XAUUSD 4H Analysis: Rejection at Resistance – Drop to $2,850?📉 XAUUSD (Gold) 4H Analysis – March 5, 2025
Key Levels:
Resistance: Around $2,920 - $2,940 (price is testing this zone)
Support: Around $2,850 - $2,860 (marked as a demand zone)
Market Structure & Projection:
Gold is currently at a resistance level, which has previously acted as a strong supply zone.
The price is showing signs of rejection at resistance, indicating a potential bearish move.
The chart suggests a drop towards the $2,850 support level if price fails to break above resistance.
Indicators & Confluence:
200 EMA (Red Line): Located below the price, showing an overall bullish trend, but short-term correction is possible.
Bearish Structure: The recent push to resistance followed by rejection hints at a potential sell-off.
Liquidity Grab? If price briefly spikes above resistance and then reverses, a deeper drop could be confirmed.
Trading Bias & Strategy:
📉 Bearish Scenario: If rejection at resistance holds, price could head towards $2,850 support.
📈 Bullish Breakout?: If price breaks & closes above resistance with strong volume, upside continuation could be possible.
⚠ Watch for price action at resistance before taking trades. A breakout or rejection confirmation is key.
🔥 What’s Your Take? Bullish or Bearish? Let me know! 🚀📊
Technical-indicators
XAU/USD Weekly Outlook: Potential Pullback or Breakout?XAU/USD Weekly Chart Analysis 🏆📉📈
1️⃣ Current Price: $2,919.35
2️⃣ Key Observations:
Distribution on H4: Potential sign of a short-term reversal. 📉
Divergence: Suggests weakening momentum at the highs, increasing the probability of a pullback. ⚠️
Multiple Unfilled Mitigation Blocks (MB): Areas of interest where price may retrace for liquidity grabs. 🧐
Fair Volume Ranges: Notable levels around $2,700 - $2,500, where price might stabilize if a correction occurs. 🔄 3️⃣ Potential Scenarios:
If price breaks down from the H4 distribution, expect a retracement toward the nearest MB unfilled levels (~$2,700).
If bulls hold momentum, breaking above current resistance (~$3,000) could push prices into price discovery. 🚀
💡 Conclusion: Watch for price action around the unfilled MBs and fair volume ranges. A correction seems likely unless buyers step in aggressively.
🔥 Trade Wisely & Manage Risk! 🔥
GBP/JPY Bearish Breakdown – Further Decline Ahead?📉 GBP/JPY Daily Chart Analysis
🔍 Overview:
The chart shows GBP/JPY on the 1D timeframe.
A bearish outlook is suggested with a projected price decline.
The 200 EMA (193.295) is acting as resistance.
Current price: 191.906, slightly below the 200 EMA.
📊 Technical Breakdown:
Bearish Pattern Formation:
Price broke down from a rising wedge (bearish pattern).
After a brief retest, it's rejecting the 200 EMA, confirming weakness.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Resistance: 193.295 (200 EMA).
Support zones: 188.000, followed by 184.000.
Expected Price Action:
The bearish projection suggests further decline towards 188.000 & 184.000.
If price reclaims 193.295, it could invalidate the bearish scenario.
🎯 Conclusion:
⚠️ Bearish bias as long as the price stays below the 200 EMA. A drop to 188-184 seems likely unless buyers reclaim key levels.
📌 Watchlist:
✅ Break below 190.000 = Strong sell signal
✅ Reclaim of 193.295 = Bullish invalidation
🚨 Trade cautiously & manage risk! 🚨
NZD/JPY Bearish Breakdown | More Downside Ahead?📉 NZD/JPY Technical Analysis (Daily Chart)
Key Observations:
Downtrend Dominance ⬇️: The pair has been in a clear downtrend since mid-2024, with lower highs and lower lows forming consistently.
200 EMA Resistance 🚨: The red 200-day EMA at 90.088 is acting as a major resistance level, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Bearish Breakout Pattern ⚠️: A descending structure is forming, suggesting a continuation of the downtrend.
Projected Drop 📉: The black arrow on the chart indicates a potential drop toward 82.00 - 80.00 levels in the coming weeks.
Trading Strategy:
🔴 Bearish Bias: Traders might look for short opportunities on lower highs, especially near 87.00 - 88.00 resistance.
✅ Target Zones: 84.00 (first support) and 80.00 (major support).
🚨 Invalidation Level: A break above 90.00 (above 200 EMA) could signal trend reversal.
What’s your trade plan? 🎯📊
EUR/CAD Bullish Momentum: Targeting 1.51+ !?📌 Key Observations:
1. Support Rejection ✅: The price has bounced off the support zone (highlighted in red), which was a critical level for a bullish continuation. This level is now acting as a launchpad for further upside.
2. Bullish Momentum 📈: The market structure suggests a strong uptrend, with recent bullish candles breaking through resistance.
3. Next Target 🎯: The green resistance zone at 1.51+ is the main target for buyers. The blue arrow indicates a potential move towards this level.
4. EMA 200 📉 (Red Line @ 1.48721): The price has successfully traded above the 200-day EMA, reinforcing bullish sentiment.
5. RSI (14) at 58.89 📊: The RSI is approaching the 60 level, showing bullish strength, but not yet overbought (above 70), meaning there’s still room for an upward move.
🔎 Potential Scenarios:
If the price breaks 1.51, we could see a further push towards new highs. 🚀
If the price rejects from 1.51, a retracement to 1.50 or lower might happen before another attempt upwards. 🔄
🎯 Conclusion: The market is currently bullish, with a high probability of hitting the next resistance zone. Watch for confirmation near 1.51—a breakout could mean further gains, while rejection could signal a pullback.
Manappuram Finance - Daily - cmp 116Stock has made an inverted head and shoulders pattern on daily charts.
Plus there is a golden crossover on daily charts. Bullish sign.
(Lets see if it holds the pattern and indications)
Above neckline of 126
Targets can be 132-139-146
SL - daily closing below 107
Alwasy trail your profits.
*This is just a view. trade on your own risl