Gold market continues with downtrendEdward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA, said: “Global bond yields are surging and there seem to be concerns that global growth concerns could get even worse and that That gets people back to the dollar.”
Worries about global growth, especially in China and the euro zone, have pushed haven demand for the currency to its highest in months, making gold more expensive for buyers abroad. outside.
Metals market bulls were discouraged after China received some weaker-than-expected economic data.
According to CME's FedWatch tool, the market is expecting a 93% chance the Fed will pause interest rate hikes at its September meeting. However, there is a 40% chance of a rate hike in November or December.
In the short term, gold continues to be under downward pressure. However, gold is quite strongly supported at the 200-day moving average, around $1,920 an ounce.
At the end of the year or early next year, the selling pressure on precious metals will decrease. The USD is expected to weaken following signals of the Fed's gradual loosening of monetary policy.
Besides, the gold consumption season at the end of the year can also support this commodity more actively.
Search in ideas for "COMMODITY"
Finnifty look good for shorts* All the information shared in this chart is provided for strictly educational purposes only.
* This chart is sharing information are based on the theory of technical analysis .
* This is not an offer to buy or sell stocks, futures , options, commodity, forex, interests or any other trading security.
* Back test yourself before jump into live market consult your financial adviser and use proper risk management.
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Dow jones Look Good for Short* All the information shared in this chart is provided for strictly educational purposes only.
* This chart is sharing information are based on the theory of technical analysis .
* This is not an offer to buy or sell stocks, futures , options, commodity, forex, interests or any other trading security.
* Back test yourself before jump into live market consult your financial adviser and use proper risk management.
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Mini Dow jones Level's
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SMC Selling area is near 34906 - 34930
And Short Area is 34906
Below this level 34765 free fall will start.
************************** Target down side ********************************
Trade : Sell between 34906 - 34930 SL will be 120-130 Points (35033)
Target will be downside : 34680/34599/34483/34400/34311/34225
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Trading_Cafe24
Thank you :)
XAU price prediction for the first week of September 4, 2023More than two-thirds of retail investors expect precious metal prices to rise, according to Kitco News' latest weekly gold survey. And after weeks of caution and controversy, economic analysts are also optimistic about gold.
Specifically, 64% of Wall Street analysts surveyed expect gold prices to rise this week. Sixty-seven percent of retail investors who took part in the Main Street online poll agreed.
According to the latest survey, retail investors expect gold prices to hover around $1,962 an ounce this week. Adrian Day – The chairman of Adrian Day Asset Management said the price of gold will rise in the near future. He assessed that recent data appeared to favor gold. More than two-thirds of his investors expect the precious metal commodity to rise, according to Kitco News' latest weekly gold survey. And after weeks of caution and controversy, economic analysts are also optimistic about gold.
Specifically, 64% of Wall Street analysts who took part in the survey expect gold prices to rise this week. A similar view was shared by 67% of retail investors who took part in a Main Street online poll.
According to the latest survey, retail investors expect gold prices to hover around $1,962 an ounce this week.
Adrian Day – The chairman of Adrian Day Asset Management said the price of gold will rise in the near future. He said recent data seemed to support gold. That's because the latest economic report points to a slowdown in the global economy. Markets are pricing in the end of the U.S. rate hike cycle.
According to the current US dollar exchange rate (24,240 VND/USD), the world gold price is 56,948 million VND/tail, he is 11,302 million VND/tail lower than the domestic market.
Therefore, today, September 4, 2023 (as of 7:00 am), the price of gold on the world market is around US$1,941 per ounce.
Predict XAU's direction over the weekend (August 31, 2023)Spot gold prices have peaked at 1,850 USD/ounce. Then dropped to trade around 1,838 USD/ounce. Also on January 3, US gold futures increased 1% at 1,844.10 USD.
According to CNBC, gold prices have been trending up since the beginning of November 2021 when the market was chaotic.
