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Observing Key Structural Patterns in Manaksia Coated MetalsThe daily chart of Manaksia Coated Metals & Industries Ltd (NSE) displays a confluence of notable technical formations. There is a clearly defined demand zone (highlighted in green) that has provided support for multiple sessions, as well as a supply area (marked at the upper region), signifying previous resistance. A visually tight Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) is present, where price swings narrow progressively, indicating potential accumulation and increasing trader interest. The chart also reveals an inverted head and shoulders pattern, depicted using blue and red lines, which is often recognized as a classic reversal formation in technical analysis. No attempt is made to forecast price movement; the Chart purely reflects observed market structure and patterns. Disclaimer This post is for educational and observational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a trading recommendation. Always conduct your own research and consult a certified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NSE:MANAKCOATLong
by Averoy_Apoorv_Analysis
Symmetrical Triangle & Parallel Channel CoexistenceThis weekly chart of Tara Chand Infralogistic Solutions Ltd. serves as a case study in identifying and analyzing overlapping price action structures in 3 Main Points - 1) The chart highlights a well-defined symmetrical triangle pattern, with one white line representing the counter-trendline (CT) and another as the primary trendline (T), illustrating the process of volatility contraction. 2) Overlaid within the triangle, a clearly marked parallel channel (in pink) frames the intermediate price swings during the recent consolidation. The channel illustrates rotational movement within the broader consolidation envelope, mapping the climb and retracement cycles more granularly. 3) Volume, Fibonacci retracement levels, and the shaded value area further reinforce the chart’s impartial focus on structure, without implying directionality. This example serves as a valuable reference for recognizing multi-pattern contexts and appreciating how classical patterns—when viewed together—help decode complex phases of price organization. - Disclaimer: Trading involves significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research, consider seeking advice from a qualified financial advisor, and trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
NSE:TARACHANDLong
by Averoy_Apoorv_Analysis
LiamTrading – GOLD: Continuing the trend towards 4,130Gold has broken 4,060 and set a new historical peak thanks to the US-China trade tensions and the expectation of an early Fed rate cut. The main trend remains upward; the next target level according to the channel structure is 4,130. Technical H4→H1 The upward channel has been maintained for several weeks; breaking 4,060 confirms continuation. Nearest liquidity zone: 4,030–4,032. Medium-term volume POC: ~3,988. Target/resistance clusters by rhythm: 4,050 → 4,072 → 4,088 → 4,100 → 4,130. Trading Plan Buy 1 (retracing to the liquidity zone) Entry: 4,030–4,032 SL: 4,025 TP: 4,050 → 4,072 → 4,088 → 4,100 → 4,130 Buy 2 (medium-term POC) Entry: 3,988 SL: 3,980 TP: 4,022 → 4,050 → 4,088 → 4,100 → 4,130 Sell reaction (higher risk) Entry: 4,130 SL: 4,140 TP: flexible according to price reaction; prioritize closing at 4,070 if a clear rejection candle appears. Invalidation: short-term upward structure weakens if H1 closes below 3,980. Quick Notes Prioritize “buy-the-dip” at 4,03x and 3,988; sell orders are only reaction trades at 4,130. When TP1 is reached, move SL to entry to protect the position. Volatility around US data release times may create false breaks; maintain disciplined risk management. I will provide immediate updates as price paths change, real-time trading is the best way to be accurate and successful.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Technical Indicators 1. Introduction to Technical Indicators Technical indicators are mathematical calculations based on historical price, volume, or open interest data. They are primarily used in technical analysis, a method of evaluating securities by analyzing market statistics rather than intrinsic value. Indicators help traders: Identify trends and reversals. Determine momentum and market strength. Recognize overbought or oversold conditions. Generate buy or sell signals. There are three main categories of technical indicators: Trend Indicators – Identify the direction and strength of a trend. Momentum Indicators – Measure the speed and force of price movements. Volume Indicators – Analyze trading activity to confirm price movements. Some indicators are leading, giving early signals of potential price movement, while others are lagging, confirming trends after they have started. 2. Trend Indicators Trend indicators help traders identify whether an asset is moving upward, downward, or sideways. Recognizing trends early allows traders to align their strategies with the market direction. 2.1 Moving Averages (MA) Moving averages smooth out price data to reveal trends over a specific period. There are two main types: Simple Moving Average (SMA): Calculated by averaging the closing prices over a specified period. Example: A 50-day SMA sums the last 50 closing prices and divides by 50. Exponential Moving Average (EMA): Places more weight on recent prices, making it more responsive to price changes. Applications: Trend identification: Prices above the MA indicate an uptrend; below indicate a downtrend. Crossovers: A short-term MA crossing above a long-term MA generates a bullish signal, and vice versa. Limitations: Lagging indicator, less effective in sideways markets. 2.2 Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) MACD measures the difference between two EMAs (usually 12-day and 26-day). Components: MACD Line: Difference between the fast and slow EMA. Signal Line: 9-day EMA of the MACD line. Histogram: Difference between MACD line and Signal line. Interpretation: Crossovers: MACD crossing above Signal line = buy signal; below = sell signal. Divergence: Price making new highs while MACD fails indicates trend weakness. Strengths: Effective for spotting trend reversals and momentum shifts. Weaknesses: Lagging indicator; may give false signals in choppy markets. 2.3 Average Directional Index (ADX) ADX measures the strength of a trend regardless of its direction. Values above 25 indicate a strong trend. Values below 20 suggest a weak trend or sideways market. Applications: Confirming trend strength before entering a trade. Pairing with other indicators for trend-following strategies. Limitations: Does not indicate trend direction, only strength. 3. Momentum Indicators Momentum indicators assess the speed of price movements, helping traders identify potential reversals or continuation patterns. 3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI) RSI measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions. Values above 70 = overbought (possible reversal or pullback). Values below 30 = oversold (possible rebound). Applications: Divergence between RSI and price signals potential trend reversals. Combining RSI with trend indicators enhances trade accuracy. Limitations: Can remain overbought or oversold for extended periods in strong trends. 3.2 Stochastic Oscillator The stochastic oscillator compares a security’s closing price to its price range over a specific period. %K Line: Current close relative to the high-low range. %D Line: 3-period moving average of %K. Interpretation: Values above 80 = overbought; below 20 = oversold. Crossovers of %K and %D lines indicate potential buy/sell signals. Strengths: Effective in volatile markets for timing entries and exits. Weaknesses: Less effective during strong trends; prone to false signals. 3.3 Rate of Change (ROC) ROC measures the percentage change in price over a given period. Positive ROC indicates upward momentum. Negative ROC signals downward momentum. Applications: Identifying early trend reversals. Confirming breakouts or breakdowns. Limitations: Sensitive to price spikes; may give false signals in choppy markets. 4. Volume Indicators Volume analysis confirms price trends, as strong moves are typically accompanied by high volume. 4.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV) OBV measures cumulative buying and selling pressure by adding volume on up days and subtracting volume on down days. Applications: Divergence between OBV and price can signal reversals. Confirming trend strength. Limitations: Lagging indicator; requires combination with price analysis. 4.2 Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) CMF measures the volume-weighted average of accumulation and distribution over a specified period. Positive CMF = buying pressure. Negative CMF = selling pressure. Applications: Identifying accumulation or distribution phases. Supporting trade entries in trend-following strategies. Weaknesses: Less effective during low-volume periods. 5. Volatility Indicators Volatility indicators help traders gauge market risk and potential price swings. 5.1 Bollinger Bands Bollinger Bands consist of a moving average (middle band) and upper/lower bands based on standard deviation. Price near upper band = overbought. Price near lower band = oversold. Applications: Trading range-bound markets using band bounces. Breakouts indicated when price moves outside bands. Limitations: Band breakouts don’t always result in sustained trends. 5.2 Average True Range (ATR) ATR measures market volatility by calculating the average of true price ranges over a period. Applications: Setting stop-loss levels. Identifying breakout potential. Limitations: Does not indicate trend direction, only volatility. 6. Combining Indicators for Strategy Using a single indicator often results in false signals. Effective traders combine indicators from different categories: Trend + Momentum: Example: Use SMA to identify trend direction and RSI to detect overbought/oversold conditions. Trend + Volume: Example: Confirm trend strength with ADX and OBV before entering a trade. Momentum + Volatility: Example: Use MACD for momentum and ATR to set stop-loss levels. Rule of Thumb: Avoid indicators that provide the same information. Mix leading and lagging indicators for better confirmation. 7. Indicator-Based Trading Strategies 7.1 Trend-Following Strategy Use moving averages or ADX to identify trends. Enter trades in the direction of the trend. Use momentum indicators like MACD or RSI for entry timing. 7.2 Reversal Strategy Use RSI, Stochastic, or Bollinger Bands to detect overbought/oversold conditions. Look for divergence between price and indicator for potential reversals. 7.3 Breakout Strategy Use Bollinger Bands or price channels to identify consolidation. Volume indicators like OBV or CMF confirm breakout strength. 8. Common Mistakes in Using Indicators Overloading charts: Too many indicators can confuse signals. Ignoring market context: Indicators must be interpreted in conjunction with price action. Blind reliance: No indicator guarantees success; risk management is crucial. Neglecting timeframes: Indicators behave differently on daily, weekly, or intraday charts. 9. Advanced Indicator Techniques Divergence Trading: Identifying differences between price and indicators like MACD or RSI to spot potential reversals. Multiple Timeframe Analysis: Confirm signals from multiple timeframes to reduce false entries. Weighted Indicators: Adjust indicator sensitivity to reduce lag or noise. Algorithmic Integration: Using indicators as inputs in automated trading systems. 10. Choosing the Right Indicators Factors to consider: Trading style: Day traders vs. swing traders vs. long-term investors. Market conditions: Trending vs. ranging markets. Timeframe: Short-term indicators are more sensitive; long-term indicators reduce noise. Simplicity: Choose a few reliable indicators rather than overwhelming charts. 11. Conclusion Mastering technical indicators requires practice, observation, and discipline. While indicators provide valuable insights into market behavior, they are most effective when combined with strong risk management and a clear trading plan. Successful traders: Use indicators to enhance decision-making, not replace it. Test strategies thoroughly before applying them in live markets. Adapt indicator settings to suit different market conditions. By understanding the nuances of trend, momentum, volume, and volatility indicators, traders can create robust strategies that increase probability and confidence in their trades. This Technical Indicators Masterclass equips traders with the knowledge to analyze markets effectively and navigate complex price movements with precision.
TVC:US10YEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Technical Analysis and Chart PatternsIntroduction to Technical Analysis Technical Analysis (TA) is the study of historical price and volume data to forecast future price movements in financial markets. Unlike fundamental analysis, which focuses on the intrinsic value of an asset, technical analysis relies on patterns, trends, and statistical indicators to identify trading opportunities. It is widely used across equity, forex, commodities, and cryptocurrency markets by traders of all timeframes, from intraday scalpers to long-term investors. The foundation of technical analysis rests on three main assumptions: Market Action Discounts Everything: All information, whether public or private, is already reflected in the current price of an asset. Prices Move in Trends: Markets follow trends rather than random movement, and identifying these trends can help traders profit. History Tends to Repeat Itself: Human psychology drives market behavior, and patterns formed in the past tend to recur under similar conditions. 1. Key Principles of Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Uptrend: Characterized by higher highs and higher lows. Indicates bullish sentiment. Downtrend: Characterized by lower highs and lower lows. Indicates bearish sentiment. Sideways/Range-bound Trend: Occurs when prices move horizontally, often leading to breakout opportunities. Support and Resistance Levels Support: A price level where demand is strong enough to prevent further decline. Often a buying opportunity. Resistance: A price level where selling pressure prevents further rise. Often a selling opportunity. Breakouts and Breakdowns: Breaching these levels can signal the start of new trends. Volume Analysis Volume reflects the intensity of a price movement. Rising prices with increasing volume confirm trends, whereas divergences (e.g., rising price with falling volume) indicate potential reversals. Momentum Indicators Measure the speed and strength of price movements. Examples: Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Stochastic Oscillator. Moving Averages Smooth out price fluctuations to identify trends. Common types: Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Crossovers (e.g., 50-day SMA crossing 200-day SMA) are key trading signals. 2. Chart Types Understanding chart types is crucial for recognizing patterns: Line Charts Simple representation connecting closing prices. Useful for identifying long-term trends but lacks intraday information. Bar Charts Displays open, high, low, and close (OHLC) for each period. Provides more detailed insight into market sentiment. Candlestick Charts Originated in Japan; visually appealing and widely used. Each candlestick shows open, high, low, and close, forming recognizable patterns that signal market direction. Point and Figure Charts Ignores time; focuses solely on price changes. Useful for identifying strong trends and breakout points. 3. Chart Patterns Chart patterns are visual representations of market psychology, helping traders anticipate future price action. They can be broadly categorized into reversal and continuation patterns. 3.1 Reversal Patterns Reversal patterns indicate a potential change in trend. Head and Shoulders Signifies a trend reversal from bullish to bearish. Features a left shoulder, a head (higher peak), and a right shoulder. The neckline is the support level; breaking it confirms the trend reversal. Inverse Head and Shoulders Opposite of the standard head and shoulders. Signals reversal from bearish to bullish. Double Top Occurs after an uptrend; two peaks at roughly the same level. Breaking the support level between the peaks signals a downtrend. Double Bottom Occurs after a downtrend; two troughs at a similar level. Breaking the resistance confirms a bullish reversal. Triple Top/Bottom Less common but more reliable than double tops or bottoms. Indicates stronger resistance or support levels. 3.2 Continuation Patterns Continuation patterns suggest that the existing trend is likely to continue. Triangles Ascending Triangle: Bullish; flat resistance and rising support. Breakout likely upwards. Descending Triangle: Bearish; flat support and descending resistance. Breakout likely downwards. Symmetrical Triangle: Neutral; breakout direction depends on the preceding trend. Flags and Pennants Short-term consolidation patterns after strong moves. Flags: Rectangular consolidation; pennants: small symmetrical triangles. Typically continue in the direction of the previous trend. Rectangles (Trading Ranges) Horizontal consolidation between support and resistance. Breakout indicates trend continuation. 3.3 Candlestick Patterns Candlestick patterns provide detailed insight into market sentiment: Single Candlestick Patterns Doji: Indicates indecision; potential reversal if appearing after a strong trend. Hammer/Inverted Hammer: Bullish reversal after a downtrend. Shooting Star: Bearish reversal after an uptrend. Multiple Candlestick Patterns Engulfing Pattern: Bullish or bearish reversal depending on candle alignment. Morning Star/Evening Star: Signals trend reversal. Three White Soldiers/Three Black Crows: Strong trend continuation patterns. 4. Indicators and Oscillators Technical analysis often combines chart patterns with indicators: Trend Indicators Moving Averages, MACD, ADX (Average Directional Index) Momentum Indicators RSI, Stochastic Oscillator, Rate of Change (ROC) Volatility Indicators Bollinger Bands, Average True Range (ATR) Volume Indicators On-Balance Volume (OBV), Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) 5. Technical Analysis in Trading Strategy Technical analysis is integrated into different trading strategies: Day Trading Focuses on intraday price movements using candlestick patterns and intraday indicators. Swing Trading Capitalizes on short to medium-term trends using support/resistance and chart patterns. Position Trading Long-term trend following; relies on moving averages, trendlines, and breakout patterns. Algorithmic Trading Combines TA rules with automated systems for high-frequency trading. 6. Advantages of Technical Analysis Quick decision-making due to focus on charts and indicators. Applicable across different asset classes and timeframes. Helps identify entry and exit points with greater precision. 7. Limitations of Technical Analysis Reliance on historical data; past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. Can produce false signals in highly volatile or low-volume markets. Requires experience and discipline to interpret patterns accurately. 8. Combining Technical Analysis with Other Tools Many traders combine TA with fundamental analysis to improve accuracy. Sentiment analysis, news events, and macroeconomic data can enhance decision-making. Risk management is essential: stop-loss, position sizing, and portfolio diversification mitigate losses. Conclusion Technical analysis and chart patterns provide traders with a structured way to interpret market behavior. While no method guarantees success, mastery of TA enables traders to identify high-probability setups, manage risk, and make informed decisions. With the right combination of pattern recognition, indicator use, and disciplined execution, technical analysis can be a powerful tool in the trader’s arsenal. By understanding trends, patterns, support/resistance levels, and combining them with indicators and sound risk management, traders can navigate financial markets with greater confidence and precision.
NSE:AXISBANKEducation
by TechnicalExpress
XAUUSD Analysis for the New WeekXAUUSD Analysis for the New Week: Sideways Accumulation Awaiting Big Waves - Detailed Trading Strategy Hello trading community! Last week, XAUUSD (Gold) moved as predicted within a narrow range, indicating a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. However, the main trend on larger time frames remains bullish. At the start of the new week, Gold is likely to continue accumulating before making stronger breakthroughs. This article will provide a detailed analysis of technical and fundamental factors, along with specific trading strategies. 📊 Technical Analysis Based on the H1 chart, we can clearly see the following important price structures: Ascending Channel: Gold is still moving steadily within an ascending channel, indicating that the buying trend remains dominant in the medium term. The lower support line of the channel will be a crucial support area for buyers. Key Support: The price range of $3970 - $3974 is acting as a solid support zone. This is the confluence area of the lower channel line and a dense volume profile zone, showing strong buyer interest here. The "Buy test support" scenario as shown in the image is entirely feasible. Resistance Zone: The $4060 area and further the old peak around $4080 (corresponding to the Fibonacci Extension 1.618 area) are significant barriers. Sellers might be active in these areas. Volume Profile Indicator (VPVR): The Point of Control is around $3982, further reinforcing the importance of the nearest support zone. Any break below this area could trigger a short-term sell-off towards the $3946 area. 📰 Fundamental Analysis The market is influenced by mixed information streams, creating uncertainty and reinforcing Gold's sideways scenario: ⚠️ Hawkish Stance from the FED: Recent statements by Mr. Musallem (FED) indicate concerns about inflation potentially rising further. He emphasised the need to control inflation expectations, even at the cost of short-term labour market fluctuations. This implies that the FED might continue to maintain tight monetary policy, putting pressure on Gold prices (due to a stronger USD). 📈 Risk Asset Frenzy: Bitcoin reaching the $111,000 mark is raising concerns about an asset "bubble" and potential crisis risks. In this scenario, Gold could benefit as a safe haven asset, attracting funds when market risks are high. The contradiction between FED policy and market risk sentiment is the reason for Gold's sideways accumulation. 