USDJPY: Uptrend Faces Challenges at 156.65 ResistanceUSDJPY is currently trading at 155.68, reflecting a significant upward momentum in recent sessions. After successfully testing the strong support area at 153.40—a confluence of the 89 EMA and an ascending trendline—the pair surged sharply toward the key resistance zone at 156.65.
However, the 156.65 – 157.00 zone is considered a "pressure area," with the potential to trigger a short-term correction. If the price fails to break above this resistance, USDJPY could pull back to test support at 154.70 or even deeper at 153.40.
On the news front, the USD remains strong, driven by expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates, while the Bank of Japan continues its accommodative policy. Investors should pay close attention to key U.S. economic data, such as PMI figures and speeches from Fed officials this week, as these factors will strongly influence USDJPY's price action.
Strategy: Monitor price reactions at the 156.65 resistance zone. A breakout could target 157.50, while rejection at this level increases the likelihood of a pullback toward support levels.
SELL
Bullish momentum stalls amid resistanceUSD/JPY is currently trading around 154.57 after a strong rally. It seems that the bulls have run into pressure at the 155.00 resistance zone, while technical and market sentiment factors are also influencing the next direction of the pair.
Technical analysis:
Nearest resistance: 155.00 - a strong psychological resistance zone where the price is struggling to overcome.
Nearest support: 154.00 - a key support level, if broken, the price could fall further to 153.00.
EMA 34 and EMA 89: The price is trading around EMA 34 (short-term support), but is still above EMA 89, suggesting that the medium-term uptrend is still in place.
Price pattern: There are signs of a pause, with the possibility of forming a "Pullback" pattern or a slight reversal before continuing the main trend.
Personal opinion:
I see the market facing a dilemma between buying and selling forces. The recent increase in USD is supported by high US bond yields and positive market sentiment. However, if it fails to break above the 155.00 zone, USD/JPY may correct slightly before looking for new momentum to continue rising.
Trading strategy:
Buy: When the price breaks above 155.00, the next target is 156.00.
Sell: When the price falls below 154.00, the next support target is 153.00.
EUR/USD: Bearish Pressure Continues, 1.0560 Is KeyEUR/USD on the 1-hour chart is currently showing signs of a slight recovery from the lows around 1.0520. However, the main trend is still tilted to the downside as the EMA 34 and EMA 89 continue to lie above the price, reflecting that selling pressure has not abated.
Personally, I think the bearish trend is still dominant and the 1.0560 area will be the deciding point whether the exchange rate can continue to recover or not. If it fails to overcome this resistance area, the possibility of EUR/USD continuing to fall to the 1.0520 area and even deeper is very high.
Gold Rebounds: Focus on 2,546 Support & Russia-Ukraine TensionsGold prices rose on Monday (November 18) after six consecutive losing sessions as the rally in the USD paused and escalating uncertainty over the Russia-Ukraine conflict spurred safe-haven demand.
Currently, gold is recovering after successfully testing strong support at $2,546, where the long-term uptrend intersects with potential buying zones. This positive signal reflects strong buying momentum, pushing prices back towards $2,620, near the EMA 34 and EMA 89, key dynamic resistances.
If prices break above the $2,620 level, the next target could be the resistance zone at $2,791, where significant selling pressure awaits.
With the Russia-Ukraine tensions showing no signs of de-escalating, gold prices could climb even higher in the future. Traders should closely monitor developments in this situation.
USDJPY: Near Resistance 156.70, Consolidation Awaits DirectionUSDJPY is currently trading around 154.62, approaching the key resistance level of 156.70 after recovering from strong support at 152.24. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines are near the current price, acting as dynamic resistance and hindering further upward momentum.
The RSI indicator is hovering at a neutral level of 48, indicating a consolidating market with no clear trend. If the price fails to break through the resistance at 156.70, it is likely to pull back to the support levels at 153.70 or even 152.24.
