ULTRACECMOHello and welcome to this analysis
Stock is attempting a trendline breakout after a 5 month period.
Upside potential above 10500 while below 9500 short to medium term correction cannot be ruled out.
Stock has been an underperformer against the commodity sector while its losing its outperformance against the nifty index.
Happy Investing
Search in ideas for "COMMODITY"
Natural Gas - How to trade
Please read the notes as mentioned on the chart.
The commodity is in bullish mode now, do not short at all, and be on long side after proper care till at least October 2024.
Disclaimer:
I am not a registered analyst with any of the national/international agency. it is only for educational purposes. Please consult your financial advisor before making any decision. I will not be responsible for any of your profits or losses.
Thank you
Angel One Looks great for long term @ 2462ATH Sales
ATH Profit
But price is 32% down from ATH.
Great time for accumulation for long term.
Angel One Ltd is a diversified financial services company and is primarily engaged in the business of stock, commodity and currency broking, institutional broking, providing margin trading facility, depository services and distribution of mutual funds, lending as a NBFC and corporate agents of insurance companies
XAUUSD May 29, 2024 Is the upward correction over?Looking at the current H1, we see that the price has reached the first target of wave 4
Looking at the preliminary forecast of US economic indicators tomorrow night we see.
- Prelim GDP q/q decreased from 1.6% to 1.2%
- Unemployment Claims increased from 215K to 218K
- Pending Home Sales m/m decreased 3.4% to -1.1%
US economic indicators show that the economic situation appears to be weakening due to tightened monetary policies. Maintaining high interest rates today makes it difficult for people and businesses to access capital, leading to a decrease in people's demand for housing consumption, in addition to pushing up raw material prices, leading to increased commodity prices. making it difficult to maintain operations of factories, leading to an increase in people applying for unemployment benefits. This continues to put pressure on the Fed to loosen monetary policy in the near future.
Looking at the current H1, we see that the price has reached the first target of wave 4 and the price is reacting sideways in this area. If the price breaks below the 2352 area and then recovers without exceeding the previous peak area, this is a very good sell down signal.
- If the price rises above the 2364 area, we wait for the target wave number 2 of wave 4 to find a sell signal.
- After the price completes wave 4, it will continue to trend with wave 5. From the current data, we will get the expected targets of wave 5 at target zone 1 at 2322 and target 2 at zone 2311.
- In the target areas of wave 5, we will find suitable conditions to enter a BUY order
Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later.
Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
US Oil - update
Since US Oil has broken its high downwards today, Please be careful, it is in make or break situation. Here, if the commodity makes triple top it may come down to 75.
Disclaimer: I am not a registered analyst with any National/ International agency.
Please consult your financial advisor before making any decision. I will not be responsible for any of your profit of losses.
XAUUSD on May 23 2024 fluctuated strongly after the Fed meeting?Hello everyone, DEEKOP is ready to bring the most accurate signals and assessments to everyone.
Financial freedom is true freedom.
Yesterday the Fed meeting with its published content showed
- The data shows that commodity prices have increased significantly recently, which indicates that inflation is increasing.
- Fed says inflation may take longer to fall
- The current federal funds rate is enough to slow US economic activity and reduce inflation
With such announcements, it appears that the prospect of interest rate cuts expected by the Fed this year may be changed.
When this information was announced yesterday, it immediately pushed gold prices down sharply yesterday session to 2370.
Look at H1
- Wave c is the last corrective wave of the abc corrective wave, the structure of wave c includes 5 small waves
- The strong and sharp price decrease last night can be said to be wave 3 in wave c being formed.
- We expect that the expected target of wave 3 is level 2365 and level 2345
- Then there could be a small correction to complete wave 4 before continuing to complete wave 5 as well as wave c of the correction.
- We observe the formation of wave 4 ending to determine the target of wave 5 as well as wave c of the correction
Trading plan
We continue to observe the completion of wave 3 and wait for the end of wave 4 to determine the target of wave 5 to buy.
Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later.
Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
SOLARINDS | Swing Trade📊 DETAILS
Sector: Commodity Chemicals
Mkt Cap: 71,511 cr
Solar Industries is one of the worlds leading manufactures bulk explosives, packaged explosives and initiating systems, which find applications in the mining, infrastructure and construction industries.
SIL also ventured into the defense segment in 2010 and diversified into manufacturing of propellants for missiles and rockets, warheads and warhead explosives.
TTM PE : 88.64 (High PE)
Sector PE : 104.91
Beta : 0.33
📚 INSIGHTS
Strong Performer
Stock with consistent financial performance, quality management, and strong technical momentum indicating good investor enthusiasm. Currently valued at Good to expensive valuation
5.22% away from 52 week high
Outperformer - Solar Industries India up by 12.74% v/s NIFTY 50 up by 2.72% in last 1 month
📈 FINANCIALS
Piotroski Score of 8/9 indicates Strong Financials
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only, and I'm not a SEBI registered analyst.
