EWT: High confidence Trade-setup for ACE Construction.ACE construction is forming a contracting triangle of waves ((4)).
To draw parallel lines, I have connected wave ((2)) & wave ((4)) and merged with wave ((3)).
Wave ((1))
- Five wave impulse
wave ((2))
- Sharp correction
- 50% retracement of wave ((1))
Wave ((3))
- Five wave impulse
- Power extend
Wave ((4))
- Contracting triangle
- sideways correction
- 38.2% of wave ((3))
Wave ((5))
- Wave ((5)) can be equal to wave ((1)).
- It can end near a 1.618% extension of wave ((4)).
We can expect the following targets of 273 - 292 - 320+ after the breakout of the B-D trendline.
In case if price breaks the A-C trendline to completed wave E, it can fall up to 139 . According to Elliott wave, wave (4) ends near the lower degree of wave 4.
Price action Perspectives:
In this chart, we can see the crossover of multi-exponential moving averages. And the price is formed a value area for more than two months.
If the price breaks out of this value area range, we may see an upward move for our targets.
Search in ideas for "FOREX"
Nifty Outlook - Will the bulls cease the falling knife of Nifty?Price Action Perspective:
Price is creating a value area where supply and demand are equal.
The control line of the value area has provided eight price touches to confirm the price move, and it has provided five reversals.
In this view, Nifty is on the control line of the value area at 17615 . Price has drawn a doji candle on the control line.
There are seven pieces of evidence of a reversal on the control, so the level of 17615 becomes a key level for traders.
In addition, nifty often gives a gap-up after every powerful doji candle. if it has the potential to reverse the price, nifty can reverse with gap-up. ( You can see green circles in the chart)
Conclusion:
If Nifty could not sustain above the control line, it would start a downward movement till the lower band of the price area. Price seems strong above the control line, and if the price sustains above 17614 , we may see a low 17760-17914-18123+.
Nifty Outlook: Will the seller crash the remaining bull?Nifty is occurring a corrective wave ((iv)) on the hourly timeframe chart.
It has broken the previous corrective (iv) of a lower degree and price fall to 17377 .
The bullish scenario is valid till the price is above 17150 .
According to the Elliott wave principle, wave ((iv)) can never enter the price territory of wave ((i)).
Wave ((iv)) has retraced 78.6% , and it can't retrace more than 78.6% if there is a bull power on the other hand.
If the nifty breaks 78.6% at 17156, it will also break the invalidation level point of 17150 .
Nifty is creating a downtrend channel, where bull power has controlled by sellers.
If the price breaks out of the channel downtrend, we can see a sharp upward move soon.
However, nifty has to confirm its bull run by breaking the breaking supply zones.
Previous Idea:
Other ideas:
Use the play button to see the results.
NIFTY Research Report 1: Elliott wave & sentiment analysis
Time-frame: Daily
Research report: Elliott wave and sentiment analysis
Wave ((1))
Price has started an impulsive structure on 24 March 2020 . It has exceeded the supply pressure by creating demand.
Wave ((1)) formed as a leading diagonal because there was the existence of seller and supply pressure.
All the fundamentals were bearish before this move. So, it was a bit risky to think about a trend change without any proper signal.
Price has made a high of 9989 , and the fifth terminating wave completed the wave ((1)). It has started falling downward, and traders thought that price could make another leg down.
Wave ((2))
5th sub-wave has completed the wave ((1)).
Once again, the price hasn't signaled trend change, and the bearish perspective was less risky than the bullish perspective.
Corrective wave 2 formed a sharp correction, but it couldn't break the 50% level, and the price surged.
Price made a higher low.
Wave ((3))
Price broke the high of wave ((1)) at 9989 , which has given evidence of an impulsive atmosphere.
The price is going for a new high with heavy demand pressure, which has crushed supply pressure.
Bullish fundamentals and public participants have skyrocketed towards a new high.
Sub-wave of wave ((3))
Sub-wave 1 is an impulse at 1032 .
Sub-wave 2 is and sharp correction.
Sub-wave 3 is an impulse with 161.8 % Fibonacci Extension.
Sub-wave 4 is deep correction at 10790 .
Sub-wave 5 is the power extended wave at 15431.
Wave ((3)) has made a high of 15431, and public participants started booking profit.
Wave ((4))
After creating a high of 15431, buyers got surprising disappointment.
Price has started falling due to short-term bearish sentiments and the profit booking.
Wave ((4)) is a double zigzag pattern w-x-y, which indicates the single correction was not enough to correct the strong impulse move.
It has an alternation of the triangle.
Price has completed corrective wave ((4)) at 14151 .
Wave ((5))
After the accomplishment of wave ((5)), the price started a bullish move.
Price broke wave X, which signaled a bullish atmosphere.
Due to surprising disappointment, the price move is not as strong as we have seen in wave ((3)).
sub-wave of wave ((5))
Wave 1 is a five-wave impulse
Wave 2 is a less time-consuming wave.
Wave 3 is a normal extended wave.
Wave 4 is a deep correction triple zigzag (w-x-y-x-z), and broadning wedge.
Wave 5 is forming and has confirmed its bullish move by breaking wave X.
Conclusion:
I have the following reasons to consider the current move as an impulsive wave.
Wave counts without invalidation.
Price broke the X wave of the corrective structure.
Sub-wave 4 of wave ((5)) retraced 61.8 % of wave 3. As per rule, the 4th wave can't retrace more than 78.6% of wave 3.
Scenario 1:
Price is on the bullish momentum, but if price breaks down the wave X to take support, we can expect the following levels: 17790-17528-17316.
Scenario 2:
If the price is refusing for a retracement and continuously creating new highs, we price can go for 18600- 18825+
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Research Report 2: Price action analysis
Research Report 3: Multiple time frame analysis using EWT & Price action
NIFTY Research Report 2: Elliott Wave And Price Action analysis--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Timeframe: 1- Day
Theory: Elliott Wave
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Click here to read research report 1:
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Timeframe: 1- hour
Theory: Elliott Wave
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Let's zoom the 5th impulsive wave of wave ((5)) to know the current situation of the Wave cycle.
The ending point of wave 4 is the starting point of wave 5.
After the accomplishment of, triple zigzag, the price has started an impulsive wave, and it has broken the X wave.
X was had holder the correction, and break out of X wave increased public participant in nifty.
Wave formations of the impulsive wave 5 of wave ((5)).
Wave ((i)) is a leading diagonal.
Wave ((ii)) is a zigzag correction, retraced 50% of wave ((i)).
Wave ((iii)) is a five-wave impulse where sub-wave v is near to being completed.
After the completion of wave ((iii)) , the price will start the corrective wave ((iv)). The question is, how to know if the corrective wave started or not?
The best way to find the starting point of the corrective structure is the breakout of the base channel.
If the price breaks the base channel, it may end near the previous wave (iv). I have already mentioned levels in the daily time-frame analysis.
If the price couldn't break down the parallel base channel, it can create a new high, but it will give a short pullback to increase public participants.
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Timeframe: 1- hour
Theory: Price Action Analysis
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Price has broken out the downtrend channel and started an upward move.
However, the current bullish move looks strong, but the price can't make a new high without proper retracement.
Nifty can't get public participants Without trend pause( correction).
If the price breaks the parallel channel, we can expect the following support level: 18232-17944-17604-17261
Please note that the price is bullish above 18250 .
If the price takes support on the parallel channel, it can go for 18600-18845+ to touch the upper band of the channel.
EWT: Bigger Picture analysis of JK Laxmi CementJK Laxmi cement has accomplished impulsive wave ((3)) and has a complex correction of wave ((4)).
After making a high of 816 , the price started forming a corrective channel for wave ((4)).
It has made a low of 529.10 , and we can see a price surge to 630.
However, the price reached the upper band of the channel, but it is facing dynamic resistance of the parallel channel.
If the price does not break the parallel channel, we will consider it a lower high(LH).
Wave (4) retraced 38.2%, which is the common retracement.
Before starting a bull trend, the price will create public participants, which can be possible after a retracement.
Retracement is nothing but a pullback for bull traders.
If the price rejects from the upper band of the channel, it can come down to 61.8- 78.6% .
After the rejection, if the price reverses from the control line trader can initiate a buy position for 580-635-678-700+
Note Safe traders should buy after the clear breakout of the parallel channel. We are not interested in buying before a new lower high, which gives a signal of demand zone.
Breaking down the control line will create a new lower low which can go up to the upper band or 50%- 61.8%.
If you hit like on this idea, you will get all updates about JK Lakshmi cement through tradingview.com from my side.
I will upload an intraday chart soon.
Will bull traders drive Apollotyer above Rs.300?Preface
APOLLOTYER is preparing for a bull run. After completion of the 3rd wave at 261.2. Price had started a corrective wave ((4)) and took 38 weeks to finish this structure.
A trader can trade impulsive wave ((5)) to make a high confidence trade setup.
Wave Formations and Fibonacci relationships:
Wave ((1))is an impulse with a 5-3-5-3-5 wave structure.
Wave ((2)) is a zigzag move. Fibonacci retracement of wave 2 is 50% of 1st impulsive wave at 109.55. Sub-wave of wave 2 fulfilled the rule of equality (wave A= wave C)
Wave ((2)) is not exceeding the starting point of wave 1.
Wave ((3)) is an extensive impulse. 3rd wave has 261.8% retracement of 1st impulsive at 261.
Wave ((4)) is a triple three with a 3-3-3-3-3 wave structure.
It retraced 38.2% of the 3rd wave and did not overlap the starting point of wave 1.
What will happen next?
Completion of sub-wave z indicates that the corrective wave has ended. Price has started forming sub-waves of wave 5.
The sub-wave z of wave ((4)) has formed a descending channel.
If the price breaks descending channel and close above sub-wave ((b)) at 237, it will confirm the impulsive behavior.
(Note that the ending point of the corrective wave is the starting point of an impulsive wave.)
A trader can expect the following targets:237-250-279-297+
Target 1: 237
Target 2: 250
Target 3: 279
Target 4: 297+
The safe traders can wait for the breakout of wave X.
If the price fails to break the wave X, correction is about to make a new leg down.
They can enter on the pullback to enter where they can manage risk with tight stop loss.
Invalidation: pullback can't break the low of wave ((4))
Nifty outlook: bull trend or bull trap?In my previous post, I have mentioned that nifty can make an upward move before making the last leg.
Nifty was at 16999 , and it has made a high of 17400 on 31st December 2021.
Nifty is out of the channel and near to the previous lower high.
If nifty breaks up 17639 , we can expect a big upward move for 18210 , which indicates that correction is complete.
And if it fails to break the parallel channel, we can expect the following targets: 16909-16690-16449-16369 , and the price will start wave C of wave (Z).
Please note that the downtrend is below 17639.
I will upload further information soon.
NSE Asian Paint (EWT): Money printing time
Asian paint has started the impulsive sub-wave 'iii' of wave 5. Price has crossed the high of wave 'i', which is the signal of impulsive behavior of wave 5.
A long position can be initiated after a pullback when price penetrates on wave 'i' to take support. And that cannot be a barrier for long-term investors. They can jump on it.
But if you are a short-term investor or safe trader, you may lose this opportunity due to waiting for a pullback, but this is the only way to manage risk.
But if you want to moderate risk here, you may lose the opportunity due to waiting for a pullback.
Target: 3342 - 3454 - 3505 - 3581
Invalidation: l ow of wave ii
I haven't mentioned sub-waves of wave 'iii' because it hasn't taken shape. I will re-upload this chart soon.
Previous Idea:
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Bajaj Finserv Will Make One More Leg Down Before Marching UpwardBAJAJ FINSERV is forming in the descending channel.
After making the all-time high of 19325 , it has corrected 3000 points.
The descending channel has the highest value of 19325 and the lowest value of 16273 .
It has touched nine times on the control of descending channel.
Even if the control line has provided reversal, the breakout of the control line signals continuation of the trend.
Price is occurring value area box which shows control of the supply & demand. In this area, buyers and sellers are both satisfied with this price.
If the price gives a fake-out, traders can buy on the excess area for the targets of the control line of the value area box at 17275 and up to the upper band of the value area.
NIFTY: Price Action Perspective And EWTDaily Chart:
Elliott Wave Perspective:
Nifty has completed the corrective wave A of triple zigzag (Z)
If the price gives a consecutive close above (X), it suggests that corrective structure has occurred and an impulsive wave started.
However, the price has given three moves after wave A.
Sub-wave a traveled 100% of wave B.
The price is weak below 17639 and strong above 17650.
In my previous idea, I have mentioned the price can be out of the channel. Sellers can enter after a rejection of the candle on a higher timeframe.
Safe traders can enter when the price enters into the downtrend channel.
Today's close will initiate positional views.
Price Action perspective:
After the accomplishment of the lower-low, nifty surged and reached near the previous lower-high point at 17639 .
As mentioned in down theory, An upward trend is a series of successively higher highs and higher lows.
Price is weak below 17639 , which is a previous lower high.
If nifty creates a swing failure, supply will exceed the demand.
Alembic Pharmaceuticals is preparing for Rs. 140+Alembic is having a double zigzag( W-X-Y) correction of wave ((4)).
Price is stuck on the ending diagonal of wave Y.
According to the Elliott wave principle, if the price breaks up the ending diagonal, the price is supposed to reach the targets of 114-123-139 and more .
However, the price must confirm the trend by breaking the wave (X).
In case if price breaks the low of wave Y, it can fall up to 79 .
At this level, wave W has traveled 100% of wave Y. After that, it will initiate an uptrend for the above targets.
Elliott Wave says NIFTY Going for 16369 Nifty is constructing triple three (x,y,z) right now.
Price is about to accomplish sub-wave B of triple three.
Buyers should be ready to exit from their position before the price reaches the nearest lower high at 17639 , which is wave (X) of the correction.
According to wave principle, if the price couldn't sustain above wave X, then the current trend is about to resume.
Currently, nifty's trend is bearish and, wave C can give a downward motion with the following targets:
TP 1: 16909
TP 2: 16690
TP 3: 16449
TP 4: 16369
Note that price can make an excess at the upper band of the channel.
Trade Setups (only for the safe traders):
Traders can enter when the price rejects the wave (X).
If the price breaks the (X) at 17639, it may be a fake-out. Traders can wait for the price to enter into the parallel channel.
Stop-loss can be the nearest high of the excess which will be out of the channel.
T rade Setups (only for the Lion heart traders):
Lion heart traders can enter in sell position when the price makes rejection of wave (X).
After the price rejection, they can initiate a short position below 17600.
Stop-loss can be high of the new lower high.
Stay in touch for the next update of this setup.
NSE IDFCFirstBank Bullish Cycle Started
Preface:
IDFC First bank is ready to march upward. After making the high of 69.30, the Price has started the corrective wave four and took 179 days to complete. The ending point of wave 4 is the starting point of impulsive wave 5.
Wave Formations And Fibonacci Relationships:
Wave 1 is a Leading diagonal which has a 3-3-3-3-3 sub-wave structure.
Wave 2 is a combination where wave 'W' is a zigzag & wave 'Y' is a triangle. Fibonacci retracement of wave 2 is 38.2% of wave 1.
Wave 2 is not exceeding the starting point of wave 1.
Wave 3 is an extensive impulse. 3rd wave has 261.8% retracement of wave 1.
Wave 4 is a zigzag correction with a 5-3-5 wave structure.
Sub-wave of wave 4 fulfilled the rule of equality (wave A= wave C).
Wave 4 retraced 78.6% of wave 3.
What will happen next?
Completion of sub-wave C indicates that the corrective wave has ended. Price has started forming sub-waves of wave 5.
Wave (ii) retraced 78.6% of wave (i).
If the IDFC First Bank breaks the high of wave 1, it will confirm the impulsive behavior of wave (iii).
(Note that the ending point of the corrective wave is the starting point of an impulsive wave.)
A trader can expect the following targets: 64-74.64- 86.2+
Target 1: 64
{Clusters: high of wave B,161.8% of wave (iii), 78.6% of reverse Fibonacci retracement of wave 4}
Target 2: 74.64
{Clusters: 2.618% of wave (i) through (iii), 161.8% of wave 1 through 3}
Target 3: 86.23
{Clusters:78.6% reverse Fibonacci retracement of wave 4, dynamic resistance}
Unlocking The Next Targets of MCX Gold, Crude oil, & AluminiumGold Price Slowly Going Upside
Key levels: 48113 - 47616
MCX gold has been moving under the range of 48113 - 47616. It's a very crucial point. We may see a continued uptrend ahead if it breaks and close above 0.382 retracement level. That can be up to 48260 - 48490 - 48600 - 48700.
And if it breakdown the 0.5 retracement level, then we may see 47496 - 47300 - 47160.
Kindly note, 47616 is strong support.
