TCS
Late night Technical analysis talk - 20 Stocks in 20 minsTrading ideology and some important key points to rem : ( Have a good trading session guys )
Sail trade: let it break 1hr Trianglepattern to initiate a good buy by respecting risk and holding it if it converts into a winning trade
Tata steel: Gave a breakout on 25 June on D chart and retest on 2 July then broke the major hurdle of 1180 levels, on 1hr a good long trade can be initiated there
until and unless it is above 1230 levels it's bullish and might rally for higher levels, let it create a good pattern or structure above 1230 to make it tradable
Bajaj Auto: Breakout of symmetrical triangle pattern for downside on 8 July led the trigger of a great fall, now it is creating a channel pattern on 1hr that to a downtrend parallel channel
Just dial: after a super move in the north direction the stock is resting on a good trendline, lets see if it creates a bullish green bar on D chart here, that would be our trade activation
JYOTHI LABS : Big broadening pattern, inside it gave a wedge pattern bullish side breakout with 3% candle small risk and hige rewards achieved on this trade, now touched the upper side of the broadening pattern and consolidating there
on 1hr it is making a really nice tradable pattern, if broken a trade can be planned out and trade with proper risk management rules
Motheron sumi : Stock is sideways on D chart btw the levels of 230 and 245 but also making a good trendline on 1hr that if broken with a close above 245 can be a really good long for higher levels, let it break first then will trade our plan
TCS : Multiple times taking support from the one good supportive trendline, again the stock is there creating a fresh moment for upside, trade is already activated here on 1hr TF with 2% risk and 6% rewards
TechM : gave a breakout of a very big broadening pattern also strong on weekly charts too, one can create a trade here only but the risk is 5.5% so rewards can be 6% or above, trade as per :)
Bandhan bank : The banking sector is a weak sector for quite a while now and Bandhan bank is just following them, on 21 June it gave a good breakout with volume and power but again came back to the price of 300, seems quite bearish
Zeel is creating a good symmetrical triangle, I would wait for the stock to come to a supportive trendline and let it make a bullish candle there or create a pattern thereon 1hr to trade it for the next leg of the symmetrical triangle
GSPL: Quite bullish stock multiple breakouts and retest zones created in the video too make you understand its bullishness, also on 1hr it is making a handsome pattern to trade on if broken with a good bullish candle, one should go long as per there setup and risk system
USHAMART : provided analysis yesterday, just a follow up on the idea that it gave a good breakout in today's running market and created a small retest zone there only then a good rally of 7% from the buy point, also closed strong on the D chart
APOLLO : It has given a good breakout of 20% on 29 April, mostly untradale to a lot of people but a stock that must be in your wathc list :) as after that reversal 20% candle, it is now making a good paralle channel on D chart that it is following judisicously
PIIND : Gave a superb breakout on 6/7 april on 1hr and 1D both, a pattern also called as inverted HnS, very effective bullish pattern, now the stock has rallied almsot 40% after it and respecting a good supportive trendline, it has touched it but with a big red candle, let it make a small but bullish
candle on D cahart first, then we will trade our plan
Apollotyres : Creating a good symmetrical traignle on D chart lets see if it can break it then will trade our plan of breakout trading with proper risk system
ACC : Gave a good move after the trendline tested again and a monthly strong bar too can be seen in ACC keep in watchlist
HAL : a good pattern on D chart of triangle type broken some days back and now retested too, but the candle is not that bullish still a trade can be on 1hr, but let it make a good pattern and structure above 1050 levels
Will Nifty Succumb to 15835-50 again?NIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS -22-07-21
IN SUMMARY
Open / High / Low / Close
15736.6 / 15834.8 / 15726.4 / 15824.05
Trading Range Low to High: 98 points
Likely Max Realistic Opportunity @ 50%: 49 points
India VIX: 11.89 / -9.99%
FII DII activities: +700 Crores
CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS
A 202-point recovery reads interesting. However, in effect, we have ended the day around the high of 19-7-21 with the only change that close is higher than that of 19-7.