Mr. Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank (Denmark), commented: "We are looking for a better gold price in 2023. Economic recession, stock risks, copper Weak USD and inflation - will support gold prices."
In the immediate future, Mr. Hansen believes that important events for gold prices will depend on the latest meeting of the US Federal Reserve (FED) on January 4 and the employment report on January 6.
Mr. Hansen forecasts that gold will look for the next resistance levels at $1,850 and $1,878.
Gold buyers remain hopeful on NFP day, focus on $1,955Gold braces for the second consecutive weekly gain as it confronts the key resistances on the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) day. Among them, the four-month-old descending trend line is the immediate challenge for the XAUUSD bulls around $1,945 ahead of the $1,955 crucial hurdle comprising the 100-SMA and the previous support line from late 2022. It’s worth noting that the quote’s successful rebound from the 50% Fibonacci retracement of its November 2022 to May 2023 rise joins the bullish MACD signals to favor the upside bias for the metal price. However, the RSI line speedily approaches the overbought territory and hence suggests the limited room towards the north for the metal, which in turn highlights the $1,955 level as a tough nut to crack for the bulls. In a case where the commodity remains firmer past $1,955, the odds of witnessing a quick rally towards the 23.6% Fibonacci ratio of around $1,987 can’t be ruled out whereas the $2,000 threshold could check the run-up afterward.
On the flip side, the $1,900 round figure will precede the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of around $1,898 to restrict the near-term downside of the Gold Price. Following that, the lows marked in June and August, respectively near $1,893 and $1,885 will be in the spotlight for the sellers. Should the XAUUSD remain weak past $1,885, its fall toward the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of near $1,858, also known as the Golden Fibonacci Ratio, becomes imminent.
Overall, the Gold price approaches the interesting resistance territory as markets await the US employment report for August.
Predict the path of gold in the coming daysThe gold price trend forecast, despite short-term selling pressure, said analysts at Australia-based bank ANZ maintain their medium to long-term bullish outlook for the metal. precious type. Daniel Hynes, senior commodity strategist at ANZ, said that while he cannot rule out a drop below $1,900 an ounce, he sees signs of solid support in the market.
While ANZ remains bullish on gold, the current lackluster environment has prompted the bank to push back on its prediction of a new record high. The Bank of Australia forecasts prices to average around $2,050 an ounce by the fourth quarter of 2023. Prices are expected to hit a new high by the end of the first quarter of 2024, with prices averaging around $2,100.
With the domestic gold price falling and the world gold price listed at Kitco at $1,891.4/ounce (equivalent to nearly 55 million dong/tael if converted at Vietcombank exchange rate, excluding taxes and fees), the difference between the gold price on August 17 in the domestic and international gold market is over 12 million dong/tael.
XAUUSD BUY 1893-1895💯
✅ TP1: 1925
✅ TP2: 1923
SL: 1888
XAUUSD trend over the weekendThe gold price trend forecast, despite short-term selling pressure, said analysts at Australia-based bank ANZ maintain their medium to long-term bullish outlook for the metal. precious type. Daniel Hynes, senior commodity strategist at ANZ, said that while he cannot rule out a drop below $1,900 an ounce, he sees signs of solid support in the market.
While ANZ remains bullish on gold, the current lackluster environment has prompted the bank to push back on its prediction of a new record high. The Bank of Australia forecasts prices to average around $2,050 an ounce by the fourth quarter of 2023. Prices are expected to hit a new high by the end of the first quarter of 2024, with prices averaging around $2,100.
With the domestic gold price falling and the world gold price listed at Kitco at $1,891.4/ounce (equivalent to nearly 55 million dong/tael if converted at Vietcombank exchange rate, excluding taxes and fees), the difference between the gold price on August 17 in the domestic and international gold market is over 12 million dong/tael.
