crazy gap down, simple expiry.What an expiry today, with interest rate fear taking nifty down. Look at the chart. There was a huge gap between the opening and the consolidation. Looking at the nifty 5 minute chart, there is a strong upward trend, supporting 50 EMA. Every time the Nifty is at the 50EMA, good buying activity. At one point, it indicated that it was about to cross the 18000 mark. But as we saw, the channel was created with respect to Nifty, and yesterday it was above the line at 18,000. Price action is at an important level, and profit booking may begin from there. I was expecting that. In the coming days as well, I will closely watch the 18000 level. If it tests again, rejects, or consolidates below the level, it might break out from there again. But with a positive global clue, it's hard to bark at the 18000 level. Keep an eye on FII DII activity. If FII starts buying and DII is still buying, but if DII starts booking their profit, the power of the nifty might slow down. Let's keep an eye on all these activities.
When it comes to my weekly option selling this week, I am in the green. But I haven't booked the loss for the 13th expiry (17300 PE). If I book the losses, my net profit and loss will be close to 2%. This 50EMA buying activity helped me to get out of huge losses this week. And I had 17650 PE and my 13th expiry (17300 PE) yesterday. I booked other positions with Profit. Because I was expecting a retest, I took this safe position. The day began with a gap down, which allowed me to exit with a good profit. On the PE side, there is a premium spike, and there is a massive spike on the 17550, 17600, and 17650.
My plan for the 13th expiry (17300 PE) is to sell anything above it with a good premium to minimize the losses. I will keep adjusting on my call side as well. I hope I can manage a 2% loss while trying to keep the net P & L green.
Strategy!
Entering into the Christmas Sale Weekly Expiry NIFTY50In this December month, we were blessed with five expiry dates. I would say that the last three expiry dates are like a roller coaster ride, highly volatile. We are entering our 4th week now, and it is a technically correction mode. Technically, a 10% drop from the recent high is referred to as a correction. Look at Nifty50 on Monday. It opened with a huge gap down and the panic selling happened because of the major levels where we know it was taken out. 17000 and 16700. This range is important because it is 10% from the recent high and also a fib range. After the range was broken, the NIFTY50 made a new week low near the 16400 level, then pulled back and closed above 16600.This kind of pull back kills aggressive traders.
Tuesday opened with a near 0.96% gap up. Think about it! NIFTY50 as well as a strong rebound. It closed above 16700, so it looks good. In NIFTY50, we can expect the major levels to turn into resistance like Nifty did. Today, resistance is near 17950.We can expect the 17000 level to continue as resistance for the week, so I would be confident about selling at a strike price above 17200 on the downside of 16400 for a safe trade.
Keep an eye on the daily candle as well. There is a doji candle . We can expect moments in both directions Make a decision accordingly.
Mindtree Next Week - Support & Resistance LevelThis is just for study purpose, don't blindly trade into it. Please discuss with your financial adviser before trading into stock market.
I'm learning and sharing thing what I'm doing. Feedback is more valuable for me.
NIfty Alert was given yesterday, Trade for 29 Nov 21The adjusted closing of NIfty at 17025,
H&S Neck line already broken, A fresh channel break down happened, FII watching the drama, Covid playing in the globe, Be careful.
Trade,
If Nifty start trading below 17000,
Short Nifty ,
Tgt 16850, 16700 & positional 16350
SL is very deep.
17620
Bank Nifty 1 Hr Chart with Fibonacci Retracement Target 38200Bank Nifty 1 Hr Chart with Fibonacci Retracement towards Target of 38200
Option/ Future buyers- Buy only December Month expiry
Also with a view of Monthly and weekly expiry.. Volatility will be there to eat premiums are on both Side.
Dont trade option with November Month Expiry. Still if you want to trade , go only with 1 lot of 38000 with very stick stop loss as per your Risk management.
NIfty in the hands of smart Call writersIf you observe,
Call writers writing the calls only after breaking the each level, where they can generate the fresh resistance, Bulls trapped badly,
Nifty can survive only if FII start buying, else, H&S pattern neck line broken.
Fresh Nifty Support 17000, 16700, 16365, 15965
Trade,
Sell Nifty at 17400
Tgt 17330, 17250, 117150
SL 17525
Banknifty Could be Go Down at Thursday.Banknifty could be go down at Thursday 18/11/2021, But if market open up from blue line which is i draw then we can see some upper targets. Important condition for upper targets:- Market Should be gap up open for 100 Points.
if market open down from blue line then we can see some down targets.
"Recommend:- Please watch market first 15 Minutes."
Nifty range bound but negativeNifty got failed too sustain above 18200,
FII may not continued buying, I think todays positive consolidation happened because of local traders and investors,
Tomorrow if Nifty break support of 18060,
Short nifty,
Tgt 17990, 17945, 17900
SL 18150
Long side trade can be initiate only if Nifty sustain above 18225, On 15 minutes timeline, MACD is in negative direction but, In Daily chart it is in direction of positive cross over, so, If sustain above 18265, there will be a strong bullish view.
Nifty regaining strength ??Nifty closed in the middle of a 115 minutes channel,
RSI showing good strength,
MACD in negative mode,
Conclusion,
If opened above 18130, Short covering possible, which will take nifty 18175, 18200, 18225,
But as RSI at higher level, MACD slightly negative, sharp profit booking possible at higher levels,
If FII start buying, then only Nifty can continue rally,
Trade,
If opened and sustain above 18130,
Long Nifty,
Tgt 18175,18200,18225
SL 18075
Nifty Analysis for 9th NovNSE:NIFTY
⏺ 4/1 Hourly - As Nifty breaks the long time Resistance, we can see good up move after 18090
⏺ 15/5 min - same as above.
✅ Support - almost everywhere, 18000,17960
❌ Resistance - 18090
📈 Trend? - 100% up
(what this basically means is that you should avoid treading against the trend *whatever it may be* as it will not give you much points)
↕ Market movement - 250-300 pt
❗❗ Watch out for :
--> We can see a good up move above 18090, so be ready with calls.
--> This uptrend is after a very rough down side bleed. So it's likely to stay. So avoid taking puts.
--> We can easily see 18300 levels if we see strength in 1st hour of market.
--> Book profits as late as you can as the chance of a down move is very less. Don't target less than 150 points if you are taking trade before 10:45 am.