If you found this analysis helpful, I encourage you to like and share it. Your observations and comments are also welcomed below. Your support, likes, follows, and comments motivate me to consistently share valuable insights with you.
🔍 More Analysis & Trade Setups 🔍
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Gold stays bullish despite recent pullback, focus on $2,400 Gold price lacks clear directions after retreating from the highest level in a month while snapping a two-day winning streak. In doing so, the XAUUSD eased from a one-month-old horizontal resistance zone surrounding the $2,400 threshold. The pullback also gained strength from the US Dollar’s rebound. However, the bullion still carries an early-week breakout of a descending resistance line from April 12, now immediate support around $2,365. Additionally, keeping the buyers hopeful are the bullish MACD signals and the upbeat RSI (14) line. With this, the quote is likely to prevail on the bull’s radar and can gain more upside strength on crossing the $2,400 hurdle. In that case, the $2,418 and $2,431 will lure the bulls before directing them towards refreshing the all-time high by targeting the $2,500 threshold.
It’s worth noting that the Gold price weakness past the resistance-turned-support line of $2,365 won’t open the doors for the sellers as the 21-SMA and an upward-sloping trend line from mid-March, respectively near $2,336 and $2,318, will challenge the commodity’s south-run. Should the precious metal remain bearish past $2,318, the $2,300 round figure and the monthly low of nearly $2,277 will be the final defense of the buyers. Following that, the XAUUSD’s fall toward the late March swing high of $2,222 can’t be ruled out.
ANGELONE | Swing Trade📊 DETAILS
Sector: Finance - Stock Broking
Mkt Cap: 26,641 cr
Angel One Ltd is a diversified financial services company and is primarily engaged in the business of stock, commodity and currency broking, institutional broking, providing margin trading facility, depository services and distribution of mutual funds, lending as a NBFC and corporate agents of insurance companies.
TTM PE : 25.33 (High PE)
Sector PE : 32.29
Beta : 0.93
📚 INSIGHTS
MC Insights PRO
Stock with medium financial performance with average price momentum and valuation. These stocks may be affordable and are showing some investors interest.
21.84% away from 52 week high
Outperformer - Angel One up by 11.94% v/s NIFTY 50 up by 0.25% in last 1 month
📈 FINANCIALS
Piotroski Score of 6/9 indicates Average Financials
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only, and I'm not a SEBI registered analyst.
If you found this analysis helpful, I encourage you to like and share it. Your observations and comments are also welcomed below. Your support, likes, follows, and comments motivate me to consistently share valuable insights with you.
🔍 More Analysis & Trade Setups 🔍
For more technical analysis and trade setups, make sure to follow me on TradingView: www.tradingview.com
Gold grinds within the falling wedge ahead of the US NFPGold price brace for the second consecutive weekly loss despite downbeat US Dollar performance. In doing so, the precious metal seesaws between the 50-SMA and the 200-SMA while posting mild intraday losses within a two-week-old falling wedge bullish chart formation. That said, cautious sentiment ahead of the monthly US employment report and sluggish oscillators restrict the XAUUSD’s immediate moves within the bullish chart pattern. It should be noted that a downside break of the 200-SMA level of $2,289 will direct the sellers toward the stated wedge’s bottom line surrounding $2,278, a break of which will defy the bullish chart formation and can drag the commodity prices toward the early April swing high of around $2,265.
On the contrary, a convergence of the 50-SMA and the previously stated falling wedge’s top line, close to $2,319-20, appears a tough nut to crack for Gold buyers. Following that, the late April swing high of around $2,353 and the $2,400 threshold will lure the XAUUSD bulls. In a case where the Gold buyers remain confident past $2,400, the theoretical target of the falling wedge confirmation, near $2,440, will be in the spotlight.
Overall, Gold portrays bullish consolidation ahead of the key US employment data, despite the US Dollar’s downbeat performance.
Vedanta for 100% gainFor investing/trading in metal companies, one needs patience as hard. On weekly charts, the stock seems to be in Wave 3 which is heading towards 800+ that is also the 1.618 fibonacci level as seen in the chart. In the current run up, it may go up another 5-10% (around 440 levels) before hitting a Wave (II) correction towards 350-325 levels.
Please note there are a few assumptions with which these levels are arrived at. In case of deviation in the route to its target, those assumptions are altered. You can avoid all panic if you manage your positions well.
