USD/JPY SD + OTE + PD Array AnalysisStandard Deviation Entry Model on FOREXCOM:USDJPY
1. Inducement on 15min TF
2. Targets + Mini reversal zones marked out
3. 1H PD Array (FVG) Equilibrium tapped
4. Entry Triggered
5. 1st Target HIT
6. Waiting for Standard Deviation ultimate target to hit
I'll like to know more your thoughts on this!
Share your analysis as well!
SMC
XAU/USD SD + OTE + Fractal Reversal TradeHey traders!
Here you can see all the trades taken by me in accordance with some major concepts of ICT.
1. OTE - Optimal Trade Entry
2. SD - Standard Deviation
3. Fractal Nature - If you can't find a pattern on the HTF, you'll surely find something on the LTF and vice versa. For example:
- The SELL entry over here, we had an FVG on the 5 min TF , there was no other valid level to short the markets.
- The other BUY Entries were taken on HTFs , and gave us very good targets as well!
Standard Deviations when combined with PD arrays , work like a charm and can be used as targets for LTF trades and reversals for HTF trades.
Hope you learned something today!
Share your analysis as well in the comments!
XAUUSD - SD + OTE + PD Array Entry/ExitThis long trade in XAUUSD includes cumulative entry and exit models.
1. SD - Standard Deviation Target 1 - 3274
Standard Deviation Target 2 - 3408
2. OTE - Optimal Trade Entry ( Equilibrium + 40 pips)
3. PD Array - 4H/15m FVG (caused due to CPI news)
PD array + OTE overlapping perfectly, so there's double confirmation.
Last manipulative leg before IDM (Inducement) and MSS (Market Structure Shift) taken for predicting Standard Deviation Targets.
This is a 1D + 4H PD array at play, with Liquidity of previous weekly candle already taken. So it's very possible that trade hits both of our targets.
Already 333pips captured in this trade, waiting for more, let's see what happens!
Share your thoughts and analysis below in the comments.
I'd honestly like to know about your opinion :)
BTC - OTE + SD Bearish Targets- As per my previous analysis, BTC Long targets were achieved perfectly and exactly from those levels a selling was expected. So, we hopped on to a SHORT trade at the TOP.
1. OTE (Optimal Trade Entry)
2. Bearish SD Targets (Standard Deviation Projections)
- Short Trade TP1 and TP2 are completed, which is almost 3000 points!
- Waiting for TP3
Do drop in your thoughts about this trade!
CRYPTO:BTCUSD Let's HODL!
Gold Plan 12/08 – Captain VincentGold Plan 12/08 – Captain Vincent ⚓
Background:
After sliding from the Storm Breaker 🌊, Gold has broken below the 3358 zone and successfully retested it. The ship is now heading straight towards the Buy Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤 dock.
Today’s Plan: Only buy when price reaches the pre-defined support zones — no chasing in open waters.
Zone 1 – Quick Boarding 🚤 (Buy Scalp)
Entry: 3,333 – 3,331
SL: 3,327
TP: 3,336 → 3,339 → 3,342 → 3,345 → 3,348 → 33xx
Note: Fast in & out. Take partial profits at each TP hit.
Zone 2 – Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Main Buy Zone)
Entry: 3,311 – 3,309
SL: 3,305
TP: 3,315 → 3,319 → 3,323 → 3,327 → 3,331 → 33xx
Note: Main accumulation zone. Hold longer if buying momentum stays strong.
Today’s Scenarios:
If price hits Quick Boarding → Wait for a reversal signal (pin bar, engulfing) on M15/H1 before entering.
If price dips to Golden Harbor → Observe the bounce strength; enter only on clear confirmation.
If neither zone is touched → Stay on the shore; wait for the next voyage.
Captain’s Note:
“The Gold ship has left the 3358 waters, turning its bow towards Quick Boarding 🚤. If docking is smooth, the crew will sail out swiftly to the open seas. Golden Harbor 🏝️ remains the main refuge if stronger waves push deeper.”
Nifty Analysis - Smart Money Concepts or LiquidityI would like to present my Nifty Analysis based on Liquidity or Smart Money Concepts.
This Analysis is based on Multi-time frame (Weekly & Daily) Time Frame. here chart is used on Daily Time Frame.
Current Scenario - (Weekly TF Analysis)
==Weekly Time Frame Analysis -
The current move is retracing into a weekly POI zone which also has-
-Daily Imbalance
-HTF Supply Block
-Smart Money Trap Zone (marked)
Right now, HTF is still in broad bearish retracement structure.
