
4022–4024: coincides with buy zone and thick volume cluster (VPVR).
Resistance: 4072 / 4088 / 4105 / 4125, note reactions at 4095–4100 (near Fibonacci extension 1.618/2.618).
Fibonacci: extension measurement suggests a target of ~4130; this is also near the sell liquidity zone, likely to see short rejection before deciding the next direction.
Note pivot points: 4069 – 4042 – 4095 – 4120 are levels to monitor price action.
Structure Reading Suggestion: If a “buy test trend” occurs near the channel bottom, prioritise finding confirmation candles to continue buying on retracement.
📰 Fundamental Analysis (Highlights)
Imperial Bank of Commerce: concerns over long-term inflation support gold’s rise; target 4,500 in the next 2 years → bullish inclination.
State Street: delayed rate cuts expectations keep USD/real yields sensitive, maintaining volatility; gold remains a safe haven as risks increase.
Pansen Macro (ECB): difficult to lower rates soon due to weak growth → impacts EUR/DXY, indirectly affecting gold.
Commodity Context: Goldman Sachs is cautious with copper (10k–11k/ton 2026/27); risk capital may rotate, benefiting gold as defensive sentiment rises.
Connection: The contrast between tight policy and risk sentiment creates an accumulation range; as yields ease, gold may break through 4100–4130.
🎯 European–American Session Trading Strategy (if–then)
Scenario 1 — BUY at support (priority)
Entry: 4057–4059
SL: 4052
TP: 4072 → 4088 → 4105 → 4125
Condition: if price retests 4057–4059 and there is a confirmation candle / reclaim channel boundary, continue buying with the trend.
Scenario 2 — DEEP BUY at buy zone
Entry: 4022–4024
SL: 4016
TP: 4038 → 4052 → 4077 → 4090
Condition: only activate when there is a wick at the buy zone and price holds above 4042 thereafter.
Scenario 3 — SELL reaction (secondary)
Only consider short selling when clear rejection appears at 4120–4130 (sell liquidity zone) accompanied by weakening momentum; target to pull back to 4100/4088. Do not chase price.
Invalidation & Risk Management
If price breaks and accepts below 4042, stand aside and wait for a new structure; losing 4016 opens risk of returning to the 3990x cluster (old POC).
Each trade risk ≤ 1–2% of the account; adhere to SL principles first, position later. 🛡️
ASIANPAINT 1 Day View📈 Current Price & Trading Range
Current Price: ₹2,357.70
Day’s Range: ₹2,337.00 – ₹2,366.60
Previous Close: ₹2,340.20
52-Week Range: ₹2,124.75 – ₹3,103.55
📊 Technical Indicators
RSI (14-day): 38.17 — indicating a neutral to bearish condition.
MACD: -41.59 — suggesting bearish momentum.
Stochastic RSI: 10.76 — points to an oversold condition, possibly signaling a reversal.
Rate of Change (ROC): -1.93 — reflects downward momentum.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI): -1.93 — supports the bearish outlook.
Average Directional Index (ADX): 32.54 — indicates a strong trend, confirming the downtrend.
Parabolic SAR: ₹2,320 — suggests a bearish trend continuation.
Supertrend: ₹2,444 — aligns with the bearish trend.
📌 Summary
Asian Paints Ltd. is currently in a bearish phase on the 1-day timeframe. Key support at ₹2,320 is crucial; a breach could lead to further declines. Conversely, a rebound above ₹2,463.98 might indicate a potential trend reversal.
CRUDE OIL By KRS ChartsDate: 2nd July 2025 / 19:35
Why Crude Oil ?
1. Starting with 1H Tf. Accumulation is visible with LLs to Sideways and now HHs & HLs
2. Crude oil Price is currently in Buy Zone with strong support.
3. Recent Gap Dow is likely to be Shakeout for Buyers.
4. In Bigger Timeframe price has made Low in March is likely to be the bottom as per Wave thoery.
5. After that bottom price on Higher low side price accumulating.
6. From Here it seems like bullish side trades will be better option for Crude Oil for Targets which are mentioned in Chart. (Medium Term View).
Stallion India Fluorochemicals Ltd. (STALLION)Stallion India Fluorochemicals Ltd (NSE: STALLION, BSE: 544342) is a Mumbai-based company founded in 2002, specializing in the debulking, blending, processing, and distribution of refrigerants and industrial gases. It offers over 40 specialty gases, including hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), hydrofluoroolefins (HFOs), and hydrocarbons (HCs), serving industries like air conditioning/refrigeration, semiconductors, automobiles, pharmaceuticals, defense, firefighting, and data centers. The company went public via an IPO in January 2025, which was subscribed 32x and listed at a 33% premium, reflecting strong initial investor interest.
As of October 10, 2025, the stock trades around ₹307–₹339, with a market cap of approximately ₹2,400–₹2,700 Cr. It has delivered explosive post-IPO gains: ~114% in the past year and ~274% in the last 6 months, turning it into a multibagger for early investors. However, recent profit booking ahead of Q2 results (due October 13) has caused volatility, with the stock down ~7% in a single session last week.
Key Investment Reasons
While stocks like this carry high volatility (typical for small-caps in niche sectors), several factors make it an attractive buy for growth-oriented investors with a medium-to-long-term horizon (2–5 years). Here's a breakdown:
1. Strong Tailwinds in High-Growth End-Markets
Stallion is a proxy play for booming sectors driven by India's infrastructure push and global sustainability trends.
