Bitcoin's Death Cross is Here: A crash with a message to all!BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has just delivered one of its most significant reality ✔ checks of the year — the recent crash wasn’t simply a dip; it was a multi-layered market unwind that exposes the current fragility of the crypto ecosystem.
📉 Current Bitcoin Situation: “From Euphoria to Uncertainty”
Bitcoin’s trend shifted rapidly over the past few weeks.
Spot ETFs that once fueled relentless upside have significantly slowed inflows, with some days printing net outflows as retail enthusiasm cooled and institutions trimmed exposure.
Meanwhile:
Over billions in long liquidations hit in some days.
Funding flipped aggressively negative
Sentiment turned from greed → hesitation
High beta alts saw steeper collapses, showing risk-off behavior
This wasn’t random volatility — it was a controlled flush triggered by structural weakness.
🔥 Why Bitcoin Crashed: The Real Story
🔹 Technical Factors
BTC lost a major support cluster after multiple failed attempts to hold the mid-range.
Open interest was overheated, creating the perfect setup for a liquidation cascade.
Price rejected sharply from a supply zone that aligns with the weekly imbalance.
☠️ Death Cross on Daily Time Frame: Now Confirmed
The 50 SMA crossing below the 200 SMA is not a “doom event” by itself…
But historically, Bitcoin rarely ignores this signal, especially when paired with weakening momentum and fading liquidity.
⚠ The last major Death Cross?
2022’s brutal bear continuation, which led to several months of grinding downside before any meaningful reversal.
The current structure looks uncomfortably similar:
Lower highs printing consistently
Loss of trend strength
Distribution patterns on higher time frames
Declining demand from smart money inflows
This isn’t fearmongering — it’s observation.
🔹 Fundamental + Macro Factors
ETF inflow cooldown = reduced demand pressure
Miners started selling into strength to stabilize income post-difficulty adjustment
Global markets leaned risk-off due to macro tightening
Whales began distributing quietly (confirmed by on-chain inflow spikes into exchanges)
When technical fragility meets fundamental slowdown, crashes are not accidents — they’re consequences.
🐋 Whales Are Selling: “When the quiet money moves, the market reacts loud.”
On-chain data over the last week showed:
Increase in exchange inflows from large wallets
Spot distribution from old long-term holders
ETF issuers are reducing inventory during downswings
This behavior is classic:
Whales distribute during periods of retail excitement…
Retail panics during whale exits…
And the crash becomes a self-fulfilling cycle.
📅 4–6 Week Forecast: “Chop, Pain & Opportunity”
Over the next month or so, the market will likely experience:
Sideways-to-down structure
Failed rally attempts near the 50 SMA
Whip-saw price action due to low conviction
Accumulation pockets are forming quietly
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD needs to reclaim the 50 SMA with strength before a clean trend resumes.
Until then, volatility ≠ strength.
🎯 Conclusion: Re-Investment Zones & Smart Accumulation
Crashes are emotional for most, but strategic for the prepared.
This is not a call to rush.
It’s a reminder:
Smart money enters when sentiment collapses.
Dumb money enters when sentiment peaks.
Analyze. Prepare. Don’t chase.
🧩 Comment down below 👇 and let’s talk about how to overcome it — build awareness together as traders, not competitors.
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Happy Trading & Investing!
Team @TradeWithKeshhav ⚡
Sentimentalanalysis
Bitcoin / USD – 15m Short Sell In this setup, I’m tracking BTC price action using the Fear Index (21) and Trend Shift Histogram (14) as confluence indicators for potential entries.
🔻 Key Observations:
The Fear Index showed a strong spike before the sharp sell-off, indicating growing selling pressure.
The Trend Shift Histogram gave multiple bearish signals (highlighted with arrows), aligning with the price rejection and downward continuation.
After the heavy drop, BTC attempted a recovery but faced resistance within the marked zone, forming a bearish retest.
📌 Trade Setup:
Short entry taken on confirmation of bearish trend shift.
Stop loss placed above the rejection zone.
Target aligned with the momentum continuation shown by the histogram and fear index.
⚡️ Conclusion:
This setup highlights how combining sentiment-based indicators (Fear Index) with momentum confirmation (Trend Shift Histogram) can help anticipate strong market moves. Always manage risk carefully, as volatility in lower timeframes can be sharp.