A strong gap=up opening with a steady rise and the usual expiry type of nosedive and then recovery and closed just below the day’s high and the notorious 15835 levels
All weak hands have been shaken out. But the short-term bears have not yet given up. So it is important to see where the weekly close is.
TOP 3 LOSERS
HINDUSTAN UNILEVER - The FMCG giant made a move that covered the last several days’ range and fell sharply from the high of 2508 to end near day low of 2378. This is a big move ahead of its results. Looks like one more company shaking off expectations and bringing the price to the real level.
ASIAN PAINTS - The scrip that emerged as a strong leader on a red day 20-7-21, could not even test the close of that day and fell. The momentum is still high so this may be the usual profit booking.
BAJAJ AUTO - Somewhat similar to HUL, but it closed better than HUL and is still within the zone, but the momentum has died down. So it will need a recharge of batteries before it can move up further. It may also get attracted towards 200 DMA which is around 3700 should bearishness prevail.
TOP 3 GAINERS
TECHM - A towering move by the IT major which took support from its 20 DMA rose after making consolidation every few days. This is a nice move with the momentum catching up above 60 RSI.
JSW STEEL - A move like today was necessary for it to move out of the wall like resistance created by 50 DMA which is now likely to act as a support. RSI is below 60 so the scrip may face some headwinds in the coming sessions.
BAJAJ FINANCE - A classic 50 DMA bounce after its results and the move is somewhat similar to JSW STEEL in the sense that it still has some headwinds ahead and RSI still below 60.
POSITIVES
INFOSYS, ICICI BANK, RELIANCE & HDFC took it upon themselves to bring the index above 15800 and close it.
While INFOSYS and ICICI BANK showed strength from the open, it was RELIANCE who suddenly woke up from the slumber ahead of its results tomorrow to make all the difference and help lift Nifty after it fell in late trades on the expiry day.
All key heavyweights including HDFC BANK except HINDUSTAN UNILEVER ended in non-negative itself is a big plus for the index.
FII-DII net buyers +600 Crores.
NEGATIVES
Nifty fell in the PM session only because of Banknifty retracing more than 300 points from the day high of 34989 - a classic psycho resistance of 35000.
Barring ICICI BANK, none of the heavyweight banks performed the way they should have considering the fact that there was good positive sentiment today.
Banknifty yet again underperforming by almost 300+ points is going to make things hard for Nifty.
TRADING RANGE FOR 22-07-21
The support line for Nifty is now moved up to 15700-750 with the resistances ar 15835-850 and above until it makes a close above 15950.
34300-3400 is now the support area for Bannifty with 35000-35200 as the resistance band.
INSIGHT / OBSERVATIONS
The Nifty lot size is now 50 for all FNO contracts.
TCS is ready to move up but stray news re its spending a few Million USDs on marathon seems to have dampened the spirits. But this is how TCS is. It moves only when it has to and the day it moves, it does not look back. When is the biggest question?
KOTAK BANK is witnessing severe pressure around 1720-25 levels and keeps getting dragged to lower levels close to 1700-1705. There is something that is not visible from the retail vision.
Thank you, and Happy Money Making!
Umesh
22-07-2021.
P.S. If you choose to comment on the above, please do so with your analytical view rather than merely passing a comment. Your presentation of the view held by you would help other readers as well.
NOTE --
This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
TCS#TCS
Currently is in minor and Trendline Support, it was consolidated nearly 5 days near the support level and made bullish reversal pattern Inverted Hammer and yesterday it's givin confirmation for upside movement. For intraday: Buy above 3210, Stop Loss 3195 Targets are 3225 and 3240 For Positional: Buy above 3215 Stop Loss 3150 Targets are 3300 and 3400.
Rising Wedge pattern in weekly chart of TCSProbable scenario:- The rising wedge pattern is a probable sign of a strong bearish movement. In the case of TCS, if the price doesn't hold the support line it might go bearish . If the price doesn't find immediate support while retracing it might go for a strong bearish move.
Alternate Scenario:- If the price breakouts the resistance level and holds that position for some period then the strong bullish trend might continue which is less probable to happen.
Probable scenario: Alternate Scenario = 70 : 30