Accumulated Gold on Support, 3,952 USD is the Gateway for a New 🔍 Market Context
Gold is oscillating within a symmetrical triangle pattern , reflecting price compression and waiting for a breakout signal.
Buyers still maintain a short-term bullish structure, but the series of lower highs indicates increasing selling pressure.
The zone 3,959–3,964 USD is currently the “balance point” — if this area is breached, the downtrend may extend to the lower liquidity zone around 3,929–3,921 USD .
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Resistance Zone: 4,020 – 4,040 USD → the main resistance of the triangle, where strong reactions are likely.
• Support Zone: 3,959 – 3,964 USD → the support zone maintaining the bullish structure.
• Liquidity Zone: 3,929 – 3,921 USD → a low liquidity zone, potentially attracting price sweeps before reversing.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Setup – Preferred when price holds above support
• Entry: 3,959 – 3,964 USD
• Stop Loss: 3,940 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 3,985
– TP2: 4,020
– TP3: 4,040
– TP4: 4,096
✳️ “Buy the discount” – Buy at the trendline support zone when a confirmation signal appears (rejection or bullish ChoCH).
2️⃣ SELL Setup – Scenario if support breaks
• Entry: 3,950 – 3,955 USD (after closing a candle below the support zone)
• Stop Loss: 3,970 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 3,935
– TP2: 3,925
– TP3: 3,912
✳️ “Sell the breakdown” – Sell when support is clearly breached, targeting the lowest liquidity zone (3,912 USD).
💬 Summary
Gold is in a phase of accumulation before a major move .
If it holds above 3,952 USD → prioritize BUY according to the bullish structure .
If it breaks below 3,952 USD → SELL according to the breakout towards the Liquidity Zone.
The scenario will be clearly confirmed when the current symmetrical triangle is broken.
💡 Today's Tagline:
“Liquidity defines direction — follow where the money hides.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Update: 04/11/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Techincalanalysis
GOLD TRADING INSIGHTS TODAY WITH LUCYGOLD TRADING INSIGHTS TODAY WITH LUCY 💛
Hello everyone 🌸
The gold market (XAUUSD) today is showing many interesting signals as the price continues to test the crucial trendline area. Traders' sentiment is quite cautious at the moment – both buyers and sellers are “squaring off” around the liquidity balance zone.
🔍 Technical Analysis
On the chart, gold is moving within a narrowing triangle price channel – this indicates momentum is accumulating, and when the price breaks in either direction, the subsequent volatility will be very strong ⚡
Currently, the price is reacting around the main trendline, but there is no clear breakout signal yet.
In my personal view, the probability of a decline remains higher, however, further confirmation is needed before entering a trade.
The important point to note is the support area at 3965, which is the key boundary to confirm a clear downtrend.
If the price breaks through this area, the possibility of extending towards the Fibonacci 2.618 area around 3890 is entirely possible.
⚙️ Price Levels to Watch
Currently, the 3990 – 4012 area is short-term resistance, where sellers may reappear.
Meanwhile, the 3965 – 3945 – 3920 areas are the main supports that need close observation.
If the price continues to hold above 3945, the likelihood of a short-term rebound is quite high.
🎯 Today's Trading Scenario
💼 Buy: 3945
⛔ SL: 3938
🎯 TP: 3958 – 3977 – 3992 – 4012
💼 Sell: When the price clearly breaks below support 3965
⛔ SL: Above the breakout area
🎯 Expected TP: extending towards the Fibonacci 2.618 area around 3890
I still prefer to observe the price reaction at the trendline area, and only act when there is clear confirmation — because in a triangle pattern, the patient one will always be the winner 🌙
⚠️ Note & Conclusion
The above analysis reflects only Lucy's personal perspective, based on Trendline – Fibonacci – ICT factors 📊
This is not investment advice.
Please share your views on gold in the comments section 💬
And don't forget to follow Lucy for daily updates on insightful analyses —
where technical analysis merges with market emotions 💫🌸
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(04/11/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open flat near the 58,100–58,150 zone, following a phase of mild recovery from lower levels in the previous sessions. The index is currently consolidating in a narrow range, suggesting that traders are waiting for a clear breakout to determine the next directional move.
If Bank Nifty manages to sustain above 58,150–58,200, it may extend its upside move toward 58,250, 58,350, and 58,450+. A breakout above 58,450 will strengthen bullish momentum, opening the path toward 58,600–58,700 in the short term.
On the downside, immediate support lies at 57,950–57,900. A decisive move below this zone could trigger a decline toward 57,750, 57,650, and 57,550, where buyers may look to re-enter.
Overall, with a flat opening, Bank Nifty is likely to trade within a range of 57,900–58,400. Traders should wait for a breakout on either side before taking fresh positions and maintain strict stop losses to navigate potential intraday volatility.
Ambuja Cements Ltd – Inverted Head & Shoulder Breakout in ProgreAmbuja Cements is displaying a classic Inverted Head & Shoulder pattern on the weekly timeframe, signaling a potential medium-term trend reversal. The neckline breakout zone around ₹560–₹580 is being tested again, and the price has shown a strong rebound from this area, confirming buyer strength.