🎯 Trading Strategy Based on the above analysis, we can build two trading scenarios for the upcoming week. The main priority remains to buy along the trend. Scenario 1: Buy at Support (BUY) 📈 Entry: Look to buy when the price adjusts to the $3974 - $3971 area. Stop Loss (SL): $3965 (Below the safe support zone). Take Profit (TP): $3985 - $3999 - $4020 - $4050 - $4080. Scenario 2: Sell at Resistance (SELL) 📉 Entry: Look to sell when the price approaches the strong resistance area of $4077 - $4080. Stop Loss (SL): $4086 (False breakout above the peak). Take Profit (TP): $4055 - $4020 - $4000 - $3970. Summary The main trend of Gold remains bullish, but in the short term, the price may continue to move sideways within the $3970 - $4080 range to accumulate. The optimal strategy is to look for buying opportunities at key support areas and consider short-term sell orders at strong resistance zones. Always remember to manage your capital strictly as the market always holds unexpected fluctuations. Wishing traders a successful new week! Note: This article is for reference only and is not investment advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
GOLD: ACCUMULATION POST SELL-OFF,Weekend Short-term Trading PLANGOLD: ACCUMULATION POST SELL-OFF, Weekend Short-term Trading Plan Hello traders 👋 The Gold market witnessed a strong and clear Sell-off yesterday, especially with the decisive break of the $4000 zone – a confirmation area for a new corrective trend, or at least a long-term downtrend cycle. Currently, Gold prices are fluctuating within a narrow range (Sideways), mainly due to the cautious sentiment of investors and the weak liquidity characteristic of Friday. This lack of momentum makes it likely for Gold to continue moving sideways until the New York Session opens. 🔎 Technical Analysis (Chart 30M – XAUUSD) Resistance Retest Zone (Fibonacci Retest): $4030 – $4035. An ideal area for Sellers to re-enter. Sell Scalping/FIBO 50 Zone: $4000 – $4004. The $4000 price zone, once broken, now becomes strong resistance. Key Support/Accumulation Zone: $3940 – $3945 (Confluence of Support level 1.618). Long-term Buy Zone (Buy Scalping): $3890 – $3880. ⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan (Short-term Trading) The strategy for the day is Short-term trading (Scalping) when the price hits minor resistance zones and seeks larger orders when matching Entry zones according to Fibonacci Extension. 🔴 SELL Scenario (Priority according to the downtrend structure) 1. Sell Re-test Zone $4000 Entry: 📍 4002 – 4004 SL: 🛑 4010 TP: 🎯 3998 – 3985 – 3960 (Can hold the position if the reaction is good) 2. Sell Re-test Zone $4030 (Fibonacci Retest) Entry: 📍 4030 – 4032 SL: 🛑 4037 TP: 🎯 4016 – 4002 – 3998 – 3978 🟢 BUY Scenario (Bottom-fishing/Support) 1. Buy Scalping Zone $3940 Entry: 📍 3940 – 3942 SL: 🛑 3935 TP: 🎯 3965 – 3977 – 3999 – 4035 💡 Fundamental View & Weekend Risk News: A report from SEB Research suggests that market expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates might be too high due to persistent inflation risks. This could pressure Gold and support the USD on a macro level. Friday Risk: Reduced liquidity, prone to Stop Hunts or Fakeouts. ⚖️ Conclusion & Recommendations Short-term main trend: Correction/Downtrend. Action: Closely observe market reactions this Friday. Prioritise Selling at strong Resistance zones ($4000, $4030) and manage capital tightly (Tight SL) for Buy Scalping orders. 👉 Follow me for timely updates on the latest scenarios in the weekend trading session!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
LiamTrading – XAUUSD: Structure BreakLiamTrading – XAUUSD: Structure Break, Preparing for a STRONG DOWNTREND? Hello trader, The Gold market has undergone a significant Market Structure Shift, breaking the previous sustainable uptrend. After the key support area around 4000 was breached with high volume, the Bears have taken short-term control. Currently, the price is experiencing a slight correction after a sharp drop, but overall, it is forming Lower High – Lower Low patterns on the H1 chart, confirming the downward movement. 📊 Technical Analysis (Chart 1H – XAUUSD) The recent sharp decline has broken the upward structure (Break of Structure - BOS) and created significant inefficiencies/imbalances that need to be filled: Liquidity Zone (Resistance): $4050 – $4060. This is the resistance peak to watch. Sell Liquidity Zone (FVG Sell Zone): $4030 – $4040. This is the ideal Fair Value Gap for Bears to re-enter. Key Support/Buy Scalping Zone: $3925 – $3935 (Confluence area of Fibonacci Extension 2.272). Swing Buy/Accumulation Zone: $3905 – $3915 (Confluence area of Fibonacci Extension 2.618). 🎯 Main Trading Scenario (Short-term BEARISH) Sell entry 4000 – 4002 SL 4008 TP 3986 – 3965 3950 – 3923 Sell Entry 4028 – 4031 (FVG) SL 4036 TP 4022 – 4010 4000 – 3960 Buy Scalping 3926 – 3928 SL 3921 TP 3939 – 3955 3970 – 3990 Buy Bottom Zone 3900 – 3908 SL 3895 TP 3922 – 3945 3970 – 3988 Export to Spreadsheet 🧭 Fundamental View & Market Sentiment The downward momentum is being driven by the following factors: Monetary Policy: Fed official Williams' remarks supporting continued rate cuts seem to be reducing the safe-haven demand for Gold. Although rate cuts typically support Gold in the long term (due to "cheap money"), a slowing labour market is a short-term negative signal. CPI News: The Bureau of Labour Statistics recalling staff to compile the CPI report amid a government shutdown highlights the importance of this data. If CPI is not as expected, it could cause significant volatility. Market Sentiment: After the structure break, technical selling sentiment may dominate, especially if the price cannot quickly recover to the 4000 level. 📌 Conclusion & Recommendations Gold has confirmed a short-term structure change to a downtrend. While the long-term trend is not yet clearly defined, the current priority is to seek Sell opportunities when the price retraces to key resistance and FVG areas (such as $4000 and $4030). Advice: Always adhere to SL (Stop Loss) and prioritise risk reduction when the market shows reversal signals. DO NOT BUY when the downtrend structure is prevailing. 👉 Follow me for detailed updates and the latest trading plans during the session!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
ZUARIThe stock has successfully retested its breakout zone and is showing signs of strength. Trading above all key EMAs with a clean alignment, confirming a strong trend bias. Recent sessions show low-volume, tight-range contraction, often a precursor to a decisive move. Today’s hammer candle at the support zone reflects buying interest. A sustained move above ₹305 with rising volume could open the door for further move. ✅ If you like my analysis, please follow me as a token of appreciation :) in.tradingview.com/u/SatpalS/ 📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
NSE:ZUARI
by SatpalS
XAUUSD – MID-TERM OUTLOOK ON H1 | STICK TO THE MAIN TRENDXAUUSD – MID-TERM OUTLOOK ON H1 | STICK TO THE MAIN TREND Hello trader 👋 Gold prices are currently holding steady within the rising price channel but are approaching a strong resistance zone around 4043 – 4005, which is a crucial confirmation range to assess whether the uptrend will continue or start adjusting. In the current context, the market is showing signs of caution as the USD slightly increases and political - financial news in the US escalates, causing significant investor sentiment fluctuations. 🔎 Technical Analysis On the H1 frame, prices are still moving within a clearly ascending channel, but the upward momentum is beginning to weaken. Fibonacci extension and volume profile indicate a strong liquidity zone concentrated around 4005 – 3980, where buying and selling forces may appear. Important Resistance: 4078 – 4080 (Fibo 4.0 and upper edge of the rising channel) Important Support: 3985 – 3980 (liquidity zone + high volume node) RSI is giving a slight divergence signal, warning of the possibility of a technical correction. ⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan 🔴 Main SELL: Entry: 4078 – 4080 Stop Loss: 4085 Take Profit: 4060 → 4053 → 4025 → 4008 👉 Sell reaction at the channel peak resistance zone, coinciding with high liquidity area. 🔴 SELL on breaking 4005 confirmation: Entry: 4015 – 4017 Stop Loss: 4023 Take Profit: 4005 → 3988 → 3970 → 3945 👉 Breakout sell order, only activated when the candle confirms closing below the 4005 zone. 🟢 Short-term BUY: Entry: 4056 – 4058 Stop Loss: 4050 Take Profit: 4068 → 4088 → 4095 👉 Swing buy order at the support zone within the rising channel. 🟢 BUY SCALPING: Entry: 3982 – 3985 Stop Loss: 3978 Take Profit: based on price reaction / wave confirmation 👉 Quick buy at the strong liquidity zone if a reversal signal appears. 💡 Fundamental Perspective Latest news: Bensont has completed the first round of interviews for the Fed Chair candidate, with questions revolving around interest rates and QE, indicating that upcoming monetary policy remains a focal point. The DXY index has surpassed the 99 mark, rising 0.16% on the day, exerting certain pressure on gold. Market sentiment is fluctuating strongly, reflecting concerns about the direction of US monetary policy in the next quarter. ⚖️ Conclusion Mid-term trend: Upward but weakening At this stage, closely monitor price action at the 4043 – 4005 range to determine the next direction. Prioritise selling at resistance – buying at support, leveraging fluctuations within the price channel. Maintain a flexible trading mindset, manage capital tightly when the market fluctuates due to news. 📈 Quick Summary: Sell: 4078–4080 / 4015–4017 Buy: 4056–4058 / 3982–3985 Key zone: 4043 – 4005 (new trend confirmation)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
XAUUSD – PRIORITISE BUYING WITH THE TREND | TARGET 4100 Hello trader 👋 Gold continues to set new highs, maintaining a strong upward momentum despite the USD stabilising temporarily. The current market structure indicates a sustainable uptrend, with short-term corrections only serving as entry points for trend-following buys. 🔎 Technical Analysis The price is currently moving within an ascending channel and has just broken out above the previous high, confirming the dominance of buying pressure. The 4.618 Fibonacci extension signals a technical target around 4100, a strong psychological resistance and a medium-term price expectation. RSI remains above the 60 zone → indicating that the upward momentum has not weakened. EMA200 (H1–H4) is well below, reinforcing a stable uptrend structure. ⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan 🟢 BUY 1: Entry: 4003 – 4005 Stop Loss: 3998 Take Profit: 4016 → 4025 → 4040 → 4062 👉 Buy when the price retraces to the lower edge of the channel or retests the key level. 🟢 BUY 2: Entry: 3961 – 3963 Stop Loss: 3956 Take Profit: 3975 → 3988 → 3996 → 4008 → 4025 👉 Entry at the support zone of FVG (Fair Value Gap) in agreement with the ascending trendline. 💡 Market Outlook Fed rate cut bets: Expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in the coming months continue to drive gold demand. US government temporary shutdown → creates uncertainty, increasing safe-haven flows. USD is stable but not strong, keeping gold attractive. With the current market sentiment, every correction is an opportunity to “buy the dip”. ⚖️ Scenario & Strategy Main strategy: Focus only on buying with the trend, avoid counter-trend selling (if any – should only be short-term). Buy around trendline / FVG / key level 3960 for a reasonable entry point and low risk. Monitor the breakout zone 4040 – 4060: If it breaks decisively, the likelihood of reaching 4100 is very high. 📌 Summary: Trend: Strong uptrend (Bullish continuation) Priority: Buy with the trend – Buy on dips Technical target: 4100 USD/oz Manage capital carefully, avoid FOMO at new highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
XAU/USD: Targeting $4,100! Where to Buy Before the FOMC Minutes?Hello TradingView community! 🚀 Gold (XAU/USD) continues to demonstrate incredible strength, consistently breaking past old highs and forming a solid upward price channel. This robust uptrend is not only technically reinforced but also awaits a potential catalyst from today's significant fundamental news. In this analysis, we will combine two crucial perspectives: an in-depth look at the technical charts to identify optimal entry points, and an examination of the key fundamental event that could significantly impact Gold prices during the US session. 1. Fundamental Perspective: All Eyes on the FOMC Minutes Today's market highlight, Wednesday, October 8, is the release of the FOMC Meeting Minutes at 2:00 PM ET Why is this important? This document provides a detailed record of the latest policy meeting of the US Federal Reserve (FED) in September. Traders will scrutinise the text for any hints about the future interest rate path. Potential scenarios: "Dovish" Tone: If the minutes reveal FED officials' concerns about economic growth and the possibility of further rate cuts, the US Dollar might weaken. This would create a strong push for Gold (XAU/USD), potentially driving the next price surge. "Hawkish" Tone: If the minutes emphasise that inflation remains a concern and the FED is not in a hurry to cut rates, the USD might see a short-term recovery, causing Gold to have a corrective dip. This event is a top catalyst for volatility. Our strategy is to prepare technical zones to capitalise on the market's reaction. 2. Technical Analysis: Detailed Trading Plan The bullish structure on the 2H timeframe is undeniable. Prices are creating a series of higher highs, confirmed by each "BoS" (Break of Structure), signalling that the Buyers are in full control. Here are the key zones to watch: Potential Buy Zones (Key Points): FVG Zone ($4,004): The nearest support is this Fair Value Gap, an area of price imbalance that the market often seeks to fill. Prices may retest this area before or during the news release. "Buy Break BoS" Zone ($3,981): This is the nearest swing high that has been broken. Now it has turned from resistance into a crucial support level. This zone offers a solid entry point if prices correct slightly deeper. "Bullish Order Block" Zone ($3,951): This is the last major "stronghold" of the Buyers—a powerful buy order block that initiated the latest push wave. This is an ideal area to look for buy orders if the market experiences a strong liquidity sweep downwards. Upside Targets: Short-term Target (Scalping): $4,070 - This level coincides with the 0.786 Fibonacci level. Main Target: "Liquidity Sell" Zone at $4,103. This is a large "liquidity pool" where the Sellers' stop-loss orders are likely concentrated. Smart money often drives prices to such areas. Strategy Summary Main Trend: Bullish. Core Strategy: Look for "Buy the dip" opportunities at the key support zones mentioned. Critical Timing: Be cautious around the FOMC Minutes release (18:00 UTC). Volatility can be high, and the market may whip in both directions to sweep stop-losses before following the main trend. Pro Tip: Patience is key. Waiting for prices to pull back to a confirmed support zone will provide a much better Risk/Reward ratio than chasing the market at the top. WHAT'S YOUR VIEW? How do you think Gold will react to today's FOMC minutes? And where are you looking to place your buy orders—at the FVG zone $4,004, the BoS level $3,981, or are you patiently waiting for the Order Block $3,951? Share your views in the comments below! 👇 Don't forget to leave a Like 👍 and Follow the channel for the latest XAU/USD analysis updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
GOLD: Continuing Uptrend Structure, Target 4090 Approaching LiamTrading – GOLD: Continuing Uptrend Structure, Target 4090 Approaching Hello everyone, Gold and US stocks are setting new records together, but don't forget — strong sell-offs often appear when everyone believes prices can only rise. Currently, gold maintains a sustainable uptrend structure, with each subsequent low higher than the previous one, confirming a clear trend on the H1–H4 timeframe. 📊 Technical Analysis (Chart 45m – XAUUSD) The price structure remains a clear Higher High – Higher Low, indicating that buyers are still in control of the market. Key liquidity zones are around: 🔹 4050–4060 (resistance – POC Volume Profile) 🔹 4020–4025 (temporary support zone – confluence of Fibo 0.618) 🔹 3980 (technical bottom, strong previous liquidity zone) The upward target according to Fibonacci Extension is currently in the 4090 zone, corresponding to the 2.618 extension level — likely to become a major profit-taking area for buyers. 🎯 Today's Trading Scenarios Short-term Sell (based on resistance reaction): 📍 4048–4050 🛑 SL: 4055 🎯 TP: 4030 – 4018 – 4005 – 3980 Buy scalping: 📍 4022–4024 🛑 SL: 4017 🎯 TP: 4030 – 4045 – 4060 – 4080 Buy swing (trend-following): 📍 3980–3982 🛑 SL: 3975 🎯 TP: 3995 – 4010 – 4025 – 4040 – 4060 🧭 Fundamental & Market Sentiment View According to the FOMC minutes from 16–17/9, most Fed officials believe that continuing to cut interest rates this year is appropriate. This is the first time since 2020 that the Fed has officially reduced the interest rate by 0.25%, bringing the range down to 4.75% – 5.00%. → Cheap money + safe-haven sentiment continue to be the main drivers pushing gold higher. However, with gold and stocks both reaching peaks, the risk of technical corrections may occur when prices hit major liquidity zones. 📌 Conclusion Gold is still in a stable uptrend, with a short-term target towards 4090 USD/oz. However, watch the liquidity zones around 4050–4060 and 4000–4025 to optimize entry points, avoiding FOMO when prices are already in high zones. 👉 I will continue to update details for each trading session. Follow me to not miss the earliest gold scenarios!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – PRIORITIZE BUYING WITH THE TREND | TARGET 4100 Hello trader 👋 Gold continues to set new highs, maintaining a strong upward momentum despite the USD stabilizing temporarily. The current market structure shows a sustainable uptrend, with short-term corrections only serving as entry points for trend-aligned buying. 🔎 Technical Analysis The price is currently moving within an ascending channel and has just broken out above the previous high, confirming the dominance of buying pressure. The 4.618 Fibonacci extension signals a technical target around 4100, a strong psychological resistance and the mid-term price expectation. RSI remains above the 60 level → upward momentum shows no signs of weakening. EMA200 (H1–H4) is well below, reinforcing a stable uptrend structure. ⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan 🟢 BUY 1: Entry: 4003 – 4005 Stop Loss: 3998 Take Profit: 4016 → 4025 → 4040 → 4062 👉 Buy when the price retraces to the lower edge of the channel or retests the key level. 🟢 BUY 2: Entry: 3961 – 3963 Stop Loss: 3956 Take Profit: 3975 → 3988 → 3996 → 4008 → 4025 👉 Enter at the FVG (Fair Value Gap) support area in agreement with the ascending trendline. 💡 Market Insight Fed rate cut bets: Expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in the coming months continue to boost gold demand. Temporary U.S. government shutdown → creates uncertainty, increasing safe-haven flows. USD is stable but not strong, keeping gold attractive. With the current market sentiment, every correction is a “buy the dip” opportunity. ⚖️ Scenarios & Strategy Main strategy: Only look to buy with the trend, avoid counter-trend selling (if any – should only be short-term). Buy around trendline / FVG / key level 3960 for a reasonable entry point and low risk. Monitor the breakout area 4040 – 4060: If decisively broken, the likelihood of reaching 4100 is very high. 📌 Summary: Trend: Strong bullish continuation Priority: Buy with the trend – Buy on dips Technical target: 4100 USD/oz Manage capital carefully, avoid FOMO at new highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
XAUUSD – PRICE ABOVE $4000: ABSOLUTELY CRAZY FOR TRADERSXAUUSD – PRICE ABOVE $4000: ABSOLUTELY CRAZY FOR TRADERS Gold has officially surpassed the $4000 mark, marking one of the most robust increases in recent history. Let's take a look at the key price zones and short-term opportunities 👇 🔻 SELL Scenario SELL 4025–4027 → SL 4033 → TP 4015 – 4000 – 3980 SELL 4042–4044 → SL 4049 → TP 4030 – 4015 – 4000 – 3980 🟩 BUY Scenario BUY 3993–3995 → SL 3988 → TP 4005 – 4013 – 4023 – 4040 BUY 3980–3983 → SL 3975 → TP 3998 – 4005 – 4013 – 4023 – 4040 📈 Technical Analysis The medium-term upward price channel continues to be stable. Rising lows indicate that buying pressure remains very strong. The nearest psychological resistance is around the 4043 zone, coinciding with the Fibonacci extension. The expected buying zone is at the POC Volume Profile area — a high liquidity zone, once anticipated by many traders to reject gold prices, but now could become a strong demand zone. 🧭 Macroeconomic Perspective If the Federal Reserve (Fed) continues to cut interest rates, the market may aim for the next milestone – 5000 USD/ounce. Although short-term fluctuations may occur (such as temporary ceasefires in the Middle East or Ukraine), the core drivers of this trend remain unchanged: US public debt is increasing Central banks are diversifying foreign reserves The USD is weakening All of which support gold's medium-term upward trend. ⚡️Summary Gold remains in a solid upward structure, even as it approaches overbought territory. There might be strong corrections, but as long as the upward structure is maintained, buyers remain in control.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
4
XAUUSD – Waiting for breakout confirmation at 3956XAUUSD – ACCUMULATION & WAIT FOR NEW TREND CONFIRMATION WHEN BREAKING 3956 Hello trader 👋 Gold is fluctuating in a short-term accumulation phase, following a strong rally last week. The technical structure on the H1 frame shows the price is retesting the central support area around 3956, which will determine the next direction. In the current context, price action is mainly restrained within the rising channel, but buying momentum has slowed. The market is waiting for new trend confirmation – either breaking up to the 4000 area or adjusting to lower support. 🔎 Technical Perspective Fibonacci 0.618 – 1.618 indicates significant resistance at the 3997–4000 area, coinciding with a strong liquidity zone. The medium-term uptrend line remains intact, however, the RSI momentum shows slight divergence – warning of a potential adjustment. Key price areas to watch: 3956 – 3946 – 3927 – 3917. ⚖️ Detailed Trading Scenarios 🔴 Main SELL Scenario: Entry: 3997 – 4000 Stop Loss: 4005 Take Profit: 3976 → 3945 → 3928 → 3910 👉 Sell at the Fibonacci extension area + psychological resistance 4000 (high liquidity zone). 🔴 SELL upon confirmation of breaking 3956: Entry: 3959 – 3961 SL: 3965 TP: 3945 → 3928 → 3910 👉 Short-term breakout order when the price closes below 3956, confirming a daily downtrend. 🟢 BUY when price retraces to support: Entry: 3942 – 3944 SL: 3938 TP: 3955 → 3970 → 3990 👉 Suitable for Buy strategy following the short rising channel, prioritised when there is a strong candlestick reaction. 🟢 BUY at deep support area (POC & Trendline): Entry: 3900 – 3898 SL: 3892 TP: 3910 → 3928 → 3940 → 3955 → 3970 💡 Macro Perspective Many major financial institutions have raised their December 2026 gold price forecast from $4,300 to $4,900/oz, citing that central banks in emerging markets continue to diversify foreign exchange reserves into gold. This reinforces the belief that the long-term uptrend remains robust. 📌 Summary: Gold is in an accumulation phase waiting for a new direction around the 3956 area. Strict capital management – the market may experience strong volatility when political news and US data return. share your thoughts in the comments section, follow me for the earliest scenarios
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
XAUUSD – EARLY WEEK SCENARIO - ATH CONTINUES TO HOLD CHAINXAUUSD – EARLY WEEK SCENARIO - ATH CONTINUES TO HOLD CHAIN Hello trader 👋 Gold prices are currently moving sideways after a strong previous surge. The market is temporarily lacking momentum as the US government remains shut, causing economic data to be delayed – this reduces liquidity and makes many short-term traders hesitant to open new positions. Currently, the price structure remains within the upward channel, but there are signs of accumulation and tug-of-war around key resistance – support zones. Therefore, the suitable strategy at this stage is “Buy at support zones, Sell at psychological resistance”, combined with POC (Point of Control) on Volume Profile to identify the price area with the highest liquidity. ⚙️ Technical Structure The overall trend remains bullish, however, short-term corrective waves may appear as the price approaches strong resistance zones. Thick volume areas clearly shown on the chart are where large investors are accumulating or distributing orders. RSI is currently in the neutral zone → no overbought signals yet, so the possibility of range-bound movement remains high. ⚖️ Detailed Trading Scenario 🔴 SELL ZONE (Strong resistance – priority sell reaction) Entry: 3,970 – 3,972 SL: 3,977 TP: 3,952 → 3,935 → 3,920 → 3,905 👉 Note: This is a psychological resistance zone – confluence between the upper edge of the price channel and the previous volume peak. 🔴 SELL SCALPING (short-term sell when support breaks) Entry: 3,923 – 3,925 (wait for support break confirmation) SL: 3,930 TP: 3,910 → 3,900 → 3,885 → 3,860 🟢 BUY ZONE (buy at support + POC volume profile) Entry: 3,883 – 3,885 SL: 3,875 TP: 3,900 → 3,915 → 3,940 → 3,965 → 4,000 👉 This is a strong technical support zone, coinciding with the POC of Volume Profile – high liquidity, high rebound potential. 💡 Insights & Notes The upward price channel remains intact, but buying power is gradually weakening, making short-term corrections likely. Be patient and wait for directional confirmation before entering trades, avoid FOMO during sideways phases. Limited news this week due to the US political situation → market is prone to tug-of-war, low volatility. 📌 Summary: Buy at liquidity support zone (3,883–3,885). Sell reaction at psychological resistance zone (3,970–3,972). Maintain a flexible mindset within the fluctuation range, wait for clear confirmation signals to increase winning rates. Stay updated with new gold articles by following me
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
LiamTrading – Risk of correction before hitting the $4000 mark? LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of correction before hitting the $4000 mark? Hello everyone, Gold is approaching the psychological price zone of $4000/oz, but before reaching this historic milestone, the market may be preparing for a short-term correction. According to Bank of America's technical strategist – Paul Ciana, gold's upward momentum is “too hot,” and a mid-cycle correction could occur soon. 📉 Technical Analysis (Chart H1 – Wolfe Waves Formation) Observing the chart, a Wolfe Waves pattern is clearly forming: The Sell zone 3988–3990 is the convergence point of wave number 5 – a potential short-term reversal zone. The Buy zone 3963–3965 is the retest point of local support, where sellers often tend to take short-term profits. The Wolfe trend line indicates the possibility that the price will take liquidity above the peak zone before a corrective decline appears. If a correction occurs, the 3940–3955 zone will be the first reaction area, where strong buying support is present. 🎯 Trading Scenario Buy retest: 📍 3963–3965 🛑 SL: 3960 🎯 TP: 3972 – 3985 – 4000 Sell following Wolfe wave: 📍 3988–3990 🛑 SL: 3995 🎯 TP: 3972 – 3955 – 3945 🧭 Medium-term Outlook Although the upward momentum remains dominant, the momentum is gradually decreasing and the market needs to “cool down” to create a new accumulation rhythm. Dense liquidity zones around POC 3957–3960 may trigger a short-term pullback, before gold gains momentum to advance to the ATH zone of $4000 in the late-week sessions. 📌 Conclusion Gold remains in a medium-term uptrend, but a short correction is necessary to maintain a sustainable upward structure. Traders should prioritize flexible scalping, observing reactions at Fibo zones – Volume Profile – and especially the developing Wolfe Waves pattern. I will continue to update the latest scenario details for XAUUSD daily. 👉 Follow me to not miss important wave rhythms!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
LiamTrading – GOLD approaches the $4000 mark LiamTrading – GOLD approaches the $4000 mark: The upward wave continues Hello everyone, Gold continues to maintain its impressive upward momentum as the DXY only slightly increases by 0.50% and is currently at 98.21 – a signal indicating that safe-haven flows still prioritise precious metals. Currently, the technical structure on H1 shows gold is in a clear upward channel, with price reaction zones accurately identified through Fibonacci and trendline, aiming for the next major target of $4000/oz. 📊 Technical Analysis (H1) Main Trend: Strong upward, Higher High – Higher Low structure remains intact Main Support Zone: around 3890 – 3900, coinciding with Fibo 1.0 confluence + upward trendline Psychological Resistance Zone: 3955 – 3999, corresponding to Fibo extension 2.0 – 3.6 RSI is moving into the 70+ zone, reflecting strong buying force but short-term correction signs need to be observed. 🎯 Today's Trading Scenarios Buy scalping 📍 3909 – 3911 🛑 SL: 3904 🎯 TP: 3940 – 3955 – 3970 – 3990 Buy swing 📍 3888 – 3890 🛑 SL: 3882 🎯 TP: 3910 – 3925 – 3950 – 3975 – 3990 Sell scalping 📍 3956 – 3958 🛑 SL: 3964 🎯 TP: 3935 – 3910 – 3890 Sell swing 📍 3997 – 3999 🛑 SL: 4010 🎯 TP: 3975 – 3950 – 3925 🧭 Trend Analysis With the current upward force and stable technical structure, the $4000 target is entirely feasible in the short term. The preferred strategy is to BUY with the trend, watch for pullbacks to optimise entry, and avoid FOMO at the peak. Adjustments to the support zone 3890–3900 will be a beautiful opportunity to open buy positions. 💡 I will continue to update detailed reaction zones & new plans in each session. Follow me for the earliest updates on daily gold scenarios!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Gold Soars on FOMO – 1000-Pip Opportunity Ahead!GOLD PLAN FOR 06.10 | Captain Vincent ✳️ Hello to all traders, Today, we are not only analysing Gold (XAU/USD) from a purely technical perspective ⚙️, but also witnessing the perfect confluence between technicals and fundamental news. A bullish storm is forming, promising attractive trading opportunities. 📊 1. Technical Analysis: Sustainable Bullish Structure From a technical standpoint, the uptrend of Gold on the H1 chart is undeniable. 🔹 Break of Structure (BoS): Gold continuously breaks previous highs, indicating that buying pressure is completely dominant. Each BoS point is a clear affirmation of the strength of the uptrend. 🔹 Potential Demand Zone: After each rally, the price often takes a “pause” to accumulate. Currently, the price may adjust to the $3,883,020 - $3,911,169 zone, where the confluence between Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Bullish Order Block (Bullish OB) – creates an ideal launchpad for the next rally. 🏦 2. Fundamental Analysis: The Fire Has Been Lit If technicals show the way, then fundamental news is the fuel driving the uptrend. 🔸 US Government Shutdown: This event creates political and economic instability, causing capital to flee from risky assets. Gold – the number one safe haven – is directly benefiting as investors seek to preserve their assets. 🔸 Fed Ready to Cut Interest Rates: The market is almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25%. This reduces the appeal of the USD, further strengthening Gold's advantage, which is a non-yielding asset. 🔸 “Thirst” for Economic Data: The government shutdown also disrupts the release of important economic data, leaving the market lacking information and increasing uncertainty. In this environment, Gold continues to hold its safe haven role. 🎯 3. Comprehensive Trading Plan When technicals and fundamentals align, the reliability of the trading strategy is significantly enhanced. Strategy: Wait to buy (Long) when the price adjusts to the demand zone $3,883,020 - $3,905,169. Entry signals: Observe confirmation of a bullish reversal in this zone such as: Pin bar candles, engulfing Or BoS on the M15 chart Targets: Short-term: $3950 – $3990 Long-term: Target “+1000 pips” Risk management: Place Stop Loss below the Bullish OB to protect the account. 🧭 Conclusion The current market sentiment is very favourable for the Buyers: USD is under downward pressure Defensive capital flows are strongly moving into Gold The FOMO effect can stimulate an extended rally The combination of a solid technical structure and strong fundamental support is creating an almost perfect bullish picture. 👉 Be patient, stick to the plan, and await this golden opportunity. 💼 Wishing everyone an effective and victorious trading day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
LiamTrading – GOLD Weekly Plan ..GOLD Weekly Plan: Prepare for a Breakthrough to a New ATH The new trading week opens with extremely complex sentiments — many traders are confused, and even the “big players” are cautious. But if you look closely at the price structure, everything becomes clear: gold is still in a sustainable uptrend. 🧠 Psychological & Trend Analysis Gold has just closed the week with a strong upward momentum, confirming the continuation of the medium-term uptrend. At this stage, “Selling at the peak” is almost a dangerous move – as each correction is shallow and quick, not allowing sellers enough time to exit. This creates a strong “fear of missing out” (FOMO) sentiment – driving funds to continue pouring in when the price hits the trendline or technical retracement zones. 📊 Technical Analysis On the H4 chart, the upward structure of gold is clearly visible following the impulse + correction box pattern (each accumulation – breakout repeats). The 3820–3830 zone continues to be the “golden retracement point” as it coincides with the medium-term uptrend line. Last week's bounce from this zone brought excellent profits for those who patiently waited. Currently, the next target for gold lies at the Fibonacci 1.618 zone – around 3980, which is also a significant psychological level where many investors might take profits. 🎯 Trading Scenario Buy setup (trend-following): Entry: 3830 Stoploss: 3815 Take Profit: 3980 Sell reaction (short-term upon reaching target): Entry: around 3980 Stoploss: 3988 TP open depending on price reaction (scalping strategy) 🔍 Conclusion Gold is still on the right growth trajectory, with short corrections merely opportunities to “accumulate”. Continue trading with the trend, patiently waiting for the price to retrace to strong confluence zones instead of FOMO at high prices. I will continue to share more details in daily updates here. Follow me to not miss the latest gold scenarios.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
GOLD DAILY – MACRO VIEW FOR LONG-TERM GOLD Hello everyone 👋 Today is the weekend, let's review the gold movements to gain insights for the upcoming trading week. The weekly candle closed at 3,886.5 – a high level that most investors did not anticipate. The daily candle, almost fully bullish, has strongly reinforced the main bullish trend of gold in the medium and long term. 🔎 Technical View Analyzing through Fibonacci extension, the next target for gold lies at the 4,000 mark, coinciding with the Fibo 1.618 level and a significant psychological resistance zone. This is a confluence zone between technical and psychological factors, expected to have a strong reaction when the price approaches this area. The current upward trend is almost unwavering, bolstered by macro factors – US political instability is causing uncertainty for the USD. 💡 Macro View The US government shutdown is indefinite, economic data is delayed, causing market confusion. The USD is weakening, while gold becomes a safe haven. This scenario continues to reinforce the long-term upward trend of gold, especially as investors seek assets that preserve value. ⚖️ Long-term Scenarios and Strategies 1️⃣ Long-term Buy Scenario: Entry: around 3,640 – 3,650 Reason: This is a strong support area on the Volume Profile chart, where large liquidity is concentrated. When the price returns to this area, the pressure to take profits and release sell positions from trapped traders will create a strong price rebound effect. This is the most potential buying zone in the medium term. 2️⃣ Short/Medium-term Reaction Sell Scenario: Entry: around 4,000 Reason: This is a confluence resistance zone of technical (Fibo 1.618) and psychological (round number) factors. Prioritize short-term reaction sells, capturing the pullback if gold hits the peak. ⚠️ Risk Management Note Trading on larger time frames requires good capital and management skills, as the stop-loss range is higher compared to shorter frames. Do not enter trades too early without confirmation signals from the price zone. Always clearly define the time frame and profit expectations before entering a trade. 📈 Summary: The long-term trend of gold remains upward, with a medium-term target towards $4,000. Buying around 3,640 is an attractive price zone for accumulating long-term positions. Sell reactions around 4,000 if there are clear reversal signals. 👉 If you want to follow daily updated scenarios, please follow me
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading