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XAUUSD – H2: The Discount Zone Is Formed, Now Waiting for ...XAUUSD – H2: The Discount Zone Is Formed, Now Waiting for Price to Retrace for Continuation Buys On the H2 timeframe, gold has just made a strong breakout above the 4,180 zone after a period of tight consolidation. Since it is the weekend and also Thanksgiving in the US, I will only prioritise pullback buys at discounted levels — absolutely no chasing price at the highs. 🎯 PRIMARY SETUP – BUY THE DIP at Fibo & POC Zone (4.163–4.160) Buy Entry: 4.163 – 4.160 Stop Loss: 4.155 Take Profit: 4.178 – 4.195 – 4.220 ⭐ SECONDARY SETUP – DEEPER BUY at VAL + Strong Support (4.139–4.136) Buy Entry: 4.139 – 4.136 Stop Loss: 4.130 Take Profit: 4.150 – 4.172 – 4.190 – 4.220 I always keep total risk per setup within 1–2% of the account. Fundamental Context Weekend + Thanksgiving → thin liquidity, more price whipsaws near the close. Recent comments from Trump & credit data show the economic picture and the December rate path are still uncertain. This keeps gold supported as a defensive asset, but not strong enough to expect a straight-up rally. Therefore, I prefer trading based on technical levels and clear zones. Technical Analysis – H2 Market Sentiment & Trading Outlook After the breakout, buyers still hold momentum, but the sideways movement at the top suggests partial profit-taking and liquidity patience. In thin liquidity conditions, price often makes a liquidity sweep down into support before reversing — exactly the move I aim to catch. Plan Prioritise Buy at 4.163–4.160. Only consider the deeper 4.139–4.136 setup if price flushes harder. All trades use strict Stop Losses (4.155 & 4.130) — no widening. Take partial profits step-by-step and trail SL as price approaches TP levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – Waiting for Trend Confirmation Around the 4,160–4,170..XAUUSD – Waiting for Trend Confirmation Around the 4,160–4,170 Zone At the moment, gold has not shown a clearly defined medium-term trend. Price is moving around an important resistance zone, so instead of predicting direction early, I prefer waiting for price reaction at key levels before taking action. The main focus today is the 4,160–4,170 area – where the market will decide whether to continue the uptrend or start a deeper correction. 🎯 Scenario 1 – SELL at 4,162–4,165 (Priority if No Clear Breakout) Sell: 4.162 – 4.165 SL: 4.173 TP: 4.140 – 4.122 – 4.110 – 4.100 The 4.162–4.165 zone on H1 is a strong resistance area combining Fibonacci confluence, previous supply, and proximity to the short-term rising trendline. If price taps this zone and shows weakness (upper-wick rejection, reversal candle, low volume confirmation), I prefer taking a short-term sell toward 4.140, with deeper targets at the liquidity cluster around 4.110–4.100. Risk for this scenario is capped at 1–2% per trade. Do NOT hold the position if price closes above 4.173. ⭐ Scenario 2 – BUY on Break Above 4,170 (Trend Continuation Confirmation) Buy: 4.171 – 4.173 (only after a clean breakout) SL: 4.163 TP: 4.188 – 4.200 – 4.215 If price breaks decisively above 4.170 and sustains above it, that confirms buyers are still in control. In this case, I switch my bias to buying the breakout, targeting the next resistance zones around 4.200–4.215, and possibly higher if momentum remains strong. Note: Only buy if the breakout is genuine — strong candle body closing above 4.170, not a stop-hunt wick that pulls back immediately. 1. Fundamental Outlook The DXY continues slipping below 99.50, now near 99.45, showing sustained weakness as markets increase expectations for a December Fed rate cut. Easier monetary conditions generally support gold because the opportunity cost of holding gold is reduced. However, U.S. initial jobless claims have dropped to the lowest level since April, showing the labour market is still resilient. This creates a mixed environment: rate-cut expectations support gold, but strong economic data may cause sudden volatility around news releases. Overall, fundamentals lean slightly bullish for gold, but not strongly enough to ignore potential technical pullbacks. 2. Technical Structure On the H1 chart, after a strong rally, gold is now consolidating right below the 4.160–4.170 resistance. The 4.162–4.165 region is a confluence zone: • horizontal resistance • previous supply • area where strong selling pressure appeared earlier The 4.140 level is the “correction confirmation level” — if price breaks and closes below it, the market will likely aim for the major liquidity area around 4.110–4.100, where many Buy-side stop losses are clustered. The current structure allows for both long and short setups, but each scenario requires clear price confirmation at the 4.160–4.170 zone. 3. Market Sentiment & Action Plan Both buyers and sellers are watching the same price zone — 4.160–4.170. This makes it a high-liquidity area where stops for both sides may get swept before the market shows its real direction. If price rejects strongly from this zone, it could be a sign of late buyers being flushed out. If buyers hold price above 4.170, trapped short positions may fuel a short squeeze toward higher resistance zones. My plan: I do not enter mid-range. I wait for clear signals: • Sell at 4.162–4.165 if reversal confirmation appears. • Buy at 4.171–4.173 after a confirmed breakout and hold above the zone. • Always use a hard stop-loss. No widening stops if price goes against the trade. If price breaks both zones without giving clear signals, I stay out and wait for a new structure instead of forcing a prediction. I always read feedback to improve how I share these analyses in future posts.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – LANA WAITING TO BUY THE CONTINUATION WITHIN THE ...XAUUSD – LANA WAITING TO BUY THE CONTINUATION WITHIN THE UPTREND CHANNEL 1. Fundamental Analysis Gold is maintaining its upward momentum as investors closely monitor the Russia–Ukraine tension and the mixed signals around potential peace efforts. President Putin’s recent statements suggest peace proposals could form the basis of a future agreement, yet Russia is still prepared to continue fighting if conditions are not favourable. This creates a mixed risk environment — reducing short-term safe-haven demand but still keeping geopolitical uncertainty elevated, which may pressure the USD in the medium term. In this context, Lana prefers the scenario where gold continues to follow the broader uptrend, looking for opportunities to buy on technical pullbacks into major liquidity zones rather than FOMO entries at higher prices. 2. Technical Analysis On the H1 timeframe, XAUUSD is moving inside a clear ascending channel, currently trading near the midline of the channel. The dominant structure remains bullish, with no sign of a break of market structure. After a strong bullish candle, the market left a Strong Liquidity area below and created a small Gap under the channel — this is where Lana expects price to retrace and retest before resuming the upward movement. The Buy zone aligns with a major liquidity region near 4,166–4,167, close to the lower boundary of the channel — an ideal level for continuation buys during a controlled pullback. Using Fibonacci extensions, the key levels include: 1.618: near the current price — a region where price often pauses or consolidates 2.618: around 4,210 — Lana marks this as a potential short-term Sell scalping zone 3.618: around 4,235–4,237 — a stronger Sell zone where heavy profit-taking may appear The 4,155 level is a key structural boundary: If price breaks below and holds under this zone, Lana will stop prioritising long-term buy setups, as the bullish channel may be invalidated. 