The stock had earlier broken out of a falling wedge pattern, further strengthening the bullish bias. A sustained move above ₹580 with volume could confirm the breakout and pave the way for higher targets.
🎯 Key Levels:
CMP: ₹577.20 (+2.09%)
Pattern: Inverted Head & Shoulder + Falling Wedge
Neckline Zone: ₹560 – ₹580
Target-1: ₹630 – ₹640
Target-2: ₹690 – ₹710
Stop-Loss (Weekly Close): ₹540
📊 Technical View:
Price breaking out from a falling wedge after forming a reversal base.
EMA alignment turning positive – 20 EMA attempting to cross above 50 EMA.
Volume spikes seen near breakout areas indicate accumulation.
Sustaining above ₹580 may lead to a rally toward ₹640 and then ₹700+.
🧠 View:
Ambuja Cements shows early signs of a trend reversal backed by a strong chart structure. A weekly close above ₹580 would confirm the breakout, opening potential upside targets of ₹640 and ₹700 in the medium term.
GOLD CONFIRMS SHORT-TERM DECLINE AFTER BREAKING TRENDLINEXAUUSD – GOLD CONFIRMS SHORT-TERM DECLINE AFTER BREAKING TRENDLINE
🪞 1. Overview
🌤️ In the Asian session this morning, gold broke the upward trendline even though the selling pressure wasn't particularly strong.
However, this is the first signal indicating that the short-term trend is leaning towards the sellers.
💬 Currently, the 3996 level is a significant resistance, and the price might retest this area before continuing to decline.
If the price surpasses the FVG at 4007, the trend might temporarily rebound in the short term.
💹 2. Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective)
🔸 Market structure: After breaking the trend, the structure temporarily shifts to short-term bearish.
🔸 Liquidity & FVG: Liquidity is drawn to the 3960–3940 area, while FVG 4007 is the first barrier.
🔸 Order Flow: Smart Money may lightly sweep up to the resistance area before pushing the price further down.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Scenarios
💔 MAIN SELL
Entry: 3996 | SL: 4004
TP: 3985 – 3972 – 3948
💢 SELL scalping
Entry: 4007 | SL: 4014
TP: 3998 – 3978
💖 REACTIVE BUY
Entry: 3965 | SL: 3957
TP: 3976 – 3988 – 3999
🌸 DEEP BUY
Entry: 3941 | SL: 3931
TP: 3955 – 3968 – 3988 – 4012 – 4066
🔍 4. Price Levels to Note
✨ 4007 → FVG resistance, short-term trend confirmation area
✨ 3996 → Retest area of the broken trendline
✨ 3965 – 3941 → Strong support area, likely to see reversal reactions
💬 5. Notes & Call for Interaction
⚠️ This is not an investment recommendation, but merely a personal technical perspective following the ICT method.
Observe the price reaction around the trendline carefully before making a decision 💭
If you find this post helpful, please 💛 like – 💬 leave a comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2
to stay updated with daily gold insights and learn more about the Smart Money Concept 🌷✨
XAU/USD – Gold Accumulating Before Breakout, Target 4,096 USD🔍 Market Context
Gold is trading within a symmetrical triangle pattern , indicating short-term accumulation before forming a new breakout wave.
Following a sharp decline from the peak region of 4,096 USD, the market has shown two instances of Change of Character (ChoCH) – early signs of buying pressure returning.
As long as the price holds above the 3,959 – 3,917 USD zone, the short-term bullish structure remains intact. This support zone acts as a crucial “discount zone” in the current accumulation cycle.
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Support Zone 1: 3,959 USD → main structure holding zone, coinciding with the lower trendline.
• Support Zone 2: 3,917 USD → final liquidity reaction zone.
• Resistance Zone: 4,040 USD → potential break & retest zone.
• Liquidity Zone: 4,096 USD → expansion target if the peak is breached.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Setup – Prioritise bullish structure
• Entry: 3,959 – 3,917 USD
• Stop Loss: 3,905 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 3,985
– TP2: 4,040
– TP3: 4,072
– TP4: 4,096
✳️ “Buy the discount” – prioritise buy orders at the confluence support zone of trendline + FVG to follow the SMC flow.
2️⃣ SELL Scalp – Secondary strategy when price reacts at the peak
• Entry: 4,096 USD
• Stop Loss: 4,108 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 4,072
– TP2: 4,040
– TP3: 3,985
✳️ “Sell the premium” – only activate if there is a strong price rejection signal at the liquidity peak.
💬 Summary
The short-term trend of gold remains bullish as the price stays above the trendline and continuously forms higher lows.
The main strategy is buy the dip – sell reaction around the 3,959 → 4,096 USD zone.
The confirmation of a strong uptrend will be when the price closes steadily above 4,040 USD .
“Smart money accumulates in silence before the market makes noise.”
⏰ Time Frame: 1H
📅 Update: 03/11/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Price Halts and Power of Confluence The price chart displays a noteworthy transformation as a previous supply zone evolves into an area of strong demand, illustrating a crucial market shift. The highlighted supply region, which had earlier capped price advances and attracted selling interest, has now transitioned into a price zone where buyers are stepping in, creating multiple reactions that signify growing demand as prices revisit this level.
- Supply to Demand Conversion: The red-shaded supply band acted as a ceiling for prices historically, but recent moves show price halting and consolidating above this region, marking a critical change in the market’s balance. This type of consolidation—where price compresses and pauses just after clearing a major supply area—is a visible sign of acceptance by market participants, as both buyers and sellers reassess value at this pivotal zone.
- Consolidation as Price Stability: Observing the price action post-supply area, there is clear evidence of tight, sideways movement—an area of price equilibrium or market indecision. This consolidation signals an important digestion phase, a hallmark of healthy price action
- Trendline Confluence: The thick green upward trendline adds a second layer of technical strength to this setup. Historically, prices have repeatedly taken support on this trendline during corrections, aligning perfectly with the newly converted demand area. This intersection of the time-based trendline with the horizontal supply/demand zone forms a strong confluence. Confluence zones like this are typically high-probability areas of interest, as the overlap of structural (trendline) and behavioral (supply/demand) features amplifies the significance of the region and attracts greater participation from market players.
-
Volume Contraction Pattern Amidst Dual TrendlinesThe chart reveals important price structure and behavior over the past 18 months, featuring both a prominent counter trend line (marked in red) and a long-term support trendline (marked in green). Each element signifies distinct phases of supply absorption and buyer interest.
• Counter Trend Line (Red): This line has consistently acted as a pivot for multiple lower highs, reflecting the presence of vigilant sellers at each attempt to move higher. Multiple reaction points along this line indicate repeated supply emergence whenever price approached the zone, especially after sharp rallies earlier in the trend.
• Support Trend Line (Green): The green upward-sloping line marks sequential higher lows. This support axis has been respected multiple times, hinting at growing accumulation at each retest despite temporary price weakness in the broader market. The curvatures at lows (forming cup-like bases) display periods of volatility contraction and constructive price action as buyers step in at successively higher prices.
• VCP Dynamics: The pattern visible in the chart exhibits systematic contraction in the price swings. Each corrective structure—characterized by the curved reactions at support—shows a shrinking amplitude in both price and volume. This VCP sequence typically points toward consistent supply absorption, with sellers getting exhausted at lower levels after each contraction. The emergence of strong green candles with above-average volume near the support line often signals a revitalization of demand forces, as seen recently.
Privi Speciality Chemicals Ltd – Weekly Breakout SetupPrivi has shown a clean breakout from a long consolidation zone, backed by steady volume expansion. After months of range-bound action, the stock finally broke above ₹2,600 and is now sustaining well above its breakout zone — indicating the start of a new upward leg.
Price action shows strong bullish candles supported by the 10- and 20-week EMAs, signaling trend confirmation.
🎯 Key Levels:
CMP: ₹2,903 (+2.55%)
Breakout Zone: ₹2,500 – ₹2,600
Target Zone: ₹3,150 – ₹3,250
Stop-Loss: ₹2,700 (weekly close basis)
📊 Technical View:
Weekly breakout from multi-month consolidation box.
Volume confirmation supports sustained momentum.
Price trading above both EMAs, confirming bullish trend continuation.
Minor resistance near ₹2,950; sustained move above can accelerate momentum.
🧠 View:
Privi Speciality Chemicals has completed a strong breakout after a long accumulation phase. Sustaining above ₹2,900 can push the stock towards ₹3,200 levels in the coming weeks.
XAU/USD – Gold in Equilibrium Zone: Sell Opportunities Around...🔍 Market Context
Gold is currently consolidating within a triangle structure , showing short-term accumulation before a potential breakout.
Buyers are trying to maintain a minor bullish structure, but the series of lower highs indicates that sellers still hold the upper hand.
At the moment, price is reacting within the FVG 3,942–3,979 USD area, staying below the descending trendline.
If this zone fails to break, selling pressure may return.
💎 Key Technical Levels
• Bearish Order Block: 4,022 USD → main supply zone, aligning with the descending trendline.
• FVG Zone 1: 3,979 USD → short-term liquidity test area.
• FVG Zone 2: 3,942 USD → potential retracement zone before further downside.
• Bullish Order Block: 3,882 USD → key support aligning with long-term bullish trendline.
• Liquidity Zone: 3,789 USD → extended target if main support breaks.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Sell Setup – Reaction from Resistance Zone
• Entry: 4,012 – 4,022 USD
• Stop Loss: 4,035 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 3,979
– TP2: 3,942
– TP3: 3,900
– TP4: 3,882
– TP5: 3,789
✳️ “Sell the premium” – utilise supply and FVG reactions following Smart Money flow.
2️⃣ Buy Setup – Reaction from Demand Zone
• Entry: 3,882 USD
• Stop Loss: 3,865 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 3,910
– TP2: 3,942
– TP3: 3,979
– TP4: 4,012
– TP5: 4,022
✳️ “Buy the discount” – valid when strong absorption or reversal signal forms near the lower OB.
💬 Summary
Current structure remains short-term bearish , yet the market is balanced.
The most efficient approach is to sell near premium zones (4,022) and buy back near discount (3,882) .
