Swingtrading
ADANI WILAMR by KRS Charts5th Nov 2024 / 9:22 AM
Why AWL ❓❓
1. Decent Fundamental and Corrected Stock Technically.
2. Even its Correcting since long time, it made HL in monthly Timeframe. Which is good sign.✅
3. Clearly 5 Wave Correction Structure is finished, One Bounce is expected till 4th Wave height from current price.
4. Upside Movement can be Sluggish it's a swing Entry so. 📈
With a Good R/R more than 1:3 Target will be 509 Rs.
with SL of 285 Rs Daily Closing Basis.
Lupin Stock Analysis: Strong Fundamentals & Bullish setup.FUNDAMENTALS & TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
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Fundamental Analysis:
1. Earnings per Share (EPS):
• Q3 2024 EPS estimate is 17.29 INR, and the reported values for the prior quarters (Q4 ’23, Q1 ’24, Q2 ’24) have consistently beaten estimates with surprises ranging from 11.08% to 41.55%.
• This indicates strong financial performance and the company’s ability to exceed market expectations.
2. Revenue:
• Reported revenue for Q1 ’24 and Q2 ’24 surpassed estimates with 5.37% and 2.38% surprises, respectively.
• The company is expected to generate 56.45B INR in revenue for Q3 ’24. This suggests consistent growth, which is a positive indicator for long-term investors.
3. Conclusion from Fundamentals:
• Strong EPS growth and consistent revenue beats show that the company is performing well financially.
• With upcoming reports due in February 2025, further positive earnings surprises could lead to upward momentum.
Technical Analysis
1. Current Price Action:
• The stock is trading near 2,140 INR, approaching key fair value gaps (FVG) at 2,150 INR (1D FVG) and 2,273.45 INR (higher target zone).
2. Support & Resistance:
• Major support zone is near 1,985.90 INR (Daily Low).
• Resistance zones lie at 2,218.30 INR, 2,273.45 INR, and the Daily High of 2,313.20 INR.
3. Market Structure:
• There is a change of character (Choch) on the chart, suggesting potential bullishness if it sustains above 2,150 INR.
• The stock may consolidate slightly before moving towards the higher resistance zones.
4. Short-term Prediction:
• Likely to test 2,273.45 INR in the near term if the bullish structure holds.
• A break below 1,985.90 INR would invalidate the bullish setup.
Conclusion:
• Investment Decision:
• Buy: Based on strong fundamentals (earnings and revenue growth) and a bullish technical structure, the stock looks promising for swing trading or medium-term investing.
• Entry Point: Around 2,140-2,150 INR, aligning with the technical FVG and support zones.
• Target: 2,273.45 INR (short-term) and 2,313.20 INR (medium-term).
• Stop Loss: Below 1,985.90 INR to manage risk in case the bullish structure fails.
DISCLAIMER ▶️ THIS IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING
2 Potential Swing trading stocks for 23 December MarketsI daily make educational content videos for swing / positional trading
Both are Potential swing trading ideas that are not active yet. I have explained the setup, pattern, and line-making behind them with a solid plan. Let's see if the plan gets activated.
FLAG AND POLE BREAKOUTVA TECH WABAG LTD ltd has given a strong breakout with strong volume. The short term and mid term momentum is also bullish. trade has RR of 1:3 so it is a good trade.
DISCLAIMER: I am not a SEBI registered technical analyst. I do not provide calls and signals. The above analysis is solely for educational purpose. Iam not responsible for any loss/profit. DO NOT TRADE!
Centum Electronics Breakout. A 20% Up move possibility Pattern Analysis
1. Broadening Channel:
• This pattern is characterized by higher highs and lower lows, forming a widening range.
• It suggests increased volatility and indecision in the market.
2. Key Observations:
• The stock price is nearing the upper resistance line of the broadening channel (~₹2300–₹2400 levels).
• Historical data shows a strong rejection from this resistance zone.
• Support lies near ₹1800 (the lower boundary of the channel).
3. Volume:
• A breakout above the resistance line with significant volume could confirm an upward trend continuation.
• A lack of volume near the resistance could result in a pullback or consolidation.
4. Risk-Reward:
• If the stock breaks out, the potential upside could be near ₹3000 (as indicated in the projection).
• However, failure to break the resistance might result in a decline to the lower support (~₹1800 or lower).
Disclaimer- This is for educational purposes only. Please do your own research before investing.
Potential Opportunity in PEL: Weekly Breakout in a ConsolidationPEL has been trading within a well-defined triangle pattern for quite some time now, showing excellent consolidation. Key support and resistance levels have been marked, making the setup more structured and reliable.
Recently, a breakout has been observed on the weekly timeframe, indicating the potential for a strong upward movement. However, to confirm the breakout's validity, waiting for a weekly closing above the breakout level is essential.
Strategy:
Observation Period: Monitor this week’s closing to confirm the breakout.
Entry Plan: If the breakout sustains, consider buying the stock for short- to mid-term gains.
Targets: While the upside potential is open-ended, the first target has been marked for guidance.
Key Takeaways:
The triangle pattern on the weekly chart is a strong technical signal.
Breakouts from such patterns often lead to significant price movements.
It’s essential to remain disciplined and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Personal Note:
Apologies for the lack of updates recently. I’ll strive to provide regular market insights and updates moving forward. Let’s keep an eye on PEL as it has the potential to generate substantial returns in the near term.
Stay tuned for more updates!
2 Amazing swing trading idea for 19 December MarketsI daily make educational content videos for swing / positional trading
Analyzed Gravita and Technoe stocks based on counter-trendline breakout price action, mother candles, and pattern trading. Despite solid setups, I discussed risk management and why I chose not to enter. Perfect examples of amazing price action opportunities!
Jyoti CNC Automation: Strong Growth, Expensive Valuation AheadJyoti CNC Automation has seen significant growth, reflected in its market cap of ₹32,690 Cr. and a current price of ₹1,436, near its 52-week high of ₹1,463. The stock’s remarkable rise from a low of ₹368 highlights strong investor interest. Key profitability metrics such as ROCE at 21.2% and ROE at 20.8% indicate efficient capital utilization and strong returns for shareholders.
However, the stock’s P/E ratio of 119 is notably high, suggesting an expensive valuation relative to earnings. Additionally, with a book value of ₹65.7, the stock trades at a significant premium, raising concerns about overvaluation. The absence of a dividend yield (0.00%) indicates the company is reinvesting profits for growth, making it appealing for growth-focused investors.
Overall, while Jyoti CNC Automation demonstrates strong fundamentals and growth potential, the premium valuation demands caution, especially for risk-averse investors.
Now talking about the Technical analysis of chart, we can observe that
- Stock is trading above its 20 EMA and 50 EMA
- Stock price has taken the liquidity above the previous weekly high price
- We have 2 FVG that could act as a potential buy are for smart money
- For buy our setup would be sweet as cake, we wait for any Fvg to be filled and a good bullish candle indicating strong participation.
- We mostly trade on Engulfing candles, Morning stars & Pinbars
Note this is for educational purpose only. Please do your own research before investing.
ORIENT CEMENT - Fast Momentum can be expectedPrice analysis & Overview:
1. Liquidity taken from the demand zone.
2. Bouncing from EMA.
3. Good volumes.
4. RRR is favourable.
Trade Plan:
1. ENTRY = Will be best 255, as it is already moved away from entry currently.
2. SL = !0%
3. TP = 1:2,1:3
- Stay tuned for further insights, updates and trade safely!
- These are my personal views.
- If you liked the analysis, don't forget to leave a comment and boost the post. Happy trading!
Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recommendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Please, do your due diligence before investing.
Thanks & Regards,
Anubrata Ray
HCL TECH - Bullish Outlook | Min 25%+ upside potentialPrice Analysis & Overview:
1. Breakout & Retest of the previous ATH levels.
2. Tapped Weekly demand area.
3. EMA support taken.
4. Showing good strength in buying.
5. RRR is favourable.
Trade Plan:
ENTRY = CMP 1440
SL= 10% 1300
TP = 1:2,1:3,1:4
- Stay tuned for further insights, updates and trade safely!
- These are my personal views.
- If you liked the analysis, don't forget to leave a comment and boost the post. Happy trading!
Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recommendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Please, do your due diligence before investing.
Thanks & Regards,
Anubrata Ray
flag and pole pattern breakoutStyrenix performance ltd has formed and successfully broke the pattern.
The breakout in the pattern can be seen with rising volumes which indicates strong buyers hold.
Along with short and medium term, long term momentum is also strong according to indicators. Positions could be made with minimum expectation of 1:3 R:R.
AxisBank | Trendline BUll Breakout ⭕️ Swing Trading opportunity: Price Action Analysis Alert !!!⭕️
💡✍️Technical Reasons to trade or Strategy applied :-
✅Inverted Head & Shoulder Chart Pattern Bull Breakout
✅Breakout confirmed
✅Rise in Volume
✅Good 3 touches Trendline Breakout with volume
✅Clear uptrend with HH & HLs sequence
✅ Order block as potential Supports
✅Check out my TradingView profile to see how we analyze charts and execute trades.
🙋♀️🙋♂️If you have any questions about this stock, feel free to reach out to me.
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Maruti | Trendline Bull Breakout ⭕️ Swing Trading opportunity: Price Action Analysis Alert !!!⭕️
💡✍️Technical Reasons to trade or Strategy applied :-
✅Inverted Head & Shoulder Chart Pattern Bull Breakout
✅Breakout confirmed
✅Rise in Volume
✅Good 3 touches Trendline Breakout with volume
✅Clear uptrend with HH & HLs sequence
✅ Order block as potential Supports
✅Check out my TradingView profile to see how we analyze charts and execute trades.
🙋♀️🙋♂️If you have any questions about this stock, feel free to reach out to me.
📍📌Thank you for exploring our idea! We hope you found it valuable.
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Asian Paints | Possible Bottom ? ⭕️ Swing Trading opportunity: Price Action Analysis Alert !!!⭕️
💡✍️Technical Reasons to trade or Strategy applied :-
✅Inverted Head & Shoulder Chart Pattern Bull Breakout
✅Breakout confirmed
✅Rise in Volume
✅Good 3 touches Trendline Breakout with volume
✅Clear uptrend with HH & HLs sequence
✅ Order block as potential Target
✅Check out my TradingView profile to see how we analyze charts and execute trades.
🙋♀️🙋♂️If you have any questions about this stock, feel free to reach out to me.
📍📌Thank you for exploring our idea! We hope you found it valuable.
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Updater Service Ltd. Good for a short swing. - At a support
-Good ROE ROCE
- Risk 11%
Updater Services Limited: UDS
Operates as an integrated business services provider in India, offering solutions in facilities management (IFM) and business support services (BSS). It caters to industries like hospitality, manufacturing, and IT, providing services such as housekeeping, pest control, logistics, staffing, and sales enablement.
Financial Overview:
Revenue Growth: The company achieved a trailing twelve-month revenue of ₹26 billion as of September 2024, with a growth rate of 13.52% year-over-year.
Profitability: Net income stood at ₹985.8 million for the same period.
Earnings: Its Q2 FY2025 earnings per share (EPS) increased to ₹4.20 from ₹1.86 in Q2 FY2024, reflecting strong performance.
Market Capitalization: ₹27.42 billion, with a P/S ratio of 1.05, indicating a reasonable valuation relative to its sales.
Growth Prospects:
1. Acquisitions: UDS has been expanding its portfolio through acquisitions, such as stakes in Athena BPO and Denave India, which enhance its service offerings and geographical reach.
2. Industry Demand: The integrated facility management market in India is growing, driven by demand from corporates for comprehensive services.
3. Potential Risks: Insider selling and valuation concerns indicate some investor caution despite recent performance improvements.
Overall, UDS demonstrates robust growth potential supported by consistent revenue increases and strategic acquisitions. However, investors should monitor valuation levels and insider activity for signs of market sentiment changes.
Exide Inverted HnS plus double bottomA bullish trade on Exide in daily TF
Entry Range- 462-464
Sl- 450
Target- 480, 490
Pattern- Inverted HnS in Daily TF and A double bottom.
Note- Entry to be made on retracement at the given Entry level. Very good Risk Reward Trade.
Disclaimer-This trade is just for educational purpose. Please take advice from your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Breakout in DTF | DCM SHRIRAM IND LTD⭕️ Investing opportunity: Price Action Analysis Alert !!!⭕️
💡✍️Technical Reasons to trade or Strategy applied :-
✅Trendline+Zone Breakout in DTF🔥
✅Making Strong Chart Pattern💪
✅ Making Higher Lows (Bullish Sign)🚀
✅Strong EMA Indicator🚨
✅ Volume Spike⬅️
✅Check out my TradingView profile to see how we analyze charts and execute trades.
🙋♀️🙋♂️If you have any questions about this stock, feel free to reach out to me.
📍📌Thank you for exploring our idea! We hope you found it valuable.
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