***Beware, Crude Oil Bulls - That’s the Beginning of the End***
Barrier: 6290 level
Crude oil may keep running upward for the levels of 62360 - 6500+. To maintain an uptrend, it has to crossover the hurdle level of 6290 by closing above.
And if it breaks the level of 6060, then wait for my update.
***Aluminium Is Going To Test Critical Technical Support Levels***
MCX Aluminium is coming back to the strong support of 226.6. Be ready to jump on it.
Nifty technically short-term bullish, but…Nifty hasn't given a continuous breakout of the lower high. If nifty couldn't give consecutive closes above lower high, there can be a failed swing low and signals resumption of the trend.
In 30 minute timeframe, the price has made a value area box where supply equals demand. If nifty gives a continuous break to the upper band of the value area, traders can initiate a buy position for the target of 17554-17586-17618.
Strong closes above 17621 indicate a good time for bull traders.
Swing failure may drive the price lower. Bear traders can look for 17465-17408-17312.
Will BANK NIFTY Hit 37800 Today?Bank Nifty had stuck into the descending channel (DC) from 25 Oct to 07 Dec. The upper trendline of DC has broken and started moving forward. It has filled the 25 Nov gap yesterday and marching towards the supply zone. We have chances to see 37600 – 37800+ levels today. Intraday traders can take benefit of it.
But you must note the second resistance of 36871 . It’s a barrier for buyers. If Bank Nifty remains under of it, then we may see an excess of this channel. And that will collapse the Bank Nifty prices from 36800 to 36300 – 35696 below. That’s why I have highlighted the supply zone in the above chart with a strict warning.
I have used RSI and Stoch RSI together. The Stoch RSI is indicating a downtrend ahead. But, others (MA, DMI, & RSI) are throwing positive signs. Hence, you have to focus on the second resistance line only.
Further any changes/details I will update during the market hours.
Kotak Bank Has An Explosive Rally AheadNSE Kotak Mahindra Bank has started marching upside because it has completed wave ((4)). Its fifth wave will end nearby the retracement of wave ((4)) of 161.8% and sub-wave of (4) of 161.8%. So, long-term investors may hold for the targets of 2345 - 2446 - 2536 .
At present, intraday & short-term investors can also jump on this stock. Kotak bank prices may move forward up to 1900 - 1960 - 2056 levels to hit the halfway of wave 5th. Consecutive closing above the level of 1832 is a direct buy signal.
A short reversal is expected at the last target of 2056 .
Further information I will update you soon. Stay connected!
Nifty Outlook: The Case Of Initiative And Response Between Bulls
Nifty has continued forming the descending channel. Price has made three excess areas on the lower band. It means that bear traders are continuously trying to break down the descending channel. Price is following the control line with nine spot confirmation.
The trend will change after a breakout of the upper band, and it will drag the nifty price at my pivot point. And that pivot point will act as a hurdle. Hence, it has to climb up to that. And if that happens, then it will keep moving forward non-stop.
Otherwise, there is a high chance that the price will create an excess. This pivot has provided three successful reversals on the upper band.
Bearishness may drive nifty for one more leg down.
NIfty Outlook : Crash or A Powertfull Bull RunNifty has taken support at 17968, and It has made a triangle pattern on the support zone.
If it gives break out above and enters in the channel, we can expect a recovery.
Otherwise, nifty will break the support level and make a new low.
Also, check my old idea if it enters the channel:
Targets are valid.
**NIFTY's Elliott Wave Perspective for Today**Nifty can bounce from 0.618% - 0.786% of retracement levels, and we may see 18350 again.
According to the Elliott Wave Principle, it can drop up to 1.00% of wave i. And a breakdown of wave 'i' is a direct sign of a strong downtrend.
Buyers must note that the price has broken 200 EMA.
Don't buy without any confirmation.
Part 2: Is zeel preparing for a bull run?
Zeel Is Sitting On The Ticking Bomb!
Did you read the previous report of MCX Gold? If not, click the below link to read it.
- Is zeel preparing for a bull run?
Zeel has concluded a corrective structure and started an impulsive wave. The price is about to cross the recent high of 362 , but there is resistance.
Breakout traders can enter after breaking the high of 362 , and reversal traders can wait for a pullback, and they can enjoy the big move.
Invalidation: please note that pullback can't be lower than wave C .
Further, I will upload intraday (15 min and 1-hour chart) to make a setup on zeel.