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Supplyandemandzones
Mastering the Intraday Sutra: An intraday trading strategyMastering the Intraday Sutra: A Professional Guide to Trading Indian Markets with Precision
(Adapting Globex Strategy-Inspired Concepts to India’s Unique Trading Hours)
Introduction
The Intraday Sutra strategy is a systematic approach designed for India’s equity/futures markets, inspired by the principles of identifying key price levels (similar to the Globex "high/low" concept) but tailored to India’s fixed trading hours (9:15 AM – 3:30 PM). This strategy leverages prior-day price action, supply-demand zones, and disciplined risk management to capitalize on intraday opportunities. Below, we break down its components for clarity and repeatability.
Strategy Overview
1. Core Instruments
Indices: All indices
Stocks: Nifty 50 constituents for alignment with index momentum
2. Ideal Time Frames
5-minute charts: For granular entry/exit precision.
15-minute charts: To filter noise and align with broader intraday trends.
Key Levels: Prior-Day High/Low & Supply-Demand Zones
1. Plotting Prior-Day High (PDH) and Prior-Day Low (PDL)
Purpose: These levels act as psychological benchmarks.
Method:
- Manually mark PDH/PDL on your chart.
- Use Trading View indicators (e.g., “Previous Day High-Low”) for automation.
2. Identifying Supply-Demand Zones
-Supply Zone:
- Formation: Rally → Base → Drop (RBD) or Drop → Base → Drop (DBD).
- Action: Potential sell zone; price often reverses downward here.
- Demand Zone:
- Formation: Drop → Base → Rally (DBR) or Rally → Base → Rally (RBR).
- Action: Potential buy zone; price often reverses upward here.
Zone Validation Rules:
1. Structure: The “base” (consolidation) must be ≤6 candles; the breakout must show ≥2 impulsive candles.
2. Freshness: Only trade untested zones (no prior price interaction).
3. Zone Merging: Combine overlapping zones or prioritize the one with the best risk-reward ratio.
Entry & Trade Triggers
1. Breakout Confirmation
Short Entry: Triggered when price breaks above prior-day high (PDH) and retests a fresh supply zone.
Long Entry: Triggered when price breaks below prior-day low (PDL) and retests a fresh demand zone.
2. Order Placement
Buy Limit Orders: Set at the demand zone’s proximal line
Sell Limit Orders: Set at the supply zone’s proximal line
Risk Management Framework
1. Stop Loss Placement
Long Trades: Below the demand zone (mechanical rule) or 5% of the Daily Average True Range (ATR) below the distal line of demand
Short Trades: Above the supply zone (mechanical rule) or 5% of Daily ATR above the distal line of supply
2. Position Sizing
Risk ≤1-2% of capital per trade to preserve longevity.
Trade Management & Profit Targets
1. Initial Target: 2:1 Risk-Reward (2R).
Example: If risking ₹1000, target ₹2000 profit.
2. Trailing Stop : Move stop loss to breakeven at 2R, then trail for 3R+ using price structure (e.g., swing lows/highs).
3. Priority: Focus on “A+ Setups” where zones align with higher timeframes (for example a 5 mins zone within a 15 mins zone or higher)
Critical Success Factors
1. Timing is Everything
Optimal Entry Window: 9:15 AM – 11:00 AM (peak liquidity, institutional participation).
Avoid Late Trades: Post-2:00 PM entries often lack momentum for robust risk-reward outcomes.
2. Confluence with Higher Timeframes
- Strengthen signals by aligning 5/15-minute zones with hourly/daily support/resistance/supply/demand zones
3. Event-Driven Volatility
Capitalize on gaps from overnight global news (e.g., US Fed, crude oil prices) or domestic catalysts (RBI policies, earnings).
Tools & Execution
Charting: Trading View for automated PDH/PDL and zone plotting
Mindset: Discipline to avoid overtrading and stick to fresh zones.
Example: The example taken here is on the Nifty 15 mins chart. See how the price broke the previous day's low and reacted nicely from a prior higher quality demand zone. These levels can act as trap levels trapping most of the retail traders and investors on the opposite side of the trade. The price gave a nice bounce from the demand zone and went on to rally to the opposing supply zone giving a greater than 3:1 R:R.
Conclusion
The Intraday Sutra strategy combines technical precision with rigorous risk management, offering a structured way to navigate India’s time-bound markets. By focusing on prior-day extremes, fresh supply-demand zones, and strategic timing, traders can systematically exploit intraday inefficiencies. Remember: Consistency beats complexity. Back test rigorously, refine your process, and let discipline drive profitability.