Advantages of Institutional Option TradingAdvantages of Institutional Option Trading
Institutional Investing
Institutional investing is the process of managing large-scale investment portfolios with long-term goals.
Investment Objectives
Capital Preservation: Maintaining the value of assets.
Capital Appreciation: Growing the portfolio over time.
Income Generation: Providing steady returns through dividends or interest.
Institution Option Trading Part-1Role of Market Makers & Liquidity Providers
Institutions often rely on market makers for tight bid-ask spreads.
Market makers hedge every trade using delta-neutral strategies.
Their presence helps institutions build or unwind large positions without disrupting prices.
Institutional Examples in Option Trading
Hedge Funds: Use volatility arbitrage, gamma scalping, dispersion trading.
Insurance Firms: Use long-dated puts to hedge annuity products.
Banks: Write structured products with option-like features (e.g., equity-linked notes).
Asset Managers: Use protective puts or collars on core portfolios.
Option trading Who is the youngest successful stock trader in the world? 5 Youngest Stock Traders Ashu Sehrawat At only 22 years old, the self-made millionaire has created a name for himself as one of India's top stock traders.
Selling options spreads is one such strategy that fits the bill. It's often seen as one of the lowest risk option strategies because it allows you to have a pre-determined capped loss risk when trading. This way, you're not only minimizing risk but also generating income.
TCS trendline retest Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) is a leading global IT services and consulting company. Here's a detailed analysis of TCS's stock performance, focusing on the daily timeframe and recent trendline retests:
**Current Stock Price:**
As of February 14, 2025, TCS's share price is ₹3,934.85, reflecting a 0.63% increase from the previous day. citeturn0search0
**Recent Performance:**
- **1-Month Return:** The stock has declined by 7.04% over the past month. citeturn0search7
- **1-Year Return:** Over the last year, TCS's stock has decreased by 4.03%. citeturn0search7
**Technical Analysis:**
- **Trendline Retest:** TCS's stock has recently retested a significant trendline on the daily chart. This trendline has historically acted as a support level, and the recent retest suggests a potential for the stock to rebound if it holds above this line. Traders should monitor the stock's price action around this trendline to assess the likelihood of a sustained upward movement.
- **Support and Resistance Levels:** Key support is identified near ₹3,900, with resistance around ₹4,200. A break above ₹4,200 could signal a bullish trend, while a fall below ₹3,900 may indicate further downside.
- **Technical Indicators:** The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 45, indicating neutral momentum. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line is above the signal line, suggesting a potential bullish crossover. However, these indicators should be used in conjunction with price action for a comprehensive analysis.
**Analyst Insights:**
- **Price Target:** Analysts have set a price target of ₹5,620 for TCS, indicating a potential upside of approximately 42% from the current price. citeturn0search0
- **Dividend Yield:** TCS offers a dividend yield of 1.86%, reflecting a commitment to returning value to shareholders. citeturn0search7
**Conclusion:**
TCS's stock is currently testing a critical trendline support on the daily chart. Investors should monitor the stock's price action around this level to assess the potential for a rebound. While technical indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bullish outlook, it's essential to consider broader market conditions and company fundamentals when making investment decisions.
*Please note that stock market investments carry inherent risks. It's advisable to conduct thorough research or consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.*
RSI Divergence RSI divergence occurs when the price of an asset moves in the opposite direction to the RSI indicator. Depending on the type of divergence spotted, this can signal a potential reversal in the market trend, either bullish or bearish.
The best RSI settings are typically a 14-period timeframe with 70 as the overbought level and 30 as the oversold level. These settings can be adjusted based on specific trading strategies.
Banknifty Index Long Levels #InvestingBanknifty Index Long Levels
Certainly! The Bank Nifty (BANKNIFTY) is an index that tracks the performance of the banking sector in the Indian stock market. Here are some key points to consider for long-term investment:
Bank Nifty ETFs: These exchange-traded funds offer easy diversification, flexibility, and low expense ratios. They can be suitable for long-term investments, potentially providing capital appreciation over time.
Historical Performance:
Over the last 3 years, the Bank Nifty has given better returns compared to other indices. It has rallied over 42%, while Nifty IT is up 36% and the broader Nifty has gained over 48%.
You can access historical data for Bank Nifty to analyze its performance over different time intervals.
Remember that investing involves risks, and it’s essential to conduct thorough research, consider your risk tolerance, and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions
Tight close range - One side moment is expected in coming weeksThese tight ranges often result in a one-sided moment. Considering the current sentiments, there is concord among market participants about what the future holds for crypto, which is reflected in the price moment.