The primary driver of USDJPY's trend is the strengthening USD, supported by expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates, along with easing signals from the Bank of Japan (BoJ). However, any significant economic data from the US, particularly inflation figures or statements from the Fed, could strongly influence price action this week.
EURUSD Recovery: Challenging the 1.0946 Resistance
EURUSD is currently in a mild recovery phase, trading around 1.0582 after hitting a recent low at 1.05140—a significant support zone. While the recovery is underway, the EMA 34 and EMA 89 above the current price act as dynamic resistance, limiting upward momentum.
The nearest resistance at 1.0946 is a key target, but failure to break above this level may see EURUSD revisiting the support zone at 1.0514 or even dropping further.
The USD remains strong due to expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates, while weak economic data from Europe continues to undermine the EUR's position. Traders should closely monitor economic reports from both the US and Europe this week, especially inflation data, as these will play a critical role in determining the pair's next direction.
Trend continuation or correction?Both EMA 34 and EMA 89 are sloping up, creating a strong uptrend support structure. This is a positive signal for buyers. The price is consolidating around the 154.50 - 155.00 area, close to the psychological resistance. The recent upward momentum is still maintained, but there are signs of slowing down.
USD/JPY is still receiving support from US bond yields, as the 10-year yield remains high. This increases the strength of the USD.
However, profit-taking pressure may occur if USD/JPY fails to break above the current resistance zone.
Personal opinion:
If the price breaks above 155.00, USD/JPY may extend its upward momentum, heading towards 156.00. However, if strong selling pressure appears, the price may adjust to the support zone of 154.00 - 153.50 before deciding on the trend.
Update the latest gold price todayOn November 18, gold prices soared nearly $50, breaking a six-session losing streak as the U.S. dollar paused its rally and the Russia-Ukraine conflict intensified. Spot gold closed the session at $2,611 per ounce, recovering from a two-month low.
The sharp rise in gold was partly fueled by U.S. President Joe Biden's announcement allowing Ukraine to utilize long-range weapons supplied by the U.S. to target deep inside Russian territory. This escalation in geopolitical tensions has significantly boosted demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
This recent rally underscores gold's resilience in times of heightened uncertainty, with investors flocking to the precious metal amid a volatile global landscape.
Strong Recovery After Prolonged DowntrendGold prices have recovered strongly to $2,610/ounce in today's trading session, up $48 in just the past 24 hours. This move shows increased bottom-fishing demand after the precious metal fell a total of more than $120/ounce in the previous five trading sessions.
Technical Analysis
Looking at the gold price chart, the EMA 34 and EMA 89 still show a medium-term downtrend. However, the current strong bullish candle is challenging these dynamic resistance levels. If gold continues to surpass $2,620, the uptrend could extend to the resistance zone near $2,650.
On the contrary, if it fails to stay above $2,600, the possibility of a reversal back to the support zone of $2,560 is quite high.
Fundamentals Support
Geopolitical situation: Escalating tensions in the Ukraine region with the participation of long-range weapons from the US and military moves from Russia and North Korea have boosted safe-haven demand for gold.
Bullish forecast: A report from Goldman Sachs with a forecast of gold prices reaching $3,000/ounce by the end of 2025 is creating positive sentiment for the market.
Bargain hunting demand: After a series of sharp declines, large financial institutions have started to increase purchases, pushing gold prices up rapidly.
Review
Based on the above factors, I expect gold prices to retest the important resistance zone at $2,650 in the short term. However, it is necessary to closely monitor the market's reaction at the $2,620 area. If the breakout fails, selling pressure may reappear.
EURUSD Outlook: Bearish Continuation LikelyThe EURUSD pair remains under pressure, trading near 1.0590 as sellers continue to dominate the market. Recent attempts to recover have been capped near the highlighted resistance zone, aligning with key moving averages, reinforcing the bearish sentiment.
