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SARDAEN: Triangle Breakout, Chart of the WeekWhy NSE:SARDAEN Triangle Breakout Could Signal the Next Big Move in it, let's analyze in "Chart of the Week" Post Strong Q1 FY26 Results As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes, it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions. Price Action Analysis: • Stock has exhibited a strong uptrend from 2022 lows around ₹120-140 to current levels of ₹534.95 • Major rally phase from mid-2023 onwards, gaining over 300% in approximately 18 months • Current consolidation phase since late 2024, around ₹400-600 range, indicates institutional accumulation • Recent price action shows formation of higher lows with resistance being tested multiple times Volume Spread Analysis: • Volume spikes during major breakout moves confirm institutional participation • Recent consolidation accompanied by relatively lower volumes, typical of the accumulation phase • Volume breakout above 7.11M suggests renewed interest at current levels • Volume pattern supports the bullish bias with buying interest on dips Key Technical Levels: Base Formation: • Primary base established between ₹400-₹430 levels during 2024 consolidation • Secondary base forming at ₹480-₹500 range as recent support • Base width of approximately 8-10 months indicates a strong foundation for the next leg up Support Levels: • Immediate Support: ₹480-₹500 (recent swing lows and 50-day moving average area) • Strong Support: ₹420-₹440 (previous resistance turned support) • Major Support: ₹380-₹400 (long-term trend line support and 200-day moving average) Resistance Levels: • Immediate Resistance: ₹560-₹580 (recent highs and psychological level) • Major Resistance: ₹600-₹620 (all-time high zone and round number resistance) • Extended Resistance: ₹680-₹720 (measured move projection from triangle pattern) Technical Pattern Recognition Symmetrical Triangle Pattern: • Clear triangle formation visible from the chart with converging trend lines • Triangle spans approximately 8-10 months, indicating a significant pattern • Breakout direction typically follows the prevailing trend (bullish in this case) Trend Line Analysis: • Primary uptrend line intact from 2022 lows, providing dynamic support • Resistance trend line from 2024 highs is being challenged multiple times • Converging trend lines creating the triangle pattern setup Fundamental and Sectoral Backdrop: Company Fundamentals: • Market Cap: ₹18,852 crore (up 88.40% in 1 year) • Revenue: ₹5,350 crore with profit of ₹941 crore (TTM) • Business Model: Manufacture of sponge iron, ferro alloys, billet, wire-rod, and iron ore pellet through Steel, Ferro, and Power segments • Promoter Holding: 73.16% indicating strong management confidence • Dividend Policy: Low payout at 7.69% of profits over the last 3 years, suggesting reinvestment focus Sectoral Outlook: • Steel Industry: India is the world's largest steel producer with strong domestic demand • Ferro Alloys Market: Global market projected to grow from $156.37 billion in 2024 to $204.2 billion by 2032 at 5.60% CAGR • Indian Ferrosilicon: Market valued at $347.7 million in 2022, estimated to grow at 5.0% CAGR through 2030 • Infrastructure Push: Union Budget 2025-26 increased capital investment outlay for infrastructure by 11.1% to ₹11.2 lakh crore Growth Lever: • Integrated business model across the steel value chain provides operational synergies • Strong promoter holding indicates alignment with minority shareholders • Beneficiary of India's infrastructure development and steel demand growth • Consolidation phase completion, suggesting readiness for the next growth phase Key Risk Factors: • Commodity price volatility affecting margins • Working capital days increased from 78.1 days to 119 days, indicating efficiency concerns • Current valuation appears overvalued by 52% compared to intrinsic value • Global steel demand fluctuations and trade policy changes Market Catalysts: • Government infrastructure spending and PLI schemes • 2025 outlook suggests potential upturn in steel producer activity with lower input costs and shifting trade policies • Iron ore production increased by 5.5% to 135 MMT in FY 2024-25, supporting raw material availability • Ferro Alloys industry poised to reach $188.7 billion by 2025, driven by a robust economy Full Coverage on my Newsletter this Week Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes, it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:SARDAEN
by Karanshah137
5
Swing Trade Idea: Vardhman Special Steels Ltd (NSE: VSSL)Technical Setup Ascending Triangle Breakout on Daily Timeframe Volume Spike 4x average volume on breakout day — strong institutional confirmation. both the EMAs Bullish crossover (Price trading above both the EMAs). RSI showing bullish momentum (60-65). Price Action Strategy Price broke out from resistance zone with strong bullish candle and closed near the high. Previous resistance of ₹270 now acts as support. Fundamentals Promoter Holding: High, backed by Aichi Steel (Toyota Group). Debt/Equity: Low (~0.12) → Strong solvency. Strong financials: ROE / ROCE ~12.4% / ~17.8% Revenue Growth: Consistent YoY Valuation: Reasonable P/E (~18–20x) My View: Entered at breakout with strong confirmation. Trail SL and book profits step-by-step. Holding for higher targets as long as price respects 9 EMA.
NSE:VSSLLong
by Airborn_trader
7
SAIL – Trend Reversal & Trade SetupA trend reversal appears to be taking shape in SAIL, indicating a potential shift from a downtrend to an uptrend. The stock has recently came out of a falling trendline and has closed above its 200-day EMA, placed at ₹117, signaling renewed strength and buyer interest. 🔄 Technical Outlook - Breakout Zone: SAIL gave a technical breakout at ₹117, which aligns with its 200 EMA (Day), a widely tracked long-term moving average. - Current Price Action: The stock is now trading at around ₹130, emerging from a rounding bottom pattern, which is a bullish continuation pattern indicating accumulation and base formation. - Volume Analysis: Recent trading sessions have shown notable volume spikes, supporting the bullish breakout and trend reversal narrative. - Fundamental Trigger: Q4 Results have been decent, providing a fundamental cushion to the technical setup. While not overly bullish, the results are good enough to support the ongoing trend reversal, especially if broader market sentiment remains stable. 📊 Support & Resistance Levels - Crucial Support Zone: ₹127–₹130 — holding this zone is key for sustaining the bullish move. - Key Breakout Zone: ₹127–₹130 — staying above this range will confirm the breakout and strengthen the upward move. - Stop Loss: A protective stop-loss at ₹115, which lies just below the 200-day EMA, is advisable to manage downside risk. 🎯 Target Levels First Target: ₹140 Second Target: ₹150 Final Target: ₹158 Time Frame: Expected to take 2–2.5 months to achieve the projected targets if momentum continues.
NSE:SAILLong
by harmanrulez
STEELCAST✦✦ BREAKOUT STOCK ✦ ✦ #STEELCAS CMP 828.60 The stock was in a long, 52-week consolidation phase before breaking out. 9-Week Small Base Formation 2x Average Volume on Daily Chart Rising EMAS Indicating Strength Entry Point: The ideal entry would be near the breakout level of 830-850, confirming the breakout above resistance with strong volume. Targets: 910, 1020, 1150 Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss around 735, below the consolidation range, to manage risk in case of a false breakout.
NSE:STEELCASLong
by EmpireCrown
Graphite India for 100%+ upsideDate: 21 Sep’24 Timeframe: Weekly chart Graphite India currently seems to be in Wave III of 3 which is heading towards 1400 levels (130% growth from current price) as seen in the chart. Even if it attains its previous all time high of August 2018, that’s almost double its current price. If one can handle the fluctuations that operators inject from time to time and hold tight, this one is a no brainer. This is not a trade recommendation. Please do your own analysis.
NSE:GRAPHITELong
by DhandhaPaani
IMFA for 55% upmove Indian Metals and Ferro Alloys (IMFA) on daily chart seems to be in final stages of Wave IV of 3 which may culminate around 600 levels or has it made a bottom(?); only the next few sessions can confirm that. Wave V of 3 is likely to see price up move towards 930-940 levels (~55% jump from lows of wave IV) which is fantastic if it attains it (in next 6 months?). This chart has been put up as an idea to share my views on the stock and in no way a trade recommendation. Please do your own due diligence and analysis.
NSE:IMFALong
by DhandhaPaani
NMDC is trading near prev support zone Stocks to Keep in Radar for Next Week ⏩ SBIN ⏩ NMDC ⏩ BHEL ⏩ DLF NMDC If continues to holds the prev week support level, recovery towards 270 could be possible. However in case of Bearish pattern at higher level, it may come back to prev week's range Important downside support is around 245 zone whereas upside hurdle is aroud 270 level *Election Results can create Volatility in the Maket Keep Tracking Charts *For Educational Purpose Learn & Practice Price Action setups
NSE:NMDCLong
by Himanu_HATradeTalk1
Vedanta for 100% gainFor investing/trading in metal companies, one needs patience as hard. On weekly charts, the stock seems to be in Wave 3 which is heading towards 800+ that is also the 1.618 fibonacci level as seen in the chart. In the current run up, it may go up another 5-10% (around 440 levels) before hitting a Wave (II) correction towards 350-325 levels. Please note there are a few assumptions with which these levels are arrived at. In case of deviation in the route to its target, those assumptions are altered. You can avoid all panic if you manage your positions well.