Final Note: Always validate this strategy in a simulated environment before deploying live capital. Use Trading View Bar Replay functionality to test your strategy.
Markets evolve—stay adaptive!
GHCL Analysis: Supply & Demand Zones Strategy with Breakouts In this video, we analyze the NSE:GHCL chart using the Demand and Supply Zones Lite Indicator.
Watch as I explain how to:
Identify Stage 1, Stage 2 , and consolidation phases.
Spot breakouts and understand the concept of a flush .
Use demand zones nested inside resistance-turned-support areas to plan high-probability trades.
This video is perfect for anyone looking to improve their technical analysis skills and learn how to trade using demand and supply zones.
Disclaimer: This video is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own analysis before making trading decisions."
IT SECTOR OVERVIEW: Super Bullish!Observation & Overview:
1. The IT Index was beaten down in late 2022.
2. After 2023 it formed a bottom and prices started gaining strength.
3. 2024 price started forming Higher Highs & Higher Lows, touched the previous 2022 ATH and currently, taking support from the 50% of the swing and also bouncing from a D tf demand.
4. It is acting as a major support zone and good weekly candle rejection can be noticed.
5. Signs of buyers getting dominant and it should break the ATH soon.
6. I'm expecting a minimum 15% ROI from this sector turnaround.
7. Hopefully, with sector rotation this sector is going to gain momentum eventually.
- Stay tuned for further insights, updates and trade safely!
- If you liked the analysis, don't forget to leave a comment and boost the post. Happy trading!
Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recommendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Please, do your due diligence before investing.
Thanks & Regards,
Anubrata Ray
ASIAN PAINTS - POSITIONAL SWING TRADE IDEA IN CASHSYMBOL - ASIANPAINT
Asian Paints is the largest home decor company in India. The 80+ year old company has major brands like Asian Paints, Berger, Apco etc. under its umbrella. The co. is into wall paints, wall coverings, waterproofing, texture painting, wall stickers, mechanized tools, adhesives, modular kitchens, sanitaryware, lightings, soft furnishings, and uPVC windows.
Asian Paints is currently trading between two major supply and demand zones since a long time. CMP of Asian paints is 2700 & It is approaching demand zone on weekly basis.
I'm seeing a positional trade opportunity on buy side. I usually trade in futures but this time I'm taking this trade in cash as general elections are due in June which is a major event for market makers.
Current PE of Asian paints is 46 which makes it a value buy at CMP. I'm investing 50% allocation today at CMP 2700. I'll invest 50% more at 2580-2600 levels & will hold this position with 2500 as SL. Targets I'm expecting on long side will be 2950 - 3220 - 3410 & new ATH. I'm ready to hold this trade for 3 - 6 months.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Adani Energy - Heavy Supp & Ress with 4 yr long Fibonacci SetupAnalysed the Adani Energy solutions on a weekly chart
there is a 4 year long gap to be filled - Fibonacci setup.
However from last 1 year, the price has been seeing a heavy resistance and support at the entry zone, which somehow makes the entire Fibonacci setup little week.
The coming week or two, may still see a downfall and hot the support level of 975-970, if continued, it may hit a second resistance of 955-950.
at this stage, the trend is also hanging towards more sellers keen to liquidate their positions. Hence this may drive the price downwards towards its support.
Once the price sustain the support level, price may hit its first sub resistance of 1190. It may also continue to hit its second main resistance level of 1265
I shall keep updating the weekly analysis.
BITCOIN HEADED TO 50K ? - CRASH SOON ?Symbol - BTCUSD
CMP 60700
Bitcoin is testing the previous major liquidity area which is around 59300 - 61000. Earlier it was consolidating around 65K levels & was trading in a range. Now it is witnessing a huge profit booking and declining sharply towards the liquidity area. A retracement towards 62000 - 62500 is likely.
In any case, If it is breaking 59000 level and sustaining below it then it may directly head to 50-51K which is next major support.
A double top pattern is visible on larger time frame. Breakdown of this pattern will lead to trend change/reversal. Hence breakdown of the neckline & sustaining below it will activate this double top pattern & then it will definitely test 51K level & then may touch 45K levels too.
P.S. : I'm actively tracking BTCUSD to make long positions around this liquidity zone to play a retracement & then I'll be looking to short around 62K levels with small SL & will add more position on breakdown of liquidity zone/neckline.
DOLATALGO - STOCK GAVE A BREAKOUT & THEN RETRACED TO MA Hi All,
This idea is about Dolat Algotech Ltd
On the weekly chart stock gave a healthy breakout & then retraced to nearest 10 SMA Moving average for few weeks. Now it is ready to move with a gap up weekly opening. Good volumes indicate that price action will continue to move upside
Stock is trading at PE of 15 and is expected to give good results.
Continuous uptrend in sales/profit
About the company:
Dolat Algotech Ltd is a trading cum clearing member of NSE India and carries on the business of securities broking and securities trading.
Happy Investing,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
NATCOPHARM - CUP AND HANDLE FORMATION (BO FROM SUPPLY ZONE)Hi All,
This idea is about Natco Pharma
Fundamentals
Market Cap - 21712 Cr
Stock PE - 15
ROE - 25.9%
ROCE - 30%
Promoter Holding - 49.7
Quick Ratio - 3.42
D/E - 0.06
NATCO Pharma Limited (NATCO) is a vertically integrated, research and development focused pharmaceutical company engaged in developing, manufacturing, and marketing complex products for niche therapeutic areas.
Technicals
Since May 21, NATCO has formed a complete CUP and HANDLE formation on weekly chart and has now sustained the breakout for over 2 weeks. The earlier supply zone is now acting as demand zone indicating positive price action.
This is for mid/long term investors only
Hope you enjoy the idea,
Happy Trading,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
ALEMBICLTD - WEEKLY CHART WITH CUP AND HANDLE BREAKOUTHi All,
This idea is about Alembic Ltd
Alembic Limited is engaged in the businesses of Pharmaceuticals, Real Estate, and Power Assets.
Fundamentals:
Market Cap ₹ 3,087 Cr.
Current Price ₹ 120
High / Low ₹ 122 / 72.2
Stock P/E 11.5
Book Value ₹ 85.1
ROCE 4.86 %
ROE 12.6 %
Equity capital ₹ 51.4 Cr.
EPS ₹ 10.5
Promoter holding 70.9 %
Market Cap to Sales 19.6
Sales growth 23.8 %
Technicals
As can be seen in the weekly chart of Alembic Ltd, if the price crosses 123 resistance it has an upside of 13% before meeting TOP RESISTANCE. Beyond that the stock will venture into uncharted territory of making ATH
Trade should not be taken before the price close above MAJOR RESISTANCE
Cup and handle formation with trend line resistance
Happy Trading,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
WILL BUY THE DIP SUPPORT BULLS & CAN BTC RECOVER TO 71K ?Earlier I discussed about double top pattern in making & captured the great free fall of more than 7,000 points.
Now, Bitcoin can be seen taking support at important levels. Bitcoin is experiencing times of high fear, high volatility and negative sentiment among the traders. From a psychological point of view, this could end in a bullish momentum as I have seen in the past that such high volatility usually lead to trend reversal.
For now, big buyers are actively holding back a possible fall amid transfers of the previously hacked crypto exchange to its debtors and BTC sell-offs by German authorities.
In April, the average cost of BTC mining among the largest public miners was $53,000, technically, the level of average cost of BTC mining plays the role of an intermediate bottom.
Judging by the growth of volumes and price entry into the area of the lower boundary of the "Flag or Megaphone" pattern, buyers appear on the market and at the moment stop the price fall, forming a sideways range of 53500-58500.
Accordingly, a breakdown of one of the boundaries may trigger an impulse to one side or the other, based on the technical nuances there is a probability that there will be an attempt to break the resistance.
Fundamentally, the environment is difficult due to news flow, but investors are waiting for the approval of ETH-ETF, which may bring back the bullish mood to the market (indirect impact on BTC). Technically, the emphasis is on the range. A break of 58500 will give bullish momentum, a break of 53500 may allow the price to decline to the 50500-51000 risk zone
We can only analyze and make a trading decision but only the time will tell whether is it headed to 71K or below 50K.
ANTONY WASTE - RISING WEDGE FOLLOWED BY FALLING WEDGE (BO)Hi All,
This idea is about Antony Waste Handling Cell Ltd
Fundamentals
Market Cap - 1419 Cr
Stock PE - 16.5
ROE - 16.3
ROCE - 13.9
Promoter Stake - 46.1
Quick Ratio - 1.3
D/E - 0.78
Antony Waste Handling Cell Ltd is engaged in the business of mechanical power sweeping of roads, collection and transportation of waste, waste to energy project and undertake the designing, construction, operation and maintenance of the integrated waste management facility in Kanjurmarg, Mumbai.
Technicals
Since June 23, the price action followed a rising wedge & then the pattern changed to falling wedge since Feb 24. With the Daily price action it seems to be coming out of falling wedge formation & developing a new pattern
Immediate targets are marked as T1 and T2. Would suggest the price to rise atleast 3% post closing to confirm the continuation.
Happy Trading,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
SENCO - POST 20% CORRECTION, PA MIGHT REVERSE FRM BOTTOM CHANNELHi All,
This idea is about Senco Gold Ltd
The stock has corrected over 20% in this month alone & now have reached the lower channel of rising wedge formation. Volumes have dried up indicating the supply may have exhausted & Price action might soon reverse from this point
Stock can be bought if it gives a closing above 980 for further targets of T1 1010, T2 1070, T3 1150.
If the stock shows further downside then the support levels are S1 916, S2 864
The correction is due to poor quaterly results owing to heat wave, elections, and fewer wedding days although the sales was up 9% YoY
Fundamentals
Market Cap
₹ 7,398 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 952
High / Low
₹ 1,177 / 365
Stock P/E
39.2
Book Value
₹ 177
Dividend Yield
0.11 %
ROCE
13.4 %
ROE
16.2 %
Face Value
₹ 10.0
Equity capital
₹ 77.7 Cr.
No. Eq. Shares
7.77
EPS
₹ 24.3
Promoter holding
68.4 %
Change in Prom Hold
-0.01 %
Chg in Prom Hold 3Yr
%
Pledged percentage
0.00 %
Market Cap to Sales
1.41
Sales growth
28.3 %
PEG Ratio
1.92
EVEBITDA
20.3
Quick ratio
0.40
Trade receivables
₹ 64.4 Cr.
Sales
₹ 5,230 Cr.
Debt to equity
1.28
Price to book value
5.37
Free Cash Flow
₹ -324 Cr.
CMP / FCF
-42.4
Happy Trading,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
RKEC - DOUBLE BOTTOM FORMATION WITH A BREAKOUTHi All,
THis idea is about RKEC Projects Ltd
Fundamentals
Mkt Cap - 308 Cr
Stock PE - 15
ROE - 12.5%
ROCE - 15.5%
Mkt Cap/Sale < 1
D/E - 0.83
Quick Ratio - 1.09
RKEC Projects Ltd is in the business of Civil and Defence Construction
Technical Analysis
As the chart depicts, the price went for a double bottom formation and give a contraction of more than 70% while forming both bottoms.
It has given a successful breakout and first resistance has been marked. This trade can continue till next results as it could give a surprise being in a sector which is having strong tail winds.
Happy Trading,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
SUNDARAM FINANCE - RISING WEDGE SINCE AN YR Hi All,
This idea is about Sundaram Finance Holding
Fundamentals
Market Cap - 6k Cr
Mkt Cap/Sales - 20.9
ROE - 12%
P/BV - 1.27
Div Yield - 2.81%
Technicals
Price action has been in a rising wedge pattern since Jul 23 & currently consolidating at the bottom of channel for past few days. It can give a upmove of nearly 25% in very short term.
Traders can take positional trades to capture the move.
There is a small resistance for which traders need to be careful. Price reverted twice from that level
SL will be lower channel breach
Hope for a successful trade,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
INVESTMENT PICK - WIPRO - TREND REVERSAL LONG ENTRIESSymbol - WIPRO
Wipro Ltd is a global Information technology, consulting and business process services (BPS) company. It is the 4th largest Indian player in the global IT services industry behind TCS, Infosys and HCL Technologies.
Wipro was in consolidation & accumulation phase from July 2022 to December 23.
After that it broke out of this consolidation zone with good buying volumes & went till 550. Now it is retracing back to breakout zone which is 450.
Wipro is a company with good fundamentals so it can be considered for medium to long term investment.
Wipro CMP - 452
It can be accumulated at current level for long term Investment perspective.
More position can be added at 410 - 415 levels.
Stoploss can be 350 or below 350.
Targets can be 545, 600 & 720 which represents 21%, 35% & 58% upside from current level respectively.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my investment position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
GPPL - STAGE 2 ADVANCE IN PROGRESS WITH STRONG SECTORAL WINDSHi All,
This idea is about Gujarat Pipavav Port Ltd
Fundamentals
Mkt Cap - 11k Cr
MCap/Sales - 11.6
P/BV - 4.95
EPS - 7
PEG - 3
Technicals
Price action has formed 2 bases of nearly 25% contraction/expansion each along with Stage 1 advance of 20%. Shipping sector is buzzing right now & the price action has successfully broken out of base 2 advancing to Stage 2
Base is nothing else but Box breakouts
Happy Trading,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
WELCORP - CLEAN BREAKOUT OUT OF DARVAS BOXHi All,
This idea is about Welspun Corp Ltd
FUNDAMENTALS
Mkt Cap - 17161 Cr
Mkt Cap/Sales - 0.99
P/E - 15.5
P/BV - 3
FCF - 1022 Cr
D/E - 0.35
Promoter increase thr stake by 0.18%
ROE - 21%
ROCE - 21.6%
Technicals
Price has been consolidating within a range of 25% and has now given a decisive breakout above the supply zone. There was a mid resistance as well which was broken with good volumes
Hope you have a profitable trade,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
Has Gold formed a Top ?Friday's Sell Off Definitely Suggests that Neither Central Banks nor China nor any other retailer is interested in buying Gold at such high valuation.
Picture is getting Clearer.
One May look for Selling Opportunity around the Supply Zone.
Gold looks set to test 2200 Zone.
Bullishness Only above 2380.
Below 2380, Bears are going to be under Control.
Bulls may wait for Demand Zones to Build positions again, when the Ball will finally be in their Court.
Currently Bears will look to assert dominance.
Rest of the Analysis on Daily Basis
ROTO - RISING WEDGE BREAKOUT (POTENTIAL FOR UPSIDE)Hi All,
This is about Roto Pumps
Fundamentals:
Market Cap - 1680 Cr
Stock PE - 42.9
EPS - 12.5
ROCE - 24.4%
ROE - 22%
Promoter Holding - 67.3%
Quick Ratio - 1.35
D/E - 0.27
Technicals:
Strong chart since Nov 22. Price action was moving in the pattern of rising wedge but recently given a strong breakout on good volumes which can take the price to higher levels very soon
Demand seems to be exceeding supply & should witness less profit booking taking the stock price sharply towards north side
Hope you enjoy this idea,
Happy Trading,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
AISL - SME STOCK LONG BREAKOUT (SALES > MKTCAP) Hi All,
This idea is about ANI Integrated Services Ltd
Fundamentals
Mkt Cap - 134 Cr
Sales - 188 Cr
Mkt Cap /Sales - 0.72
EPS - 5.84
ROE - 11.4%
ROCE - 13.7%
D/E - 0.46
Sales has exceeded Mkt Cap which could mean Stock Price can rise exponentially
Technicals
Price has broken a long resistance of 75-80 levels and then broken next resistance zone as well. It has diverged a lot from Moving Averages so recommend buy at pull back
There has been a consistent uptrend in Sales which is a very positive sign
Happy Trading,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
JTEKTINDIA - RARE CHART WITH 6 CONTRACTIONS & BREAKOUTHi All,
This idea is about JTEKT India Ltd
Fundamentals
Market Cap - 5661 Cr
Stock PE - 55
ROE - 13.6%
ROCE - 17.3%
Promoter Holding - 75%
MktCap/Sales - 2.5
Quick Ratio - 1.12
D/E - 0.14
Technicals
Rarely it is observed that a stock goes through 6 contractions before going for a breakout from a rising wedge channel. This is a weekly chart & only meant for long term investors.
Each contraction is marked by how much percentage the stock corrected before making a top again. Over 5 years the stock has made multiple High tops and high lows and now attempting to move out of the channel
This chart can be used for education purpose also to understand the dynamics of supply and demand
Happy Trading,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
MRF - FALIING WEDGE BREAKOUTHi All,
This idea is about MRF Limited
Market Cap - 54 891 Cr
Mcap/Sales - 2.18
P/E - 26.4
ROE - 13.2%
ROCE - 16.9%
Promoter Holding - 27.8%
EPS - 4907
Quick Ratio - 0.79
D/E - 0.17
Technicals
Price reversal breakout is seen on daily chart of MRF.
It continued in falling wedge pattern & then price broke out of the upper channel with heavy volume. This could signal a price reversal at this point Price has corrected almost 15% from its peak
Happy Trading,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
