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Supply_and_demand

BAJAJ FINANCE NEXT TARGETTrend Now - Side ways in 1 Hour candle BLACK LINE - STOPLOSS HUNTING LINES-when you buy above the black line it will fall below the Black line. When you short below the black line again it will go up the black line. so your SL will be hit on both ways.So be cautious around the Black line GREEN LINE BOX - SUPPORTS PREDICTION - If resistance gives a big candle with high volume break out next target will be VIOLET ARROW - Next target Level RED LINE BOX - RESISTANCE
NSE:BAJFINANCE
by ganeshbabu6
SHARDACROP: Smart Money Demand Zones Align with Classic BreakoutI've been tracking SHARDACROP, and what I'm seeing is honestly one of those setups that doesn't come around too often. There's something brewing here that caught my attention—and it's not just one signal, but two completely different analytical approaches pointing to the exact same conclusion. Today, I'm breaking down this chart using the modern supply & demand approach that tracks institutional footprints, and the classic technical analysis. When these two methodologies start singing the same tune? That's when you know it's time to pay attention. What makes this SHARDACROP setup special? Both methods are screaming the same message. And in my experience, that's usually when the big moves happen. 💡 Supply & Demand Analysis - Reading the Smart Money Trail 💡 Let's start with the supply and demand zones. Think of these as crime scenes—they're where the big players left their fingerprints. These aren't random levels; they're areas where massive institutional orders are sitting, waiting to be filled. 🎯 How the Big Players Play 🎯 Here's what most retail traders don't get: when institutions want to buy or sell millions of dollars worth of stock, they can't just hit the market buy button like we do. They'd move the price against themselves instantly. Instead, they layer in orders over time, creating these demand and supply zones. So when price comes back to test a demand zone, we're betting that the same smart money players who were buying there before still have unfilled orders waiting. It's like they've set a trap—and price is walking right into it. 🔥 What Jumped Out at Me with SHARDACROP 🔥 Solid Weekly Foundation : There's a weekly demand zone that's been acting like a fortress Stacked Daily Zones : Inside that weekly zone, we've got 1 daily demand zone and another demand zone is latest layered on top of each other. Leg-out Candle Signature : That leg-out candle? Breaking to new highs, Pure smart money. The size of that imbalance tells me this wasn't retail traders getting excited 📈 The Setup That's Unfolding 📈 Now here's where it gets interesting. Price is drifting back toward our demand zone, and everything's lining up perfectly: Entry Sweet Spot : Right within that established demand zone Clean Risk Level : Stop goes below the zone—simple Clear Target Path : Measured move up to the next supply zone What I love about this risk-reward setup is the clean path to our 1:2.5 target. There's no major supply zone standing in our way, and the weekly trend is up. ⚡ Traditional Technical Analysis ⚡ Now let's flip the script and look at this through classic technical analysis. And you know what? The story gets even better. 🏗️ The Resistance That Finally Cracked 🏗️ This chart's telling a story I've seen a thousand times, but it never gets old: The Struggle Phase : Price kept banging its head against the same resistance level, over and over The Explosion : When it finally broke, it didn't just break—it demolished that level with a massive candle and huge volume Volume Don't Lie : That breakout volume spike? That's confirmation the move was real The Polarity Play : Now that old resistance is getting ready to flip into support—textbook price action 📊 Volume Tells the Real Story 📊 What really caught my eye is how volume's behaving on this pullback. As price drifts down toward our support zone, volume's drying up. That's not weakness—that's actually bullish. It means the selling pressure is fading, and when volume contracts like this during a retest, it often sets the stage for the next leg higher. 🎯 When Two Worlds Collide - The Confluence Magic 🎯 Here's where things get really exciting. I'm not just seeing one good setup—I'm seeing two completely different analytical methods pointing to the exact same opportunity: Supply & Demand Says : Smart money demand zone with layered institutional support Technical Analysis Says : Classic breakout retest with polarity support and volume confirmation The Bottom Line : Both methods identify the same zone as the high-probability entry point When this happens, I call it a "confluence setup." It's like having two different GPS systems both telling you to take the same route—you can be pretty confident you're heading in the right direction. 🌟 Putting It All Together 🌟 SHARDACROP's showing me: institutional footprints perfectly aligned with classic technical patterns. The Multiple Timeframe demand zones, the breakout retest setup, the volume behavior—it's all coming together in a way that makes me sit up and take notice. But remember, even the best setups can fail. The market doesn't owe us anything, and it certainly doesn't care how confident we are. Trade smart, manage risk, and let the probabilities work in your favor over time. 💪 "The best traders aren't the ones who are right the most—they're the ones who make the most when they're right and lose the least when they're wrong." 📈 Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purposes and isn't meant as trading or investment advice. I'm not a SEBI registered analyst. Always consult with qualified financial advisors before making investment decisions.
NSE:SHARDACROPLong
by AfnanTAjuddin
4
Smart Money Footprint Visible: Ceat Testing Powerful Demand ZoneBack on 24th July , I shared an idea on Ceat. That call didn’t play out and the Stop Loss (SL) got hit . No surprises there—SLs are simply the cost of doing business in this market. hitting SL is part of trading . The key is discipline – once SL is hit, we must exit without hesitation. Now, Ceat seems to be offering us another opportunity . Let’s break it down. 📊 Why This Demand Zone Stands Out The stock is approaching a very strong demand zone visible clearly on the weekly & Daily timeframe . The leg-out candle that created this demand zone was powerful – it broke past previous resistance with a strong bullish move . Follow-through from that breakout candle even took the stock to all-time highs . This tells us it’s not just an ordinary zone but one with institutional footprints. Institutions often leave behind pending buy orders in such zones, or they may look to accumulate more here to defend their earlier positions. This level first acted as resistance , then flipped into support —a classic price-action rotation. 📉 Volume Behavior 📉 On the breakout candle, volume was massive. But now, as price is pulling back, we can see volume exhaustion . To me, that signals a lack of real selling pressure. When supply dries up, it leaves the door open for demand to kick back in. 🔎 Confluences Adding Strength 🔎 Weekly demand zone lining up with a daily demand zone . Traditional support level overlapping at the same price area. Volume analysis confirming lack of strong selling. 🎯 Trading Plan 🎯 SL should be placed just below the support level to manage risk. First target should be the nearest supply zone . Till first target, the Risk-to-Reward (RR) ratio is about 1:3 , which makes it attractive. If SL gets hit, simply exit the trade . No second thoughts. What I find compelling here is the overlap: weekly demand, daily demand, and a long-tested support line all converging. That kind of alignment doesn’t come around every day. The probability of a bounce looks strong—but at the end of the day, risk management is what separates setups from disasters . “Trading is not about being right every time. It’s about managing risk smartly and surviving long enough to catch the big moves.” 💡 The market will always offer another opportunity—our job is to stay disciplined, manage risk, and be ready when it comes. 🚀📈 ⚠️ This analysis is purely for educational purposes only and is not a trading or investment recommendation . I am not a SEBI registered analyst .
NSE:CEATLTDLong
by AfnanTAjuddin
5
CEAT Ltd: Is a Rebound on the Horizon? A Confluence of TechnicalTraders — let’s dig into CEAT Ltd NSE:CEATLTD . where both demand-supply dynamics and classic technical signals are flashing something worth watching. What’s setting up here isn’t just noise — there’s real structure underneath the surface. Demand Zone & Institutional Footprints Let’s start with the core of this setup: the Demand Zone. CEAT’s price is inching toward a daily timeframe Rally-Base-Rally zone — and not just any zone, but one that stands out in terms of quality. Why does this matter? Because these aren’t retail-driven bounces. These are often the hidden footprints of institutions quietly building positions. On June 23rd, price came close to this very demand zone — and without even touching it, we saw a sharp bounce. That’s a strong tell. There’s clear demand waiting just below. Institutions don’t throw their entire order book at the market in one go. They scale in. So when price comes back to this area, it’s likely to trigger those leftover buy orders — potentially leading to another move higher. Zooming out to the broader view : Both weekly and monthly charts are still in an uptrend. There are no obvious supply zones on the higher timeframes That clears the runway for bullish continuation. 💡 Traditional Technical Analysis Perspective 💡 Now let’s switch gears for a moment and take a look through the lens of classic technical analysis. What’s the chart telling us in plain sight? CEAT spent months coiling within a consolidation range — nothing impulsive, just sideways chop. But that changed on April 30th with a decisive breakout. And this wasn’t on light volume — it came with strong participation, a real sign of conviction. Post-breakout, we’ve seen consistent volume buildup alongside price progression. This isn’t a one-day wonder — it’s been developing. Act of Polarity at Work: The breakout level had previously acted as firm resistance multiple times. Now that price is retesting it from above, it’s doing exactly what we expect — flipping that resistance into potential support. Interestingly, this retracement is happening on declining volume. That’s key. It often suggests a healthy retest rather than a breakdown — a potential “buy the dip” scenario, if you will. 🤝 The Confluence: Where Two Worlds Meet 🤝 Here’s where things get really compelling — that demand zone we highlighted? It aligns perfectly with the same level that’s being retested post-breakout. That overlap — this confluence — is no coincidence. It dramatically increases the odds of a strong bounce, because we’re getting validation from two independent analytical frameworks. When price, psychology, and institutional footprints all point to the same zone — you pay attention. We could consider a tactical Stop Loss just below the demand zone. And in terms of upside? The previous swing high near ₹4000 stands out as a logical first target. "Success in trading is a marathon, not a sprint. Consistency, discipline, and effective risk management are your true North Stars." Stay sharp. Even the cleanest setup can fail — and that’s why managing risk isn’t optional. If price violates the zone and closes below your SL, step out without hesitation. Thanks for reading — your support, feedback, and questions always help drive this community forward. Let’s keep sharpening our edge together. 🚀 Trade smart, stay disciplined, and let your journey be one of continuous learning! 🚀 Disclaimer: This analysis is intended purely for educational purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a trading recommendation. I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
NSE:CEATLTDLong
by AfnanTAjuddin
3
Demand & Supply Price Action Play – CMSINFO Price Structure & Market Context CMSINFO’s recent price action has followed a textbook path, respecting clean structural levels driven by institutional order flow. It's one of those charts where the zones aren’t just technical—they're telling a story. And right now, that story is setting up a potentially meaningful long opportunity. 💡 Daily Timeframe – Big Picture Bias The daily chart remains resolutely bullish . We're still seeing that healthy rhythm of higher highs and higher lows , signaling that the uptrend is very much intact. 📍 Daily Supply Zone: ₹540 – ₹546 That said, price did face some resistance recently—right where we’d expect it to. A fresh supply zone Rally Base Drop around ₹540–₹546 served up a rejection and sparked the current pullback. Nothing unusual there. In fact, in strong trends, these kinds of pullbacks often offer the best risk-adjusted entries —as long as we’re positioned at the right zones. ⏱️ 125-Minute Timeframe – Precision Entry Layer Zooming into the 125-minute chart gives us a much clearer map for potential execution. 🟢 Demand Zone: Rally Base Rally ₹500 – ₹498 Here’s where things get interesting. This demand zone hasn’t been touched since it formed—making it a fresh zone , and by definition, high-probability for a first bounce. Price has just tapped into it, which could attract short-term buyers looking to ride the next leg up. 🔴 Supply Zone: Rally Base Drop ₹532 – ₹537 This zone sits just overhead and marks the first potential resistance . If price moves up from the current demand area, this is where traders may begin trimming positions or tightening stops. 🎯 Trade Blueprint 🎯 Entry: Between ₹500 – ₹498 (inside 125-minute demand zone) Stop Loss: Below ₹498 (conservative buffer: ₹495) Target 1: ₹532 – ₹537 (nearest 125min supply) 🧩 Why This Setup Deserves Attention 🧩 Daily Trend Structure Remains Bullish – higher timeframe bias supports a continuation upward. Fresh LTF Demand Zone – first touch makes this zone statistically favorable. Defined Risk-Reward Parameters – tight stop with layered targets for flexible management. Pure Price Action Logic – just clean, institutional footprints. 🚀 “Opportunities don’t come from chasing— they come from waiting in the right places.” 💡 Stay patient, respect your zones, and let the market come to you. This analysis is purely for educational purposes and does not constitute a trading or investment recommendation. I am not a SEBI registered analyst. Lastly, thank you for your support, your likes & comments. Feel free to ask if you have questions.
NSE:CMSINFOLong
by AfnanTAjuddin
KIRLOSBROS – A Demand-Supply Sweet Spot? My Take!🔍 What Got My Attention We’re seeing price approach a well-formed Rally-Base-Rally demand zone, and to me, it’s got the fingerprint of institutional activity written all over it. These zones don’t just appear randomly—this kind of structure often suggests that big players may have unfinished business here, footprint of pending orders. 📐 The Demand-Supply View Price is entering a daily demand zone —a clean RBR structure . Just yesterday, we saw a bullish reaction candle form right off that zone. For a demand-supply trader, that’s confirmation—plain and simple. Stop-loss placement? : just below the demand zone. And the logical target? The next known supply zone on the chart. What’s more, the weekly chart already confirmed strength. Price bounced from weekly demand zone and powered through a traditional daily resistance—clear signs of momentum shift. Encouragingly, there's no higher-timeframe supply standing in the way. That clears the runway. From a demand-supply lens, this is the kind of setup we wait for—strong zone, confirmation signal, no conflicting zones above. It’s not about chasing; it’s about reacting when price comes to us. 📈 What Traditional Technical Are Saying 📈 Now, if we set aside the supply-demand lens for a moment and look at it through a more traditional view, things still line up nicely. stock was clearly in a downtrend earlier—but that changed when it hit the weekly demand zone or say support area and reversed with strength. What followed was a period of consolidation. That’s normal—markets pause before deciding on direction. Then, on June 25th, the trend shifted. Price broke out above both horizontal resistance and a sloping downtrend line— and it did so with volume. This wasn’t a fake breakout either. Price held above the resistance. The current pullback? Honestly, it's healthy. After a move up, a dip into support (especially when it lines up with demand) often builds the base for the next leg higher. And guess what—price is taking support from 20 EMA, which just adds to the confluence. So even if you’re not a die-hard supply-demand trader, the technicals are telling a similar story: breakout, volume, support holding, pullback into structure—it all points toward potential continuation. 🧠 Why This Setup Stands Out 🧠 What I find compelling here is the alignment across both schools of thought which is not necessary but whether you're supply demand trader or tracking breakouts, both giving positive signal. It's the kind of scenario where you don’t need to overcomplicate things. You’ve got: Structure that makes sense. Clear reaction at a proven level. No HTF supply zone to kill the momentum. Now, does that mean it's guaranteed to rip higher? Of course not. But when technical logics all align—this is where probability starts leaning in your favor. 🚀 Fuel for Your Trading Mindset 🚀 "You don’t need to catch every move. You just need to position yourself where risk is small and the story makes sense. 🎯" 📌 Disclaimer 📌 This analysis is shared strictly for educational purposes . It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. I am not a SEBI registered analyst . Lastly, thank you for your support, your likes & comments. Feel free to ask if you have questions.
NSE:KIRLOSBROSLong
by AfnanTAjuddin
7
Inside Bar Ignites a Clean Breakout🟢 Simple Breakout Structure | Supply-Demand Flip ✅ Strong demand zone formed after multiple rejections 🔻 Previous supply zone clearly respected 📉 One active counter-trendline broken 🔍 Breakout of mother candle with an inside bar setup 📈 Volume expansion on breakout 🟠 Also broke a hidden resistance line, adding confluence 🧭 Chart structure remains smooth and clear, respecting zones well No predictions. Just structure.
NSE:EIELLong
by Averoy_Apoorv_Analysis
NYKAA - Breakout from DTFNYKAA has resistance weakening on the Daily charts and has given a breakout with good volume. The target of this pattern signals an upside potential of 10% from the current price level in the medium term. The stock is trading above its 50- and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs). The range is more than >1.2X, and the Volume is also >2X the average. CMP- Rs. 108 Target Price- Rs228 ( 10% upside) SL -202 Disclaimer: This is not a buy/sell recommendation. For educational purpose only. Kindly consult your financial advisor before entering a trade.
NSE:NYKAALong
by ashutoshanand30
CHOLAFIN- Breakout from DTFCHOLAFIN has resistance weakening on the Daily charts and has given a breakout with good volume. The target of this pattern signals an upside potential of ~10% from the current price level in the medium term. The stock is trading above its 50- and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs). The range is more than >1X, and the Volume is also >1X the average. CMP- Rs. 1628 Est. Entry price ~ 1670 Target Price- Rs1813 ( ~10% upside) SL -1610 Note- The candle closed isn't very promising, so we have to wait for a stronger move. The promising move should be able to close above 1670. Disclaimer: This is not a buy/sell recommendation. For educational purpose only. Kindly consult your financial advisor before entering a trade.
NSE:CHOLAFINLong
by ashutoshanand30
5
HINDCOPPER | Supply-Demand Flip & Structure This chart shows a clean structural shift on the weekly timeframe for Hindustan Copper Ltd (NSE: HINDCOPPER): 🔷 Blue Zone: A key Supply-to-Demand Flip area. Price reacted strongly from this zone after multiple touches, showing its relevance. 📉 CT Line (Compression Trendline): Price was getting compressed under this trendline. It's now visibly breached. ➡️ Arrow Zone: Highlights a smaller supply-demand zone, formed after consolidation and breakout. Marked for structural clarity. Volume also shows higher activity during this move, indicating strength behind the recent price action.
NSE:HINDCOPPERLong
by Averoy_Apoorv_Analysis
Technical Development on Weekly Chart – Birla Cable📈 BIRLA CABLE – Chart Talking Loud Now! ✅ 200 DEMA crossed 200 Dema was providing solid resistance and now taken out marked with blue line. ❌ At Counter-Trendline Solid CT thrown from the top of the pattern, dotted white line shows that. ✅ Demand Zone Holding Strong Clearly shown a solid supply zone which got converted into a Demand only after the Breakout some months back. After months of consolidation and rejection from the same supply zone… price is now attacking with volume 🔥 🧠 “When structure aligns with emotionless patience, conviction follows.”
NSE:BIRLACABLELong
by Averoy_Apoorv_Analysis
Nifty Update: Key Supply Zone Test Ahead – Time to Book Partial On 27th February, I shared a detailed analysis explaining why Nifty was likely to take support from the Monthly Demand Zone . At that time, the entire market was extremely bearish. FIIs were selling heavily, and most people believed that catching the bottom was impossible. But as demand and supply zone traders , we trusted the footprints of smart money—and as expected, Nifty took support exactly at that zone and reversed. Today, Nifty is trading just below 5% of its all-time high . This shows the power of demand zones, which are not just random boxes but clear evidence of institutional activity. Now, let's focus on the current market development . 📈 Nifty Nearing a Critical Supply Zone 📉 If you look at the chart, you'll see that Nifty is now approaching a Daily Supply Zone (Drop-Base-Drop) Which have strong follow-through, making this a strong resistance area . In addition, I’ve marked a Weekly Supply Zone (Drop-Base-Rally) on the chart. Interestingly, the daily supply zone lies inside this weekly supply zone , creating a powerful confluence of resistance. This stacking of zones increases the probability of price facing rejection in this area. 📊 What Should Traders Do? If you are holding profitable positions in stocks, this could be a good time to book partial profits . Be prepared for a possible price rejection from the daily and weekly supply zone . However, it’s not guaranteed that Nifty will fall from here. Price can also break through the zone, but as traders, capital protection comes first . The most likely scenario is a small pullback , not a major fall. After the pullback, Nifty may resume its upward move. Always focus on high-probability setups and manage your risk smartly. 📢 Conclusion: Nifty is at a crucial supply zone cluster. A pullback is likely, so this could be a smart time to lock in some gains. Watch price action closely and adjust your strategy accordingly. Lastly, Thank you for your support. Feel free to ask if you have questions. “Trade what you see, not what you hear. The chart always whispers before the news screams.” 📊🔥 This analysis is purely for educational purposes and is not intended as a trading or investment recommendation. I am not a SEBI registered analyst.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by AfnanTAjuddin
THYROCARE at a Make-or-Break Level: Strong Rejection Expected?🧠 Technical Overview THYROCARE has recently approached a strong supply zone , which is formed by a classic Drop-Base-Drop structure — footprints of institutional players. When price enters such zones, it often encounters heavy selling pressure due to pending sell orders placed by big players (smart money). This creates an ideal condition for a potential reversal or correction. At the current level, there's a clear indication that the stock might face resistance. If you're trader and already holding THYROCARE in your portfolio, this could be a wise area to consider partial or full profit booking . 📊 Key Observations Strong Supply Zone: Price has entered a well-defined Drop-Base-Drop zone. Risk Management Tip: Booking profits here can protect gains if the expected rejection plays out. Short-Term Outlook: A pullback or downward move is likely if supply pressure dominates. 📌 Important Note for Investors If you're a long-term investor, use this opportunity to assess your risk-reward ratio. This zone could lead to a temporary dip, but keeping an eye on fundamentals alongside technicals will help with bigger decisions. 🔥 Motivational Nugget "Every great trader was once a beginner who dared to learn, analyze, and act with courage." 🚀💼📉 Lastly, Thank you for your support, your likes & comments. Feel free to ask if you have questions. This analysis is purely for educational purposes and is not a trading or investment recommendation . I am not a SEBI registered analyst.
NSE:THYROCARE
by AfnanTAjuddin