3. Key Levels to Watch Support / Buy zone & strong liquidity: 4,166 – 4,167 (near the midline descending toward the lower channel boundary) 4,155 — mid-term trend boundary Resistance / Fibo extension & Sell zones: 4,210 – 4,213: Sell scalping zone (Fibo 2.618) 4,235 – 4,237: Strong Sell zone (Fibo 3.618), near the channel top 4. Trade Setups BUY Setup: Buy: 4166 – 4167 SL: 4160 TP: 4182 – 4195 – 4210 – 4250 SELL Setup 1: Sell: 4210 – 4213 SL: 4218 TP: 4200 – 4185 – 4160 – 4145 SELL Setup 2: Sell: 4235 – 4237 SL: 4243 TP: 4212 – 4200 – 4185 – 4160 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to read all updates early. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD – SHORT-TERM TREND STILL UNCERTAIN, WAIT FOR PRICE TO ...XAUUSD – SHORT-TERM TREND STILL UNCERTAIN, WAIT FOR PRICE TO RETURN TO LIQUIDITY ZONES 1. Fundamental Analysis In today’s session, gold is holding a mild pullback after touching its highest level in nearly two weeks. Market sentiment has turned slightly more risk-on, causing capital to move away from safe-haven assets. This reduces short-term demand for gold and triggers profit-taking. However, the Fed’s dovish expectations continue to keep the USD weak, which remains a supporting factor for gold in the medium term. Lana views the current phase mainly as a technical correction and prefers waiting for price to reach key liquidity zones before taking action. 2. Technical Analysis On the H1 timeframe, after a strong upside move, price is slowing down and showing a confirmation of downward pressure from the upper resistance zone. The rising trendline beneath is still holding the overall structure, suggesting the broader trend remains intact, but momentum is fading and the market is entering a more indecisive phase. Below the price, the FVG demand zones around 4113–4111 and the deeper 4085–4088 represent liquidity areas where Lana expects buyers may step back in. Above the price, the 4194–4196 zone is a key resistance area, aligned with supply and upper liquidity, suitable for a correction sell setup if price retests it. 3. Key Price Zones to Watch Upper liquidity / major resistance: • 4194 – 4196 Lower liquidity / support & FVG zones: • 4113 – 4111: first demand zone, near the rising trendline • 4085 – 4088: deeper FVG zone, stronger support if correction extends 4. Trade Setups SELL: 4194 – 4196 SL: 4200 TP: 4175 – 4160 – 4122 – 4105 BUY: 4113 – 4111 SL: 4105 TP: 4133 – 4155 – 4170 – 4190 BUY: 4085 – 4088 SL: 4080 TP: 4095 – 4110 – 4133 – 4150 – 4185 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to get the earliest gold analysis updates. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD – Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern Still Active...XAUUSD – Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern Still Active, Continue to Prioritise Buying at POC I maintain the view that the current dominant trend is buying based on the inverse head–and–shoulders structure, and the bullish wave is not yet complete. The plan is to wait for price to retrace into the POC zone to re-enter with the trend, avoiding chasing buys at the highs. 🎯 Main Scenario – BUY THE DIP AT POC Buy: 4,133 – 4,130 SL: 4,123 TP: 4,155 – 4,178 – 4,200 – 4,250 – extended targets if momentum remains strong For me, total risk per trade never exceeds 1–2% of the account. A good setup with poor risk management is still a bad trade. 1. Fundamental Context Gold is maintaining its upward momentum, trading near its highest levels in about two weeks. The US Dollar is weakening as markets increase bets on the Fed cutting rates soon, following data showing continued cooling in inflation. Lower yields and a softer USD reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, supporting the flow back into safe-haven assets. With this backdrop, I do not prioritise large sell setups. Most pullbacks are mainly opportunities for me to accumulate long positions. 2. Technical Analysis & Market Sentiment On the H1 timeframe, gold has formed and activated an inverse head–and–shoulders pattern, confirming a bullish reversal phase. Price is retracing to retest the POC zone around 4,133–4,130, overlapping the previous accumulation area where heavy sell orders were absorbed. This is the zone I prioritise for buying. Below this lies a deeper FVG acting as secondary support; however, I’m not waiting for price to drop too far to avoid missing the core move of the pattern. Regarding price behavior, recent pullbacks have been absorbed quickly, with multiple long-wick candles showing buyers are still in control. I’m waiting for a clean pullback into POC with a strong bullish reaction to trigger the entry. 3. Action Plan Only enter positions when price returns to the 4,133–4,130 zone — absolutely no FOMO buying at higher levels. Take partial profits at 4,155 – 4,178 – 4,200 – 4,250, leaving the remaining position open if gold continues to extend its bullish leg. If price breaks below 4,123 and closes under that level, I will cut the trade immediately and reassess the structure — never hold on to a bias when the market has changed. If this analysis is helpful, follow my TradingView channel and leave your comments. I always read feedback to improve and refine my future posts.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – H4 Trend Structure Awaiting BreakoutXAUUSD – H4 Trend Structure Awaiting Breakout Brian – Strategy to Buy on Pullback in Uptrend Channel I. Strategy Summary Gold continues its uptrend on H4, supported by the upward trendline from the 3,880–3,900 region. The price is testing the resistance zone of 4,133–4,150, coinciding with the H4 supply and descending trendline, making short-term corrections likely. Main strategy: wait for a pullback to support/FVG to buy with the trend, avoid FOMO buying at resistance. Key levels to note: closing below 4,000 weakens the uptrend structure; below 3,884 risks shifting to a medium-term downtrend. II. Macro Context Unemployment Claims (weekly unemployment benefits): Forecast: 226K Previous: 220K Higher-than-expected figures → indicate a weakening labor market, cooling economy, increasing the likelihood of the Fed easing sooner → real yields decrease, supporting gold. Better-than-expected figures (lower than forecast) → support USD and bond yields, potentially causing short-term pressure on gold. Geopolitical: Trump's statement on easing "deadline" pressure for Russia–Ukraine negotiations ("the deadline will be when the issue is resolved") helps the market worry less about a hard deadline, but conflict risks remain. The demand for gold as a safe haven remains stable, not overly inflated but also unlikely to disappear entirely. III. Fundamental Picture Expectations for a rate cut cycle in 2025 continue to support gold as the market gradually prices in lower real interest rates in the medium to long term. The demand for holding defensive assets persists amid slowing global growth and unresolved geopolitical hotspots. In the short term, USD and US bond yields remain the two leading variables; any USD recovery can pull gold back to technical support areas, creating opportunities for buy-on-dip strategies. IV. Technical Structure – H4 Trend Channel & FVG Zone On H4, the price is moving within an uptrend channel, with the support trendline respected multiple times since the end of last month. Above is the descending trendline connecting the nearest peaks, creating a price compression zone as the market approaches the 4,133–4,150 area. This is a confluence resistance zone: The nearest swing high. H4 supply zone. Intersection with the descending trendline. Notable price zones: Resistance: 4,133–4,150 – a zone that may trigger short-term profit-taking and create a correction. Near support/FVG: 4,078–4,080 – FVG zone combined with support after the previous breakout. Psychological support: 4,000 – if H4 closes below this area, the uptrend structure weakens. Medium-term reversal level: 3,884 – closing below here opens the risk of shifting entirely to a medium-term downtrend. V. Trading Plan Scenario 1 – Buy with the Trend (Priority) Idea: wait for a shallow pullback to near support in the H4 uptrend channel and then buy. Entry: 4,111–4,114 SL: 4,005 TP: 4,133 – 4,150 – 4,172 – 4,190 Scenario 2 – Buy Deep at FVG Zone Idea: if a stronger pullback to FVG 4,078–4,080 occurs, take advantage of the good price zone to buy. Entry: 4,078–4,080 SL: 4,073 TP: 4,100 – 4,115 – 4,142 VI. Risk Management & Notes Limit opening new orders at the time of Unemployment Claims announcement due to potential volatility and spread widening. If H4 closes below 4,000, reassess all current buy positions. If H4/Daily closes below 3,884, consider the medium-term uptrend structure broken; prioritize staying out to observe or wait for a new downtrend scenario instead of continuing to look for buying points.