ASIAN PAINTS - POSITIONAL SWING TRADE IDEA IN CASHSYMBOL - ASIANPAINT
Asian Paints is the largest home decor company in India. The 80+ year old company has major brands like Asian Paints, Berger, Apco etc. under its umbrella. The co. is into wall paints, wall coverings, waterproofing, texture painting, wall stickers, mechanized tools, adhesives, modular kitchens, sanitaryware, lightings, soft furnishings, and uPVC windows.
Asian Paints is currently trading between two major supply and demand zones since a long time. CMP of Asian paints is 2700 & It is approaching demand zone on weekly basis.
I'm seeing a positional trade opportunity on buy side. I usually trade in futures but this time I'm taking this trade in cash as general elections are due in June which is a major event for market makers.
Current PE of Asian paints is 46 which makes it a value buy at CMP. I'm investing 50% allocation today at CMP 2700. I'll invest 50% more at 2580-2600 levels & will hold this position with 2500 as SL. Targets I'm expecting on long side will be 2950 - 3220 - 3410 & new ATH. I'm ready to hold this trade for 3 - 6 months.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Supplyandemandzones
Adani Energy - Heavy Supp & Ress with 4 yr long Fibonacci SetupAnalysed the Adani Energy solutions on a weekly chart
there is a 4 year long gap to be filled - Fibonacci setup.
However from last 1 year, the price has been seeing a heavy resistance and support at the entry zone, which somehow makes the entire Fibonacci setup little week.
The coming week or two, may still see a downfall and hot the support level of 975-970, if continued, it may hit a second resistance of 955-950.
at this stage, the trend is also hanging towards more sellers keen to liquidate their positions. Hence this may drive the price downwards towards its support.
Once the price sustain the support level, price may hit its first sub resistance of 1190. It may also continue to hit its second main resistance level of 1265
I shall keep updating the weekly analysis.
BITCOIN HEADED TO 50K ? - CRASH SOON ?Symbol - BTCUSD
CMP 60700
Bitcoin is testing the previous major liquidity area which is around 59300 - 61000. Earlier it was consolidating around 65K levels & was trading in a range. Now it is witnessing a huge profit booking and declining sharply towards the liquidity area. A retracement towards 62000 - 62500 is likely.
In any case, If it is breaking 59000 level and sustaining below it then it may directly head to 50-51K which is next major support.
A double top pattern is visible on larger time frame. Breakdown of this pattern will lead to trend change/reversal. Hence breakdown of the neckline & sustaining below it will activate this double top pattern & then it will definitely test 51K level & then may touch 45K levels too.
P.S. : I'm actively tracking BTCUSD to make long positions around this liquidity zone to play a retracement & then I'll be looking to short around 62K levels with small SL & will add more position on breakdown of liquidity zone/neckline.
DOLATALGO - STOCK GAVE A BREAKOUT & THEN RETRACED TO MA Hi All,
This idea is about Dolat Algotech Ltd
On the weekly chart stock gave a healthy breakout & then retraced to nearest 10 SMA Moving average for few weeks. Now it is ready to move with a gap up weekly opening. Good volumes indicate that price action will continue to move upside
Stock is trading at PE of 15 and is expected to give good results.
Continuous uptrend in sales/profit
About the company:
Dolat Algotech Ltd is a trading cum clearing member of NSE India and carries on the business of securities broking and securities trading.
Happy Investing,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
NATCOPHARM - CUP AND HANDLE FORMATION (BO FROM SUPPLY ZONE)Hi All,
This idea is about Natco Pharma
Fundamentals
Market Cap - 21712 Cr
Stock PE - 15
ROE - 25.9%
ROCE - 30%
Promoter Holding - 49.7
Quick Ratio - 3.42
D/E - 0.06
NATCO Pharma Limited (NATCO) is a vertically integrated, research and development focused pharmaceutical company engaged in developing, manufacturing, and marketing complex products for niche therapeutic areas.
Technicals
Since May 21, NATCO has formed a complete CUP and HANDLE formation on weekly chart and has now sustained the breakout for over 2 weeks. The earlier supply zone is now acting as demand zone indicating positive price action.
This is for mid/long term investors only
Hope you enjoy the idea,
Happy Trading,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
ALEMBICLTD - WEEKLY CHART WITH CUP AND HANDLE BREAKOUTHi All,
This idea is about Alembic Ltd
Alembic Limited is engaged in the businesses of Pharmaceuticals, Real Estate, and Power Assets.
Fundamentals:
Market Cap ₹ 3,087 Cr.
Current Price ₹ 120
High / Low ₹ 122 / 72.2
Stock P/E 11.5
Book Value ₹ 85.1
ROCE 4.86 %
ROE 12.6 %
Equity capital ₹ 51.4 Cr.
