Wheat Analysis – Opportunity DevelopingHi Everyone,
Today, an interesting setup is forming on the wheat market.
On the daily timeframe, price is making a third pullback on the bearish trendline, following two previous retests clearly visible on the chart.
Historically, a third pullback on this type of structure significantly increases the probability of a bearish reversal.
📉 Primary scenario: bearish movement expected in the coming days
🎯 Target price: 500
Shortsetup
BEL – Trendline Breakdown & Supply Zone Rejection | Bearish SetuBEL has rejected strongly from the higher-timeframe supply zone around ₹425–₹430, followed by a clean trendline breakdown. This breakdown signals weakening bullish momentum and opens the door for a deeper correction.
📌 Key Highlights
Strong rejection from the major supply zone.
Clear trendline break, indicating a shift in structure.
Price currently hovering near ₹408–₹410 support.
Expecting a pullback before continuation.
🎯 Entry Plan (Breakdown + Retest)
🔽 Preferred Entry Model
1. Breakdown:
Price breaks below the minor structure at ₹406–₹408 with a strong bearish candle.
2. Retest:
Wait for price to pull back toward ₹408–₹410 (previous support → now resistance) OR a retest of the broken trendline.
3. Entry Trigger:
Enter short only after a bearish rejection (wick rejections / bearish engulfing / breakdown of retest low).
📍 Ideal Entry Zone:
₹400 – ₹403
🎯 Targets
TP1: ₹395
TP2: ₹382
Final Target (HTF Demand): ₹360 – ₹365
❌ Invalidation
Setup invalid if BEL reclaims ₹425 and sustains above the supply zone.
📈 Bias
Bearish as long as the price stays below the breakdown zone and the trendline.
Zcash Formed Triple TopZcash Formed Triple Top And Ready For Breakdown.
But Twist is, 0.38 retracement level. trend still strong
Ready short for setup
Reverse Scenario:
Break That Triple Top High
Any Bullish Pattern breakout in smaller time frame.
🧠 Always DYOR (Do Your Own Research)
⚖️ This is not financial advice or suggestion
👉 “Risk Is Real 💸 Stay Practical🚀”
💬 Please feel free to ask any questions (It's Free)
Consolidation breakdown in eicher motors1. Consolidation range breakdown at top
below 6720 stock will test its Fibonacci support levels
2. stock has given big rally upwards
3. stock may test its fib support levels and the continue upward movement
4. one can watch for swing downside movement with strict targets and sl
Gold Futures – Bearish Continuation Developing 🟡⬇ Gap-down open = breakdown continuation
Price below 9 EMA and 21 EMA
Evening Star pattern confirmed
RSI falling → momentum weakening
MACD below signal → bearish pressure
📌 Short Setup:
Below 121,800–121,900
🎯 Targets: 117,500 → 116,000
🛑 Stoploss: 123,650
Weak trend until gold closes back above 21 EMA.
GOLD: The Bigger Picture is Finally Getting Clearer !Gold finally showed some clarity after weeks of structure, and now the bigger picture is lining up perfectly across the daily and multi-year weekly charts. The rejection from the 4250–4350 zone triggered the first meaningful retracement after a parabolic rally, and price is now hovering right above the 4030–4060 daily support the only level holding back a much deeper corrective cycle. This entire region is critical because it marks the last breakout base, the liquidity origin, and the midpoint of the 3600-4300 vertical leg. As long as this shelf holds, gold will continue to move in a compressed range, but once a clean daily close breaks below it, the market naturally opens up a fast move toward the 3500–3550 target zone. All confluences measured move, channel midline, point to this same cluster, making it a high-confidence retracement level inside a long-term bullish trend.
On the upside, the structure is very clean. Only a sustained breakout above 4300–4350 invalidates the entire correction and flips the bias back to full-bull mode, where gold can easily run toward 4600–4800 as the next discovery leg. Anything below that zone still falls under the extended correction category, not a bullish continuation. This is why the invalidation level is drawn exactly where it is to protect from guessing the reversal too early.
