Shorttermtrading
"NAVA" A Pole & Flag pattern breakout on 1day chart Stock name:- Nava on 1day chart price formed a pole and flag pattern and on 29-aug-2025 price breakout and sustained above and closed which simply means price is ready to move up but there's a immediate resistance at "696" once price breaks it then 710 is our next resistance and there's possibility of 3 scenarios 1.price breaking high and going up till 740-765 level. 2.price breaking high and then take resistance and fall below 700 level & stay in a range then decide the move. 3.price taking resistance at 710 then fall till 660.
for Monday i.e. 1-sep-2025 if price opens gap up wait till 10:15am then on hourly chart see candle then take trade, if flat opens then wait for price to cross 696 level then trade but with less quantity as 700 is psychological round level and 710 a previous high so price can form a big candle & break previous high then fall & retest then go up, so be cautious a little and once price goes up we can add quantity, if gap up price take resistance from 710 and closes below 675 then a fall till 660 can be seen.
for investment/swing trade once price goes above 710 then add up quantity as price can go up till 740-765 in 1st level then to 780 in next tgt level.
Disclaimer:- i'm not a sebi registered analyst and idea shared here is my personal view point which includes various technical indicators and i don't have any investment in this scrip nor do i have any contact with employees of the company the idea shared is for educational purpose so before taking any trade or investment pls consult with your financial advisor.
JSW-INFRA : Powering India’s Port Revolution – A Deep Dive into NSE:JSWINFRA
JSW Infrastructure Ltd.
🧾 Company Overview
Role: JSW Infrastructure is India's second-largest commercial port operator (after Adani Ports), and forms a core part of the JSW Group.
Operations: The company manages and operates major ports across both the east and west coastlines of India.
Revenue Streams: Primarily driven by port operations (handling bulk, breakbulk, containerized cargo), as well as integrated logistics services.
📊 FY24 Financial Snapshot
Revenue ₹3,200+Cr
EBITDA Margin 55–60%
Net Profit ₹750+Cr
Debt to Equity ~0.6x
ROCE ~15%
ROE ~13%
Positive aspects:
Asset Turnover Strong
Double-digit revenue CAGR (>20%) over the past three years.
High EBITDA margins consistent with best-in-class infra businesses.
Well-diversified cargo and customer profile, with increasing non-JSW business.
Stable long-term contracts & beneficiary of India’s logistics and trade reforms.
Risks / Weaknesses:
~70% revenue is from group companies, though diversification is underway.
Aggressive capex plans elevate financial risk.
Susceptible to regulatory, tariff, and environmental compliance changes.
📈 Technical Analysis (July 2025)
• Share Price: Trading in the ₹260–₹280 range. IPO was at ₹119 (Sep 2023); strong price appreciation since listing.
• Trend: Intact uptrend; recently consolidated between ₹240–₹260.
• Support/Resistance: Key support at ₹230–₹235; resistance at ₹285–₹300.
• Moving Averages: Stock remains above both its 50-EMA and 200-EMA — a structurally bullish indicator.
• Momentum:
o RSI: 60–65 (bullish, but approaching overbought)
o MACD: Fresh bullish crossover; volume shows accumulation near breakout.
• Outlook: Breakout above ₹285 could trigger medium-term upside toward ₹320–₹340. Buy-on-dips is favored, with strong accumulation likely in the ₹230–₹240 zone.
🚀 Growth Prospects & Strategic Moves
• Capacity Expansion: Plans to nearly double port capacity by FY30 (from ~160 MTPA to ~300 MTPA).
• Cargo Diversification: Targeting major reduction of group dependency (from ~70% to ~50%) by growing third-party cargo traffic.
• New Projects: Investment pipeline includes both greenfield and brownfield projects in Odisha, Maharashtra, and other states.
• Integrated Logistics: Deeper backward integration into rail connectivity and warehousing to capture higher value from logistics value chain.
• Macro Tailwinds
o Major government initiatives (e.g., Sagarmala) catalyzing sector growth.
o India’s trade/exports rising; strong outlook for cargo and container volumes.
o Shifts in supply chains to coastal shipping and blended logistics.
o Demand uptrend in containerization and warehousing services.
⚠️ Key Risks & Limitations
• High Capex Cycle: Expansion could elevate debt and financial leverage.
• Macro Sensitivity: Lower industrial/output growth would hit cargo volumes.
• Regulatory Overhang: Tariff and ESG regulations present chronic uncertainty.
• Group Concentration: Third-party cargo growth remains an execution challenge.
• Rivalry: Competitive intensity from Adani, DP World, and others is ramping up.
📌 Conclusion & Investment Verdict
Parameter Verdict
Fundamentals Strong, superior margins, efficient operations
Valuation Fair to premium (due to uptrend and growth)
Technical Trend Bullish, ready for potential breakout
Growth Outlook High (supported by sector tailwinds)
Risk Profile Moderate (driven by capex & regulatory factors)
For long-term investors:
JSW Infra presents a compelling case for portfolio inclusion, offering robust growth visibility, sectoral leadership, and operating excellence. Accumulation is best near ₹230–₹240 on dips.
Short-term view:
Stocks in strong uptrends may see minor corrections but are well-placed for fresh breakouts above ₹285, targeting ₹320–₹340.
The stock is ideal for investors seeking infrastructure-sector exposure with high growth potential, but one must remain mindful of execution and regulatory risks.
==============================
==============================
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors.
This is our personal view based on available data and market trends.
Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content.
========================
Trade Secrets By Pratik
========================
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JSW INFRA : Powering India’s Port Revolution – A Deep Dive into
NSE:JSWINFRA
JSW Infrastructure Ltd.
🧾 Company Overview
Role: JSW Infrastructure is India's second-largest commercial port operator (after Adani Ports), and forms a core part of the JSW Group.
Operations: The company manages and operates major ports across both the east and west coastlines of India.
Revenue Streams: Primarily driven by port operations (handling bulk, breakbulk, containerized cargo), as well as integrated logistics services.
📊 FY24 Financial Snapshot
Revenue ₹3,200+Cr
EBITDA Margin 55–60%
Net Profit ₹750+Cr
Debt to Equity ~0.6x
ROCE ~15%
ROE ~13%
Positive aspects:
Asset Turnover Strong
Double-digit revenue CAGR (>20%) over the past three years.
High EBITDA margins consistent with best-in-class infra businesses.
Well-diversified cargo and customer profile, with increasing non-JSW business.
Stable long-term contracts & beneficiary of India’s logistics and trade reforms.
Risks / Weaknesses:
~70% revenue is from group companies, though diversification is underway.
Aggressive capex plans elevate financial risk.
Susceptible to regulatory, tariff, and environmental compliance changes.
📈 Technical Analysis (July 2025)
• Share Price: Trading in the ₹260–₹280 range. IPO was at ₹119 (Sep 2023); strong price appreciation since listing.
• Trend: Intact uptrend; recently consolidated between ₹240–₹260.
• Support/Resistance: Key support at ₹230–₹235; resistance at ₹285–₹300.
• Moving Averages: Stock remains above both its 50-EMA and 200-EMA — a structurally bullish indicator.
• Momentum:
o RSI: 60–65 (bullish, but approaching overbought)
o MACD: Fresh bullish crossover; volume shows accumulation near breakout.
• Outlook: Breakout above ₹285 could trigger medium-term upside toward ₹320–₹340. Buy-on-dips is favored, with strong accumulation likely in the ₹230–₹240 zone.
🚀 Growth Prospects & Strategic Moves
• Capacity Expansion: Plans to nearly double port capacity by FY30 (from ~160 MTPA to ~300 MTPA).
• Cargo Diversification: Targeting major reduction of group dependency (from ~70% to ~50%) by growing third-party cargo traffic.
• New Projects: Investment pipeline includes both greenfield and brownfield projects in Odisha, Maharashtra, and other states.
• Integrated Logistics: Deeper backward integration into rail connectivity and warehousing to capture higher value from logistics value chain.
• Macro Tailwinds
o Major government initiatives (e.g., Sagarmala) catalyzing sector growth.
o India’s trade/exports rising; strong outlook for cargo and container volumes.
o Shifts in supply chains to coastal shipping and blended logistics.
o Demand uptrend in containerization and warehousing services.
⚠️ Key Risks & Limitations
• High Capex Cycle: Expansion could elevate debt and financial leverage.
• Macro Sensitivity: Lower industrial/output growth would hit cargo volumes.
• Regulatory Overhang: Tariff and ESG regulations present chronic uncertainty.
• Group Concentration: Third-party cargo growth remains an execution challenge.
• Rivalry: Competitive intensity from Adani, DP World, and others is ramping up.
📌 Conclusion & Investment Verdict
Parameter Verdict
Fundamentals Strong, superior margins, efficient operations
Valuation Fair to premium (due to uptrend and growth)
Technical Trend Bullish, ready for potential breakout
Growth Outlook High (supported by sector tailwinds)
Risk Profile Moderate (driven by capex & regulatory factors)
For long-term investors:
JSW Infra presents a compelling case for portfolio inclusion, offering robust growth visibility, sectoral leadership, and operating excellence. Accumulation is best near ₹230–₹240 on dips.
Short-term view:
Stocks in strong uptrends may see minor corrections but are well-placed for fresh breakouts above ₹285, targeting ₹320–₹340.
The stock is ideal for investors seeking infrastructure-sector exposure with high growth potential, but one must remain mindful of execution and regulatory risks.
==============================
==============================
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors.
This is our personal view based on available data and market trends.
Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content.
========================
Trade Secrets By Pratik
========================
BHARAT FORGE LTD. – INTRADAY ZONE ANALYSIS________________________________________________________________________________
📈 BHARAT FORGE LTD. – INTRADAY ZONE ANALYSIS
📆 Date: July 1, 2025 | ⏱ Timeframe: 15-Minute Chart
🔍 Educational Breakdown – For Learning & Study Use Only
________________________________________________________________________________
🔹 Price Action Zones
🔴 Top Range(Resistance): 1324.50
🟢 Bottom Range(Support): ₹1270
⚪ No Trade Zone: Mid-range, no clear directional bias
________________________________________________________________________________
🧩 Chart Pattern: No
There is no visible or marked chart pattern (e.g., flag, triangle, head and shoulders) on the chart.
________________________________________________________________________________
🔁 Reversal Candlestick Patterns:
🔴 Top Range: No visible reversal candle pattern at the supply zone on this chart snapshot, but the area has been marked for potential rejection.
🟢 Bottom Range: No textbook reversal candlestick (like pin bar, hammer, or engulfing) is clearly visible at ₹1270. However, the price bounced strongly from this level, indicating possible short-term support or buyer interest.
________________________________________________________________________________
🧠 1. Trade Plan (Based on Reason and Logic)
🔼 Bullish Trade:
Idea: If price retests ₹1270 and forms a bullish structure (strong bullish candle, reversal candles, volume support, long wick)
Stop Loss: Below ₹1269
Risk-Reward: 1:1 | 1:2+
Logic: you need to give an actual logic to this
________________________________________________________________________________
🔽 Bearish Trade:
Idea: If price rejects 1324.50 and forms a bearish structure (strong bearish candle, reversal candles, volume support, long wick)
Stop Loss: ₹1325
Risk-Reward: 1:1 | 1:2+
Logic: Historically rejected area as marked on chart.
________________________________________________________________________________
📦 2. Trade Plan Based on Demand/Supply Zones
🟥 Supply Zone Trade:
Zone: ₹1293.30 – ₹1299.90
SL: ₹1301.45
Plan: Trade the Supply Zone (only on rejection confirmation)
Risk-Reward: 1:1 | 1:2+
🟩 Demand Zone: No defined demand zone.
________________________________________________________________________________
📌 Disclaimer
This analysis is shared for educational and study purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. The author is not SEBI-registered. Please consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making trading decisions. Always use proper risk management and trade only with confirmation.
________________________________________________________________________________
💬 Comments
What’s your view on Bharat Forge?
Will it reject from the supply zone or hold the bottom range?
Share your charts or thoughts below 👇
________________________________________________________________________________
AVANTIFEED Breakout StockGood Above 900 on Closing Basis.
For Educational Purpose only.
Rationale:-
Volume:
Volume is greater than previous session by 848.49%.
Volume is greater than last 10 sessions average volume.
Volume is greater than last 10 sessions volume. That is a high volume.
Highest volume marked in last 20 sessions. That is a volume spurt.
Volatility:
ATR% of the stock is 3.96%
Average of last 20-day is 4.33%
Moving Average Observations:
Price remains above 200-day Moving average.
Price went above 50-day Moving average in the current session, it is a bullish crossover.
Price above 50-day, 100-day and 200-day Moving average.
Moving average alignment is bullish. It is an uptrend & a bullish setup.
RSI Observations:
The Daily RSI indicator has crossed above 50 in the current session. Current Daily RSI reading is 56.32.
The Weekly RSI indicator has remained above 50. This is a bullish zone. Current Weekly RSI reading is 60.34.
The Monthly RSI indicator has remained above 70. Current Monthly RSI reading is 72.59.
ADX Observations:
The Daily DMI position turned bullish. Its a bullish crossover.
The Daily ADX went up by 4.34%. Current ADX reading is 10.76.
The Daily distance between DMI lines is 28.43%.
The Weekly DMI position remains bullish.
The Monthly DMI position remains bullish.
Donchian Channel Observations:
Price is above middle Donchian channel (Bullish).
Price is at Upper Donchian channel band.
Upper band is rising. 20-day new high marked.
Difference between bands is 11.53%.
Ichimoku Observations:
Price above Ichimoku clouds.
Clouds are bullish.
Tenkan line went above Kinjun line in current session. Bullish crossover.
Tenkan line is above Kijun line. Ichimoku setup is bullish.
Current cloud range is 1.25% and Future cloud range is 11.34%.
Bollinger Band Observations:
Price is above middle Bollinger band (Bullish).
Price is above Upper Bollinger band.
Bands are expanding.
Difference between bands is 6.05%.
SWIGGYSWIGGY is showing highest ever volume after listing day. Forming a base pattern with volume. Now if if doesn't break today's low then this may be considered as a short term bottom. So no 297 is a key support are. Though for a momentum play its closing above 330 is v crucial. But if above all conditions satisfied then definitely is may prove to be a good trade in coming days.
SANDUMA-Positional Long trade-Swing tradeStock has rejected trendline multiple times. In next 1-2 session if it holds above 450 and breakout the trendline with bullish candle. Good opportunity to go long.
If it falls below 450, avoid.
Please don't forget click on follow button so you won't miss any upcoming ideas.
Any confusion, feel free to drop msg. Happy to help :)
This is only for educational purpose, please manage your risk accordingly.
ETERNAL(ZOMATO)-Short term/positional long tradeStock has rejected trendline multiple times. From past 2 days it's holding near trendline and gone side ways.
If we see a breakout in 15th Apr'25 trading session it is good opportunity to go long.
Please avoid if goes below 218 or Opens gap down.
Please don't forget click on follow button so you won't miss any upcoming ideas.
Any confusion, feel free to drop msg. Happy to help :)
This is only for educational purpose, please manage your risk accordingly.
INDUSINDBK-Intraday/short term positional After the big fall, stock is consolidating from last month.
It has formed Ascending tringle pattern. From past 2 days i.e. 8th and 9th April 2025. It is trading in range. which states that buyers are accumulating.
It has potential to move if it opens between 692-700. It may go sideways for one more day it is a good opportunity for Long Intraday/short term positional trade.
If it opens 666, avoid.
Any confusion, feel free to drop msg. Happy to help :)
This is only for educational purpose, please manage your risk accordingly.
Banknifty has given breakout, ready to give 5-6% in short term.Hello everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your life and your trading as well. Today i have brought an analysis on Banknifty which has given breakout of falling resistance trendline and now it is ready to move 5-6% in short term, Banknifty has taken perfect support from important support zone, It's already taken two times support previously from same zone,. Now price has given successfully breakout with huge volume in recents trading sessions.
Disclaimer:- This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please trade responsibly and consult a financial advisor before making any decisions.
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like, follow, and share your thoughts in the comments below! Your support keeps me motivated to share more insights. Let’s grow and learn together—happy trading!
Short Term Trading Idea for Power Grid Corp Ltd.Hello everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your trading and your life as well. Today i have brought an idea which is for power sector leader stock. Yes it is Nifty50 stock, Please check chart aove for 1-hour chart of Power Grid Corp Ltd ., we can see a clear Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern, a bullish reversal formation indicating potential upside movement. The breakout from the neckline has already occurred, with a significant volume spike confirming the strength of the move. This breakout suggests the stock is likely to continue its upward momentum in the short term.
For entry, consider buying within the range of 272-267 with a stop loss at 262 . The first target is set at 278 , followed by 286 and a final target of 292 , offering an estimated upside of 8.5% . The strong volume during the breakout adds confidence to this trade, making it a solid short-term opportunity with a good risk-to-reward ratio. Always be mindful of price action around entry points and adjust your strategy accordingly.
I have an option trade as well for this strategy:
For option buying:- Take 265ce which is trading at 10.15, and keep strictly stop loss at 6.5 and Targets will be 12.25/14.65/17.15++
For Option writing (Sell) with hedging:- Sell 275 pe which is trading at 8.05 and buy 265 pe which is now at 3.75. ( I will suggest you to choose this strategy )
NOTE:- Please strictly follow stop loss,options trading carry huge risk and reward so trade carefully or simply go with cash trade.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
If you Found this helpful? Don’t forget to like, share, and drop your thoughts in the comments below.
"Budget 2025: Don’t Miss This High-Potential Railway Stock!"Hello Everyone, I hope you all are doing great! Today, I’ve brought you a stock that’s catching my attention both technically and fundamentally . This setup looks solid for short-term opportunities and has the potential to deliver significant gains over the long term as well. Stock name is RVNL and it is trading in a Descending Channel Pattern , and the price is currently near a critical support zone around 395-415 . This level is supported by a Bullish Harami candlestick pattern , which is a strong reversal signal. Additionally, the previous resistance zone has turned into support , adding credibility to the bullish outlook.
Last breakout above 355 resulted in an 83% rally to 647. If history repeats, a breakout above 510 could trigger a similar 83% move, targeting 947 in the long term. This aligns with strong fundamentals and Budget 2025’s expected focus on infrastructure spending.
Volume and Indicators:- Significant volume spikes at the support zone indicate institutional buying interest , which adds strength to the current level.
MACD is in the negative zone but showing signs of flattening, which could indicate a potential momentum reversal.
Fundamental Catalyst:- RVNL holds a pivotal role in transforming India's railway infrastructure , making it a prime beneficiary of Budget 2025 . The government ’s focus on infrastructure spending is likely to act as a positive catalyst, supporting the stock’s long-term growth potential.
Conclusion:- A breakout above 510 could unlock significant upside potential, aligning with both technical and fundamental perspectives. Traders should watch for a sustained move above 510 for confirmation of bullish momentum.
Disclaimer:- This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please trade responsibly and consult a financial advisor before making any decisions.
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like, follow, and share your thoughts in the comments below! Your support keeps me motivated to share more insights. Let’s grow and learn together—happy trading!