Gabriel India Ltd | Textbook Cup & Handle Breakout | Swing TradeGabriel India has formed a classic Cup & Handle pattern on the daily timeframe and given a decisive breakout above ₹1200 with strong volumes.
This indicates institutional accumulation and signals the start of a potential bullish leg.
Technical Analysis
Pattern: Cup & Handle → bullish continuation
Breakout Zone: ₹1200–1240 (now acting as strong support)
Current Price: ₹1265 (close as of 02 Sep 2025)
Volume: Noticeable spike, validating breakout strength
EMA Setup: Price trending above 20EMA (₹1178) & 50EMA (₹1123) → trend intact
Fundamental Key Area
Sector: Auto Ancillary (OEM supplier – suspension systems)
Market Cap: ~₹18,200 Cr (Mid-cap)
P/E: ~73 → premium valuation, market pricing in growth
Recent EPS: ₹4.3 (Jun-25) → steady growth
Sales Growth: +22% YoY (Jun-25) → consistent performance
Operating Margin: ~8% → stable margins for auto sector
Trade Plan
Entry Zone: ₹1240–1265 (CMP or on dips)
Stop-Loss: ₹1180 (below handle support & 20EMA)
Targets:-
T1: ₹1300 (Partial booking) (expected timeline 1-2 weeks)
T2: ₹1350 (Extended move) (expected timeline 2-3 weeks)
RR ≈ 1:1.8 → Favourable setup
Note: This analysis is shared purely for educational and informational purposes based on chart patterns and publicly available data. It should not be considered as investment advice. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Swingtrade
GABRIEL INDIA BULLISH CHART Gabriel India is a Strong Fundamental Company in Auto Component Sector . It's Technically also Breakout. It's a Uptrend Stock And moving Up with Sector and on basis of Gst Cut . Good bet for swing trading as well as long term . In swing trading u can expect 5 -6% move and in long term 20-30% move in next 6 months . No buy sell Reccomendation just for educational purposes only.
Always consult your financial advisor before making any position in stock market.
Uno Minda: Triple Trendline Test - Breakout or Pullback Setup Uno Minda Price Action Setup
(Daily Timeframe | Pure Price Action + Volume)
Key Structure
Resistance Trendline: Tested twice (02-Sep-2024 & 17-Jul-2025). Price now approaches it for the 3rd attempt.
Support Zone: Strong base at 1027 (recent swing low).
Long-Term Trend: Bullish (higher highs/lows).
Trade Scenarios
SCENARIO 1 : Trendline Breakout
Trigger:
Daily breakout candle closes above the resistance trendline.
Candle must be strong bullish (full-bodied green) with volume > 20-day average.
Entry: On confirmation of breakout (next candle open/close above breakout candle’s high).
Stop Loss: Low of the breakout candle.
Targets:
First: 1255 (take partial profits).
Trail balance with trailing SL (e.g., below recent swing lows).
SCENARIO 2 : Pullback to Support
Trigger:
Price retests 1027 support, followed by a strong bullish reversal candle (e.g., Bullish Engulfing/Hammer) with rising volume.
Entry: After reversal candle closes (confirmation).
Stop Loss: Below the low of the reversal candle.
Targets:
First: 1130 (take partial profits).
Trail balance aggressively.
Risk Management
Position Size: Risk ≤ 1% capital per trade.
Avoid chasing: Enter only on confirmed triggers.
Invalidation: Exit if price closes below SL levels.
Disclaimer
This idea is educational only. Not financial advice. Trading carries high risk. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. Always test strategies in a demo account. Consult a financial advisor before trading.
Boost 👍 if helpful! Comment below for other stocks you want analyzed.
Keep it price-driven. Trade safe! 💡
Breakout or Support? How to Decode a Stock’s True BehaviorIn this video I will show a Smarter Way to Read Charts, Breakout vs Support — The Fine Line Every Trader Must Know .
Disclaimer: This video is for educational purposes only and is based on historical charts. It is not financial advice. Please consult a registered advisor before making any trading decisions.
Psychology & Risk Management in Trading 1. Introduction
Trading is often thought of as a purely numbers-driven game — charts, technical indicators, fundamental analysis, and economic data. But in reality, the true battlefield is inside your head. Two traders can have access to the exact same market data, yet end up with completely different results. The difference lies in psychology and risk management.
Psychology determines how you make decisions under pressure.
Risk management determines whether you survive long enough to benefit from good decisions.
Think of trading as a three-legged stool:
Strategy – Your technical/fundamental system for entering and exiting trades.
Psychology – Your ability to stick to the plan under real conditions.
Risk Management – Your safeguard against catastrophic loss.
If one leg is missing, the stool collapses. A profitable strategy without psychological discipline becomes useless. A strong mindset without proper risk controls eventually faces ruin. And perfect risk management without skill or discipline simply results in slow losses.
Our goal here is to align mindset with money management for long-term success.
2. Understanding Trading Psychology
2.1. Why Psychology Matters More Than You Think
When you’re trading, money is not just numbers — it represents:
Security (fear of losing it)
Freedom (desire to win more)
Ego (feeling smart or dumb based on market outcomes)
This emotional attachment creates mental biases that cloud judgment. Unlike a chessboard, the market is an uncertain game — the same move can lead to a win or loss depending on external forces beyond your control.
The primary enemy is not “the market,” but you:
Closing winning trades too early out of fear.
Holding onto losing trades hoping they’ll recover.
Overtrading to “make back” losses.
Avoiding valid setups after a losing streak.
2.2. The Main Psychological Biases in Trading
1. Loss Aversion
Humans hate losing more than they like winning. Research shows losing $100 feels twice as bad as gaining $100 feels good.
In trading, this causes:
Refusing to take stop losses.
Adding to losing positions to “average down.”
2. Overconfidence Bias
After a streak of wins, traders often overestimate their skill.
Example: Turning a $1,000 account into $2,000 in a week might lead to doubling trade size without a valid reason.
3. Confirmation Bias
Seeking only information that supports your existing view. If you’re bullish on gold, you might only read bullish news and ignore bearish signals.
4. Recency Bias
Giving too much weight to recent events. A trader who just experienced a big rally might expect it to continue, ignoring long-term resistance levels.
5. Fear of Missing Out (FOMO)
Jumping into trades without proper analysis because you see the market moving.
6. Revenge Trading
Trying to “get back” at the market after a loss by taking impulsive trades.
2.3. Emotional States and Their Effects
Fear – Leads to hesitation, missed opportunities, and premature exits.
Greed – Leads to over-leveraging and chasing setups.
Hope – Keeps traders in losing trades far longer than necessary.
Regret – Causes paralysis, stopping you from entering new opportunities.
Euphoria – False sense of invincibility, leading to reckless trades.
3. Mastering the Trader’s Mindset
3.1. Accepting Uncertainty
Markets are probabilistic, not certain. The best trade setups still lose sometimes. The key is to think in terms of probabilities, not certainties.
Mental shift:
Bad trade ≠ losing trade.
Good trade ≠ winning trade.
A “good trade” is one where you followed your plan and managed risk — regardless of the outcome.
3.2. Developing Discipline
Discipline means doing what your trading plan says every time, even when you feel like doing otherwise.
Practical ways to build discipline:
Pre-market checklist (entry/exit rules, risk per trade, market conditions).
Post-trade review to identify emotional decisions.
Simulated trading to practice following rules without monetary pressure.
3.3. Managing Emotional Cycles
Traders often go through repeated emotional phases:
Excitement – New strategy, first wins.
Euphoria – Overconfidence and overtrading.
Fear/Panic – Sharp drawdown after reckless trades.
Desperation – Trying to recover losses quickly.
Resignation – Stepping back, reevaluating.
Rebuilding – Adopting better discipline.
Your goal is to flatten the cycle, reducing extreme highs and lows.
4. Risk Management: The Survival Mechanism
4.1. The Goal of Risk Management
Trading is not about avoiding losses — losses are inevitable. The aim is to control the size of your losses so they don’t destroy your capital or confidence.
4.2. The Three Pillars of Risk Management
1. Position Sizing
Determine how much capital to risk per trade. Common rules:
Risk only 1–2% of total capital on any single trade.
Example: If you have ₹1,00,000 and risk 1% per trade, your max loss is ₹1,000.
2. Stop Losses
Predetermined exit points to limit losses.
Hard stops – Fixed at a price level.
Trailing stops – Move with the trade to lock in profits.
3. Risk-Reward Ratio
A measure of potential reward vs. risk.
Example:
Risk: ₹500
Potential Reward: ₹1,500
R:R = 1:3 (good)
4.3. The Power of Capital Preservation
Here’s why big losses are dangerous:
Lose 10% → Need 11% gain to recover.
Lose 50% → Need 100% gain to recover.
The bigger the loss, the harder the comeback. Capital preservation should be your #1 priority.
4.4. Avoiding Overleveraging
Leverage magnifies both gains and losses. Many traders blow accounts not because their strategy was bad, but because they used excessive leverage.
5. Integrating Psychology with Risk Management
5.1. The Feedback Loop
Poor psychology → Poor risk decisions → Bigger losses → Worse psychology.
You must break the loop by locking in good risk rules before trading.
5.2. The Risk Management Mindset
Treat each trade as just one of thousands you’ll make.
Focus on execution quality, not daily P/L.
Celebrate following your plan, not just winning.
5.3. Journaling
A trading journal should include:
Entry/exit points and reasons.
Risk per trade.
Emotional state before/during/after.
Lessons learned.
Over time, patterns emerge that reveal weaknesses in both mindset and risk control.
6. Practical Tips for Building Psychological Strength
Meditation & Mindfulness – Keeps emotions in check.
Physical Health – A healthy body supports a calm mind.
Sleep – Fatigue increases impulsive decisions.
Routine – Structured trading hours reduce stress.
Detach from P/L – Judge performance over months, not days.
7. Case Studies: When Psychology Meets Risk
Case Study 1 – The Overconfident Scalper
Wins 10 trades in a row, doubles position size.
One loss wipes out previous gains.
Lesson: Stick to fixed risk % per trade regardless of winning streaks.
Case Study 2 – The Hopeful Investor
Holds losing position for months.
Avoids taking stop loss because “it’ll recover.”
Lesson: Hope is not a strategy; use predefined exits.
8. Conclusion
Trading success is 20% strategy and 80% mindset + risk control. The market will always test your patience, discipline, and emotional control. By mastering your psychology and implementing rock-solid risk management, you give yourself the best chance not just to make money — but to stay in the game long enough to grow it.
IIFL Finance–Swing Setup from 200-DEMA Support & Piercing Line!Hello Everyone, I hope you all are doing well in life and in trading!
Today I’ve brought a fresh swing trading opportunity in IIFL Finance , where the stock has taken support from the 200-EMA and is formed a bullish Piercing Line pattern.
After a strong uptrend, the stock corrected and has now taken trendline support (from channel base) along with the 200-day EMA confluence, a high-probability reversal zone. A clear bullish candle indicates a potential bounce from here.
The best part? The stock still offers a great risk-reward with defined entry, stop-loss, and 3 possible targets. Please refer to the chart for full trade setup details.
This setup is purely based on price action, moving average confluence, and support zone behavior.
If you are a swing or positional trader, this setup is worth keeping on your radar!
If you found this helpful, don’t forget to LIKE & FOLLOW for more such clean technical ideas.
Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research before taking trades.
APTUS Swing Trade (20% upside)Simple swing trade setup based on institutional buying footprint.
No indicators, no silly chart patterns.
Pure buyer/seller psychology and trend based setup.
Risk Management for setups like these:
This is a high probability setup. The only thing to take care of is the position sizing in case the overall market ( Nifty ) is bearish for some weeks. Decrease position and increase SL size to maintain your Risk. Have patience.
Message me for more such setups and learning insights and to know how to find such setups and properly ride the complete trend fors trades like these.
Risk Reward for these setups are very good so you have to manage the risk before the next up-trend move kicks in. Part of the game.
Any question or want to have any convo over stock market ? Do message. Happy to help and connect with fellow traders.
Thanks.
Gaurav
SAMBHV: IPO Base Breakout + Retest done#SAMBHV #ipostock #breakoutstock #trendingstock #swingtrading
SAMBHV : Swing Trading
>> Breakout & Retest done
>> Trending stock
>> Good Strength & Volumes
>> Low Risk High Reward Trade
Swing Traders can lock profits at 10% & Keep Trailing
Pls Comment , Boost and Follow for more such Analysis
Disc : Charts shared are for Learning Purpose and not a Trade recommendation, Consult your Financial advisor or a SEBI Registered Advisor before taking position in it.
FLAG BREAKOUT + STRONG FUNDAMENTAL = AUTO STOCK ON THE MOVE SUBROS ON FIRE
Subros Ltd has formed and broken out of a bullish flag pattern on the daily chart, supported by strong volume, indicating continuation of its upward trend.
🔍 Technical Analysis:
Pattern: Bullish flag breakout
Breakout Confirmation: Strong bullish candle above consolidation (flag zone) with volume
Strong uptrend, supported by both EMA 20 and EMA 50
Support Zone: ₹950–₹960 (previous flag top)
Volume Spike: Confirms bullish momentum on breakout
QUIK FUNDAMENTAL KEYS WHICH CONFIRM ITS BULLISHNESS.
📈 Price Strength: Strong momentum with recent 52-week high
💰 ROCE: ~17.3% (efficient capital usage)
🏦 ROE: ~12.5% (shareholder return strength)
📉 Debt to Equity: ~0.2 (low debt = financially stable)
📊 Net Sales Growth: ~20% YoY (consistent top-line growth)
🔧 Sector: Auto Ancillary – strong demand recovery cycle
💡 Trade Rationale:
Subros is technically strong with a clean flag breakout and volume confirmation. Fundamentals support this move, with consistent revenue growth, efficient capital usage, and a low-debt structure.
TRADE PLAN :
Entry: Around ₹1000 (CMP) or on dip near ₹960–₹970 (retest)
Stop Loss: ₹940 (below consolidation)
Target 1: ₹1065
Target 2: ₹1120–₹1140
Risk-Reward: ~1:2.5+
KITEX GARMENTS LTD – SWING TRADE PLANKITEX GARMENTS has delivered a volume-backed breakout from a bullish cup & handle pattern. The technicals are aligned with improving fundamentals, making this a high-probability swing trade setup.
✅ Cup & Handle Breakout 💥
📈 Entry: ₹291–₹295 | 🎯 Target: ₹324 / ₹350 | 🔐 SL: ₹272
🧠 Strong volume + solid fundamentals
Technical Analysis
Classic Cup and Handle pattern breakout above neckline ₹291.
Strong bullish close at ₹295.35 with high volume (3.01M vs avg 580K).
Price above 20(276) & 50 (259) EMA which confirms confirms bullish trend. Both the EMAs slopping upward which shows positive trend structure.
price can take support near ₹274–₹276 (handle + 20 EMA).
Resistance ₹324 (Target) (swing high), ₹350 (measured move target).
Volume spike confirms real breakout, not a fake breakout.
Demand zone breakout with institutional interest.
FUNDAMENTAL KEYS WHICH SUPPORT STOCK FOR BULLISH TREND.
KITEX is financially sound with low debt, stable returns, and improving growth. Fundamentals support bullish technical setup. High promoter confidence (>60%). Consistently company's sales growth is improving Q-o-Q.
SHREE PUSHKAR CHEMICALS – Cup & Handle + VCP Breakout Setup |Technical Structure:
SHREE PUSHKAR CHEMICALS is forming a high-quality breakout setup on the daily chart, combining both a Cup & Handle pattern and a Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) within the handle zone.
Cup & Handle base formation extending from Nov 2023 to Jul 2025
Mini VCP within handle, showing tight range contraction, signaling institutional accumulation.
Ascending trendline support holding firm, along with the 9 EMA.
Volume contraction during each pullback
A confirmed breakout above ₹378 with volume can trigger a strong upside continuation.
Volume has steadily contracted across the handle, especially during pullbacks
Current price is tightening just under the breakout zone — ideal for a low-risk entry
A decisive breakout on volume >150K will act as a confirmation trigger.
Fundamentals
Market Cap : ₹1,200 Cr (Small-cap room for growth)
P/E Ratio: ~20x Reasonable for specialty chemicals
EPS Growth: 24% YoY Consistent profit improvement
Revenue Growth: 15% YoY Stable.
ROE: ~12% Healthy return metrics
Operating Margin: ~9% Sustainable profitability
This setup reflects strong technical discipline with a clean, low-risk structure. Ideal for swing traders looking for breakouts backed by volume and volatility contraction. Watch closely for confirmation with volume.
ZYDUSWELL : Inverse Head & Shoulder chart pattern#ZYDUSWELL #patterntrading #chartpattern #breakouttrading #inverseheadandshoulder #trendingstock
ZYDUSWELL : Swing Trade
>> Breakout candidate
>> Inverse Head & shoulder pattern
>> Trending stock
>> Good Strength & Volume
Swing Traders can lock profit at 10% and keep trailing
Pls comment, Boost & follow for more such Analysis
Disc : Charts shared are for Learning purpose and not a Trade recommendation. Consult a SEBI Registered advisor before taking position in it
MHRIL : Swing Trade#MHRIL #patterntrading #chartpattern #cupandhandlepattern #swingtrading #trendingstock
MHRIL : Swing Trade
>> cup & Handle chart pattern
>> Breakout soon
>> Trending Setup
>> Stock in Momentum
>> Good Strength & Volumes
Swing Traders can lock profit at 10% & keep trailing
Pls boost, comment & Follow for more Learnings
Disc : Charts shared are for Learning purpose and not a Trade recommendation. Consult your financial advisor or a SEBI Registered Advisor before taking position in it.
MTAR Technologies: The hidden giant behind space & clean Energy NSE:MTARTECH
🏢 Company Overview:
MTAR Technologies Ltd is a precision engineering company catering to high-value, mission-critical sectors such as:
Clean Energy (Hydrogen, Nuclear, etc.)
Space & Defence
Aerospace
They manufacture critical components like fuel cells, nuclear reactor parts, aerospace engines, and satellite launch system parts.
📈 Fundamental Analysis:
✅ Key Financials (FY24-25 Estimates):
Market Cap : ₹6,500+ Cr
Revenue (FY24) : ₹650 Cr+
EBITDA Margin : ~28-30%
PAT Margin : ~15%
ROE / ROCE : 15-18% / 20%+
Debt to Equity : 0.1 (Very low)
P/E Ratio : ~45x (Premium)
🧩 Strengths:
Strong order book from ISRO, DRDO, BHEL, and international clean energy players like Bloom Energy.
Technological moat in nuclear & space-grade precision engineering.
Low debt, high return ratios—financials are robust.
Entering Hydrogen & Fuel Cell space—a big long-term catalyst.
⚠️ Risks:
Dependency on a few clients (Bloom Energy being a major one).
Volatility in clean energy adoption pace.
High valuation – priced for growth.
📊 Technical Analysis (As of July 2025):
🧾 Price Action Summary:
CMP: ₹2,050 (Example)
52-Week Range: ₹1,250 – ₹2,150
Trend: Bullish continuation from March 2025
Support Zone: ₹1,860 – ₹1,950
Resistance: ₹2,150 (all-time high breakout zone)
🔍 Indicators:
200 EMA: ₹1,620 (Stock trading well above 200 EMA)
MACD: Bullish crossover on daily chart
RSI: ~67—momentum strong but near overbought zone
Volume: Rising steadily with price—confirms strength
📉 Short-Term View:
Healthy consolidation expected around ₹2,000–₹2,150
A breakout above ₹2,150 could lead to ₹2,400–₹2,600 zone
🚀 Future Growth Prospects:
🔬 1. Clean Energy Boom:
Supplying parts to Bloom Energy (US-based Fuel Cell firm).
India’s green hydrogen policy and PLI schemes can benefit MTAR.
🛰️ 2. Space & Defense:
Increasing budgets in defense, ISRO’s new missions, and India’s entry into private space programs can drive long-term orders.
💹 3. Export Potential:
MTAR is entering global markets for nuclear and aerospace precision components.
USD-denominated revenues provide a hedge and higher margins.
🌱 4. Capex & Expansion:
New manufacturing facility in Adibatla, Telangana.
Capex being done to triple capacity in the coming 3–5 years.
📝 Conclusion:
Parameter Verdict
Fundamentals 🔵 Strong (Clean Balance Sheet, Healthy Margins)
Technicals 🟢 Bullish (But Near Resistance)
Valuation 🟡 Slightly Overvalued (but justified by growth)
Long-Term View ✅ Positive – Multiyear structural story
Short-Term View 🔄 Wait for consolidation or breakout above ₹2,150
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors.
This is our personal view based on available data and market trends.
Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content.
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Trade Secrets By Pratik
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Tools
GMDCLTD - Potential Swing CandidateGMDCLTD has recently ended its correction phase and reversed. It has retraced till 0.618 level and has got a small rejection. 0.618 is last line of defence for sellers in many cases. Above 0.618 level a strong momentum likely to come.
Risk will be previous swing low after breakout.
As per price structure 430 is the last swing high. Breakout will start a strong momentum towards ATH and above that it is likely to test 678 as per Fib extension.
So put an alert to track this for your learning.
Learning Part :-
A rise in price then a correction in a channel formation is good to buy on breakout.
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NIPPONIND : is correction over on Wave 2 or B?INDO-NATIONAL LTD (NSE: NIPPONIND) 🚀
Weekly Chart Analysis – Potential Swing Opportunity!
1. Structure & Setup
The stock has completed a major correction in the zone of 50%-78.6% Fibonacci retracement of Wave A (408.80–458.50).
Wave B or 2 seems to be in place, setting up for a potential bullish move.
Previous resistance and correction occurred from the extended retracement zone (113%-127% fib).
2. Key Levels & Targets
First Swing Target: 50% fib retracement of Wave B or 2 at ₹574.90–625.00 🥇
Second Swing Target: 78.6% fib retracement of Wave B or 2 at ₹761.40 🥈
Support: 78.6% fib retracement of Wave A at ₹408.80
3. Risk Management
STOP LOSS: On weekly or daily close below the correction zone (failing Wave B or 2), i.e., below ₹408.80 🚨
4. Observations & Strategy
1️⃣ Chances of a bullish reversal are high from the current zone, supported by fib retracement confluence.
2️⃣ Watch for a breakout above ₹500 for confirmation of momentum.
3️⃣ Risk/Reward is favorable for positional swing traders.
Summary:
A strong setup for a multi-month swing! Monitor price action near support and trail your stop as the move unfolds. 📈
Like & Follow for more setups! 👍✨
#NIPPONIND #SwingTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #Fibonacci #TradingView #Stocks #NSE
Nifty 1D Timeframe 📍 Current Price: Around ₹25,140
📊 Intraday Range: ₹25,120 (Low) – ₹25,260 (High)
🛡️ Support Levels (Buy-on-Dip Zones)
These are the key levels where buyers may step in:
✅ Support 1 (S1): ₹25,100
Recent intraday low
If Nifty holds this, a bounce is likely
✅ Support 2 (S2): ₹25,020 – ₹25,050
Important daily support zone
Ideal for safe, staggered buying if market dips
✅ Support 3 (S3): ₹24,900 – ₹24,950
Strong technical base
If this breaks, it can trigger more selling pressure
🚧 Resistance Levels (Profit-Booking / Selling Zones)
These are levels where the rally might face hurdles:
🔼 Resistance 1 (R1): ₹25,265 – ₹25,280
Current ceiling zone
Needs strong volume to cross this
🔼 Resistance 2 (R2): ₹25,333 – ₹25,350
Key short-term resistance
If crossed, can push Nifty toward a breakout
🔼 Resistance 3 (R3): ₹25,420 – ₹25,450
Major breakout level
Closing above this could trigger rally toward ₹25,600+
PARADEEP : Momentum Pick#PARADEEP #swingtrade #trendingstock #momentumtrade
PARADEEP : Swing Trade
>> Low PE Stock
>> Good Retracement and consoldation
>> Stock Ready for next leg of Rally
>> Good Strength & Volume
>> Risk Reward Favourable
Swing Traders can lock profit at 10% and keep Trailing
Please Boost, comment and follow us for more Learnings
Disc : Charts shared are for learning purpose only, not a Trade recommendation. Do your own research and consult your financial advisor before taking any position.
PB FINTECH Swing Trade (15% upside)If Nifty holds current levels ie. 25,000 then there are high chances that PB FINTECH will continue its uptrend and will make a new high.
Currently it is at a buying zone, you can make positions as per your risk.
Sellers are also trapped recently which can start next up-move.
With 1:5 RR and >15% upside potential.
Thanks and let me know if you have any questions regarding this setup in comments.
Rossari Biotech – Stage 4 Ending? Stage 1 Base in Play!🧪 NSE:ROSSARI – 📉 Stage 4 Ending? Stage 1 Base in Play!
🕵️♂️ Technical Context
Rossari has been in a Stage 4 decline since its 2021 peak. But now it’s forming a solid Stage 1 base between ₹650–720, with signs of smart accumulation emerging.
🧩 Business Model Snapshot
🧵 Segments: Textile Chemicals, HPPC, Animal Nutrition
🛒 New Growth: Institutional & B2C (₹299 Cr, +67% YoY)
🌍 Markets: Strong domestic base, expanding in Middle East & SE Asia
🤝 Client Spread: Diversified, no over-reliance
🎙️ Management Commentary
⚙️ Focus on margin normalization across verticals
📊 Base EBITDA margin ~15% (excl. new segments)
🌐 FX risk control via new geographies (Egypt, Turkey, SE Asia)
🧱 Scaling up I&B2C as a future margin driver
📈 Trend Overview
📆 Monthly: Ending Stage 4 — beginning Stage 1 base
📉 Weekly: Consolidating in a tight rectangle ₹650–750
📅 Daily: Sideways movement; price hugging EMA — coiled for move
🔄 Volume: Subtle uptick — early sign of institutional interest
🧭 Indicators: MACD crossover possible, RSI turning positive
🎯 Trade Plan
💼 Accumulation Zone: ₹650–720
🔓 Breakout Buy: ₹750+ (weekly close + volume)
⛔ Stop-loss: ₹640
🎯 Targets: ₹900 → ₹1,100
📈 Risk-Reward: Up to 1:4.5 🚀
📊 Fundamental Edge
💰 FY25 Revenue: ₹2,080 Cr
🧼 Expanding B2C + Institutional verticals
🏗️ ₹192 Cr CapEx in progress
💹 ROE: ~13%, OPM: ~10%
🧾 Clean governance, no pledges
🟢 Momentum Score: 7/10
📉 Stage 1 base + rising volume
📊 Solid growth fundamentals
🧠 FX/geography risk being managed
📍 NSE: ROSSARI | Sector: Specialty Chemicals
⏳ Watch ₹720 breakout zone – Big move may be coming!
#Rossari #BreakoutStocks #StageAnalysis #SwingTrade #SmartMoney #TechFundamentals #TradingView #SpecialtyChemicals #IndiaEquity #finchoicebiz #markethunt
TORNTPOWER – Wave C Rally Loading from Golden Fib Zone?
After a 5-wave fall and clean ABC correction, price is poised for a potential Wave C breakout.
Golden retracement zone held strong – is this the beginning of a bullish continuation toward ₹1825?
🧩 Elliott Wave Structure:
Full 5-wave impulse decline completed → Wave 5 bottom at ₹1195
Sharp Wave A rally confirms initial trend reversal
Wave B retraced to Golden Zone (50–78.6%) → ₹1399–1422
Structure now favoring development of Wave C
📌 Key Confluences:
Golden Zone Support: Price holding firm at ₹1399–1422
CHoCH (Change of Character): Clear structure shift after Wave 5 bottom, confirming trend reversal
Price action above CHoCH level = bullish intent
Support + Fib + CHoCH = high-conviction reversal case
🎯 Targets:
Wave C Completion Zone: ₹1778–1825
Upside potential: ~28.5% from current levels
🛑 Stop-Loss & Risk Control:
Stop-loss: Day close below ₹1301
Risk:Reward: 3.4+
📈 Summary:
5-wave decline + ABC setup = classic reversal blueprint
CHoCH confirms structure flip from bearish to bullish
Low-risk swing opportunity from high-probability zone
Wave C often delivers strong directional moves – and with CHoCH in place, the foundation looks ready!
#TORNTPOWER #WaveC #CHoCH #ElliottWave #SwingTrade #GoldenZone #TrendReversal
HINDALCO Gearing Up for Wave 5? Entry Zone Locked In for Swing!
📊 HINDALCO – Elliott Wave Analysis (1H Timeframe)
Textbook 5-wave impulse in play – Wave 4 nearing completion
Structurally clean setup with ideal R:R and defined invalidation. High probability long opportunity forming.
🧩 Wave Structure:
Wave 1 to 3 completed; Wave 3 peaked with momentum
Current correction forming a classic ABC zig-zag in Wave 4
Subwaves 'a' and 'b' completed; 'c' approaching ideal completion zone
🔎 Technical Confluence Zone:
Wave 4 Fib Retracement: 38.2–61.8% of Wave 3 → ₹680–663
Support Structure: Aligns with Wave C zone = ₹680–683
Price action showing slowdown → low volatility candles + buyer absorption
Entry zone aligns with high-probability reversal structure
🎯 Upside Targets (Wave 5 Projection):
First Swing Zone: ₹739–754
Second Swing Zone: ₹791–813
🛑 Stop-Loss Zones:
Intraday SL: Hourly close below ₹679.20
Positional SL: Day close below ₹661.75
📈 Reward Potential:
R:R ratio: 6.2+
Structure offers clear risk management and ideal swing setup
A must-watch for swing traders and Elliott Wave learners. Let price react at ₹680–683 zone for confirmation before entry.
#Hindalco #ElliottWave #SwingTrade #WaveAnalysis #TechnicalSetup #NSE