EPS ₹ 10.5
Promoter holding 70.9 %
Market Cap to Sales 19.6
Sales growth 23.8 %
Technicals
As can be seen in the weekly chart of Alembic Ltd, if the price crosses 123 resistance it has an upside of 13% before meeting TOP RESISTANCE. Beyond that the stock will venture into uncharted territory of making ATH
Trade should not be taken before the price close above MAJOR RESISTANCE
Cup and handle formation with trend line resistance
Happy Trading,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
WILL BUY THE DIP SUPPORT BULLS & CAN BTC RECOVER TO 71K ?Earlier I discussed about double top pattern in making & captured the great free fall of more than 7,000 points.
Now, Bitcoin can be seen taking support at important levels. Bitcoin is experiencing times of high fear, high volatility and negative sentiment among the traders. From a psychological point of view, this could end in a bullish momentum as I have seen in the past that such high volatility usually lead to trend reversal.
For now, big buyers are actively holding back a possible fall amid transfers of the previously hacked crypto exchange to its debtors and BTC sell-offs by German authorities.
In April, the average cost of BTC mining among the largest public miners was $53,000, technically, the level of average cost of BTC mining plays the role of an intermediate bottom.
Judging by the growth of volumes and price entry into the area of the lower boundary of the "Flag or Megaphone" pattern, buyers appear on the market and at the moment stop the price fall, forming a sideways range of 53500-58500.
Accordingly, a breakdown of one of the boundaries may trigger an impulse to one side or the other, based on the technical nuances there is a probability that there will be an attempt to break the resistance.
Fundamentally, the environment is difficult due to news flow, but investors are waiting for the approval of ETH-ETF, which may bring back the bullish mood to the market (indirect impact on BTC). Technically, the emphasis is on the range. A break of 58500 will give bullish momentum, a break of 53500 may allow the price to decline to the 50500-51000 risk zone
We can only analyze and make a trading decision but only the time will tell whether is it headed to 71K or below 50K.
ANTONY WASTE - RISING WEDGE FOLLOWED BY FALLING WEDGE (BO)Hi All,
This idea is about Antony Waste Handling Cell Ltd
Fundamentals
Market Cap - 1419 Cr
Stock PE - 16.5
ROE - 16.3
ROCE - 13.9
Promoter Stake - 46.1
Quick Ratio - 1.3
D/E - 0.78
Antony Waste Handling Cell Ltd is engaged in the business of mechanical power sweeping of roads, collection and transportation of waste, waste to energy project and undertake the designing, construction, operation and maintenance of the integrated waste management facility in Kanjurmarg, Mumbai.
Technicals
Since June 23, the price action followed a rising wedge & then the pattern changed to falling wedge since Feb 24. With the Daily price action it seems to be coming out of falling wedge formation & developing a new pattern
Immediate targets are marked as T1 and T2. Would suggest the price to rise atleast 3% post closing to confirm the continuation.
Happy Trading,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
SENCO - POST 20% CORRECTION, PA MIGHT REVERSE FRM BOTTOM CHANNELHi All,
This idea is about Senco Gold Ltd
The stock has corrected over 20% in this month alone & now have reached the lower channel of rising wedge formation. Volumes have dried up indicating the supply may have exhausted & Price action might soon reverse from this point
Stock can be bought if it gives a closing above 980 for further targets of T1 1010, T2 1070, T3 1150.
If the stock shows further downside then the support levels are S1 916, S2 864
The correction is due to poor quaterly results owing to heat wave, elections, and fewer wedding days although the sales was up 9% YoY
Fundamentals
Market Cap
₹ 7,398 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 952
High / Low
₹ 1,177 / 365
Stock P/E
39.2
Book Value
₹ 177
Dividend Yield
0.11 %
ROCE
13.4 %
ROE
16.2 %
Face Value
₹ 10.0
Equity capital
₹ 77.7 Cr.
No. Eq. Shares
7.77
EPS
₹ 24.3
Promoter holding
68.4 %
Change in Prom Hold
-0.01 %
Chg in Prom Hold 3Yr
%
Pledged percentage
0.00 %
Market Cap to Sales
1.41
Sales growth
28.3 %
PEG Ratio
1.92
EVEBITDA
20.3
Quick ratio
0.40
Trade receivables
₹ 64.4 Cr.
Sales
₹ 5,230 Cr.
Debt to equity
1.28
Price to book value
5.37
Free Cash Flow
₹ -324 Cr.
CMP / FCF
-42.4
Happy Trading,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
RKEC - DOUBLE BOTTOM FORMATION WITH A BREAKOUTHi All,
THis idea is about RKEC Projects Ltd
Fundamentals
Mkt Cap - 308 Cr
Stock PE - 15
ROE - 12.5%
ROCE - 15.5%
Mkt Cap/Sale < 1
D/E - 0.83
Quick Ratio - 1.09
RKEC Projects Ltd is in the business of Civil and Defence Construction
Technical Analysis
As the chart depicts, the price went for a double bottom formation and give a contraction of more than 70% while forming both bottoms.