==Daily TF Annalysis -
-Price is consolidating in a range within a clearly defined HTF POI (High Probability Reversal Area)
-Inside the range:
-Multiple internal BOS & MSS
-Clean liquidity pool build-up (marked in yellow)
-Potential for buy-side liquidity sweep followed by sell-off into discount
Price Projection & Bias -----
1. Short-Term Bias (Next 3–5 Weeks): Downside after Extreme POI liquidity grab
-Expectation is there will be a Fakeout above the liquidity pool (25,500–25,800), or in retail language say it is Stop Loss Hunt then sell-off.
-Target: Volume Imbalance near 23,200–22,700.
-This will be aligned with - Liquidity sweep , Mitigation of volume imbalance , Entry into Weekly Discount Zone.
2. Mid-Term Bias or say 2-3 months expectation (After Re-accumulation)
-If price reacts with storng bullish order flow from 22500-22000 range then expect -
-Reversal into bullish structure
-Target - 26200 or 26400
-Supported by mean reversion + reaccumulating idea
(For Entry Module)
- Consider 15min to 1 hour Time frame setup for confirmation before taking shorts from above supply zone.
- expect a long setup around 22200-22400 only if bullish BOS + FVG Filled and also consider HTF Liquidity sweep near weekly wick discount zone or say 50% mean reversion.
Disclaimer -- (Views are only for Educational Purpose only. Always consult your financial Advisor before doing Any Investments).
Your Views or Comments are welcomed.
How to Trade "Mitigation Blocks" – Secret Used by Big Boys!Hello Traders!
Today we’re diving into an advanced Smart Money Concept – the Mitigation Block . If you’ve ever wondered how institutional traders quietly manage their risk and re-enter trades with precision, this is it. Learning to identify and trade Mitigation Blocks can completely change how you see charts — and give you an edge most retail traders miss!
What is a Mitigation Block?
A Mitigation Block is formed when smart money (institutions, banks) enter a position, price reacts strongly, but later returns to the same zone to “mitigate” their risk or add more positions. This block acts as a powerful zone of support or resistance , depending on trend direction.
How to Identify a Mitigation Block
Look for Imbalance + Strong Reaction: A large impulsive candle followed by a return to the origin zone.
Price Fills the Fair Value Gap: Smart money wants to re-enter at the best price — this creates the mitigation block.
Previous Break of Structure: The block should follow a BOS (Break of Structure) that confirms a new trend.
How to Trade the Mitigation Block
Mark the Origin Candle Zone: Identify the candle or small range where the impulse began. This is your block.
Wait for Price to Return: When price comes back to that zone, look for entry confirmation (candlestick rejection, SMC confirmation, etc.).
Use Proper SL and RR: Place stop loss below/above the mitigation zone and target next liquidity level or BOS zone.
Rahul’s Tip
Most traders chase breakouts. Smart money plans for the pullback to mitigation zones. Be patient, wait for confirmation, and strike where big players do — not where the crowd is jumping in.
Conclusion
Mitigation Blocks are not just support/resistance — they are institutional footprints. Learn to spot them, understand the intent behind them, and you’ll start entering where the big boys load up.
Have you ever traded mitigation blocks before? Share your experience in the comments!
EURUSD 4H chart - Short Setup🔍 Chart Overview
Pair: EURUSD
Timeframe: 4H
Pattern Identified: Head & Shoulders (bearish reversal pattern)
Trendline: Broken — signals end of previous uptrend
Market Structure: Lower highs forming → beginning of a downtrend
📉 Bearish Trade Setup
1. Entry Zone
Marked just below the broken trendline and neckline of the Head & Shoulders.
Entry: ~1.12450–1.12500
Price has already broken below neckline → confirming the pattern.
2. Stop Loss (SL)
Placed above the right shoulder, around 1.14096.
Smart placement as a break above would invalidate the Head & Shoulders pattern.
It also covers any minor retracement into the supply zone.
3. Take Profits (TP)
1st TP: ~1.09000 zone
🔹 This zone acted as previous structure support
🔹 Good area to book partials or move SL to breakeven
2nd TP: ~1.03258
🔹 Long-term target
🔹 Based on major previous demand zone visible on the left (possibly from daily chart)
🔻 Technical Analysis
✅ Bearish Confirmation
Head and Shoulders formation: Reliable trend reversal signal
Break of Trendline: Confirms the structure has shifted
Break of neckline: Entry confirmation
Retest of neckline/structure: Entry after confirmation makes it safer
🔎 Confluences
Confluence Result
Head & Shoulders ✅ Strong reversal pattern
Break of trendline ✅ Indicates shift in trend
Break + Retest of neckline ✅ Classic confirmation
Entry after confirmation ✅ Higher probability
SL above right shoulder ✅ Strategic placement
TP levels at structure & demand ✅ Logical TP zones
🛡️ Risk to Reward (RRR)
RRR is very favorable, roughly:
1st TP ≈ 1:2
2nd TP ≈ 1:4 or higher
A well-planned swing trade
📌 Final Recommendation
✅ This is a clean swing trade setup based on price action, pattern, and structure shift.
🔄 Consider partial close at 1st TP and trail SL.
🧠 Maintain discipline on SL—if price violates the right shoulder, exit.
AUDNZD 2H Chart Analysis – Trendline Break + Supply Zone Rejecti🧾 Market Context:
Pair: AUDNZD
Timeframe: 2H (2-Hour)
Overall Bias: Bearish
Setup Type: Trendline Break → Lower High Formation → Supply Zone Retest → Bearish Continuation
📊 Technical Breakdown:
🔸 1. Trendline Break:
A steep ascending trendline has been broken decisively, marking a clear end of bullish structure.
This shift indicates that buyers have lost control and bears are stepping in.
🔸 2. Retest of Supply Zone (Breaker Block):
After breaking the trendline, price retraced into a supply zone (highlighted in grey).
This zone also acts as a breaker block – price broke support, and now it’s acting as resistance.
Rejection from this area confirms institutional selling pressure.
🔸 3. Lower High Formation:
The price failed to break back above the supply zone, forming a lower high, which is a classic bearish market structure signal.
Trendline retest + supply zone rejection together give confluence.
🔸 4. Bearish Projection Path:
Your chart outlines a clear path of expected price movement:
Minor bounce from intermediate demand (1.0780–1.0790)
Continuation downward toward final target zone at 1.0650–1.0660
🔽 Entry & Trade Plan:
Parameter Details
Entry Area 1.0820 – 1.0840 (confirmed rejection)
Stop Loss Above 1.0855 (above the supply zone high)
Target 1 1.0770 – 1.0780 (intermediate demand zone)
Target 2 1.0650 – 1.0660 (major demand zone)
RR Ratio Around 1:3 to 1:4 depending on entry
✅ Bearish Confluences:
✅ Trendline break + retest
✅ Supply zone rejection
✅ Lower high formation
✅ Bearish engulfing candle post-retest
✅ Clear break of structure (BOS)
✅ Liquidity sweep above previous high before dumping
⚠️ Invalidation Criteria:
If price closes above 1.0855 on a 2H/4H candle, it invalidates the bearish setup.
In that case, reanalyze for potential continuation or false breakout.
📈 Visualization Path:
🔹 Current price is consolidating slightly below the retest zone.
🔹 You anticipate a drop to intermediate support, possible small bounce, then continuation to major target.
🧠 Professional Summary:
This is a textbook bearish trend reversal setup:
Break of bullish trendline
Supply zone retest and rejection
Structure shift to lower lows/lower highs
Bearish order flow developing
If momentum follows through, your TP at 1.0650 is very realistic.
XAUUSD Bullish Breakout with Retest & Rally Setup (1H Chart) Pair: XAUUSD (Gold vs US Dollar)
Timeframe: 1 Hour (1H)
Market Bias: Bullish
Strategy Type: Trendline Breakout + Order Block Retest + Liquidity Sweep + Momentum Continuation
📊 Technical Analysis:
🔹 1. Trendline Breakout:
A major descending trendline (bearish structure) was cleanly broken with strong bullish momentum.
This is a market structure shift and indicates potential trend reversal or at least a short-term bullish rally.
🔹 2. Break of Structure & Demand Zones:
Price broke above a key resistance zone (previous supply) around 3360, turning it into support/demand.
A new bullish order block (OB) is visible just below current price (~3340–3350), now acting as an entry zone.
A lower OB zone (~3300–3320) has been left unmitigated, which could act as a second deeper entry point if price retraces further.
🔹 3. Imbalance/Fair Value Gap (FVG):
There is a clean imbalance left between the current price and the lower OB. Price may wick into this zone before rallying.
This imbalance is acting like a magnet and could invite a retracement into the 3340–3320 zone.
🔹 4. Liquidity Engineering:
Buy-side liquidity was likely swept above the trendline break and recent highs.
Sellers trapped above the trendline may give fuel for a deeper push toward the next supply zone.
🔹 5. Target Supply Zone:
A clean and unmitigated supply zone lies between 3480–3500, the ultimate target for bulls if momentum sustains.
📍 Key Levels:
Type Price Range (Approx)
Current Price 3360.90
Entry Zone 1 (OB 1H) 3340 – 3350
Entry Zone 2 (OB 1H) 3300 – 3320
Target Supply Zone 3480 – 3500
Invalidation Below 3300
🎯 Trade Idea:
Entry: On bullish confirmation at 3340–3350 or deeper at 3300–3320
Stop Loss: Below 3300 (structure break + OB invalidation)
Target: 3480–3500 (clean supply zone above)
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): ~1:3 to 1:5 depending on entry zone
✅ Confluences Supporting This Setup:
✅ Trendline break + retest setup
✅ Price flipped previous resistance into support
✅ Strong bullish impulse breaking structure
✅ Bullish Order Block + Fair Value Gap (FVG) below price
✅ Clean upside liquidity pool in untested supply zone
✅ Momentum breakout candle confirms buyer strength
⚠️ Invalidation Criteria:
Breakdown and 1H close below 3300 invalidates the OB and bullish structure.
Be cautious around NFP or Fed-related news, which may spike volatility.
🔁 Potential Scenarios:
📈 Bullish Continuation:
Price retests OB (3340–3350), finds support, and rallies directly to 3480–3500.
🔁 Deeper Retracement:
Price may wick into the lower OB at 3300–3320 to grab liquidity, then rally.
❌ Invalidation:
Breakdown below 3300 = bearish reversal or deeper correction incoming.
📘 Summary Table:
Parameter Value
Bias Bullish
Entry Zone(s) 3340–3350 (primary), 3300–3320
Stop Loss Below 3300
Take Profit 3480–3500
Strategy Trendline Break + OB Retest + Imbalance
Confluences Break of Structure, Demand Zones, FVG, Trendline Break
Nifty 50 Index Analysis & Trade Setup (April 1, 2025)1. Current Market Overview
Last Close: 23,495.15
Day’s Range: 23,450.20 (Low) – 23,545.30 (High)
Change: -48.50 (-0.21%) – Minor bearish close
Key Observations:
The index faced resistance near 23,545 and closed slightly lower.
The 15-minute chart shows consolidation between 23,450–23,545.
The 1-hour chart suggests a broader range between 23,200–23,800.
2. Technical Analysis Breakdown
a) Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: 23,450 (Day’s Low)
Strong Support: 23,200–23,400 (Previous swing low & psychological level)
Immediate Resistance: 23,545–23,600 (Day’s High & round number)
Strong Resistance: 23,800 (Key swing high)
b) Price Action & Trend
Bearish Bias: The index closed below the opening price, indicating selling pressure.
Neutral Zone: If 23,450–23,545 holds, expect sideways movement.
Breakout Scenario:
Bullish Break: Above 23,600, target 23,800.
Bearish Break: Below 23,450, target 23,200–23,300.
c) Volume & Momentum
The decline was not extreme, suggesting cautious selling rather than panic.
A retest of 23,500–23,600 could confirm direction.
3. Trade Strategy (Intraday/Swing)
A) Short Trade (Bearish Bias)
Entry Zone: 23,500–23,550 (Retest of resistance)
Stop Loss: 23,600 (Above day’s high)
Target 1: 23,400 (Minor support)
Target 2: 23,200–23,300 (Strong support)
Risk-Reward: ~1:2 (Favorable)
B) Long Trade (Bullish Reversal)
Entry Zone: 23,450–23,400 (Support bounce)
Stop Loss: 23,350 (Below swing low)
Target 1: 23,600 (Resistance)
Target 2: 23,800 (Major resistance)
Risk-Reward: ~1:3 (High reward if breakout occurs)
4. Key Takeaways & Final Thoughts
Bearish until 23,600 breaks – The close below 23,500 suggests weakness.
Watch 23,450 closely – A breakdown could accelerate selling.
Bullish only above 23,600 – Confirmation needed for upside momentum.
Ideal Strategy: Wait for a clear break (either side) before committing.
Final Note: If the market opens near 23,500, watch for rejection (short) or bounce (long). Adjust stops based on volatility.
US100 View for feb last weekUS100 is reversing from the demand zone and waiting for the confirmation to enter buy side.
Here is the view for educational purposes
Buy zone is marked between 20926.5 - 21040.8. It will be the high probability area. So, wait for the confirmation before entry.
Trade with 1:3 RR and it might touch all time high again. Trade accordingly.
It might be weak below the marked zone.
Trade after the confirmation.
USDJPY running for buystops... Hello traders!
One of the models I use got triggered on the 1h timeframe once the breaker failed. Expected draw and everything else mentioned on the chart pretty clearly.
I expect the market to reach the buystops resting at 150.739 , and expect the market to tap into the daily ifvg and the daily sibi .
For the daily -ifvg to act as proper inversion, I don't expect teh market to trade above the CE of the gap and hence the expected target of 150.810 .
Not financial advice.
GLGT.
WILL THIS ORDER BLOCK HOLD AND REVERSE THE PRICE OR NOTWhether an order block will hold and reverse the price cannot be guaranteed; while it indicates a potential area for price reversal due to accumulated buy or sell orders, several factors like market conditions, price action, and volume need to be considered to assess the likelihood of a reversal at that level
WILL THIS BEARISH ORDER BLOCK HOLD THE PRICE OR NOT.To evaluate whether a bearish order block will hold the price, it typically need to consider several factors, including:
1. **Market Context**: Understand the current market sentiment (bullish or bearish) and trend. Is the overall market in a downtrend, or is there potential for a reversal?
2. **Time Frame**: The significance of an order block can vary depending on the time frame you’re analyzing. Higher time frames (like daily or weekly) usually carry more weight than lower time frames (like hourly or 15 minutes).
3. **Price Action**: Look at the price action leading up to the order block. Is there momentum in either direction? Are there significant support or resistance levels nearby?
4. **Volume**: Analyze trading volume around the order block. High volume may indicate stronger conviction in the price action, while low volume could suggest a lack of interest.
5. **Market News and Events**: Economic releases, earnings reports, or geopolitical events can impact price behavior and may affect whether an order block holds.
6. **Liquidity**: Ensure that the market has enough liquidity to sustain price levels around the order block.
Always conduct thorough analysis and consider risk management practices in trading.
a bearish order block failed to hold the price in it. Here’s an analysis of the situation:
Bearish Order Block Defined:
The bearish order block is the last bullish candle before a significant downward movement, often acting as a supply zone where sellers are expected to be strong.
Reasons for the Wick Break:
Liquidity Grab (Stop Hunt): The wick could represent a liquidity grab, where price briefly breaks above the bearish order block to trigger stop-loss orders placed by sellers or to entice breakout buyers before reversing.
Market Imbalance: There could have been a need to fill orders at higher levels due to prior inefficiencies or imbalance in the market.
Strong Bullish Momentum: If buyers were dominant, the bearish order block might have failed to hold the price, albeit temporarily.
News or Economic Events: Unexpected news or data releases could cause a spike in volatility, leading to such wick formations.
Outcome of the Wick:
Following the wick, it seems the price returned below the bearish order block, indicating that it was likely a false breakout or liquidity grab, and the bearish order block remained relevant.
I also love to here more solutions from you. Feel free to comment...
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE > READ THE CAPTAIN Buddy'S dear friend 👋
Gold Trading Signals 🗺️🗾 Update Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point still holding it down trand list week already take good entry ☺️ 🥂 making profits 💰 300 + pips. Buying said ready for new week New analysis ☺️ 🤝 Today night 🌉 market open start a good 💯 buying zone right now 🙏 first buying it 2727 + that entry open 👐 for short trade good entry point ☝️ and resistance level. Supply zone ☺️ 🥂 now update you ever day ❤️🤝
Small target we'll see 2727
And Short target 2665
Mr SMC Trading point
Support 💫 My hard analysis Setup like And Following me that star ✨ game 🎮
BTC Short setup for 04-12-2024 Looking for the short setup from two point of zone.
First zone is at 97k and second one is at 97800 levels as marked in chart.
BTC seems changing the direction for the shortterm correction till 87-85k levels.
Entries would be identified after finding the reversal setup as mentioned in the chart.
Trade with right risk and reward.
This is shared only for the educational purpose.






