XAUUSD BUY 1893-1895💯
✅ TP1: 1925
✅ TP2: 1923
SL: 1888
Bearish Sign In ZINCs Per Technical Analysis and Volume Analysis Mention Stock looks Bearish If its break 225.20-225 Level then Possibly We Can see 222,220,and 218 Level if you are Commodity Trader Then you can Plan to take Trade in this script.
sell ZINC Mini Aug Future Near 226, Sl 228, target 223,221.50
Time Frame - 3-4 days
Thanks And Regards
Ajay
28 Jul ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty Beautiful recovery final 45mts🐂The open was as expected and the first 2 candles made sense when we retouched yesterday’s swing low.But what followed after that was more of a discouragement for the bears. No matter how hard the bears try - they are unable to push down the prices.
We had a gradual fall to the intraday low of 19563 which was hit by 13.45 - and this was the time by which the bulls took over. The bulls were able to rally Nifty back to yesterday's closing level. By 15.07 Nifty turned green and then dipped a bit to close at 19646 just 0.07% in red.
The last 45mts helped Nifty climb 99pts ~ 0.51% on what looked like a fairy tale like ending. The real reason was the lack of participation of commodity, consumption, energy, fmcg, pharma and metal indices. Finally it seemed like only the financial and IT indices wanted RED.
What today’s move means is Nifty50 is an untradeable range as of now, we need to either break 19521 on the downside or break 19729 on the upside for a directional game.
...
Comment with your thoughts, opinion or bias, I will respond with mine :)
Gold price pullback remains unimpressive beyond $1,900Gold price reverses the previous week’s retreat from an eight-week-old descending resistance line, grinding higher past the 100-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA). However, the nearly overbought RSI (14) suggests another pullback from the aforementioned immediate resistance line, near $1,962 at the latest. With this, the XAUUSD is likely to break the immediate support surrounding $1,935, comprising the 100-EMA. However, the 200-EMA, close to $1,900 at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the metal bears to break before retaking control. In a case where the price remains bearish below the $1,900 mark, the odds of witnessing a quick slump toward the early March high of around $1,858 can’t be ruled out.
On the contrary, a daily closing beyond the aforementioned descending resistance line, close to $1,962, could renew the Gold Price upside towards challenging the previous monthly high of around $1,983. Following that, the $2,000 round figure and April’s peak of around $2,048 will be in the spotlight before directing the XAUUSD bulls toward the yearly high of near $2,067.
Overall, multiple hurdles toward the north and the latest retreat from the key resistance line teases the Gold sellers but crucial EMAs stand tall to challenge the commodity bears.
Silver Bounce Or Break From Support ?Hello mates, sharing the commodity silver futures weekly chart for educational purpose for that as we can see that 70000-68000 zones was a hazardous resistance for it and now we can see that price is trading near that zones so for that I am sharing my trading ideas for it below.
IDEA NUMBER ONE-:
Price is currently trading with well placed support on this weekly chart and it is trading near too a support by 50 EMA as we can see it gives a bounce two times earlier (mentioned on chart) from 50 EMA so if this time it we can see 75600 levels again, bounce could confirm according to our own setup or time frame too for we can go long.
IDEA NUMBER TWO-:
If it will breach it's mentioned support zone which is adjoined it's rising support trendline and 50 EMA too so we can make a short in it for the target of 62600 levels.
Executions-
All above mentioned ideas will be applicable on weekly closing basis only, one can use own setup or time frame according to provided levels if they are agreed that levels are right some how.
KINDLY NOTE-: This is not and trade or investment advice. This idea is meant for learning. Invest your capital at your own risk.
Regards-: Amit
Long natural gas Natural Gas has broken out from the head and shoulder reversal pattern on the hourly timeframe. On the daily as well it seems to be forming a reversal pattern and hence the longs have a good chance of succeeding in this environment. Moreover it looks like the previous move was more of a correction rather than an impulse move down. Stops below the right shoulder with the target being the depth of the head from the neckline breakout.