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
LANA_M2 XAUUSD – WAIT FOR A PULLBACK TO BUY WITH THE UPTREND ...LANA_M2 XAUUSD – WAIT FOR A PULLBACK TO BUY WITH THE UPTREND 1. Fundamental Analysis Gold continues its bullish momentum and has just formed a two-week high as expectations for an early FOMC rate cut strengthen. Weaker U.S. economic data, cooling bond yields, and pressure on the USD are supporting gold, both from real-yield dynamics and safe-haven demand. With this outlook, Lana prefers waiting for a mild correction before buying with the trend, instead of chasing buys at higher prices. 2. Technical Analysis On the H1 chart, the market structure has shifted to bullish with consecutive BOS, confirming buyer control. FVG demand zones around 4100 and 4080 are acting as support, aligning with key swing lows after BOS. The upper zone around 4180–4200 is an FVG supply area and a premium/ resistance zone where price may react with a short-term pullback. With Fibonacci confluence, 4103–4105 and 4086–4088 match the 50–61.8% retracement of the latest bullish leg — ideal for waiting for a pullback to buy. 3. Key Price Zones Support / Discount (Demand & FVG): 4103 – 4105 4086 – 4088 Resistance / Premium (Supply & FVG): 4165 – 4194 – 4202 4. Trade Setups ⭐ Primary Scenario – Buy with the Trend Buy entry: 4103 – 4105 SL: 3998 TP: 4115 – 4130 – 4165 – 4190 ⭐ Alternative Scenario – Deep Buy at Lower FVG Buy entry: 4086 – 4088 SL: 4080 TP: 4100 – 4125 – 4146 – 4170 – 4190 ⭐ Short-term Reversal – Sell at Premium Zone Sell entry: 4194 SL: 4202 TP: 4177 – 4150 – 4132 – 4110 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to get the earliest gold analysis updates. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD – TUESDAY BREAKOUT BUY SETUP, WATCH REACTIONS AT FIBO...💛 XAUUSD – TUESDAY BREAKOUT BUY SETUP, WATCH REACTIONS AT FIBO 1.618–2.618 🎯 🌤 Overview Hello everyone, Lana here 💬 After spending several days compressed inside a triangle pattern, Gold has finally broken the descending trendline on H1, absorbed liquidity around the FVG zone, and continued to hold above the breakout area. This shows that short-term bullish momentum is currently favored, with price targeting the higher Fibonacci extensions. Today the market is waiting for major data releases: CPI, PPI, retail sales… These numbers can create strong volatility, especially when gold is in an “overcrowded trade” condition. If US consumer data comes in strong, a deeper pullback may appear after a liquidity sweep. 💹 Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective) On H1, price has: Broken the descending trendline of the accumulation triangle. Retested the FVG + liquidity repurchase zone around 4.101–4.105 and bounced back upward. The 4.133–4.135 area, previously resistance, has now turned into support — a suitable zone for a buy-on-dip strategy. Technical Targets: Fibonacci Extension 1.618 of the current bullish leg is around 4.16xx. Fibonacci Extension 2.618 + major liquidity pool sits around 4.23xx–4.24xx, aligning with previous highs — a zone where sellers may show strong reaction. Overall, as long as price stays above 4.10–4.11, the short-term bullish structure remains valid. 🎯 Reference Trading Plan 💖 BUY Scenario – Priority with Trend Buy on breakout – current price zone Entry: 4.130–4.133 SL: 4.125 TP: 4.150 → 4.175 → 4.198 → 4.230 Buy on deeper retest Entry: 4.100–4.103 SL: 4.095 (you may choose a tighter SL instead of 3.995 for better R:R) TP: 4.125 → 4.150 → 4.175 → 4.198 💢 SELL Scenario – Only Short-Term Reaction at Resistance Sell: 4.167–4.169 SL: 4.175 TP: 4.150 → 4.133 → 4.110 → 3.990 This Sell setup is only for short-term scalping against the trend — priority is to close quickly at nearby TP levels. ⚠️ Important Notes Today includes CPI, PPI, retail sales and other US data — spreads may widen and price can spike both ways. Gold is currently a crowded trade, so after strong rallies, deeper washout moves can occur to shake out weak positions. Best strategy: Prioritize Buy setups at confirmed support zones. Reduce position size before major news; avoid holding heavy trades through data releases. Treat Sell setups only as fast in–fast out scalps. 🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction – With LanaM2 In summary, the breakout from the H1 triangle supports the scenario of Gold continuing upwards toward the Fibo 1.618–2.618 extension levels, as long as price stays above 4.10–4.11 💛 Today, focus on finding clean Buy entries instead of chasing price, and be cautious during CPI & PPI releases. If you found this useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 to get daily Gold insights on TradingView ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Monday SetupLiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Monday Setup Wait for gold to retest the upper trendline before choosing a direction Quick Overview On the H1 timeframe, gold is still moving inside a triangle pattern with a descending upper trendline and a gradually rising lower trendline. In my view, price still needs a bullish swing to retest the upper trendline – which aligns with the FVG zone + Volume Profile POC – before deciding a new trend (either a breakout to the upside or a reversal downward). Regarding the USD, many Fed officials have begun signaling that rate cuts may happen, but they remain very cautious. UBS and Barclays both lean towards the scenario that the Fed could cut rates in December if upcoming data continues to weaken. This limits the USD’s ability to strengthen too much, giving gold room for a technical pullback into resistance zones. H1 Technical Analysis Current structure: price is consolidating sideways, with lower highs along the descending trendline and higher lows supported by the lower trendline. Zone 4079–4081: FVG + Volume Profile POC. This area aligns with the upper trendline → a strong confluence resistance zone, suitable for a reaction-based short setup. Nearest support zone: around 4040–4035; if this level breaks, price may likely head back to retest 4010–4000. A clear bullish reversal signal only forms if an uptrend structure returns, at least when price breaks and holds above 4061, then continues through the descending trendline. Trading Scenarios (Reference Only) Sell at FVG + POC + Trendline (Priority setup) Entry: 4079–4081 SL: 4086 TP: 4060 → 4045 → 4010 Logic: Price is expected to move up to fill the FVG and touch the POC/trendline before sellers step back in. This zone has strong confluence, offering a better win rate than shorting inside the sideway range. Buy when bullish structure is confirmed Conditions: Price must break above 4061, close an H1 candle holding above this level, and break out of the descending trendline. Entry (reference): 4061–4068 (retest of breakout zone) SL: 4050 TP: 4095 → 4130 → 4150 In this case, the triangle pattern breaks upward, Dow Theory bullish structure returns, and the priority is buying with the new trend rather than trying to short the top. Trading Notes Possible scalp levels: 4060, 4040, 4010, 4130 – always wait for clear candle reactions on M5–M15 before entering. Risk per trade: 0.5–1% of account size; once the trade reaches around 1R, move SL to breakeven to protect your capital. If you have a different scenario for XAUUSD H1 today, leave a comment and follow LiamTrading for daily gold strategies on TradingView.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold breaks bullish structure...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold breaks bullish structure, short-term downside takes control Gold has dropped sharply by more than $20 in a short time, losing over 1% on the day and moving close to the lower 4,030 area. The previous bullish structure has officially been broken, 4040 failed to hold, and today’s focus continues to be selling with the trend until the 4000–398x support zone shows clear reactions. Macro Analysis Gold prices declined as expectations for a December rate cut weakened: JPMorgan no longer forecasts a Fed rate cut in December, opposite to their earlier 25 bps cut scenario. Some institutions still believe rising unemployment and weaker economic data may force the Fed to cut 25 bps at the upcoming meeting. The market is currently pricing the probability of a December rate cut at nearly “50–50,” creating strong uncertainty and putting short-term pressure on gold, even though the metal still benefits in the long term if the rate-cut cycle begins. Technical Analysis H1 – Bearish structure, price channel, and support zones After breaking below 4040, price formed a series of Lower Highs – Lower Lows, confirming a Dow-theory bearish structure on H1. A falling channel is forming; the channel’s upper boundary aligns with the short-term resistance zone at 4050–4060. 4000 zone: a key psychological support. If broken decisively, the medium-term structure may shift into a deeper corrective phase. Buy Zone 3987–3989 Strong support confluence + Fibonacci extensions (1.618/2.272) of the current bearish swing Optimal area for catching a corrective bounce if clear reversal signals appear Key Resistance Levels Today 4052–4054: retest of former support + upper boundary of falling channel → ideal area for a pullback-sell setup. Trading Scenarios Today (LiamTrading) Scenario 1 – SELL with the prevailing downtrend (priority) Entry: 4052–4054 SL: 4060 TP: 4030 → 4015 → 3990 Logic: Price retraces to resistance + channel top, suitable for trend-continuation selling. Prefer setups where M15 shows rejection candles (pin bar/bearish engulfing) around 405x. Scenario 2 – BUY at strong support 398x (counter-trend bounce) Entry: 3987–3989 SL: 3980 TP: 3999 → 4014 → 4040 → 4080 Logic: 398x is a high-confluence support zone; trigger only when clear price reaction appears (long lower wicks or reversal patterns on M15–H1). This is counter-trend, so use smaller position sizes and take partial profits. Risk Notes & Invalidation H1 closes above 4060: short-term bearish structure weakens → pause all sell setups and reassess. H1 closes below 3980: buy zone fails → downside could extend further; only sell setups preferred. Always keep risk per trade at 0.5–1%, and once reaching +1R, move SL to break-even. Are you leaning towards continuing to sell with the trend, or waiting to buy the dip at 398x? Follow LiamTrading on TradingView for daily XAUUSD updates
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold breaks bullish structure...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold breaks bullish structure, short-term downside takes control Gold has dropped sharply by more than $20 in a short time, losing over 1% on the day and moving close to the lower 4,030 area. The previous bullish structure has officially been broken, 4040 failed to hold, and today’s focus continues to be selling with the trend until the 4000–398x support zone shows clear reactions. Macro Analysis Gold prices declined as expectations for a December rate cut weakened: JPMorgan no longer forecasts a Fed rate cut in December, opposite to their earlier 25 bps cut scenario. Some institutions still believe rising unemployment and weaker economic data may force the Fed to cut 25 bps at the upcoming meeting. The market is currently pricing the probability of a December rate cut at nearly “50–50,” creating strong uncertainty and putting short-term pressure on gold, even though the metal still benefits in the long term if the rate-cut cycle begins. Technical Analysis H1 – Bearish structure, price channel, and support zones After breaking below 4040, price formed a series of Lower Highs – Lower Lows, confirming a Dow-theory bearish structure on H1. A falling channel is forming; the channel’s upper boundary aligns with the short-term resistance zone at 4050–4060. 4000 zone: a key psychological support. If broken decisively, the medium-term structure may shift into a deeper corrective phase. Buy Zone 3987–3989 Strong support confluence + Fibonacci extensions (1.618/2.272) of the current bearish swing Optimal area for catching a corrective bounce if clear reversal signals appear Key Resistance Levels Today 4052–4054: retest of former support + upper boundary of falling channel → ideal area for a pullback-sell setup. Trading Scenarios Today (LiamTrading) Scenario 1 – SELL with the prevailing downtrend (priority) Entry: 4052–4054 SL: 4060 TP: 4030 → 4015 → 3990 Logic: Price retraces to resistance + channel top, suitable for trend-continuation selling. Prefer setups where M15 shows rejection candles (pin bar/bearish engulfing) around 405x. Scenario 2 – BUY at strong support 398x (counter-trend bounce) Entry: 3987–3989 SL: 3980 TP: 3999 → 4014 → 4040 → 4080 Logic: 398x is a high-confluence support zone; trigger only when clear price reaction appears (long lower wicks or reversal patterns on M15–H1). This is counter-trend, so use smaller position sizes and take partial profits. Risk Notes & Invalidation H1 closes above 4060: short-term bearish structure weakens → pause all sell setups and reassess. H1 closes below 3980: buy zone fails → downside could extend further; only sell setups preferred. Always keep risk per trade at 0.5–1%, and once reaching +1R, move SL to break-even. Are you leaning towards continuing to sell with the trend, or waiting to buy the dip at 398x? Follow LiamTrading on TradingView for daily XAUUSD updates
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD–FRIDAY BEFORE PMI: MAINTAINING HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN💛 XAUUSD – FRIDAY BEFORE PMI: MAINTAINING HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN, WAITING TO BREAK RANGE 4132–3998 🎯 🌤 1. Overview Hello everyone, it's Lana here again 💬 Today is the last Friday of the week, the market is waiting for PMI and preparing to enter a phase with a lot of important data in December. Meanwhile, BTC has been rising faster than XAU in recent weeks, indicating that speculative money is leaning towards crypto, while gold is temporarily moving sideways accumulating. The US Department of Labor will release the November employment report on December 16, which is 6 days after the December Fed meeting. In other words, the Fed is in a "blackout" state regarding labor data for nearly another month – this forces the market to price in advance, making gold's volatility range wide but lacking a clear trend. 💹 2. Technical Analysis – Range & Head and Shoulders Pattern On the H3/H4 frame, gold is fluctuating within the large range of 4132 – 3998. The price wave is gradually narrowing towards the end of the triangle, represented by: Lower highs, Higher lows, → When one of the two boundaries is broken, a new trend is likely to explode in the direction of the breakout. The inverse Head – Shoulders – Head pattern has not been broken: Left shoulder – Head – Right shoulder are all above the rising trendline. For the final wave of the pattern to follow the rhythm, the price needs to confirm surpassing 4109: When closing a candle above 4109, the short-term uptrend is confirmed, At that point, gold can aim for higher liquidity areas such as 4132 → 4145 → 4200. Conversely, if gold breaks 3998, this will be both: breaking the range bottom, and negating the Head and Shoulders pattern, → opening the possibility of a deeper decline to the 3960–3920 area. 🎯 3. Reference Trading Scenarios 💖 BUY Scenario – following the pattern & range bottom support 1️⃣ Buy at support 3998–4000 Entry: 3998–4000 SL: below 3990 (depending on risk management) TP: 4025 → 4040 → 4078 2️⃣ Buy when confirmed above 4109 Condition: Price closes a candle above 4109, confirming the Head and Shoulders pattern is maintained. Entry: around 4100–4105 SL: 4090 TP: 4132 → 4145 → 4200 💢 SELL Scenario – trading the upper boundary of the range Sell: 4130–4132 SL: 4138 TP: 4110 → 4095 → 4070 → 4045 Selling should only be considered as scalping against resistance within the range, not the main trend if the Head and Shoulders pattern is still valid. ⚠️ 4. Notes & Risk Management Range 4132–3998 is still controlling the market: Above 4109 → prioritize Buy according to the short-term uptrend. Below 3998 → consider shifting bias to Sell following the breakout. PMI, Fed expectations, and upcoming employment data may trigger unexpected volatility, therefore: 🌷Gold is at the intersection of technical patterns and macro stories 💛 Be patient and wait for reactions at 3998 and 4109, as these are the two key points that determine whether we enter a new upward wave or a deeper decline. 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 to follow gold with me every day ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | A bearish structure has formed...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | A bearish structure has formed, waiting for confirmation during the European session Overall, gold is in a corrective downtrend after the previous bullish move. On the H1 timeframe, a clear Dow bearish structure (lower highs, lower lows) has formed. However, the support zone around 4,030 and the lower Fibonacci cluster are still potential areas where buying pressure may appear. Today’s European session will be crucial to confirm whether price continues to drop deeper or bounces back, aligning with the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern developing on H4. Macro – Short Fundamental Outlook The minutes from the Fed’s October meeting revealed a strong internal division: One group opposed rate cuts and wanted to maintain current levels. The other group supported cutting rates and even suggested further reductions in December. This lack of consensus shows high uncertainty in monetary policy, encouraging defensive flows to continue favouring gold. In the long run, gold only surges when confidence in the financial system weakens — a gold price peak is not a sign of prosperity but a warning signal. Technical Analysis – H1 (trendline, Fibonacci, liquidity) Price is trading below the short-term descending trendline, confirming that the bearish phase remains active. The 4,082–4,090 zone is an important liquidity zone — repeatedly tested and now acting as near-term resistance. The 4,029–4,031 cluster is a key support area: Overlaps with technical support + Fibonacci retracement. Beginning of the large FVG that extends down to 3,985 (Fibo 1.618 + psychological support). Above current price, the 4,129–4,130 zone is strong resistance. If price breaks and holds above this area, the bearish Dow structure will weaken significantly. Suggested Trading Scenarios BUY Scenario – Buying at Support / Fibonacci Logic: Price holds above the support–Fibonacci zone, showing bottom-fishing demand. Entry BUY: 4,029–4,031 SL: 4,022 TP: 4,040 → 4,065 → 4,090 → 4,120 Only consider buying if price shows strong reaction at 4,029–4,031 (long wick rejection or clear reversal candle on M15–H1). Cancel this BUY plan if H1 closes below 4,022. SELL Scenario – Following the current bearish structure (preferred if trendline remains intact) Logic: Price retraces to resistance + descending trendline and gets rejected. Entry SELL: 4,098–4,100 SL: 4,105 TP: 4,088 → 4,070 → 4,035 → 4,000–3,985 Only sell if price touches 4,098–4,100 with clear rejection (bearish pin bar/engulfing). If H1 closes above 4,105 and breaks the trendline strongly, stop all sell setups and reassess. Key Levels for Scalping 4,082 – 4,060 – 3,985 – 4,129 These levels can be used for quick intraday trades, but reduce position size and take profit fast. Important Notes If price closes firmly above the descending trendline and holds above 4,090–4,100, bias will gradually shift toward BUY setups, as an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern is forming on H4. If the 4,029–4,022 support breaks decisively, gold is likely to drop toward the FVG and Fibonacci 1.618 zone around 3,985. What scenario are you leaning toward for gold today — a pullback for another sell, or holding the bottom for a rebound? Leave your view in the comments and follow LiamTrading for daily XAUUSD updates on TradingView.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – CLEAR INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDERS FORMATION, CONTINUE ...💛 XAUUSD – CLEAR INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDERS FORMATION, CONTINUE TO PRIORITISE BUY SETUPS 🎯 🌤 1. Overview – Today’s Market Picture Hello everyone, Lana here again 💬 During the Asian session this morning, gold completed the right shoulder of a very clear Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern on the H3/H4 timeframe. Those who bought following the previous setup are now in a favourable position, and in my view, this is still a good time to hold Buy positions and prepare for additional entries once the market confirms the trend. On the macro side, according to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25bp in December has dropped to around 30–33%, while the likelihood of keeping rates unchanged remains dominant. This means the USD is not weak enough to push gold sharply higher, but also not strong enough to suppress it—creating a volatile range-bound environment, which is ideal for technical-pattern trading. 💹 2. Technical Analysis – Inverse Head & Shoulders & Market Structure The Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern has formed quite cleanly: Left shoulder → Head → Right shoulder, all supported by the long-term ascending trendline. The demand zone around 4040–4050 is acting as a liquidity box supporting the entire structure. The neckline is currently around 4089–4090: Once price breaks above and closes above 4089, we can consider a confirmed bullish trend. After the breakout, gold may extend toward 4145 → 4200, which aligns with higher liquidity zones + upper FVGs. Zone 4130–4132: A major liquidity cluster—where many take-profit orders & short-term sell orders may appear. If this zone is broken decisively, price may accelerate quickly toward 4200. Zone 4040: This is both the bottom of the pattern and a key support. The bullish structure fails if gold closes below 4040 on H4, which would invalidate the Inverse H&S pattern. Overall, price is currently compressing right below the neckline, and just one strong breakout could trigger the next bullish wave. 🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan (For Study Purposes Only) 💖 Primary BUY Scenario – Following the Pattern 1️⃣ Buy on retracement to support Entry: 4060–4063 SL: 4055 TP: 4088 → 4108 → 4130 → 4143 → 4200 2️⃣ Buy the neckline breakout Condition: Price breaks the descending trendline & neckline, and closes above 4089. Entry: around 4089–4092 SL: 4080 TP: 4132 → 4145 → 4200 💢 Notes on SELL Setups Selling now is counter-trend against the pattern and not the priority. Consider only short-term sells if: Price reacts strongly at 4132–4145, and Clear bearish signals appear on M15–M30 (pin bar, bearish engulfing, rising sell volume). ⚠️ 4. Fundamental Factors to Watch High probability that the Fed keeps rates unchanged → market may stay flat before data releases, then spike in volatility. Gold remains sensitive to data: employment, inflation, and speeches from Fed officials. 🌷 In summary The Inverse Head & Shoulders on XAUUSD supports the bullish scenario as long as price stays above 4040 💛 Strategy: Prioritise Buy setups: first at 4060–4063, then on the breakout above 4089. Watch the 4132–4145 zone closely—if broken, the move toward 4200 becomes highly probable. If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 for daily gold updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold Holds 0.618, Bullish Scenario...💛 LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold Holds 0.618, Bullish Scenario Preferred for Wednesday 🎯 Gold continues to recover after the previous decline and is currently sitting right at the 0.618 Fibonacci level on the H1 timeframe — indicating buyers still have the upper hand. Price is also holding above the rising trendline and the thick Volume Profile area around 407x, so for today’s session, I continue to prioritise BUY setups in line with the trend. 📰 Macro – News Context After the U.S. government reopened, the market is preparing for a series of economic data today and tomorrow → both USD and Gold may experience strong volatility. President Trump attacked Fed Chair Powell, calling him “stupid and incompetent,” saying he once wanted to fire him immediately but was stopped by advisors. 👉 Because of this, market sentiment is very sensitive: if data leans towards a rate-cut scenario, Gold could gain additional support. 📊 Technical – H1 with Fibonacci, Trendline & Volume Profile Fibonacci 0.618: Price is holding at the 0.618 level of the latest downswing; if this level holds, the natural target will be the upper FVG + resistance zone 4120–4150. H1 Uptrend Line: The trendline from the recent low is supporting price very well; each retest generates a bullish reaction → an ideal area to wait for BUY entries. Volume Profile & Liquidity: The 4075–4080 zone is Buy Liquidity — thick volume, lots of order flow → suitable as an entry point if price retests. VAL ~4040 and the Support + FVG area around 4020 are the next defence zones if the market sweeps deeper. Upside liquidity: Past H1 FVG remains unfilled up to at least 4150, so if the bullish scenario plays out, Gold can easily extend into this zone. 🎯 Trading Scenarios (LiamTrading) 1️⃣ Primary Setup – BUY with Trend Entry: 4078–4080 (trendline retest + strong volume cluster) SL: 4073 TP: 4094 → 4120 → 4140 → 4175 💡 Notes: Wait for a clean M5–M15 bullish reaction (long lower wick, pin bar, or bullish engulfing) around 4078–4080 before entering. Once price moves ~1R in profit, move SL to breakeven for account protection. 2️⃣ Short-term Scalping Zones Support – quick buys: 4048–4023 (VAL + lower FVG zone). Resistance – quick sells: 4121–4151 (FVG + upper liquidity zone). These are only for scalping, so: Enter on smaller timeframes (M5–M15). Take profits quickly, avoid holding through major news. ✅ Summary Short-term trend: Bullish bias as long as price holds above the H1 trendline and the 0.618 zone. Main plan: Wait for BUY at 4078–4080, targeting 4120 → 4140 → 4175. So, what do you think — will Gold push straight to 4150, or will it sweep down toward 404x first? 👉 Share your view in the comments & Follow LiamTrading to get daily XAUUSD plans on TradingView.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming on H4 💛 XAUUSD – Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming on H4 🎯 🌤 Overview Hello everyone, Lana here again 💬 After a strong drop, Gold is forming a clear Head & Shoulders structure on the H4 timeframe, aligned with the long-term ascending trendline. This pattern suggests the possibility of a bullish move back toward previous highs — but price may still dip lower to complete the structure first. 💹 Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective) The Left Shoulder – Head – Right Shoulder is gradually shaping around the trendline + supporting FVG. The upper 50% Fibonacci area is a reasonable zone for the right shoulder to form. If price breaks above the neckline, it may head toward the major liquidity zone around 4200. In the short term, the 4118–4120 zone serves as resistance + neckline, making it suitable for a technical Sell setup. The 4040–4042 area aligns with the trendline + Order Block, forming a strong support zone for potential Buy entries if price makes a deeper correction. 🎯 Trading Plan (For Reference Only) 💢 SELL Scenario (scalping at resistance) Sell: 4118–4120 Stop Loss: 4125 Take Profit: 4105 → 4086 → 4060 → 4040 💖 BUY Scenario (preferred with the main pattern) Buy: 4042–4040 Stop Loss: 4034 Take Profit: 4075 → 4090 → 4100 → 4140 → 4200 ⚠️ Important Notes Trading based on patterns is always expectation-driven, so combine it with candlestick confirmation on smaller timeframes (M15–M30) before entering. Upcoming FOMC Meeting and NFP report, especially after the long U.S. government shutdown period, may cause unpredictable volatility. Reduce position size and avoid holding large trades during major news events. 🌷 Final Thoughts from LanaM2 The H4 Head & Shoulders pattern on Gold is offering attractive opportunities for both short-term Sells and trend-aligned Buys 💛 Stay patient, wait for price to reach the marked zones, follow your stop-loss rules, and avoid FOMO during high-impact news. If you found this helpful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 for daily Gold insights!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold on a downward trend, hitting ...💛 LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold on a downward trend, hitting strong support around 4005 🎯 Gold has plunged from its peak, currently “visiting” the 4005–3990 zone, where trendline + POC/OB + high liquidity converge. This is a zone where a technical rebound might occur, but the short-term trend remains bearish, so any BUY orders need to wait for clear confirmation. 🔍 Fundamental Analysis Goldman Sachs forecasts that during 2025–2026, central banks will purchase an average of ~80 tons of gold per month, a significant driver that could push gold towards 4,900 USD/oz by the end of 2026. This keeps the long-term trend of gold bullish, but in the short term, deep corrections like the current one are normal to “shake off” positions before big money returns. 📊 Technical Analysis Current trend: H1 is still in a short-term downtrend phase (lower high – lower low), with prices below the 4080–4100 resistance zone and below the nearest descending trendline. Main support zones: 4005–3990: intersection of long-term rising trendline, POC – OB, old VAH/VAL zone → crucial support, potential for bottom-fishing buying force. 3975–3977: deeper support, coinciding with liquidity zone & recent low. Key resistance zones: 4098–4100: confluence of resistance + trendline test → ideal zone to watch for SELL retracement. Above is the cluster 4011 – 4053 – 4077 – 4098–4100 acting like “steps” for scalping orders. Volume Profile: Heavy trading volume around the 4000–4020 zone → prices tend to revisit this area multiple times before moving away. 🎯 Reference Trading Scenarios SELL – following the downtrend (priority) Entry: 4098–4100 SL: 4105 TP: 4082 → 4060 → 4035 → 4012 Price retraces to resistance + descending trendline. Only trigger when M15–H1 shows clear rejection candles (pin bar/bearish engulfing) around 4098–4100. BUY – catching the rebound at strong support Entry: 3975–3977 SL: 3970 TP: 3995 → 4025 → 4050 → 4080 Confluence support zone at channel bottom + POC/OB + liquidity. Only BUY when there is strong rejection or a clear reversal pattern (M15–H1). ⚠️ Price zones to watch for scalping 4011 – 4053 – 4077 – 3939 These zones are suitable for short scalps, prioritising the main trend (currently bearish), quick exits – do not hold positions too long. 🧠 Risks & Invalidations H1 closes above 4105 → reduces SELL priority, wait for new structure. H1 closes below 3970 → bad structure for BUY side, potential for further decline to lower zones. Are you watching to BUY or SELL gold in this zone? 👉 Comment your perspective & Follow LiamTrading channel for daily XAUUSD plans.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – TWO MAIN SCENARIOS FOR THE DAY: MONITOR REACTION AT...💛 XAUUSD – TWO MAIN SCENARIOS FOR THE DAY: MONITOR REACTION AT TRENDLINE 🎯 🌤 1. Overview Hello everyone 💬 Gold is currently waiting at the H4 trendline, indicating the market is lacking volume to decide the next direction. Although the price is adjusting after the drop from the 4,400 USD zone, the larger trend is still supported by strong buying flows from central banks. 💹 Market Context According to Goldman Sachs, the current decline is only temporary, as the demand for gold as a safe haven asset remains strong: US bond yields are falling USD is weakening The US economy is under pressure from unemployment and inflation In September alone, central banks purchased 64 tonnes of gold, and forecasts suggest that November may continue this strong accumulation trend. 💹 Technical Analysis 📉 If Gold breaks below the trendline → the market will trigger strong selling pressure, pulling back to the 395x zone, where there is low liquidity and important support. 📈 Conversely, if the price holds the trendline and volume pushes up, a short-term upward structure will form. 📌 The 4068 zone is a key level — if the price retests this area and falls back, Buy will only activate when it reaches 4034. 🎯 Reference Trading Scenarios 🔻 SELL – When breaking the trendline (priority if volume is strong) Sell 4036–4038 │ SL: 4044 TP: 4010 → 3995 → 3970 → 3945 🔹 BUY – Strong support 395x Buy 3952–3954 │ SL: 3957 TP: 3975 → 3995 → 4030 🔸 BUY maintaining trend (if price rebounds at 4068) Buy at 4034 after confirmation signal ⚠️ Important Note Volume is currently low, making the market prone to stop sweeps, so enter orders with small volume. The larger trend is still supported by flows from central banks, but in the short term, Gold may fluctuate strongly around the trendline. Prioritize trading based on price reactions at key zones rather than predicting direction in advance. 🌷Gold is in a sensitive phase at the H4 trendline 💛 If you find this useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 to receive daily gold analysis ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Continue to watch for SELL at the ...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Continue to watch for SELL at the start of the week – wait for price to retrace to the trendline & resistance for a perfect entry Gold is experiencing a sharp decline amidst global market liquidity pressures. The simultaneous drop in gold, stocks, and Bitcoin indicates that capital is being withdrawn from risky assets and even safe havens, similar to tense periods like the 2008 crisis or the early 2020 pandemic. Investors are selling profitable assets to cover losses elsewhere. In the long run, gold usually recovers sooner, but in the short term, the downtrend still prevails. On H1, the price is below the descending trendline, under the 4100 resistance, and is moving in a clear Lower High – Lower Low structure. This is a good signal to continue prioritising SELL orders retracing to resistance. 🔍 Technical Analysis (Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci • Liquidity) The descending trendline is the biggest barrier; each time the price hits the trendline, it is strongly rejected. Main Resistance: 4098–4100: resistance area + confluence with the trendline. 4120–4130: stronger area if the price retraces deeply (close to Fibo 0.382). Target Support: 4065: intermediate support – where the price has bounced slightly several times before. 4040 – 4025: large liquidity area – confluence with the H1 FVG bottom. 3985–3995: the end zone of the down wave if the selling force expands. Liquidity Zone: Many liquidity sweep bottoms continuously → indicates that the selling force still prevails. The lower FVG area (around 4025–4040) is highly likely to be filled within the week. 📉 Trading Scenario (prioritise SELL retracement) Scenario – SELL retracement to trendline + resistance (priority) Entry: 4098–4100 SL: 4106 TP: 4088 → 4065 → 4040 → 4025 💡 Suggestion: Wait for M5–M15 to form a rejection candle (pin bar / bearish engulfing) before executing the order. When to BUY? Only BUY if: H1 closes above 4120, breaking the descending trendline → short-term trend phase change. If this signal is not present → do not rush to buy against the trend. ⚠️ Important Note The phenomenon of “selling everything to hold cash” may continue → gold may remain under pressure in the short term. Which price range are you watching for today's session? Comment below & Follow LiamTrading channel for the fastest updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – UPDATE ON SCENARIO AFTER WEEKLY OPEN💛 XAUUSD – UPDATE ON SCENARIO AFTER WEEKLY OPEN 🎯 🌤 Overview Hello everyone 💬 Gold prices at the start of the week are mostly unchanged, the price structure on H4 remains the same, so Lana continues to maintain the old trading strategy. Currently, gold is weakly reacting around the medium-term resistance area, not strong enough to break through – but also no clear reversal signals. 💹 Technical Analysis 📉 Prices are moving within a narrow range between key liquidity zones: Zone 4138–4140 is the near resistance, where the market has repeatedly reacted with declines. Zone 4200 coincides with confluence fibo + descending trendline – strong resistance. Zone 3990–3988 is important support, also a lower liquidity area, suitable for technical rebound Buy. Market liquidity is weak, as shown by the pin bars and narrowing range. 🎯 Reference Trading Plan 💢 SELL (priority on correction rhythm) 4138–4140 ｜ SL: 4146 ｜ TP: 4120 → 4105 → 4089 4200 ｜ SL: 4212 ｜ TP: 4185 → 4160 → 4133 💖 BUY (strong support) 3990–3988 ｜ SL: 3984 ｜ TP: 4002 → 4032 → 4060 ⚠️ Market Insight (Macro Insight) Gold declines simultaneously with US stocks and Bitcoin, indicating a lack of liquidity across the market. This behaviour is common during phases like: Financial Crisis 2008 Early pandemic panic 2020 Investors are forced to sell even profitable assets to cover losses, causing gold – despite being a safe haven asset – to also decline. This reflects a strong increase in cash demand and widespread fear. 