NSE:VEDLLong
by DhandhaPaani
Kalyani Steels - Greedy theoryCup holder is a bullish pattern. Cup height is the usual target & it could even rise above that. Since KSL was listed, it has formed 6Y base & it rose around 145% from breakout. Did Fib retracement for the recent handle from top to bottom. Now another 6Y has broken out & so far reached 80% which is fib level 261.8% of the handle top to bottom. If I project to 145% from breakout, price target would be around 1200 and also the 461.8% fib level. Pivot projects to around 1179.5....with an intermediate target at 990. Look at the RSI(34) in weekly chart. Red rectangle is the resistance. Hitting for the 3rd time. Reversal could happen now or in weeks. RSI should be on fire to achieve that by breaking that resistance I guess. Whenever support/resistance repeatedly tested, it either makes or breaks.
NSE:KSL
by naraykln
SAIL Multiyear breakout with retest : A possible multibagger Exciting Bullish Pattern Alert! 🐂 📊 Pattern: Broadening Pattern Breakout 📌 Symbol/Asset: SAIL 🔍 Description: SAIL has made Broadening pattern from 2011 to 2020 and given breakout of the pattern. Its a multiyear breakout and retest is also done. We can see huge upside and might see returns in 3 digit percentage numbers !! One need to just hold it for few weeks or months to come. 👉 Disclosure: We are not SEBI registered analysts, this is not a buy or sell recommendation.
NSE:SAILLong
by FiveCircles
Unveiling MAHSEAMLES' Bullish Patterns: A Breakout OpportunityMAHSEAMLES is a leading manufacturer of pipes and tubes Involved in power, electricity, and other industries. Currently trading at all-time high levels. Let's dive into the technical analysis of MAHSEAMLES to identify potential breakout patterns. 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS MAHSEAMLES is forming a potential breakout pattern on both daily and 75-minute charts, indicating a bullish trend. The stock is currently trading at all-time highs and shows increasing volume. Additionally, technical indicators suggest a strong buy sentiment. 📈 FLAG AND POLE PATTERN The daily chart exhibits a flag and pole pattern, which is a bullish reversal pattern that indicates a potential breakout. The pole represents the stock's upward momentum, while the flag represents a consolidation period. 📈 INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN On the 75-minute chart, we can see an inverted head and shoulders pattern, which is a bullish reversal pattern that indicates a potential breakout. This pattern forms when the stock makes a low, then rallies, and then pulls back to retest the low. 📊 VOLUME ANALYSIS Volume is increasing, indicating a strong buying interest in the stock. This is a positive sign for the bullish trend. 📈 PROFIT AND QUARTERLY RESULTS MAHSEAMLES has been reporting excellent profit and quarterly results, indicating a strong financial health. 📊 Final conclusion If the stock sustains above the previous resistance level of 498, it could be a sign of a breakout, and traders may consider taking long positions before the market closes. However, please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. 👉 Follow Me 👉 If you found this analysis helpful, please like and comment below. Your feedback keeps me motivated to write consistently. You can also follow me on TradingView for more articles and trade setups. Profile link: in.tradingview.com 💡 Did you know? A breakout above the flag and pole pattern's resistance level could lead to a potential gain and The inverted head and shoulders pattern is a bullish reversal pattern that indicates a potential change in the stock's trend. 💡I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. It is always recommended to do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions
NSE:MAHSEAMLESLong
by AfnanTAjuddin
2
Cup and Handle Breakout in NMDC Steel.Cup and Handle Pattern Breakout in NMDC Steel. 40 Price level was acted as strong Resistance, now that level is broken with good candle and significant Volume. Retested that level and 41.55 was the high of the breakout candle. If today's candle closed above that level, then there is a high chance stock can move till 49-50 Range in Coming days. 38 is the idea Stop-loss. This is just a view not a Recommendation, Do your own analysis before making any investment in Stock MARKET. NSE:NSLNISP
NSE:NSLNISPLong
by KaravaliTradingZone_Official
SAIL The metal sector is cyclical in nature , most of the stocks have undergone 50%+ correction , SAIL has fallen from 150+ levels and made lows around 65 forming a wide base double bottom and nearing breakout levels of 87+ , the volume profile also shows the maximum accumulation around the 75 levels , with a fall in the US inflation and the cooling down of the DXY index , can we expect a further rally in the metal sector is something to be looked at, if the levels of 90 are crossed with high volumes the levels of 100-105-115 could be seen easily.
NSE:SAILLong
by gunechadeep