Technically, the pair shows a clear rejection at resistance levels, suggesting further downside potential. If the price fails to reclaim 1.0786, a continuation of the downward trend is anticipated, targeting the 1.0527 support zone initially. A break below this level could open the door for a deeper decline toward 1.0500 and beyond.
Traders should monitor the price action near the resistance zone closely, as any break above it could temporarily challenge the bearish momentum. However, the overall outlook remains bearish unless significant recovery signs emerge.
USDJPY Awaits a Breakout at 155.878
USDJPY is currently trading in a short-term uptrend but is being held back by a descending trendline and the resistance level at 155.878. After bouncing from the strong support at 153.350, the price is now fluctuating around EMA 34 (154.850) and EMA 89 (153.995), reflecting a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers.
Rising U.S. bond yields and the Bank of Japan's dovish policies continue to support the USD, while the Japanese Yen remains under pressure.
The RSI at a neutral level of 51.52 indicates unclear market momentum. If the price breaks above 155.878, the uptrend could strengthen with a target near 157.000. Traders should closely monitor key levels to make informed decisions.
EURUSD Under Pressure, Support at 1.05151 Awaits TestEURUSD is currently continuing its downward trend, dominated by the descending channel and EMA lines.
After bouncing off the strong support level of 1.05151, the price is now testing resistance at 1.05663 but remains under selling pressure as it stays below the EMA 34, confirming that the main trend has not changed.
Risk-off sentiment has driven capital into the USD, increasing pressure on EURUSD due to the greenback's strength. At the same time, positive CPI data supporting the British Pound has reduced the Euro's appeal, further intensifying downward pressure on the pair.
If the price fails to break above 1.05663, it is highly likely to retest the support at 1.05151 and potentially decline further.
USD/JPY Slight Correction After UptrendUSD/JPY is trending around 155, after a slight decline from the peak near 155.5. On the H4 chart, the price is testing the EMA 34, while the EMA 89 provides strong support at 154.0.
The nearest resistance is at 155.5, if broken, the price may continue to increase to the 156 area. On the contrary, if strong selling pressure causes the price to break the EMA 34, the target will be the 154.0 - 153.8 area.
Personal opinion: Currently, USD/JPY is in a state of hesitation, due to the lack of new momentum in the market. I expect the price to accumulate around this area before a clear breakout. Traders should monitor US economic data or any developments in bond yields to determine the next trend.
Gold Prices Rise Steadily, Testing the 2,658 USD/oz LevelGold prices increased for the third consecutive session, reaching a one-week high of 2,647.43 USD/oz on November 20, supported by its role as a safe-haven asset amid escalating tensions between Russia and Ukraine. However, the rally was capped by a recovering USD, making gold more expensive for international buyers.
The 2,551 level has been confirmed as strong support after two successful tests, prompting a sharp rebound. The 2,658 level is the next immediate target for prices to break, while the 2,789 zone is the next potential peak if the bullish trend persists.
Following a significant correction from the previous high, gold may form a double-bottom pattern around 2,551, signaling strong buying pressure. Currently, prices are testing the 2,658 resistance level and show signs of continuing the upward trend if this level is breached. If a pullback occurs, the 2,652 zone (EMA 34) will serve as an essential support level to watch.
Gold Price Increases for 3 Consecutive SessionsWorld gold prices continued to increase for the third consecutive session, currently trading around 2,650 USD/ounce, up a total of 88 USD in the past three days. The main driving force of the uptrend comes from safe-haven demand due to escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine, along with the potential impact of US President-elect Donald Trump's economic policies.
On the 1-hour time frame, the EMA 34 and EMA 89 are providing good support for the uptrend, showing the strength of the buyers. The nearest short-term resistance is at 2,670 USD/ounce, if broken, the gold price may continue to increase to 2,680 - 2,690 USD/ounce. The current strong support is around 2,640 USD/ounce, if broken, it may pull the price down to 2,620 USD/ounce.