Expected range in the next 24–48 hours: 3,880–4,020 USD .
💡 Tagline:
“Trade where institutions act — not where retail reacts.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 30/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Gold Rebounds Toward OB, but Deeper Correction May Follow🔍 Market Context
After forming a Change of Character (ChoCH) and a clear Break of Structure (BoS) to the downside, gold dropped sharply from 4,080–4,100 USD, confirming a shift from bullish to bearish structure.
Price is now making a technical rebound, forming Lower Highs toward the Order Block 4,012 USD — aligning with a small Fair Value Gap (FVG) , suggesting new selling pressure may emerge.
This rebound is seen as a “pullback retest supply” within a completed bearish setup.
If the 4,012 USD supply zone reacts strongly, price may extend its drop toward lower liquidity pools.
💎 Key Technical Structure
BoS (bearish): confirms a break below prior bullish structure.
Order Block (OB): 4,010–4,020 USD → main supply area confluencing with FVG.
FVG zone: 3,985–4,010 USD → technical retracement zone.
Supply Zone: 3,891–3,895 USD → temporary support, may be swept.
Liquidity Zone: 3,850–3,860 USD → key liquidity target.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Setup – Retest OB 4,010–4,020 USD
Entry: 4,010 – 4,020
SL: 4,035
Take Profit: 3,985 - 3,965 - 3,945 - 3,915 - 3,890/Open
✅ Condition:
Wait for price to retest FVG–OB with clear bearish confirmation (strong rejection, bearish engulfing, or minor ChoCH on M15).
➡️ Trend-follow setup – sell after price retests supply zone.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – Reversal at Liquidity Zone 3,850 USD
Entry: 3,850 – 3,860
SL: 3,830
TP1: 3,870 - 3,885 - 3,900 - 3,920 - 3,940/Open
✅ Condition:
Wait for strong absorption or bullish reversal signal (long-tail rejection or bullish ChoCH on M15–H1).
➡️ Counter-trend scalp setup for reversal traders.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritise SELLs below 4,035 USD.
BUYs only valid with confirmation at Liquidity Zone.
Avoid mid-range trading (3,920–3,970) to reduce noise.
💬 Conclusion
Gold remains in a bearish trend after breaking prior bullish structure.
As long as price stays below 4,035 USD , downside momentum prevails.
Next major target: 3,891 – 3,851 USD .
👉 Strategic Plan:
Sell 4,010–4,020 | SL 4,035 | TP 3,985 → 3,890 🎯
Buy 3,850–3,860 | SL 3,830 | TP 3,870 → 3,940 🎯
💎 Price never lies — liquidity always reveals the truth.
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 29/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
BPCL | FVG + Fibonacci COnfluence | Long Setup toward 378 💬 Description:
Chart Type: 1D (Daily)
Stock: BPCL – Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd.
🧩 Setup Overview
BPCL has completed a clean retracement into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) aligning with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone from the previous upswing (306 → 351).
The zone around ₹334–₹340 acted as strong demand support, hinting at a possible continuation leg to the upside.
📊 Trade Plan
Entry Zone: ₹338–₹340
Stop Loss: ₹330
Target 1: ₹351
Target 2: ₹378 (1.618 Fib Extension)
Risk–Reward Ratio: ~1:3
📈 Technical Confluence
✅ FVG + 0.618 Fib alignment
✅ Retest & bounce confirmation
✅ Volume showing accumulation
✅ Clear higher-low structure maintained
🚨 Invalidation
Setup invalid if price closes below ₹330, which would break FVG and shift structure to bearish.
🧠 Bias: Bullish continuation
Time Horizon: Swing (2–4 weeks)
🇮🇳 LiamTrading – XAUUSD: Dual Strategy Ahead of FOMC🇮🇳 LiamTrading – XAUUSD: Dual Strategy Ahead of FOMC | Focus on Buying the Retracement near $3914
Hello Traders,
After a strong sell-off, Gold (XAUUSD) is showing early signs of recovery, building a minor upward structure.
We continue to focus on buying the pullback, viewing this move as a short-term correction within the broader downtrend.
Expect higher volatility as the FOMC decision approaches.
📰 MACRO CONTEXT & FUNDAMENTALS
The market is holding steady ahead of the FED announcement:
🟢 Technical Recovery:
Gold reversed part of its decline during the Asian session, bouncing slightly from a 3-week low as traders await the FOMC rate decision.
🔴 Headwinds:
However, optimism around US-China trade talks and a stronger USD continue to limit the upside momentum.
📊 TECHNICAL VIEW & TRADING PLAN
We are focusing on high-probability liquidity zones for both long and short opportunities:
🟢 Primary BUY Setup (Retracement Buy)
Looking for a retest of the key buy-side liquidity zone to trigger the next recovery wave.
Entry Zone (Buy): $3914
Stop Loss: $3906 (Tight SL recommended)
Take Profit: TP1 $3933 | TP2 $3956
🔴 SELL Setup (Retest / Short-Term Scalping)
Using the broken trend area for short opportunities.