On the weekly chart, gold has slipped back inside the multi-year ascending channel after briefly wicking above it. That wick was nothing but a classic blow-off extension followed by a reversion to mean. Now price is sitting comfortably inside the same long-term structure . The upper red band remains the multi-year resistance, the green midline is the structural backbone of the trend, and the purple lower band is the deep cycle accumulation zone. As long as gold stays inside this channel, the macro remains strongly bullish and corrections within this structure are normal and healthy. The mid-channel region around 3500 also aligns perfectly with the expected daily correction, which adds even more confirmation that this retracement is simply part of the long-term trend and not a trend reversal.
Commodity index on both daily and weekly frames is cooling off from extreme levels, which supports a deeper pullback rather than an immediate rally. No new bullish divergence has appeared yet, meaning momentum still favors a downside sweep before any major upside continuation. Combine that with the lack of fresh macro drivers and a stabilization in rate-cut expectations, this cooling phase was overdue.
In simple below daily support, gold continues the correction toward 3500-3650 above 4350, the correction thesis dies and the bull trend resumes aggressively. Until then, this is a textbook retracement inside a long-term uptrend nothing broken, nothing unexpected, just a parabolic market taking a breath. Trade safe !
Banknifty facing strong hurdleBanknifty is facing a strong hurdle at 58,000 and is quoting below the pink hurdle trendline. Further downside could be seen in the coming weeks till 56,700. If breaks then a major fall till 54,000 till december won't be surprising given the fact that FIIs usually exit the markets in december leading to a temporary correction.
BTCUSDT SHORT I was sitting in Short after a good bearish candle formed at resistance with very good volume, i just took 1:2 and i was out of the trade.
Logic :- Price was too stretched and bears were gaining control, bulls were trapped
But still the trend is bullish for me, lets see 🚀
Happy profits 🥂 enjoy guys, sorry i didn’t posted this trade earlier
LIKE AND FOLLOW FOR MORE TRADE IDEAS
LT - Positional Short SetupCMP 3980 on 04.11.25
In the last 2 years, the stock has been traveling in a rising wedge pattern. At present, it has reached higher levels. If it reverses from these levels, there could be a short opportunity.
All important levels are marked on the chart.
Possible targets may be 3840/3730 or even more downside, depending upon the scenario.
If it sustains above 4100, the exit plan should be exercised.
All the above illustrations and descriptions are for educational and observation purposes only. It is not a buying or selling recommendation.
All the best.
US30 | 4H–15M Bearish Confluence SetupPrice has displayed a Change of Character (ChoCH) on the 4-hour timeframe, breaking the existing bullish trendline and leaving behind a 4H imbalance. This shift indicates potential weakness in the prevailing bullish structure.
I’ll be waiting for price to retrace into the 4H imbalance zone and establish a bearish Change of Character on the 15-minute timeframe, ideally accompanied by the formation of a Fair Value Gap (FVG) or minor imbalance.
Once the 15M imbalance is retested and a bearish candlestick pattern confirms order flow alignment, a short position can be considered after a break below the low of that bearish pattern.
This setup aligns multiple timeframe confluences, reflecting a potential shift in market structure from bullish to bearish.
BTC/UsDT Short sideHere is a description of the downside scenario as depicted:
1. The Short Entry Point: The short trade is set up to begin at the approximate current price level, which is around $122,000 to $123,000. This suggests a trader is anticipating that the current strong bullish move has reached its peak and a reversal is imminent.
2. The Stop-Loss (Risk):
• The top boundary of the red box, which extends into the red area above the entry, represents the stop-loss level.
• This red area is relatively small compared to the profit target, suggesting a favorable Risk/Reward ratio.
• The stop-loss price appears to be around $126,864.5 (the highest point in the image is $126,864.5). If the price moves above this level, the trade would be closed for a manageable loss.
3. The Take-Profit (Reward/Target):
• The lower boundary of the red box, which extends significantly downwards, represents the take-profit or target area for the short trade.
• The profit target line appears to be around the $108,500 to $108,800 level, which is a key low from late September.
• This is where the trader would expect to close the trade for a profit if the anticipated downside move materializes.
4. The Context: The "downside chart" fundamentally represents a trade where the trader is betting on a significant price decline back toward the prior support levels after the large recent rally.
In summary, the downside chart (the red box) illustrates a hypothetical short position where a trader is risking a small amount of profit from the recent rally to potentially capture a much larger drop in price, targeting the strong support zone established just before the recent V-shaped recovery.
The term "downside chart" in this context refers to the short trade setup that has been drawn on the chart, which is visualized using the large red shaded box.
This setup represents a trader's prediction that the price of BTCUSDT will reverse and fall significantly from its current high.
Here is the breakdown of the downside trade setup:
• Entry Point (Current Price): The trade is initiated for a short position (selling) near the current market price, which is around $122,379.1. This is the belief that the recent powerful rally is exhausted and a reversal is starting.
• Stop-Loss (Risk): The area above the entry point, colored in the brighter red on the chart, represents the Stop-Loss level.
• The stop-loss price appears to be around $126,864.5 (the high shown in the top right).
• This is the level where the trade would be automatically closed to limit the loss if the price continues to rise against the short position.
• Take-Profit (Reward/Target): The large green shaded area below the entry represents the Take-Profit or profit target for the short trade.
• The target price is set significantly lower, near the prior support/lows from late September, likely around the $108,500 to $108,800 range.
• This is where the trader expects to close the short position to realize a profit.
• Risk/Reward Ratio (R:R): By comparing the distance from the entry to the stop-loss (the risk, in red) versus the distance from the entry to the take-profit (the reward, in green), the trade demonstrates a favorable Risk/Reward ratio. The reward (green box) is visually much larger than the risk (top red portion), suggesting the trader is attempting to risk a small amount to potentially gain a large profit.
In summary, the downside chart is the visual representation of a bearish trading strategy, expecting a move down from over $122k to the support area near $108k.
DLF Downtrend Intact – Eyeing 675 Next!DLF is clearly locked in a downtrend, with lower highs forming under the descending trendline. Price is struggling to break above the capped supply zone near 735–740, which continues to act as strong resistance. As long as the stock remains below this zone, the pressure stays on the downside with the next major support seen around 675–672. A break toward this level looks likely in the coming sessions, unless bulls manage to reclaim and sustain above the capped zone, which would temporarily ease the selling pressure. Until then, the structure remains bearish, with sellers holding control. Trade safe !
Supreme Industries: Breakdown Below Ascending SupportThe daily chart of Supreme Industries is showcasing a strong bearish signal with a breakdown below a long-held ascending trendline. The structure clearly resembles a descending triangle pattern, and the breakdown confirms growing weakness in price action, favoring sellers in the near term.
1. Bearish Structure Breakdown
The chart shows a clear descending resistance line with a rising support trendline, forming a tight triangle pattern. This kind of setup often indicates building pressure for a breakout, and in this case, it has resulted in a sharp breakdown below ₹4294, signaling the start of a fresh bearish leg.
2. Short Entry Below ₹4294.70
A confirmed breakdown is seen once the price breached below ₹4294.70. This is the ideal short entry trigger zone. Traders looking to enter early may have taken a position right at breakdown, while others may wait for a retest of the broken trendline as confirmation before entering.
3. Early Entry & Retest Entry Zones
For aggressive traders, an early entry just as the price approached the lower trendline was possible. However, confirmation entry after a retest offers better risk-reward and lower false breakdown probability. In this case, a small pullback to retest the broken support would be the sweet spot to enter with tight stop-losses.
4. Target 1: ₹4037.95 – First Downside Milestone
Once the breakdown is confirmed, the first logical price target based on previous swing lows and pattern measurement comes to around ₹4037.95. Traders can consider booking partial profits at this zone to lock in gains while letting the rest of the position ride.
5. Final Target: ₹3670.20 – Projected Measured Move
Based on the height of the triangle structure, the projected final bearish target lies near ₹3670.20. This level aligns with previous consolidation zones and serves as a strong psychological and technical support. If price action remains weak, this target has a high probability of being achieved in the coming weeks.
6. Stop Loss: Setup Invalid Above ₹4668.60
To protect against a failed breakdown or reversal, a stop-loss should be strictly placed above ₹4668.60. This level invalidates the bearish structure and signals that buyers may have regained control.
7. Trading Psychology and Risk Note
Breakdowns from such ascending supports after long consolidations often result in impulsive price moves. However, risk management is critical. Stick to position sizing and trail your stop-losses once Target 1 is achieved. Avoid holding full-size positions near earnings or event-based volatility.






