Resistance: 44k-49k
Support: 37-38 K
EURUSD stays in bear’s jaws ahead of US Retail SalesEURUSD stays within a three-month-old bearish trend channel despite rising the most in October the previous day. Adding strength to the bearish bias is the looming bear cross between the 100-day SMA and the 200-day SMA, as well as the steady RSI (14) line. However, three-week-long horizontal support surrounding 1.0500 joins the bullish MACD signals to restrict the immediate downside of the Euro pair. Following that, the monthly low of around 1.0450 will act as the final defense for the bulls before driving prices down towards the aforementioned channel’s bottom line, close to 1.0350 by the press time.
Meanwhile, EURUSD recovery needs to defy the bearish channel pattern, by clearly crossing the 1.0600 hurdle, to convince the short-term buyers. Even so, a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since May, near 1.0620-35, will be a tough nut to crack for the bulls. It’s worth noting that a convergence of the 100-day SMA and the 200-day SMA, near 1.0830 at the latest, holds to key to the bullish trend.
To sum up, the EURUSD remains within a bearish trajectory as markets await the Eurozone/German ZEW data and EU EcoFin Meeting, as well as the US Retail Sales. The same suggests that the outcome favoring the US Dollar, or weighing on the Euro, will have a clearer response than the otherwise.
Sentiment Analysis on EOD basis for NIFTY -AstrotechnicalsI have done Astro sentiment analysis using AI and mapped the results with an actual Nifty pattern. Here the objective is NOT to predict the price but the pattern for the month.
Sentiment response in Dec 2022
Sentiment response in Jan 2023
Sentiment response in Feb 2023
Sentiment response in March 2023
Bear flag in XAUUSD (gold)As we can clearly see a bear flag pattern in 2 hr time frame .Here we will get the good trade in the terms of risk and reward in both the directions just after the breakout or Breakdown of the consolidation phase in either direction. I am more confident towards the shorting side as compared to the long side just because of the short term negative sentiments of the market.
Manage proper risk reward/position size
Happy learning...
NIFTY Sentiment for DEC 7 2022
This is purely based on Astrological and Statistical parameters . Pattern matching of current data with past for coming up with a projection using Artificial Intelligence.
The technical levels to use are primary and this is just a sentimental analysis projection
Use the Weekly levels for Trade decisions .
Nifty Sentiment for SEP 20 2022Nifty Sentiment for SEP 20 2022
drive.google.com
This chart gives the sentiment based on Astro AI based on past pattern and tentatively gives the movement of price movement direction for the given time scale. If you find this useful give me a like
Use this along with weekly levels and Trend change value as per related idea
Buy Above 17600. 40
Buy Targets 17666.73 17732.70 17786.01 17839.33 17915.24 17961.32 18118.56 18291.15
Sell Below 17519.80
Sell Targets 17453.47 17387.50 17334.19 17280.87 17204.96 17158.88 17001.64 16829.05
NIFTY SENTIMENT for SEP 19 2022
NIFTY SENTIMENT
drive.google.com
This chart gives the sentiment based on Astro AI based on past pattern and tentatively gives the movement of price movement direction for the given time scale. If you find this useful give me a like
Use this along with weekly levels and Trend change value as per related idea
Buy Above 17600. 40
Buy Targets 17666.73 17732.70 17786.01 17839.33 17915.24 17961.32 18118.56 18291.15
Sell Below 17519.80
Sell Targets 17453.47 17387.50 17334.19 17280.87 17204.96 17158.88 17001.64 16829.05
An unfolding bear marketIn search of the next bottom, we look for five-wave declines to complete. Prices have been falling inside a channel and a breakout would put us in the price territory of the previous ivth wave near 16404 to the gap zone near 16484. But what if we do not breakout and keep falling below 16000 we could see a free fall with multiple extensions on the downside. Sentiment is poor and markets look oversold but will that work?
EURUSD professional analysis and markings by benickkingsentiment analysis
fundamentals
technicals
all are bearish so we have strong pressure you can see fundamental moves data on online ,and for sentimental analysis you can see in commitment of traders report, and for tecnicals you can see this patterns forming
1.strong support turns into resistance
2.falling wedge forming
3.bearish engulfing
4.parabolic sell signal


















