BTC/USD PullbackNot a trading or investing recommendation. The below analysis is only for educational purpose.
Reason for believing this is a pullback to the 200MA (first target):
1. Price broke the most recent lower high in the recent lower high-lower low structure & is able to sustain above the last lower high.
2. Downtrend line broken.
3. Clear stopping volume & igniting volume seen.
4. All three, Monthly-weekly-daily timeframes showing bullish bias.
5. Massive clearing/Marubozu bar on 4-Feb with tons of volume.
6. Spread between price & 200MA fairly large.
From a longer term perspective, until price closes above 200DMA around $49,200, the major trend would still be considered a downtrend. However, if this current up move sustains itself above 200DMA, then the major trend shifts upwards.
All the best!
Disclaimer- I don't own Bitcoin.
Technical
nifty levels for thursday expiry 27 january 2022this is only my own trading idea please trade your own risk.
be safe, thursday maket is very volatile
buy nifty call when nifty is trade above 17250 with minimum stoploss our 1st target is 17350 and second target is 17450 .
do not greedy in market book profit trailing stoploss and enjoy profit.
Stock With Good Risk To Reward Ratio.Dear Traders,
I am happy to Sharing Good Risk to Reward Ratio Stock. IBREALEST is forming Triangle Pattern from past 5 Months. Also whenever it touches trendline buying happens with good Volume. So, those who missed previous supports will be eager to buy it from here.
Caution: Nifty and Banknifty may rest or fall further, so, please consider them while take your positions.
Happy Trading Guys. Posting it before 2 Days from Monday so you all can analyse it from your side too.
CLEAR WINNER IN BEARISH MARKET---1 MONTH=10%Dear Traders,
Good afternoon, This gem is consolidating from past 3 moths. also the range is getting small each moth. Moreover, in market crash this stock took support and didn't fell like every other stock. You can buy it 50% now and 50% after good volume SL should be below trendline. Please do your analysis before taking any decision.
Bajaj finance limited Bajaj finance has retested in neckline 7472.35. If the price moves up side,
SHORT TERM TARGETS
TARGET 1 - 7676.09
TARGET 2 - 7842.75
LONG TERM ANALYSIS
TARGET 1 - 8416.15
TARGET 2 - 8669.40
If the price fall below neckline stock price can move down up to 6885.30.
Fundamentals:
For the last ten years revenue and net profit has grown well.
Current ratio looks good.
Debt equity ratio is high.
Interest coverage ratio is low which is not a good sign.
Last six years book value has risen from 95.71 in 2014 to 613.71 in 2020.
long As per the weekly chart, tinplate is given the multi-year break-out with cup and handle pattern. Volumes are supporting the break-out. Good result of Q3 is also supporting the break-out.
STOCK WITH FUNDAMENTALS---IT'S TATA.(BIG MOVE CAN BE EXPECTED)Dear Traders,
Please find this fundamentally strong stock a huge winner in short term. As it is consolidating after giving goods returns. Also, after breakout selling pressure is minimal in front of bulls. Put your stop loss as per your risk capacity. I would personally wait for good RR ratio.
Bank Nifty roars, so does India Vix. What Next?NIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS 5-1-22
In this post, I talk about the analysis for the day and the trading range for tomorrow. The video discusses with the help of the charts how the indices as well as leading stocks performed during the day and their likely play tomorrow.
O 17820.10
H 17944.70
L 17748.85
C 17925.25
EOD +120.00 points / +0.67%
SGX Nifty 5-1-22 @ 1830h = -8
FII DII = Not yet available
CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS using 5 Minutes Chart
Nifty opened flat and then there was a mini sell-off as it tried to trade above the previous close. However, it found support around 17750 and then moved up a 100+ points and found resistance around 17850 and was back to 17800.
It then never looked back and made a steady climb to hit the day high and close just below the level and above 17900.
Both the indices have made higher highs and higher lows which is a good sign.
NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
Top 5 Lifters contributed = 99
Top 5 Draggers contributed = 45
Net = +54
BANK NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
Top 3 Lifters contributed = 606
Top 3 Draggers contributed = 00
Net = +606
POSITIVES
Bank Nifty has closed comfortably above 37000.
Nifty ended the day despite pressure from IT leaders and HDFC, above 17900.
Bullishness in Banking & Finance scrips was strong.
FIIs have bought in excess of 1,200 Crores.
NEGATIVES
IT leaders dragged Nifty - Infosys in particular which was a negative yesterday as well.
Spike in India Vix as it closed above 17.
TRADING RANGE FOR 05 JAN 22
Nifty support = 17400-500
Nifty resistance = 17950-18000-18100
Bank Nifty Support = 36000-200
Bank Nifty resistance = 37800-38000-200
INSIGHTS / OBSERVATIONS
The most surprising fact of the day was that India Vix has roared along with Bank Nifty. It is an uncommon occurrence and is signaling that there is panic setting in at higher levels. Could this be on account of the rising Covid related uncertainties?
Nifty underperformed Bank Nifty on account of Infosys, TCS, and HDFC. The good thing is that the higher low of Nifty is now 150+ points above. This indicates the underlying bullishness at lower levels.
Bank Nifty made a bounce of 1100 points from the day low which is good and that is the reason why it was able to outperform Nifty today. The top 3 leaders contributed 600+ of these indicating that the index wide bullishness was good.
Of the top 5 draggers of Nifty, the first 4 are from the IT pack. And all the top 5 lifters of Nifty are from Banking & Finance. So it was Banking & Finance Vs IT.
What do you feel about this?
Here is the link to the video:
youtu.be
Thank you, and Happy Money Making!
Umesh
5-1-22
NOTE --
This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
---
Data Driven Analysis of Indices for the week & year ending 31-12DATA DRIVEN ANALYSIS OF NIFTY & BANK NIFTY FOR THE WEEK ENDING 31-12-21
This is a new weekly post/series where I will briefly capture the key highlights of the 2 leading indices. This post is supported by a video that takes you through the details of how I have arrived at the analysis. I encourage you to view the video as well since not everything can be captured in a document form.
I hope that this effort would help the readers and viewers to get a crisp idea about what happened in the markets over a period of one week.
Important - Nifty as well as Bank Nifty have ended the week on a positive note, however, this positivity comes with increased number of Covid cases in India and also overseas. I am in no way making an attempt to create panic, but I will still be cautious as the markets have sold-off in a big way for no obvious reason - for example on 20-12-21 when Nifty hit a low of 16410. In my view, a weekly close above 17625-50 is when things may seem to be stable.
BANK NIFTY
The comparison is done with 1-12 Numbers as the start of the month.
EOD on 1-12-21 = 36364
EOD on 24-12-21 = 34857 up by -1507 points or -4.14% from 1-12-21
The highest level in the week ending 31-12-21 = 35597 on 31-12-21
The lowest level in the week ending 31-12-21 = 34233 on 27-12-21
Difference Highest - Lowest = 1364 points or 3.98% from the lowest level
In the last week, Bank Nifty has made an upward move of 625 points or 1.79% which is refreshingly a good sign.
Insight:
Bank Nifty as on EOD 31-12-2020 - 31264
Bank Nifty as on EOD 31-12-2021 - 35481
Change - 4218
% 13.49
NIFTY
The comparison is done with 1-12 Numbers as the start of the month.
EOD on 1-12-21 = 17166
EOD on 31-12-21 = 17354 up by 188 points or 1.09% from 1-12-21
The highest level in the week ending 31-12-21 = 17400.80 on 31-12-21
The lowest level in the week ending 31-12-21 = 16833.20 on 27-12-21
Difference Highest - Lowest = 567 points or 3.37% from the lowest level
In the last one week Nifty has made an up move of 350 points or 2.06% which indicates a good positive change in the short term trend.
Insight:
Nifty as on EOD 31-12-2020 - 13982
Nifty as on EOD 31-12-2021 - 17354
Change -3372
% 24.12
FII - DII DATA:
DEC 2021
FIIs = -35,409 Crores
DIIs = +30.675 Crores
Net is = -4,734 Crores
As mentioned last week, there was a slow down already in FII selling and it continued during the last week which brought about some relief to the downward biased market moves.
Conclusion:
On an annual basis, Nifty has clearly outperformed Bank Nifty which has been able to perform just above half the % gain than that of Nifty. This is indicating a very depressive picture of what happened in 2021.
At the same time, I view this as an opportunity for Bank Nifty to outperform and become the recovery engine for the overall market.
FIIs have turned net buyers for 2 days in the week and only once in the week their selling was more than 1,000 crores. We have to see how the next week goes. If FIIs keep buying even in the next week, then the market mood would change for the better with some sort of certainty.
Insight:
India Vix as on 31-12-20 21.09
India Vix as on 31-12-21 16.22
Change 04.87
% 23.09
The above is a significant drop over a period of one year and explains the logic behind the rise in the Indices.
Only Nifty has a corresponding increase to the drop in India Vix as Bank Nifty has remained under pressure for most part of the year.
Since this week’s analysis is also yearly analysis, I will share a separate post and a video that takes care of the Leaders & Laggards of Nifty as well as Bank Nifty. And that is why I have not compiled separate conclusions for the two indices.
On a broader scale for the next few days, it is important for Nifty to end a week above 17650 and for Bank Nifty it is important to close a week above 36800-37000. This is when the indices are likely to shift to the next higher gear.
Here is the video link:
Please feel free to comment/share your feedback as, like you, I am also a learner of the markets! And therefore, I have the right to be wrong on either side as no one can predict the moves.
Happy Trading/Investing!
Umesh
31-12-21
Bitcoin Price Forecast - BTC Price PredictionBitcoin Price Forecast - BTC Price Prediction and Technical Analysis. You need to watch both the trend lines for btc next move.
if btc break the lower trend line then btc can come to $39600 and if it break the upper trend line then btc can goes upto $70,000