#xuausd Make or Break - Gold Analysis🥇 GOLD (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis & Outlook
Timeframe: 4H & Daily Charts
Current Price: 2,718.99
Market Structure Analysis
Gold is currently in a **strong uptrend** and will maintain its bullish bias until it forms a clear lower low. The recent consolidation near all-time highs suggests a potential for either continuation or a sideways movement phase.
Key Price Levels
Support Zones
- Immediate Support: 4,218.99 - 4,240.00
- Major Support: 4,185.91 (0 Fibonacci - Recent Low)
- Critical Support: 4,160.00 - 4,180.00 zone
Resistance Zones
- Immediate Resistance: 4,253.97 (Current High)
- Next Resistance: 4,280.00 - 4,300.00
- Target Extension: 4,320.00 - 4,360.00
- Major Target: 4,380.99 (Fibonacci Extension)
Technical Scenarios
- Continuation of the current uptrend expected
- Any pullback to support zones presents buying opportunities
- Target: 4,280 - 4,360 zone
- Extended Target: 4,380+ levels
Consolidation Scenario (Secondary)
Condition: Sideways movement similar to the 3,400 consolidation phase
- Gold may enter a ranging phase at current elevated levels
- Watch for sideways movement between 4,200 - 4,280
- Accumulation pattern before next leg up
- Patience required during this phase
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Alternative)
Condition: Only if price breaks and closes below 4,185
- Bearish only on confirmed break of structure
- Potential retracement to $4,160 or lower
- Wait for clear reversal signals before shorting
RSI Analysis (Daily Chart)
- RSI Position: Near trendline support (around 62)
- Signal: RSI holding above trendline support indicates continued bullish momentum
- Watch For: RSI breakdown below trendline would signal weakening momentum
- Strength: RSI still in bullish territory, no divergence observed
Key Observations
1. **Strong Uptrend Intact:** No lower lows formed yet, trend remains bullish
2. **Fibonacci Levels:** Price respecting key Fibonacci retracement zones
3. **Consolidation Pattern:** Similar behavior to previous $3,400 consolidation
4. **Volume Profile:** Accumulation visible near support zones
5. **Daily RSI:** Holding trendline support, maintaining bullish structure
Critical Points to Monitor
🔸 22/10/2025 Close: Will provide clearer direction
🔸 Support Level: 4,218 - Must hold for bullish continuation
🔸 RSI Trendline: Break would signal momentum shift
🔸 Volume: Watch for increasing volume on moves
🔸 Global Events: Fed policy, geopolitical tensions, USD strength
🎓 #Trading Wisdom
"The #trend is your friend until it bends. #Gold will remain #bullish until it makes a #lowerlow. Stay patient, follow the structure, and let the market show its hand."*
Risk Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always manage your risk appropriately, use stop losses, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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#Gold #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrading #PreciousMetals #TradingView #MarketAnalysis
SMT
Pause for the Gold Rally#Gold Technical Analysis Report - USD
**Chart Analysis: Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar - 3M**
**Current Price Level:** $2,618 USD
Key Observations:
Gold is currently testing a critical resistance level at 4380.399, which aligns with major Fibonacci extension levels identified on yearly and quarterly charts. The price action shows a consolidation phase after the recent rally, with the market displaying indecision around this significant technical barrier.
Technical Levels:
The Fibonacci retracement structure reveals multiple support zones below the current resistance. Should price face rejection at 4380.399, technical analysis suggests potential pullback zones at 3743, 3403, and 3166 based on the proportional PA (Price Action) alignment on higher timeframe charts.
Market Sentiment:
The long-term uptrend remains intact, with the price structure maintaining higher lows and higher highs from the 1999-2026 timeframe. Current momentum appears to be consolidating before the next directional move, typical of markets approaching significant resistance levels.
Trading Considerations:
Traders should monitor how price responds at the 4380.399 resistance. A break above this level could signal continuation toward 5410 (2.618 Fibonacci extension). Conversely, a rejection could lead to a retest of the identified support zones. Risk management is essential given the proximity to resistance and current consolidation phase.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
XAUUSD // Liquidity Grab // ATH# Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar - Liquidity Analysis
Market Structure Analysis
Key Liquidity Zones Identified
The chart highlights two critical liquidity zones where significant price action is anticipated:
**Upper Liquidity Zone: $4,212 - $4,219**
This zone represents an area of accumulated buy-side liquidity, typically formed by stop-losses from short positions and buy-stop orders. The red shaded area indicates where institutional players may target for liquidity capture before potential reversals.
**Lower Liquidity Zone: $4,157 - $4,162**
This zone marks the sell-side liquidity area, where stop-losses from long positions and sell-stop orders cluster. This level serves as a potential magnet for price action seeking to capture liquidity before any significant directional move.
Technical Setup
**Channel Pattern**
Gold is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel on the intraday timeframe. The parallel trend lines show:
- Consistent higher highs and higher lows
- Price currently positioned in the mid-range of the channel
- Recent bounce from the lower channel boundary
**Demand Zone**
A marked demand zone is visible at lower levels, indicating previous buying interest and potential support.
Price Action Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (Green Path):
If price maintains support at current levels or the lower demand zone, we could see:
1. Continuation toward the upper liquidity zone ($4,219)
2. Potential liquidity sweep above this zone
3. Possible rejection after capturing buy-side liquidity
Bearish Scenario (Red Path):
If price fails to hold current structure:
1. Drop toward the lower liquidity zone ($4,162)
2. Liquidity grab below this level
3. Potential reversal after capturing sell-side liquidity
#Liquidity Concept
The annotation "Liquidity !!!!!!" emphasizes the importance of these zones. In institutional trading theory, price often moves to areas of high liquidity (where stop-losses cluster) before making significant directional moves. This is commonly referred to as a "liquidity sweep" or "stop hunt."
Trading Considerations
When price approaches either liquidity zone, traders should watch for:
- Rejection wicks suggesting liquidity capture completion
- Break and retest patterns for confirmation
- Changes in momentum indicators
Risk Management Notes
- The 5-minute timeframe requires precise execution and tight risk management
- Liquidity zones can be quickly swept through in volatile conditions
- Always use appropriate position sizing relative to account risk tolerance
- Consider wider timeframe context for overall trend direction
Disclaimer
This analysis is provided for educational purposes only and represents a technical perspective on price structure and liquidity zones.
It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. Gold trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research, use proper risk management, and consider consulting with a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
US100 View for feb last weekUS100 is reversing from the demand zone and waiting for the confirmation to enter buy side.
Here is the view for educational purposes
Buy zone is marked between 20926.5 - 21040.8. It will be the high probability area. So, wait for the confirmation before entry.
Trade with 1:3 RR and it might touch all time high again. Trade accordingly.
It might be weak below the marked zone.
Trade after the confirmation.
BTC Short setup for 04-12-2024 Looking for the short setup from two point of zone.
First zone is at 97k and second one is at 97800 levels as marked in chart.
BTC seems changing the direction for the shortterm correction till 87-85k levels.
Entries would be identified after finding the reversal setup as mentioned in the chart.
Trade with right risk and reward.
This is shared only for the educational purpose.
SMT between NIFTY and IT?Have been back-testing indulging in ICT/SMC concepts and have been noticing bearish SMTs/divergences being formed between BANK, IT and NIFTY (higher highs and lower lows) every time NIFTY proceeds to correct heavily.
Seeing how IT dumped relative to NIFTY's run today, I was hoping to find something like this.
Could be context to an incoming correction.
-GSS