Entry Zone (Sell): $4048
Stop Loss: $4056
Take Profit: TP1 $4035 | TP2 $4022
🧭 SUMMARY & TRADER’S NOTE
Gold is now in a decision zone — volatility will spike around FOMC.
Trade with discipline:
✅ Enter only at confirmed liquidity zones.
✅ Always respect your Stop Loss.
✅ Manage your capital carefully before the news release.
Wishing everyone a profitable and disciplined session!
XAUUSD | Gold to drop 2000PIPS, where is the best sell zone?🔍 Market Context
After breaking the medium-term upward structure at the main Trendline , gold has formed a distinct series of Lower High – Equal Low (EqL) , indicating a phase shift from bullish to bearish.
Currently, the price is fluctuating around the 3,960–3,970 USD zone – this is a temporary liquidity accumulation area before moving up to retest the resistance at 4,015–4,050 USD , which was previously a Demand Zone now turned into Supply Zone .
If a strong bearish reaction occurs here, the price is likely to extend its decline towards the Order Block 3,945–3,960 USD zone, or even deeper to the Premium Zone 3,884 USD .
💎 Key Technical Structure
Main Trendline: broken, confirming a structural change (ChoCH).
Resistance Zone: 4,010–4,015 → quick reaction resistance.
Supply Zone: 4,043–4,060 → strong technical retracement zone.
Premium Zone: 3,884–3,900 → discount zone, potential temporary bottom.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Zone 1 – Scalp Reaction at Resistance Zone
Entry: 4,010 – 4,015
SL: 4,025
Take Profit : 4,005 - 3,995 - 3,975 - 3,965 - Open
➡️ Quick scalp reaction at nearby resistance – suitable for trading during London/NY sessions.
2️⃣ SELL Zone 2 – Major Retest at Supply Zone
Entry: 4,043 – 4,060
SL: 4,065
Take Profit : 4,050 - 4,040 - 4,030 - 4,020 - 4,010/Open
➡️ Main setup – retest of confluence supply zone with broken trendline, high probability if strong rejection on H1/H4.
3️⃣ SELL Continuation – Break & Retest below 3,945 USD
Entry: 3,945 – 3,950
SL: 3,965
TP: 3,884
➡️ Setup breaks EqL bottom confirming continuation of downtrend, targeting Premium Zone.
4️⃣ BUY Setup – Reversal at Premium Zone 3,900 USD
Entry: 3,900
SL: 3,880
TP1: 3,910 - 3,920 - 3,930 - 3,940 - 3,950/Open
✅ Condition:
Only buy when a strong reaction candle appears (long-tail rejection / ChoCH bullish on M15–H1).
➡️ This is the final discount zone before major capital can return to the market – technical reversal setup, low risk / high reward.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritise SELL at supply zones, BUY at Premium – avoid trading in the middle of the range.
Reduce volume on scalp setups (Sell 1).
If price closes above 4,070 → short-term downtrend is invalidated.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is still under short-term bearish pressure, however, the 3,884–3,900 USD zone may serve as strong support.
The appropriate strategy is to utilise the two resistance zones for Selling and observe technical Buying at the Premium bottom.
👉 Comprehensive Strategy:
Sell 4,010–4,015 | SL 4,025 | TP 4,005 → 3,965 🎯
Sell 4,043–4,060 | SL 4,065 | TP 4,050 → 4,010 🎯
Buy 3,900 | SL 3,880 | TP 3,910 → 3,950 🎯
🔥 “Trade with patience, react at precision zones — that’s how consistency is built.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Update: 28/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
LiamTrading - XAUUSD: SCENARIO AHEAD OF FOMCLiamTrading - XAUUSD: SCENARIO AHEAD OF FOMC - The $3840 Mark Awaits a Bottom Catch Reaction Wave
Hello trading community,
The Gold market is exhibiting a strong and sustainable downtrend. We are witnessing a crash after the price broke through key support zones. With the upcoming FOMC event, our strategy is to seek Buy opportunities at deep liquidity zones and continue to Sell when the price recovers to retest the broken trend.
📰 MACRO ANALYSIS & CASH FLOW CONTEXT
Gold is currently under dual pressure:
Bearish Pressure 🔴: Optimism about the US-China trade progress has significantly weakened the demand for Gold, traditionally a safe-haven commodity. Spot Gold prices have fallen below $3950, hitting a three-week low, down about 0.78% on the day (28/10).
Short-term Support 🟢: Bets on the possibility of Fed rate cuts continue to weaken the US Dollar (USD), which is the only factor that could potentially support this precious metal.
Conclusion: This tug-of-war makes bottom identification challenging. The bearish scenario remains the top priority.
📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: THE DOWNWARD WAVE CONTINUES
Based on the H4 chart (image_5fa7fa.png):
Current Trend: The price has successfully broken the key liquidity support zone near $3950 and is continuing its downward momentum.
Current Fibonacci Level: The price is touching and reacting at the 1.618 Fibonacci level (around $3950).
Next Target: The next target for Gold will be the 2.618 Fibonacci area (around $3840), which is a large liquidity zone expected to see strong reactions.
Main Strategy: We focus on two scenarios: Catching the bottom reaction at 3840 and continuing to Sell when the price rebounds.
🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (ACTION PLAN)
We have two detailed scenarios based on the current price level:
🟢 BUY Reversal Scenario
We wait for the price to hit the deep liquidity bottom at 3840 to execute a buy order with the expectation of a technical recovery.
Entry Zone: 3840
Stop Loss (SL): 3832 (tight SL)
Take Profit Targets (TP): TP1: $3872 | TP2: $3898 | TP3: $3925 | TP4: $3950
🔴 SELL Retest Scenario
If Gold recovers without breaking the downtrend structure:
Entry Zone: Watch for a Sell retest at $4091
Stop Loss (SL): $4099
Take Profit Targets (TP): TP1: $4065 | TP2: $4033 | TP3: $4004 | TP4: $3965
SUMMARY & DISCIPLINE (Steven's Note)
Gold is in a strong decline ahead of the FOMC, with significant volatility expected. Capturing deep Fibonacci and Liquidity zones is key.
Note: Always adhere to the set Stop Loss. Capital management is the top priority, risking only 1-2% of the account per trade.
Wishing traders a successful and disciplined new trading week!
[XAUUSD] New Week Scenario: Accumulation Awaiting Drop New Week Scenario: Accumulation Awaiting Drop - Watch for Selling at Liquidity Zone $4195
Hello traders community,
The new week begins with XAUUSD (Gold) being "restrained" in a sideways structure. However, don't let this calm deceive you. Technically, this is an accumulation pattern with a clear bearish bias.
The market is in "wait" mode, and patience will be the key to catching the next big wave.
📰 MACRO ANALYSIS: TUG OF WAR AHEAD OF FOMC
The market is caught between two opposing streams of information:
Bearish Pressure: Positive signs of a US-China trade deal are reducing the demand for safe-haven assets, putting pressure on Gold prices.
Bullish Support: The weakening USD due to expectations that the Fed will continue to cut interest rates, inadvertently provides some short-term support for the precious metal.
Decisive Factor: Traders are "lying low" waiting for this week's two-day monetary policy meeting (FOMC). This will be the main event, determining the medium-term trend of USD and Gold.
📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: CONTINUATION OF BEARISH STRUCTURE
The H1 chart shows a very clear "Sell" scenario:
Price Structure: After a strong drop from the peak, the price is moving sideways in an accumulation pattern of a bearish pennant. This is a continuation structure, indicating that the Sellers are "resting" before pushing the price further down.
Ideal Sell Zone: The $4195 zone is an extremely strong resistance confluence, marked as "Liquidity strong" on the chart.
This is the 0.5 Fibonacci level, the "golden" retracement point of the entire previous decline.
This is the old support zone now turned into new resistance.
Optimal Scenario: We will wait for the price to pull back to test the $4195 liquidity zone. This is an opportunity for Sellers to enter the market with low risk and high profit potential.
🎯 TRADING PLAN (SELL SETUP)
Absolute priority is to Watch for Selling (Sell) in line with the main trend.
ENTRY (Sell): $4195
STOP LOSS: $4205
TAKE PROFIT: TP1: $4168-TP2: $4145-TP3: $4122-TP4: $4102
SUMMARY
In the context of the market awaiting FOMC news, Gold is likely to make a final "pullback" to the $4195 zone before continuing its downtrend. Be patient and wait for signals at this ideal sell zone.
Wishing traders a successful and disciplined new trading week!
Mastering MTFA Charts : Symmetrical & Descending PatternsObserve the synergy of multiple time frames with this detailed analysis of Bhageria Industries Ltd.
Target Points -
1) The right panel displays a monthly chart, highlighting a broad symmetrical triangle formation within a prominent supply-demand zone—notice how the structure showcases the interplay of lower highs and higher lows, reflecting a period of equilibrium and market compression.
2) The left panel brings the focus to the weekly time frame, where a descending triangle pattern unfolds, providing additional insight into the ongoing price structure.
3) This multi-time frame approach emphasizes how patterns from broader time frames interact with shorter-term consolidations, enhancing our ability to spot critical decision areas on the charts.
4) Using both the monthly and weekly perspectives together, traders and learners can deepen their understanding of structural price action, pattern development, and the relevance of context provided by supply and demand zones. Dissecting these formations side by side promotes disciplined, informed chart reading without bias towards anticipating outcomes.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
XAU/USD – Gold Completes Liquidity Sweep Phase🔍 Market Context
After a prolonged decline from the peak ATH GOLD 4,371 USD , gold has formed a Liquidity Sweep around the 4,010 USD zone, where the selling side was completely absorbed by strong buying pressure from the demand zone below.
The price structure shows signs of a Change of Character (ChoCH) for the first time since the peak, along with the appearance of an Order Block (OB) 4,081 USD – the starting point for a new upward momentum.
This indicates a high possibility that the market is entering a technical retracement phase , aiming to retest the FVG resistance zone above, or even expand back to the ATH zone if buying pressure continues.
💎 Key Technical Structure
Liquidity Sweep: 4,010 – 4,020 USD → liquidity sweep bottom zone, increased volume appears, confirming absorption of sell orders.
Order Block (OB): 4,081 – 4,090 USD → starting zone for recovery momentum; if the price retests this zone and holds → confirmation signal for an upward phase.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
• FVG1: 4,196 – 4,210 USD → first target for the recovery wave.
• FVG2: 4,234 – 4,250 USD → next target, confluence of medium-term resistance.
OB | ATH GOLD: 4,370 – 4,380 USD → major resistance zone, previous peak; if the price surpasses → confirmation of a new upward trend.
Current market structure:
→ Short-term: bullish recovery (recovering from the bottom zone).
→ Medium-term: waiting for confirmation to break 4,234 to transition to a complete bullish structure.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Retest the Order Block 4,081 USD
Entry: 4,081 – 4,085
SL: 4,060
TP1: 4,196
TP2: 4,234
TP3: 4,370
✅ Conditions:
Wait for the price to retest the OB 4,081 zone, a confirmation signal for an increase appears (rejection / engulfing bullish) or a small BoS on M15.
➡️ This is a classic buy-the-dip setup after a Liquidity Sweep – high probability due to the confluence of OB + ChoCH + strong demand zone.
2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Break & Retest FVG 4,196 USD
Entry: 4,196 – 4,200
SL: 4,180
TP: 4,234 → 4,370
✅ Conditions:
The price breaks up the first FVG with good volume, then lightly retests without closing candles below 4,180.
➡️ Trend-following setup, following the money flow when the price confirms breaking the short-term resistance zone.
📉 Alternative Scenario – SELL reaction at 4,234 USD (Short-term Scalp)
Entry: 4,234 – 4,240
SL: 4,255
TP: 4,196 → 4,100
✅ Conditions:
If the price reacts strongly and fails at the second FVG without follow-up volume increase → a short adjustment phase may appear.
➡️ Short-term sell, only execute if there is no continuation confirmation at FVG2.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritise BUY according to the main recovery trend, only SELL when there is a clear reaction.
Do not FOMO buy in the middle range (4,130–4,180).
If the price closes H1 candles below 4,060 → invalidate the recovery trend, pause all buy orders.
💬 Conclusion
Gold has completed the Liquidity Sweep phase and is signaling a sustainable technical reversal .
Two important zones to monitor:
4,081 USD (OB Zone): first rebound support zone.
4,234 USD (FVG Zone): zone confirming a new upward structure.
If the price holds OB and breaks through FVG, there is a high chance gold will resume its upward momentum towards the 4,370 USD (ATH GOLD) zone.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Buy 4,081 USD → TP 4,234 / 4,370 USD.
Sell reaction 4,234 USD only when a clear reversal signal appears.
🔥 “Liquidity has been swept — now it’s time to ride the recovery wave.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 23/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Understanding Symmetrical Triangle Patterns in depthThis chart illustrates a classic example of a symmetrical triangle pattern formed over several years, with simple compression trendline (CT) and trigger (T) lines drawn in white for clarity.
Key learning points from the structure:
- Symmetrical Triangle Formation: The pattern is defined by converging trendlines representing successive lower highs and higher lows, indicating a period of price consolidation and market indecision
- Supply Converts to Demand: The boxed area initially acted as supply, where price faced resistance repeatedly. Over time, after multiple interactions and a structural shift, this area began to act as demand, offering support to subsequent price movements. This showcases how prior resistance can evolve into a support zone as market dynamics shift.
- Pattern Context: A large symmetrical triangle is forming above this zone, highlighting sustained equilibrium between buyers and sellers, and price compressing within clearly defined boundaries.
- Educational Note: Patterns like these offer valuable case studies for understanding consolidation phases, the role of supply and demand flipping, and how market structure can evolve. They can be identified and studied without making directional assumptions, serving as an excellent foundation for technical analysis practice.
This post is aimed purely at technical education, emphasizing the process of chart marking, pattern recognition, and structural interpretation, without making market predictions or outcome forecasts.
XAU/USD – Gold Tests Final Structure Before Deciding New Wave“If the 3,950 USD zone is breached, the long-term uptrend may end.”
🔍 Market Context
After reaching the historic peak ATH GOLD 4,381 USD , gold has sharply corrected and formed a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) on the H1 timeframe.
Currently, the price is technically recovering to the Resistance – FVG – Fibonacci 4,216 USD zone, which was previously a distribution peak.
The sellers are regaining short-term dominance, while the Order Block zone (3,953–3,960 USD) — which was the starting point of the strongest growth on H4/Daily — is becoming the most critical defense line of the uptrend.
If this zone is decisively broken, it is highly likely that the medium-term bullish structure will break and trigger a bearish expansion towards deeper liquidity zones like 3,689 USD.
💎 Technical Analysis
Resistance – FVG – Fib Zone: 4,216 – 4,228 → confluence resistance zone FVG + Fibo 0.618, suitable for sell reaction.
Liquidity Sweep Zone: 4,043 – 4,006 → intermediate liquidity sweep zone, may see a temporary pause.
Order Block | Structural Base: 3,953 – 3,960 → H4 momentum creation zone → ATH; if breached, long-term bullish structure is invalidated.
Liquidity Zone $$$: 3,689 – 3,685 → deep liquidity zone, potential target if OB is broken.
Overall Structure:
→ Short-term: bearish corrective phase.
→ Medium-term: bullish remains if 3,950 is not broken.
📉 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Setup – Reaction at 4,216 – 4,228 USD zone
Entry: 4,216 – 4,228
SL: 4,240
TP1: 4,043
TP2: 3,956
TP3: 3,689
✅ Condition:
Wait for a clear reversal signal (strong rejection or bearish engulfing) on H1/M15 at the FVG resistance zone.
➡️ Classic “Sell the Rally” setup – follow the flow post-ChoCH, targeting the key OB zone 3,953 USD.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – Reaction at Order Block 3,953 – 3,960 USD
Entry: 3,956 – 3,953
SL: 3,940
TP: 4,043 → 4,216
✅ Condition:
Price holds OB and a strong reversal signal appears (bullish engulfing / increased volume / small BoS structure turns bullish again).
➡️ This is the decisive zone for the medium-term trend: if it bounces strongly, buyers will regain control; if it breaks, gold enters a new deep decline cycle.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritise SELL when price retraces to 4,216 – 4,228 with reversal signals.
BUY at 3,953 only with a clear reaction; if broken, cease all buy orders.
When price closes H4 candle below 3,950 → confirm bearish break, extend target to 3,689 USD.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is testing the Order Block foundation of the long-term uptrend (3,953–3,960 USD) .
If this zone holds, the market may rebound to 4,216 – 4,280;
but if breached, gold is likely to open a deep decline phase towards 3,689 USD – where a large liquidity pool is concentrated at the bottom.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Sell 4,216 – 4,228 USD if clear reversal signals appear.
Buy 3,953 – 3,960 USD if strong reaction;
If 3,950 is breached → confirm extended downtrend, prioritise SELL continuation.
🔥 “This Order Block built the last gold rally — if it breaks, the next leg down will be brutal.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H – reference H4/Daily
📅 Update: 22/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Gold Holding Gains Ahead of Key US CPI DataGold extends its bullish momentum in early Asian trading, hovering near ₹4,370, supported by rate-cut expectations from the Fed and ongoing US government shutdown concerns, which continue to pressure the USD.
According to CME FedWatch, markets are now pricing in a 99% probability of another rate cut next week — a strong catalyst for gold bulls.
Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, reinforcing the medium-term uptrend.
However, all eyes are on the US September CPI report due later this week.
A hotter-than-expected reading could temporarily lift the USD and trigger short-term volatility in gold prices.
🔍 MMFlow Technical Outlook
Gold is currently consolidating around the ₹4,320–₹4,370 range after reaching the ATH zone.
Price action shows a clear liquidity sweep at the highs, followed by a minor retracement — still within the bullish structure.
The main trendline remains intact, suggesting that any dip toward ₹4,305–₹4,260 may attract new buyers.
⚙️ Trading Plan (MMFlow View)
🔼BUY SCALP
📌Entry: ₹4,302 – ₹4,300 (½ volume)
❌Stop Loss: ₹4,292
✔️Take Profit: ₹4,310 → ₹4,315 → ₹4,320 → ₹4,330 → ₹4,340 → ₹4,350+
🔼BUY ZONE (Swing)
✨Entry: ₹4,260 – ₹4,258
❌Stop Loss: ₹4,252
✔️Take Profit: ₹4,265 → ₹4,270 → ₹4,280 → ₹4,290 → ₹4,300+
📈Buy setups remain favored as long as price holds above ₹4,260.
Intraday sell reactions near ₹4,360–₹4,378 are short-term only — watch for liquidity grabs and bullish re-entry opportunities.
⚡️Key MMFlow Zones
CP Down Zone / OBS Sell Zone: ₹4,360
ATH Liquidity Sell Zone: ₹4,448
Retest Trendline / OBS Buy Zone: ₹4,305
End FVG Uptrend / OBS Buy Zone: ₹4,260
Sentiment: 🟢 Bullish Bias
Bias Confirmation: CPI Data & Fed Rate Expectations
Strategy: Buy-the-Dip → Target Liquidity Above ₹4,370–₹4,380
🔥 Stay patient — let liquidity drive the next leg. MMFlow tracks smart money zones, not emotions.
Simple CUP Pattern looking like a Diwali Diya Happy Diwali to All Traders!
This Diwali, the chart tells a special story—a classic cup breakout, but look closely and you'll notice it also resembles a beautifully lit diya. Just like Diwali celebrates the light conquering darkness, this breakout is a reminder of the power of patience, conviction, and disciplined observation in trading.
The cup pattern, much like the diya, signifies a period of accumulation, resilience, and hope before an illuminating breakout. As traders, we learn that enduring through the consolidation (the “darkness”) allows us to witness the rewarding move (the “light”) when the right moment comes.
May this Diwali fill your life and trading journey with wisdom, clarity, and prosperity. Wishing everyone strong breakouts, bright candles, and the perseverance to hold your lamp high, both in the markets and in life.






