🌷 Conclusion with LanaM2 Gold is moving within a tight range and is heavily dependent on liquidity 💛 If you find this useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 for daily gold analysis ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Two scenarios for the new weekLiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Two scenarios for the new week: wait for reactions at 4100 & Fibonacci zone – prioritise bullish trades when the market recovers Gold is completing a technical rebound after a sharp drop, and H1 is showing two clear scenarios for the new week. The medium-term trend remains a corrective decline, but on H1, the price is in a rebound phase, so bullish trades will be prioritised – as long as the lower liquidity zones are maintained. The key this week lies at 4100, where FVG, Fibonacci, and liquidity converge – this is the decisive point to see if gold will bounce back or continue to decline deeply. 🔍 Technical Analysis (Fibonacci • Trendline • Liquidity • Volume Zone) Fibonacci H1: The price may rebound to Fib 0.5 (~4140–4150) – a zone with high liquidity & likely to show a bearish reaction. Fib 0.382 (~4120–4130) is currently the first short-term resistance. Price Structure: The medium-term downtrend is still present, but H1 is forming a rebound wave → prioritise buying when the price pulls back at the support zone. The descending trendline is still controlling the market. If it breaks the trendline + holds above 4130–4150 → the uptrend is confirmed stronger. Important liquidity zones: 4100: liquidity confluence + previous bullish resistance → strong reaction zone. 4085 and 4060: liquidity bottoms – if breached, it will trigger a deep decline scenario. 4032: FVG + Fibonacci bottom – the "break or hold" zone for buyers. Key resistance this week: 4161 – 4187 – 4138 – 4111 📈 TRADING SCENARIOS FOR THE NEW WEEK Scenario 1 – Bullish trade (priority) Logic: Gold is rebounding; if it holds 4100 and pulls back strongly → target is the upper Fibonacci zone. Entry: 4100–4111 SL: 4090 TP: 4138 → 4161 → 4187 Suggestion: Wait for strong signals like pin bar or engulfing H1 to confirm the rebound bottom. Scenario 2 – Bearish trade (when the market fails to hold the bottom) Logic: If gold breaks the H1 bottom and retests 4100 without holding → the medium-term downtrend continues to activate. Entry: 4100–4108 (retest after break) SL: 4120 TP: 4085 → 4060 → 4032 Suggestion: Only enter when H1 closes below 4100. 🌍 Macro Analysis – Fed causes market noise According to the latest data from CME Watch: 54.1% chance the Fed maintains rates at 375–400 bps 45.9% chance the Fed cuts rates The ratio is almost balanced → the market is very indecisive, creating unpredictable volatility ahead of the 10/12 meeting. In this environment, gold often reacts strongly to unexpected news, so prioritise trading at liquidity zones – wait for clear confirmation. ⚠️ Invalidation Conditions Price closes below 4060 → fully prioritise bearish trades. Price closes above 4161 → strong bullish trade activated, discard all sell setups. What scenario are you preparing for the new week? Please comment & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel to receive the earliest analysis every day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – H4 SCENARIO FOR THE WEEK 17–21/11 💛 XAUUSD – H4 SCENARIO FOR THE WEEK 17–21/11 🎯 🌤 1. Overview Hello everyone, it's Lana here again 💬 The new week begins with a narrowing trading range on the H4 chart, signalling that gold is preparing for a more significant move. The current medium-term trend needs to break the descending trendline above to confirm the return of the buyers. 💹 Technical Analysis 📉 The end-of-week downtrend is entering a technical rebound phase and is likely to continue declining towards the 4000 trendline – a confluence with a strong liquidity zone. 🟣 Key price levels to watch include: 4138 – 4200 – 4212 – 4037. These are liquidity concentration points, expected to have a clear reaction according to market sentiment. 🔹 Traders can use Fibonacci retracement to spot selling entry points, combined with confirmation signals on smaller time frames (M15–M30). 🌐 Macro Context The financial market is facing difficulties as US tax policies change continuously, putting pressure on both Gold and Bitcoin. The end of the year is also a characteristic phase of the economic slowdown cycle, where the market tends to adjust more strongly. 🎯 Reference Trading Scenario (Reference Trading View) Priority is given to selling according to the technical rebound, especially when the price enters the confluence Fibo + liquidity zones. Buying is only considered when the price reacts strongly at the 4000 trendline or the 4037 zone. 🌷 6. Conclusion with LanaM2 Gold is in a zone preparing for a big move 💛 Be patient and wait for reactions at important liquidity zones to have a better and safer entry point. If you find it useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 to receive daily gold analysis! ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
LiamTrading –XAUUSD H1|Gold approaches trendline – ready to...LiamTrading –XAUUSD H1|Gold approaches trendline – ready to explode, waiting for a breakout to choose direction! Gold is moving close to the lower trendline of the upward channel, indicating an accumulation state – waiting to choose direction. The price hasn't broken the 4210 resistance zone, but neither has it breached the trendline, so today's fluctuation will revolve around this structure. If the buying force is strong enough and closes the H1 candle above 4210, the upward trend will be reactivated with a broader target. Conversely, if the price breaks below the trendline, gold may decline to the POC area according to Volume Profile/Fibonacci around 4126–4130, where signals to buy again according to the main trend will be prioritized. 🔍 Technical Analysis (Volume Profile • Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci) H1 Upward Channel: Price is testing the trendline for the second time → a pullback bounce may appear if the selling force is weak. Strong Resistance: 4210: hard resistance – needs to break to confirm the rise. 4230: extended area, coinciding with the channel peak – likely to have a strong reaction. Important Support: 4174: intermediate support; breaking this level will trigger a short-term decline. 4126–4130: POC + large liquidity according to Volume Profile – the best buying area if a deep correction occurs. Market Sign: Weak candle force in the 4180–4190 area indicates gold is waiting for USD information before breaking direction. 📈 Daily Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Buy according to trend (priority) Entry: 4126–4128 (POC + Volume Profile support) SL: 4120 TP: 4140 → 4156 → 4180 → 4198 Suggestion: Wait for a rejection candle or reversal pattern at 412x. Scenario 2 – Sell when breaking trendline (counter-trend) Condition: H1 breaks below trendline + failed retest Entry: 4174–4176 SL: 4182 TP: 4150 → 4135 → 4110 Note: Only sell when there is a confirmation candle; this is a short-term surfing order. Scenario 3 – Buy when breaking and holding above 4210 (Break & Retest) Entry: 4212–4216 SL: 4202 TP: 4230 → 4260 → 4285 🌍 Macro Analysis – USD under pressure from new tariff plans President Trump is preparing to cut tariffs on goods from many Latin American countries (beef, bananas, coffee…). Objective: reduce domestic food prices, lower import costs. This could weaken the USD when officially announced → gold benefits in the medium term. ⚠️ Invalidation Condition H1 closes below 4120 → losing upward structure, may slide to 4090–4100. H1 closes above 4230 → cancel all sell orders, prioritize buying according to breakout. Which price area are you observing? Please comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel to receive the earliest analysis every day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX