Technical Class🎯 What is a “Technical Class”?
A Technical Class is a structured learning session or course designed to teach technical analysis – the skill of forecasting price movement in financial markets based on charts, price patterns, indicators, volume, and historical data.
It’s one of the most essential skillsets for traders and investors, especially those involved in stock trading, intraday trading, swing trading, options, forex, or crypto.
📘 Purpose of a Technical Class
The main goal of a technical class is to train participants to:
Read and analyze price charts confidently
Use indicators and tools to generate buy/sell signals
Recognize institutional footprints and volume patterns
Make independent, logic-based trading decisions
Avoid emotional or speculative trades
🧱 What Topics Are Covered in a Technical Class?
✅ 1. Chart Reading Basics
Candlestick types (Doji, Hammer, Engulfing, Marubozu)
Price vs. Volume relationship
Support & Resistance levels
Timeframes: Intraday (5m/15m), Positional (1D/1W)
✅ 2. Price Action Trading
Trend structure: HH-HL / LH-LL sequences
Breakouts & Fakeouts
Supply-Demand zones
Liquidity traps
✅ 3. Technical Indicators
Trend Indicators: Moving Averages (SMA/EMA), MACD
Momentum Indicators: RSI, Stochastic, CCI
Volume Indicators: VWAP, OBV, Volume Profile
Volatility Indicators: Bollinger Bands, ATR
✅ 4. Chart Patterns
Continuation Patterns: Flags, Pennants, Triangles
Reversal Patterns: Head & Shoulders, Double Top/Bottom, Wedges
Range Patterns: Rectangles, Channels
✅ 5. Support & Resistance Mastery
Dynamic (Moving averages, trendlines)
Static (Horizontal S/R, Round numbers)
Institutional S/R zones with Volume & OI
✅ 6. Trend Analysis
Identifying Bullish, Bearish, and Sideways markets
Role of Volume in confirming trends
Using Dow Theory and Market Structure
✅ 7. Advanced Concepts
Divergence (Price vs. RSI/MACD)
Multi-Timeframe Analysis (MTA)
Fibonacci Retracement & Extensions
Chart psychology (why price behaves irrationally)
🧠 Skills You Gain from a Technical Class
How to time entries and exits based on confirmation
How to avoid false breakouts
When to use indicators and when to trust price action
How to combine volume + price for high-probability setups
How to align with smart money and institutional footprints
🎓 Who Should Attend a Technical Class?
✅ New traders wanting a strong foundation
✅ Intraday and swing traders aiming for consistency
✅ Investors looking to time entry/exit better
✅ Option traders who want to read chart behavior
✅ Crypto/forex traders who rely on pure price movement
📈 Real-World Applications
Identify trend reversals before they happen
Spot breakouts with volume confirmation
Align trades with institutional positioning
Reduce overtrading and increase accuracy
Make data-backed decisions, not emotional guesses
⚠️ Common Mistakes Covered in a Technical Class
❌ Overuse of indicators (indicator overload)
❌ Trading without stop-loss
❌ Misreading breakouts and breakdowns
❌ Ignoring volume and confirmation
❌ Lack of patience or plan in trade execution
🔚 Final Thoughts
A Technical Class is more than just learning chart patterns — it’s about understanding how the market thinks, how price reacts, and how you can trade in sync with logic, not emotion.
Whether you're into stocks, futures, options, or crypto — a strong technical foundation increases your edge, reduces losses, and boosts confidence.
Swingtrading
ECORECO - Swing Pick (1-3 Months)#ECORECO #vcppattern #basingpattern #swingtrade #patterntrading
ECORECO : Swing Trading
>> Good Base formation
>> VCP Pattern visible
>> Breakout candidate
>> Good Strength & Volume Buildup
>> Low Risk High Reward Trade
Swing Traders can lock profit at 10% and keep trailing.
Pls comment, Boost and follow us for more such Analysis
Disc : Charts shared are for Learning purpose and not a Trade recommendation. Consult ur financial advisor or a SEBI Registered Advisor before taking position in it.
SWIGGY : Next Multi-bagger ??NSE:SWIGGY
🚀 SWIGGY LTD – Combined Technical + Fundamental Analysis
As of: 24 July 2025 | CMP: ₹420.50 |
📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
🔷 Pattern: Cup and Handle Breakout
Cup & Handle pattern completed over 5 months (Feb–July 2025)
Breakout Level: ₹409 (marked horizontal resistance)
CMP: ₹420.50 — breakout confirmed with strong volume
Cup Depth: ₹409 – ₹285 = ₹124
🔍 Indicators & Price Action:
Price vs 50 EMA ✅ Above (bullish short-term trend)
Price vs 200 EMA ✅ Above (bullish long-term trend)
Volume ✅ Breakout confirmed with surge
RSI ~63 (strong but not overbought)
🔧 Key Levels:
Support Resistance Swing Target
₹409 (Breakout retest) ₹445 / ₹480 ₹533 (measured move)
Technical Verdict:
Bullish breakout from a long base. With volume confirmation and improving fundamentals, Swiggy is poised for a multi-week rally.
=======================================
📊 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
📈 1. Revenue Growth
Swiggy has shown consistent and impressive topline expansion over the past 3 years:
Financial Year Revenue (₹ Cr) YoY Growth
FY22 ₹5,705 –
FY23 ₹8,265 +45%
FY24 ₹11,115 +34%
FY25 (Est.) ₹14,500 +30% est.
Growth Drivers:
🚀 Instamart (Grocery) – fastest-growing vertical
🍽️ Food Delivery – steady in Tier I, expanding in Tier II/III
📍 Strong presence in metros, improving reach in smaller cities
💰 2. Profit Trajectory
Swiggy was known for heavy cash burn pre-IPO, but is now nearing profitability:
Financial Year Net Profit/Loss (₹ Cr) EBITDA (₹ Cr)
FY23 -₹4,179 -₹3,363
FY24 -₹1,482 -₹1,115
FY25 (Est.) +₹75 (Profit) +₹350
📉 Losses reduced by over 60% in 12 months
🔁 EBITDA-positive since Q4 FY25 — a major turning point
🛠️ Cost control, reduced discounting, and Instamart’s scale driving margin growth
🌱 3. Future Growth Prospects
Swiggy is now strategically positioned to capture multiple long-term themes:
Segment Outlook Comments
Instamart 🌟 High Growth 60%+ YoY growth, core revenue driver by FY26
Food Delivery 🔁 Steady to Moderate Strong in metros; Tier II/III scaling slowly
Dineout + Genie 🧊 Low Growth Not major contributors, but strengthen ecosystem
New Revenue 🧠 Ads, cloud kitchens High-margin potential in FY26/FY27
🧾 IPO proceeds deployed into logistics & tech infra (no major debt)
📈 Possible MSCI/Nifty Next 50 inclusion in FY26
🔓 Optionality: Entry into fintech/payments, loyalty programs, and dark kitchens
🔚 COMBINED VIEW – TECHNICAL + FUNDAMENTAL
Technical Pattern ✅ Cup & Handle breakout at ₹409
Revenue Trend ✅ Strong CAGR ~36%
Profit Outlook ✅ Profitability by FY25 end
Future Potential ✅ High – Instamart + Ads + Tier-II expansion
Risk ⚠️ Valuation premium + ONDC threat remains
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors.
This is our personal view based on available data and market trends.
Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content.
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Trade Secrets By Pratik
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MASTEK – Daily Timeframe Breakout Idea (Resistance Zone Break)MASTEK has broken above a key resistance zone on the daily timeframe, backed by a strong bullish candle and a significant volume surge.
📌 Breakout Context:
The stock consolidated near the ₹2460–2480 zone for several sessions, forming a horizontal resistance zone.
On July 4th, the price broke out with strong bullish momentum, closing above the resistance with a wide-range green candle and a volume spike.
The breakout candle also closed above both 50- and 100-day Simple Moving Averages, confirming a bullish bias.
💡 Trade Setup:
Entry: ₹2550–2570 (near breakout)
Stop Loss: Below the breakout zone at ₹2472
Target: ₹2780+ (2.2R setup)
Risk-Reward: ~1:2.2 (ideal for swing trades)
🎯 Why This Setup Stands Out:
Volume on the breakout day is notably higher than average, confirming institutional interest.
Clean horizontal breakout from a multi-week range.
SMA structure is bullish, with the price reclaiming key MAs.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always consult your financial advisor before making trading decisions.
JSW Energy : Energy Stock Heating Up — Watch This Level!NSE:JSWENERGY
🧩 JSW Energy Ltd – Integrated Analysis (Technical + Fundamental)
🔍 1. Chart Technical Analysis
============================
✅ Cup and Handle Breakout in Progress
Pattern: Classic Cup and Handle visible on the daily chart.
Neckline: ₹536.60 — price is at ₹533.85, very close to breakout.
Cup base: ~₹440, Top: ~₹640 ⇒ Cup depth: ₹200
Measured Target: ₹537 + ₹200 = ₹735
🔼 Price Action & Momentum
Higher lows forming in handle → Sign of accumulation.
Volume contracting in the handle → textbook setup.
A breakout with strong volume can trigger sharp upward momentum.
📉 Indicators (Daily Timeframe)
RSI (14) ~58 Bullish, not overbought
MACD Crossover possible Upside momentum brewing
20/50/200 EMA Price trading above all Strong uptrend confirmation
Volume Contracted Perfect setup for breakout
==========================
🧠 2. Fundamental Analysis
==========================
💰 Q4 FY25 Snapshot
Net Profit: ₹408 Cr (YoY +16%)
Revenue: ₹3,189 Cr (YoY +16%)
Fundraising Plan: ₹10,000 Cr approved for green capacity expansion
🔋 Business Strength
Installed Capacity: 8,400+ MW
Diversified portfolio: Thermal, Hydro, Wind, Solar
Acquired: 4,700 MW renewable platform
On track to hit 20 GW by 2030
📊 Financial Metrics
P/E Ratio ~45–70x Slightly overvalued
ROE 8–11% Healthy
Operating Margin ~33% Efficient operations
Dividend Yield ~0.3–0.4% Low, due to reinvestment
Promoter Holding ~69% Strong promoter confidence
🌱 Growth Catalysts
Rising power demand (especially during heatwaves)
Government push for green hydrogen, energy storage
ESG-focused investors: recently added to ESG index
🧾 Final Takeaway –
Why JSW Energy Looks Attractive Now?
📈 Technical Setup : Cup & handle near breakout
💰 Earnings Growth : 16% profit, 16% revenue YoY
🌱 Renewable Push : Target 20GW by 2030
📊 Valuation : Slightly premium, justified
🔍 Volume Pattern : Accumulation confirmed
📌 Summary
JSW Energy is showing strong technical and fundamental convergence:
Technical: Breakout-level Cup & Handle + EMAs + RSI/MACD momentum
Fundamental: Rising profits, capacity expansion, green energy positioning
✅ Best viewed as a medium-to-long-term breakout play
🔐 Stop-loss discipline is very important for risk control
=====================================================
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors.
This is our personal view based on available data and market trends.
Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content.
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Trade Secrets By Pratik
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REC LTD : PSU Power Stock at a Major Demand Zone..NSE:RECLTD
🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
1. Trend Overview
Primary Trend: Long-term bullish trend from late 2022 to early 2024, followed by a correction.
Current Trend: Consolidation in a sideways range after a correction from ₹644.70 to ₹400.
2. Fibonacci Retracement Levels
From ₹91.40 (low) to ₹644.70 (high):
50% level: ₹368.05 ✅ Price is hovering slightly above this.
61.8% Golden Ratio: ₹302.75 ✅ Strong demand zone.
These levels act as major support zones.
3. Support and Demand Zone
The shaded blue region (₹302–₹368) represents a strong demand zone with confluence from both:
Historical price action support.
Fibonacci 50–61.8% retracement levels.
Price bounced near this zone previously, indicating institutional interest.
4. Price Structure
Price has formed a higher low near ₹368 and is now consolidating between ₹390–₹410.
Sideways candles suggest low volatility accumulation, which can precede a breakout.
5. Volume Analysis
Volume has declined significantly since the top.
A small spike in volume during the bounce from the 50–61.8% zone hints at smart money accumulation.
Need confirmation with rising volume and bullish breakout above ₹420.
6. Key Technical Levels
Resistance (Swing High) ₹644.70
Intermediate Resistance ₹420–₹440
Current Price ₹400.00
Support Zone ₹368–₹302
============================
📊 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
============================
1. Business Overview
REC Ltd (Rural Electrification Corporation Ltd) is a Navratna PSU under the Ministry of Power.
Primarily lends to power generation, transmission, and distribution projects.
Also active in green energy, infrastructure & smart metering – aligned with India’s energy transition goals.
2. Financial Highlights (as of FY24-25)
Market Cap ₹1.05 Lakh Crore (approx)
P/E Ratio ~6.5x
Dividend Yield ~5.8%
ROE ~21%
Net Profit (FY24) ₹13,500+ Cr (growing YoY)
Gross NPA < 2%
Loan Book > ₹4.5 Lakh Cr
Consistent profit growth, strong asset quality, and high dividend yield make it a fundamentally sound stock.
3. Growth Drivers
Increased electrification & infrastructure projects.
Government's push for smart metering & green energy.
REC is also diversifying into non-power infra (railways, logistics, roads).
4. Valuation
At ₹400, stock is still undervalued based on fundamentals.
P/B and P/E both suggest attractive levels compared to historical averages and PSU peers.
5. Risks
Rising interest rates may affect lending margins.
PSU discounts can lead to slower rerating despite strong financials.
Political and regulatory risks.
🔄 Technical + Fundamental Confluence
📉 Price Correction: Healthy retracement near 50–61.8% zone = good entry for long-term investors.
🏗️ Strong Fundamentals: Profitable, growing book, high ROE, and PSU tailwinds.
🧠 Smart Money Activity: Signs of accumulation + base formation in key demand zone.
📈 Upside Potential: If ₹420–440 breaks out, REC could retest ₹520–600 in the medium term.
📝 Conclusion & Strategy
➕ Positives
Technically in a strong demand zone.
Fundamentally solid with high dividends and low valuation.
Smart money possibly accumulating.
⚠️ Caution
Wait for breakout above ₹420 with volume for confirmation.
Keep stop-loss below ₹368 (50% retracement) for swing trades.
💡 Investor Strategy
Investors: Accumulate in dips between ₹370–₹400 for long-term.
Traders: Buy breakout above ₹420 with target ₹480–₹520; SL: ₹388.
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⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors.
This is our personal view based on available data and market trends.
Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content.
========================
Trade Secrets By Pratik
========================
Squeezed by Structure – When Trendlines and Flip Zones CollideThis chart presents an interesting interaction between structure and zone dynamics without adhering to a textbook pattern name. The price is being squeezed within a random, yet well-defined structural form, shaped by the forces of support and resistance.
📌 Key Structural Notes:
🟠 Active Counter Trendline (CT) – Acting as overhead resistance, capping price for several weeks.
🟢 Rising Trendline (T) – Offering a base of support, encouraging higher lows and structural tightening.
🟫 Supply-Demand Flip Zone – A previously reactive supply zone now serving a dual role, showing consistent relevance to price behavior.
🟥 Major Supply Overhead – Remains untested, yet significant from a broader structure perspective.
Rather than labeling this as a triangle or cup-handle, it’s more about how CT and T are working together to compress price into a decision area. The presence of the flip zone adds to the friction, making this a valuable case to observe from a structural and behavioral standpoint.
🧠 Not a prediction or setup – just a visual study of how structure evolves when opposing pressures meet within a contextual zone.
KIMS – Daily Timeframe Breakout Idea (Resistance Zone Break)
KRISHNA INSTITUTE OF MEDICAL SCIENCE has shown a breakout above a key horizontal resistance on the daily chart, accompanied by a ~2x volume surge, supported by strong momentum.
🔍 Breakout Context:
- Price broke above the ~692.20 horizontal resistance, which had held for over 2 months.
- Breakout supported by <2x average volume and just above average range on the breakout candle.
- The price is also trading above both the 50- and 100-day SMAs, indicating strong trend continuation.
- This aligns with a bullish continuation setup.
📉 Trade Plan:
- CMP: ₹694
- Entry: Near ₹695
- Target: ₹746 (~7.25% upside from CMP)
- Stop-Loss: ₹669
- Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1 : 2.0
📌 Note:
- Avoid chasing the extended move unless confident in intraday momentum.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your research or consult a financial advisor before trading.
BAJFINANCE looks bullish for swing and long-termMajor trend is clearly up - this has been a long-term outperformer. After a sharp rally, BAJFINANCE entered a corrective phase, but something interesting unfolded:
- The price respected the higher timeframe structure and did not make a lower low, indicating strength.
- A demand zone has now been established, from where price is showing signs of reversal.
- We’ve also seen a break above key lower highs, suggesting a shift in structure back to bullish.
- The consolidation and breakout pattern in the highlighted zone reflects a typical bullish continuation setup after a healthy correction.
This could very well be the early stage of a powerful bullish leg, and is good for both swing trades and long-term positioning.
JINDALSTEL : pattern breakout#JINDALSTEL #patterntrading #chartpatternbreakout #swingtrading
JINDALSTEL : Swing Trading
>> Breakout soon
>> Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern
>> Good Strength & Volumes Buildup
>> Trending setup
Swing Traders can lock profits at 10% and keep Trailing
Pls boost, Comment & Follow for more Analysis
Disc : Charts shared are for Learning purpose and not a Trade recommendation. Pls consult your Financial Advisor or a SEBI Registered Advisor before taking position in it
GARFIBRESGARWARE TECH FIBRES has formed a Bullish structure, made VCP pattern, volume is also visible.
Now it is at resistance, keep eyes on it as the breakout from here can give a good upside move.
Breaking ATH may boost it more. But definitely wait for the Re-test after the breakout.
📌 Re-test matters. Always!
Today I shared why waiting for a re-test is so important - with a real example.
Check out the chart and analysis on BLUEJET in my recent post.
It’ll make you rethink your entries.
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📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
MARKSANSMARKSANS looks good, it's been facing resistance for a long time, and now constantly making HL and Equal highs.
✅ If you like my analysis, please follow me here as a token of appreciation :)
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📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
A Story of Structure, Strength, Supply Becomes Demand & RSI🔍 Key Observations:
- Supply ➡️ Demand Flip: The green zone previously acted as a supply region but was recently respected as demand, showcasing a classic SD conversion
- Double Bottom + Higher Lows (Structure): A W-bottom has formed on the weekly timeframe (WTF), with rising higher lows (marked in white)
- Weekly RSI Momentum: RSI has broken out of a local resistance, historically sensitive 76-80 band — a region that previously capped upside
📎 Why this matters (Learning Focus):
This chart provides a neat case study on how multiple timeframe resistance (red dotted) and structural clues such as higher lows, SD flips, and clean RSI zones
📘 Remember:
This is not a prediction — it's a framework for thinking. The goal here is to observe price behavior around critical levels, not a call or tip.
PVR INOX – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout | July 2025📊 PVR INOX – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout | July 2025
A potential breakout setup is forming on both the daily and weekly charts in PVR INOX:
🔹 Structure: Symmetrical triangle on both timeframes, showing price contraction near ₹1040
🔹 Momentum: RSI holding above 50, MACD turning positive
🔹 Volume Spike: Breakout supported by increasing volume
🔹 Sector Rotation: Media & Entertainment sector showing improving relative strength
🔹 Macro Narrative: Theme of rising screen expansion + easing inflation supports business growth
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📌 Strategy Overview:
• Entry on breakout above ₹1040
• Target 1: ₹1080
• Target 2: ₹1126
• Stop-loss: ₹955 (below pattern support)
Timeframes Aligned:
Weekly: Structure intact with price near resistance
Daily: Ready for breakout
Hourly: Momentum building near apex
---
🧠 Conclusion:
A multi-timeframe setup with technical + narrative alignment. Watch for confirmation with strong candle + above-average volume.
INTERARCHINTERARCH is looking strong, there is probability of an upside move.
Keep eyes on this.
✅ If you like my analysis, please follow me as a token of appreciation :)
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📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
HAVELLS Channel Breakout Setup with Earnings Ahead Havells is approaching a crucial resistance trendline within a well-defined downward sloping channel. Price currently tests mid-channel and historical supply zones, with multiple Leola Lens SignalPro yellow caution labels plotted—historically seen before directional reversals.
📌 Structure Highlights:
Clear channel formation since April
Multiple resistance rejections near 1580 zone
Buy interest seen near lower boundary with SignalPro confirmation
Breakout projection suggests target zone near 1680, aligning with prior volume gap
📅 Earnings event likely to be a catalyst. Monitor price behavior post-results for potential breakout confirmation above 1580.
🧠 Leola Lens™ SignalPro Notes:
Yellow caution labels have repeatedly appeared near key turning points within the channel, suggesting possible trend transition zones. These zones highlight moments of institutional activity, where smart money behavior often shifts.
The yellow caution markers indicate potential trend change zones, based on historical conditions where price has shown institutional interest or liquidity shifts. These zones are not direct buy/sell signals, but highlight areas to monitor closely for structural confirmation.
🧠 This chart is intended for educational and structural analysis only. No financial advice.
Flag, Pole and Patience– Learning from the Bigger TimeframeIn trading, patterns on higher timeframes often carry deeper meaning.
What you’re seeing in this chart isn’t a forecast — it’s a learning opportunity.
Let’s break this down:
🔺 POLE:
This sharp rally from 2020–2022 represents a strong burst of momentum. That’s your Pole — it shows clean directional intent from market participants.
🏁 FLAG:
After the rally, price didn’t crash — it started consolidating. This sideways or slightly downward structure is known as the Flag.
It often appears as a phase of “cooling off” — traders taking profits, new buyers waiting.
📈 RALLY + CONSOLIDATION = Classic Flag & Pole
A rally followed by consolidation = textbook flag structure.
⏳ And here’s the takeaway:
When viewed on a Monthly (WTF - Way Too Far 😅) timeframe, these patterns take years to form. But that also means they carry weight.
No predictions here. Just learning.
Understanding market rhythm through structure > outcome can be your edge.
PEL : Is this just a breakout… or start of a multi-bagger move?NSE:PEL
🔍 Technical Analysis (Chart-Based)
📌 Pattern:
Cup and Handle Breakout clearly visible
Strong breakout above ₹1,197.80 neckline
Brief retracement after rally, likely testing ₹1,272.25 as support
📊 Key Levels:
Immediate Support: ₹1,272.25 (could act as a bullish retest)
Major Support: ₹1,197.80 (neckline of the cup and handle)
Resistance Zone: ₹1,360–1,400 (potential target zone post breakout)
🔄 Indicators & Momentum:
A strong bullish trend confirmed with higher highs and higher lows
Volume during breakout likely high (needs confirmation)
If price respects ₹1,272 and reverses, fresh upmove possible
🎯 Technical Summary:
Trend: Bullish
Bias: Buy on dips near support zones
Targets: ₹1,360, then ₹1,420
Stop Loss: Below ₹1,197
========================================
🧮 Fundamental Analysis (PEL - 2025 Outlook)
========================================
🏢 About the Company:
Piramal Enterprises Ltd operates mainly in:
Financial services (retail and wholesale lending)
Recent demerger of pharma business (PEL is now a pure NBFC)
📈 Key Financials (FY24–FY25E):
Metric Value
Market Cap ~₹30,000+ Cr
Revenue (FY24) ₹8,200+ Cr
Net Profit (FY24) ₹900+ Cr
P/E Ratio ~28–30x
Book Value ~₹1,300+
Price-to-Book (P/B) ~1.0x
ROE 6–8%
Debt/Equity ~0.8–1.0x
🔍 Key Positives:
Strong book value support
Low P/B indicates undervaluation vs peers
Cleaned-up balance sheet after pharma demerger
Focus on retail lending (more stable than wholesale)
⚠️ Risks to Watch:
Still consolidating after business restructuring
NBFC sector sensitive to interest rate cycles & RBI regulation
ROE still on the lower side compared to peers
=====================================
📌 Investment View (Short + Long-Term)
=====================================
✅ Short-Term View (1–3 months):
Technicals favor continuation of uptrend
Momentum can take it to ₹1,360–1,400 if support holds
✅ Long-Term View (6–18 months):
Strong restructuring play post-demerger
Clean balance sheet and pivot to retail NBFC is positive
Long-term target can be ₹1,600–1,800 if execution remains strong
========================================
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors.
This is our personal view based on available data and market trends.
Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content.
========================
Trade Secrets By Pratik
========================
Big Move Coming? Watch This Classic VCP Setup on Shriram FinanceHello everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your trading and your life as well. Today i have brought a setup which name is VCP (Volatility Contraction Pattern) is one of the most powerful base setups, where the price contracts in multiple tight ranges, showing controlled strength. It signals that supply is drying up and the stock is getting ready for a strong move, usually a breakout. What makes it special is the combination of tightening price with lowering volume , and that's exactly what we can observe in Shriram Finance right now.
The stock has taken multiple supports from key EMAs like 9, 21, and 50 during this entire consolidation, a classic VCP sign. With each dip being bought quickly and bounce getting tighter, the stock is preparing for a potential breakout move.
Keep this one on radar , structure is clean, volume behavior is ideal, and if momentum comes, VCP patterns don’t disappoint.
For levels and risk-reward, please refer the chart above.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Aether Industry — 92% profit growth and zero debt NSE:AETHER
A silent specialty chemical beast—92% profit growth and zero debt...!
🏢 **Company Overview:**
Aether Industries is a Surat-based specialty chemical manufacturer focused on high-margin, research-driven intermediates used in pharmaceuticals, agrochemicals, coatings, and oil & gas. It is known for proprietary process chemistry and niche product innovation.
📈 Fundamental Analysis:
✅ Key Financials (FY25 Estimates):
Market Cap: ₹10,900 Cr
Revenue: ₹838 Cr (+40% YoY)
Net Profit: ₹158 Cr (+92% YoY)
EBITDA Margin: ~32%
Net Profit Margin: ~19%
ROE / ROCE: ~7.4% / ~6%
P/E Ratio: ~70x
Debt to Equity: ~0.06 (Debt-free)
🧩 Strengths:
Fast-growing specialty chemical company with proprietary products.
Debt-free and financially stable.
High-margin CRAMS and contract manufacturing model.
⚠️ Risks:
Valuation is rich, pricing in future growth.
Return ratios (ROE/ROCE) are modest compared to peers.
📊 Technical Analysis (As of July 2025):
CMP: ₹823
52-Week Range: ₹725 – ₹1,071
Moving Averages: Price above 50/100-day MAs; approaching 200-day MA
RSI: ~65 (Neutral–Bullish)
MACD: Neutral to Mild Bullish
Support: ₹780 – ₹800
Resistance: ₹832 – ₹840
📉 Short-Term Outlook:
A breakout above ₹840 may trigger upside to ₹900+. A close below ₹800 could lead to short-term weakness.
🚀 Future Growth Prospects:
High-Margin Niche Leadership: Focused on low-volume, high-value intermediates with global demand.
Strong Financial Performance: Consistent revenue and profit growth; scalable R&D-driven model.
Export & Global Pharma Exposure: Major clients across US, EU, and Japan.
New Capacity Expansion: Setting up new manufacturing blocks to double capacity over the next 2 years.
📝 Conclusion:
Parameter Verdict
Fundamentals 🔵 Strong – R&D-led growth with clean balance sheet
Technicals 🟠 Mixed – needs breakout above key resistance
Valuation 🟠 Expensive – high P/E, growth priced in
Long-Term View ✅ Positive – niche specialty play
Short-Term View 🔄 Wait for breakout or accumulate on dips
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⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors.
This is our personal view based on available data and market trends.
Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content.
========================
Trade Secrets By Pratik
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Data Patterns: Brain behind India’s missile, radar & ISRO tech.NSE:DATAPATTNS
🏢 Company Overview:
Data Patterns is a vertically integrated defense and aerospace electronics solutions provider. It designs, develops, manufactures, and tests advanced electronic systems used in:
Radar, Electronic Warfare
Avionics, Missile Systems
Satcom, Communication & Surveillance
It’s one of the few Indian defense electronics companies with end-to-end capabilities—from design to delivery.
📈 Fundamental Analysis:
✅ Key Financials (FY24-25 Estimates):
Market Cap ₹13,000+ Cr
Revenue (FY24) ₹480–500 Cr
EBITDA Margin ~38%
PAT Margin ~28–30%
ROE / ROCE 25%+ / 30%+
Debt to Equity 0 (Debt-free)
P/E Ratio ~70x (Premium)
🧩 Strengths:
Strong order book visibility with over ₹900 Cr+ backlog.
In-house R&D and full control over hardware + software.
Supplied systems to ISRO, DRDO, BEL, HAL — proven credibility.
High margin & asset-light business model.
⚠️ Risks:
Heavy dependency on government contracts (lumpy revenue).
High valuations — pricing in future growth.
Competition from global defense OEMs and local PSU giants.
📊 Technical Analysis (As of July 2025):
🧾 Price Action Summary:
CMP: ₹2,880 (Example)
52-Week Range: ₹1,650 – ₹2,980
Trend: Strong uptrend since Jan 2025
Support Zone: ₹2,550 – ₹2,650
Resistance: ₹3,000 (psychological and technical resistance)
🔍 Indicators:
200 EMA: ₹2,200 (Stock trading well above long-term average)
MACD: Positive with histogram expanding
RSI: 71 – Overbought, watch for pullbacks
Volume: Spikes near breakout levels – confirms strength
📉 Short-Term View:
Likely to consolidate near ₹2,800–₹3,000
Fresh breakout above ₹3,000 may lead to ₹3,400–₹3,600 zone
🚀 Future Growth Prospects:
🛰️ 1. Defense Capex Boom:
Indian Government’s “Atmanirbhar Bharat” push & higher defense budget directly benefits defense tech firms like Data Patterns.
🧠 2. R&D & IP-Led Growth:
Owns IP of most products – high operating leverage and export potential.
🌍 3. Export Market Entry:
Partnering with foreign OEMs; growing traction in South-East Asia, Middle East.
🛠️ 4. Order Book Strength:
High-margin orders across radar, avionics, and missile sub-systems.
Client base includes DRDO, BrahMos, BEL, ISRO, HAL – strong pipeline ahead.
📝 Conclusion:
Parameter Verdict
Fundamentals 🔵 Very Strong (Debt-free, high ROCE)
Technicals 🟢 Bullish (Watch ₹3,000 zone)
Valuation 🟡 Expensive but justified by moat
Long-Term View ✅ Positive – IP-driven defense electronics play
Short-Term View 🔄 Wait for breakout or buy on dips near ₹2,600
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⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors.
This is our personal view based on available data and market trends.
Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content.
========================
Trade Secrets By Pratik
========================
MTAR Technologies: The hidden giant behind space & clean Energy NSE:MTARTECH
🏢 Company Overview:
MTAR Technologies Ltd is a precision engineering company catering to high-value, mission-critical sectors such as:
Clean Energy (Hydrogen, Nuclear, etc.)
Space & Defence
Aerospace
They manufacture critical components like fuel cells, nuclear reactor parts, aerospace engines, and satellite launch system parts.
📈 Fundamental Analysis:
✅ Key Financials (FY24-25 Estimates):
Market Cap : ₹6,500+ Cr
Revenue (FY24) : ₹650 Cr+
EBITDA Margin : ~28-30%
PAT Margin : ~15%
ROE / ROCE : 15-18% / 20%+
Debt to Equity : 0.1 (Very low)
P/E Ratio : ~45x (Premium)
🧩 Strengths:
Strong order book from ISRO, DRDO, BHEL, and international clean energy players like Bloom Energy.
Technological moat in nuclear & space-grade precision engineering.
Low debt, high return ratios—financials are robust.
Entering Hydrogen & Fuel Cell space—a big long-term catalyst.
⚠️ Risks:
Dependency on a few clients (Bloom Energy being a major one).
Volatility in clean energy adoption pace.
High valuation – priced for growth.
📊 Technical Analysis (As of July 2025):
🧾 Price Action Summary:
CMP: ₹2,050 (Example)
52-Week Range: ₹1,250 – ₹2,150
Trend: Bullish continuation from March 2025
Support Zone: ₹1,860 – ₹1,950
Resistance: ₹2,150 (all-time high breakout zone)
🔍 Indicators:
200 EMA: ₹1,620 (Stock trading well above 200 EMA)
MACD: Bullish crossover on daily chart
RSI: ~67—momentum strong but near overbought zone
Volume: Rising steadily with price—confirms strength
📉 Short-Term View:
Healthy consolidation expected around ₹2,000–₹2,150
A breakout above ₹2,150 could lead to ₹2,400–₹2,600 zone
🚀 Future Growth Prospects:
🔬 1. Clean Energy Boom:
Supplying parts to Bloom Energy (US-based Fuel Cell firm).
India’s green hydrogen policy and PLI schemes can benefit MTAR.
🛰️ 2. Space & Defense:
Increasing budgets in defense, ISRO’s new missions, and India’s entry into private space programs can drive long-term orders.
💹 3. Export Potential:
MTAR is entering global markets for nuclear and aerospace precision components.
USD-denominated revenues provide a hedge and higher margins.
🌱 4. Capex & Expansion:
New manufacturing facility in Adibatla, Telangana.
Capex being done to triple capacity in the coming 3–5 years.
📝 Conclusion:
Parameter Verdict
Fundamentals 🔵 Strong (Clean Balance Sheet, Healthy Margins)
Technicals 🟢 Bullish (But Near Resistance)
Valuation 🟡 Slightly Overvalued (but justified by growth)
Long-Term View ✅ Positive – Multiyear structural story
Short-Term View 🔄 Wait for consolidation or breakout above ₹2,150
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors.
This is our personal view based on available data and market trends.
Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content.
========================
Trade Secrets By Pratik
========================
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