It has given a successful breakout and first resistance has been marked. This trade can continue till next results as it could give a surprise being in a sector which is having strong tail winds.
Happy Trading,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
SUNDARAM FINANCE - RISING WEDGE SINCE AN YR Hi All,
This idea is about Sundaram Finance Holding
Fundamentals
Market Cap - 6k Cr
Mkt Cap/Sales - 20.9
ROE - 12%
P/BV - 1.27
Div Yield - 2.81%
Technicals
Price action has been in a rising wedge pattern since Jul 23 & currently consolidating at the bottom of channel for past few days. It can give a upmove of nearly 25% in very short term.
Traders can take positional trades to capture the move.
There is a small resistance for which traders need to be careful. Price reverted twice from that level
SL will be lower channel breach
Hope for a successful trade,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
INVESTMENT PICK - WIPRO - TREND REVERSAL LONG ENTRIESSymbol - WIPRO
Wipro Ltd is a global Information technology, consulting and business process services (BPS) company. It is the 4th largest Indian player in the global IT services industry behind TCS, Infosys and HCL Technologies.
Wipro was in consolidation & accumulation phase from July 2022 to December 23.
After that it broke out of this consolidation zone with good buying volumes & went till 550. Now it is retracing back to breakout zone which is 450.
Wipro is a company with good fundamentals so it can be considered for medium to long term investment.
Wipro CMP - 452
It can be accumulated at current level for long term Investment perspective.
More position can be added at 410 - 415 levels.
Stoploss can be 350 or below 350.
Targets can be 545, 600 & 720 which represents 21%, 35% & 58% upside from current level respectively.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my investment position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
GPPL - STAGE 2 ADVANCE IN PROGRESS WITH STRONG SECTORAL WINDSHi All,
This idea is about Gujarat Pipavav Port Ltd
Fundamentals
Mkt Cap - 11k Cr
MCap/Sales - 11.6
P/BV - 4.95
EPS - 7
PEG - 3
Technicals
Price action has formed 2 bases of nearly 25% contraction/expansion each along with Stage 1 advance of 20%. Shipping sector is buzzing right now & the price action has successfully broken out of base 2 advancing to Stage 2
Base is nothing else but Box breakouts
Happy Trading,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
WELCORP - CLEAN BREAKOUT OUT OF DARVAS BOXHi All,
This idea is about Welspun Corp Ltd
FUNDAMENTALS
Mkt Cap - 17161 Cr
Mkt Cap/Sales - 0.99
P/E - 15.5
P/BV - 3
FCF - 1022 Cr
D/E - 0.35
Promoter increase thr stake by 0.18%
ROE - 21%
ROCE - 21.6%
Technicals
Price has been consolidating within a range of 25% and has now given a decisive breakout above the supply zone. There was a mid resistance as well which was broken with good volumes
Hope you have a profitable trade,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
Has Gold formed a Top ?Friday's Sell Off Definitely Suggests that Neither Central Banks nor China nor any other retailer is interested in buying Gold at such high valuation.
Picture is getting Clearer.
One May look for Selling Opportunity around the Supply Zone.
Gold looks set to test 2200 Zone.
Bullishness Only above 2380.
Below 2380, Bears are going to be under Control.
Bulls may wait for Demand Zones to Build positions again, when the Ball will finally be in their Court.
Currently Bears will look to assert dominance.
Rest of the Analysis on Daily Basis
ROTO - RISING WEDGE BREAKOUT (POTENTIAL FOR UPSIDE)Hi All,
This is about Roto Pumps
Fundamentals:
Market Cap - 1680 Cr
Stock PE - 42.9
EPS - 12.5
ROCE - 24.4%
ROE - 22%
Promoter Holding - 67.3%
Quick Ratio - 1.35
D/E - 0.27
Technicals:
Strong chart since Nov 22. Price action was moving in the pattern of rising wedge but recently given a strong breakout on good volumes which can take the price to higher levels very soon
Demand seems to be exceeding supply & should witness less profit booking taking the stock price sharply towards north side
Hope you enjoy this idea,
Happy Trading,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
AISL - SME STOCK LONG BREAKOUT (SALES > MKTCAP) Hi All,
This idea is about ANI Integrated Services Ltd
Fundamentals
Mkt Cap - 134 Cr
Sales - 188 Cr
Mkt Cap /Sales - 0.72
EPS - 5.84
ROE - 11.4%
ROCE - 13.7%
D/E - 0.46
Sales has exceeded Mkt Cap which could mean Stock Price can rise exponentially
Technicals
Price has broken a long resistance of 75-80 levels and then broken next resistance zone as well. It has diverged a lot from Moving Averages so recommend buy at pull back
There has been a consistent uptrend in Sales which is a very positive sign
Happy Trading,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
JTEKTINDIA - RARE CHART WITH 6 CONTRACTIONS & BREAKOUTHi All,
This idea is about JTEKT India Ltd
Fundamentals
Market Cap - 5661 Cr
Stock PE - 55
ROE - 13.6%
ROCE - 17.3%
Promoter Holding - 75%
MktCap/Sales - 2.5
Quick Ratio - 1.12
D/E - 0.14
Technicals
Rarely it is observed that a stock goes through 6 contractions before going for a breakout from a rising wedge channel. This is a weekly chart & only meant for long term investors.