Personal opinion: The current uptrend is still maintained thanks to the positive sentiment in the gold market. However, the $2,650 - $2,670/ounce area is an important resistance level to watch. If the buyers cannot maintain the pressure, the price may correct slightly to accumulate before continuing the uptrend.
Note that the US interest rate policy in December may create a short-term correction period, but in the long term, gold is still very attractive due to geopolitical and macroeconomic instability. Personal opinion: If the price breaks the resistance, this is a good opportunity to consider continuing to buy orders.
Gold Price Approaches Important Resistance ZoneGold is currently trading around $2,638/ounce, continuing its strong rally after rising $48 in the previous session. The main drivers of the rally are geopolitical tensions and the stability of the USD.
Gold is in a strong recovery phase from its low around $2,580. However, the medium-term downtrend has not been broken yet as the EMA 89 is still acting as resistance.
Resistance and support:
Nearest resistance: The $2,650-2,660 area, which coincides with the EMA 89. This is an important area to confirm a bullish reversal.
Support: The $2,600 area, if broken, gold could retest the old low around $2,580.
Price pattern:
On the 4-hour chart, gold is approaching an important resistance zone. If there is a price rejection signal, the possibility of correction will be very high.
Personal opinion:
Gold price is likely to test the $2,650-2,660 zone in the short term. However, with current technical indicators, selling pressure at the resistance zone will be very high. If the price fails to break through this zone, the possibility of correction back to $2,600 is quite high. On the contrary, if it breaks through, the next target will be $2,700.
Trading strategy:
Sell at the $2,650-2,660 resistance zone, set Stop Loss at $2,670, Take Profit at $2,600.
Buy when the price breaks through $2,660, set Stop Loss at $2,640, Take Profit at $2,700.
Recovery or Further Decline?The price zone of 1.06575 - 1.07100 (Fibonacci level 50%-61.8%) acts as strong resistance. This is also the area where the sellers are likely to increase pressure.
Price action scenario:
Currently, the price is in a recovery phase near the above resistance zone.
If the sellers defend the 1.06575 zone well, the price will likely continue to decline sharply.
Important support zone:
The nearest support is at 1.04876, which coincides with the old bottom.
If the price breaks this support, the next target will be the 1.02127 zone (Fibonacci extension level 1.618).
Personal opinion:
Wait for the price to return to the resistance zone of 1.06575 - 1.07100, look for a reversal signal here to enter a sell order.
First target is 1.04876, further target at 1.02127. Stop loss above 1.07200 to avoid resistance break.
GBPUSD: Struggling Around 1.2670 Amid Bearish PressureGBPUSD continues to fluctuate near the 1.2670 level, with recovery prospects overshadowed by a prevailing downtrend and key market dynamics.
Market Influences
-UK Data: Weak retail sales and manufacturing output have weighed on GBP sentiment. Upcoming inflation or GDP data may trigger volatility but remain under bearish pressure.
-Fed Policy: The Fed's hawkish stance and higher U.S. bond yields continue to strengthen the USD, limiting GBPUSD's recovery attempts.
-Brexit & Politics: Ongoing uncertainty surrounding UK-EU trade relations exerts significant pressure on the pound.
Trend Analysis
-Short-Term Outlook: The pair is trading within a descending channel, with modest recovery efforts from recent lows near 1.2600.
-Key Resistance: The 1.2870–1.2910 zone remains critical; failure to break above this area could reinforce the bearish trend.
-Downside Targets: Prolonged pressure may drive GBPUSD to retest the 1.2600 level, with potential extensions to 1.2500 if bearish momentum persists.
Outlook
The bearish trend continues to dominate unless GBPUSD breaks above the resistance zone. Traders should monitor upcoming economic releases and shifts in risk sentiment to gauge the pair's direction.
Signs of Recovery or Resistance Ahead?Currently, GBP/USD is trading around 1.26857, indicating a slight recovery after the previous extended bearish phase. The British pound is showing more positive signs, however, the pressure from the EMA 89 resistance has not been completely broken.
