Snp500
S&P 500 Preparing for a Robust RallyOn Weekly Basis:
S&P 500 (SPY) completed its correction from 4800 to 3490 in its 5 Wave Down. Fibonacci 50% retracement from bottom 2300 to top 4800 ends at 3540, a support level in October, 2022. It took a support at 4115 which is a long-term horizontal support with multiple pivots on weekly charts. It looks like a fresh new Wave has just started from 4115 completing A Wave at 4771 and correcting B Wave at 4697. A powerful C Wave is currently intact and shall continue. D and E waves are not yet formed to predict a correction. There is a golden cross over at 200 DMA (January, 2023) and since then it has maintained an uptrend. It has come out of oversold position (June, 2022) to overbought position (currently) but may behave zig zag before meaningful correction may start. Now it has broken the strong resistance level at 4771 also a previous all-time high on weekly basis. Target of 5472 cannot be ruled out before a meaningful correction starts. There is still a chance for long position with 8% appreciation. AI, Semiconductors, Oil and Cryptos are the leaders in the pack.
Warning and Disclaimer:
Above prediction should not be taken as financial advise, it is a personal opinion.
Consult your financial advisor.
Investment is subject to market risks.
Past performance is not the guarantee for future performance.
It is for educational purpose only.
Dow jones industrial chart studyDow jones around 37600
240 mins time frame
Ascending parallel channel breakdown
big fat bearish candle formation on breakdown of channel structure..
now till the high is not crossed and sustained,,
index have possibility to retrace by 50-61% of last furious rally
and note one thing retracement will be sharp
till it below high levels view remains valid
NASDAQ chart study IXICNasdaq ixic index at 15050
Daily time frame
Bearish wolf wave pattern formation on long time consideration ,
ascending sharp wedge on smaller time consideration
Wedge is already broken and reversal from above the wolf wave resistance line is in progress,,
if this wolf wave has to progress as per theory, than index might head towards levels of 13700-13500.
in between if needed modification can be done,,
Dow jones Index Dow jones 34250
Index is facing price rejection around 34350-34600 range.
If index is not able to cross above 34600 range and sustain.
Pre assumption of harmonic pattern formation, resistance as per previous swing high levels.
would act as stiff resistance, reversal from current levels would lead to steep selloff in index.
down side levels of 32500-32000-31500 possible..
Bulls time be cautious
S&P 500 Completed Correction/ Readying for New WaveOn Weekly Basis:
S&P 500 (SPY) completed its correction from 4800 to 3490 in its 5 Wave Down. Fibonacci 50% retracement from bottom 2300 to top 4800 ends at 3540, a support level. It fell 27% from top which looks quite healthy from long term point of view. Tech sector has taken a deep hit and looks like it has entered a bear market. It took a support at 3492 which is a long term horizontal support 3515 on weekly charts. It breached a strong support briefly, which was a false bear move and reversed the trend immediately. It looks like a fresh new Wave has just started. One can be cautiously optimistic and it provides a good choice to buy at current level as a downward trendline is broken on the up side. There is a chance pf golden cross over at 200 DMA, may happen soon for further confirmation in change of down trend. It has come out of oversold position (June, 2022) to neutral zone. RSI was deeply oversold and made a double bottom in June, 2022. Now it has broken the downward trendline and continuously going up, may give a chance for long position with change in sectoral leadership.
Warning and Disclaimer:
Above prediction should not be taken as financial advise, it is a personal opinion.
Consult your financial advisor.
Investment is subject to market risks.
Past performance is not the guarantee for future performance.
It is for educational purpose only.
SNP index CASE studySNP spot cmp 4020
Harmonic study
Time frame :- 120 mins
Bearish shark pattern formation
potential reversal zone at 4058 (pattern maturity)
Reversal confirmation below 4000 levels on closing basis
View valid till index sustain below 4120 levels on closing basis
Down side retracement possible till levels of 3900-3800-3700
Time horizon :- 7-10 trading sessions
Index is at resistance zone as per harmonic study, Bulls need to be cautious.
S&P 500 Drifting lowerS&P 500 appears to finish its pull back and is now set to resume lower. The Ideal target will be a new low to the recent swing. Additionally, the Fibonacci levels proportion to previous moves has been shown. The RSI is falling to take off the equilibrium zone in the pull back indicating weak to sideways bias.
S&P 500 INDEX S&P, After impulse move in 1-2-3-4-5 waves on weekly chart, now we have witnessed entire fall as a leading diagonal as a wave A, and now we are in wave B, possibly it can retrace up to 38.2% of wave A entire fall, or maximum up to high of wave 4 in wave A, these levels are pegged near 4050 and 4177, all other parameters are supporting same bias to go long, which are shared below as a snap shots.
Here is a trigger point to go long. RK's mass psychological cloud buy activated, along with support of RK's stop line, and also RK's momentum Buy activated.
Overall wave structure on Weekly chart
Current fall was in leading diagonal
may be retrace upto 38.2% or wave 4 high of recent fall
reversal chart pattern head and shoulder on hourly chart
Breakout with good intensity of Volume in hourly chart
macd positive in hourly above zero line
macd uptick and ready to cross positive in daily chart
Bullish Divergence
rsi uptick in daily chart
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Falling market could be apportunitywait for confirmation at important level atleast in 4hr and 1D timefram, take trade accordingly. Provided that, also go through long short ratio, cuz Whales always tries to liquidate retailers by taking opposite trade,
... suggest commodity/crypto for analysis, in comment