Each contraction is marked by how much percentage the stock corrected before making a top again. Over 5 years the stock has made multiple High tops and high lows and now attempting to move out of the channel
This chart can be used for education purpose also to understand the dynamics of supply and demand
Happy Trading,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
MRF - FALIING WEDGE BREAKOUTHi All,
This idea is about MRF Limited
Market Cap - 54 891 Cr
Mcap/Sales - 2.18
P/E - 26.4
ROE - 13.2%
ROCE - 16.9%
Promoter Holding - 27.8%
EPS - 4907
Quick Ratio - 0.79
D/E - 0.17
Technicals
Price reversal breakout is seen on daily chart of MRF.
It continued in falling wedge pattern & then price broke out of the upper channel with heavy volume. This could signal a price reversal at this point Price has corrected almost 15% from its peak
Happy Trading,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
EMUDHRA - BASE ON BASE FORMATION WITH BREAKOUTHi All,
This idea is about EMUDHRA
Fundamentals
Market Cap - 7438 Cr
Stock PE - 98.7
ROE - 14.4%
ROCE - 17.7%
Promoter Buying - 54.4
Quick Ratio - 5.71
D/E - 0.01
Emudhra is a licensed certifying authority involved in issuing digital signature certificates in India under its eMudhra brand. The company is licensed by the Controller of Certifying Authorities (CCA), Ministry of Information Technology, and operates under the guidelines set by the Information technology Act
Technicals
After forming 2 bases, the price action is poised for stage 3 advance before forming next base. All the stages are shown in chart for clarification
Hope you'll enjoy this idea,
Happy Trading,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
HUHTAMAKI - 10 YEAR CLEAN BREAKOUT (WEEKLY CHART)Hi All,
This is about Huhtamaki India Ltd
Fundamentals:
Market Cap - 2959 Cr
Stock PE - 27
ROCE - 12.5%
ROE - 13%
Promoter Holding - 67%
EPS - 53
PEG - 0.83
Quick Ratio - 1.56
Debt to Equity - 0.22
Technicals:
10 year breakout on weekly chart with good volume support. Expanding moving averages after a tight consolidation
Should wait for today's closing before taking the trade
Hope you will enjoy the trade,
Happy Trading!
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
JAYAGROGN - INVERSE HEAD AND SHOULDER PATTERN WITH STRONG VOL BOHi All,
This idea is related to Jayant Agro Organics Ltd
Fundamentals:
The Company is mainly engaged in manufacturing and trading of castor oil and its derivatives such as oleo chemicals.
Market Cap - 962 Cr
Stock P/E - 18
Book Value - 181
Promoter Holding - 67%
EPS - 17.6
Debt to Equity - 0.29
ROE - 10%
ROCE - 12.2%
Dividend Payout - 23%
Technicals:
This counter has shown all important characteristics of a perfect Inverse Head and Shoulder Pattern. Left Shoulder is deeper than right whereas the head is deepest. Volume price also concurs to the pattern that with every rise volume was low whereas each decline, the volume associated was high
Most importantly, during neckline breakout, the relative volume was very high which is the most important aspect to avoid false breakouts.
The stock price has advanced more than 3% from the neckline, cementing the continuation of the breakout
This is a weekly chart, so before taking the trade it is advisable to let price action be pulled back to nearest Moving average & then take a trade
If you like my analysis please comment and let me know your thoughts,
Happy Trading!
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
ELIN - SIMPLE SETUP, GREAT POTENTIAL (GOLDEN CROSSOVER)Hi All,
This idea is about ELIN ELECTRONICS (EMS Sector)
Fundamentals:
Market Cap - 1033 Cr
Total Sales - 1042 Cr
Stock P/E - 74
Healthy quick ratio - 2
Low ROCE - 5.12%
Increase in promoter holding by 0.42% but still promoter holding low at 33
Technicals :
Price has just broken out of consolidation since Feb 23 near to its listing with expansion in moving averages and golden cross over on daily chart.
Price has crossed Point of Control in VRVP indicator (Volume Profile) supported by surge in volume.
Great Sectoral tailwinds behind EMS sector as a whole
Hope you'll enjoy the trade,
Happy Trading,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine