Entering into the Christmas Sale Weekly Expiry NIFTY50In this December month, we were blessed with five expiry dates. I would say that the last three expiry dates are like a roller coaster ride, highly volatile. We are entering our 4th week now, and it is a technically correction mode. Technically, a 10% drop from the recent high is referred to as a correction. Look at Nifty50 on Monday. It opened with a huge gap down and the panic selling happened because of the major levels where we know it was taken out. 17000 and 16700. This range is important because it is 10% from the recent high and also a fib range. After the range was broken, the NIFTY50 made a new week low near the 16400 level, then pulled back and closed above 16600.This kind of pull back kills aggressive traders.
Tuesday opened with a near 0.96% gap up. Think about it! NIFTY50 as well as a strong rebound. It closed above 16700, so it looks good. In NIFTY50, we can expect the major levels to turn into resistance like Nifty did. Today, resistance is near 17950.We can expect the 17000 level to continue as resistance for the week, so I would be confident about selling at a strike price above 17200 on the downside of 16400 for a safe trade.
Keep an eye on the daily candle as well. There is a doji candle . We can expect moments in both directions Make a decision accordingly.
Strategy!
Mindtree Next Week - Support & Resistance LevelThis is just for study purpose, don't blindly trade into it. Please discuss with your financial adviser before trading into stock market.
I'm learning and sharing thing what I'm doing. Feedback is more valuable for me.
NIfty Alert was given yesterday, Trade for 29 Nov 21The adjusted closing of NIfty at 17025,
H&S Neck line already broken, A fresh channel break down happened, FII watching the drama, Covid playing in the globe, Be careful.
Trade,
If Nifty start trading below 17000,
Short Nifty ,
Tgt 16850, 16700 & positional 16350
SL is very deep.
17620
Bank Nifty 1 Hr Chart with Fibonacci Retracement Target 38200Bank Nifty 1 Hr Chart with Fibonacci Retracement towards Target of 38200
Option/ Future buyers- Buy only December Month expiry
Also with a view of Monthly and weekly expiry.. Volatility will be there to eat premiums are on both Side.
Dont trade option with November Month Expiry. Still if you want to trade , go only with 1 lot of 38000 with very stick stop loss as per your Risk management.
NIfty in the hands of smart Call writersIf you observe,
Call writers writing the calls only after breaking the each level, where they can generate the fresh resistance, Bulls trapped badly,
Nifty can survive only if FII start buying, else, H&S pattern neck line broken.
Fresh Nifty Support 17000, 16700, 16365, 15965
Trade,
Sell Nifty at 17400
Tgt 17330, 17250, 117150
SL 17525
Banknifty Could be Go Down at Thursday.Banknifty could be go down at Thursday 18/11/2021, But if market open up from blue line which is i draw then we can see some upper targets. Important condition for upper targets:- Market Should be gap up open for 100 Points.
if market open down from blue line then we can see some down targets.
"Recommend:- Please watch market first 15 Minutes."
Nifty range bound but negativeNifty got failed too sustain above 18200,
FII may not continued buying, I think todays positive consolidation happened because of local traders and investors,
Tomorrow if Nifty break support of 18060,
Short nifty,
Tgt 17990, 17945, 17900
SL 18150
Long side trade can be initiate only if Nifty sustain above 18225, On 15 minutes timeline, MACD is in negative direction but, In Daily chart it is in direction of positive cross over, so, If sustain above 18265, there will be a strong bullish view.
Nifty regaining strength ??Nifty closed in the middle of a 115 minutes channel,
RSI showing good strength,
MACD in negative mode,
Conclusion,
If opened above 18130, Short covering possible, which will take nifty 18175, 18200, 18225,
But as RSI at higher level, MACD slightly negative, sharp profit booking possible at higher levels,
If FII start buying, then only Nifty can continue rally,
Trade,
If opened and sustain above 18130,
Long Nifty,
Tgt 18175,18200,18225
SL 18075
Nifty Analysis for 9th NovNSE:NIFTY
⏺ 4/1 Hourly - As Nifty breaks the long time Resistance, we can see good up move after 18090
⏺ 15/5 min - same as above.
✅ Support - almost everywhere, 18000,17960
❌ Resistance - 18090
📈 Trend? - 100% up
(what this basically means is that you should avoid treading against the trend *whatever it may be* as it will not give you much points)
↕ Market movement - 250-300 pt
❗❗ Watch out for :
--> We can see a good up move above 18090, so be ready with calls.
--> This uptrend is after a very rough down side bleed. So it's likely to stay. So avoid taking puts.
--> We can easily see 18300 levels if we see strength in 1st hour of market.
--> Book profits as late as you can as the chance of a down move is very less. Don't target less than 150 points if you are taking trade before 10:45 am.
Accumulation phase in a rectangular box The stock is under accumulation for the past few months.The chart is self explanatory.Read the details given in the chart for a thorough knowledge.
Option sellers can use this script by doing strangle or straddle with break-even falling between 885-999 preferably.
This post is for educational purpose only.
BN Vertical Call Credit SpreadFollowing trade is for educational purposes only. An Iron Condor is an option strategy, where the expected outcome for next week is range-bound.
A CE option mentioned below is a European Call Option, while a PE option is a European Put.
A hedger always buys these options and a speculator mostly sells one.
But when the speculator only sells these options, the risk involved is unlimited and the margin requirement is also high. This is called naked option selling. When both CE and PE are sold, it is called a short strangle.
In combination with this, if we buy much farther CE and PE, the short strangle becomes an Iron condor. Here, the idea is to capture the option premium in a range-bound market with reduced risk and margin compared to short straddle.
The spread between buy and call leg is based on optimum use of margin. Since the option premium is credited to us in advance, it is also a credit spread.
Since this week the view is bearish , we are taking only the CE leg of Iron Condor. As the week progresses, additional trade may be added.
Please leave a comment if you need further clarification on the following trade
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Buy 39500CE, Sell 38900CE
The history of trades of this trade model is in the following link:
docs.google.com
My concept of trading is not to be an overnight millionaire, but a disciplined method to grow the wealth that you own.
Please leave a like if you like the trade ideas :)