The GBP/USD pair remains in an overall downtrend, confirmed by lower highs and lows.
The EMA 34 and EMA 89 continue to slope down, indicating that selling pressure is still dominant.
Resistance and support:
Nearest resistance: The area around 1.2700-1.2720, which coincides with the EMA 89. This is an important zone that needs to be broken to confirm a short-term reversal.
Key support: The 1.2600 area, where the pair has found buying pressure in recent sessions. If this zone is broken, GBP/USD could fall further to 1.2540.
Personal view:
I expect GBP/USD to continue its slight recovery in the short term to test the resistance zone of 1.2700-1.2720. If it fails to break, the price will reverse and retest the support at 1.2600. However, if there is a strong news factor supporting the pound, the pair could break above the 89 EMA and open the door for further gains.
Recovery Trap or Breakout Opportunity?On the EUR/USD 4-hour chart, the bearish bias remains dominant. The pair is attempting to recover from the recent low at 1.0540, however, the important resistance zone around the 34-EMA (1.0600) is holding back the upside momentum.
If EUR/USD fails to overcome the resistance zone of 1.0600 - 1.0620 in the coming sessions, selling pressure will return strongly, pushing the price towards the support zone of 1.0550 and even 1.0500.
On the contrary, a clear breakout above 1.0620 could open the door to a test of the 1.0650 zone, however, the upside outlook remains challenging amid the long-term downtrend.
Trading Strategy:
Short: When price fails to break above 1.0600, place a sell order with target at 1.0550 and further at 1.0500.
Long: Consider buying if price breaks above 1.0620 with high volume, target at 1.0650.
EURUSD: Consolidation Under Strong USD PressureEURUSD is currently in a consolidation phase, trading around 1.0555, with a descending triangle pattern dominating the short-term trend. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines above the current price act as dynamic resistance levels, increasing selling pressure.
The critical support level at 1.0523 has been tested multiple times and remains a key threshold preventing a deeper decline. Meanwhile, the nearest resistance level is at 1.0570, and if the price breaks above this level, EURUSD could experience a short-term recovery targeting higher levels.
However, if the descending trendline is not breached, the price may revisit the support area at 1.0523. The overall trend remains pressured by a strong USD, driven by expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates, while weak economic data from Europe continues to weigh on the EUR.
Investors should closely monitor U.S. economic reports this week, particularly employment data and Fed statements, as these will be key factors in determining the next direction for this currency pair.
XAUUSD Recovery: Testing Resistance at 2,620Currently, XAUUSD is attempting a recovery after hitting the key support level at 2,530 USD. This support zone has shown significant buying interest, pushing prices up from the recent low. However, the overall trend remains bearish, influenced by the EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines above, acting as dynamic resistance.
The price is now trading around 2,583 USD and is likely to test the nearest resistance zone at 2,620 USD. If this resistance is breached, the recovery trend could extend further, aiming for higher levels.
Gold remains under pressure from a strong USD, driven by expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates. However, investors should pay close attention to this week’s U.S. economic data releases, including employment and inflation figures, as they could significantly impact USD strength and gold’s next direction.
Gold in Bears' ControlI am watching the recovery in gold, currently trading around $2,586/oz. With the USD rising sharply after President-elect Donald Trump's victory and expectations of higher inflation, the Fed is likely to maintain high interest rates. This is creating significant pressure, making it difficult for gold to continue to break above the 34-EMA and 89-EMA.
In addition, comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell about not being in a hurry to cut interest rates further reinforced the USD's bullish momentum and reduced the appeal of gold. However, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and between Ukraine and Russia remain a slight support factor for the precious metal's safe-haven status.
Personal view
Key resistance: $2,600–$2,625, which the price needs to break above to generate upside momentum.
Potential support: $2,550, which is an important area I will wait to test.
If the price fails to surpass $2,600, I believe there is a high possibility of a further decline to $2,550, consistent with the current market scenario. I will prioritize a short-term selling strategy in the resistance zone.