Refrigerants & HVAC: Demand for eco-friendly gases (e.g., R-32, HFO blends) is surging due to the Montreal Protocol phase-down of high-GWP HFCs and rising AC ownership (India's AC penetration is <10% vs. 50%+ in China).
Semiconductors & Data Centers: Specialty gases are critical for chip fabrication and cooling; India's semi push (e.g., ₹76,000 Cr incentives) and data center boom (projected 1 GW capacity by 2026) could boost volumes.
Defense & EVs: Applications in firefighting foams, aerosols, and auto manufacturing align with Atmanirbhar Bharat initiatives.
Industry CAGR: Global fluorochemicals market ~8–10%; India's refrigerant segment ~15% through 2030.
2. Robust Financial Performance & Growth Trajectory
Revenue & Profit Surge: FY24 revenue ₹415 Cr (up 60% YoY, beating 3-year CAGR of 26%); PAT ₹34 Cr. Q1 FY26 showed continued momentum despite raw material headwinds from China.
Expansion Plans: Investing ₹200+ Cr in a new R-32 plant in Rajasthan (capacity ramp-up by FY27) and specialty gases for semis/defense. Targets ₹2,500 Cr revenue by 2030 at 30–35% CAGR, implying 6x growth from current levels.
Efficiency Metrics: Low debt (interest expense ~1.6% of revenue), healthy margins (EBITDA ~15–20%), and plant utilization at 50% (room for 2x output without major capex).
Upcoming Catalysts: Q2/H1 FY26 results on October 13; earnings call October 15. Analysts expect 20–25% YoY growth, fueled by volume recovery.
3. Attractive Valuation for a Growth Story
P/E Ratio: ~52x (FY24 EPS ₹4.94), a discount to peers' median of 82x (e.g., SRF, Navin Fluorine). Forward P/E ~25–30x assuming 30% CAGR.
P/B Ratio: ~5.5x, slight premium to peers (5.1x) but justified by 67.9% promoter holding (skin in the game) and ROE >20%.
Technical Signals: Strong buy on moving averages; RSI neutral post-correction. 52-week range ₹60–₹345, with support at ₹280.
IPO pricing was "reasonably valued" at 35x FY24 P/E; current levels offer entry for post-expansion rerating.
4. Strategic Positioning & Competitive Edge
Market Leadership: One of India's first standalone HFC facilities (since 1998); extensive distribution network with 20+ years of expertise.
Sustainability Focus: Shift to low-GWP gases positions it ahead of regulatory changes (e.g., Kigali Amendment).
Diversification: Blending capabilities allow custom formulations, reducing import reliance (India imports 70%+ of refrigerants).
ESOP & Fundraising: Approved ESOP 2025 and equity-linked raises signal confidence in scaling.
Risks to Consider
Volatility & Liquidity: Small-cap with low free float; recent promoter-driven price moves raised eyebrows (e.g., low DoD volumes).
Raw Material Dependency: 80%+ imports from China expose it to price fluctuations (e.g., Q1 FY26 "Chinese hangover").
Execution Risks: New plant delays could pressure margins; no dividends yet (focus on reinvestment).
Macro Headwinds: Commodity cycles in chemicals; competition from globals like Honeywell.
RELINFRA 1 Week Time Frame 📈 Current Price & Recent Performance
Current Price: ₹241.84 (as of October 10, 2025)
1-Week Change: +5.00%
52-Week Range: ₹198.13 – ₹423.40
🔍 Technical Indicators (Weekly Timeframe)
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Indicates a neutral condition, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions.
Stochastic Oscillator: Shows a bullish condition, with readings between 55 and 80.
Rate of Change (ROC): Indicates a bearish condition, with readings below 0.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI): Shows a neutral condition, with readings between 45 and 55.
Money Flow Index (MFI): Indicates a neutral condition, with readings between 45 and 55.
Average True Range (ATR): Suggests a less volatile market, with values less than or equal to the 9-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).
Average Directional Index (ADX): Indicates a weak trend, with values below 20.
📊 Moving Averages & Trend Analysis
Short-Term Moving Averages: Currently below long-term averages, indicating a bearish trend.
Resistance Levels: Key resistance levels identified at ₹239.34 and ₹262.85.
CIPLA 1 Week Time Frame 📈 Weekly Support & Resistance Levels
Support Levels:
S1: ₹1,491.53
S2: ₹1,499.17
S3: ₹1,506.48
S4: ₹1,514.12
Resistance Levels:
R1: ₹1,521.43
R2: ₹1,529.07
R3: ₹1,536.38
R4: ₹1,544.70
These levels are derived from the classic pivot point method and can serve as potential entry or exit points for traders.
Technical Indicators Snapshot
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 77.43 (approaching overbought territory)
MACD: 7.01 (bullish crossover)
Average Directional Index (ADX): 30.49 (indicating a strong trend)
Commodity Channel Index (CCI): 307.2 (overbought)
Williams %R: -0.79 (overbought)
Rate of Change (ROC): 3.81% (bullish momentum)
Moving Averages:
5-day: ₹1,527.76
50-day: ₹1,510.91
200-day: ₹1,542.76






