Gold sellers need validation from $2,298 and US GDPGold price portrays a four-day losing streak as market players brace for the first readings of the US first quarter (Q1) 2024 Gross Domestic Product (GDP). In doing so, the XAUUSD justifies the previous day’s downside break of a $2,324 support confluence, now resistance, comprising the 21-SMA and a two-month-old upward-sloping trend line. It’s worth noting that the RSI (14) line’s retreat from the overbought territory joins the bearish MACD signals to add strength to the downside bias. However, a clear downside break of the previous resistance line stretched from early March, around $2,298 by the press time, becomes necessary for the bullion sellers to tighten the grip. Additionally, a strong print of the US Q1 GDP could also convince the precious metal bears to take action. Following that, the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci retracement of the quote’s February-April upside, respectively near $2,262 and $2,208, will be in the spotlight ahead of the 50-SMA support of $2,198.
Alternatively, downbeat prints of the US Q1 GDP could trigger the Gold Price recovery that will aim for the $2,324 support-turned-resistance confluence. In a case where the XAUUSD remains firmer past $2,324, the $2,350 and the $2,400 psychological magnets will lure the buyers. However, a fortnight-old descending resistance line surrounding $2,405 will precede the recent swing highs of near $2,418 and $2,432 to challenge the precious metal’s further advances. It’s worth noting that the commodity’s successful trading beyond $2,432 won’t hesitate to flash the $2,400 threshold.
Overall, Gold price remains pressured ahead of the key data but the quote’s further downside needs validation.
Gold falls while the main trend is still up!Hello everyone, what do you think—should we buy or sell gold today?
Gold is currently trading around 2,323 USD/ounce, with little movement since the beginning of the day and is continuing its downward trend. This weakness is largely due to tensions in the Middle East showing signs of easing and investors taking profits and reducing leverage in precious metals trades. This is a common phenomenon in the futures market when a commodity loses its price momentum, whether short-term or long-term.
From a technical analysis perspective, gold's recent decline is just a correction after gaining about 22% in the past two months. This correction is still within the framework of a long-term uptrend.
However, if gold continues to fall further this week, new short-term highs could be set. With current prices yet to surpass $2,300 an ounce, gold could soon recover thanks to buying at lower prices, supporting its long-term upward trajectory.
Cycle C of Zigzag underwayCycle Degree:Blue
Primary impulse:red
Primary Corrective:Yellow
Monthly chart of Tata Steel is suggesting price raising in zigzag corrective pattern on cycle degree of which we are in wave C shown here in blue.As zigzag being a 5-3-5 pattern wave C is unfolding in an impulsive manner on primary degree shown here in red.This impulse has completed wave 4 recently and wave 5 is underway currently.
Ideally wave 3 is found to be extended in an impulse but this being a commodity stock,wave 5 is often found extended.Equality target on cycle degree is coming at 480 level and wave 5 extention target on primary degree is coming at 360,which is still double from current levels.
One can go long at cmp of 162.25 as price has recently broken its previous all time high of 153 as is sustaining above that breakout level from last 3 weeks post a pull back.On the downside a stop-loss of wave 4 low should be kept which is coming at 115 odd levels.
Disclaimer:This are just my views on the stock,no position should solely be taken on its basis,posting this just for my future reference.
#gold Next Target 70 points #MCX #commodity MarketSYmbol XAUUSD
timeframe 45 min
Analysis: uptrendmovement
HOPE our analysis is adding value to your Trading Journey.
NOTE: Published Ideas are for ‘’EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY’’ trade at your own risk.
NOTE: RESPECT The risk. SL should not be more than 2% of the capital.
Monthly bullish megaphone keeps Gold buyers hopefulGold price resumes its upward trajectory within a fortnight-old bullish megaphone chart pattern after a volatile day that initially refreshed an all-time high before posting the biggest daily loss in two months. That said, the XAUUSD’s corrective bounce also takes clues from a rebound in the RSI (14) line. However, bullish MACD signals and cautious mood ahead of the US Retail Sales tests the bullion’s recovery moves. It should be noted that 100% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of the quote’s February-March moves, near the $2,400 threshold, currently lures the buyers. However, the aforementioned megaphone’s top line, close to $2,441 at the latest, will challenge the precious metal’s upside afterward. Following that, the commodity’s run-up toward the $2,500 round figure can’t be ruled out.
Meanwhile, the Gold price sellers need a clear downside break of the stated wedge’s bottom line, around $2,336 by the press time. Following that, the 61.8% and 50% FE level will entertain the XAUUSD bears around $2,305 and $2,277 respectively. However, a convergence of the 100-SMA and an upward-sloping support line from February 28, near $2,265, appears a tough nut to crack for the precious metal sellers. In a case where the quote remains weak past $2,265, the odds of witnessing a quick fall toward March’s peaks of around $2,222 and $2,195 appear brighter.
Overall, the Gold price lacks upside momentum but the sellers stay off the table beyond $2,265.
USOIL is ready to rockUS Oil is at important zone formation of pole and flag pattern.If this sustain then we can see a good move. what is your view please comment it down. We are Certified. All views shared on this channel are my personal opinion and is shared for educational purpose and should not be considered advise of any nature
Gold price extends pullback from record high ahead of US NFPAfter rising for seven consecutive days, the spot Gold price (XAUUSD) witnessed a pullback from an all-time high and closed in the red. That said, the precious metal’s retreat remains intact early Friday as the US Dollar pares weekly losses ahead of the key US employment data, mainly the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP). Technically, the XAUUSD justified overbought RSI conditions and sluggish MACD signals to ease from the record high. This suggests brighter chances of the bullion’s further pullback toward a one-month-old previous resistance line, close to $2,258 by the press time. However, the quote’s downside past $2,258 appears difficult as an ascending trend line from late February challenges the bears around $2,220. Even if the commodity price manages to break the $2,220 support line, the $2,200 threshold and a four-month-old horizontal region surrounding $2,141-50 will be tough nuts to crack for the bears before taking control.
On the flip side, the Gold price rebound needs validation from the $2,300 threshold and downbeat prints from the US employment data. Following that, an upward-sloping resistance line from March 21, close to $2,313, will restrict further advances of the XAUUSD. It should be noted that the quote’s sustained run-up beyond $2,313 enables it to aim for the 78.6% and the 100% Fibonacci Extension (FE) levels of its February-March moves, near $2,345 and $2,398 respectively. Following that, the $2,400 will act as the final defense of the sellers.
Overall, the Gold price remains bullish beyond $2,141 but a short-term pullback can’t be ruled out unless today’s US jobs report disappoints the US Dollar bulls.
SILVERBEES : Booked a profit of 2.91% on the invested capitalWhile the profit percentage relative to the invested capital may appear modest, it's important to note that the position size constituted approximately 5% of the net capital. Therefore, in terms of the overall capital, the profit is significant. A larger position size was allocated due to the nature of this being a commodity ETF, utilized as a hedge to safeguard the portfolio against potential sudden market downturns.
The decision to close the position was influenced by the price action of silver, with a thorough analysis of its chart provided below for reference. Please review the attached analysis for further insights.
If my perspective changes or if I gather additional fundamental data that influences my views, I will provide updates accordingly.
Thank you for following along with this journey, and I remain committed to sharing insights and updates as my trading strategy evolves. As always, please feel free to reach out with any questions or comments.
Other posts related to this particular position and scrip, if any, will be attached underneath. Do check those out too.
Disclaimer: The analysis shared here is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in all markets carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It's essential to conduct your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. The views expressed in this analysis are solely mine. It's important to note that I am not a SEBI registered analyst, so the analysis provided does not constitute formal investment advice under SEBI regulations.
SUZLON: CUP & HANDEL PATTERN FAILUREWe often follow conventional patterns. But Now a days it fails. Here you can see.
A chart pattern or price pattern is a pattern within a chart when prices are graphed. In stock and commodity markets trading, chart pattern studies play a large role during technical analysis. When data is plotted there is usually a pattern which naturally occurs and repeats over a period.
This is purely based on Study Purpose.
Keep Learning & Keep Improving.
Gold eases from record top, focus on $2,150, US NFPGold price snaps seven-day winning streak while retreating from the all-time high (ATH) of nearly $2,165 to $2,156 early Friday. In doing so, the precious metal portrays the consolidation of recent gains ahead of the all-important US employment details for February amid the overbought RSI (14) conditions. It’s worth noting, however, that the bullion still trades above the immediate resistance-turned-support, namely the previous record high marked in 2023 around $2,150. Hence, the XAUUSD sellers need validation from the US jobs report as well as the $2,150 to retake control. Following that, a quick fall toward the late December 2023 peak of around $2,090 and the $2,065-64 support zone can’t be ruled out. Even so, the commodity bears need to remain cautious unless the quote offers a daily closing beneath three-week-old rising support and the 100-SMA, respectively near $2,050 and $2,022.
On the flip side, the Gold buyers stay in the driver’s seat and can aim for a 10-month-old ascending resistance line, close to $2,185 by the press time, during further upside. Should the quote manage to ignore the RSI conditions and remain firmer past $2,185, the $2,200 round figure will act as an extra filter toward the north. It’s worth noting that the XAUUSD’s successful trading above $2,200 enables buyers to aim for the 78.6% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of its moves between 2018 and 2022, around $2,336.
Overall, Gold price remains on the bullish trend but a pullback appears imminent unless the scheduled data fail to inspire US Dollar’s rebound.