Connecting the World, ResponsiblySterlite Technologies Limited - STLTECH - CMP 106
About
Sterlite Technologies Limited was established in July 2001 after the demerger of the telecom division of Sterlite Industries Ltd (SIL). In July 2006, STL acquired the transmission line business of SIL to foray into the power transmission cables business. STL has grown over the years to become the largest Optical Fiber and Optical Fiber Cables manufacturer in the country. The company also has sizeable presence in the overseas markets with an established presence in the global optical fiber market.
STERLITE TECH:
STERLITE TECH launches AI-optimized data centre solutions and partners with Tech Data for India expansion.
Products target hyperscalers, enterprises, telecoms; meet global standards with 25-year warranty.
STERLITE TECHNOLOGIES: CO AND C-DOT ACHIEVE INDIA’S FIRST QUANTUM-SECURED NETWORK BREAKTHROUGH WITH MULTI-CORE FIBRE
Sterlite Technologies: Promoter Ankit Agarwal bought 2.58 lakh shares. Promoter Pravin Agarwal bought 7.35 lakh shares. (Positive)
This is just to boost my confidence. No Suggestions for buying. I will keep checking and updating my mistake if last post gone wrong...
Disclosure: I am not SEBI registered. The information provided here is for educational purposes only. I will not be responsible for any of your profit/loss with these suggestions. Consult your financial Adviser before making any decisions.
Sterlitetech
Sterlite Tech: From Despair to Breakout – A Textbook Turnaround NSE:STLTECH : From Despair to Breakout – A Textbook Turnaround Story in the Making. It makes it to my chart of the week Idea after breaking out with good volumes.
Price Action Analysis:
-Recent Action: Strong green candle with significant body suggesting institutional accumulation
-Candle Structure: Minimal upper shadow indicates buying pressure throughout the session
-Previous Action: Series of consolidation candles around ₹85-95 showing accumulation phase
-Breakout Candle: Wide-range bar breaking above downtrend resistance with conviction
Price Swing Analysis:
-Higher Highs/Higher Lows: Recent price action shows initial signs of trend reversal
-Momentum Shift: Price moving from range-bound to trending behaviour
-Gap Analysis: No significant gaps visible, suggesting organic price discovery
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA):
Current Weekly Bar Analysis:
-Volume: 302.33M (Exceptionally high - 12x average volume)
-Spread: Wide range bar with substantial price movement
-Close Position: Closing in the upper 75% of the range
-VSA Interpretation: Professional Money Accumulation - High volume with wide spread and strong close
Volume-Price Relationship Breakdown:
Phase 1 (2022-2023): Distribution & Selling Climax
-High volume on down bars during the initial decline
-Volume spikes coinciding with major price drops
-Classic distribution pattern with professional selling
Phase 2 (2023-2024): Accumulation Phase
-No Supply Bars: Low volume on down bars indicates selling exhaustion
-Testing for Supply: Multiple tests of the ₹50-60 zone with reducing volume
-Background Volume: Consistently low volume, suggesting minimal selling pressure
Phase 3 (Late 2024-2025): Mark-up Beginning
-Effort vs Result: Increasing volume with improving price action
-Spring Action: False break below support, followed by quick recovery
-Current Bar: Classic "Upthrust After Accumulation" with massive volume
Volume Spread Analysis Summary:
Key VSA Signals Identified:
-Selling Climax: Evident in 2022 with high volume and wide down bars
-No Supply: Consistent pattern during 2023-2024 base formation
-Spring/Shakeout: Brief dip below ₹58 with immediate recovery
-Effort to Rise: Current massive volume surge on breakout attempt
-Professional Interest: Volume pattern suggests smart money accumulation
Chart Structure Breakdown:
-Base Formation: Classic Multi-Year Cup Base spanning approximately 3 years (2022-2025)
-Base Duration & Depth: 36+ months with a devastating 85% decline from peak (₹318 to ₹50 lows)
Volume Characteristics:
- Volume dried up significantly during the base formation phase
- Massive volume surge (302.33M vs 24.45M average) accompanying the recent breakout attempt
- Classic accumulation pattern with low volume during decline and high volume on breakout
Key Levels:
Support Levels:
- Primary Support: ₹58-60 (recent low and base formation floor)
- Secondary Support: ₹75-80 (previous resistance turned support)
Resistance Levels:
- Immediate Resistance: ₹125-130 (downtrend line resistance)
- Major Resistance: ₹193-200 (previous significant level)
- Ultimate Resistance: ₹242-250 (prior consolidation zone)
- Breakout Zone: ₹108-112 (current breakout level with volume confirmation)
Price Patterns:
-Primary Pattern: Multi-year Cup Base with potential Handle formation
-Current Action: Breakout from 3-year downtrend line with explosive volume
-Volume Confirmation: 12x volume surge validates the breakout authenticity
-Pattern Reliability: High probability setup given the extended base duration and volume characteristics
Trade Setup:
Entry Strategy:
Primary Entry: ₹110-112 on sustained breakout with volume above 50M
Add-on Entry: ₹115-118 on momentum continuation or successful retest of breakout zone
Early Entry: ₹105-107 for aggressive traders betting on breakout confirmation
Exit Strategy:
Initial Target: ₹140-145 (measured move from base depth)
Secondary Target: ₹175-180 (intermediate resistance zone)
Ultimate Target: ₹200+ (major resistance retest)
Trail SL: Use a 20% trailing stop once the initial target is achieved
Stop-Loss and Risk Management:
Ideal Stop-Loss: ₹95-98 (below breakout zone invalidation)
Conservative SL: ₹88-90 (below recent swing low with buffer)
Position Sizing: Risk 1.5-2% of portfolio capital given the high-conviction setup
Risk-Reward: Attractive 1:3 to 1:4 ratio to initial targets
Sectoral and Fundamental Backdrop:
Sector Outlook:
Sector: Telecom Infrastructure & Optical Fiber - benefiting from 5G rollout momentum
Relative Strength: Telecom capex cycle turning positive with the government's digital infrastructure push
Peer Performance: Optical fiber and telecom equipment stocks showing renewed interest
Stock Fundamentals:
Business Turnaround: The Company has been restructuring operations and reducing its debt burden
Growth Catalyst: 5G infrastructure deployment and the government's Digital India initiatives provide tailwinds
Financial Health: Improving operational efficiency, though still in recovery phase
Technical-Fundamental Alignment: Multi-year base formation coincides with business restructuring completion
Overall Trade Summary:
Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 3.5:1 to initial target, extending to 5:1+ for swing targets
Conviction Level: High- Textbook cup base with volume confirmation.
Ideal Trader Profile:
- Swing Traders: 4-8 week holding period for initial targets
- Positional Traders: 6-12 month horizon for major resistance retest
- Momentum Players: Quick 15-20% moves on breakout continuation
Key Insight: "After 3 years of pain, Sterlite Tech is displaying all the hallmarks of a classic turnaround story - the kind that can deliver multi-bagger returns for patient capital."
Key VSA Insight: "The 12x volume surge represents the moment when smart money stops accumulating and starts marking up - a classic VSA signal for trend initiation."
My Take:
Trade Thesis: This represents a high-probability, low-risk entry into a fundamentally improving story at a technically optimal juncture. The combination of multi-year base, volume breakout, and sector tailwinds creates a compelling risk-adjusted opportunity.
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Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Sterlite Technologies LimitedThis one stock is roaring bullishly in this bearish market, the stock has been rallying since the last three sessions and there seems to be no stopping in near time. After yesterday’s 4% rally, the stock again surged 4% in the early trade, as its demand is not seeing any signs of suppression. Finally, today it has given breakout with good intensity of volumes on daily time frame. If you think that the majority of the move has been missed, then you should have a look at the daily chart of the stock, which is eye candy to the bulls. Today, the stock gave a breakout above the trendline resistance of a symmetrical triangle chart pattern, after a long contracting range.
Also chart pattern like cup n handle was broken today, along with lots of indicators supporting same bias, also wave structure is suggesting bullish impulsive bias.
Elliot wave structure on daily time frame
Breakout from symmetrical triangle with good intensity of volume
Cup n handle chart pattern
Price closed above RK's Magic level and also closed inside Mass psychological cloud in daily time frame
MACD positive crossover and uptick above zero line in daily time frame
MACD positive crossover and uptick in weekly time frame
RSI uptick and above 60 in daily time frame
Price challenging upper band in daily time frame
DMI ADX positive in daily
Price above 50, 100, and 200 DEMA's
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However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
STLTECH Analysis 01 July 2021At import junction. Its previous resistance zone from 2018 levels and now the stock is challenging it.
Comparative Relative Strength (CRS) against Nifty 100 NSE:NIFTY100EQUALWEIGHT is showing outperformance.
Trending Moving average.
Today Volume Expansion seen above average with Wide range candle on Daily,
Complex Inverted Head & Shoulder Breakout** Inverted Head and Shoulders-
The inverse head and shoulders occurs when a downtrend reverses into an uptrend, and is basically the head and shoulders pattern we have just analyzed turned H & S pattern . As such, it’s really just a gradual change in the direction of the trend, marked by a penetrated trend-line and weakening of the current trend.
** The Complex Inverted Head and Shoulders _
Of course, everything is not straightforward, particularly in the trading world, and you won’t always get a perfect copybook head and shoulders pattern. One variation that you can find is called the ‘Complex Head and Shoulders Pattern’, and this is a more complicated version which includes extra parts. The extra parts include a double head or double shoulder – basically the trend is taking longer to turn from one direction to the other. This pattern has the same forecasting ability as the normal pattern, and you can run through the same principles to see why. This is not a very common occurrence.
Because the head and shoulders is so widely known, you may find that other traders beat you to the punch in trading the reversal, and you lose some of the move. For this reason, you may find traders that don’t wait for the confirmation of the pattern before they enter the trade. For instance, some will anticipate the completion while the right shoulder is still in formation, and start entering some trades.
In this stock scenario Complex Inverted Head & Shoulder breakout already happened with high volume . so that the basis of this pattern i am bullish on Sterlite Tech limited.
Kindly Let us Know if you have any question .
Thank you
BuyVolume has declined on down move. Hourly chart has made pin bar candle. Volume on 15 min charts around present level has increased with lot of lower wicks. 65 DEMA may act as support. Previous swing low is in vicinity. Close abv 182 may start uptrend for 200+ levels with sl below 171.
Disc : it's not an investment advice to buy or sell
STERLITE TECH TARGET UPDATE 21-8-2020Looks bullish for short to med term.. All levels mention in chart..